Get started

Futures

BITCOIN TODAY - STILL THE KING OF THE CEREMONY (TA+TRADE PLAN)Price Levels and Resistance Zones: The chart shows several key resistance and support levels marked by blue horizontal lines. Major Resistance Levels: $73,654.77 $71,552.73 $69,730.95 Support Levels: $65,947.27 $60,061.54 $52,774.45 Bitcoin is currently trending upward, with price action near $70,734.95, approaching the resistance zone at $71,552.73. VMC Cipher B Divergences: The VMC Cipher B indicator shows bullish momentum with green dots, signaling possible upward continuation. The RSI and Stochastic lines are also above mid-levels, suggesting continued bullish momentum. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI (14, close) is at 77.25, indicating overbought conditions. This could mean a possible retracement or consolidation in the short term. However, a strong uptrend may continue if Bitcoin maintains support levels above 70. Stochastic Oscillator: Stochastic (14, 1, 3) is also at a high level, around 86.19, indicating overbought conditions. This aligns with the RSI and could signal a need for caution on long positions until the oscillator moves back to a neutral or oversold region. HMA+ Histogram: The histogram indicates some bullish divergence, but recent bars are turning red, signaling a potential pullback or pause in momentum. Monitoring this for further bearish signs is essential, especially if it crosses below zero. Trading Plan Short-Term Strategy: Entry: Consider entering a long position on a pullback to support around $69,730.95 if bullish signals persist. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the $65,947.27 support level to limit potential downside risk. Take-Profit: Target $71,552.73 as the primary take-profit level. If momentum remains strong and BTC breaks above $71,552.73, consider holding for $73,654.77. Medium-Term Strategy: Entry: Buy on confirmation of a breakout above $71,552.73 with strong volume. Stop-Loss: A stop-loss slightly below the breakout level at $69,730.95. Take-Profit: Set a take-profit target around $73,654.77. If Bitcoin breaches this, reassess the position for potential gains towards higher levels. Risk Management: Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of the trading account on each trade. Trailing Stop: Implement a trailing stop if Bitcoin strongly surpasses $71,552.73, to lock in gains while allowing for additional upside. Monitoring Indicators: Keep an eye on RSI and Stochastic Oscillator for any signs of bearish divergence or weakening momentum. Monitor VMC Cipher B for any shift in green dots to red, which could indicate potential retracement. Overall Market Sentiment: Given the current uptrend and approach to resistance, Bitcoin shows bullish sentiment. However, indicators suggest overbought conditions, so caution is advised.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
1
2024-10-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - Gigantic bear gap with Globex open and market closed 370 ticks down or a bit more than 5%. 1h 20ema is resistance until clearly broken. Bulls are in a world of hurt here. 66.5 is the next lower target before we go for 65. Bulls need anything above 68 again. comment: Market has now went from doing 18% upwards, going down 14% and leaving two bear gaps open. The October low is at 65.74, which will likely be hit over the next 1-2 days and if it does not hold, we will test 64 again. Bulls need to break above the 1h 20ema and then 69. I don’t think they can get much higher than that tomorrow or I’d be surprised big time. Huge difference between bulls and bears on the daily chart, is that bear bars have big tails below and market is still going down hard. Bull bars close on their highs but bulls are getting slaughtered. Could be bulls who bought the 1st of October spike, scaling in and they probably have their stops either around 65 or below the September low 63.46. Either case, it will be interesting to see the market reaction if we drop below those prices. current market cycle: trading range (big triangle on the daily chart) key levels: 63 - 78 bull case: Couple of ways to try to draw the bear trend line with the lows of the past 3 weeks but all are ugly. Bulls who buy this are probably scaling into positions and their stops are either around 65 or below the September low 63.46. If they can keep the market above 65 and quickly trade back above 69, there is a chance the lows can hold and that we have printed a higher low but those odds are bad after a -5% day. Best they can probably get is sideways movement between 66 and 69. Invalidation is below 65.74. bear case: Bears only got the market 80 ticks lower than the Globex spike, which is confirmation of this sell off. Their lower targets are the October low 65.74 and then the September low 63.46. We have an ugly bear channel with almost all bear bars having big tails below them, which shows buying pressure but bears are still selling this down hard. Which is a bit unusual I think. After such a strong bear day, follow through is expected and until bulls have clearly broken above 68 again, that price was decent to short today. For tomorrow I want to see if we have formed a tighter channel than the big one visible on the daily chart and if market is respecting an ema (currently the 1h held). I would not short below 67 but rather on pullbacks. Invalidation is above 69. short term: Max bearish. Can’t remember when I have last seen a 200+ tick futures gap that stayed open. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20: No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates. current swing trade: Nope. trade of the day: Selling around the EU open was ok once we broke below 68.3.
NYMEX:MCL1!Short
by priceactiontds
GOLD and Silver Futures OUTLOOK for the week of Oct. 28, 2024Coming into this week we can see both Gold and Silver are trading away from bullish imbalances, also forming SMT's off those imbalances. We also see that both commodities have CISD's coming off the same lows. In my opinion Gold is showing relative strength, given the fact that it has a failure swing at the lows, while the contrary for Silver. My focus will be towards gold being the stronger pair to long in this scenario. Looking forward to a productive week. Bless.
