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2025-01-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Can’t write much new stuff. Still neutral between 20200 and 20300. Bulls were not strong enough to close the gap to Friday’s close but bears were not strong enough to keep it below 20300. We have a clear triangle on the daily tf between 20150 and 20500 and I do expect the market to continue inside for 1-3 more days. Very strong US session close and above 20300 I expect follow-through to 20400/20450ish. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20100 - 20500 bull case: Bulls want to close the gap to 20350 tomorrow and then more up to 20400/20450 and test the bear trend line. I highly doubt they can break above and test 20500. We stayed above the big bull trend line and the daily 20ema, so bulls did what they had to do. Market is contracting and that means a couple more days of sideways price action before another big breakout. Invalidation is below 20100. bear case: Bears tested the bull trend line but quickly gave up trying to push this below. Best they can get now is sideways and staying below 20350/20400. If they can manage, we can poke more at the bull trend line until one side gives up. My medium term bias is bearish, so I expect the triangle on the daily tf to break out below. Invalidation is above 20500. short term: Neutral 20200 - 20300. Bearish below for 20150 and bullish above for 20400. medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: Took most off at 20180 and want to short again closer to 20400/20500. trade of the day: Selling the open because the selling pressure was very strong. Market then went sideways too much around 20200 and taking profits was reasonable. Buying the breakout above 20230 was also decent.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
2025-01-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Strong buying into US close and I expect 5900 to be hit tomorrow or Wednesday. The bear channel is valid until broken, so I want to either long closer to 5800 or short closer to 5900. current market cycle: trading range (descending triangle on the daily tf) key levels: 5800 - 6020 bull case: Bulls want to hit 5900 again and the bear trend line from the descending triangle. Their breakout late today is reasonably strong to expect follow-through tomorrow. I would not be surprised if we see early weakness and then a lower high around 5830/5840 before we move higher. Invalidation is below 5795. bear case: Bears will likely wait for 5900 and the bear trend line before they initiate bigger shorts again. Overall we see more two-sided trading today than a strong bull trend, which means the upside is likely limited and prior resistance will hold. Bears want to hit 5800 and likely somewhat lower to retest the October and November lows. Invalidation is above 6030. short term: Bearish closer to 5900 to trade back down to 5800 and longs only on a decent dip below 5850 again for target 5900. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buy low, sell high. Clear range 5820 - 5840 which was amazing to trade back and forth.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
#ADA. THE LEADER AMONG ALTCOINS!! REVIEW FROM 13.01.2025 BINANCE:ADAUSDT #ADA 1D Hi lovelies! 🌸 The price has formed a support base, which was followed by an upward impulse. If we’re considering #ADA for spot or futures, the next correction to the range of $0.8461 - $0.7620 (if it happens, of course) is where I’ll be adding to my spot holdings and opening a futures position (refer to my previous analysis from 30.12.24, which is still relevant). My Spot Targets - $2(swing high) - $3(ATH, marked on the chart) Current Market Situation With relative economic stability and Bitcoin’s slight decline, altcoins are starting to recover their prices. ADA (Cardano) is currently showing strong growth and is leading among altcoins. Last year presented great buying opportunities for altcoins, including ADA (as I mentioned multiple times!). Advice: Always evaluate the growth potential of altcoins individually – calculate how much the price can rise to its previous high and decide if it’s worth investing for you personally. Also, don’t forget about Ethereum (ETH and its Layer 2 solutions (L2). These can also be excellent investments with significant growth potential, so make sure to check them out! Let’s see how this plays out, my loves! 💖 As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖 Hugs Your crypto girl
Long
by Kate_Trade_Only
WTI highest in more than 3 weeksTVC:USOIL hit its highest level in more than three months in early trading on Monday (January 13) in Asian markets, continuing last Friday's rise on market expectations that the United States will strengthen its measures. sanctions on Russia's oil industry, which will result in Russian supplies in China and India coming under pressure; In addition, the nonfarm payrolls report also boosted market confidence in the growth of crude oil demand in some parts of the US and Europe also stimulated winter crude oil fuel demand. The Biden administration on Friday imposed the broadest package of sanctions targeting Russia's oil and gas revenues, a move aimed at giving Kyiv and Trump's new team leverage to reach a peace deal in Ukraine. This move is aimed at cutting Russia's revenue to continue the war. Since the Russia-Ukraine conflict began in Russia in February 2022, the war has caused