BITCOIN IS GROWING STEP BY STEP TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis
Ascending Triangle Formation
The chart displays an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a bullish trend continuation. The price has been forming higher lows while maintaining a relatively flat upper resistance level, suggesting that buyers are gradually gaining strength.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance: The price is approaching the resistance at $93,143 and $100,000.
Support: The ascending trendline acting as support is near $86,721.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The indicator shows a continuation of bullish momentum with green dots suggesting buying signals.
Bullish Divergence: This is a confirmation of positive momentum and suggests the current trend could continue, especially if it breaks resistance.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI is at 56.62, indicating that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold. It suggests that there is still room for upward movement before entering overbought territory (RSI > 70).
Money Flow Index (MFI):
The MFI is in the green, at 56.02, showing a steady inflow of capital, which supports the bullish outlook. It is not in the overbought range, further indicating the potential for continued upside.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The stochastic indicator shows values of 77.28 (fast line) and 76.05 (slow line), both suggesting that the price is in the upper range. Though it's near the overbought zone, it isn't extreme enough to signal an imminent reversal.
Volume
The volume is increasing with each bullish move, indicating strong buying pressure and confirming that the trend is supported by market activity.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance Zone: $93,143 - $100,000
Support Zone: $86,721
Next Target: A breakout above the $93,143 resistance could target new highs around $100,000 or higher if the market sentiment remains bullish.
Trading Plan
Entry Strategy:
Buy Signal:
A break above the resistance level at $93,143 would be a strong buy signal, with the expectation of a continuation to the next target near $100,000.
Alternatively, a retracement to the support level at $86,721 could provide a good entry for a long position if the price rebounds from this level, confirming the ascending triangle pattern.
Stop Loss Strategy:
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the most recent swing low, around $86,000, to protect the position in case of a breakout failure. This provides a good risk-to-reward ratio if the price does not hold above the support trendline.
Profit-Taking Strategy:
First Target: The first target for profit-taking should be near $93,143 (initial resistance).
Second Target: A breakout beyond this resistance can target $100,000 and possibly new all-time highs (ATH).
Trailing Stop: Consider implementing a trailing stop once the price moves in your favor, allowing the position to stay open while locking in profits if the market reverses.
Risk Management:
Position Sizing: Based on the risk tolerance, adjust the size of your trades to ensure proper risk management. For example, risking 1-2% of your total capital on a single trade is advisable.
Review Market Sentiment: Always monitor broader market conditions and Bitcoin-related news for any sudden changes that may affect the trend.
Conclusion
The current chart signals a bullish continuation for Bitcoin, supported by the ascending triangle pattern, bullish indicators, and increasing volume. A break above $93,143 would confirm the next move towards $100,000. As always, it's important to monitor the market for any shifts and adjust your trading plan accordingly.
Futures-trading
KASPA IS GIANT - WAITING FOR MAJOR EXCHANGES - TRADE PLANChart Type: 4-hour (4H) timeframe.
Pattern Identified: A falling wedge pattern is evident, which typically signals a potential reversal to the upside, especially when the price breaks above the upper trendline (resistance) of the wedge.
Current Price Action: The price is currently consolidating near the lower boundary of the falling wedge pattern. The breakout above the wedge's resistance level is considered crucial for the potential upside move.
Indicators and Signals:
Volume (Volume Profile on the chart):
There is an increase in volume around the lower part of the wedge, suggesting accumulation as the price approaches key support levels.
A potential breakout could be confirmed by a spike in volume as the price breaks above the resistance line of the wedge.
RSI (Relative Strength Index, 14):
The RSI is at 43.20, which is neutral but nearing the oversold zone. This suggests that the market is not in an extreme selling phase, and the asset could gain momentum if the breakout occurs.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic Oscillator is at 15.98, indicating that the market is in oversold conditions. If it crosses upward, it could further confirm that a reversal or upward movement is likely.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD line is above the signal line, and the histogram is in green, indicating bullish momentum. This is a positive sign for a potential upward move once the breakout happens.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
The MFI is showing green bars with an upward slope, suggesting positive money flow and investor interest in the asset.
HMA (Hull Moving Average):
The HMA shows a slight bullish bias with an upward slope, which complements the potential bullish breakout scenario.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Level: The lower boundary of the falling wedge acts as a key support level. If the price holds above this level, it will give confidence to the potential upward breakout.
