GBPUSD , DONT BE STOPPED OUT ON THE SELLS THIS TIME ROUNDFrom this position right here. we find that the price action is much trying to retest the previous lower highs , then later attempt to reach the lower lows .But in this case we do understand that the retail sellers have great interest on the move therefor setting a great deal of stop losses and buy orders up the previous resistance zone. so if I were to think against the conventional retail traders of whom 95% are relatively on the losing end , i.e against the banks .I would activate their stop losses . and buy orders in the direction they expected and get the liquidity trade trade offs . so in relation to this I would expect the price action to intentionally spike up . and to these high back up here , then moves and closes below the lower structure. this gives me the sign to SHORT.
FUNDERMENTALS foe the WEEK.
Governor Bailey is due to speak on Monday and traders will search for interest rate clues. The BoE softened its tone a little after the last meeting and yet markets are heavily pricing in a 25 basis point hike at each of the next five meetings, taking Base Rate to 2% by the end of the year. Bailey may use the platform to push back but probably to little avail given current inflationary pressures and more to come from commodity prices and the higher energy price cap from this month. We’ll also hear from a selection of other members of the MPC next week, while final services and construction PMIs are the data highlights.
Fundermentals
XAUUSD AnalysisFundermental Overview-
Gold price is reversing from monthly highs just ahead of the $1800 mark, as the US dollar rebounds in tandem with Treasury yields amid the upbeat market mood. Robust US corporate earnings douse fears over growing inflation risks, boosting the investors’ sentiment at the expense of the safe-haven gold. Meanwhile, failure to find a hold above the $1800 mark pushes gold price lower, as traders await the US consumer-centric data for a decisive move in the bright metal.
Technical Analysis-
Gold has just crossed below the 50EMA, signifiying the start of a Downtrend. Price is currently below the 50 EMA and close to the Daily Support Zone (1745.640 - 1751.560) which has been tested multiple times in the past, anticipating a great area to buy with price action patterns. I'll be waiting for price to reach thid level and then look for counter-trend opportunities on the 1HR chart this week.
XAUUSD Daily Key LevelsFundermental Analysis: XAU/USD accelerates above $1770, turns positive for the week. Gold prices are up by more than 1% on Friday, boosted by lower US yields and a weaker greenback. XAU/USD trades at $1779, the highest level in a week.
University of Michigan’s Consumer Confidence report showed a sharp, unexpected decline to 70.2 in the main index, the lowest level since 2011. The numbers added fuel to the decline of the greenback across the board. The DXY is falling 0.50%, having the worst day in weeks. US yields tumbled after the latest economic numbers. The 10-year yield dropped to 1.30%, the lowest since Monday.
The combination of a weaker dollar and the rally in Treasuries pressured gold prices further to the upside. XAU/USD erased weekly losses and is in positive territory after a reversal of a $100 from the Monday flash crash low.