tens of thousands of casualties and reduced many cities to rubble. Ukrainian President Zelensky posted on X that the measures announced last Friday would "deal a big blow" to Moscow. He added that "The less money Russia gets from oil... the sooner peace will be restored." US job growth unexpectedly accelerated in December, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% and a stable labor market at the end of the year will boost crude oil demand. Friday's closely watched Labor Department jobs report also showed fewer long-term unemployed people in December and the average length of unemployment shortened. Increases in these indicators have previously raised concerns about a labor market downturn. December employment rose 256,000, the most since March. Data for October and November were revised to show 8,000 fewer jobs were added than previously reported. The unemployment rate decreased from 4.2% in November. The average unemployment rate last year was 4.0% and in 2023 it will be 3.6%. In Friday's report, the government also released revisions to the past five years of seasonally adjusted household survey data, from which the unemployment rate is calculated. With last Friday's jobs data settling in, this week will see a lot of US data and statements from Federal Reserve officials. US President-elect Donald Trump's team is expected to make many comments before the inauguration ceremony on January 20. China's trade data, economic activity and GDP will also be the focus of the market in general and the Crude Oil market in particular. On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL continues its uptrend after breaking through the rising price channel noticed by readers in the previous issue. And currently the upward momentum is limited by the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, once WTI crude oil breaks above this level it can continue to increase further with the target then around 82.75USD in the short term. However, the Relative Strength Index shows that the RSI is operating in the overbought area, which is a signal that there is not much room for price increases ahead, and also signals a possible downward correction. happen. However, the technical outlook for WTI crude oil is currently bullish with support from the trend price channel, EMA21 and the nearest support level at the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. As long as WTI crude oil remains above the price channel and EMA21, any price declines should only be considered short-term corrections, notable levels will also be listed as follows. Support: 76.33 – 75.20 – 74.61USD Resistance: 78.98USD
TVC:USOIL
by Xayah_trading
1
BITCOIN TRADE PLAN + TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (ASCENDING TRIANGLE)Bitcoin appears to be forming an ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern. The horizontal resistance line is at $95,407, while the ascending support line suggests increasing buying pressure. A breakout above $95,407 could signal a significant upward move. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at $95,407. Secondary resistance levels: $108,330 and potentially higher targets as the trend develops. Support Levels: Immediate support near $92,000. Additional support levels: $88,071 and $85,000. Indicators Analysis: VMC Cipher B Divergences: Neutral-to-bullish signals with minimal negative momentum. RSI (14): The current value of around 44.2 indicates a neutral zone, with potential for upward movement if it crosses the 50 level. Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates neutral activity, suggesting balanced buying and selling pressure. Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold levels (15.3), implying that a reversal to the upside might occur soon. Trading Plan Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: Consider entering at current levels ($94,000) with a small position, anticipating a breakout. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $95,407, with strong volume as confirmation. Stop-Loss Placement: Place an initial stop-loss below $92,000 to limit downside risk. For tighter risk management, consider $93,000 as an alternative stop-loss level. Take-Profit Targets: First Target: $100,000 (psychological and round number resistance). Second Target: $108,330 (next major resistance based on historical levels). Third Target: Trail-stop strategy to capture potential gains beyond $108,330 if Bitcoin rallies further. Risk Management: Allocate no more than 2-3% of your trading capital to this position to manage risk effectively. Monitor trading volume during the breakout; lack of volume confirmation may indicate a false breakout. Contingency Plan: If Bitcoin breaks below $92,000, re-evaluate the bullish thesis and consider a short-term bearish outlook toward $88,071 or $85,000 support levels. Be cautious of false breakouts, particularly around $95,407. Keep an eye on macroeconomic events or Bitcoin-specific news that could influence price action. Bitcoin's ascending triangle pattern and current positioning suggest a bullish breakout is possible. Following this trading plan with disciplined risk management can help capture potential upside while limiting downside risks. Monitor the market closely for breakout confirmation or invalidation.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
1