COMEX_MINI:SILZ2024Long
by chaarate
2
JASMY AT A PERFECT ENTRY POINT FOR A LONG POSITION! TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis by Blaž Fabjan Pattern Identification: The chart displays a falling wedge pattern , a bullish reversal pattern often signifying a potential trend change from bearish to bullish. The price action is currently testing the upper boundary of the wedge pattern, indicating that a breakout could be imminent if there’s sufficient buying momentum. Support and Resistance: Support Line: The lower green line in the falling wedge acts as support. This line has been consistently respected, indicating strong buying interest at those levels. Resistance Line: The upper green line marks the resistance level within the pattern. A breakout above this line would be considered a strong bullish signal. Volume Analysis: There’s a noticeable decrease in volume within the wedge, which aligns with typical falling wedge characteristics. Look for a volume increase on a breakout to confirm the move. Indicators: VMC Cipher: Divergences and buy signals have been detected, showing signs of potential momentum shifts. RSI: At around 41.07, the RSI is approaching the neutral zone (50), suggesting the potential for further upside if it breaks above 50. Stochastic: Currently around 60.48, indicating upward momentum and possibly further bullish action if it continues moving up. HMA+ Histogram: Showing minor bullish signals that could align with a breakout confirmation. Entry Signal: The wedge breakout zone is highlighted as an “Amazing Entry Point.” The suggested entry is around the resistance line in the pattern, currently close to $0.01743. Trading Plan Entry: Enter a long position once JASMY/USDT breaks and closes above the falling wedge resistance line with increased volume. This would be near or slightly above the $0.0175 level, depending on price action confirmation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below the wedge’s recent support level or just below the most recent swing low at around $0.016 to mitigate risk. Take Profit Levels: First Take Profit (TP1): Set around the recent swing high near $0.019. Second Take Profit (TP2): For a more extended target, aim around $0.0205, where the price previously found resistance. Final Take Profit (TP3): Around $0.022, aligning with previous higher resistance levels. Risk Management: Calculate position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading account per trade. Monitor volume closely, as a breakout with low volume may indicate a false breakout, in which case exiting the trade early could be advisable. Alternative Scenario: If the price fails to break the resistance and moves back within the wedge, refrain from entering. In this case, wait for a possible retest of the support level around $0.016 as a secondary entry point. Summary Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish). Buy Zone: Above $0.0175, confirmed with volume. Stop Loss: Below $0.016. Take Profit Targets: $0.019 (TP1), $0.0205 (TP2), $0.022 (TP3). btw: VERY GOOD ENTRY POINT AT THE MOMENT!
Long
by elfabiiani
1
BITCOIN is the KING and upward movement is highly expected!Technical analysis and trade plan by Blaž Fabjan Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Levels: 72,198.87 USDT 68,556.87 USDT 64,591.15 USDT Support Levels: 66,333.98 USDT 61,758.48 USDT 60,301.68 USDT 56,902.49 USDT The key levels indicate potential areas where price action could face resistance or find support, which might serve as entry or exit points. Indicators: Wave Cipher Divergences: Wave Cipher shows divergences suggesting a possible upward momentum. Positive divergences with green dots could imply bullish continuation. Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI currently reads 55.19, indicating a neutral zone, leaning slightly bullish if it moves towards 60. This suggests Bitcoin isn't overbought or oversold and could continue a gradual trend. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic shows a value around 70.52, close to the overbought region (above 80). If it breaks further upward, it may signal an overbought state, potentially leading to a correction. Hull Moving Average (HMA): HMA appears to trend slightly downwards, showing a bearish trend in the short term. The value of -6.58 indicates a bearish momentum, which may warn of a potential short-term pullback before any significant uptrend resumes. Price Action: The chart shows a potential breakout attempt around the 66,333.98 USDT level, where price action previously tested and retraced. A consolidation near this level could suggest that bulls are preparing for an upward push, especially if price breaks above 68,556.87 USDT. Volume Analysis: Volume shows a steady, moderate increase, supporting the upward trend. This moderate volume increase without large spikes could imply gradual accumulation rather than distribution. Trading Plan Long Position (Bullish Scenario) Entry: Consider entering a long position if the price breaks and holds above the 68,556.87 USDT resistance level with volume confirmation. Stop Loss: Set a stop loss slightly below the 66,333.98 USDT support level to mitigate risk in case of a false breakout. Targets: Target 1: 72,198.87 USDT — aligns with a strong resistance level and provides a conservative target. Target 2: 75,553.67 USDT — the next significant resistance level, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Short Position (Bearish Scenario) Entry: Consider shorting if the price fails to hold above 66,333.98 USDT and shows bearish confirmation, such as a breakdown with high volume. Stop Loss: Set a stop loss above 68,556.87 USDT to avoid risks from potential false breakdowns. Targets: Target 1: 61,758.48 USDT — a nearby support level that provides a logical take-profit point. Target 2: 60,301.68 USDT — serves as a secondary target if the bearish trend strengthens. Risk Management: Given the proximity to resistance and support levels, using a risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or higher is advisable to maintain favorable trade setups. Monitor Divergences: Keep an eye on divergences in the Wave Cipher, RSI, and Stochastic Oscillator for potential trend reversals or continuations. News and Market Sentiment: Be mindful of broader market sentiment and news events, as these can influence Bitcoin's price behavior, particularly near key levels. This trading plan provides a structured approach to capitalize on potential breakouts or breakdowns, balancing both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
USDJPY needs to pay attention to the BOJ meeting on ThursdayThe Bank of Japan will make a decision on interest rates this Thursday and the market currently expects the bank to leave interest rates unchanged. At about 10:00 Hanoi time on October 31 (Thursday), the Bank of Japan will hold an interest rate decision. As fears of a recession in the US ease, the Bank of Japan may signal that its policy outlook will be less dovish. Recent data shows that Japan's core inflation remains under upward pressure, but the Bank of Japan will likely continue its "wait-and-see" approach at this week's meeting. The market will closely monitor the quarterly outlook report, as well as changes in the Bank of Japan's assessment of risks to the US economy and the recent depreciation of the yen. Technically, after being limited by the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, OANDA:USDJPY has dropped to get more support from the upper edge of the price channel. Along with that, maintaining price activity above the 0.618% Fibonacci level will be a positive signal for the uptrend in the near future. Currently, USD/JPY is likely to test the 154.525 level in the short term, more so than the 155.222 level with an upward trend from the near-term price channel. However, the room for USD/JPY's price increase is no longer too wide as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is reaching the overbought level, signaling corrections to occur. But as long as USD/JPY remains in the price channel, it still has an uptrend in the short term, and as long as it stays in the price channel and maintains price activity above EMA21, it still has an uptrend in the medium to long term. The current price drops should be considered a short-term correction without changing the main trend. In the immediate future, the uptrend of USD/JPY will be noticed by the following technical points. Support: 153.365 – 151.866 Resistance: 154.525 – 155.22 2
