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SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Testing Resistance Trendline - DailySPY (S&P500 ETF) price is currently testing a resistance trendline above ($593 to $595 price levels). SPY price in the medium-term has been uptrending since April and May 2025. SPY price in the short-term has been consolidating sideways, and a large volume breakout or breakdown has not occurred yet. The 12EMA (blue line) has been holding as support for 5 trading days. Resistance targets to the upside would be $598 to $600. The grey gap and the 26EMA (purple line) are downside support targets if a rally does not occur this month ($576 to $567). Breaking news and tariff trade deals are supposed to occur in June and July 2025.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KASPA/USDT (Daily Chart) + TRADE PLANTECHNICAL ANALYSIS – KASPA/USDT (Daily Chart) Chart Pattern & Price Action: Descending Channel (Falling Wedge): KASPA has been trading within a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish reversal setup. Breakout Zone Approaching: Price is currently testing the upper resistance of the wedge (~$0.086–$0.088). A breakout from this level may indicate trend reversal. Key Resistance Zone: $0.105 – $0.127: Significant supply area (marked in red). Previously rejected, it is the next target if price breaks out upward. Support Zone: $0.073 – $0.082: Demand zone. Coincides with the Bollinger Band lower range and historical support. Indicators Overview: Bollinger Bands: Price is trading at or near the middle band, showing a neutral-to-slightly bearish bias. A breakout above the upper band (~$0.0895) could trigger bullish momentum. MACD (VMC Cipher_B_Divergences): Strong bearish momentum continues, but we can observe potential bullish divergence forming. Green dot signal at the bottom may indicate a possible local bottom. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 37.06, near oversold territory. Could signal a bounce if RSI climbs above 40 and confirms strength. Money Flow Index (Art’ Money Flow): MFI is deep in negative; however, these levels often precede trend reversals. Watch for a crossover into positive territory as confirmation. Stochastic RSI: Bullish crossover around 14.53 / 15.67 in the oversold zone. Early sign of potential short-term bounce. TRADING PLAN Entry Points: Zone Type Price Range Reason Buy Spot 1 Conservative $0.073 – $0.082 Strong historical support & bottom of wedge Buy Spot 2 Aggressive ~$0.086 – $0.089 Breakout of descending wedge Buy Spot 3 Momentum Break above $0.105 Bullish confirmation + breakout of major resistance Take Profit Zones: TP Level Price Notes TP1 $0.105 First resistance / psychological level TP2 $0.127 Strong resistance – expect rejection here TP3 $0.15–0.16 Major extension target if strong momentum Stop-Loss Strategy: Strategy Type Placement Conservative Below $0.073 Aggressive Below $0.080 Risk Management: Use position sizing relative to account size (e.g., 1–3% risk per trade). Adjust stop-loss dynamically if entering at breakout. Combine with on-chain metrics or volume spikes for higher conviction. SCENARIOS: 🔼 Bullish Scenario (Blue Up Arrow): Breakout above wedge → retest → rally toward $0.105+ Break $0.105 confirms macro uptrend continuation 🔽 Bearish Scenario (Blue Down Arrow): Rejection at wedge top → breakdown of $0.082 → revisit $0.073 support Below $0.073 would invalidate short-term bullish structure
Long
by elfabiiani
GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data This week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation. Last Week in News After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans. Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%. In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April. Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week • Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak. • Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy. The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance. Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs. Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward. On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400. As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend. Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions. Support: $3,250 – $3,228 Resistance: $3,371 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3341 →Take Profit 1 3329 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3323 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3242 →Take Profit 1 3254 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3260
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: First weekly bear bar since end of March but I doubt we just go down. Much more likely is a trading range until more bulls doubt we get above 112k. Can you buy 103k? Only with a stop maybe 98k since the risk of hitting 99.9k are too big to have a stop there. But that trade is much more likely to succeed than shorting 103k with a stop 112.1k. current market cycle: Broad bull channel on the weekly and monthly chart. Tight bull channel on the daily chart break this week and we are likely in a trading range before we get the next impulse. key levels: 100k - 115k bull case: If you are still long this and have not taken profits at 110k, I don’t know what you are waiting for. Market is clearly not finding buyers above 110k and it’s a perfect double top with 2024-12 and 2025-01. Can we hit 115k oder 120k? Sure but the odds are so low. If you are HODLing for 1mil, will hold through 70k again and buy more? If so, good luck to you. Got nothing for the bulls other than a trading range. Invalidation is a daily below 100k with follow-through. bear case: Bears need a gap down and it has to stay open if they want more downside. I think the selling this week was decent and without much resistance by the bulls. Contraire to nq and sp500, Friday did not produce a big reversal, which makes me a bit more bearish than it probably should. We are at bigger prior support and I can only really favor the bears once we close the gap down to 97k and the April high. Invalidation is above 116k. short term: Neutral. I expect a trading range and likely another test of 110k or even 115k but this will likely be the double top many are waiting before they will short this. A very rough guess of another two-legged move higher is on the chart but don’t trade based on that as of now. Wait for stronger buying again and be prepared to not get more than 110k. medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-25: Will update this next week but plan here is the same as other markets. I wait for this to top out and trade it back down to 80k over the summer.