#202502 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral but slightly bullish if we stay above 5800. Downside would probably be limited with 5800 but we could easily go back to 6000 again. If we get a daily close below 5800 I change my mind and the bull trend line around 5750 would be the next lower target. Overall the probability of another big move up or down are small and sideways is most likely. On SPX we have a bull gap down to 5782 (ES is 40 points higher, so it would be around 5826) and it would be strong by the bears to finally close it after 2 months. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5800 - 6030 bull case: Only thing bulls have going for them is that we are barely making lower lows and are still above 5800. If bears were strong, we would have tested the big bull trend line from 2023-10 by now, which is still 400 points lower. This market has not had two consecutive bear months since 2023-10 and bulls can be confident it stays that way. Bulls who bought near 5800 made money since 2024-09 and I expect them to come around again next week. They will be scaling scale into longs already or wait until we are closer to 5800 and the probability is on their side. Bulls who bought the previous two lows in December and last week, also made at least 150+ points and until we see more trapped traders (bigger gaps), sideways inside the bigger range is much more likely that a strong move down. Invalidation is below 5780. bear case: Bears changed the character of the market but failed to establish a strong bear trend. Once we see decent buying pressure early next week, they will likely give up and try again near 6000. They simple can not hold short below 5900 when we rallied 150+ the past two times we got below it. The best bears can do is to print lower highs below 6040 and go sideways for longer below 6000. Once we get closer to the bull trend line from 2023-10, it’s likely that we see another strong push up to test 6100+, if we haven’t see a strong break below 5800 by then. It’s typical trading range price action and the range is big enough for both sides to make decent money. You have to play the range because we can go sideways for much longer. Invalidation is above 6040. short term: Neutral between 5840 - 5900. If bears continue to make lower highs below 5900, they have a chance of testing 5800. Once we break above 5900, we will test the bear trend line around 5930ish next and above 5960 bears have to give up and wait for 6000 or 6030 before shorting again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: None chart update: Marked current bear channel on the 1h tf and removed the bull trend line from the 2024-11 low that got broken.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
#202502 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: I want to be bearish with a stop 2761 but so far bears have not done enough. Market is still above the 1h 20ema and until we have consecutive closes below, I won’t take shorts. My bear trend line is good and market showed the expected reaction there but the risk of another test of 2735 is too high to take early shorts. Bulls also closed above 2710, which is pretty bullish but I would never buy so close to a big bear trend line. Downside potential is about 100 points while upside is most likely limited to 2761, so r:r is clearly on the bear side. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2620 - 2761 bull case: Strongly bullish week and despite having many tails above the bull bars, we are only going up. Bulls want to break above the bear trend line and test 2761 again. Gold has been in a trading range 2560 - 2761 for more than 2 months and betting on a breakout is low probability. Bulls are buying this on momentum but once that is gone, they likely have to cover and try lower again. If bulls want 2800 bad, we would stay above 2700 and continue upwards. I currently see this 50/50 for both sides. Invalidation is below 2670. bear case: Bears tried on Friday but bulls got a big bullish reversal bar and closed above 2700. Best bears could do right now is to turn the market neutral around 2700 before they can try to sell this down again. Bulls are in full control and bears have not done much since beginning of 2025. First target for the bears is to stop the market from making new highs and staying below the 2024-12 high at 2761. Next target down would be 2680 and a 4h close below the 20ema, which has not happened since last Monday. Invalidation is above 2761. short term: Neutral around 2700. Bullish above 2740 for 2761 or higher and bearish only below 2650. Market most likely needs more sideways movement before we can go down. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-02: If we break strongly above 2700, we will likely retest 2740-2760 and depending on that move, we will either stay inside the big range 2560 - 2760 or retest 2800 or even higher. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
#202502 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Another huge bull surprise last week and we made a higher high above the 2024-10 high 77.38. A measured move target is 78.04 and the high was 77.86. Close is always close enough. I would like to see another try at 78 and another huge rejection for me to short. I do think shorting right now is too early but buying after a 244 point rejection is not good either, since the upside is likely limited. Bulls are still in full control here but the last time we traded above 78 was July, so I have zero interest in buying. Still. Did I miss most of the up move? Yes. Do I care? No. I try to never buy high in trading ranges and every time I can refrain from doing it I practice following my rules and that is much more valuable than catching some of the breakouts. current market cycle: trading range - on lower time frames it’s also obviously a bull trend key levels: 73 - 80 bull case: Bulls have made a higher high above 77, which is obviously bullish. We have a clear bull channel on the daily chart, which is where the problem for the bulls is. They are at so many prior highs and the top of the channel, that buying above 76 is a tough spot and hard to structure a good long trade around it. If you buy 76, your stop has to be 72.6 and that’s 340 ticks. For this to be a 1:1 trade we would have to hit 79.4 and the last time we did was July. It could work but the probability is likely not on your side here. Any long below 75 or closer to 73 would be a very different story and a reasonable trade. 80 is the obvious next target above. Invalidation is below 72.6. bear case: Bears still have not much. We are trading at many prior resistances but until they can generate more selling pressure than one 1h bar, they don’t have anything going for them. I do think the sell spike down to 75.42 was already enough to fulfill the breakout-retest and we could continue up from here. Bears would need a 1h close below 75 to get some arguments on their side but given the current strength of the move, it will probably be another bull flag to break out above again. Invalidation is above 80. outlook last week: short term: Bullish until bears come around. Longing pullbacks is decent until we make lower lows again. Every touch of the 2h 20ema was bought, so keep looking for longs close to it. → Last Sunday we traded 73.96 and now we are at 76.57. Bulls kept at it, decent outlook. short term: Bullish again but buying above 76 is probably not a good idea. I want to get long closer to 73/74 once momentum upwards gets going again. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-02: Still no better medium-long term outlook to write about. The triangle has been going on for so long, it’s highly unlikely that we will break above it. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed bear trend line and added bull channel.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 13 - January 17]Over the past week, international OANDA:XAUUSD increased from 2,614 USD/oz to 2,698 USD/oz and closed at 2,688 USD/oz. The main reason is concerns about rising inflation in the US due to President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary fiscal policies, tariffs and tightening immigration policies. Although high interest rates are often detrimental to gold prices, in the context of strong inflation, real interest rates decrease, creating a positive impact on gold prices. That is also the reason why the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for December 2024 increased by 256,000 jobs, far exceeding Reuters' forecast of 160,000 jobs and surpassing November's revised figure of 227,000 jobs, but gold prices still increased sharply this week. With the inauguration day (January 20, 2025) of President-elect Donald Trump approaching, it is likely that next week's gold price will still be supported. Because Mr. Trump's expected policies, especially expansionary fiscal policy, tariff policy, and immigration policy, will all have the risk of increasing inflation. In particular, although tariff policy can reduce the US trade deficit, it will push up consumer prices. Tighter immigration policies will increase labor costs, causing product prices to increase, thereby also risking increasing the consumer price index... Meanwhile, the FED has announced that it may only cut interest rates once this year, or may not even cut interest rates this year, if Mr. Trump's above-mentioned policies push US inflation to skyrocket. 📌Looking at the chart, next week's gold price will likely continue to move upward with the next important resistance levels being 2,725 - 2,790 USD/oz. Meanwhile, the level of 2,585 USD/oz is an important support level for gold prices next week. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,676 – 2,664USD Resistance: 2,693 – 2,700USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2761 - 2759⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2765 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2649 - 2651⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2645
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
CL Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25Looks like my Directional Bias for CL was off. Instead of price coming lower to fill in the BISI and take the PDLs it rallied higher through the Volume Imbalance and raided all the BSL. Now that wick higher on Friday did not stop at a random spot. Look closely and you will notice its the Premium Daily 50% CE level of the wick and price reversed nicely off from there. Now the question remains does price justify to continue higher and take the BSL at 78.46 or does price reverse from there and then target the SSL and the D BISI? Currently its still looking Bullish since price closed above the Volume Imbalance and the PDH from Thu Oct 10 2024 at 76.24 but lets see how price opens on Sunday and we can definitely expect a volatile week since there is a good amount of economic news drivers.
