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GOLD there is a possibility of a downward adjustment this weekOANDA:XAUUSD ANALYSIS - Dollar down, gold up - Gold retests prior 2024 all-time high DOLLAR DOWN, GOLD UP Gold is influenced by a slightly weaker dollar at the start of the shortened trading week. Last week, gold prices showed an unusual evening star pattern, which can indicate a bearish trend reversal. The dollar is possibly stabilizing after a volatile end to the week. The main event risk this week is the release of inflation data on Friday. Limited catalysts are expected until then. Friday is a bank holiday in the UK and US, which could lead to a volatile USD movement if there is unexpected data amid lower liquidity. OANDA:XAUUSD RETESTS PRIOR 2024 ALL-TIME HIGH Gold prices attempted to close above $2195, the all-time high printed earlier this year before the latest milestone around $2222. This appears as a test for bullish momentum with a failure to close above suggesting that bullish momentum may require another catalyst to advance the bullish move. $2146 appears as the relevant level of support if bears are to regain control this week. To reiterate, Friday may cause elevated volatility should we see a surprise in the data – due to lower liquidity. Pay attention to the Breakout zone 2166 - 2180 Resistance: 2180 - 2186 - 2195 Support: 2166 - 2157 - 2150 - 2145
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
3
GOLD hanging high, not far from the historical peak set recentlyThe world gold price is trading at 2,190 USD/ounce, up 12 USD/ounce from yesterday. Investors are anticipating US inflation data, which could provide insights into the US Federal Reserve's policy pivot. Despite the USD rebounding, precious metals remain near their recent historical peak. Investors are waiting for US economic data to be released later this week to more clearly determine when the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its interest rate reduction cycle. Currently, most experts are optimistic about gold in the near future, saying that this precious metal is strongly supported by expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates this year even though inflation is still "persistent". , strong demand from central banks and fears of geopolitical tensions. Gold reached a record high last week after the Fed suggested three interest rate cuts in 2024. However, commodity analysts are doubtful that gold can continue to rise due to its significant increase in March.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD gains are limited amid a cautious marketGold prices rose slightly on Monday amid cautious market sentiment ahead of important events, such as the FOMC announcement. XAU/USD increased by around 0.2% in early afternoon trading in New York, finding support near $2,150. The Federal Reserve will hold its March meeting and may adjust its forward guidance and economic outlook due to recent inflation concerns. The recent CPI and PPI reports show a worrying trend: disinflation progress is slowing down and may even reverse. As a result, the Fed might take a more cautious approach by delaying the shift to looser policies and reducing the scale of future easing measures. This could result in two rate cuts of 0.25% in 2024 instead of the previously projected three cuts. FOMC MEETING PROBABILITIES If policymakers signal a less dovish roadmap and delay the easing cycle, it could cause US Treasury yields and the dollar to rise. This may pose a threat to the current rally in precious metals, especially gold, and lead to a significant downward correction. However, if the central bank maintains its previous outlook and shows confidence in reducing borrowing costs, gold may have a better chance of moving higher. Recent data on inflation risks suggests that a dovish outcome from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is less probable. OANDA:XAUUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold prices stabilized on Monday after a weak performance last week. The prices rebounded from support at around $2,150 and could potentially face resistance at the trendline of $2,175. If this resistance is overcome, attention will shift to the all-time high of $2,195. If bears regain control of the market, the first technical floor to watch for a pullback is $2,150. Bulls need to defend this zone to prevent further selling pressure. Failure to do so could lead to a drop towards $2,085, with potential losses shifting focus to $2,065. Resistance: 2162 - 2171 - 2177 Support: 2145 - 2135 - 2125
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
6
GOLD prices stabilize after a strong sell-offOANDA:XAUUSD AND ANALYSIS - Gold’s backdrop remains positive and may lead to further gains. - Retail trader positioning is 50/50. Gold reached a new record high last week but ended the week relatively unchanged after a sharp sell-off. The Federal Reserve hinted at a potential rate cut of 75 basis points this year, which initially boosted gold. However, the US dollar strengthened towards the end of the week, putting pressure on gold prices. While the USD strengthened, US bond yields declined in expectation of a lower Fed Fund rate. The rate-sensitive US 2 year decreased by about 14 basis points, while the benchmark US 10 year dropped by 11 basis points last week. Although a temporarily stronger US dollar may limit gold's upward potential, lower US bond yields could potentially drive prices higher and retest last Thursday's all-time high. After completing a bullish pennant pattern last week, the daily gold chart is now looking to build another bullish set-up. The current sideways price action may turn into a bullish flag pattern, and this would likely see gold pushback above $2,200/oz. and test the ATH at just under $2,225/oz. Reasonable first-line support seen a fraction under $2,150/oz. Note the breakout zone 2166 - 2181 Resistance: 2181 - 2188 - 2195 Support: 2166 - 2157 - 2150 - 2145