by Xayah_trading
WTI creates a price gap, room for price declineTVC:USOIL dropped sharply in the Asian trading session today, October 28, at press time WTI crude oil maintained a decrease of 3dollars on the day, equivalent to 4.18% and is currently trading at 68.6USD/barrel. The current risk aversion in the geopolitical situation has subsided. Israel's weekend retaliatory strike against Iran bypassed Tehran's oil and nuclear infrastructure without disrupting energy supplies, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and further weakening pressure on the supply side, at the same time causing disadvantages for rising oil prices. With the US election approaching and demand expected to show no signs of recovery, some fundamental pressures have returned, causing the energy market to fall into a negative state again. Technically, on the daily chart of TVC:USOIL It created a GAP jump right at the opening of trading earlier this week and recovered slightly from the upper edge of the price channel. Although WTI crude oil recovered, it still has not reached the closest support level with the target of around 67.14 - 66.44USD, so WTI crude oil still has the ability to fall further before "filling the GAP". Usually, price gaps are filled, but this is sometimes not immediate, it can happen over the next one or more months, the important thing in trading is that it depends on the trend. WTI crude oil has been under pressure from the EMA21 moving average. Note to readers in the previous issue of WTI crude oil, along with that, the Relative Strength Index broke down from the 50 level, showing that The downside potential is very wide and the slope of the RSI also shows a huge downward momentum. Technically, WTI crude oil has enough pressure to decrease in price with main resistance at EMA21 and the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Along with the downtrend, notable technical levels of WTI crude oil will be listed as follows. Support: 67.14 – 66.44USD Resistance: 68.59 – 69.73 – 70.56USD
TVC:USOIL
by Xayah_trading
GOLD has broken out of the profit-taking trendSupported by tensions in the Middle East and US election tensions, OANDA:XAUUSD broke out of the profit-taking trend and then recovered in the last trading session of the week. As a hedge against political and economic instability, OANDA:XAUUSD is up more than 32% this year and has renewed all-time highs multiple times. This is mainly due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and the market's need to hedge, creating a rising storm in precious metals like gold. Uncertainty about the US presidential election also boosted gold demand as polls showed the race for the White House remained tight. The Dollar increased for the fourth consecutive week as Trump's chances of victory increased. Gold increased despite the stronger Dollar because these two assets both have separate supports that are outside the influence of each other in terms of direct correlation. The COMEX gold speculative contract increased its net long position by 6,806 lots to 242,089 lots. This increase shows that the market's optimism towards gold has continued to increase. What should gold traders focus on in the current market context? Important events in the gold market this week mainly focus on geopolitical and economic policies. The following are key events and data affecting the gold market currently and in the near future. 1. Tensions in the Middle East are heating up Israeli air strikes on the Gaza Strip this week have killed and injured many Palestinians. This incident not only caused risk aversion in the market but also caused investors to rush into gold. The war in the Middle East is also increasingly showing signs of spreading further in the near future, this is certainly a very potential support for gold. 2. Uncertainty of the election of the President of the United States About the US presidential election The US presidential election is approaching Public opinion polls show that the election situation is still deadlocked and the market is very sensitive to the uncertainty of the election results . This factor has increased investor demand for gold and demand for gold bars continues to be strong. Domestic political turmoil in the United States has increased market demand for a safe haven and further strengthened gold's position as a safe haven asset. 3. The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates The Federal Reserve announced a 50bps interest rate cut, and this policy measure further supported gold's rise. The interest rate cuts have made the US Dollar less attractive, causing investors to switch to unprofitable assets such as gold, pushing up gold prices. At the same time, in a low interest rate environment, the opportunity cost of holding gold has decreased and this has caused gold prices to increase more than 32% this year. 4. Impact of the US Dollar on gold prices It is worth noting that the US Dollar continued its upward trend this week, but it did not put too much pressure on gold prices. This is because gold and the US Dollar are being influenced by two different factors, on the one hand gold is supported by the Fed's monetary policy and geopolitical instability, on the other hand the US Dollar is supported by the possibility of Trump's "coronation" as President. General baseline assessment The overall fundamental picture shows that gold is almost the top choice with solid supportive market conditions, from monetary policy to instability, geopolitical conflicts continue to risk spreading along with the uncertainty of the US presidential election. Even if a direct correlation like the US Dollar increases, gold is still not affected by it. Economic data to watch out for this week Tuesday: JOLTS Jobs Wednesday: ADP jobs data, Q3 GDP, US pending home sales, Bank of Japan monetary policy decision. Thursday: Core PCE, Personal income and spending, Weekly unemployment claims Friday: US nonfarm payrolls ; ISM manufacturing PMI index Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Technically, gold has no structural changes with an upward trend in both short, medium and long term from price channels. After gold corrected, it recovered from the price channel, receiving support from the 0.786% Fibonacci extension and the lower edge of the price channel that readers noticed last week. The price recovery helped gold break above the $2,741 1% Fibonacci extension price point. The current closing position gives gold the conditions to continue to increase with a target of 2,748 USD in the short term, more than the level of 2,758 USD. As long as gold remains within the price channel, it still has a bullish outlook in the short term, and notable technical levels for gold's uptrend are listed below. Support: 2,720 – 2,711USD Resistance: 2,748 – 2,758USD - … New ATH SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2767 - 2765⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2771 →Take Profit 1 2760 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2755 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2699 - 2701⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2695 →Take Profit 1 2706 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2711