Resistance Level: The upper boundary of the wedge is the key resistance level. A breakout above this will be crucial for confirming the potential bullish move.
Price Target: If the breakout occurs, the next logical target would be around the previous highs near 0.18 USD, based on the wedge's height.
Potential Scenarios and Trading Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Enter a long position once the price breaks above the resistance level of the falling wedge (around 0.1285 USD).
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss just below the support of the wedge (around 0.1200 USD), to minimize risk in case of a fakeout or reversal.
Take Profit: The first target should be around 0.16 USD, and a secondary target around 0.18 USD if momentum continues to rise after the breakout.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to break the wedge’s resistance or breaks below the wedge’s support, it would indicate that the price is likely to continue its downtrend.
Short Entry: Consider a short position if the price falls below 0.1200 USD, confirming a break of the wedge's support.
Stop Loss: Set the stop loss just above the wedge resistance at 0.1300 USD.
Take Profit: The target could be at lower support levels around 0.10 USD.
The KASPA chart shows a potential bullish reversal from the falling wedge pattern. The key factor for success in this trade will be the confirmation of a breakout with high volume above the wedge's resistance.
Utilize the indicators such as the RSI, MACD, and Stochastic for additional confirmation of the trade setup.
Risk management is crucial, with clear stop-loss levels set to protect against potential downside moves.
BITCOIN IS EXPLOADING BIG TIME. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLANPrice Action & Trend:
Bitcoin's current price is around $80,853.
The trend is notably bullish, as the price has been in an upward movement with higher highs and higher lows over the past month.
The recent price surge indicates strong bullish momentum, potentially aiming for higher resistance levels.
Indicators:
Market Cipher B: This indicator shows divergences and momentum shifts, often used for trend reversals.
Current green dots indicate bullish momentum, and the increasing wave strength suggests strong upward pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is around 74.81, which is within the overbought zone (above 70). This could mean a potential correction or consolidation period might be approaching, as prices may have risen too quickly.
Stochastic RSI:
The Stochastic RSI shows a value around 89.86, which is also in the overbought zone. This indicator further supports the potential for a short-term pullback or consolidation.
HMA Histogram (Hull Moving Average):
The histogram shows bullish momentum, but there are hints of divergence, which could indicate a slowdown in bullish strength.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The nearest strong support is around $72,000. A more significant level sits at approximately $63,000.
Resistance: With Bitcoin at $80,853, the next major resistance is likely near $85,000 and then potentially $92,000.
Volume:
Although volume data isn’t available in this chart, the current price movement suggests significant buying pressure, likely driven by strong sentiment and high interest.
Trading Plan
Long Position (Buy):
Entry: A conservative entry would be to wait for a pullback around the $78,000-$80,000 range, which could act as a minor support in the current bullish setup.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss just below $72,000, as a break below this level could indicate a shift in trend.
Take Profit: Set a target near $85,000 initially. If bullish momentum continues, the next target would be $92,000.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a minimum risk-reward ratio of 2:1 for this trade to manage risk effectively.
Short Position (Sell):
Given the overbought conditions on both the RSI and Stochastic RSI, a short-term short position could be considered.
Entry: Consider shorting near $85,000 if the price reaches this level quickly without consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss above $87,000 to protect against a continued breakout.
Take Profit: Target a pullback to the $78,000 region or further down to $72,000 if bearish signals strengthen.
Risk Management:
Limit exposure to a small percentage of the portfolio per trade (e.g., 1-2%) to manage volatility.
Monitor key indicators (RSI, Stochastic, Market Cipher B) for any signs of trend exhaustion or divergence that could signal a reversal.
Market Sentiment & News Monitoring:
Keep an eye on market news that could impact Bitcoin’s price, such as regulatory announcements or macroeconomic factors.
Bitcoin’s price can be highly sensitive to sentiment-driven events, so being adaptable to changing market conditions is essential.
GOATSEUS MAXIMUS NO. 1 MEME COIN ATMTechnical Analysis
Price Action
Current Price: GOATUSDT is trading at approximately $0.49876 after a recent downturn of -5.70%.
Trend Analysis: The chart shows a general upward trend that peaked recently, followed by a pullback with the price consolidating near support levels. This could indicate a potential continuation of the uptrend if buyers step in.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: Near recent high at approximately $0.60.