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Trading Plan for Monday, April 1st, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, April 1st, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious, price discovery ahead of reopening after long weekend Weekly Volatility Risk: High (price discovery holiday, heightened with geopolitical backdrop) Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5307 (major), 5299-5302 (major), 5293, 5287 (major), 5280, 5275 (major), 5270, 5261, 5267, 5252 (major), 5245-47 (major), 5234, 5230, 5222 (major), 5217, 5212 (major), 5207, 5202, 5186-5191 (major), 5176, 5165-67 (major). Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5311, 5316 (major), 5321, 5326, 5329-30 (major), 5337, 5342, 5347 (major), 5351, 5355, 5358 (major), 5362, 5372, 5382 (major), 5389, 5396-5400 (major), 5407 (major), 5412, 5425, 5430, 5435-38 (major), 5445, 5451 (major) Trading Strategy: Price Discovery: After the long weekend, anticipate market moves as price discovery unfolds. Prioritize patience and focus on reacting to price action rather than predicting. Consolidation Range: Be aware that the 5300-5320 zone is a new consolidation range, likely to see choppy price action. Overtrading in this zone can be detrimental. Long Opportunities: Exercise caution with long entries over the weekend. If 5299-5302 is retested, consider bids, or, for additional confirmation, wait for the failed breakdown setup (below overnight and daily lows, then reclaim) Below that, only the major levels are of interest for longs. Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting on strength carries significant risk. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near major resistances. Watch for signs of a breakdown or retracement for better risk/reward entries. Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action. Bull Case Support Holds: As long as supports like 5299-5302 hold, bulls maintain short-term control. Range Trading: ES could consolidate within the 5302-5320 range, potentially ping-ponging within it. Breakout Continuation: A decisive break and hold above 5320 could lead to a surge towards 5329-30, then 5347. Reclaims of 5307 are areas to potentially add to longs, with disciplined profit-taking. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5299-5302 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps. News: Top Stories for March 29th, 2024 Global Humanitarian Crises: Focus on the UNHCR appeal for aid for South Sudanese refugees, the ICJ measures for Israel, the humanitarian situation in Haiti, and the youth mobilization around the UN Summit of the Future. Climate Change Impacts: Examine the effects of climate change on Nepal's biodiversity and the resilience of communities in Madagascar despite gender-based violence. Economic Updates: Analyze the latest inflation data from the Fed's preferred PCE price index, Huawei's financial results, and Syngenta's cancellation of its Chinese IPO. Fed Policy Outlook: Consider Fed Chair Powell's commentary and the impact of the LEI on potential economic growth and the Fed's approach to interest rates. Market Sentiment: Assess market volatility surrounding the PCE report and potential risks. Remember: The market is undergoing price discovery. Be adaptable, manage risk, prioritize capital preservation, and always prioritize reacting to price action over any predictions.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
🖥 GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 25 - March 29]This week, international gold prices increased quite sharply from 2,145 USD/oz to 2,211 USD/oz, then decreased to 2,157 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,165 USD/oz. The reason why international gold prices increased sharply in the first sessions of the week was because in the recent meeting, the FED said there would be 3 interest rate cuts this year, regardless of inflation remaining above the target level of 2%. Although from now until the next June meeting, the US will have a lot of economic data, especially inflation and employment data... published, but many experts still affirm that the FED will find it difficult to delay monetary easing. bad. Because if the FED delays cutting interest rates further, it will cause the US economy to lose growth momentum and even fall into recession. Although the economic recession depends on a number of other factors, that statistical probability also partly shows that there is a potential risk to the US economy, and the FED may have also anticipated the risk. Therefore, we will be determined to cut interest rates in the near future. And this will also be the reason for the gold price to increase even higher, although it is difficult for the gold price to avoid the pressure of adjustment and consolidation in the short term due to profit taking by investors, ETFs, especially SPDR. big profitable states. Next week, the US will release a lot of economic data, notably the personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) - the FED's favorite inflation index. Even if PCE increases more than expected, it is not a cause for concern, because the FED has confirmed that it will still cut interest rates even if the target inflation is above 2%. Therefore, PCE may not have much impact on gold prices next week, unless this index increases dramatically. Technically, the next support level for gold prices next week is at 2,145 USD/oz. If it stays above this level, gold prices will likely increase again next week. However, if next week's gold price is pushed below this level, it may adjust to below 2,100 USD/oz, followed by the important support area of ​​2,041-2,067 USD/oz. The trading plan (reference) for next week will consider buying around 2077 and selling around the 2200 round resistance mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
