HTF Directional Bias for CL
I like the fact that price traded higher into a premium and found rejection off the Volume Imbalance 50% CE level as it clears the BSL above the PDHs.
Currently price is trading inside the wick from the Mon 06 Jan 2025 and looks to have reached as low as the 25% quadrant level.
My bias for CL is Bearish as I am looking at the two PDLs in discount above the D BISI which should act as a draw for price to reach lower and clear that SSL at 73.11 and 72.70 From there I could expect price to dip into the D BISI and reject possibly off the high or 50% CE level.
Futures
#AI. MARATHON FOR SPOT AND FEATURES! BEST REVIEW FROM 09.01.20BINANCE:AIUSDT
#AI 1D
Hi lovelies! 🌸
#AI is a relatively new type of digital currency that’s quickly gaining popularity in the crypto world. What makes it stand out is its ease of use compared to other cryptocurrencies.
The price recently broke out of a long accumulation phase and started to grow, but as soon as it hit the first resistance level, it faced selling pressure and corrected downward.
At the moment, #AI looks very strong, but I’ll only be entering if there’s a return to the structure.
My setup:
- EP (Entry Points): $0.47183, $0.40237
- TP (Take Profits): $0.72805, $0.89698, $1.14210
- SL (Stop Loss): $0.29424
As always, DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade wisely! 💖
Hugs,
Your crypto girl
2025-01-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
oil - Bearish but only slightly and probably better after a lower high above 74. Bears broke the bull trend line and made new lows. 75 got 2 big rejections and we either continue down or we do a lower high below 75.29. Selling below 73.5 has not been profitable for a week, so don’t try be the first. On the daily chart it’s still just a minor two-legged correction, so it’s not the best short to take. Bears probably want better confirmation. Their first target below 73 is 72 and then likely the daily 20ema around 71.5.
comment: We have touched the bear trend line and my bullish targets are met. The daily bar closed on it’s low and is decent enough for bears to get potential follow-through into the end of the week. I would want either very strong confirmation for shorts below 73 or a lower high below 75 before I short this. No interest in longs.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 71 - 75.5
bull case: Bulls are still in control and making higher highs and higher lows. They want a daily close above 75 to retest the October high 77.38. They see a two-legged correction on the daily chart and that is a buy signal in a bull trend.
Invalidation is below 71.
bear case: Bears producing amazing bear bars above 74.5 but the follow through is terrible. They need lower lows below 72.7 to trap late bulls. The volume increase on the selling is good for them but until the trading range 72.7 - 75.3 is broken, bulls remain in control or market is at least neutral inside that range. I do think the overall structure on the daily/weekly time frames is in favor of the bears and once they get below 72.7, it’s a sell signal if you can hold a swing short with a wide stop. Next target is 72 and then 71.5ish (daily 20ema).
Invalidation is above 75.3.
short term: Neutral inside range and bearish below 72.7 or above 75 for a swing short.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-02: Still no better medium-long term outlook to write about. The triangle has been going on for so long, it’s highly unlikely that we will break above it.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Selling 75 again was decent for 200 ticks.
2025-01-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
oil - Bearish but only slightly and probably better after a lower high above 74. Bears broke the bull trend line and made new lows. 75 got 2 big rejections and we either continue down or we do a lower high below 75.29. Selling below 73.5 has not been profitable for a week, so don’t try be the first. On the daily chart it’s still just a minor two-legged correction, so it’s not the best short to take. Bears probably want better confirmation. Their first target below 73 is 72 and then likely the daily 20ema around 71.5.
comment: We have touched the bear trend line and my bullish targets are met. The daily bar closed on it’s low and is decent enough for bears to get potential follow-through into the end of the week. I would want either very strong confirmation for shorts below 73 or a lower high below 75 before I short this. No interest in longs.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 71 - 75.5
bull case: Bulls are still in control and making higher highs and higher lows. They want a daily close above 75 to retest the October high 77.38. They see a two-legged correction on the daily chart and that is a buy signal in a bull trend.