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 10.27 - 11.01Last Week : Last week Sunday Globex opened right at the upper Edge with a sell back to VAH. Going into the week being under the Edge and under 900 was our key to see moves back to Value, we saw pushes inside Value Monday RTH and Tuesday Pre Market which were bought up until we built more supply right around VAH which finally gave us a move into Value for the 70 - 50s and 40s targets. We did get enough Volume to make it all the way down to VAL and through towards the lower Edge but ran out of Supply right at the top of Previous Distribution Balance and were able to come back inside Value. We ended the week with another attempt out of VAH which ran out of buying and came back inside Value to take back the whole move which was done during Globex hours to close under the Mean right into the Intraday Range Edge of 41 - 36. This Week : Looking at this weeks chart and price location it's not as easy to read as there are lots of possibilities which could happen. We are going into Month end week, have quite a bit of market moving data, supply in Value and above, and covering at and under VAL. 30m , 2h, 4h are in correction mode, 1hr not quite there just yet if we are looking at the MAs. Daily TF also giving us first signs of correction starting but it's just the first steps which means it might not be ready yet for any bigger continuation lower and at the same time have the Supply in Value and above to possibly go down and fill the buying in around VAL and Under. Of course IF stronger volume comes in and we see strong acceptance under VAL and are able to push inside or through the lower Edge then that could bring in a bigger change for more downside into lower HTF Range/our Previous Distribution Balance low and lower Value so will be something to keep in mind and watch for. If we can't stay above 840s - 50s to stay over the Mean of this Value and stay in this 880 - 40 Intraday Range then we will look for pushes into VAL and under, at and under VAL we have to be careful as there could be enough buying/covering to keep us away from the Edge but at the same time not give us big bounces as we have seen before, instead we could distribute around this 840 - 800s area. After failing at the upper Edge with Supply above, lower Edge and even push under it could be a good target/move to see this week but I am just trying to stay away from getting too biased to not push for it but its something to keep in mind. For us to think higher prices from here again we would need to either hold above 840s and get back over 50 - 60s to stay in 880 - 40s Intraday Range and see pushes towards VAH or consolidate around VAL without accepting under and then push back over Value Mean. And if buying and selling on both sides of Value is still strong enough then we could continue holding and going back and forth between VAH/VAL. Overall looking at HTFs it seems like we are ready for a bigger back fill to finally happen in the market but it might take time to play out, if there will be interest I can post a Daily TF Chart which shows the range we broke out of is 5750s - 5400s, a back fill to break out area and IF we get back inside then move towards Mid/lows and under of that range can be in play but again that's HTF Outlook that can take a LONG time to fully play out not for intraday or shorter term swing trading.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
#202443 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 : Multiple ways to draw triangles and bull wedges on the daily chart. It has room to go more sideways but Friday’s reversal was so strong an market closed at the lows, that I think many bulls have enough reason to be disappointed and will exit once we break below 5800 and then we will likely see 5750 next. Above 5905 I am wrong and this will likely be the leg to 6000. Quote from last week: comment: Monday made the 50 points higher and that’s all bulls achieve last week. We had two pause bars on the daily chart with Tuesday and Thursday but that was not enough to put doubt in bulls minds that this rally is over. 6000 is the target and, same as dax, we will likely hit it one way or the other. comment: Another disappointing week for the bulls. Big question now is the same as for dax and nq, was this the last before a deeper pullback or can we print 6000 before 5700? I don’t know and I am not going to pretend I do. Market is in breakout mode and the triangle has a bit more room to go. We simply need more price action because right now the market is in balance around 5870. current market cycle: nested bull wedges and a minor triangle from past 2 weeks key levels: 5800 - 6000 bull case: 6000 is the target. Bulls now tried many times to break above 5930 but continue to fail. Same reasoning as for dax. Can the market find more buyers above 5900 next time we get there or do we have to pull back down to 5730 first? Until we see a daily close below 5800, bulls are still favored, since we are only closing above the daily 20ema. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears are printing weak bear bars and can not close below the daily ema. Pure guesswork as of now, which side will give up first. We will very likely get a bigger move next week, so don’t blow your account until then. If bears move strongly below 5800, 5730 is next and there it’s big decision time if we see 6000 or not. Invalidation is above 6050. outlook last week: short term: Neutral between 5870 - 5930 and bullish above 5930 for 6000. → Last Sunday we traded 5906 and now we are at 5846. Most of the week was neutral, and we closed just 60 points lower than last week. short term: Neutral. Bearish below 5820 for 5800, below 5800 we likely see 5730. Bullish above 5860 for 5880+ and above 5930 we will see 6000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed wave count
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
#202443 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: Clear two legged pullback on the 4h chart. Could be enough for the bulls to take control again and go for 2800 on Monday/Tuesday. If they fail below 2780 again, we could see a more complex pullback down to 2700. Market is clearly still max bullish and I doubt we see better selling until we hit 2800 or even 3000. Quote from last week: comment: Bullish it was and still is. 2800 is the next big target to hit. After 4 very strong consecutive bull bars, you can not hold a bearish thought while the market makes daily new ath. Two upper bull trend lines are still to hit, one of them leads to 2760 and the other to 2800. On the monthly chart we are in a 8 month micro channel upwards without any selling pressure. At some point market will pull back more and we will see a correction but until we see much greater selling pressure, we can not trade on hope. comment: Minor pullback by the bears but they can not get follow through selling and that is why we can only conclude higher prices. We are trading near the top of the bull channel but we can just continue to do so until we hit 2800, which is my next upper target. I do think around 2800 we will see some bigger profit taking. current market cycle: very strong bull trend (trade the channel until it is clearly broken) key levels: 2650 - 2800 bull case: All arguments are on the bull side, again. 