a daily price action after hour update - sp500Good evening and i hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures bull case: Bulls got the more up but barely. The high today was 3 points below the ath and that qualifies as a double top. Do we trade down from here? I don’t know. If bulls can keep it above 5300, it’s as bullish as it gets. Many support lines below on the chart and bears not doing enough to make bulls take profit. If bulls can close this quarter at the highs again, consider me dumbstruck again. bear case: Pullback was shallow as expected. Unexpected was the selloff into the close again. My thesis was, this is profit taking end of quarter and i expect more trading range price action tomorrow. If the low probability case happens and we see bigger profit taking, it could actually become a big pullback from near the ath. But i will only look for shorts when we close a 1h big red candle below 5300. short term: Neutral going into last trading dax of the quarter. Absolutely everything is on the table for tomorrow, from melt up 5400 to big profit taking to 5280. medium-long term: Below 5200 i keep my bearish thesis as drawn (weekly outlook). above we can go much higher before down. we could also range above 5000 for many months without going nowhere. I expect earnings to become weak in this quarter but could take next one as well. —unchanged trade of the day: Buy near 5300 and sell above 5312 , worked since yesterday late in US session.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
2
Trading Plan for Thursday, March 28th, 2024Trading Plan for Thursday, March 28th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious Weekly Volatility Risk: High Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5307, 5302, 5296-5299 (major), 5293, 5288 (major), 5284, 5280, 5274 (major), 5268-70 (major), 5265, 5258 (major), 5245-47 (major), 5240, 5235 (major), 5230, 5217, 5213-16 (major), 5208 (major), 5203, 5190-93 (major), 5178-76 (major), 5171, 5165 (major), 5155-58 (major), 5147, 5143, 5136, 5123-26 (major). Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5311, 5316 (major), 5320, 5326, 5336, 5342 (major), 5346, 5351 (major), 5360, 5364, 5372 (major), 5380-83 (major), 5388, 5395, 5403 (major), 5413, 5425-30 (major), 5445 (major) Trading Strategy: Price Discovery: After a strong surge, the market is in price discovery mode. Prioritize patience and focus on reacting to price action rather than predicting. Long Opportunities: Exercise caution with after-hours long entries: prioritize profit preservation on your existing long runner. Consider bids at 5296-5299 for a backtest, or, for additional confirmation, wait for the 5274-70 zone to be tested and reclaimed. Below that, only the major levels are of interest for longs. Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting on strength after a strong move carries significant risk. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near major resistances. Watch for signs of a breakdown or retracement for better risk/reward entries. Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action. Bull Case Support Holds: As long as supports like 5299-96 and the crucial 5274-70 zone hold, bulls maintain short-term control. Breakout Continuation: A decisive hold and test of 5299-96 could lead to a surge towards 5316, 5320, 5326, with 5342 as the first major target. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5267-70 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps. News: Top Stories for March 28th, 2024 U.S. Economy Outlook: Analysts provide insights on the U.S. economy's resilience, potential for soft landing, and the Fed's possible rate adjustments in late 2024. Stock Market Performance: The S&P 500's recent gains, fueled by strong corporate earnings and optimistic investor sentiment. Global Economic Updates: Updates on the economic conditions of the Eurozone, the U.K., and emerging markets, including growth projections from Vanguard. Corporate Earnings Updates: Focus on financial results and guidance from companies like Sharecare, Janover Inc., and Medigene AG. Stock Market Trends: Wall Street's positive reaction to the Fed's recent dovish comments and expectations for continued market gains. Review Indian equity market performance. F&O Ban List: Securities facing F&O ban and their potential impact on trading activity. Market Forecasts: Analyze market sentiment, gold and Bitcoin price trends, and potential cybersecurity investments. Remember: The market is undergoing price discovery. Be adaptable, manage risk, prioritize capital preservation, and always prioritize reacting to price action over any predictions.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
GOLD record increase after FED's decisionFORECAST - OANDA:XAUUSD - The Fed held borrowing costs unchanged and continued to indicate it would deliver three rate cuts this year - The dovish policy outlook weighed on the U.S. dollar and yields, boosting gold prices For context, the FOMC kept borrowing costs at their current levels at its March gathering, reaffirming its intention to implement 75 basis points of easing in 2024. Wall Street, fearing a hawkish outcome in the face of growing inflation risks, breathed a sigh of relief at the institution’s restrained response. While there were some hawkish elements in the Fed’s guidance, such as the upward revision to the long-run equilibrium rate, traders chose to focus on the near-term future and the fact that the easing cycle is inching closer and looming on the horizon. With all that said, the main takeaway from the FOMC meeting was this: nothing has really changed for the central bank; plans to cut rates this year remain on track and the process to slow the pace of quantitative tightening is rapidly approaching, with Powell saying tapering could start “fairly soon”. Taking into account today’s developments, bond yields will struggle to move much higher in the near term, especially if incoming economic data starts cooperating with policymakers. This could prevent the U.S. dollar from extending its rebound in the coming days and weeks. Meanwhile, risk assets and precious metals such as gold and silver could be better positioned to maintain upward momentum heading into the second quarter. OANDA:XAUUSD FORECAST - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold surged on Wednesday, breaking past its previous record and notching a new all-time high above $2,220. With bulls seemingly in control of the market, a potential move towards trendline resistance at $2,225 is conceivable. On further strength, a rally above $2,250 cannot be ruled out. Conversely, if sellers stage a comeback and pullback, support looms at $2,195, the swing high from early March. Below this level, attention will turn to $2,150, followed by $2,090. Bulls must vigorously defend this technical floor; failure to do so will expose the 50-day simple moving average at $2,065. Resistance price ranges to note: 2225 - 2201 - 2189 - 2180 - 2175
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
2
GOLD goes down when the USD reverses to increase in priceGold price today, March 22, suddenly went down in the context of the USD reversing its price and US stocks rising sharply. After setting a record level of 2,211 USD/ounce in last night's trading session, today's world gold price plummeted 30 USD to 2,181 USD/ounce at 6:00 a.m. on March 22. Gold prices weakened today in the context of the Swiss National Bank suddenly reducing interest rates. Meanwhile. The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged. As a result, investors focus on holding USD, helping this currency increase in price, which is detrimental to the gold market. Another development is that after the US announced it was ready to reduce interest rates three times in 2024, the US stock market continued to increase sharply. Many people have moved their equity capital, causing very little money to flow into precious metals. Today's world gold price drops by dozens of USD/ounce, which is inevitable. After the Fed meeting, gold prices are expected to reach the resistance level at $2,222/ounce. If this level is surpassed, it is likely that prices will reach between $2,228 - $2,234/ounce. In the long term, the Fed plans to cut interest rates three times this year starting in June, which will lead to a decline in USD compared to other currencies. Resistance: 2188 - 2195 Support: 2172 - 2168 - 2152 - 2145
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
GOLD continued to decline compared to the previous sessionWorld gold spot price is around 2,165 USD/ounce, down more than 16 USD/ounce compared to the same time yesterday morning. Gold prices on the international market continue to decline because the USD has not stopped its rise. Specifically, the Dollar-Index - measuring the strength of the greenback compared to 6 major currencies, increased sharply by 0.42% to 104,075 points at 6:05 a.m. this morning. The USD benefited from positive economic and employment information in the US in February, despite the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announcing that it would reduce operating interest rates this year. The positive recovery of the US economy has helped investors escape capital from precious metals such as gold - an asset that ensures capital safety - to invest in profitable assets such as stocks and bonds. On March 21, the Dow Jones industrial index set a new peak, increasing nearly 0.7% to 39,781.37 points, the S&P 500 index increased 0.3% to 5,241.53 points, and the Nasdaq technology index Composite increased 0.2% to 16,401.84 points. Investors turned to investing in risky assets such as stocks, which shows that the market is somewhat reassured when the US economy remains strong despite interest rates remaining at a 20-year high and the Fed expected to cut reduce interest rates this year.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
CHARTOLOGY 101 --- 43 years in the makingThe bigger the pattern the bigger the consolidation the more explosive the move how about this Chart Porn? Cup and handle I expect the log tgt not only to be made but surpassed given yesterdays event's in #baltimore Yup Massive east coast supply chain disruptions to be expected Ports jammed Aviation fuel disruptions Major economic ripples could transpire form this the east coast is home to 120 million people I believe .. Wow Stock up on your Cadbury's and many other things ... :0
ICEUS:CC1!
by BallaJi
📈SOL Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Breakout Expected🔑🔍Today, it's Thursday and the Solana (SOL) price on the 4-hour timeframe indicates a consolidating pattern. Over the past few days, SOL has approached the critical resistance level at $195.03. After testing this level once and then experiencing a fakeout, it retraced twice. This suggests $195.03 as a significant level, potentially marking the beginning of the next upward movement upon breakout. 📊Moreover, SOL's trading volume has decreased compared to its parabolic phase, reflecting decreased market excitement. Patiently waiting for the breakout above $195.03 is crucial for significant volumes to enter the market. 🚀Applying Fibonacci retracement tool reveals a correction to the 0.382 level, forming a range between 0.382 and 0 levels. 📈For long positions, consider entering after the breakout above $195.03, offering a favorable trigger point. If the breakout sustains without a fakeout, it could be one of the best entry points for the next upward movement. 📉As for short positions, exercising patience until SOL tests the range further, or alternatively, entering after the breakdown below $168.87, pending confirmation by the Dow Theory. ⚡️By staying vigilant and strategic, traders can capitalize on potential opportunities in SOL's price movements.
by itsparham96
2
Trading Plan for Wednesday, March 27th, 2024Trading Plan for Wednesday, March 27th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious Weekly Volatility Risk: High Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5266 (major), 5258, 5247 (major), 5242, 5233-36 (major), 5221, 5213, 5206-10 (major), 5198, 5188-91 (major), 5181, 5172, 5167-69 (major), 5162, 5153-55 (major), 5146, 5137, 5126 (major), 5119 (major), 5109 Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5274 (major), 5281, 5286-88 (major), 5293, 5299 (major), 5305 (major), 5311, 5315, 5318-20 (major), 5328, 5336-38 (major), 5345 (major), 5354, 5365 (major), 5372, 5380 (major), 5392, 5399 (major), 5408 (major), 5416 (major), 5425, 5432, 5440-44 (major), 5448, 5457 (major) Trading Strategy: Support & Resistance: Watch for potential bounces on support levels 5266, 5247 (triangle backtest), or a deeper pullback to 5242. For shorts, look higher towards 5286-88 or the 5299 zone after a strong move up. Long Opportunities: Consider longs only on strong reactions to support levels, ideally with confirmed failed breakdowns for added safety. Short Opportunities: If considering shorts, strong moves up followed by signs of weakness near resistance zones could be potential areas. Focus on Reactions: Be adaptable – volatility can create opportunities and traps with equal measure. Bull Case Support Holds: As long as supports like 5266, then particularly the triangle backtest at 5247 hold, bulls maintain short-term control. Breakout potential: A decisive breakout above the flag pattern's resistance around the 5300 zone could lead to a surge towards 5318-20 and potentially new highs. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5266 followed by continued selling could trigger a move downwards. Look for potential shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces with extremely tight stops due to FOMC volatility. . News: Top Stories for March 27th, 2024 Regulatory Response to Bank Runs: Federal Reserve and regulatory officials prepare to announce new rules designed to prevent future bank crises, addressing lessons learned from last year's turmoil. Economic Outlook: Recent CPI data, comments from industry leaders and analysts provide insights into inflation trends, monetary policy expectations, and the global economic outlook. Market Performance and Expectations: A cautious outlook for 2024 due to various factors including geopolitical risks and monetary headwinds. Corporate News: Updates on legal settlements, management changes, and stock market debuts affecting companies like Visa, Mastercard, Boeing, and Truth Social. Legal Issues in Crypto: U.S. prosecutors file criminal charges against KuCoin exchange and its founders. Currency and Interest Rates: Tracking movements in the Japanese Yen and potential actions by the Swedish Riksbank.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
Trading Plan for Tuesday, March 26th, 2024Trading Plan for Tuesday, March 26th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious, consolidation after rally Weekly Volatility Risk: High Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5274-76 (major), 5267, 5263 (major), 5257, 5247-51 (major), 5243, 5235, 5228 (major), 5221, 5217, 5212, 5200-03 (major), 5194, 5190 (major), 5179, 5171, 5167 (major), 5163, 5152-55 (major), 5147, 5137, 5126 (major), 5115 (major). Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5281, 5288 (major), 5292, 5299-5303 (major), 5307, 5311, 5316 (major), 5320, 5329, 5337 (major), 5346, 5351, 5356 (major), 5364, 5371, 5380, 5386 (Major), 5392, 5408 (major), 5416, 5426, 5434-37 (major), 5443-5446 (major). Trading Strategy: Tight Range: Be prepared for continued choppy trading within the range defined by the multi-day flag structure. Trade with caution and focus on range-bound strategies or consider sitting out. Flag Structure: Observe the bull flag structure with support around 5274-76 and resistance near 5288 and the 5300 zone. A decisive breakout or breakdown could provide a clearer directional signal. Long Opportunities: Look for potential long entries at 5274-76, particularly after a retest and reclaim. If this level fails, be extremely cautious about longs and consider bids only at major support levels like 5263 and 5247-51 (triangle back-test). Watch for failed breakdowns for added confirmation. Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting on strength carries significant risk, particularly within the flag structure. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near 5288 or the 5300 zone. Watch for signs of a breakdown or retracement for better risk/reward entries. Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action. Let price discovery unfold within this consolidation pattern. Bull Case Flag Breakout: A breakout above the bull flag resistance around 5288 and further above 5300 could signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting 5316, 5338, and ultimately 5350+. Support Holds: As long as 5274-76 holds, the bulls remain in short-term control. Look for potential add-on points if a breakout occurs, preferably after acceptance or a failed breakdown. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5274-76 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps. News: Top Stories for March 26th, 2024 GameStop Earnings: Focus on the GameStop earnings report and its potential impact on the stock market and meme stock sentiment. Federal Reserve Updates: Stay informed about the Federal Reserve's interest rate plans and their impact on market sentiment, particularly concerns about a potential market crash. Global Economic Developments: Monitor updates on economic conditions in Germany, the U.S. housing market, and the China-U.S. trade dispute. U.S. Economy: Analysis of the U.S. economy's resilience, and the implications for the Fed's possible rate cut plans. Stock Market Performance: Track stock market movements, including updates on the Sensex, the Nifty, and the impact of new home sales data in the U.S. Banking and Regulations: Examine the impact of Basel III regulations on the APAC banking sector and the outlook for emerging markets. U.S. Fiscal Policy: Consider the CBO's warnings about rising U.S. federal debt and the increasing cost of debt servicing. Remember: The market is consolidating after a strong rally. Be adaptable, manage risk, prioritize capital preservation, and always prioritize reacting to price action over any predictions.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
Trading Plan for Monday, March 25th, 2024Trading Plan for Monday, March 25th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious, watching key support levels after the rally Weekly Volatility Risk: High Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5284-88 (major), 5276, 5259 (major), 5245-48 (major), 5236, 5230, 5219-21 (major), 5213, 5208, 5200-5197 (major), 5191, 5186, 5177, 5168-71 (major), 5163, 5155, 5145 (major) Resistances to Monitor: Key Resistances: 5295, 5302 (major), 5307 (major), 5313, 5320, 5328 (major), 5338, 5348 (major), 5355, 5363-66 (major), 5380, 5389, 5396-5400 (major), 5412, 5428 (major), 5438-42 (major), 5450, 5460-63 (major) Trading Strategy: Choppy Range: Be prepared for potential choppiness within the 5302-5288 range. Trade with caution and focus on range-bound strategies if this pattern persists. Flag Structure: Observe the bull flag structure that has formed since Thursday. A decisive breakout or breakdown could provide a clearer directional signal. Long Opportunities: Look for potential long entries at 5284-88, particularly after a retest and reclaim. If this level fails, be extremely cautious about longs and consider bids only at major support levels like 5259 and 5245-48 (triangle back-test). Short Opportunities: Counter-trend shorting on strong up moves carries significant risk. Use extreme caution if considering shorts near major resistances. Watch for signs of a breakdown or retracement, and focus on 5307 and potentially 5348 if we get that far. Focus on Reactions: Don't force trades, be patient, and react to price action. Let price discovery unfold after the rally. Bull Case Flag Breakout: A breakout above the bull flag resistance around 5307 could signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting 5320, 5338, then 5348. Support Holds: As long as 5284-88 holds as support, the bulls remain in short-term control. Look for potential add-on points if 5307 breaks out, preferably after acceptance or a failed breakdown. Bear Case Breakdown Signals: Breakdown below 5284 could trigger selling pressure. Watch for shorting opportunities on failed breakdowns or bounces. Exercise patience as these setups often involve traps. News: Top Stories for March 25th, 2024 Federal Reserve Updates: Analysis of the Fed's latest interest rate decision, economic projections, and implications for future monetary policy. Focus on how market expectations for rate cuts in 2024 may have shifted, and the continued focus on inflation data. Inflation and Economic Data: Discussion of the latest CPI figures, job market data, and their potential impact on the Fed's approach to managing inflation. Market Reactions: Examine how global markets have reacted to the Fed's decisions, including equity indices, treasury yields, and the dollar's performance. Global Economic Outlook: Updates from Vanguard on economic expectations, contrasting the U.S. with trends in the Eurozone and U.K. Lessons from Bank Failures: Reflect on the lessons learned from recent stress in regional banks and discuss implications for the financial system's overall stability. Energy Transition: Analysis of the challenges and opportunities in the electrification of energy markets. Stock Market Sentiment: Review market sentiment after the Fed decision and the potential for near-term changes. Remember: The market might be consolidating after a strong rally. Be adaptable, manage risk, prioritize capital preservation, and always prioritize reacting to price action over any predictions.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by spytradingpro
FTSE 100 Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators. * Trend is Based on TrapZone Color * Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves. * Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand -------------------- 2-1-2024 Sideways Momentum with RED TrapZone established now and GREEN UMVD continues still. Price swinging UP & DOWN around the TrapZone. Cant seem to find a direction.
ICEEUR:Z1!
by SnowflakeTrader
2
NIKKE 225 Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators. * Trend is Based on TrapZone Color * Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves. * Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand >> USE PAGE DN to go DOWN To the LATEST Post << -------------------- 2-24-2024 Strong Upside Momentum with wide GREEN TrapZone established now and GREEN UMVD continues. Class A Entry at the top of the TrapZone.
OSE:NK2251!
by SnowflakeTrader
GOLD remained motionless ahead of the Fed meetingThe Federal Reserve will announce its March monetary policy on Wednesday. Experts expect the benchmark rate to remain unchanged, along with the quantitative tightening program. The focus will be on forward guidance, with the Fed likely stating that they won't lower borrowing costs until there is more confidence in inflation reaching 2 percent. The Fed may raise its GDP and core PCE deflator forecasts due to economic resilience and persistent price pressures. This could lead to a reduction in expected rate cuts for 2024 from three to two. The following table shows projections from the December FOMC meeting. If the Federal Reserve signals a greater inclination to exercise patience before removing policy restraint and shows less willingness to deliver multiple rate cuts, we could see U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar charge upwards in the near term, extending their recent rebound. Meanwhile, stocks and gold, which have rallied strongly recently on the assumption that the central bank was on the cusp of pivoting to a looser stance, could be in for a rude awakening (bearish correction). Resistance: 2166 - 2175 - 2182 Support: 2146 - 2140 - 2137 - 2125
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Hang Seng Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators. * Trend is Based on TrapZone Color * Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves. * Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand >> USE PAGE DN to go DOWN To the LATEST Post << -------------------- 2-25-2024 Strong Upside Momentum with wide GREEN TrapZone established for a while and GREEN UMVD continues. Class A Entry at the top of the TrapZone.
HKEX:HSI1!
by SnowflakeTrader
DAX Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators. * Trend is Based on TrapZone Color * Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves. * Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand >> USE PAGE DN to go DOWN To the LATEST Post << -------------------- 2-25-2024 Strong Upside Momentum with wide GREEN TrapZone established now and GREEN UMVD continues. Class A Entry at the top of the TrapZone.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by SnowflakeTrader