NYMEX:CL1!
by ProphetTheTrader
MNQ Week Review 01/06/25 - 01/10/25 Price delivered precisely to the Daily Discount Draw on Liquidity which was the D BISI 50% quadrant at 20,875.75 underneath that nice triple bottom PDLs. Now the question to ask is does price justify staying inside that BISI or will price cut through the BISI and continue to reach for the SSL at 20,640.00? Lets continue to watch and see if price reverses or continues lower from here. This week I got to experience first hand why its good to have a Directional Bias and why its a good idea to stick with it regardless of being right or wrong. - First always remember as a traders we do not control outcome only our performance and if we get one day wrong then thats okay because its only one day in my trading career not my whole trading career. Also its very important to have methodology or an edge that can produce consistency as that will help aid the mental battle of missing trades or getting the bias wrong and not getting the framework to take a trade. In the beginning it might feel bad but keep in mind the game is not capital gain but capital preservation. If your methodology is consistent in terms of producing setups then missed setups or hitting SL should not worry you as there will always be another day to trade and get a setup. -Another key thing I want to touch on is the peace of mind you get when sticking to your Directional Bias. When your looking for example only Bullish scenarios and ignore all Bearish ones then your not over here investing mental capital on a trade that you know is counter to the HTF Bias and could easily hit your SL. Watching price action also becomes enjoyable as well because you don't care to be right or wrong so if your right and your setup forms then take the trade and if your wrong then just turn the charts off and trade another day as there is plenty of trading opportunities through out the year.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025
by ProphetTheTrader
1
#WIF. MARATHON OF PAYOFFS BEFORE BULLRUN! REVIEW FROM 11.01.2025BINANCE:WIFUSDT #WIF 1D Hi lovelies! 🌸 If #BTC drops to the $90,000 - $88,000 range, it could trigger a decline in altcoin prices, leading to new lows. This would create an opportunity to buy altcoins at lower prices. Let’s talk about Dogwifhat (WIF) – a meme coin on the Solana blockchain. Inspired by a photo of a Shiba Inu in a pink knitted hat, the token’s name is a deliberately misspelled phrase: "dog with hat". 🐶💖 Key Levels The $1.38 level is a strong support, where most of the buying happens. It’s crucial for buyers to hold this level to maintain the uptrend. For spot accumulation, consider the $1.5 - $1.1 range, with targets at $3.8 - $7.8. My Targets My personal spot targets: 1️⃣ $8 2️⃣ $10 This is a long-term play, so no whining if there are drawdowns! 😅 Buy and hold tight – patience pays off. 💎 Let’s see how this plays out, my loves! 💖 As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖 Hugs Your crypto girl
by Kate_Trade_Only
#ETH. THAT WILL WORK 100%!! REVIEW OF THE GENIUS FROM 10.01.2025BINANCE:ETHUSDT #ETH 1D Hey lovelies! 🌸 If #BTC drops to the $90,000 - $88,000 range, it could trigger a decline in altcoin prices, leading to new lows for many of them. If this happens, it would create a great opportunity to buy altcoins at much lower prices. For #ETH, I’m expecting the price to potentially dip to the $3,058 - $2,856 range, where I plan to add to both my futures and spot positions (I’ve already placed pending orders). Labor Market Data Impact Today’s labor market data will significantly impact financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. These numbers can now be used to predict future actions by the US Federal Reserve. Currently, traders expect the Fed to cut rates once in 2025, but not before June. Ethereum Analysis For now, $3,219 has held as a support level, which is a positive signal that could lead to price growth toward ~$3,484 - $3,634. To continue the uptrend, Ethereum’s price needs to break the local resistance (marked on the chart) and consolidate above $3,400. If that happens, we could easily see a move toward $3,500 - $3,600, though I believe a correction will follow after reaching these levels. My Thoughts I think #ETH is a strong buy in the $3,058 - $2,856 range! I’m saying this clearly, publicly, and without any fluff. 💎 At the same time, I expect the markets to continue a negative trend until January 20, 2025 (Donald Trump’s inauguration day), as all the fear and FUD is being priced in before this major event. Let’s see how this plays out, my loves! 💖 As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖 Hugs Your crypto girl