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: 3 weeks inside a tight range but market keeps getting rejected under the weekly 20ema and it’s consecutive bear bars now. Below 59.8 I favor the bears for more downside. current market cycle: monthly time frame is a broad bear channel - weekly tf is a bear wedge - daily is a trading range key levels: 55 - 64 bull case: Bulls need a daily close above 64 to retest the bear trend line of this big bear wedge from the January high 78.1. That’s the whole story for now. Market oscillates around 61 without any momentum, so buy low, sell high until it stops working. Invalidation is below 59.8. bear case: Bears need a daily close below 59.8 for more downside but market has been pretty much in balance for 3 weeks around 61. Problem for the bulls is, that we closed lower again and the tails above the weekly bars are much bigger than the ones below bars. So bears are slightly favored but only very slightly. Invalidation is above 64.4 short term: Neutral. Playing the range until it stops working but mostly only small scalps. Market is likely waiting for an end to the tariff madness which might not come. medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-25: Need a clear break of the trading range 54 - 64 before we can come up with new targets. Bear trend (wedge) is valid until the trend line breaks.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Not much difference to the dax or sp500, so you can skip the text and just watch the chart. Should look similar to you and you should trade it the same. If you have not read my dax update, please go read it. current market cycle: trading range key levels for next week: 20700 - 22000 bull case: Bulls are trapping bears into decent looking shorts just to reverse them strongly. Bulls are still hopeful af and until we have a daily close below 20700, the bull wedge is alive and can lead to higher prices. Bulls are heavily favored to continue until then. Target is obviously 22000. Invalidation is below 20600. bear case: Bears need a daily close below 22700 and close the giant gap down to 20200. Until then they have been making money shorting new highs but only for scalps. If we get another good move down next week, you should take big profits before they vanish again. Daily 20ema held for 6 weeks now, expect the next touch to get bought as well. Invalidation is above 22100. short term: Bullish that we stay above 20700 and hit 22000 next week. The buying on Friday was so strong, that we can expect higher prices. I will need strong signals though since we had bad news after hours Friday and Friday was also end of month, which can always distort the market bias somewhat. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-01: Market is refusing to go down but I can not see this going much more up. Maybe we hit 22000 maybe we don’t. My assumption is still that latest around end of June we begin to decline over the summer. If EU tariffs go through next week or there is no really good news before end of day Friday, expect a blood bath if they come into effect. It’s a trade embargo. No one will ship anything with 50% on top of it and markets are trading like everything is literally perfect.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
#202522 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Max bearishness last Friday but markets refuse to go down and take tariff risks at face value. Q2 earnings will tell the story so buckle up. Earnings season kicks off in about 3 weeks. Until then the next big event will be in 8 days when 50% EU tariffs may or may not come into play. Until then I don’t expect a big move to the downside, since bears tried couple of times but market refuses to go down. The big upper channel line runs up to 25000 and that is the next obvious big target. For bears it’s a break below the bull wedge and retesting 23300. current market cycle: bull wedge and on the weekly tf it’s a broad bull channel and we are at the very top key levels for next week: 23000 - 25000 bull case: 25000 is the next big round number but I highly doubt we get there. I was wrong last week and until we leave bear gaps behind us, bulls are favored for everything because the reality is that buying every dip has been profitable for months now. Bulls have to keep printing higher lows though. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: I doubt we have much more upside in store but we could very well spike to 25000 before we can expect more bulls to stop buying every dip. Bears get spikes and zero follow-through, which leads to many bear traps. Scalping both sides was fine the past 2 weeks but bears have to take quick profits or they vanish quickly. Bears need a daily close below 23300 for more downside and until then, swing shorts are account destroyers. We need a big gap down which does not close to stop the BTFD crowd. So if we get a decent one next week and market only corrects sideways, that will be the trigger for more selling. Invalidation is above 24500. short term: Neutral. Scalping both sides but I will only turn full bear with an open bear gap and a daily close below 23300. medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb. This view has not changed, just the time horizon which aligns better with Q2 earnings and my expectation that we will see the tariff madness coming through. Markets can ignore risks for longer than you can maintain your account but that does not change the reality and if you think this tariff war has a happy ending, you have not paid attention to anyone but the US government or their echo chamber.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
#ES_F Weekly Prep 06.01 - 06.06.25Last week we have consolidated, built a cost basis under HTF Edge Top and made a push into new HTF Ranges Value on Wednesday after some news, we made it into the Mean of that range but failed to hold before the open trapping Supply in Value. Thursday held under the Edge and by Friday built up enough supply to flush Holiday Cost basis into lower Value where the selling stopped at the Mean and we started covering, being mid day Friday and End of Month we got strong enough covering to take us all the way back into the Edge/into current Intraday Ranges top which is around 930 - 25 Area. Question for this week is, was that a strong bid on Friday which will give us a hold and continued pushes into above VAL over the Edge or was it just a retest of this Edge top from below, momentum traders pushed us out on news and now we are back inside 930 - 770s HTF Range ? Looking at our structure, we had Trend Change on Thursday during RTH Open and for now we have closed Friday in downward correction Trend. This tells us that its possible that we have failed to accept inside new above HTF Range and if that is the case then we could target moves back down towards lower areas of VAH / Mean / VAL and if there will be volume moves under it. For things to change and to see stability + strength out of here we would need to see a good push over 930s which could hold over AND see a move over 941 - 45 area, without that need to be careful with longs into those areas as our Supply and Sellers are around and over us. Things have been slow and moves take a while to set up so Current Intraday Range could act as support and we can see price trade back and forth inside it with Holiday Cost basis providing Support, BUT if we do get through that under VAH then we can see further moves down towards Mean and VAL which has another cost basis there that we can try to fill out and it could hold the price around it, to see any more weakness from there we would need to find ourself under VAL and be able to get into that 800 Balance area, it is new Month and we do have Market Moving Data this week so it could happen. If this will be the case good entry areas for continuation lower could be found around 914 - 10 // 900 - 896 // 869 - 65 // 855 - 51 careful around 824 - 20 and IF we attempt for move into lower Balance could find entries for it at 810 - 06 IF Trend does change and we hold over the Edge OR we hold Current Intraday Range and some of the weekly Data/News will push us over 941 - 45 then we could see moves into above VAL / Mean and would look for Entries around 955 - 59 // 986 - 90 if this will be the case need to be careful with looking for too much continuation over the Mean as there will be selling closer to above VAH we get and especially if we see pushes into/over it as there is more supply above, if move higher happens we would probably look to stay under 630 - 20s and If Holiday Cost Basis holds as Support the could also find long entries at 896 - 900 area after we hold under but need to be careful with looking for big moves and try to grab area to area as market moves and back fills very efficiently lately so watch out for back and forth trading while its moving towards targets.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
Technical Analysis – KASPA/USDT (1D) + spot trade planTechnical Analysis – KASPA/USDT (1D) Trend Structure & Price Action KASPA experienced a strong bullish rally (highlighted in orange) starting in mid-April, followed by a descending channel (bullish flag) correction (highlighted in green). Currently, the price is approaching major support zones, indicating a potential reversal opportunity. Support & Buy Zones (Marked) Buy Spot 1: ~$0.062–$0.067 → Key historical support, potential bottom range. Buy Spot 2: ~$0.070–$0.075 → Moderate support, former resistance turned support. Buy Spot 3: ~$0.078–$0.081 → Current local demand zone and trendline interaction. These zones represent incremental buying opportunities during correction. Indicator Analysis Market Cipher / Divergence Indicators Multiple bullish divergence signals are forming (green dots), suggesting buyer interest is growing. Momentum is in deep negative territory and may be bottoming. RSI (14) RSI is at 32.95, which is approaching oversold territory (below 30), signaling a potential reversal. Money Flow Index (MFI) MFI is at 19, which is also considered oversold, showing capital is leaving but likely nearing exhaustion. Stochastic RSI Stochastic RSI is below 10 (6.22) and starting to cross, indicating a strong potential bullish reversal in the short term. Trading Plan – KASPA/USDT (Spot Strategy) Entry Strategy (DCA) Buy Spot Entry Range Allocation Reason Spot 1 $0.062 – $0.067 50% Major long-term support, deep oversold zone Spot 2 $0.070 – $0.075 30% Mid-range support, confirmation zone Spot 3 $0.078 – $0.081 20% Early entry for aggressive traders Risk Management Stop Loss (optional): Below $0.060 (break of long-term structure) Average Entry (if all 3 zones are filled): ~$0.071 (estimated) Capital Allocation: Use max 3–5% of total capital per setup for risk control. Profit Targets Target Level Price Rationale TP1 $0.092 – $0.095 Top of descending channel TP2 $0.105 Previous swing high (April peak) TP3 $0.120 Breakout and continuation target KASPA is currently in a healthy correction within a bullish continuation pattern (falling channel). The confluence of oversold indicators (RSI, MFI, Stoch RSI), support zones, and bullish divergence suggests a favorable buying opportunity for swing or position traders. If the price respects these zones, a bounce toward the prior high or breakout levels is likely.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
DJIA — Setting Up for Breakout and New ImpulseThe Dow Jones Index is approaching a critical resistance zone. After a deep V-shaped recovery and clear bullish structure, price is preparing for a breakout. Chart shows a clean long entry with a stop below the recent consolidation. A break and hold above 45,000 could lead to a move toward 46,000, and if momentum holds — up to 49,300. Partial profit-taking levels: — Target 1: 45,225 — Target 2: 49,380 Fundamentally, US equity markets remain strong, and DJIA may play catch-up after lagging during the last correction.
OSE:DJIA1!Long
by InvestWorld_777
GOLD eases, fundamental support and technical momentumOANDA:XAUUSD fell in early Asian trading on May 30 after Thursday's gains, although it still had room to rise as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar and Trump's tariffs faced more uncertainty. Gold recovered from a weekly low of $3,245 an ounce on Thursday to break above the $3,300 an ounce mark as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar. As of press time, gold had fallen below the full price of $3,300, down $23 on the day and around 0.69% . The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, adding to pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates. Data released on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, exceeding market expectations. The data showed initial jobless claims in the United States rose by 14,000 to 240,000 in the week ended May 24, compared with estimates of 230,000. According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May 6-7 meeting, policymakers acknowledged that they could face "difficult trade-offs" in the coming months, as both inflation and unemployment rise, raising the risk of a recession. Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments. Trump Tariff Ruling Overturned A U.S. trade court ruled on Wednesday that the president lacked the authority to impose tariffs, blocking most of Trump's tariffs, but on Thursday a federal appeals court agreed to the Trump administration's request to suspend the court's ruling. The U.S. government's request for an immediate administrative stay was granted, and the rulings and permanent injunctions issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in these cases will be temporarily suspended until further notice while the court reviews the relevant motion documents, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit said in its ruling. Investors will focus on the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, on Friday. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation during times of economic uncertainty, and higher-than-expected PCE data would benefit the US dollar and reduce the appeal of gold, leading to a possible decline in prices. The opposite effect would be seen if PCE data were lower than expected, which would increase the likelihood of an early rate cut by the Fed, leading to a depreciation of the dollar and gold benefiting from expectations of a low-interest rate environment. Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is down but currently the downside momentum has been limited by the initial support area which is the confluence of EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382%, this support area has been noted by readers in the publications since the beginning of this trading week. Temporarily, gold does not have enough technical conditions to be able to increase in price in the short term, because it is still under pressure from the price channel. However, in terms of the overall and long-term trend, gold still has a main trend of increasing price, a trend noted by the price channel. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still holding above 50, with the current RSI position at 50 being considered as the nearest support in terms of momentum. A sustained price action above the 3,300ISD price point would be considered a positive signal, while a break above the channel would qualify the bulls for a short-term target of 3,371USD. For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish and the key points to watch are listed below. Support: 3,292USD – 3,250USD Resistance: 3,371USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3342 - 3340⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3346 →Take Profit 1 3334 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3328 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3199 →Take Profit 1 3211 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3217
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
ETH - Long Anyway, Short-term and Long-term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈ETH has been overall bullish trading within the rising blue channel from a long-term perspective and within the rising red channel from a short-term perspective. Moreover, the red and blue zones are strong support and structure! 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue and red circles are strong areas to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower zone(s) and trendline(s). 📚 As per my trading style: As #ETH approaches one of the circles, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
14
NQ Breakdown Plan: 3 Targets, 1 Setup, No Chasing🧠 NQ Short Plan – NY Open Game Plan Price has pulled back into a key structure zone, and I’m watching closely for a sell setup during the first two hours of the New York session tomorrow. 📌 My trade plan is simple: I want a solid pullback first — not chasing here. If I get a clean sell trigger (candle confirmation or momentum flush), I’m in. Break-even gets locked in once we break the 21,349 area. From there, I’ll take profits in three stages and trail the stop behind price if we get momentum. 🔐 Break-Even Lock: 21,349 ✅ TP #1 – 21,200 ✅ TP #2 – 21,050 ✅ TP #3 – 20,800 (final leg if sellers step in hard) The rising trendline break could be the domino. If it cracks, we roll. But if bulls defend again, no trade — discipline first. 📅 Session Focus: Only trading this setup if it unfolds in the first 2 hours of NY open. After that, I’m out. No chasing. No revenge. Just execution. 💬 Let me know if you’re watching this level too — or if you see something different. Always open to alternate perspectives.
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Short
by natron
1
2025-05-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: I don’t know what’s more likely to happen tomorrow and every time I feel that way, market is in a trading range and most likely neutral. Big up, big down, big confusion. Read some Al Brooks. Volume was big today but given that bears only managed to close 60 points below Wednesday, what did they achieve? RTH session closed the gap but not more. Futures obviously had a nasty reversal but we can still draw a decent bull wedge with lows either 21300 or 21100 and that would mean bulls would be favored to trade back up. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 - 22000 bull case: Bulls who want to buy 21400 would likely need a stop 20700 and scale in. Is this a good trade? I don’t think so. You either wait for better confirmation that today’s low is credible and will hold or you wait for lower prices closer to 21000 before going long. I doubt this bull wedge will just end like this and that we top out with 21858. I expect at least some form of double top with a print up to 21700 or higher. The middle of the current range is 21300 and market bottomed out there today. Maybe this fact makes it a bit more favorable for the bulls. Invalidation is below 21300. bear case: Below 21300 bears could try to go for 21000 or even last weeks low at 20727. How likely is that? Today’s selling was very strong and it was at the moment everything was max bullish and perfect aligned. You do not see these type of reversals in a strong bull trend. We are very likely in the last days of it before we go down lower. That being said, I just don’t think we will go down further from here without another try of 21800+. I have two potential bull wedges on my chart and bears would need a strong move below 21300 and stay around 21000 for me to abandon that structure. Invalidation is above 22100. short term: Neutral and need a very good signal to either side for me to take it. Bears want 21000 and bulls at least 21800. My line in the sand is 21300. medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in. trade of the day: Buying Globex open was the obvious trade but shorting the highs certainly was not and I think everyone was surprised by this bear strength today.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Ascending trendline breakdownCRYPTOCAP:BTC lost 50MA that may act as resistance now, retracement down to 200MA support seems next. ⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Bitget Futures Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (19.0X) Amount: 5.0% Current Price: 107480.5 Entry Zone: 108234.7 - 109274.5 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 106010.9 2) 103944.6 3) 101878.3 Stop Targets: 1) 111050.5 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +47.9% | +84.0% | +120.1% Possible Loss= -40.1% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Short
by TradingOn
1
US court blocks Trump tax plan, GOLD falls sharplyOANDA:XAUUSD was sold off heavily in early morning trading on Thursday (May 29), with the price of gold falling to around $3,246/ounce, down more than $40 on the day. Bloomberg reported that gold prices fell for the fourth consecutive day as the market digested news that a US trade court had blocked Trump's global tariff program. Gold prices fell 2% in the previous three trading days. On Wednesday local time, a US federal court blocked the tariff policy announced by US President Trump on April 2, "Liberation Day", and ruled that Trump exceeded his authority and imposed comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import. The Court of International Trade in Manhattan said the US Constitution gives Congress the exclusive power to regulate trade with other countries, and the emergency powers the president declared to protect the US economy do not override those powers. The lawsuit was filed by the Liberty Center for Justice, a non-profit, nonpartisan litigation organization in the United States, on behalf of small American businesses affected by the tariffs. It is the first major legal challenge to Trump’s tariff policies. The U.S. Court of International Trade has ruled that most of Trump’s tariffs are illegal, sending the dollar even higher. A stronger dollar makes gold less attractive to buyers of safe-haven assets. The Trump administration has filed a notice to appeal the ruling. The US Supreme Court is likely to have the final say in the landmark case, which could affect trillions of dollars in global trade. The court's ruling dealt a blow to a pillar of the Republican Party's economic agenda and could reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold will recover soon after falling to the important support level of 3,250 USD, note that you have read in the previous issues. However, falling below the Fibonacci 0.382% level with EMA21 is a negative signal for bullish expectations as this area becomes the nearest resistance. But overall, gold is still in an uptrend with the channel as the main trend. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching the nearest support at 50, an upward bend from this level would be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum. As long as gold remains in/above the channel, I remain bullish and the notable positions are listed below. Support: 3,250 – 3,228 USD Resistance: 3,392 – 3,300 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3292 - 3290⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3296 →Take Profit 1 3284 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3278 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3199 →Take Profit 1 3211 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3217
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
FOMC minutes, GOLD market may see strong volatilityIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD recovered slightly after yesterday's sharp decline. Gold prices are currently holding price action around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, the nearest support point. On this trading day, investors will look at the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market. On Tuesday, as the Trump administration once again released positive information on trade, the market's risk appetite recovered, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its May monetary policy meeting. At its May 7 monetary policy meeting, the FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive time this year. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell continued to maintain his "no rush to cut interest rates" stance. The minutes released this time record the FOMC's detailed views on monetary policy and provide clues to the future direction of interest rate policy. Economists generally believe that with few clear signs of stress in the labor market, Fed officials will be happy to keep rates on hold until changes in trade policy are reflected in the data, and the minutes are expected to reinforce that view. There is a possibility that the tone of the minutes will be more hawkish than expected, which could support the US dollar to some extent, thereby affecting gold prices, but overall it will not create strong pressure. But these are all predictions because I cannot predict what will be in the content of the US FED FOMC minutes, and all the content in the FOMC minutes will be directly reflected in the gold price. Traders need to pay special attention to this event on this trading day. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold is still struggling to trade above the confluence area as initial support with the emergence of the 21-day moving average (EMA21) with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement. The technical structure has hardly changed significantly with the trend still tilted to the upside. Holding above the $3,300 base point would be a good sign, on the other hand the $3,371 target would remain as a near-term upside target and a break of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement on gold would provide the technical conditions for the next upside target around $3,400 in the near-term, followed by $3,435 more than the all-time high of $3,500. The relative strength index RSI is above 50, which is also a good signal in terms of momentum, from the RSI we can see that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead. During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions. Support: 3,292 – 3,250 USD Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3365 - 3363⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3369 →Take Profit 1 3357 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3351 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3263 - 3265⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3259 →Take Profit 1 3271 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3277
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
Nasdaq Bulls Back in the Fight – 21K Is the Battlefield📍 The 21K Line in the Sand – Nasdaq’s Second Chance Setup The bounce off the purple EMA was no joke — big reaction, and now we’re reclaiming key structure: back above VWAP (red), white EMA, and even the weekly pivot (straight orange line). That pivot zone at 21K is still the line in the sand. I do expect a potential breach — maybe even a quick liquidity sweep — but if buyers step in with momentum and reclaim, I’m interested in longs again. ⚔️ This is a momentum shift — structure's back in favor of bulls, and until we lose 21K with conviction, I’m treating dips into that area as buyable. 📍And if price overreacts? I’m watching 20,750 as a “second chance” zone. Strong bounce there before — I’m not ignoring that twice. This is still a two-sided game, but for now, bulls are back in position. Let’s see if they hold the line.
CME_MINI:MNQM2025Long
by natron
1
2025-05-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Higher highs and higher lows. Focus on the easy trades. Can only get bearish with consecutive 15m or 1h bars below 24000 and for now that is unlikely. Bulls bought 24000 the whole week so look for longs. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23000 - 24500 bull case: As long as the bull gap 23700 - 23900 stays open, I would only look for longs. 24500 is the next obvious target and it’s not impossible that markets do a complete meltup tomorrow. Structure is a clear bull channel until we print below 24000. Invalidation is below 23900. bear case: Bears need something below 24000 again, that means lower lows. Right now bulls remain in full control and I doubt we can go from daily new ath to a big reversal down. I got nothing for the bears here. Invalidation is above 24550. short term: Neutral but would only trade long until we see much better selling pressure and prices below 24000. medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb. trade of the day: Short since the bull trap on the open but I did not take it. I thought chances of a reversal were too high for me. I was wrong but that’s ok.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds