Volatility 19 May 22 S&P500 and Nasdaq Index and ETF's ES SP500 Future 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.97%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 2.46%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 95.32
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 84% probability for today are going to be
TOP 4013
BOT 3820
SPY 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.68%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 2.11%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 6.6
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 88% probability for today are going to be
The calculations are in general made with the open daily candle. Since we dont have one currently, you can wait for the open candle
and add or rest 6.6 points to that in order to get the top/bottom channel
SPY SP500 ETF 19 May 2022
Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 1.68%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.25x multiplier => 2.11%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 82.61
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 86% probability for today are going to be
The calculations are in general made with the open daily candle. Since we dont have one currently, you can wait for the open candle
and add or rest 82.61 points to that in order to get the top/bottom channel
QQQ Nasdaq ETF 19 May 2022
The current 2022 Volatility for NDX/NQ/QQQ is much higher and abnormal than the previous years.
For that as a precation I am going to take the initial base as a 1.25x multiplier .
Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 2.67%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.5x multiplier => 3.2%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 9.32
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 90.5% probability for today are going to be
The calculations are in general made with the open daily candle. Since we dont have one currently, you can wait for the open candle
and add or rest 9.32 points to that in order to get the top/bottom channel
NQ Nasdaq Future 19 May 2022
The current 2022 Volatility for NDX/NQ/QQQ is much higher and abnormal than the previous years.
For that as a precation I am going to take the initial base as a 1.25x multiplier .
Based on the HV measures from the last year candles our expected volatility for today is around 2.67%
However, in order to increase our accuracy I am going to use a 1.5x multiplier => 3.2%
This is translated into a movement from the current opening point of 376.75
With this information our top and bottom , with close to 88.5% probability for today are going to be
TOP 12288
BOT 12224
Future
Soy beans Futures ( ZS1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish ContinuatioType : Bearish Continuation
Resistance : 1622'6
Pivot: 1611'2
Support : 1581'0
Preferred Case: With price expected to reverse off the ichimoku resistance and Fibonacci confluence area, we have a bearish bias that price will drop to our 1st support in line with the horizontal swing low support from our pivot of 1611'0 in line with the Fibonacci confluence area.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st resistance in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci projection.
Fundamentals: No Major News
No way for BTCYes guys, as I said yesterday after breaking 34200 we will go to 29-30k which already happened in a day and retested that area ad finally bounce started a little bit but we can affirm it if we break resistance and close at least 2 times 4 hours candles above it. After this we can think about long positions. But if you are working with spot trading you should buy BTC in every drop but little little because we don't know where we are going to. For now, first target is 34200. Thanks.
BTC next targetYes as I mentioned before 34200 was a strong resistance but unfortunately it was broken. Following this, retest was done successfully and it is clear from pic that next target is 29k. I think we will go to exactly 29-30k surely but I hope it will bounce after it, otherwise I don't want to think that scenario because 29k is a support for about 2 years and it should work. Let's see what happens.
BTC might has entered the bear market...BTC had risen to 20k in the last bullmarket, this bullmarket is definitely different, with institutons and a lot of retail investors and big events like covid or the war, but the power has come to an end. BTC tried to get up again after the first test of 60k, but dropped again, a double top. After this we formed a sideways wedge and now we exited it, to the downside. This pattern is a bit simillar to the pattern in 2017, simillar target and chart. We were in a bullmarket for 2 years now, the normal length of a cyle, Altcoins would drop massively.
Wish you good luck at trading!
US30 analysis for all tradersAn overview of Dow Jones stock that will happen in the next 2 to 3 months
Future Enterprises FEL - India's Biggest Retail Chain is in RED<>
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- Catch the Stocks when they are Red, they say-
- There is no INDUSTRY more BLOODY RED than 'Old Physical Retail Outlets/ Chains' these days, Like BigBazaar Retail Chain in India.
- Already under debt of 25000Cr (almost $3.8Billion). Amazon and Reliance group (India's 2nd biggest business group) literally Battling it out in every COURT available in India and in Singapore to acquire its entire share.
- India, One of the Most Crowded place in the World, under the severe Impact of Covid, is unprecedented is breaking down each day.
People are dying, govt trying hard but it is not enough. Country is short on everything from medical supplies, oxygen, to generating employment. Thus, Further Crash in Retail sector is eminent. However, India had, has and always will have very strong domestic demand to support its bounce back. India's population is 1.30 Billion V/s 0.745 Billion in Entire Europe (almost double than EU).
- Post Covid, when market will start to stablise and people will start getting back to their previous buying behaviour.
Retail sector will be the first sector to show robust growth. Imagine what will happen to Retails stores once covid is over, they will be overwhelmed and stocks will soar - BOOM.
- It (FEL) is a very very long term chart, so consider this investment as your "Retirement Plan Fund/investment". You can think of Investing a very small amount, but it needs to be with very long time holding view like min 8-10 yrs.
Research yourself,
- About BIGBAZAAR
- Future Retail + Reliance group i.e. Mukesh Ambani) V/s Amazon (Jeff Bezos)
- It is an exciting fight to watch, and is about to culminate.
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Soybean Futures (ZS1!), H1 Potential for Bullish rise!Type: Bullish rise
Resistance : 1693'6
Pivot: 1681'4
Support : 1666'0
Preferred case: With price moving above the ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance in line with the 1693'6 in line with the swing high resistance from our pivot of 1681'4 in line with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and the horizontal pullback support.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and head for 1st support at 1666'0 in line with the 38.2% Fibonacci extension and the horizontal pullback support.
Fundamentals: No major news.
RSS3 +40% MOON Hello traders, hope all are having a profitable day! Please make sure to LIKE and FOLLOW for more valuable and accurate content
As many may realize i am new to tradingview and would like for my chart ideas to be seen and talked on always feel free to leave a message on your opinion on my analysis and i will message you back. I am starting a trading community and would like to help as many people as i can along the way. I plan on posting around 5 charts daily and will take request as well so if you have a particular coin you would like to see me provide technical analysis to please let me know and i would be more then happy too.
Thanks, have a great day!
BTCUSDT Price Squeezing > Year OpenImportant things to note:
Macro environment does not look great.
Fed raised rates 25 bps (not a big deal).
Fed likely will raise 6 more times however market likely priced in rate increases.
Recession will likely follow, should be seen by Sep and reported on at years end.
Commodity prices are flying.
BTC supply low, demand is increasing.
Volume increasing.
Price has been squeezing and I likely see the price meeting the year open one way or another.
Alts likely to follow price increase, however, this may be short lived.
Hey everyone! So things are not looking bad for BTC in general, however the macro environment looks terrible. I do not necessarily think this is a bad thing for BTC though. I believe through this next year or so BTC will have its chance to show its worth as a hard storage of wealth. Right now the price has been squeezing for awhile. I figured BTC would have made its move by now, but we are still waiting for the big jump to the year open. I see two scenarios playing out here: 1 - price will fall and test trendline followed by a run to the year open 2 - price is squeezed immediately to year open. I believe the latter is most likely. There is a lot of things playing out at the moment and it is important to see how the price reacts to the year open range. Otherwise, we might see a lower high and more damage for the coming months. Right now, I am carefully hopeful short term and extremely confident longer term (until 2023). BTC is looking great from a supply side, however the demand needs to be higher. I think these uncertain times may play in the favor of BTC. Gold is set to make a push higher in the coming years and I believe BTC will follow in a big way. With a recession on the horizon, it is tough to guess how altcoins will perform during these times, however being conservative is always the best bet. BTC will be fine in my opinion. Thanks again everyone!
So tell me what you think?
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
Soybean futures (ZS1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Bounce!Type : Bullish bounce
Resistance : 1757'4
Pivot: 1658'6
Support : 1583'2
Preferred case: With price moving above our ichimoku cloud, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to our 1st resistance at 1757'4 in line with the horizontal swing high resistance from our pivot at 1658'6 in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st support at 1583'2 in line with the horizontal swing low support.
Fundamentals: No major news.
the future BTC 2022-2023-2024Hello dear friends, the analysis of btc ascent and descent was done correctly before and the analysis will most likely be established today.
Maintaining $ 29,000 support Because many orders have been placed, it is likely to be supported, but if this area fails, the support can reach 24000$-19/500$-13000$.
Inside the chart, it is clear that in the first case, by dealing with the support area apart from negative news, it can experience short-term growth in the period of 3 to 6 months, and the condition of breaking the downtrend and stabilizing at $ 53,000 can grow by more than 300% in late 2023. - Experience early 2024