Short
by Kate_Trade_Only
#BTC. BTC FROM TOP TRADER!! LAST CHANCE!! REVIEW FROM 10.01.25BINANCE:BTCUSDT #BTC 8H Hi lovelies! 🌸 Once again, I’ve proven how precise, clear, and absolutely spot-on my Bitcoin predictions are. And yes, I keep repeating myself, but I really want you to pay attention to this yet again. This is hands down the most accurate Bitcoin forecast on TV and in the CIS crypto community, and we’re diving right in! 🚀 Key Observations I’ve noticed a huge liquidity cluster around the $92,000 level, which large players are currently protecting by buying up Bitcoin at these price points (for now). However, as soon as they stop doing this, the price will easily drop. As I’ve said before, and I’ll repeat again: we might see BTC drop to $91,500 - $89,000, where I’ve already set pending long orders. The $92,500 - $89,500 zone is being bought up quickly, as this area holds significant limit buy orders, helping to prevent further price drops. Scenarios 1️⃣ If the $92,000 level is broken, the price could quickly fall to $88,000 - $85,000, which I consider a conservative entry point for every trader. 2️⃣ It’s also possible for the price to dip to $84,000 to collect liquidity (I’m 100% sure it won’t go lower). 3️⃣ If buyers hold the $92,000 level in the coming days, this would be a positive signal, potentially leading to a price increase to ~$98,000 - $100,000. However, on a second retest of $92,000 (in case of another correction), it would be almost impossible to hold this level. My Strategy As long as #BTC doesn’t consolidate above $100,000, I’ll stick to my original plan of expecting the price to drop to $88,000 - $84,000. These thoughts, this analysis – they’ll go down in history as the most accurate and legendary forecast. Remember my words. 💎 I’ll be patiently waiting for this setup to play out – no rush, just following the plan! 💖 As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖 Hugs, Your crypto girl
Long
by Kate_Trade_Only
BITCOIN - THE KING OF CRYPTO (TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN)Descending Trading Channel: Bitcoin is currently in a descending trading channel, indicating short-term bearish pressure but within a larger bullish structure. The breakout above the channel's resistance line signals a potential reversal to an uptrend. Support Zone: A strong support zone is marked around the $92,000–$94,000 range, where demand is evident, as indicated by price consolidation. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI near 47 suggests the asset is in neutral territory but trending upwards, moving away from oversold conditions. Stochastic Oscillator: Bullish crossover near 66 indicates increasing momentum toward an overbought state, confirming the breakout possibility. Money Flow Index (MFI): Rising MFI implies capital inflow, supporting the likelihood of upward price movement. VMC Cipher B Indicator: Bullish divergences are forming, suggesting a potential trend reversal. Volume Profile: While not explicitly shown, the lack of significant volume during the recent decline confirms a corrective phase rather than a bearish trend. Target Zones: Initial target post-breakout: $100,000 (psychological resistance). Secondary target: $108,000–$112,000, where historical resistance might emerge. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Enter once Bitcoin decisively breaks above the descending trading channel resistance with strong volume confirmation. Support Buy: Accumulate near $92,000–$94,000 if the price retests the support zone. Stop-Loss Placement: Place stop-loss below the $90,000 mark to minimize risk if the breakout fails or support zone does not hold. Short-Term Target: Set take-profit at $100,000, just below psychological resistance to ensure execution. Medium-Term Target: Partial profit at $108,000 and $112,000 for extended upside. Risk Management: Limit exposure to 1-2% of total capital per trade. Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3 to optimize profitability. Watch for increased volume during breakout confirmation. Monitor macroeconomic factors and news affecting Bitcoin, as sudden events may invalidate technical setups.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by elfabiiani
NFP focus, GOLD is reaching initial bullish conditionsOn Asian markets on Friday (January 10), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintains the intraday recovery trend and gold price is currently at about 2,672 USD/ounce, a range of about more than 1 dollar during the day as of the time of writing. Market participants turned their attention to the US nonfarm payrolls report. Today (Friday), the United States will release the closely watched non-farm payrolls report, which is expected to cause a big move in the gold market. Authoritative surveys show nonfarm payrolls in the United States would have increased by 160,000 last December, following a whopping 227,000 increase in November. US unemployment rate expected to fall maintained at 4.2% in December. The survey found that average hourly wages in the United States are expected to increase 0.3% month-over-month in December, following a 0.4% increase in November. Annual wage growth is likely maintained at 4%. Better-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls data is seen as positive for the dollar and vice versa. And of course, this greatly impacts the gold price trend. From a technical perspective, OANDA:XAUUSD is heading for the 4th consecutive day of increase but the real uptrend has not yet been clearly formed. However, the daily chart of gold prices has also achieved the initial technical conditions for a possible increase in price with price activity above EMA21, POC Volume Profile and the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. Currently, these indicators are becoming the closest support. An important factor for the uptrend to form is the level of 2,693USD, which is considered a technical confirmation point for a newly formed uptrend. Once it is broken above and gold sustains activity above this level, the next target is around $2,730 in the short term. The relative strength index RSI has also risen above 50. However, the slope is not large but it is still considered a positive signal for gold prices in the near future. During the day, gold had initial bullish technical conditions and notable levels are listed below. Support: 2,664 – 2,645 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,693 – 2,700USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2691 - 2689⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2695 →Take Profit 1 2684 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2679 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2649 - 2651⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2545 →Take Profit 1 2656 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2661
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Critical Trendline Test Will BTC Bounce or Break ? 1. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a key ascending trendline, which has acted as support previously. A bounce from this area could signal a continuation of the uptrend. 2. Price Action: The recent sharp drop in price suggests selling pressure, likely testing the strength of the trendline and the marked support zone (around $91,500–$89,700). If this zone holds, it could provide a buying opportunity. 3. Risk/Reward Setup: The shaded areas highlight a possible trade setup: Stop-Loss: Below the support level (around $89,700) to manage downside risk. Target: Around $102,258, suggesting a potential bullish recovery toward resistance levels. 4. Scenario Analysis Bullish: If the price bounces off the trendline, it could aim for a higher level, confirming the continuation of the broader uptrend. Bearish: A breakdown below the trendline and support zone could invalidate the bullish setup, opening the way for further downside toward $86,000 or lower. To confirm the direction, monitor additional indicators such as RSI for oversold conditions, volume for buying strength, or moving averages for trend confirmation. Let me know if you'd like further clarification or analysis!
