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ETH/ BTC - The BIG picture of current uptrendHere we have it: a perfect Elliott Wave in all it's glory. This view helps to get a bigger picture of where we are in the current trend. Targets are estimates only, as waves can get severly compressed and stretched both in time and price.
We'll be able to draw price target zone for wave V only after c of IV is concluded. I'll update the chart when this happens.
EURUSDmacro money margin market models momentum net offer ofset open order options paid pair patient pips portfolio profit pullback put quoStill waitingte rally range rate realmoney retail risk sector sell settlement short slippage spot stoploss swap swiss takeprofit technical trade trading trader traderslife trend unemployment value volatility wedge work
Palladium - Wedge for next movementChart shows everything but I'm on the short side of this commodity. Waiting a confirmation before entering a new position. But we could see a possible consolidation between 520 - 480
Cycle periods when to make money on the US stock marketSummary: Buy stocks in the year 2020-2022 with sell target 25000 in the year 2026
The trend trajectory for the DOW Industrial index is starting to get very bearish in the year 2017 at the latest. A time when Donald Trump might have become the next US president, which would strongly influence the world history.
After a sharp three year decline of the stock market from the highs of the year 2015-2016 a bottom for the large downtrend of the year 2017 might be near during or shortly after the year "2020". Two years later a very strong new rally could start in the year 2022 when the "DOW" could move back above 19000 points. This rally could last at least until the year 2026 where 25000 points could be reached on the "DOWI".
Worth reading:
The 56 Year Benner Cycle, "Periods when to make money" illustration by George Tritcht (1897)
www.ritholtz.com
"http://www.davidmcminn.com/pages/brenfib.htm"
visualoop.com
"The 2021 major bottom cycle would be correspondent to the 1949 major low before the big bull move until the 1960's." - The Benner-Fibonacci Cycle Model
jogarembolsa.blogspot.com
Economic Confidence Model (ECM)
www.armstrongeconomics.com
P.S. I hope Tradingview exists for so long that we can follow the accuracy of this chart over the next decade :)
P.P.S . As of publishing this chart the DOWI is below 16400 points (at 16398). If the chart gets messed up, here is a screenshot:
SHORTING EURGBP AT RESISTANCE, FIBONACCI LEVEL AND "BROKEN FANG"The EURGBP0.18% has multiple times had trouble with the dashed blue line (both now and in the past, go the the 4hr chart!) but has recently broken through it and is now coming back up. We look to short it when it comes back into the 0.7155s again as we then get what i call the "broken fang" setup meaning that price prints lower lows but equal highs.
We are also in an obvious downtrend on this pair as can be seen on the pink lines indicating lower highs.
Our stops go above the resistance level and I'm hoping to catch a 1:3 on this one as price should come back down to at least 0.7126. Moving my stops to breakeven when price hits 2/3 of profit.
Good luck everyone and as usual, hold your thumbs!
Longing EURJPY at fibonacci cluster confluenceEverything is on the chart guys. Fibonacci cluster consisting of 2 retracements (.382 and .50) plus the 100 extension from the previous price retracement. All of this lines up perfectly with previous support/resistance + that we're in a bullish trend.
Good luck everyone and hold your thumbs!
GER30 WAVE COUNT AS YOU CAN SEE I JUST COUNT WAVES.
I FIGURE OUT THAT PRICE IS MAKING A 5TH WAVE AND THIS WAVE HAVE AN 5 WAVES STRUCTURE TOO.
NOW PRICE IS MAKING THE 4TH WAVE OF THE 5 WAVE SEQUENCE THAT IS INTO THE BIG 5TH WAVE.
THIS 4TH WAVE IT SEEMS TO BE AN ABCDE PATTERN. SO I WILL BE LOOKING FOR THE BREAK OUT TO GO LONG. MAYBE IN LOWER TIME FRAME.
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT IT? AM I RIGHT?
INTC - Is Intel still a human company?If INTC (Intel) wants better intel, they need to buy CRM (Salesforce). Who can call the CEO's, send me a few shares for the idea, and make this deal happen?
Who would you rather build the future, humans or artificial intelligence?
USOIL WTI SHORTthe up trend has been broken, so price might start a down trend. However, as you can see in the chart there is a posible H&S. In the 15min chart, you can see how price is breaking a corrective structure to make a posible down impulse.
WTI should go to the neck of the H&S and then break it and go to the 56$.
The trade should be completed by the end of next week.
what do you think?
Bitcoin price in "despair" stage of bubble (BTC chart 2015-2016)The downtrend is not over. I expect a drop down to the last lows to form a real bottom before we can return to the mean. For more detail please look at my zoomed in version of this chart:
Will Bitcoin crash? Or is now the time to buy? Part IIThe chance that this is the long awaited uptrend is growing. This is an update of my original chart, which I created 1 month ago: In this update I optimized several indicators to better reflect the current trend.
Overall it's looking good. But 2014's downtrend has not finally been broken as of today. That's why I post this as a neutral outlook.
Fantasyland - Bitcoin Future Chart Scenario For 2012 To 2016Here is a land of imagination, hopes and dreams. Magic and make-believe are reborn and fairy tales come true. Fantasyland is dedicated to the young at heart, to those who believe that when you wish upon a star your dreams do come true. Each Fantasyland has several gentle rides.*
Using the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator with a 12 week period (equal to three months, or a quarter of a year), you get some interesting historic results when to buy and sell Bitcoin on a weekly chart with all available Bitstamp data since 2012.
Possible Bitcoin ETF hype:
"The Bitcoin ETFs could be days away and Bitcoin is simply overdue for a massive run." "Barry Silbert of SecondMarket confirmed last month that BIT is still slated for Q4. Not much time left in this Q4."
-- 2 Nov 2014 -- twitter.com
"Barry Silbert, CEO of the Digital Currency Group and founder of SecondMarket and the Bitcoin Investment Trust (BIT), is seeking regulatory approval to open BIT to ordinary investors – moving beyond the wealthy “accredited” investors that are currently the only ones with such access. That approval could come before the end of the year."
-- Nov 3, 2014 -- insidebitcoins.com
"The Bitcoin Investment Trust (BIT) now holds more than 100,000 BTC, according to Barry Silbert, CEO of SecondMarket and founder of the trust. Silbert has big plans for the Bitcoin Investment Trust, which is expected to open for public investors sometime in the fourth quarter of 2014."
-- April 11, 2014 -- www.coindesk.com
*Source:
en.wikipedia.org
P.S. If you like my charts, you can leave me a tip:
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Bitcoin Winter 2014/2015 Outlook: Important price areas to watchNew version! I looked at all the original information from MtGox which is still available on TradingView and noticed that my last chart using Bitstamp prices and pivot dates wasn't aligned perfectly with the real pivot price data from MtGox (which shaped the price from 2010 until the melt down in 2014).
BTC has still a high risk too fall even more. The pink Gann fan line is now aligned higher than before, above the current price. And I added a three year average price, also in the color pink. As visible in the chart we are already in the red Fibonacci area behind the blue 1.382 Fibonacci trend line.
P.S. If you like my charts, you can leave me a tip:
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Back to square one in a few weeks-- UPDATE --
This long-term this risk is still there, but as long as we keep on slowly going up (earlier ) since the massive correction down to $275 then this chart scenario posted here is going to be proven invalid.
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The precise rules of Bitcoin price bubbles vary but it usually involves traders hopping from square to square, missing out the square containing their thrown targets. They go from one to (usually) eight or ten and then back to square one.
Bitcoin price doom analysis: Why Bitcoin might crash to $85-$110BTC could go as low as $250 and even $85-$110 is possible. Here is why:
My original chart which I made one month ago had the title: "Bitcoin price doom analysis - Why Bitcoin might crash to $333"
Sadly BTC is falling even faster than anticipated. BTC is now below a two year moving average price (EMA 720 - the red line) which was at $369! Therefore I'm lowering my most bearish target price from $333 to $100. Everything is possible now. But I hope that BTC bounces at $285-$320
P.S. When I published the chart the price was still higher and I originally wrote: "BTC could go as low as $300-$320"
Bitcoin regulation, huge volatility ahead?A couple of things to watch out for at the moment:
OVERSTOCK CEO PATRICK BYRNE PROMISES “INTERESTING ANNOUNCEMENTS” AT LAS VEGAS BITCOIN CONFERENCE
insidebitcoins.com
NEW YORK (InsideBitcoins) — Promising some “interesting announcements” regarding Bitcoin on Twitter (see below), Patrick Byrne, CEO of Overstock.com, will deliver the final keynote for the Inside Bitcoins Conference and Expo in Las Vegas at the Flamingo Hotel on October 5-7, 2014.
CFTC’s Global Markets Advisory Committee to Meet
www.cftc.gov
www.cftc.gov
"The meeting will focus on issues related to clearing Non-Deliverable Forwards (NDFs) and the digital currency bitcoin. The meeting will consist of two panels. The first panel will discuss whether a clearing mandate is appropriate for NDFs, with a particular focus on how such a mandate would impact foreign exchange contracts. The second panel will discuss CFTC’s jurisdiction with respect to derivatives contracts that reference the digital currency bitcoin."
New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) superintendent Benjamin Lawsky is to deliver a keynote speech at Money20/20:
www.coindesk.com
"New York State Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) superintendent Benjamin Lawsky is to deliver a keynote speech at Money20/20, which bills itself as the world’s largest event for payments and financial services innovation. "
European Commissioner-Designate to Discuss Bitcoin at EU Hearing
www.coindesk.com
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Depending on the outcome of these meetups, keynotes & events ahead, it is almost certainly one that will have huge effect on the price in the coming months. The last time it happened was on October 2013 which resulted in the rally towards $1000.
ETF: www.bloomberg.com
www.sec.gov
Future of BitcoinFibonacci numbers (blue vertical lines) and ratios (purple) applied on time.
In case of failure, we break 450, and should expect 260 (last bubbles top)
If we keep climbing up and break top resistance expect rally up to 3000 - 4000.
Infact targets like 10k for the next bubble are unreasonable.
The next bubble will be more like a last breath of the bulls,
before a major correction to around 440 (current bottom level).
A major correction is needed to balance out the
bearish divergence of the last bubble (see weekly RSI etc.)
Only then we will find ourself in a more modest uptrend with
next bubble peaking around 18k at fib number 8 at beginning of 2017.
The easiest way to decide to buy or sell BitcoinThis Gann fan is hitting so many pivot price points (marked in blue rectangles) that it seems to be worth watching the coming weeks.
It makes forecasting easy. Either we stay above the 9/1 Gann fan which started in Summer 2013 and slowly start a new uptrend in Winter 2014 - or the price falls much much lower.
