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#202449 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold futures: Boi does this market blow at the moment. Nested triangles on multiple time frames and that’s as neutral as it gets. I doubt bulls can even get it above 2700 again at this point. 2660 is the midpoint for now and the range is big, so either buy low and sell it inside of it or wait for a bigger breakout. Bulls need something above 2750 and bears below 2560. Huge range. A lot of traders that have bought above 2700 are underwater. The longer this stays below it, the less likely it is to get back up there. Quote from last week: comment: Talk about you can’t time the market. Pretty ducking good call that was from the above outlook last week. Higher low, and lower high. Triangle on the daily, very bullish above and very bearish below. Not rocket science to read this. I do think bulls are slightly favored. comment: I won’t waste much time with this market this week. Clear triangle and market is in total balance around 2660. Wait for the breakout or play the range. My best guess would be that we both see 2600 and 2700 in the next 3 weeks. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2600 - 2700 bull case: Bulls breakout point is 2750 and that is far away. Buying below 2650 has been profitable the past 2 weeks but bulls could not close one single day above the 20ema. Best to wait until we clearly see a winner here. Daily close above 2700 would be a great start for bulls. Invalidation is below 2630. bear case: Bears need to break 2627 for testing 2600 and then it’s the big bull trend line. If they would somehow manage to break even that, last support is 2568 before we go down to 2500. Invalidation is above 2700. outlook last week: short term: S lightly bullish if we stay above 2630. Max bullish above 2750. → Last Sunday we traded 2681 and now we are at 2659. We stayed above 2630 and went nowhere. Meh outlook. short term: Neutral inside given range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-07: No bigger opinion on this for the rest of 2024. Market is in balance until we see a new impulse. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed bullish two-legged move up.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
PEPE. NEW GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES. 12/04/24PEPE is now available for trading on major cryptocurrency exchanges such as Robinhood, Coinbase, and Upbit, with a pair to the Korean Won (KRW). This is a significant milestone as these large platforms provide PEPE with broader audience access and increased capital flow. Given that PEPE has achieved notable positioning on centralized exchanges (CEX), it is reasonable to anticipate further growth in both value and popularity, especially if Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory, surpassing $100,000, and the cryptocurrency market experiences a bullish cycle. In my opinion, PEPE has the potential to become as prominent and investable as other meme-based cryptocurrencies like DOGE and SHIB. Its viral appeal and meme-driven nature could act as catalysts for accelerated growth. I expect PEPE to surpass SHIB in market capitalization during this cycle, marking a pivotal moment in its development. Furthermore, PEPE could emerge as a competitor to DOGE, intensifying the rivalry among meme cryptocurrencies. Entry range is highlighted on the chart. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
#202449 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-mini futurestl;dr sp500 e-mini futures: Hard to be bullish after this leg up but the structure is clear. We have two big trend lines running up to 6300 and a measured move target. I’d love to see a deeper pullback to at least 5900 but as of now that’s a pipe dream for the bears. The price is truth and it just screams bullishness. Last pullback was 170 points and that would bring us to 5940, so close enough. Can we really go up to 6300? I don’t know but it would be naive to say that we could not. We made 6100 and that already is the most overvalued the market has ever been. So obviously we can go further up. If we print 5900 on Monday, I would not be surprised one tiny bit but that is just much more unlikely than 6300 at this point. Quote from last week: comment: Bullish bias I had, bullish it was. Again. Market wanted up and it got it. Is this stopping here? Probably not. Look for longs. comment : Chart is clear, do not look for shorts until we see bigger selling pressure. Current structure has a lot of room to the upside, if you like it or not. My tl;dr covered most of it. current market cycle: Bull trend - very late key levels: 6000 - 6300 bull case: Bulls buy it all but it’s climactic. They still see multiple trend lines leading to even higher prices and as long as this keeps going, they keep buying. The first pullback will likely touch the daily 20ema soon and I do not expect it to just slice through it. Bulls buying any small pullback, made money for 3 weeks now, they won’t stop all of a sudden but at some point next week, they need to start taking profits to reduce risk. Invalidation is below 6000. bear case: Same as for dax. Until bears come around much stronger, everything in here is low probability. I would prefer a huge dip down to 5900 before we get another rally up to 6100 or even 6300. Next week will probably be the most important in December. Anything below 5900 would certainly put a huge limitation on targets above 6100. Invalidation is above 5900. outlook last week: short term: Bullish all the way. If market closes below 5900 I would turn neutral and daily close below 5800 would probably be the end of my bullish thesis and I turn bear. → Last Sunday we traded 6051 and now we are at 6099. Good outlook. short term: I won’t put out a bullish outlook after such a climactic rally without any decent pullbacks. You can only go wrong here. Neutral until bears come around and if the rally continues, it will be without me. If bears come around, first target is obviously 6000 and there I expect another bounce before market decides if it wants to go below 6000 or not. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: 6150 and 6500 are my last targets for the bulls before this bubble begins to pop or at least deflate. current swing trade: None chart update: Added a potential two-legged correction for next week but not later (my best guess as of now)
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 12.08 - 12.13.24Last Week : Last week Sunday Globex opened with a sell from the Edge towards VAH of lower HTF Range but we didn't have enough selling to get back into Previous Value where we have seen acceptance in previous week, instead we held over 6030s and pushed inside the Edge, as noted from last weeks prep to see higher prices we needed to stay around the Edge and hold over 6050s, I was thinking that this 6074 - 54 Edge would keep the price in but instead we were able to hold the Edge, got a failed breakdown from it on Tuesday RTH and a Wednesday Globex push over the Edge which couldn't get back inside during RTH Open, this move put us in new HTF Range and inside 6065 - 6115 Intraday Range. We finished the week with some sells from above VAL area and price holding above the Edge around VAL. This Week : As noted last week price action has changed, Volume has died out and it is really time to tighten things up and lower expectations from moves until we see new change. Going into this week we are inside 6070s - 6200s +/- HTF Range, we have buying over the lower Intraday Range and over HTF Edge, we have selling at VAL and so far attempts to push into above Value are not strong enough to give us a good break and hold over instead they find profit taking on every push. Holding over lower Edge implies stability and price can continue balancing over those areas, we can't expect too much selling from here unless we can get back under lower Intraday Edge and find Volume to get under 6050s, but we also have to be careful on the long side as we are now in distribution at higher prices on lower volume which means buyers don't have to keep chasing price up too much higher just yet. We could see price to continue holding and grinding around this new VAL area with attempts to push into new Value, inside the Value we have to be careful as until we accept inside its Mean and start transacting over it then we could continue seeing the price hold under the Mean and come out of Value towards VAL/under. I would watch for possible balancing in these 6090s - 6120s areas until we show acceptance over/under that would want to continue over the Mean or stay under lower Intraday Edge.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
Bitcoin is going to the Moon PART 2! [S #3 B]How nice, hit all 3 targets from the original post in not even 2 days... NOW FOR PART TWO! I have added a few more targets, TP4, TP5, and TP6. We are currently going up high in altitude and going to be reaching our planet's atmosphere very soon! We should the reach the moon in no time! Bitcoin may dip a bit from the current price but should still make a new ATH. I will be going a bit into what I call my "special indicator" that successfully helped me make the last few recent signals. I call it "MarketAnalyzer FX Alpha 1" and it honestly has been doing a splendid job. It is pointing upwards for Bitcoin, hopefully it won't take too long to hit our next target. Entry: ***USE LOW LEVERAGE IF ANY AT ALL*** $79,200-$80,000 (Original posts entry) If you have not entered yet, new entry could be $86,000-$89,000 TP1: $82,742 ✅ TP2: $85,132 ✅ TP3: $82,742 ✅ TP4: $90,800 TP5: $98,200 TP6: $110,000 For those that have the good entry of $79k-$80k I would move SL to entry. If entering the current entry point, $85,000. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by MarketAnalyzerFX
NQ Week of Dec8 Levels and Areas of Interest Part 1 (1d Chart)Daily Chart for NQ this week. Hard to be a bear, but looking hard to be a bull as well. When everyone expects it to trade like a 2016 Trump victory, that's normally when it doesn't. Just saying. Not bearish but cautious for sure. "They" have been sizing out since the end of July / Start of August (check the overnight gains versus us opens) and leaving retail with the bag. FOMO seems to be kicking in everywhere. That's a minor synapses without going far into the macro details, and the sizes being thrown around on dark pools. Anyway, part 2 will have shorter term areas (mostly for bear setups, bounces, dips etc). Anything higher I have to rely on the trendlines since we are essentially in price discovery mode if we keep pushing. Looking for resistance on the top trendlines, and imagine the bottom short term trend line will be easily broken if we have any corrections. Good luck this week, feel free to ask any questions if anyone reads this :)
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ajx1124
GRT 1D. Bullish Momentum or Pullback? 07/12/24The price is at $0.3316, showing steady growth following a period of consolidation. Resistance levels are becoming critical for the next movement. Key Levels: Limit Buy Levels: $0.32297-$0.28531: Key support zone for pullbacks. $0.24766-$0.19432: Deep correction area with potential for strong rebounds. Resistance: $0.37675: Local zone where a pullback is possible. $0.44220: The main target for bullish momentum. Strategy: A test of $0.37675 is expected, followed by a possible correction to $0.32297. If $0.37675 is breached, growth toward $0.44220 is likely. It’s advisable to place limit orders within the $0.32297-$0.28531 zone to accumulate positions. DYOR.
by trendbooster
1
DODO 4h. Deep Dive into This Token’s Potential. 12/07/24Current Situation: The price is trading at $0.2086, showing a correction after recent growth. There is a local decline in trading volumes, which may indicate weakening selling pressure. Key Levels: Limit Buy Levels: $0.1912-$0.1762: A key zone for accumulating positions. $0.1612-$0.1399: A deep correction area where support is likely. Resistance: $0.2388: The nearest target for a rebound. Strategy: A potential correction to $0.1912-$0.1762 is expected, followed by a rebound to the $0.2388 zone. It’s preferable to plan entries with limit orders at support levels. If $0.2388 is broken, the price may test higher levels. DYOR.
by trendbooster
CELO 1D. 100% Growth Potential You Can’t Ignore! 12/07/24BINANCE:CELOUSDT demonstrated strong performance in November 2024, driven by a strengthening market trend and strategic developments. Key growth factors include increased activity within the Celo ecosystem, boosted by a newly launched initiative aimed at improving network resilience and attracting developers. As part of this program, the platform announced support for projects in sustainable finance (DeFi) and microfinance, enhancing investor confidence in the ecosystem. Technical analysis suggests a robust bullish global trend for CELOUSDT, supported by a steady daily trading volume exceeding $81 million and a 92.75% correlation with Bitcoin, making the token attractive for both short- and long-term trading strategies. Trading Setup Futures Entry Limits: 0.9773 0.9000 Take Profits: 1.2157 1.4030 1.8129 No stop loss recommended. Spot purchases are also viable at current levels, with the option to accumulate further on dips. The growth potential exceeds 500%. Adhere to proper risk management (1-2% of deposit per trade). Wishing you profitable trades!
Long
by trendbooster
ETH 1D. Road to a New ATH. 12/07/24The situation with Ethereum is straightforward. Whales accumulated ETH throughout the summer (as I repeatedly highlighted, encouraging you to invest as well). Now, we are witnessing a rally without significant pullbacks—and this trend is likely to continue for most assets, making it nearly impossible to wait for "better" entry points. At most, I anticipate a minor correction to the $3,800–$3,700 range (if it happens at all). However, the overall trajectory suggests continued, relentless growth without meaningful retracements. Ethereum is poised to establish a new all-time high (ATH) and follow in Bitcoin's footsteps, solidifying its position globally. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
#NOT 1D: Final Analysis – Targets on the Chart! 11/28/24NOT Coin – the leader among tap-to-earn applications, holds significant potential for growth. However, achieving upward momentum requires increased trading volumes and market activity. Ultimately, price movement depends on market makers, not individual traders like us. For now, it’s a waiting game. I am using a laddering strategy for accumulation. Targets are outlined on the chart. This will be my final analysis on #NOT and should serve as a reference point—no further updates are planned. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
FTM 2H. Market Signals Growth. 11/29/24The asset has demonstrated strong resilience and growth despite the overall market decline, suggesting potential for further price increases. Investors and traders are gradually accumulating this asset, which could signal the market’s readiness for continued upward movement. I’m considering opening a long position if the price drops again to the $0.9729 - $0.9407 range. The target in this case is $1.1022 - $1.2270. For spot trading, confidently buy in the $1 - $0.9 range. Targets are 2x from current levels! DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
GOLD increases and decreases in opposite directionsThe world gold price listed on Kitco is at 2,633 USD/ounce, up 3 USD/ounce compared to early yesterday morning. Gold futures last traded at 2,654.6 USD/ounce, down 0.5 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold prices fluctuated slightly on Friday (December 6), marking the second consecutive week of decline. The precious metal has lost about 0.5% of its value this week, after hitting its lowest level since November 26 in early trading. During the day, gold prices barely reacted to the jobs data expected last week. The latest report shows that although job growth remains fairly stable, signs of weakness have begun to appear in the US labor market. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, 227,000 new jobs were created last month, far exceeding experts' expectations. However, the unemployment rate increased to 4.2%, higher than 4.1% last month. Economists predict this ratio will remain unchanged. Although job growth remains strong, economists say the latest data will not stop the US Federal Reserve (Fed) from cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its upcoming meeting. However, some analysts note that the Fed's easing cycle could run into trouble if job growth extends into 2025. Gold prices may test the support level of 2,550 USD/ounce and the resistance level of 2,700 USD/ounce in December 2024. The trend in the next few weeks is that gold prices may decrease due to profit-taking activities. Regarding the medium-term trend, the support level of gold prices remains firm, but it is unlikely that there will be a strong breakthrough in the upward direction in the near future. Gold prices benefit from lower yields, continued rising geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding future policy implementation and global impact under the Trump administration.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
#SUI. Corrections = Opportunities – Plan Ahead! 11/29/24Local market corrections are inevitable, and they present excellent opportunities to find strong entry points. After securing 6x returns on #SUI, the euphoria has started to fade, and retail traders are being gradually calmed down, leading to the local pullbacks we’re now seeing for #SUI. Accumulation on spot and opening swing positions should be considered in the $3.2 - $2.8 range, with an initial target of $4. After that, in my view, the price might dip to the $2.0 - $1.6 range before the true rally begins. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
1
Decoding the Yen: Strategies for the Upcoming ExpirationIn the Yen, our 'old friend' has opened a Straddle, just like he’s done several times this year. Notably, he’s picking a 5-day expiration, which is his signature move tha twe can use to track him. So, this time, the range boundaries are as shown on the chart. Keep in mind that this is a futures contract on the Yen, not the USD/JPY forex pair. In other words, the quotes are inverted. To get what’s on the screen, you need to do 1/USDJPY. But it’s way easier to just use the TV options and select '6JZ2024'
CME:6JZ2024
by ClashChartsTeam
GOLD dropped and recovered quickly, new news from Korea, NFPOn the Asian market on Friday (December 6), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery suddenly increased sharply in the short term. Gold prices have increased sharply from an intraday low of nearly 2,613 USD/ounce and are currently trading around 2,643 USD/ounce, close to the technical level of 2,644 USD. There was news that South Korea might impose martial law for a second time, which quickly increased market risk aversion and stimulated a sharp increase in gold prices. According to the latest report from Yonhap News Agency on Friday, South Korea's opposition parties may seek to hold an impeachment vote on President Yun Xiyue at 5 p.m. local time on Saturday. South Korean media JTBC reported on Friday that the Military Human Rights Center held an emergency press conference at its office in Mapo district, Seoul in the morning, following the instructions of superiors, commanders The squadron commander's superiors could convene an emergency press conference before the 8th. The Military Human Rights Center emphasized that this was Yoon Seok-yue's Sign that martial law would be reintroduced. South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue suddenly declared martial law on the evening of December 3, with the reason of eliminating pro-North Korean forces and protecting constitutional order. The South Korean National Assembly voted late at night to pass a resolution to "remove martial law", and Yoon Seok-yue finally announced that he would "remove martial law". However, there are rumors that senior South Korean military officials have been asked to be on standby until December 8. This is something the market is eyeing as a sign that Yin Xiyue will declare martial law again. In a headline on Friday, Yonhap news agency quoted the South Korean opposition party as saying lawmakers were on standby after receiving multiple reports of martial law being declared again. Gold is considered a leading haven asset when the market receives risky impacts from geopolitical developments (especially in places closely related to the US). On this trading day, investors will receive the release of the US non-farm payrolls report, which is expected to cause major fluctuations in the gold market. US nonfarm payrolls jobs are expected to increase by 195,000 in November. Gold could rebound stronger on more disappointing jobs data, and come under some pressure ahead of the tabular data Non-farm wages are optimistic. Today (Friday), the United States will release the November nonfarm payrolls report. Surveys expected 200,000 new jobs were added, but only 12,000 jobs were added in October, the lowest increase since December 2020. The US unemployment rate is expected to increase slightly to 4.2% in November, from 4.1% in October. Additionally, average hourly wages in the US are expected to increase 0.3%. month-over-month in November. Annual wage growth will likely slow from 4% to 3.9%. A report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday showed that the number of job vacancies in the United States increased again in October and the number of layoffs decreased, indicating market demand for workers are stable. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold fell but fell short of its weekly target of $2,606 – $2,600 sent to readers in the weekly edition, it rose rapidly to retest the 2,644 technical level. USD. Temporarily, gold's recovery does not give it enough conditions to increase in price as the Relative Strength Index is still operating below 50. Along with that, the EMA21 is the closest resistance currently and as long as gold has not broken the price channel, it still has the main trend during this time which is down. Once again gold falls below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level which will be the best condition to head towards the weekly target area at 2,606 – 2,600USD. Meanwhile, expectations of a new bearish cycle will be opened once gold falls below the original price of 2,600 USD with the target then around 2,591 USD in the short term, more than 2,538 USD. During the day, the technical outlook for gold remains bearish with notable points listed as follows. Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,644 – 2,657 – 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2690 →Take Profit 1 2679 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2674 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2584 - 2586⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2580 →Take Profit 1 2591 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2596
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
Requested NQ Levels - NQ Bias chartJust one of my charts requested by the two people who read. On the 4h time frame they DO NOT, and I'll repeat, DO NOT leave fair value gaps untested. The only one theyve left is from the August 5 Yen unwind, which was quite artificial. Anyway, not super bearish or bullish, just cautious at the moment. Risk reward for me plays out in a question that sounds like, "Do you want to risk -30% for another +10%?" or would you rather forgo the 10% and find something a bit more better value? Think that's how a lot of NQ stocks are being looked at end of year. Again not calling for a rug, but quite possible NQ lags the IWM for this next leg. We will see, anyway feel free to ask any questions the chart is a bit messy, like my brain.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by ajx1124
4
2024-12-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Neutral until we get a decent 1h bar close below the 20ema. 20400 is overbought on probably every metric known to man. Does this mean we will sell off tomorrow? Sadly not. Can go even higher, since bears not doing anything and the buyers are still making money because we print daily new ath. Chances are there for a deep pullback into the weekend but they are very low and we need strong confirmation first. Zero interest in buying this. comment: Break one bull wedge and print another. Bulls are still in control. Bears need a 1h close below ema , which would also be a break of the nearest lower bull trend line. 20300 tomorrow would be nice and anything below 20250 really bad for bulls. Got no more bullish targets for you. It’s a bubble. It will pop. current market cycle: bull trend but very late and will end soon key levels: 20000 - 20400 bull case: Even beyonder overbought today. Can obviously continue but buying this is asking for getting trapped. Invalidation is below 20250. bear case: The 1h 20ema now hold for basically 1100 points. It will break over the next 1-3 sessions. 20300 is the first target for bears and they should finally stop the market from making daily new ath. Still a couple of bullish patterns that need to be broken first, before we can talk about two-sided trading or bears having arguments for lower prices. Invalidation is above 20400. short term: Only waiting for bears to come around. Zero interest in buying. Below 20100 into the weekend would be nice but it’s unlikely. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-02: 20000 hit, hope you listened. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your current trading at all. Now it’s about being patient and waiting for the profit taking to start. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the open, duh. 1h 20ema held for more than a week now.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
2024-12-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold - Neutral. Death zone is 2644 - 2688. Until we break out of it, I will not touch it again. Unchanged. But the accuracy is pretty amazing so far. I am not touching this but longs are preferred below 2650 for trading back up to 2670+. comment: Clear trading range so don’t over analyse it. 2644 has to hold for the bulls and bears need to stay below 2680 tomorrow. As long as these prices hold, you have to trade the range and mean reverse. Market is in total balance, so don’t try to guess where the next breakout will happen. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2644 - 2680 bull case: If bulls fail at 2644, 2630 comes next and then the big bull trend line around 2620ish. They desperately need a close above 2680 if they want a buy signal going into next week and even then the upside is probably limited to 2700 and the bear trend line. Invalidation is below 2610ish. bear case: Bears are preventing the market from closing above the daily ema but fail to make new lows below 2644. No side has an advantage and if you don’t like scalping, it’s best to wait for a clear new trend. If bulls were strong and wanted to close this year above 2800, we would probably have seen it by now. Invalidation is above 2700. short term: Neutral. Market is in balance around 2630. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: Likely to close 2024 above 2800 but I do think the recent selling was the first hint that we will transition into a trading range soon. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Selling above 2675 has been profitable since Monday.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
Prolonged accumulation, GOLD may need impact from NFP dataOn the Asian market on Thursday (December 5), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintained a moderate decrease during the day, gold prices are currently down to about 2,645 USD/ounce as of the time this article was completed. In terms of economic data on Wednesday, data from the ADP Research Institute and the Stanford Digital Economy Lab showed that the number of private sector jobs in the United States increased by 146,000 in November, less than expected. This number is expected to be 163,000. The ADP report shows mixed job growth across industries. The education, health care and construction sectors led the gains, while manufacturing employment had its biggest decline in more than a year. Hiring is also lower in the financial services and entertainment industries, according to data from the ADP Research Institute. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell participated in an exclusive interview with the "DealBook Summit" hosted by the New York Times on Wednesday. On monetary policy, he said at the meeting that policymakers may remain cautious about cutting interest rates further. Regarding the US economy, Powell said the current situation is "very good" with falling inflation and relatively low unemployment. Powell noted that the US economy was stronger than expected in September, allowing the Fed to be more cautious in cutting interest rates. Powell said that although inflation has not yet fully returned to the Fed's 2% target, there is no reason the economy cannot continue to grow. New news of a ceasefire in the Middle East has affected the safe-haven asset OANDA:XAUUSD Israel has made a new proposal to Hamas regarding a ceasefire in Gaza, including a request to release some of the remaining 100 people detained by Hamas, Axios News reported this morning (Thursday). Israeli officials say Israel hopes the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar, a ceasefire in Lebanon and pressure from US President-elect Donald Trump will create an opportunity to resume negotiations that have been deadlocked for three months. recently. According to the report, Israeli officials revealed that the updated agreement framework mentioned above was reached after a meeting between Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and several senior ministers and heads of security agencies on the 1st of this month. . The new plan is similar to the principles discussed previously, but has some adjustments and is subject to adjustment and negotiation. Israeli officials say Hamas has shown more flexibility and begun implementing parts of the agreement. There are still 100 hostages being held in Gaza, including 7 Americans. The Israel Defense Forces believe that between 40 and 50 hostages are still alive. Gold is a risk-on haven asset, so if the market has less risk of conflict or geopolitical tensions it will become less attractive. Next event The next big event will be the November US nonfarm payrolls report on Friday. Surveys show US nonfarm payroll employment is expected to increase by 214,000 in November, up from 12,000 in October. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, the accumulation phase of gold prices continues to last with increasingly narrower amplitudes without any sudden waves to create a short-term trend. With the current position, it is difficult to distinguish which possibility gold is leaning more towards compared to yesterday's trading day. With price activity moving around the EMA21 and Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.618% and the technical point of 2,644USD. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is also at 50, not going above or below this level. Taken together with the current position, gold is still neutral in the medium and short term. Meanwhile, a short-term bearish cycle has the opportunity to open if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci level then the target level is about 2,606 USD in the short term, more than 2,600 USD. During the day, gold is currently in a neutral position, but in the long term, the falling price channel is still the main trend and notable points will be listed as follows. Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD Resistance: 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2681 - 2679⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2685 →Take Profit 1 2674 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2669 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2595 →Take Profit 1 2606 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2611
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2024-12-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Not getting bullish above 20000. We have a clear wedge which will likely break tomorrow. Once the profit taking begins, it will be nasty. For now longs against the 1h 20ema are decent until we clearly break below and outside of the wedge. I doubt we close this week above 20000 tbh. comment: Trade the current bull wedge until broken. I expect that we will see a breakout tomorrow or Friday and I do think it’s possible that we close the week below 20000. The rally is beyond overbought and climactic. current market cycle: bull trend but very late and will end soon key levels: 20000 - 20300 bull case: 20300. Beyond overbought. Can go some more but not much. High is near or already in. Invalidation is below 19700. bear case: Market broke above multiple patterns and chances are good that this is a bull trap and we will reverse soon. For now the bears have nothing but I expect a deep pullback soon. Maybe a pullback to 20000 tomorrow, retest of 20250 or even 20300 and then some more downside. Rough guess as of now. Invalidation is above 20400. short term: No more bullish targets. 20000 is the first pullback target and I think we will break out of the bull wedge tomorrow or Friday. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-02: 20000 hit, hope you listened. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your current trading at all. Now it’s about being patient and waiting for the profit taking to start. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the open, duh. 20200 was good support, so longs against that paid multiple times.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
2024-12-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Parabolic buy climax which will end soon. Longs after pullbacks are ok but I will only look for weakness. This is climactic and unsustainable. comment: Strongest bull bars that late in the trend? Tough. I have two higher targets still. First is the bull trend line to around 6160 and second is a measured move target to 6300. Bears are doing nothing but it’s also unlikely that we just continue higher in this tight of a channel on the daily chart. Market is on it’s last legs up and these windfall profits will get taken off the table before they disappear. You don’t get bullish this late in a trend, you get cautious. current market cycle: bull trend - late and will end soon key levels: 6000 - 6170 bull case: Bulls are in complete control but it’s overbought and climactic. the 4h 20ema has been bought for two weeks now and longs near it make sense. Buying above 6050 does not Invalidation is below 6000. bear case: Market is overbought and we will likely test down to the 4h 20ema soon. We can’t expect it to just trade through it and we would likely see another bounce up. Bears have nothing until then. Wait for the clear sign that bigger profit taking has started and we do not make new ath every 15m. Slight chance 6102 was the high and we go down to 6000 tomorrow. Invalidation is above 6170. short term: Bullish until proven otherwise but will happen sooner than later. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-16: So the top definitely qualifies as a blow-off top but the question if we continue further up, is still valid. It is possible that we are already inside the correction and if we continue below 5860, I highly doubt bulls can get above 6000 again. Given the current market structure, I won’t turn bear because the risk of another retest of the highs or even higher ones are just too big. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Could have bought pretty much anywhere. Again.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
WIF. High-Probability Setup. 12/04/24The asset is currently in an accumulation phase, presenting significant upside potential. Historically, breakouts from similar patterns can result in gains ranging from 100% to 200%. Short-Term Outlook: I anticipate a pullback to the mirror level, which could offer an excellent opportunity to open a long position or add to your spot holdings. Key entry points are marked with yellow horizontal lines (two pending orders). Targets: Futures: $4 - $5 Spot: $6 - $10 DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
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