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GOLD is breaking bullish structure, pay special attention to FedOANDA:XAUUSD fell to its lowest level in 2 weeks when demand for the US Dollar in the market recovered. A Federal Reserve rate cut in September is looking less and less likely, which is causing some selling pressure on gold. Investors will focus on today's (Friday) speech by Federal Reserve Governor Waller, US durable goods orders and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index report. Strong U.S. economic data pushed U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar higher, which in turn weighed on gold prices. S&P Global said the US Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which tracks manufacturing and services sector activity, rose to 54.4 in May, its highest level since April 2022. Other data released on Thursday showed the number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the US fell to 215,000 last week, the biggest two-week drop since last September. Minutes from a Federal Reserve meeting released Wednesday showed that officials still believe price pressures will gradually ease over at least the next few months, but some officials said they were ready to support spending increases. borrowing costs if inflation spikes. Notable data and events of the day Fed Governor Waller is scheduled to speak on Friday. Hawkish comments from Federal Reserve policymakers could put pressure on gold prices. It's worth noting that higher interest rates typically hurt gold prices because they increase the opportunity cost of investing in gold. In addition, US durable goods orders and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index will also be published. The preliminary value of US durable goods orders for April will be published, with the monthly rate expected to decrease by 0.8 %, after increasing 2.6% in March. The final value of the University of Michigan's Consumer Confidence Index for May will be announced and is expected to be 67.5. Fed Governor John Waller, who has been hawkish on the Fed's rate-hike cycle, said Tuesday that he would need to see good inflation data for several more months before starting to cut rates. “In the absence of significant weakness in the labor market, I would need to see good inflation data for several more months before I feel comfortable making a move,” Waller said at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington. support the loose monetary policy stance." Waller and other Fed officials have recently emphasized that the central bank may need to keep interest rates steady for longer than previously expected. Policymakers have not adjusted the benchmark interest rate, currently at a 23-year high, since last July. Fundamentally, traders need to pay special attention to the speech of Fed Governor Waller, who is a hawkish Fed official and Waller is very likely to follow up with further comments. causing pressure on gold prices. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold broke most of the key technical levels and broke the technical structure that favors the upside. The drop below the trend and EMA21 is providing further downside risk to gold prices. In the immediate future, gold has a support at the technical level of 2,325 USD, and in case this technical level continues to be broken, gold will be eligible to move towards the level of 2,305 - 2,300 USD in the short term. The relative strength index (RSI) is pointing down but is still far from the oversold area, suggesting that gold prices still have room to decline further on the daily chart. From the technical level of 2,325 USD, the possibility of technical recovery is also limited by the EMA21 level which is currently the closest resistance, noticed by the technical point of 2,344 USD. During the day, gold's technical outlook leans more bearish with limited recovery and notable price levels are listed below. Support: 2,324 – 2,305USD Resistance: 2,344USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2370 - 2368 ⚰️SL: 2374 ⬆️TP1: 2363 ⬆️TP2: 2358 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2288 - 2290 ⚰️SL: 2284 ⬆️TP1: 2295 ⬆️TP2: 2300
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 5.28 - 5.31Last Week : Last week Market opened over VAH and spent all week building Supply over it, as discussed in Sunday Prep since we were at ATH with no over hang we needed to wait for Supply to build up for any meaningful back fill of previous areas and that 5341 - 5290 might be our Range where price will want to stay around and keep returning into for some time while it builds that Supply. On Thursday we ended up pushing inside the Edge but failed to find acceptance in it and the push back out gave us the flush of the inventory filling the buyers into the Value, even with how strong the move looked with break/hold under Key Support on Friday Globex failed to hold under it and we found our way back inside 5341 - 5290 Range where we were able to push back into the Means for the Range where we closed the week in VAH. This Week : Few things this week, we have Month End, Settlement changes from T2 to T1 which we don't know just yet how that will impact the trading and we had Holiday yesterday which pushed us over VAH and we are again building up Supply over it. For now we are inside T2 Range which was Thursday I believe the change goes in effect Today or this week, we are right around Previous Days Range and 5341 - 36 already showed us this morning that it's acting properly as good Resistance. So far going into this week Thursdays flush showed us that don't have stronger buyers up here just yet who want to keep paying over Value and keep pushing us into new range above and that even with strong flush we didn't have enough Supply to accept under 5295 - 90 to continue filling more buyers into VAL. This tells me again that market may want to stay in this 5341 - 5290 Intraday Range and balance around it, we have to be ready to spend quite a bit of time in these areas and trade around them until market will show us clear acceptance and intensions of moving Ranges and that can take some time because we are in a Key Spot on higher time frames we are at tops of Daily/Weekly Balances without finding acceptance above and without having the Supply just yet to move under the Middle of those balances which is around the 5290-80s area. Plan is to continue trading 5341 - 5290 Range level to level just like last week with moves out of its 5324.75 - 20.75 // 5310.50 - 06.50 Means and then returns back towards/inside them. Failures to accept over 5341 - 36 will likely find their way back to/under 24.75 - 20.75, pushes under 5310.50 - 06.50 could also be absorbed under and find their way back to/over 10.50 - 06.50 and inside the Means we could balance. We are in lower volume times so also have to give time for the moves to properly set up and be ready to correct back. Levels to watch : Current Range 5341 - 5290.25 5341 - 36 Key Resistance 5324.75 - 20.75 // 5310.50 - 06.50 Means for the Range 5295.50 - 90.25 Key Support If Accept over 5341 - 36 next Range 5386.50 - 5336 5356 - 52 // 5370.50 - 66.50 Means and Edge Top 5386.50 - 81.50 Key Resistance If Accept under 5295.50 - 90.25 lower Range 5295.50 - 5244.75 5279.25 - 75.25 // 5264.75 - 60.75 Means and VAL 5249.75 - 44.75 Key Support
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
XAUUSD GOLD - Selling pressure / Sell opportunity? ### XAUUSD GOLD ============== Check out the background information (), and also review the related ideas. A strong pullback at the current level is needed to confirm the break of the Timer TL and to justify short positions moving forward. Without this pullback, short positions become risky, as a bounce from the bottom of the trading range marked in purple is likely. A seemingly lucrative sell opportunity might be present right now. As traders, our job is to find opportunities, assess the risks involved, plan accordingly, and execute trades. Considering all possible outcomes, the results will reflect our performance. In view of potential further weakness in the markets and price movements favoring our shorts, it is crucial to remain mindful that this forecast is in its early stages. Continuous monitoring of momentum is vital, especially watching for signs of persistent strength entering the markets. - Always size positions properly according to your risk level. - Always be prepared for losses just as you expect profits. - Always plan your trades according to the principles above. Observe your drawdown (DD)!
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by FroggyFX
GOLD corrects strongly, FOMC minutes, main trend areaGold fell sharply under pressure from profit-taking activities in the market and the Fed's (FOMC) meeting minutes. According to the Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes, although US monetary policy has become a secondary factor in the gold market, continued inflation could cause additional selling pressure as it could force The Federal Reserve must adjust its monetary policy, personally, the Fed is unlikely to increase gold interest rates again. Gold's rally cooled as investors took profits and traders cut bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. With the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, market expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates continued to decline, leading to increased purchases of the US Dollar, making gold expensive. than for holders of other currencies. According to minutes from the U.S. central bank's April 30-May 1 meeting, Fed officials said it will take longer than previously expected to build confidence that inflation will pick up. 2%. OANDA:XAUUSD is known as an inflation hedge, but the opportunity cost of holding this non-yielding asset increases as interest rates rise. Recent economic data shows inflation trending downward, but Fed policymakers said the central bank should wait a few more months to ensure inflation actually returns to its 2% target first. when cutting interest rates. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold broke through most of the key technical levels and it is now also in a key price area for a technical bullish outlook with a long-term downtrend and moving averages 21 days (EMA21). In the immediate future, if the gold price returns above the 0.236% Fibonacci level, it will have enough conditions to recover with a short-term uptrend from the price channel. During the day, the trend of gold price is still downtrend with notable technical levels that will be listed as follows. Support: 2,366 – 2,353USD Resistance: 2,384 – 2,400 – 2,410USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2406 - 2404 ⚰️SL: 2410 ⬆️TP1: 2399 ⬆️TP2: 2394 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2344 - 2346 ⚰️SL: 2340 ⬆️TP1: 2351 ⬆️TP2: 2356