Support: Established around $0.47 and potentially at the lower level near $0.40 if the downtrend continues.
Volume Analysis
Volume Spikes: High volume accompanies large moves, which suggests strong participation. Current volume is moderately high but shows a mix of buying and selling pressure.
Current Volume: 1.388 million, indicating decent interest and liquidity in the asset.
Indicators Analysis
VMC Cipher B:
The VMC Cipher B indicator suggests possible bullish divergences as highlighted by the green dots at the bottom, which could signal a reversal or strength in the trend.
A recent negative value of -4.44913 may suggest a slight bearish bias, but the divergence could support a potential bounce.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI is around 47.48, near the middle of the range, indicating a neutral position. RSI is neither overbought nor oversold, which could mean room for movement in either direction.
Stochastic:
The Stochastic indicator is showing a reading of 56.67 for the %K line and 47.15 for the %D line, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish stance. If the Stochastic turns up, it could indicate a buying opportunity.
HMA Histogram:
The HMA (Hull Moving Average) Histogram is slightly negative, at -0.00460, which implies a weak bearish momentum. If it crosses into positive territory, it could confirm a reversal.
Trading Plan
Strategy: Swing Trading
Entry Points:
Bullish Entry: If the price finds support above $0.47 and breaks above $0.52, consider entering long with a target towards the $0.60 resistance.
Bearish Entry: If the price breaks below $0.47 with strong volume, it could signal further downside to the $0.40 support, allowing for a short-term short trade.
Stop Loss:
Long Trades: Place a stop loss below $0.47 to avoid major downside risk if support fails.
Short Trades: For bearish trades, consider a stop loss just above $0.52 to minimize loss if the price reverses.
Profit Targets:
Primary Target: $0.60 for bullish trades, as this has been a recent resistance level.
Secondary Target: In case of a strong breakout above $0.60, look for additional upside targets at $0.70 or higher.
For Short Trades: The target could be around $0.40 if bearish momentum continues.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2 to ensure favorable trade conditions.
Position Sizing: Based on volatility, consider allocating a smaller position size to manage risk effectively, especially given the recent pullbacks.
Monitoring:
Watch for signals from the VMC Cipher B and HMA Histogram. A positive HMA Histogram and bullish divergence on VMC Cipher B would be strong confirmation for a long position.
Keep an eye on the volume; increasing volume on upward moves would reinforce a bullish stance, while high volume on down moves may indicate a need to exit or go short.
BITCOIN is the KING and upward movement is highly expected!Technical analysis and trade plan by Blaž Fabjan
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels:
72,198.87 USDT
68,556.87 USDT
64,591.15 USDT
Support Levels:
66,333.98 USDT
61,758.48 USDT
60,301.68 USDT
56,902.49 USDT
The key levels indicate potential areas where price action could face resistance or find support, which might serve as entry or exit points.
Indicators:
Wave Cipher Divergences:
Wave Cipher shows divergences suggesting a possible upward momentum. Positive divergences with green dots could imply bullish continuation.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI currently reads 55.19, indicating a neutral zone, leaning slightly bullish if it moves towards 60. This suggests Bitcoin isn't overbought or oversold and could continue a gradual trend.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic shows a value around 70.52, close to the overbought region (above 80). If it breaks further upward, it may signal an overbought state, potentially leading to a correction.
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
HMA appears to trend slightly downwards, showing a bearish trend in the short term. The value of -6.58 indicates a bearish momentum, which may warn of a potential short-term pullback before any significant uptrend resumes.
Price Action:
The chart shows a potential breakout attempt around the 66,333.98 USDT level, where price action previously tested and retraced. A consolidation near this level could suggest that bulls are preparing for an upward push, especially if price breaks above 68,556.87 USDT.
Volume Analysis:
Volume shows a steady, moderate increase, supporting the upward trend. This moderate volume increase without large spikes could imply gradual accumulation rather than distribution.
Trading Plan
Long Position (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Consider entering a long position if the price breaks and holds above the 68,556.87 USDT resistance level with volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss slightly below the 66,333.98 USDT support level to mitigate risk in case of a false breakout.
Targets:
Target 1: 72,198.87 USDT — aligns with a strong resistance level and provides a conservative target.