2800 is the target. Anything below 2680 would surprise me. I don’t expect much interest from buyers above 2800 though. Invalidation is below 2680. bear case: Bears got nothing. Again. Daily 20ema is at 2700 and the lower bull channel line is not far from that. If bears get there before 2800, that would surprise me and I do not think those two supports have a decent chance of being broken. If they somehow manage to do so, 2620 would be the next support. I do not have any bearish thoughts about this market until we see 2800 and then much more sideways movement to conclude that market found resistance. Invalidation is above 2820. outlook last week: short term: Bullish for 2800+ → Last Sunday we traded 2730 and now we are at 2754. Meh outlook. Still not 2800 but we are probably getting there next week. short term: Bullish for 2800. Again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22 : Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2800 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08. current swing trade: None chart update: None
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
#202443 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil: Dead zone 70 - 72. Best not to trade it and wait for the breakout. I have no opinion on who wins it. For me to believe the bullish breakout to be good, I need to see follow through selling above 73, otherwise it could still be just a retest of the previous support. Quote from last week: comment: Bulls started ok on Monday and the close was neutral but Tuesday really killed every last bull who bought above 71 and hoped for a second leg up above 75. Market has now left a giant bearish island reversal between 71 and 72.5 and that is as bearish as it gets. Bulls last hope now is to hold above the bull trend line at 68. comment: Bulls actually managed to hold it above 68 and the trend line but failed to close the bear gap completely. This leaves us in nowhere land between 70-72 and a proper triangle. Play that until it’s clearly broken. No more deeper analysis needed. current market cycle: trading range (triangle on the weekly tf) key levels: 63 - 78 bull case: Bulls need a daily close above 72.7 for a chance of retesting north of 75. Below 68 things get really spicy. Invalidation is below 68. bear case: Bears need a daily close below the bull trend lines (also head & shoulders neckline) for lower prices. First would be below 69 and second is below 68. If they manage that, market is free to test down to 66 and then 64. If the neckline breaks, measured move would be 59ish but that is very far fetched. Invalidation is above 72.7. outlook last week: short term : Neutral 68-70 but leaning bearish near 71. Not the best spot to trade currently. → Last Sunday we traded 68.69 and now we are at 71.78. Decent outlook. short term: Neutral 68-70 but leaning bearish near 71. Not the best spot to trade currently. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20 : No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates. current swing trade: None chart update: Adjusted bear gap
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [October 28 - November 01]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 2,714 USD/oz to 2,758 USD/oz, then decreased to 2,708 USD/oz, then recovered and closed the week at 2,747 USD/oz. In addition to basic factors, such as central banks buying gold, the BRICS bloc seeking de-dollarization, geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, the Korean Peninsula, etc. are the main causes pushing up gold prices in recent times. Up to now, although tensions on the Korean peninsula have not ended, according to many experts, war is unlikely to occur on the peninsula. Because, major powers and international organizations have been trying to find ways to prevent war from happening on the Korean peninsula. As for the conflict in the Middle East, Israel has just launched an attack on military targets in Iran. According to Israel, this is the country's response to Iran's actions and Iranian proxy resources that have attacked Israel since January 10, 2024. The Israeli attack began at dawn on October 26, but ended three hours later. Israel warned Iran that if Iran responds to this Israeli attack, subsequent attacks will be stronger. Next week's gold price may continue to increase due to investors' worries about Israel's attack against Iran. However, if Iran does not retaliate against Israel, it is possible that next week's gold price will adjust back down. Next week there will be a lot of important economic data released. Notably, the non-agricultural employment report (NFP) is notable. The FED's dual mission will become the focus of attention next week when the market receives information about the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE), which is expected to remain at a high level. With the labor market declining and high inflation persisting, it is likely that the FED may only cut interest rates by 25 basis points at next month's meeting. This also somewhat negatively affects the psychology of gold investors, causing gold prices next week to be under more profit-taking pressure. 📌Technically, from a short-term perspective on the H1 chart, the gold price still shows an uptrend when the price is above the EMA89 moving average. Next week, if the gold price trades above the 2720 threshold, we can expect the price to continue to conquer the round resistance level of 2800. In case the support level of 2710 is broken, the immediate gold price will decrease and adjust to around the 2680 mark. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2.710 – 2.720USD Resistance: 2.758 – 2.748USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2801 - 2799⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2805 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2679 - 2681⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2675
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
DreamAnalysis | REN Futures Key Triggers and Levels✨ Welcome to today’s analysis! Today, I’ll be reviewing REN and identifying crucial futures trading triggers for this coin. We’ll start with the daily timeframe and then move to the 4-hour timeframe for more detailed insights. 📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis In the daily timeframe, REN has been in a prolonged downtrend since hitting resistance at $0.11457, a decline that has continued for almost 200 days. Currently, the price is at the $0.03268 support, which is the most critical level for this coin. Although this support is robust, repeated encounters with this level have gradually weakened it, having already been tested four times in this cycle. 🔽 If this support fails, the price may move to the next support level at $0.02839. This is the last major support, and a loss here would likely lead to sharp, deep drops on the chart. 🔼 If the price rebounds from support, the first long trigger will be a break above the trendline and $0.03924, followed by a second trigger at $0.04436. Both are risky triggers, so I rely on volume and RSI confirmation before entering positions. (While volume and RSI are essential in all trades, they are even more critical in higher-risk positions.) 📊 Currently, volume is stagnating, showing no clear momentum. If $0.03268 breaks, high selling volume will confirm the breakout; otherwise, it could likely be a false break. For a long position, a strong increase in buying volume is necessary to change the trend. 📈 The primary long trigger is a break above $0.05437, a significant support level for this coin, which can also serve as a spot buy trigger. An RSI break above 58.61 would indicate a bullish momentum. Spot targets include resistance levels at $0.08088 and $0.11457. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis In this timeframe, we can refine the $0.03268 support to $0.03385, where a breakdown has already occurred, followed by a potential pullback. If the pullback confirms and the price sets a lower high, the support breakdown will be valid, setting $0.02839 as the next target. 📉 One noteworthy detail in this downtrend is that volume is decreasing; however, as today is Saturday, reduced volume is typical across markets, so it’s not necessarily a sign of weakness. Additionally, RSI is near the 30 mark, and a break below could introduce bearish momentum, pushing the price toward the next target if the pullback confirms. 📈 However, if this breakdown proves false and the price reenters the $0.03385 to $0.03963 box, it indicates that buyers have stepped in, pushing the price back up despite the support break. In that case, we can anticipate a bullish move, and a break above the $0.03963 resistance could be a long trigger. A riskier long trigger would be a break above the 50 line in RSI, along with a higher high in Dow Theory. All of these triggers will only be valid if the price reverses the downtrend and reenters the box. ❌Disclaimer This is not financial advice; it is merely my personal opinion on how the coin might move. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
R
by DreamAnalysis
HOLO (HOT) AT GOOD ENTRY POINT TOWARDS UPTREND MOVEMENTSymmetrical Triangle Pattern: The chart illustrates a clear symmetrical triangle formation. This pattern generally suggests a continuation or breakout of the prevailing trend, but it could go either direction—up or down—depending on the market conditions and volume at the time of the breakout. Resistance: The top boundary of the triangle has been identified as a resistance level around the 0.002000 USDT mark. Support: The bottom boundary is acting as support around 0.001500 USDT. The price is currently consolidating within these converging trendlines, suggesting that a breakout is imminent. Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences: The VMC Cipher indicator is showing divergence, hinting at a potential change in momentum. Positive divergences and green dots indicate buying opportunities, with bullish divergence supporting the breakout hypothesis. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Current RSI reading is around 53.55, indicating a neutral zone. There's no clear sign of overbought or oversold conditions. This means the price could go either direction, depending on momentum. Stochastic RSI: Stochastic RSI is at 30.09, showing a slightly oversold condition. This suggests that upward momentum might be gaining strength soon. HMA (Hull Moving Average): HMA Histogram is currently slightly negative but shows signs of recovery. If it flips to green, it would be another signal for an upward move. Volume Analysis: The volume is relatively flat, which is typical during the consolidation phase of a symmetrical triangle. A surge in volume, however, is expected when the price breaks out of the triangle, which will confirm the breakout direction. Trading Plan for HOLO (HOT): Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout from the Symmetrical Triangle Entry Point: A confirmed breakout above the 0.002000 USDT resistance level with increased volume. Enter at 0.002050 USDT once the breakout is confirmed to avoid false breakouts. Target Levels: First Target: 0.002500 USDT (previous high). Second Target: 0.003000 USDT, corresponding to the projected move from the triangle breakout. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss at 0.001800 USDT to protect against false breakouts back into the triangle. Risk Management: Consider allocating 2-3% of your portfolio per trade and adjust position size according to risk tolerance. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown from the Symmetrical Triangle Entry Point: A confirmed breakdown below 0.001500 USDT with a spike in selling volume. Enter at 0.001450 USDT once the breakdown is confirmed. Target Levels: First Target: 0.001200 USDT, which aligns with historical support. Second Target: 0.001000 USDT. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss at 0.001700 USDT in case the breakdown is false. Risk Management: As always, only risk a small portion of your capital (2-3%) to avoid heavy losses in a volatile market. Key Watchpoints: Volume Confirmation: Watch for a surge in volume when the price nears either the upper or lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle. Volume is a key factor in confirming breakouts. Market Sentiment: Keep an eye on overall market sentiment for both cryptocurrencies and broader financial markets, as HOLO could be influenced by market-wide movements.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
GOLD decreased slightly from 2,741 USDFriday (October 25) in the Asian market, OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly decreased rapidly in the short term. Gold price is close to 2,725 USD/ounce, down more than 9 USD during the day as of the time this article was completed. The latest news is that the United States and Israel plan to restart ceasefire negotiations in Gaza, which has affected gold prices in the short term. The US and Israel plan to resume ceasefire negotiations in Gaza U.S. officials said Thursday that U.S. and Israeli negotiators will gather in Doha in the coming days to try to restart talks to reach an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza. , Reuters reported today (Friday.) Qatar and Egypt acted as intermediaries in the months-long negotiations between Israel and Hamas. Previously, negotiations broke down in August this year, making it impossible for the two sides to reach an agreement to end the conflict. The conflict began when Hamas launched an attack on southern Israel on October 7, 2023. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office said David Barnea, the head of Israel's Mossad intelligence agency, would travel to Doha on Sunday, adding that CIA Commissioner William Burns would attend the talks. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken traveled to the Middle East this week in hopes of restarting ceasefire talks in Gaza following the death of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. Washington sees Shinwar as the main obstacle to a deal. “Going back to the ceasefire negotiations and the hostage issue, one of the things we're doing is looking at whether there are different options that would allow us to get to an outcome,” Blinken said. ”. In terms of economic data The number of people filing for first-time unemployment benefits in the United States unexpectedly fell last week, but the number of people receiving benefits increased in mid-October, raising the risk of a rise in the unemployment rate this month. . Initial jobless claims for the week ended October 19 fell from 15,000 to a seasonally adjusted 227,000, the U.S. Department of Labor said on Thursday. The decline in unemployment claims due to Hurricane Helen offset the spike in unemployment claims due to Hurricane Milton. The market had forecast 242,000 applications for unemployment benefits in the latest week. Helen and Milton make it more difficult to keep your finger on the pulse of the labor market. Unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in September from 4.2% in August. Unemployment rate increased to 4.3% in July from 3.4% in April 2023, this is which led to the Federal Reserve's unusually large 50 basis point interest rate cut last month. This is seen as beneficial for the USD and not supportive of gold. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold was once again under pressure and fell slightly after reaching the initial target level noticed by readers in yesterday's edition at 2,741 USD, the Fibonacci price point extended by 1%. Overall, gold needs some time to adjust as it has had a long period of continuous price increases, indicators are at overbought levels as shown by the Relative Strength Index pointing down from the 75 and still far from the nearest support level at 50. In the short term, gold will likely test the area of ​​2,711 - 2,700 USD, which is considered the closest support area currently. In the event that the $2,700 raw price level is broken below gold, there will be room for a bit more downside with subsequent targets around $2,688 – $2,672 Fibonacci price points of 0.618% and 0.50%. Although reductions and corrections may still occur, in general the trend of gold is still up, in fact the uptrend is still being maintained with the price channel currently trending in the short term. As long as gold remains above EMA21, within the channel, its main trend is still bullish even if downward corrections occur, and short-term price points will be noticed again as follows. Support: 2,711 – 2,700USD Resistance: 2,741 – 2,748 – 2,758USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2766 - 2764⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2770 →Take Profit 1 2759 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2754 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2682⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2676 →Take Profit 1 2687 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2692
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Corrected, GOLD recovered and the trend remained unchangedOANDA:XAUUSD significant downside correction and recovery from the key technical area around the 0.786% Fibonacci extension. Mainly influenced by the strengthening of the US Dollar and US bond yields, along with the easing of tensions in the Middle East were the main reasons why gold prices fell sharply on Wednesday. In addition, gold prices have recently risen too sharply, technical indicators have become overbought and part of the market has chosen to take profits. Markets are also concerned that the US presidential election in November could be competitive and it could take some time to determine a winner. Bloomberg reported that the US presidential election in November is entering its final weeks, the race between former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is taking place extremely fiercely. A Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll shows the two candidates are statistically tied in seven battleground states. In all seven states, the two candidates are neck and neck, with both candidates receiving 49% support from likely voters. The poll's overall margin of statistical error is 1%. However, the market also remains concerned that the conflict between Israel and Iran could escalate into a wider war. Despite the short-term correction, gold prices have increased more than 30% since the beginning of this year, continuously reaching new highs. Gold's rally has strengthened over the past few months as the Federal Reserve moved to reduce interest rates. Fund managers have also contributed to gold's rally, as hedge funds increased their net long positions in gold in recent sessions and investors increased their holdings of exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold corrected significantly after the Relative Strength Index showed gold was in the overbought area (75%). However, the correction does not bring many opportunities for further price declines as the slope of the RSI is relatively low and shows signs of bending upward, depicting a weakening sell-off sentiment. On the other hand, gold is still above the short-term trend price channel. Note to readers in previous publications on the price channel. As long as gold remains in this price channel, its short-term trend is still bullish. The lower edge of the price channel is also confluent with the 0.786% Fibonacci extension, making this an important support area. Although gold has adjusted down, all short-, medium- and long-term conditions and trends are still in favor of price increases. Notable levels will be listed again as follows. Support: 2,711 – 2,700USD Resistance: 2,741 – 2,748 – 2,758USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2739⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2745 →Take Profit 1 2734 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2729 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2682⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2676 →Take Profit 1 2687 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2692
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
2024-10-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bulls bought the lows as was expected but they could not close the day with a strong bull bar. Instead we printed weak bull bars or inside bars. Are we any smarter today? Not much. Both sides are to weak to show a clear direction and so we mostly move sideways. Bears do not have any arguments after not getting any follow through. Bulls at least closed it above the daily 20ema, so we are still inside the bullish patterns and upwards is more likely than down. dax futures comment: We have formed nested triangles and I have no opinion on who might win the breakout. Today my bias was heavily bullish and that paid big time in the morning but then the weak bulls surprised me. I do expect the breakout to happen tomorrow. current market cycle: late bull trend key levels: 19400 - 20000 bull case: Bulls broke above yesterday’s trading range which was an obvious magnet but were not strong enough to get above Tuesday’s highs and closed the day slightly above the open price. The formed triangle will likely play out in tomorrow’s EU session and during the US session we should see a bigger breakout. Bulls still have the valid 20000 target. Invalidation is below 19300. bear case: Bears are showing signs of life and the pattern the market has printed over the past 2 months, shows us that we are late in this bull trend and the end is probably near. I have little doubt that if we get to 20000, the high should be around that price and if you can hold shorts for longer and scale in higher, it will be an amazing short opportunity. Until bears print a big bear bar below the bull trend line and daily 20ema, this market is still inside the bull trend. Invalidation is above 19700. short term: Neutral. 19413 should hold as the low and I slightly favor the bulls to break above the triangle but I will wait for strong confirmation or buy longs on decent pullbacks. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19 : 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. Right now there is no selling pressure. I am confident that we will hit 17000 in 2025 but timing is more important than price, so let’s not waste brain capital on being bearish for now. current swing trade: None trade of the day : Yesterday I wrote this is a strong buy and so it was. Buying the Globex low while bar 24 formed was an amazing trade.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