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Continue to adjust, pay attention to $2,400 level, FOMC minutesIn the Asian market on May 22, spot gold suddenly dropped in the short term but did not affect the main trend. Gold price fell sharply from the highest level of the session as of the time this article was completed, which was 2,426 USD/oz, and set a new intraday low at 2,412 USD/oz. OANDA:XAUUSD fell from record highs earlier this week as the Federal Reserve became cautious about cutting interest rates. However, geopolitical risks in the Middle East still boost safe-haven demand, which could limit the decline in gold prices. Fed Governor John Waller said Tuesday that it will take "several more months" of good inflation data before considering an interest rate cut. Atlanta Fed President Bostic said Tuesday he is in no rush to cut interest rates but wants to wait longer to ensure inflation doesn't start to fluctuate. Fed officials warned the Fed needs more evidence that inflation is easing before it starts cutting interest rates, emphasizing that the Fed could keep interest rates high for a longer period of time. This could boost the US Dollar and put gold prices in US Dollars under pressure. Gold's decline may be limited amid US-China trade tensions, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and strong demand from central banks and buyers in Asia, which could support gold subsidy. Later in the trading day on Wednesday, gold traders will closely monitor the minutes of the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and Goolsby's speech from Federal Reserve officials. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has adjusted down, but the downward adjustments are not damaging the main uptrend with the uptrend from the short-term price channel and the main uptrend trend. During the day, the uptrend in gold prices will be noticed by support levels from 2,410 – 2,400 USD and as long as gold remains in the price channel, it will still have a technical upside prospect. Even if gold is sold off below the 0.236% Fibonacci extension, the decline will still be limited by support from the trend and EMA21. Overall assessment, the technical picture for gold prices will continue to lean towards the possibility of price increase with short-term technical levels noted as follows. Support: 2,410 – 2,400USD Resistance: 2,430 – 2,450USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2443 - 2441 ⚰️SL: 2447 ⬆️TP1: 2436 ⬆️TP2: 2431 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2396 - 2398 ⚰️SL: 2392 ⬆️TP1: 2403 ⬆️TP2: 2408
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Can we go back to reality?Congratulations NVDA, because you delivered everything you could deliver in terms of good results, however, can we get back to reality? Will the Black Monday that we experienced in 1987, in the DOW JONES index, be experienced again in 2024, and thanks to NVDA and technology companies? We know what happened between 1980 and 1985 to the American economy, right? It is known that in the 1980s and early 1990s, dollars could circulate freely around the world, so much so that we had a global economic miracle, and the world was swimming in booming growth. But, at the current moment, dollars can no longer circulate freely around the world (FED, China, Russia) and continue contributing to global growth? Therefore, the technological war we are experiencing today (chips and electric cars), diverted dollars to these sectors, further inflating this bubble that is about to burst. Speaking of electric cars, China is firmly dumping its electric cars around the world at very reasonable prices (as it has no intention of breaking its internal market – control), once and for all destroying the automobile industry in many emerging countries, oh my, no? Let's go graphics. Monthly: NVDA has reached the three golden levels of the FIB of the SETUP used, so there is nowhere else to go. So, SPX, get ready. The red lines are resistance points. Weekly: With the brilliant financial report recently released, prices are ready to seek the golden region of this chart period. The red lines are resistance points. Daily. Prices have reached the region of 100% of the bullish pivot. The red lines are resistance points. Do your analysis and good business. Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss. See other graphical analyzes below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MacD_Bollinger
GOLD corrects, uptrend remains stable, market newsOn the Asian market, gold is delivered immediately OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly dropped sharply from the session's high of 2,433.13 USD/ounce. Gold price has just touched 2,410 USD/ounce, setting the lowest level of the day as of the time this article was completed. News of the death of the Iranian president has increased tensions in the region and gold prices have increased due to safe-haven demand. However, comments from Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Michael Barr put pressure on gold prices. Barr, the Fed vice chairman for regulatory affairs, said Monday that interest rates will need to remain at current levels for longer to bring inflation back to the sustainable target level. “The Fed needs to give tightening policy more time to continue to work,” Barr said. New geopolitical news in the Middle East New news from the Middle East situation on May 20, the prosecutor of the International Criminal Court applied for an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Galante on suspicion of war crimes. According to the prosecutor's statement, prosecutors have "reasonable grounds to believe" that Prime Minister Netanyahu and Israeli Defense Minister Galante are responsible for the "war crimes and counterattacks" that occurred. in the Gaza Strip “from at least October 8, 2023”. Traders are monitoring developments in the Middle East after Iran's president and foreign minister were killed in a helicopter crash. Additionally, in Saudi Arabia, OPEC's largest oil producer, King Salman is being treated for a lung infection. In general, the market is lacking truly notable developments that create significant fluctuations, so gold is likely to correct, but in terms of the overall picture, although gold prices are limited in their upward momentum by comments from officials. Fed, but it still has a lot of fundamental room to increase prices. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has corrected significantly from its new all-time high set yesterday, a correction that was also price point to the 0.382% trend-following Fibonacci extension. However, the gold price still has an uptrend mainly from trend and a short-term uptrend from price channel and all the support and technical conditions support the possibility of price increase. Once gold breaks the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level, it will continue to open a new bullish cycle with a new era high targeted at the 0.50% Fibonacci point. As long as gold remains above the original price point of 2,400 USD and the 0.236% Fibonacci level along the price channel, it still has short-term bullish prospects. During the day, the uptrend in technical gold prices will be noticed again by the following price levels. Support: 2,400 – 2,398USD Resistance: 2,422 – 2,430USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2457 - 2455 ⚰️SL: 2461 ⬆️TP1: 2450 ⬆️TP2: 2445 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2389 - 2391 ⚰️SL: 2385 ⬆️TP1: 2396 ⬆️TP2: 2401
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
EURUSD trended lower on ThursdayEURUSD trended lower on Thursday after an unsuccessful attempt to clear the resistance at 1.0725, with prices moving back towards the 1.0700 handle. Traders should closely monitor this support area in the coming days, as a break below it could trigger a pullback towards 1.0645 and potentially even 1.0600. In the event of a bullish reversal from current levels, the first technical ceiling worth keeping an eye on in the near term is situated at 1.0725, followed by 1.0755. Further upward momentum will draw attention to the 1.0800 zone, where the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages currently intersect.
by Xayah_trading
EURUSD is at risk when the ECB lowers interest ratesBULLISH US DOLLAR FORECAST OANDA:EURUSD - The mighty dollar is back as CPI data impacts policy paths - EURUSD at risk after the ECB laid out the conditions for lowering rates THE MIGHTY DOLLAR IS BACK AS CPI DATA IMPACTS POLICY PATHS The US dollar is back in the FX market following strong CPI data, leading to a reevaluation of the world's reserve currency. The data was released on Wednesday, with prices trading above key levels and indicating a potential for the dollar to quickly close the gap, which it did. The dollar index has surged, breaking through resistance levels as markets predict fewer interest rate cuts this year. This suggests only one cut is expected before the end of the year. The dollar is expected to remain strong due to the anticipated escalation in the Middle East following US President Joe Biden's announcement of an imminent attack by Iran in response to Israel's strike on an Iranian embassy in Damascus. OANDA:EURUSD AT RISK AFTER THE ECB LAID OUT THE CONDITIONS FOR LOWERING RATES The ECB statement confirmed that the governing council will not pre-commit to any rate path but will respond to incoming data. Prominent ECB officials have expressed a preference for a June cut. The statement brought joy to the doves as it acknowledged the potential for interest rates to be lowered if inflation dynamics align with target goals. EURUSD broke through key technical levels including the 50 and 200-day SMAs, the 38.2% Fib retracement, and the psychological level of 1.0700. The close below the 23.6% Fib retracement suggests a possible move towards the 2023 low. However, the pair is nearing oversold territory (RSI), which may pose a challenge to further downward movement. The EURUSD is expected to weaken in the medium term, but in the meantime, it may slightly ease back due to oversold conditions and lack of impactful US economic data next week. A positive ZEW figure could help the euro recover some recent losses as sentiment and confidence indices improve.
by Xayah_trading
EURUSD has bearish conditions, important confluenceAt the latest policy meeting, the ECB decided to keep interest rates unchanged but left no doubt about its intention to move to more easing. The guidance prompted traders to increase bets that the organization led by Christine Lagarde will launch an easing campaign at the next monetary policy meeting in June. The prospect of the ECB being ahead of the Fed on monetary easing could be detrimental to EUR/USD in the short term. Just a few weeks ago, there were signs that the FOMC could also act in June, but a series of hotter-than-expected US inflation measures and labor market data have skewed this scenario. , causing a repricing of interest rate expectations and benefiting the US Dollar. On the daily chart, OANDA:EURUSD there are technical conditions that fully support the possibility of a bearish price with the main trend formed from price channel (a) and maintaining price activity below the EMA21 level. While EUR/USD's decline may temporarily be limited by the support confluence of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement and the lower edge of the price channel (a) along with the 1.06367 horizontal support, it still has plenty of room to fall. Technical price. A new bearish cycle could be opened once the lower edge of price channel (a) is broken below with the target level then around 1.05232 in the short term. Upward corrections, as long as they do not break the technical points 1.06854 – 1.07234, EUR/USD still has a short-term decline prospect, and these are also considered targets for short-term correction recovery. Looking ahead, EUR/USD still has the main technical trend to the downside and notable technical levels will be listed as follows. Support: 1.06423 – 1.05232 Resistance: 1.06954 – 1.07234
by Xayah_trading
EURUSD advanced on MondayEURUSD advanced on Monday, clearing both its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages near 1.0785. If this bullish breakout is sustained, overhead resistance stretches from 1.0805 to 1.0810. While overcoming this barrier may pose a challenge for bulls, a move beyond it could lead to relatively clear sailing towards 1.0865, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 2023 selloff. Conversely, if sellers mount a comeback and drive the pair below the previously mentioned simple moving average indicators, sentiment towards the euro could start souring, creating the right conditions for a pullback towards 1.0725 and 1.0695 thereafter. Additional losses below this crucial floor could trigger a descent towards 1.0650, May’s trough.
by Xayah_trading
EURUSD remained subdued late in the weekEURUSD remained subdued late in the week, unable to sustain its upward momentum after Wednesday’s bullish breakout, with the exchange rate seesawing but holding steady above 1.0865. Bulls need to keep prices above this area to prevent a resurgence of sellers; failure to do so could result in a pullback toward 1.0810/1.0800. On the other hand, if buying momentum resurfaces and the pair moves higher again, overhead resistance can be spotted near 1.0980, a key technical barrier defined by the March swing high. Should the pair continue to strengthen beyond this point, buyers might gain confidence and target 1.1020, a dynamic trend line extending from the 2023 peak.
by Xayah_trading
BTC - Short Trade DetailsI suspect a massive short on bitcoin to take place. This is because DXY is showing a bearish breakdown on the monthly - with only a small upwards movement left before anticipated rejection from this bearish retest. This means an extended bull market - and this weekend period utilized to wipe long positions prior to this occurring. There are two major short entry points I can decipher on the chart. The first is 69,250 - which seems to be keeping price below at the moment. The second possibility is an initial move up to 69,900 to 71,000 and rejection from this location. My short targets in white are quite drastic. However again, DXY is showing signs of supporting a very lengthy bull market spanning the next 1-2 years. This to me serves as a justification for these extreme lows to be hit, otherwise I would not be suggesting something so drastic. This HTF bearish trend line supports targets as low as 8,000 - and it’s entirely possible that we don’t see a low that severe, however it is supported by a chart trend line and as such I will be taking it seriously until proven invalid. Happy trading.
Short
by DickDandy
2
Trading Plan for Friday, May 24th, 2024Trading Plan for Friday, May 24th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, as the market has transitioned from a rally to a short-term dip. Bulls are attempting to defend key supports, while bears are looking for further downside continuation. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5265 (major), 5253 (major) Major Supports: 5230-35 (major), 5202 (major), 5177 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5293 (major), 5302 (major) Major Resistances: 5317 (major), 5380 (major), 5400 (major) Trading Strategy Post-Rally Dip: The market is now in a short-term dip after a prolonged rally. Exercise caution and avoid chasing longs or shorts. Long Opportunities: Look for a bounce and reclaim above 5274 for potential long entries. Consider failed breakdowns at 5265 or a dip and reclaim at 5230-35 for more aggressive long entries. Short Opportunities: Consider shorts at 5317 (if the market rallies strongly) or on failed breakdowns below 5265 after a bounce/retest. Exercise caution and take profits level-to-level. Focus on Reactions and Price Discovery: Wait for confirmation signals and clear reactions at key levels before committing to any trades. Bull Case Defending Support: Bulls need to defend the 5265-72 zone to prevent further downside and maintain the possibility of a bounce. Reclaiming Resistances: If bulls reclaim the 5293 and 5302 levels, the dip could be considered over, opening up a potential move towards the previous highs. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5265 could trigger further selling, targeting 5230-35 and potentially deeper levels. Look for bounces/failed breakdowns at these levels for potential short entries. News: Top Stories for May 24th, 2024 📈 U.S. Durable Goods Orders: The latest data shows an unexpected increase in April, suggesting resilience in manufacturing despite economic headwinds. 🌍 Geopolitical Tensions and Their Economic Impacts: Recent surveys indicate that geopolitical risks are a top concern for global family offices, with significant implications for asset allocations in North America and Asia Pacific. 🛡️ Shifts in Safe Haven Assets: In an environment of growing debt concerns, investors are increasingly turning to gold over traditional government bonds, marking a significant shift in safe haven preferences. 🌎 Climate Change and Economic Impact: A session at the 10th World Water Forum highlighted the severe economic repercussions of climate change and water scarcity in Laos, underscoring the urgent need for sustainable water management solutions. 📊 Global PMI Data Releases: The release of the S&P Global Services and Manufacturing PMI reports provides critical insights into the economic conditions of the services and manufacturing sectors, which are key indicators of overall economic health.
CME_MINI:ESM2024Long
by spytradingpro
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 5.19 - 5.24Last Week : Last week Market opened under the VAL of this 5368 - 5207 HTF Range with our Sellers being in Value/VAL and Cost Basis/Supports at the lower Edge. We spent few days consolidating between VAL and the Edge with a move on Tuesday that first failed to hold under 5230s pre market and then afternoon push over VAL trapping the shorts under Value. Wednesday data brought in Volume and market continued higher through next Key Area putting the squeeze on and pushing us in/through VAH, from there one more target was left to test the Edge and see if we push through it and accept or we get a response in opposite direction, discussed last week before the tag that first tests of these bigger HTF areas often provide good response in opposite direction which gave us a tag/ supply build under Edge and a move back to VAH with Friday closing the week with filling the buyers with that Supply around VAH. This Week : Few things we know so far going into this week, of course depending where we will open and what we do in Globex but for now we are inside 5341 - 5290 Intraday Range, we are inside T2 Range with buyers in/under VAH and Trapped Supply/Sellers still could be over 30s and closer to the Edge Bottom of 5348. So far it looks like market has chosen 5368 - 5207 to be our HTF Range going forward until we will be ready to move out of it again which tells me we may spend time balancing around it back and forth while we distribute and fill orders as we will have buying and selling in it from Trapped Shorts and Trapped Longs/New Longs who will be looking for continuation out of this Range. For us to see continuation higher out of this HTF Range we would need to either build a base under the Edge bottom or see a strong bid through it trapping more sellers under AND start balancing over 5256 - 52 area without coming back in, until then holding under the Edge will mean weakness BUT it doesn't mean we will just sell back down that easily as well, we have to consider that we are at ATH with no overhang above us and no real Volume built up here just yet that would give us stronger moves lower. With that in mind there is a chance that we might spend some time in and around this current Intraday Range of 5341 - 5290.25 building that Supply. As been mentioned over last few weeks, have to be careful of smaller ranges and quicker/smaller moves, especially now that we might have both sides starting to be trapped and looking to be trading in and out of their size around here. IF Volume does come in and we accept back inside the Value and start holding under VAH we could see a move all the way back towards VAL to fill in the buyers in those areas, our Size Shorts would be trapped in Value and under VAL where we could expect absorption if we get there but careful as it could take time there as well. IF we don't get the Volume to push us through the above Edge or the Volume to give us acceptance and continuation under 5295.50 - 90.25 Key Support then we could spend quite some time around this 5341 - 5290 Intraday Range with pushes out of it being bought or sold back inside it. Levels to Watch : Current Range 5341 - 5290.25 5341 - 36 Key Resistance 5324.75 - 20.75 // 5310.50 - 06.50 Means for the Range 5295.50 - 90.25 Key Support If we are to just balance around this intraday range then we could see pushes out of the Means towards Key Areas and then returns back towards/into the Means, this is what I will be watching for unless it shows acceptance under/over Key Areas. If Accept over 5341 - 36 next Range 5386.50 - 5336 5356 - 52 // 5370.50 - 66.50 Means and Edge Top 5386.50 - 81.50 Key Resistance If Accept under 5295.50 - 90.25 5279.25 - 75.25 // 5264.75 - 60.75 Means and VAL 5249.75 - 44.75 Key Support
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
Hawkish RBNZ meeting buoys NZDUSDThe Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has warned about high domestic inflation despite having one of the highest interest rates among major central banks. The committee discussed raising rates but acknowledged that the economy can't handle it. As a result, markets have postponed expectations of a rate cut to November. The NZD/USD has been steadily rising since April, even after breaking above the longer-term trendline resistance. While the Kiwi dollar is approaching overbought conditions, there is still potential for short-term gains. The next major resistance level is at 0.6200, but first, a test of yesterday's high at 0.6152 is needed. If there is a pullback, prices could settle around the 0.6050 level, which aligns with the 200 SMA.
by Xayah_trading
CPI continues to push, new short uptrend, raw price $2,400Data showed US consumer prices rose less than expected in April, raising the possibility of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the dollar weakened and US Treasury yields fell, gold prices rose because expectations of interest rate cuts will make haven assets like gold more attractive. A gauge of core U.S. inflation cooled in April for the first time in six months, a small step in the right direction for Fed officials looking to start cutting interest rates this year. Bureau of Labor Statistics data also showed that year-over-year gains fell to a three-year low. The Fed is attempting to ease price pressures by weakening demand across the economy. The report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed that, after seasonal adjustment, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 3.4% year-on-year in April, matches expectations. The CPI in March increased by 3.50% over the same period last year. US CPI in April increased by 0.3% over the previous month, lower than the expected 0.40%, and CPI in March increased by 0.40% over the previous month. This is the first time in 6 months that the US CPI growth rate has decreased. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders now see about a 74% chance the US will cut interest rates in September. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD After breaking the $2,366 level yesterday, gold has also confirmed the breakout of the falling price channel and now the target increase could be aimed at the raw price point of $2,400 in the short term and more to the $2,417 level. In addition, gold also forms an increasing price channel in the short term and this will technically be the trend price channel for gold prices in the near future. As long as gold remains above the EMA21 and within the price channel, the outlook is technically bullish. During the day, the uptrend in gold prices will be noticed by the following technical levels. Support: 2,377 – 2,366USD Resistance: 2,400 – 2417USD 🪙SELL XAUUSD | 2411 - 2409 ⚰️SL: 2415 ⬆️TP1: 2404 ⬆️TP2: 2399 🪙BUY XAUUSD | 2364 - 2366 ⚰️SL: 2360 ⬆️TP1: 2371 ⬆️TP2: 2376
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading