14/10000, 3/1/2023, Trading DairyFor the BTC market, the short-term chip concentration area is the red area, and the mid-term chip concentration area is the green area. These two areas are highly overlapping
The price fluctuates around the chip concentration area for longer than expected. Such long-term fluctuations will form the core chips for the next wave of decline in the short term
It can be seen that before the formation of a new round of long-term expected decline, the short-term will form an earlier decline
And the best possible short-term decline this time may be the beginning of a long-term decline, then short positions and increase positions will be safer and can fully expand profit margins
According to the same analysis idea, when looking at the US dollar DXY market, it can be found that the positioning of the g-line is exactly the same as expected, and it has become a new price pressure level. The left side of the head and shoulders pattern has been formed. If the project pattern is not destroyed, the long-term The decline will definitely form and expand
Any price bounce back to around the g-line is a good opportunity to add to short positions
Further
Bitcoin Short (Updated Chart)Given the lack of exuberance I expected to see at rally Point A when the stops would be hit I felt the need to re-examine the chart and make updates.
Blow you will see how the trend, although slowed, is still in place with Bitcoin under the new resistance. The overall pattern I have drawn will remain for now.
Barring a exuberance on price rally my outlook remains short the the MEAN TARGET area.
XRPUSD: triangle breakout, further positivity is coming?Cryptocurrency market is breaking out from descendeing trendlines (check my previous posts regarding).. global uncertainty around coronavirus might enhance further positivity.
Triangle breakout in XRPUSD (yesterday close on daily timeframe) provides signal for joining bulls with quite wide stop around 0.215 and 0.365 t/p level.. (R:R=3.3)
If entering the market at 0.265 S/L can be placed around 0.23 price level.
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Global Dow: GDOW Near Term Consolidation before further 2% RallyGlobal Dow GDOW
Same thing here.
Testing resistance, in fact it's now sitting just a couple of points above the next line at 2930.
It's going to push back up to 3000-3003 sooner or later, just over 2% on this chart.
Look to buy SPX or any major market either on any retest of the rising dynamic if we get to see it- or on further strength above 2935 on this chart looking for 3000-3003 range on GDOW and a further 2% rally to 2814-5 on the SPX.
MSCI World Index: Correction then 2.5% further Upside to 6015MSCI World Futures Index USD FMWO1!
An excellent day for bulls all over the world.
Now most markets are testing important resistance levels (Hang Seng, Sensex, SPX and Nasdaq)
and are vulnerable to fairly light profit taking in the very near term.
The MSCI World Index is also very close to resistance at 5873.
Has to break above here to confirm further strength back to the 6000-6015 range - about a 2.5% burst.
It looks likely to manage this sooner or later.
If it's to be later it should find good support on any retest of the rising dynamic at around the 5752 level.
Look for confirmation to buy a favored major market again either here - or if we don't get it then on a break above 5875 looking for an averaged rise of about 2.5%.
EURUSD Target achieved at 1.1721 Further weakness likely though21st May EURUSD Week Ahead
EUR has reached the medium term downside target at 1.1721
today after a low at 1.1718.
Although it's rallied away from here as London opened as it
should do, it's not likely to get very far, though.
The first resistance potential is here at 1.1763, then a minor
level at 1.1786 and then heavy at 1.1821-1.1836.
It will need assistance from NY when it opens to boost it
higher to this latter range at which point it should start to
come off again.
Looking a little further out, the chart pattern indicates that
sooner or later the 1.1718 level will also give way, leading to
a another period of sustained EUR weakness back to 1.1558
with lesser support potential at 1.1665 and 1.1616 being
likeliest levels to expect minor near term counter rallies to
occur during the descent.
AAPL: Buy Opportunity on Further WeaknessApple AAPL
It took 18 months for Apple to double from the low at 91.5 to
a highs at 180-183 before a 16% decine to 150 (WD Gann
would have loved this stock as much as GE, probably;)
Like FB, Apple has closed out the week sitting on top of
the structure to its left. And in classical fashion, if the
165-164 levels fail to hold from here it's then likely Apple will
fall away further, to 160 initially and then, after a bounce
there, back to 155 and to 150 at lowest, most likely. Look to use
any further weakness here in the early part of the week as a
potential near term buying opportunity
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Technical Picture Deteriorating FurtherBitcoin Sunday Update
Nothing has happened over the last 24 hours of trading to
improve the technical picture - after breaking the bear flag
formation all remaining longs closed out and those day traders
who then sold did well from the highs of the new day at the
9900-9917 range. Since then it's carried on drifting lower, still
falling away out lack of interest rather than outright rejection
at this point. The pattern is still overall bearish. The parallels
guiding the descent have shifted to a less acute angle but the
downtrend is still clearly in play with Bitcoin making a little
continuation pattern before it falls away again, sliding lower
towards the parallels below it and making small bounces off
the blue support lines as it descends towards 9061, then 8805
and then 8551.
Over the last 24 hours Bitcoin has built up and reinforced
heavy overhead resistance at 9900-9917 - whilst below here it
remains in a weak technical position - look to sell rallies with
stops above 9710 for now.
Coinbase Update Saturday 11:07gmt/06:07est*
Ripped through the lower parallel of the flag on Coinbase -
now trapped in smaller parallels and finding scant support off
the lower line - now an attempt for 9900-9917 line which was
the last line of neartterm support here on Coinbase and 'limit-
down' those with long memories back to last night may
remember.
This is more dying of dis-interest than outright rejection - but
it's not remotely tempting to buy right now. Likely to slide
away and the bears that are out and sniffing blood won't be
backing away until the upper parallel is broken and then held
on the retest too. Too many failed breaks now to trust them,
no? Just be damn careful all day if trading this mofo this
weekend. In the absence of buyers it 's got to slide lower
down the parallels. But the markets goes on regardless and
day traders are buying off the lower parallel and likely looking
to sell again off the upper one when touched later at 9900.
12:00 gmt/07.00est Saturday
...moving in a continuation pattern, effectively a large a
bearish flag, shouldn't turn bearish again until the lowest
rising parallel is broken on downside. At that point - whenever
it arrives - the rally is done. Close out longs if it
happens sooner rather than later. We do not want to be
trapped inside the bait-ball when the next pod of whales
starts circling. We have to exit before they arrive.
Is this paranoia ? Maybe. But just cos we're a little paranoid
doesn't mean that there isn't someone following us. There is a
time to be paranoid and a time to be
gung-ho. Right now, for safety's sake, it's better to be the
former. We can get over paranoia. Losing 20% is harder to
bear. So this weekend we have to
tread carefully - more carefully than usual. Better safe than
sorry.
* For fastest updates in real-time please see top left of main
Tv page
DXY: Dollar Index - Small counter-rally before further weaknessDXY Dollar Index Small counter-rally before further weakness
DXY has crashed into the near term target zone at 92.74 -
92.55 (target 92.64) and bounced. It looks like it will
consolidate by moving sideways to upwards, at best to test
the upper parallel before it falls away again. When 92.50
gives way it should fall a further 1.5% to 91.01. This move,
when we see it will propel gold and oil considerably higher still.