Target 2: 75,553.67 USDT — the next significant resistance level, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Short Position (Bearish Scenario)
Entry: Consider shorting if the price fails to hold above 66,333.98 USDT and shows bearish confirmation, such as a breakdown with high volume.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss above 68,556.87 USDT to avoid risks from potential false breakdowns.
Targets:
Target 1: 61,758.48 USDT — a nearby support level that provides a logical take-profit point.
Target 2: 60,301.68 USDT — serves as a secondary target if the bearish trend strengthens.
Risk Management: Given the proximity to resistance and support levels, using a risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or higher is advisable to maintain favorable trade setups.
Monitor Divergences: Keep an eye on divergences in the Wave Cipher, RSI, and Stochastic Oscillator for potential trend reversals or continuations.
News and Market Sentiment: Be mindful of broader market sentiment and news events, as these can influence Bitcoin's price behavior, particularly near key levels.
This trading plan provides a structured approach to capitalize on potential breakouts or breakdowns, balancing both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Harmony one is going up! Technical analysis + trade plan by BFChart Overview
Timeframe: 4-hour (Binance Exchange)
Price as of Analysis: $0.01346
Volume: 3.744 million ONE
Formation: Falling Wedge pattern
Chart Patterns and Indicators:
Falling Wedge:
A falling wedge pattern is typically a bullish reversal pattern, indicating that the current downward trend is weakening and a potential breakout to the upside could follow.
The narrowing of price action shows a decline in both support and resistance levels, with lower highs and lower lows.
The breakout is anticipated above the wedge resistance, potentially marking the beginning of an uptrend.
The VMC Cipher B indicator is similar to the MACD and shows signs of bullish divergence, meaning that while the price has been declining, momentum is building for a potential reversal.
The RSI is hovering around 50.25, which is neutral but can indicate momentum is shifting. If RSI starts increasing above 55, it will confirm bullish momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 35.30, this shows the asset is near the oversold zone but still in neutral territory. A move above 40 may confirm a bullish trend reversal.
The HMA histogram shows early signs of turning bullish as the color changes and bars are in the process of shifting positive.
Volume has decreased over the wedge formation, which is typical of such patterns. An increase in volume after the breakout will serve as confirmation for a stronger upward move.
Potential Price Targets:
Immediate Resistance: $0.01360 - This is the wedge resistance. A breakout above this level confirms the pattern.
First Target: $0.01550 - Based on previous price levels, this area is the next resistance once the breakout occurs.
Second Target: $0.01750 - This aligns with the previous significant high and could be a target after the first resistance.
Risk Factors:
Stop-Loss: It’s crucial to place a stop-loss below $0.01200 (below the previous support levels) to manage risk in case of a false breakout.
Volume Confirmation: Ensure that the breakout occurs with significant volume, as low-volume breakouts may lead to a reversal back into the wedge.
Trading Plan
1. Entry:
Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above the $0.01360 resistance with strong volume confirmation. A 4-hour candle close above this level should confirm the breakout.
2. Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.01200 to manage the downside risk in case the falling wedge pattern fails and the price reverses.
3. Profit Targets:
First Target: Set a take-profit around $0.01550 to capture the first major move after the breakout.
Second Target: For those with a higher risk appetite, target $0.01750, which aligns with the next resistance.
4. Position Size:
Risk only 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade. Given the potential volatility and the falling wedge pattern, it's essential to manage position size conservatively.
5. Monitoring:
Keep an eye on the volume and the RSI/Stochastic Oscillator. If RSI rises above 55 and Stochastic confirms the upward movement, the breakout should gain more strength.
Monitor for any potential fake breakouts. If the price fails to close above the resistance on the 4-hour chart, consider delaying the entry until clear confirmation is given.
The Harmony (ONE/USDT) chart is showing a potentially bullish falling wedge formation, indicating that a reversal from the recent downtrend could occur soon. A breakout above $0.01360 with confirmed volume is crucial for confirming the uptrend. If confirmed, Harmony could target $0.01550 and $0.01750 in the near term, but it's important to employ tight risk management through proper stop-loss placement.
Technical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis for Numerico (NWC/USDT)
The price is showing a breakout potential at the top of the channel, which may signal a trend reversal.
Descending Channel Pattern:
Resistance: The upper trendline shows where the price has faced rejection multiple times. The resistance level is gradually declining.
Support: The lower trendline indicates strong support, where buyers have consistently entered the market, preventing further decline.
Breakout Potential:
The price appears to have tested the upper trendline of the channel. The arrow pointing upward suggests the possibility of a breakout above the descending resistance, which would indicate a bullish reversal.
Indicators:
Volume: A spike in volume supports the possibility of the breakout. A breakout with increased volume is generally a stronger confirmation of the trend change.
VMC Cipher B: This momentum oscillator shows a shift from negative to positive momentum, implying that the buying pressure is gaining strength.
RSI (14): The Relative Strength Index is around 58.66, indicating that momentum is neutral to slightly bullish. RSI above 50 usually signals increasing buying pressure.
Stochastic RSI: The stochastic RSI is currently in the overbought zone (91.21), which might signal some short-term correction, but the overall momentum remains strong.
HMA+ Hist: HMA (Hull Moving Average) shows that the histogram is close to zero but shifting upward, which could imply a possible change in trend direction soon.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: $0.0719 (marked by the horizontal blue line).
Resistance Zone: Around $0.0753 (upper edge of the channel).
Great Entry Point: The label indicates that a long entry is ideal around the breakout zone, with an upward arrow suggesting that this level ($0.0721) could offer a solid risk-reward ratio for buyers entering before a potential upward movement.
Trading Plan
Entry Point:
Enter the trade at the breakout above $0.0721 (highlighted as the "Great Entry Point"). If the price closes above this level on the 4-hour timeframe with significant volume, it will confirm a bullish breakout.
Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below the recent support of $0.0719, at approximately $0.0690, to minimize risk in case the breakout turns into a false breakout.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $0.0800 – This level aligns with a previous resistance zone and would be a conservative target for short-term traders.
Second Target: $0.0850 – If momentum remains strong, the price may continue toward this higher level of resistance, providing a larger reward.
Risk Management:
Ensure a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 2:1. For example, if the stop-loss is set at $0.0690 (risk of approximately 3%), aim for the first target at $0.0800 (a reward of approximately 10%).
Use position sizing techniques to risk only 1-2% of the portfolio per trade, to ensure long-term sustainability and avoid major losses in case of unexpected market moves.
Monitoring & Adjustments:
Watch for volume confirmation during the breakout. If the volume diminishes, consider closing the position early, as it may signal a weakening breakout.
Adjust the stop-loss to breakeven once the price hits the first profit target, ensuring a risk-free trade for the remaining portion of the position.
Conclusion:
The technical analysis for NWC/USDT suggests a bullish breakout from the descending channel pattern, with indicators supporting a potential upward move. Entering at the breakout level of $0.0721 with proper risk management offers a promising opportunity, especially with a positive shift in momentum.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Waiting For Breakout
WTI Crude Oil is currently testing a key daily structure support.
Trading in a bearish trend, the price has a high potential to violate that.
Next week, wait for a bearish breakout of an underlined green area.
A daily candle close below that will confirm a violation.
A bearish continuation will be expected at least to 72.9 level then.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Intraday Bullish Move
I see a breakout of an intraday horizontal resistance on WTI.
After a violation, the market started to correct within the expanding wedge pattern.
Test of a broken structure made the market bullish again.
I think that bulls may push the prices higher today.
Goal - 80.15
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USOIL - Short or Buy? Break down or retracement up? Technicals
1. We have been stuck in a range on a higher time frame for quite some time now.
2. On a higher time frame we failed to confirm a break-up from a trendline dating back to March 2022, which was the COVID-19 highs. A failed break-up of this mega trendline is normally a sign of big reversal or retracement. & we did just that ;-) question is, is this a reversal or just a retracement because I see also a trendline from DEC 2023 which we trade just under. IMO we have not fully confirmed that break down.
3. Visible in my chart we see that we are since then on a big down sloping channel which is still respected.
Fundamentals
1. My bias is slightly bearish long term because I think the US economy & other major economies will be in a recession which will give downside pressure on the price of OIL
2. Conflict in the Middle East seems to have not a significant impact as of now on the price of USOIL. Will this change? Till I see major escalation happening I don't see that it will have greater impact than it already has. US also is less energy dependent so therefor geopolitical will impact less.
3. Bullish sign is that OPEC is still holding strong on OIL cuts and China is still strong. Summer season will also give some upside pressure because of demand.