2024-10-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bulls bought the lows as was expected but they could not close the day with a strong bull bar. Instead we printed weak bull bars or inside bars. Are we any smarter today? Not much. Both sides are to weak to show a clear direction and so we mostly move sideways. Bears do not have any arguments after not getting any follow through. Bulls at least closed it above the daily 20ema, so we are still inside the bullish patterns and upwards is more likely than down. nasdaq e-mini futures comment: Also nested triangles, so not much difference to dax. Market closed in the middle of it, which is also the open of the week around 20400. Here market is absolutely in balance and it’s the worst place to trade. Market closed where it opened, so don’t put too much thought into today. Mark the triangles on your chart and wait for the breakout tomorrow or fade the extremes. current market cycle: Bull trend (nested triangles on 1h chart) key levels: 20000 - 21000 bull case: Bulls want 21000 again. They bought where they had to at the bull trend line and we should not drop below 20260 again or bulls might seriously doubt their case. Confirmation for bulls is only above 20700. Invalidation is below 20000. bear case: Bears need follow through selling below 20000 and I highly doubt they can get it. If they do, this bull trend is over and the highs are probably in. For now Bears trying to keep this inside the triangle and below 20700. Trading range price action so I will spare you more words. Invalidation is above 20700. short term: Neutral medium-long term: Very likely a retest of the ath before I expect a correction 10% or more, before another year end rally. I do think we see 21000 before we see 19600. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying EU session as dax.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
WTI crude oil trend is neutral, with more bearish conditionsTVC:USOIL continued to recover from a decrease of 1% in the previous trading day after the US announced that crude oil inventories increased much higher than expected. After falling back, it continued to rise as the US election approached causing commodities to revive inflation expectations and the possibility of a further recovery in oil prices. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday that crude oil inventories rose sharply, rising 5.5 million barrels to 426 million barrels in the week ended October 18, compared with market expectations. market for an increase of 270,000 barrels. Current concerns about potential oil supply risks due to conflict in the Middle East have partly offset the impact on crude inventories. On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL Trading is currently quite slow with price activity mainly around the EMA21 level. Although WTI crude oil has recovered, the recovery is still temporarily limited by the resistance level of 72.39 USD and the 21-day moving average (EMA21). In case WTI crude oil price increases and breaks the level of 72.39 USD, it will tends to rise a little further to test the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level. The current recovery level of WTI crude oil is still not enough to create a bullish cycle as the Relative Strength Index is also approaching point 50, a position considered to be under pressure in terms of momentum. Once WTI crude oil is sold below the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, the recovery cycle will end with the target level then around $68.19 in the short term, more so than $67.14. During the day, the technical outlook for WTI crude oil is currently neutral, with more bearish conditions and notable levels listed below. Support: 70.56 – 68.19USD Resistance: 72.39 – 73.80USD
TVC:USOIL
by Xayah_trading
KASPA - IT'S ABOUT TIME TO MOVE IN UPTREND (TA + TRADE PLAN)Timeframe: 4-hour chart Current Price: $0.133 Rising Wedge Formation: Resistance Line: The upper green line represents the resistance level, which is slightly inclining upwards. Support Line: The lower green line forms the support for this wedge. This support level is also inclined upward but at a slightly steeper angle than the resistance. Pattern Interpretation: The rising wedge pattern, as observed in the chart, is typically a bearish reversal pattern. However, given the overall crypto market volatility, a breakout in either direction is possible. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the support level would confirm a bearish trend, potentially leading to lower lows. Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the resistance, it could invalidate the wedge pattern and indicate a bullish breakout. VMC Cipher B Indicator: This oscillator shows wave momentum, with the darker blue shading indicating downward momentum at present. Current Signal: Mixed with a potential trend shift. A continuation of negative momentum would reinforce the bearish wedge breakdown scenario. RSL (Relative Strength Level) Indicator: The current RSL value is 51.83, indicating neutral territory. This suggests no strong trend is currently dominating but could indicate either upward or downward movement depending on further price action. Stochastic Indicator: Stochastic RSI stands at 41.60, which is in the lower-mid range, signaling the asset is neither oversold nor overbought. This neutral stance suggests a wait-and-see scenario for the breakout. HMA (Hull Moving Average): The Hull Moving Average histograms are slightly positive, showing marginal bullishness. However, the movement is not aggressive enough to signal a strong upward trend as of now. Key Levels: Resistance: Around $0.135 - $0.138 Support: Approximately $0.131 - $0.130 Psychological Support: The $0.130 zone is a critical psychological support. Breaking below this would signal a more significant sell-off. Indicators Summary: Momentum: Slightly negative to neutral (VMC Cipher B). Strength: Neutral, with room for movement either way (RSL 51.83). Stochastic RSI: Suggests no strong overbought or oversold signals (41.60). Trading Plan: Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Entry: If the price breaks and sustains above $0.135, it indicates a bullish breakout from the rising wedge. Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.145 (first resistance level). Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.155 (potential swing high). Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the wedge’s lower support at $0.130 to manage risk. Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Entry: If the price breaks below the support at $0.130, it signals a bearish move. Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.125 (first support level). Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.115 (next significant support). Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss above the wedge's upper resistance at $0.135. Risk Management: For both bullish and bearish setups, adhere to a risk-reward ratio of 1:2. Adjust stop-loss and take-profit based on market volatility and personal risk tolerance. The rising wedge pattern indicates caution, as it is historically a bearish reversal formation. However, confirmation of either a bullish breakout or bearish breakdown will guide trading decisions. Momentum indicators and oscillators suggest neutrality, indicating that this wedge could break either way soon. Traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals and place stop-losses to protect against unexpected volatility.
CRYPTO:KASUSDLong
by elfabiiani
7