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
3
GOLD hits 4-week high, eyes on NFP and Trump inaugurationOANDA:XAUUSD hit a near four-week high, although minutes from the Federal Reserve's meeting suggested it could take a more hawkish stance as inflationary pressures continue to mount. As of the time of writing, spot gold is currently trading at around 2,659.78 USD/ounce. It rose to yesterday's high of $2,670.01, its highest since December 13. It's worth noting that the previously released December private jobs report was weaker than expected, giving the market some confidence that the Federal Reserve may not be too cautious in cutting interest rates this year. . ADP's national jobs report showed the U.S. economy added 122,000 private-sector jobs last month, while economists had expected a gain of 140,000. A separate report from the Labor Department showed 201,000 people filed for unemployment benefits last week, below expectations of 218,000. The more important factor is the US nonfarm payrolls data released on Friday, which is expected to change 163,000 jobs; Any data significantly higher than this number will have a negative impact on gold. Markets will now be fully focused on the US Nonfarm Payrolls Data and Donald Trump's January 20 inauguration, where they expect Trump to announce a series of policy initiatives. Minutes from the Fed's Dec. 17-18 meeting showed that officials expect inflation to ease this year but acknowledged the risk of continued price pressures, especially as they assess the potential impact from Trump's policy. Trump's proposed tariffs could fuel inflation in the US, complicate the Federal Reserve's ability to cut interest rates and could pressure gold prices. However, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said inflation will continue to decline in 2025 and allow the central bank to lower interest rates further, albeit at an uncertain pace. Gold is considered an inflation hedge, but high interest rates have reduced the appeal of this non-returning asset, and in contrast to a low interest rate environment, gold will be the top choice. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is still temporarily limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level, although yesterday's trading day there were times when it briefly jumped above this level. However, overall, the trend is still neutral with price movements gradually moving towards the top of the purple price triangle. However, with the current position, gold has conditions to increase in price with support from EMA21, POC Volume profile and the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level. In the event that gold breaks the $2,664 level it is likely to increase further with a target then around $2,693 in the short term, a 0.382% Fibonacci retracement point. During the day, neutral bias with bullish positioning conditions will be brought into focus again by the following technical levels. Support: 2,634 – 2,640USD Resistance: 2,664 – 2,693USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2683 - 2681⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2687 →Take Profit 1 2676 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2671 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2637 - 2639⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2533 →Take Profit 1 2644 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2649
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
#BLAST. 152% pure movement? Easy. Review from 09.01.2025BYBIT:BLASTUSDT #BLAST 4H Hi lovelies! 🌸 Let’s dive into BLAST – an innovative Layer 2 blockchain project built on Optimistic Rollups, fully compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM). What is BLAST? The goal of BLAST is to provide real yield to users holding ETH and stablecoins in the Ethereum network – a feature not currently offered by any other Layer 2 solutions. Why invest in BLAST? Leadership: The project is led by Pacman, the founder of BlurUSDT. Team expertise: The team includes professionals from: FAANG companies (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google) Prestigious universities: MIT Yale Nanyang Technological University Seoul National University These individuals have extensive experience in building key protocols in the DeFi and Web3 spaces, especially on Ethereum and Solana. Funding: On November 21, 2023, BLAST successfully raised $20 million from major investment funds, including Paradigm and Standard Crypto. Analysis The price is currently in a local sideways movement. Yellow lines mark the following levels (bottom to top): December 10 low. August 5 low. I expect one of the upcoming corrections to result in a break of the lows, providing a great entry point. RSI is in the oversold zone, indicating that the asset is nearing undervalued territory and has strong potential for growth ahead of the altcoin season. My Strategy We’ll enter from current levels and set limit orders in case the lows are updated. Entry Points (EP): $0.007587 $0.006644 Take Profits (TP): 1 - $0.012208 2 - $0.015835 3 - $0.019161 No Stop Loss: In case of a drawdown, I’ll buy more on spot and average down my futures position. Let’s stay patient and follow the plan, my loves! 💖 As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖 Hugs, Your crypto girl
Long
by Kate_Trade_Only
HTF Directional Bias for MNQ I have a Bearish Bias in play before the 07:00 Pre Session aiming to reach for the Fri 03 Jan 2025 at 21,144.25 and price could come as low as the 20,934.00 level which has the clean triple bottom SSL. The reason why I am Bearish is because price has made a recent rally into the D SIBI and found rejection at the 50% CE level on Mon 06 Jan 2025. Then on Tue 07 Jan 2025 price left that D SIBI to trade lower through the Volume Imbalance and into the discount wick of the candle from Thu 02 Jan 2025. Since it is a very heavy news release I do expect it to make a nice move lower since there is a bunch of SSL resting below the PDL's and price could reach as low as the discount D BISI 50% CE level at 20,871.25
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Short
by ProphetTheTrader
2