Trade
1. The first trade, which is a buy option, I will take if I see buyers really taking over to push price up
2. The second trade, which is a sell, I will take if we confirm a break and retest of the weekly low.
Great trading all of you
Greetingz,
Simba Trades
Info Edge (India) Ltd Showing Strong Up-Side MomentumStrong operating businesses
Strong Operating Cash generation year with a run- rate of c1000 Cr plus (pre Tax) annually and growing.
Negative working capital due to advance subscription fees (Rs 925 cr as on 31/12/23)
Asset-light business models
"Zero" Debt.
Well Defined approach towards Financial Investments
AIF structure for eventual and self-sustained independent financial investment business.
Partnered with reputed Sovereign Fund (Temasek Holdings).
AIF contribution commitment is currently pegged at ~USD 212.5m
Funds created with a term of 12-14 years.
Established Dividend payout track record.
Formal dividend policy of paying 25%-40% of standalone cash PAT.
Track record of consistent dividend payout for last 16 years. Paid 28% of cash PAT as dividend till date.
Info Edge is India’s premier online classified company with a portfolio of brands. It owns various brands in different fields like naukri.com (online recruitment), 99acres.com (online real estate), jeevansathi.com (online matrimonial) as well as shiksha.com (online education information services). It also acts as an investor and has invested in many start-ups in the online space and is actively growing its investment portfolio.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 55.9% CAGR over last 5 years
B2B revenues (as on date) comprise ~90% of overall Naukri revenue and includes:
Resume database access (Naukri & iimjobs)
Job Posting (response management)
Employer branding (visibility)
Application tracking tools (Zwayam)
eHire - Resume short listing and Walk-ins
Assessment services (Do-select)
■ B2C includes revenue from
Job seeker services
Career enhancement services (AmbitionBox, Coding Ninjas, Naukri Learning)
#ARPA - Long Strategy (Swing Position - Futures)We have surpassed the decision level, which is the black line, from the weekly classic pivot points in the “Arpa” token. Currently, we are above the decision level. The trend appears positive on a weekly basis. The decision level at the 0.6633 region should continue to be monitored.
In summary;
▪️ Our upward targets are 0.07423 - 0.07887 - 0.088657.
▪️ The figure we need to follow as the decision level is 0.06633.
▪️ Our downward targets are 0.06162 - 0.055399 - 0.04930.
⭕️ The blue-painted area is a dense selling zone. If a position is entered around these levels, profits should definitely be realized upon contact with the blue shaded area. The price may reverse. Please consider market conditions.
Growing Divergences in Small vs Large CapsWhat do the labor market and the stock market have in common? They are both showing a huge divergence between the fortune’s big companies and smaller companies.
From 2009 to 2021, the large caps in the S&P 500 and the small caps in the Russell 2000 moved more-or-less in lock step. Since the end of 2021, however, investors in the S&P 500 have earned a 9% return. Meanwhile, investors in the Russell 2000 small caps are down nearly 20% from the index’s peak.
U.S. Labor Market Survey Data
We are seeing a similar divergence in U.S. labor market data as well with a huge gap developing between two different surveys conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The establishment survey, which is a survey mainly of big businesses, shows over half a million jobs were created over the course of December and January. By contrast, the household survey – which polls 60,000 American families each month and does a better job of capturing job creation among small and mid-sized firms – shows 1.2 million jobs have been lost in December and January, and nearly 700,000 people have left the labor force altogether.
The Impact of Interest Rates
Why would small businesses suffer while large companies prosper? One reason might be interest rates. Many large companies have significant cash reserves which are now earning 5% returns as a result of Fed rate hikes. Also, many large companies financed themselves by issuing bonds when yields were low during the pandemic. By contrast, many smaller businesses do not have large piles of cash earning interest in T-Bills. They typically borrow from banks and suffer the effects of higher rates more quickly than their larger counterparts.
The good news for small firms is that if and when the Fed begins to cut rates, their stocks might outperform the big guys in the S&P.
If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
By Erik Norland, Executive Director and Senior Economist, CME Group
*CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc.
**All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Outlook & Trading Plan 🛢
Crude Oil is currently testing a solid horizontal supply area on a daily.
Analyzing a 4H time frame, we can spot that the market is currently weak & consolidating.
I see an example of a classic inside bar formation.
71.4 is the lower boundary of the range of the mother bar.
Its breakout - a 4h candle close below will be a strong bearish confirmation.
A bearish movement will be anticipated to 70.1 level then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance will push the prices higher.
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Xau/Usd Hello traders!
It can be seen that the pair has touched the level (2018.00). In my opinion, the pair will touch the level (2021.00) since it is also a Fibonacci level. Then I expect a decrease to the level (1929.50). Be patient and wait for the breakout to enter the trade. Be careful!
Don`t forget to look at the economic calendar!
MAKE MONEY AND ENJOY LIFE 💰
THANK YOU!
GOOD LUCK!
🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
WHEAT Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
WHEAT is retesting a broken
Key horizontal level of 580'0
Which is now a resistance
And as wheat is in the
Local downtrend I am
Bearish biased so I will
Be expecting a move down
Sell!
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Jasmy short period analysis ⏰🆓🚦📌 #dyor
💰 Position size :: 1%
💱 Leverage :: cross ➖ 2-5x
🪙 $JASMY-USDT 📌 🔰
#futuretrade :: 2-6X ↗️ ......🌴
#BUY :: $0.003435 - $0.003632
🎯
:: $0.003969
:: $0.004131
:: $0.004200
Stop 🛑 lose #SL :: $0.003379 🚏
📌 always move stop lose #sl
when target get reached 📌
#risk :: too high 🔥#scalping
#explanation
👉 Provided based on support and resistance / supply and demand zone
💥#ETH hunting successful, profit margin as high as 200%💰✔️On a move of $26, we have successfully locked in over 50% profit.
And move SL to the position of 1633 and wait, no matter it goes up or down, we don't have to be afraid.💯
The accuracy of the RSI trading system combined with PA is very high. It has been verified again.💯
🍻Congratulations to the friends who followed Wolf king to print money.💰
How to avoid the risk of futures trading and increase the winninI sorted out the principles of this long BTC trading strategy.
This is a trading system with a high winning rate that I often use. It is very simple and practical. I will share it with you now, hoping to help you.
As we all know, the risk of futures trading is very high. If you are a novice, then you are prone to failure. Liquidation and asset zeroing are common things. In severe cases, you may even screw up your life. This is very common for most novices.
So how do we change this state of affairs?
First of all, we must improve our trading capabilities by working hard to learn various professional knowledge.
The second is to use small funds to start to practice and accumulate experience slowly.
Of course, this is a very long process. We need to maintain enough patience, not give up because of one or more failures, and not affect our mentality because of market fluctuations. We must always maintain a stable state of mind to learn and practice.
Then someone will ask, what if I don’t have enough patience?
What if I don’t have much time to keep learning and practicing to improve myself?
If you belong to this situation, without your own trading system, then failure will often accompany you until you leave the futures trading market forever as a loser.
Or you choose to strictly implement the trading strategies of professionals.
miro.medium.com
Instructions for the entire trading process, you only need to execute
The first thing we think of when doing futures trading is not to make money, but how to keep the principal!
This is very important. Only under the premise of keeping the principal can we be qualified to seize more opportunities.
Can’t have too much FOMO
If you follow the trading strategy of the wolf king, then you have to choose to believe and reduce hesitation to improve efficiency.
In the process of following, your trading ability will definitely be improved.
Below is my RSI trading system:
RSI 4 times cycle contrarian principle
In a down (up) trend
Only when the RSI reaches the overbought (sell) zone
And retrace the 50 position (sometimes it will retrace to the opposite oversold area)
Only when it breaks through overbought (sell) again will it consider doing a counter-trend Reversal.
You can look for the inverse principle
Open long positions, but don’t be too greedy to hold them for a long time. The reverse principle can only obtain short-term profits.
There are many people who are good at opening positions, but few are good at closing positions.
Because people are greedy, this requires us to act against our inner thoughts, which is undoubtedly very difficult.
RSI trend-following strategy
In a downtrend, the k-line must be below ema50
When the first time the oversold area is touched, it means that the trend has started, and then go short at each retracement support resistance position
As mentioned above, we will find that the success rate of going long against the trend is much lower than the success rate of shorting following the trend, so only when we successfully form an N-shape against the trend and stand above ema50 will we consider doing long.
This is also the reason why I drew the N-type path when simulating the trajectory of BTC.
Note that the RSI contrarian trading strategy is suitable for shock range trading and harmonic trading.
If you think this article can help you, please like and share it.👍💕
If you want to find Wolf King to help you improve your trading ability, please click on the profile of Wolf King.👀