Invalidation is below 71.
bear case: Bears producing amazing bear bars above 74.5 but the follow through is terrible. They need lower lows below 72.7 to trap late bulls. The volume increase on the selling is good for them but until the trading range 72.7 - 75.3 is broken, bulls remain in control or market is at least neutral inside that range. I do think the overall structure on the daily/weekly time frames is in favor of the bears and once they get below 72.7, it’s a sell signal if you can hold a swing short with a wide stop. Next target is 72 and then 71.5ish (daily 20ema).
Invalidation is above 75.3.
short term: Neutral inside range and bearish below 72.7 or above 75 for a swing short.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-02: Still no better medium-long term outlook to write about. The triangle has been going on for so long, it’s highly unlikely that we will break above it.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Selling 75 again was decent for 200 ticks.
2025-01-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold - Neutral. Higher highs and higher lows but bulls are barely advancing the price. We have still not touched 2700 and even if we get there, I think we find more sellers than buyers and continue sideways in a bigger range. Every new high is sold and bulls will only try so many times before they give up. Bears need lower lows below 2660, bulls want 2700 and bulls are still favored for now but only on pull-backs.
comment: 4 pushes up now and selling new highs has been profitable for 3 weeks. 2700 is the absolute max I can see this touching but I’d much rather sell new highs than looking for longs on this.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2560 - 2700
bull case: Bulls want 2700 next but I doubt they will get much higher than that. That view has not changed over the past 2 weeks. They are fine as long as they are making higher lows and higher highs but they will only try so many times before we see a bigger pullback. Structure-wise bulls do not have much going for them and neither the bears. Market is in an upwards trending trading range and you should not over analyze it.
Invalidation is below 2640.
bear case: Pullbacks are getting bigger but bulls buy it all and bears can’t get follow-through selling after a decent spike. The spike is likely someone big dumping huge positions but it doesn’t matter. I expect more sellers to come into this once we get closer to 2700. First target for bears is a break of the trend line on the 1h tf and a new low below 2650. Closing the week at or below 2650 would be good for bears because that’s where we closed last week and my neutral price for now.
Invalidation is above 2710.
short term: Bearish at new highs (at or above 2680) but market is in a trending trading range. Don’t swing for the fences on shorts.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-02: If we break strongly above 2700, we will likely retest 2740-2760 and depending on that move, we will either stay inside the big range 2560 - 2760 or retest 2800 or even higher.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Shorting close to 2680 was good for the past 5 days.
TP REACHED ON XAUUSDEarlier this morning I posted to sell on XAUUSD with a 1:2 target, and the market filled our TP with a total of 2 contracts, we added ourr 2nd one at the FVG we had and which the market filled.
I made a mistake in the previous post when I didn't pay attention the the levels since I placed the TP lvl a bit lower than 1:2, but on my broker and for the people I give trades to it went perfectly.
Follow for more!
Pay attention to ADP and FOMC minutes of the dayOn this trading day, Wednesday January 8, investors will need to focus on US ADP jobs data and Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to causing major fluctuations in the market.
On Wednesday, US ADP employment change data for December will be released. This data is called "small non-farm" and is expected to create a major trend in the market.
Surveys show that US ADP employment is expected to increase by 140,000 in December. Previously, US ADP employment increased by 146,000 in November.
On the same day, one of the Federal Reserve's most influential senior officials, Governor Waller, will give a speech on the economic outlook at the OECD meeting.
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its December monetary policy meeting. The minutes could provide more information about the future policy roadmap, especially whether the Fed will actually become hawkish or not.
At its December meeting, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, and officials forecast just two rate cuts in 2025. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said further adjustments will be made. depends on inflation developments.
The accumulation state on the daily chart of gold prices is still continuing. After yesterday's recovery, the upward momentum is limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level. Attention readers in the previous issue there.
Up to now, the price activity position is becoming increasingly narrower, gradually entering the corner of the accumulation price triangle. This shows hesitant market sentiment, and predicts an impending spike in amplitude.
Regarding the overall picture, the gold price trend is still neutral, sticking around EMA21 and the Fibonacci level of 0.618%. With upside limited by 2,664 – 2,693USD and downside limited by 2,604 – 2,600 – 2,592USD.
Along with that, the Relative Strength Index is still sticking around 50, also showing the market's hesitant psychology.
Before the fundamental impact creates price structural mutations, gold still has a neutral outlook, with a cumulative sideways trend, and notable levels will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,604 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,664 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2677 - 2675⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2661
→Take Profit 1 2670
↨
→Take Profit 2 2665
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2617 - 2619⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2513
→Take Profit 1 2624
↨
→Take Profit 2 2629
2025-01-07 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax futures - Bearish af. Bulls overextended and squeezed probably most shorts. High tick was exactly the same price 20533 we did before the big sell-off down to 19831. Small chance bulls retest 20500 tomorrow but I don’t care. I will continue to scale in and out of shorts with a stop 21000. Downside potential is to 20000 while upside is either very limited or we have seen the high today.
comment: Amazing short squeeze. I started scaling into shorts way too early but came out green and holding on to swing shorts for 20k again. 4h chart shows two very strong legs up and there is a chance for a third but I doubt we make another high above 20533. My preferred path is the triangle and I will only look for shorts until we hit 20100 again.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20000 - 20500
bull case: Bulls did amazing today and made 300 points from today’s low. They want another strong leg up to retest the ath 20735. They are still inside the bull channel and we have left two open gaps, on the 1h tf (or above), below us. Bulls have also going for them that we are trading above all important ema and until bears start closing the gap to 20360, bulls are fine for now.
Invalidation is below 20300.
bear case: Bears stepped completely aside today and once they came around, it was not as strong as expected. 20533 qualifies for a lower high and it could be the top for now but bulls have way more arguments on their side as of now. Once bears start closing 1h bars below 20390 and then 20350, their chances get better for a reversal. Bull trend line needs to be broken early tomorrow or we continue sideways at the highs or even make a higher one. I still have only interest in shorts and will happily scale into shorts.
Invalidation is above 20550.
short term: Neutral 20400 - 20500 and bearish above. Will continue to scale into shorts above 20450.
medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025.
current swing trade: Short. Avg price for shorts is 20450 now for me.
trade of the day: Long since EU open was pretty good.
BTC CME Short Model and Long ModelNow Bitcoin is in the Premium zone, where it is better to consider short positions for a short-term movement to the Discount zone. If the Market Maker goes for equal lows, which is a good exit point, or if the Market Maker goes long, then the exact entry will be better in the Discount zone, return to where the accumulation was, and see what candles will be formed at this level.
If we look at TOTAL 1 2 3, we will see that these assets are also in the Premium zone, which can also be good support for short positions.
Maintain neutrality, pay attention to US data todayAs of press time on Tuesday (January 7), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintains a moderate recovery trend during the day, with gold prices currently around 2,639 USD/ounce. Gold prices continue to stabilize, with technical trends unchanged from previous releases.
During this trading day, US macro data will be in focus with the data mentioned below expected to create significant volatility in the short term.
Today (Tuesday), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This important employment data is expected to cause large fluctuations in gold prices this trading day.
Economists predict that there will be 7.7 million JOLT job openings in the United States in November, compared with 7.744 million in October.
The JOLTS job vacancy report was one of the labor force indicators that U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen valued most when she was chair of the Federal Reserve. This index is also labor market data that the Fed is very interested in.
Additionally, on the same day, the US ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for December will be published and is expected to be 53.5, compared to the previous value of 52.1.
In terms of technical structure, OANDA:XAUUSD Still mainly accumulating activities with price activities sticking around the EMA21 line. And the cumulative sideways trend is depicted by the purple price triangle.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is also sticking around 50, showing that market sentiment is also hesitant and waiting for a significant fundamental impact to create a short-term trend.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold prices is neutral, moving sideways and accumulating with notable levels that will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,604 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,664 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2658 - 2656⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2662
→Take Profit 1 2651
↨
→Take Profit 2 2646
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2623 - 2625⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2519
→Take Profit 1 2630
↨
→Take Profit 2 2640
2025-01-06 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral. Close does not help anyone. Below daily ema but above 6k. Same reasoning as for dax. We could do a retest or higher before we go lower again. The lower high 6107 will probably hold. Bears want to trade down to 5930 or lower again. Clear trading range price action where the legs inside look very strong, just to crumble shortly after. We are in a very broad bear channel/triangle until bulls can get above 6107 again.
comment: 3 legs up are done and I think we have a bigger two-legged correction down now. Bulls stopped the selling above the breakout price 5996 and it’s likely that we get a retest 6050+ before we can go lower. For all shorts the stop is 6108 and for bulls most likely 5797 for now.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 5900 - 6100
bull case: Bulls want to break above 6107 and make new highs again. They had 3 very strong legs up and as long as the bull channel is not broken, they will look for longs near the lower trend line. Their next target is consecutive bull bars above the bear trend line that runs through 6050 and then a retest of 6100. I expect most bulls to have a stop below 5980.
Invalidation is below 5980.
bear case : Bears need to keep the bear trend line alive and the market below 6040/6050. If they manage that, we have made another lower high and odds will heavily favor the bears to trade back down to at least 5930.
Invalidation is above 6107.
short term: Neutral 6000 - 6050. Bearish below 6000 for 5930 or lower. Bullish above 6075 for 6100.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg.
current swing trade : No but shorts with stop 6108 are reasonable.
trade of the day: Buying EU open. Bears just stepped aside and we melted higher.
2025-01-06 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax futures - Neutral between 20200 and 20300. Bullish above for retest 20360/20400 and bearish if we break the nearest bull trend line. Max for bulls should be 20460ish and bears could get all the way down to 20000 again. Both sides have reasonable arguments and I don’t know if we test higher before lower. What I do think is that the bear gap to 20455 is probably going to stay open, so shorts closer to 20400 are good.
comment: Two legs up with huge rejections. Bulls closed at the high but they failed to close the bear gap to 20455. Until bulls can close it, I will scale into shorts above 20340ish and take profits on decent drops. Middle of the range is now 20200 and I do think it’s possible we hit that tomorrow or Wednesday.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20000 - 20500
bull case: Bulls need to close the bear gap and are then free to retest higher. We have an expanding triangle and nested bull wedges but market also did not respect a bunch of trend lines today. If anything, the very strong buying followed by deep pullbacks is confusing and odds are much higher that we continue sideways instead of up above 20500. Bulls should not let the market drop below the breakout price 20180 or we are in balance again and bulls would probably look to only long lower (closer to 20000).
Invalidation is below 20180.
bear case: Bears could not even close the globex gap and market rallied 300 points higher. Bears did a decent job with the deep pullbacks to shake out weak traders and make bulls take profits at new highs. That increased the odds that we are in a trading range and will likely move more sideways instead of up. Bears need to get a 1h close below the ema again and break the closest bull trend line. Next targets below are close of last week 20045 and then the big round number 20000.
Invalidation is above 20460.
short term: Neutral 20200 - 20300 and bearish above. Will continue to scale into shorts above 20350 and take profits near 20200 or below.
medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025.
current swing trade: Short since 20359. Will add near or above 20350 again. Stop for all shorts is 21000 for now. Will scale in and out of this over the next days/weeks.
trade of the day: Globex low held and market showed 4 big rejections below 20100. Bar 44 was signal and entry bar because it broke out of so much, you just had to get long.
Technical Analysis of WAGYUSWAP (WAGYU/USDT) Technical Analysis of WAGYUSWAP (WAGYU/USDT)
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
Structure: WAGYU/USDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, which is considered a bullish reversal pattern. The narrowing of price action indicates reduced volatility, often leading to an upward breakout.
Support: The green trendline represents strong support, with multiple touches confirming its validity.
Resistance: The red trendline represents descending resistance that needs to be broken for bullish confirmation.
Indicators Analysis
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Bullish divergences observed with higher lows in the indicator and lower lows in price. This supports a potential upward momentum.
RSI (14): Currently near neutral levels (~45), indicating room for upward movement before becoming overbought. A breakout of the wedge may push RSI above 50, strengthening the bullish scenario.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Fluctuating near 50, suggesting balanced buying and selling pressure. A spike above 60 would indicate increased buying momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold levels (25.35), aligning with the potential for a price rebound. A crossover to the upside would be a confirmation signal.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
$0.0005847: Immediate support level.
$0.0005000: Strong psychological support.
Resistance Levels:
$0.0009113: First target upon breakout.
$0.0013197: Strong mid-term resistance.
$0.0015666 - $0.0019185: Long-term targets, contingent on market sentiment and volume.
Volume Analysis
Volume Decline: Falling wedge patterns often witness declining volume. An increase in volume during a breakout above resistance will confirm bullish momentum.
Trading Plan for WAGYU/USDT (Spot Trading Only)
1. Entry Strategy
BUY IMMEDIATELY
2. Exit strategy
OUT at 0.1 usdt
Market Sentiment: Monitor Velas ( LSE:VLX ) price movement, as the analysis mentions its correlation with WAGYUSWAP's performance.
Volume Confirmation: Entry and breakout trades must be supported by a significant volume increase to validate the move.
Macro Conditions: Keep an eye on overall cryptocurrency market trends, as they can impact price dynamics
KASPA - IT'S TIME TO RISE (TA+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of KASPA/USDT
Chart Overview
Formation: The price action indicates a descending trading channel transitioning into a falling wedge pattern, which is typically bullish and suggests a potential breakout.
Support Levels: There are key horizontal support zones within the orange-shaded areas (~$0.120-$0.125). These levels have historically provided strong demand and buying pressure.
Resistance Levels: Resistance is observed near $0.135 and $0.145. Breaking above these levels will confirm the bullish breakout.
Indicators Analysis:
RSI: At 37.25, indicating oversold conditions. A potential reversal upwards is imminent.
Stochastic RSI: Showing upward momentum, confirming a likely breakout soon.
Volume: A significant volume spike near support zones suggests accumulation by bulls.
Money Flow Index (MFI): A positive divergence indicates that buyers are entering the market.
Wave Market Cipher: Shows bullish divergence with green dots on the oscillator, further validating a potential move upward.
Pattern Breakdown
Falling Wedge: A bullish continuation pattern that implies a breakout in the upward direction. This is supported by the narrowing of price movements and lower volume, a precursor to significant price movement.
Trading Plan for KASPA
Entry Strategy:
Primary Entry: Enter near the current price level (~$0.124) within the wedge, as this is close to strong support.
Secondary Entry: Place buy orders near $0.120 in case of a short-term dip.
Stop-Loss:
Set a stop-loss just below the wedge support ($0.115) to manage risk, as breaking below this invalidates the bullish setup.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $0.135 – the upper boundary of the current wedge.
Target 2: $0.145 – a resistance level aligned with historical price action.
Target 3: $0.160 – an extended target if momentum continues post-breakout.
Risk-Reward:
Risk: $0.124 to $0.115 (~7.3% downside).
Reward:
Target 1: 9% gain.
Target 2: 16.9% gain.
Target 3: 29% gain.
Confirmation Strategy:
Wait for a confirmed breakout above $0.128 (wedge resistance) with strong volume before adding to positions.
Use a trailing stop-loss to secure profits if the price moves significantly upward.
Timeframe:
Monitor the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes for confirmation signals. Breakouts from falling wedges typically occur within 1-2 trading sessions.
Market Sentiment: Ensure the broader crypto market sentiment remains positive or neutral to support bullish momentum.
News Events: Monitor any fundamental news or updates regarding KASPA that could affect its price action.
Professional Technical Analysis for Bitcoin + trade planTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT)
Resistance Level:
The red trendline indicates a strong resistance around $100,000 to $100,500.
Bitcoin has tested this resistance and is showing signs of a possible reversal.
Support Levels:
Immediate support is around $98,000 (green horizontal line).
Stronger support is in the orange zone between $96,000 and $97,000.
Volume Analysis:
Volume spikes are visible during resistance testing, suggesting selling pressure near $100,000.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences: Showing bearish momentum divergence at the peak, indicating potential downward pressure.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 67, nearing overbought territory but not yet overextended.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates mild outflows, confirming weakening buying pressure.
Stochastic RSI: Overbought levels, crossing downwards, further supporting a short-term pullback.
Price Action:
The price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, but the rejection from resistance hints at a temporary retracement.
The projection shows a potential dip into the support zone ($96,000–$97,000) before resuming an uptrend.
Trading Plan
Short-Term Trading Plan:
Entry Point:
Wait for Bitcoin to retrace into the orange support zone ($96,000–$97,000).
Place a buy limit order within this zone to capitalize on the anticipated bounce.
Stop-Loss:
Set a stop-loss slightly below $95,500 to mitigate risk in case the price breaks key support.
Take-Profit Targets:
First Target: $100,000 (resistance retest).
Second Target: $103,000 (continuation breakout above resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Maintain a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3 for this trade.
Medium-Term Trading Plan:
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
If Bitcoin breaks above $100,500 with high volume, enter a momentum trade targeting $103,000–$105,000.
Use trailing stop-loss to secure profits in case of reversal.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown
If Bitcoin closes below $96,000 with increasing volume, consider a short position targeting $93,000 as the next major support.
Key Trading Notes:
Monitor market sentiment and news, as fundamental factors can influence Bitcoin’s direction.
Watch for divergences in the indicators (e.g., RSI, VMC Cipher) for early signs of trend reversals.
Adjust position sizing based on risk tolerance and volatility in the crypto market.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Bullish Signal
Crude Oil was in a deep consolidation since October.
The market was stuck within a huge horizontal range on a daily.
With the market opening after holidays, Oil looks strongly bullish.
A breakout of a resistance line of the range, indicates the completion
of a bullish accumulation.
It opens a potential for more growth.
Next resistance on focus is 75.55
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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [January 06 - January 10]OANDA:XAUUSD are almost trading in a narrow range throughout the Christmas holiday and New Year 2025. Currently, gold prices have not yet escaped the triangle model of the H4 technical chart.
Entering 2025, three important factors can shape the price of gold. First, the big event will take place on January 20 this year when Donald Trump takes office as US President. Mr. Trump is likely to put pressure on the FED to influence the interest rate environment.
Second, Mr. Trump will heat up the trade war with other countries, especially with Canada, Mexico, Europe and China. This means economic growth could suffer and geopolitical instability could linger.
Third, we are in a period where most investors will reallocate investment flows into their portfolios. As economic and political variables are gradually changing.
In the long term, gold prices may continue to be influenced by the above factors. But in the short term this week, the market will focus on important US economic data, such as manufacturing and service PMI index; Employment indicators: ADP, NFP, unemployment rate... If US employment figures, especially NFP, increase stronger than expected, gold prices will be under pressure to adjust. On the contrary, if US employment figures continue to decline sharply, it will positively support gold prices.
📌Technically, from a short-term perspective this week, there are 2 resistance levels to pay attention to: the resistance level at 2685 and the round resistance level at 2600. In case the resistance level is broken, corresponding to the price breaking through the Downtrend line, the price will Gold will continue to maintain its upward trend to the 2720-2790 thresholds respectively. In the opposite case, if the gold price drops from the Uptrend line, we will see a scenario where the price drops back around the 2530 threshold.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,634 – 2,604 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,664 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2599 - 2601⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2595
#SEI. Profitable Trade Opportunity. 02/06/25BINANCE:SEIUSDT It’s worth considering entering a position since there’s currently an opportunity for a profitable trade.
At the moment, the asset price has approached the structure's resistance level, and further price movement will depend on its reaction to this price range.
Personally, I’d recommend considering an entry in case of a correction within the range of $0.4380 - $0.3638, with a target of $0.7316 - $0.9336. You can also take a small position from the current levels, using a small percentage of your total spot deposit.
DYOR.
#PEPE. Accumulation Insights: Preparing for Price MomentumAt the moment, the price is in an accumulation phase, and I would look for entry points in case of a correction, ideally as close as possible to the lower boundary of this structure ($0.00001800 - $0.00001700). Personally, I plan to buy exclusively within this range.
If the condition with volumes and the support level is met, this could lead to upward price movement toward the next resistance level, where the price may once again encounter difficulties in continuing to rise (we’ll monitor the situation as it unfolds).
DYOR.