ETH ANALYSIS📊 #ETH Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #ETH performed same. Now we can see that #ETH is trading in a bullish flag pattern and its a bullish pattern. We could expect around 10% bullish move if it sustain above its major support.
👀Current Price: $2555
🚀 Target Price: $2815
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ETH price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Futures
BTC - Update on Suspected Flash Crash ScenarioFor those of you who have been following my ideas, and I don’t think that would be many - understandably so, because these ideas seem so outrageous and out of the norm - I feel obligated to provide updated numbers per my own personal trade ideas.
I expect BTC to flash crash. In summary, here is why:
1. DXY is breaking down and retesting a major bearish trendline on the monthly. This alongside geopolitical events and sentiment, I expect the dollar to fall rapidly and store of value assets such as BTC to see a multi year bull run.
2. The market has been steadily bringing BTC up since late 2022. This leaves a trail of long position stop losses below the price, leaving a massive chain reaction of sell orders ready to set off one into the next. In other words, the orders required to make the drop are already in the chart.
3. It’s a question of when - BTC is under 3 intersecting bearish trendlines, and we can see how price breaks above and below these support / resistance levels historically. Eventually they will hold and play out, estimating when is tricky - that’s why I use DXY to predict it.
It’s difficult to pinpoint where the upper resistance is - but a pretty solid pick is around 105,200. I’ve used various numbers in the past for this idea, but it’s always refining and evolving based on what I see price doing.
I’m proposing two movements for a massive liquidation sweep of the lows prior to a 3-5 year bull run where BTC sees those quarter million dollar prices.
Scenario 1:
105,200 to 35,000
35,000 retrace to 77,000 ( although this doesn’t have to happen, I just anticipate a 3 wave corrective move)
77,000 to 10,000 (could be as low as 7,000)
7,000 and upwards of 200,000 (after all liquidity is absorbed and reclaimed)
Scenario 2:
105,200 straight down (for the most part) to 17,000 to 20,000
17-20,000 and upwards to 200,000 plus
Personally I feel scenario one is most likely. I’ve been trading this market since 2017 and the newfound “ stability “ of Bitcoin during the last 2 years cannot be trusted. This upwards move IS NOT a bull run. It’s a BEARISH RETEST.
Bearish retests typically move straight up, exactly as what’s been happening - following by a drop roughly 10 times as fast.
Same ideas on the larger time frames as smaller time frames.
WHEN DO I EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN?
Starting any minute and spanning over the next several days to week.
Anyway - that’s my update for those of you who are interested.
Understand this stuff gets laughed at - but I experienced the same treatment when I told my group to long BTC at 16,500 in Jan 2023 to a target of 90,000. It’s not new to me and I expect it.
Doing my best to help advise and open your minds to alternative ideas.
ETH - Another Take - When in Doubt, Zoom OutETH on the multi day time frame appears to have been respecting this ascending series of support / resistances since its inception.
If this resistance holds, this is a major breakdown of ETH’s last support - assuming the chart does work best on these ascending channels (certainly has historically).
Due to this I am shorting ETH at 2550 appx - and my targets are marked on the chart (3 purple levels).
I don’t see why any formation on the chart should be dismissed if it has a strong interaction historically.
Let’s see what happens.
Happy trading
#BERAUSDT #1D (Bitget Futures) Descending wedge on supportBeraChain printed a bullish hammer that may have marked a double bottom here on daily.
Reversal seems around the corner, revisiting 50MA & 100EMA resistances would make sense.
⚡️⚡️ #BERA/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (2.0X)
Amount: 4.8%
Entry Zone:
2.798 - 2.558
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 3.345
2) 3.848
3) 4.350
Stop Targets:
1) 2.120
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BERA BITGET:BERAUSDT.P #1D #BeraChain berachain.com
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +49.8% | +87.4% | +124.9%
Possible Loss= -41.7%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
BTC 4H. $104K or Bust — Critical BTC Moment! 06/13/25BINANCE:BTCUSDT remains in a sideways range between $110,336 – $101,297. The main trading volume is concentrated around $103,907.
Recently, the price reached the upper boundary of the range at $110,336 and sharply declined from there — confirming the strength of resistance. The drop was intensified by negative geopolitical news (Israel–Iran tensions).
As a result, BTC retraced into the $104,185 – $101,297 demand zone — a potential area where buyers might step in again.
Personally, I expect one more dip into the $104,185 – $101,297 range to test the strength of buyers.
⚠️ If negative news continues, a breakdown below $100,349 and a new local low is possible.
DYOR.
BTC - On its way down from these trendlines How low can we go? We will find out.
Three bearish intersecting trendlines above.
Short began initiating from above as per my previous post.
I personally am not ruling out a flash crash to 10,000.
DXY is breaking down a major bearish trendline on the weekly / monthly - Market has a prime opportunity to manipulate Bitcoin into all of these long stop losses and trigger a massive liquidation event.
Stay alert and safe!
2025-06-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral around 21900. 21700 was the lowest I expected and we printed 21716.5. Weekly close around 21900 is the most likely outcome for me. We have no acceptance above 21900 and none below 21800 as well. A trend day tomorrow would surprise me.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21700 - 22100
bull case: Bulls want to close the week above 21800 to print a green one. They had spikes above 21900 but nothing else. They are still somewhat in control because we are not making meaningful lower lows and are still at the highs but price action is neutral since last week so no side has the clear advantage. Weekly close above 22000 would be a surprise to me.
Invalidation is below 21680.
bear case: Bears have to close the gap down to 21680 if they want more downside. Until then they have to fade everything above 21900 since that has been profitable for a week now. A weekly close below 21800 would be a decent sell signal going into next week and a clear break of the wedge. Problem for the bears is the same as for bulls on the other side. On the 4h chart we have big tails above and below bars. Market is completely in balance around 21850ish and therefor I expect a weekly close around that price.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Completely neutral. New high or low would surprise me tomorrow. I expect a choppy session where mean reversion will likely be king.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21730 because it was support all week and the obvious trade.
ATOM. Massive Liquidity Grab Incoming. 06/12/25BINANCE:ATOMUSDT At the moment, the price is in an accumulation phase.
The buyer interest zone lies between $3.806 – $3.601, which also serves as a strong support area. We may see solid spot/futures entries here and the potential start of a new upward move.
What we’re really waiting for is liquidity to be swept in this zone — where tons of stop-losses have clustered. Such a shakeout would be a perfect setup for a bullish impulse.
Spot/futures accumulation is valid within this zone.
DYOR.
BNB 1D Ready to Explode? This Chart Says YES. 06/12/25BINANCE:BNBUSDT is forming a tight consolidation right below key resistance at $710, inside a triangle structure. Every dip into the $655–$625 support zone gets quickly bought up — showing strong buyer interest and accumulation.
Price is compressing inside the triangle with higher lows, indicating bullish pressure. A breakout above $710 would likely trigger a strong move toward $770–$780, and potentially a new ATH > $800.
As long as $625 holds — I'm bullish. I expect one more sweep of support before an explosive breakout.
Spot/futures entries: $655–$625
Targets: $710 → $780 → $820+
Invalidation: Daily close below $625.
1INCH 1D. Showing Signs of Accumulation. 06/12/25BINANCE:1INCHUSDT There's growing media and social media attention around the 1INCH project, which could be a bullish sentiment trigger.
Currently, the price is trading within a descending channel and has recently bounced from the lower boundary, signaling a potential long entry or spot accumulation opportunity.
From current levels, I expect a clean 2x upside on spot. Personally, I think it's worth starting to scale in carefully on spot or futures.
However, keep in mind — even after a bounce, price could still dip slightly lower before any meaningful move up. A deeper correction remains a possibility, so always factor in risk.
📌 Key Takeaways:
• Long bias from current levels
• Potential 2x on spot
• Further dip possible — manage risk accordingly
DYOR. Stay sharp.
DOGE 1D: Missed PEPE? Don’t Miss DOGE 06/12/25BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
I’m expecting a continuation of the upward movement and a possible trend reversal.
There’s a chance we’ll revisit the 0.618 Fib level to shake out weak hands — a classic move before liftoff.
Looking at the chart, it really feels like altseason is closer than anyone expects. DOGE may lead the charge.
Entry Points (EP):
• Market
• $0.19357
• $0.18009
Take Profit (TP):
• $0.22787
• $0.25439
⚠️ My personal opinion only — not financial advice.
Do your own research and remember: all actions you take are your own responsibility. Practice solid risk management and avoid investing more than 2% of your total capital per trade.
DYOR.
ZCU25 CORN... It ALWAYS comes down to cornAND I'M BACK AND DUMBER THAN EVER
Listen up Honkies, this trade has a 93% probability based on the historical data over the last 30 years. So I bet Muhammad my 3rd ex-wife and a half of my second step child. The reason this trade works is easy! We all have felt and understand FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) and how the market reacts, I understood this on my second ex-wife when she got a boyfriend. So in late June pollination season occurs with corn and the yield is unknown for the next year, this is a very simple way of looking at the agricultural industry and how the market corrects. The trade is set up in two stages in order to maximize profit. The first stage, with the FUD in pollination season typically results in a 15-20% drop, I split the difference at 17% lets make it easier than my first divorce. This usually occurs around June 26th and can extend to July 17th. Around July 15th to the 20th the projected yield is shared and the market recorrects to the upside as the numbers represented due to the FUD don't represent the price action in the futures market, and because the futures market is speculatory (Adult Gambling) the degens will pump the contracts up looking for a quick buck like my third wife. Now in order to not go broke while you're trying to buy your ex wife's boyfriend's son a new car, you need to hedge the contract in a calendar spread aka intra-commodity spread, so do the opposite in combination on the march 2026 corn contract as the maintance is lower and the price action isn't there due to open interest in the market, so let that contract ride if it goes against you. SO! you short the ZCU25 while longing the ZCH26, then offset the contracts when direction changes and long ZCU25 and short ZCH26, it's as easy as 1,2,8. Had to repost this forgot the Tags my bad.
"all I need is one trade to pay all the alimony for this year."
-KewlKat
KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles TA+Trade plan1. Market context & chart structure
Asset / venue / timeframe: KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles, data to 12 Jun 2025 06:45 UTC (see image).
Primary pattern in play: Price has compressed into a contracting (symmetrical) triangle that began after the 28 May low. The apex is only ~1–2 candles away, so a decisive break is statistically imminent.
Preceding structure:
17-day descending channel → capitulation into a falling-wedge reversal (27–28 May).
Two-legged double-bottom (“Bottom 2”) at 0.075–0.078 USDT.
Sideways rectangle 29 May-7 Jun, now morphing into the present triangle.
Key horizontal levels (4 h closes): 0.0930 (upper triangle rail / neckline) · 0.0891 (local supply) · 0.0797 (strong demand / wedge base) · 0.0620 (monthly support)
Volume picture: Realised volume has been drying up since 31 May, a classic pre-breakout contraction. A spike on the break will confirm direction.
2. Indicator read-out
Market Cipher B - Green momentum wave printing, money-flow bars just turned positive Mildly bullish, Early bull divergence vs 28 May
RSI(14) - 46 and curling up - Neutral-to-bullish Hidden bullish divergence vs price higher-lows
Stoch RSI 26/24 and crossing up from oversold Bullish Momentum reset complete
ArTy Money-Flow Index +3.5 and rising Bullish Positive inflow after five sessions of outflow
Collectively the oscillators favour an upside resolution, provided volume confirms.
3. Scenario probability matrix
Scenario Trigger & confirmation
Option 1 – Uptrend continuation
4 h close ≥ 0.0925 USDT with volume ≥ 2× 20-period average
Measured-move 0.107 → 0.118;
extended fib 1.618 ≈ 0.125–0.128
Est. probability: 60 %
Option 2 – Downtrend resumption
4 h close ≤ 0.079 USDT with similar volume spike 0.072 (range EQ) → 0.067–0.062 structural support
Est. probability: 40 %
Weighting derives from: oscillator bias, shrinking supply above 0.092 (order-book heat-map), but tempered by external models calling for a short-term dip toward 0.067 USDT
4. Trading plan
Component Long (Option 1) Short (Option 2)
Entry Buy stop 0.0926 USDT Sell stop 0.0789 USDT
Initial stop-loss 0.0838 USDT 0.0870 USDT (back inside triangle)
Primary target-1 0.1050 (≈1R) 0.0725 (≈1R)
Secondary target-2 0.1180 (≈2.5R) 0.0670 (≈2.5R)
Position size Risk ≤ 1 % of account per trade (adjust contracts accordingly)
5. Additional catalysts & risk factors
Macro-beta: BTC dominance and broad market risk-on / risk-off could swamp pattern-based setups; monitor DXY and SPX correlations.
Protocol news: Kaspa’s DAG-based roadmap upgrades and potential exchange listings remain upside catalysts. Conversely, lack of progress or regulatory headlines could accelerate a downside break.
kaspa.org
Weekend liquidity gaps: KAS often shows slippage outside US trading hours; consider reducing size or using wide stops if breakout occurs late Friday–Sunday.
6. To sum up
Bias: I lean 60 % toward Option 1 (bullish breakout) provided we get a 4 h close above 0.092 with volume confirmation. Otherwise, a flush to the 0.07 area (Option 2) is the alternative. Trade the break, not the prediction, and keep risk tight.
2025-06-11 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Much more reasons to buy below 23900 than to sell. I do think bulls showed strength today by printing 24193 and this could become a lower low, major trend reversal. Long stops have to be 23750 but there is decent chance could get there as well. I still think they will fail at the gap again and market will close the week closer to 24000 than to 23800. Anything above 24200 tomorrow would be a huge bull surprise and could lead to 24500 again.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23700 - 24500
bull case: Bulls need to keep this a higher low if they want 24500 again. Bulls see the 4 legs down and with today’s huge bull spike, they are likely confident that buying down here is great value. R:R is on their side since the upside is 700 points but they maybe have to risk 200. They reason that what bears wants to sell down here at huge prior support, the bull trend line and the open gap to 23750. Don’t be too early and wait for strong momentum to join.
Invalidation is below 23700.
bear case: Bears outdid themselves for 3 days now, compared to the price action the weeks before. But what now? Big support below us and who wants to sell this? If they see a strong 15m or 1h bar tomorrow, they just have to give up. If they don’t it likely means opex forces institutions to keep the market below 23900 because options need to expire worthless. I would never sell down here. If it goes to 23500, so be it.
Invalidation is above 24550.
short term: Neutral but waiting only for bulls to come around. I think 24200 is much more likely than 23500.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
trade of the day: Buying the strong 1hm bull bar 2 hours before EU opened or selling the news spike up to 24193. Both were easy to spot and went for many points without testing above the signal bar.
UNI 1D. Breakout Coming? Long-Term Setup Explained 06/11#UNI has been trading in a wide range between $4.072 – $18.634 for the past three years. This is known as an accumulation phase, where large players may be building positions ahead of the next major price move.
After a steep decline, the price bounced off the key support zone at $5.623 – $4.753. It then reclaimed and held above $6.325, a historically high-volume area — a bullish signal.
For short-term entries, I recommend waiting for confirmation above the 100-week moving average (MA100), which currently sits around $7.671. A break and close above that level would suggest a trend reversal.
🎯 Targets:
• $12.063
• $15.305
📥 Mid-term accumulation zone:
• $5.623 – $4.753
• If price drops to $4.072, it could be another solid buy opportunity.
DYOR.
PIXEL 1D. High-Risk, High-Reward Setup. Here's the Play. 06/11BINANCE:PIXELUSDT
Entry opportunity for the bold.
EP (Entry Point): 0.04215$ – 0.04020$
TP (Take Profit):
1️⃣ 0.14072$
2️⃣ 0.16076$
SL (Stop Loss): 0.02280$ or according to your personal risk management.
❗️No stop loss on spot — manage accordingly.
DYOR. Always know your risk.
#THETA 1D. Swing High Rejected – What's Next? 06/11/25We are currently in a consolidation range. After updating the swing high, price immediately faced seller pressure from the top of the structure.
Why did this happen?
Many participants were stuck in losses for a long time and decided to exit at breakeven as soon as price gave them the chance — totally understandable.
Key levels for the setup:
Yellow lines – potential entry points.
Red lines – stop-loss levels, depending on your risk appetite (marked two options).
Green lines – target areas.
Whether you go with spot or futures — the setup is there. Choose your strategy accordingly.
DYOR.
How to Draw Support & Resistance In TradingViewLearn how to effectively identify, draw, and utilize support and resistance levels in TradingView with this comprehensive step-by-step tutorial. Whether you're a beginner trader or looking to refine your technical analysis skills, this video covers everything you need to know about one of the most fundamental concepts in trading.
What You'll Learn:
Understanding support and resistance: the foundation of technical analysis and price action trading
Step-by-step instructions for drawing horizontal support and resistance lines in TradingView
Creating support and resistance zones for more flexible trading approaches
Practical tips for using TradingView's drawing tools effectively
This tutorial may be helpful for day traders, swing traders, and investors using TradingView who want to improve their chart analysis skills. The techniques covered could help you make more informed entry and exit decisions by understanding where price might find support or encounter resistance.
Visit Optimus Futures to learn more about trading futures with TradingView: optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objectives.
GOLD recovers strongly, market will wait for US CPI dataOANDA:XAUUSD rebounded strongly in Asian trading on Wednesday (June 11) after a sharp decline in the New York session on Tuesday. The current gold price is around $3,341/ounce, up nearly $20 on the day.
Traders are awaiting the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. Estimates suggest that prices are likely to rise as US households feel the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. As a result, the Federal Reserve is likely to remain in a wait-and-see mode, keeping interest rates in the range of 4.25%-4.50%."
Economists expect the US CPI to rise to 2.5% year-over-year in May from 2.3%, and the core CPI to rise to 2.9% year-over-year from 2.8%.
OANDA:XAUUSD rose in Asian trade on Wednesday, even as the US and China said they had agreed on a plan to ease trade tensions during talks in London.
According to Bloomberg, easing between the world's two largest economies would be negative for safe-haven assets like gold, and the lack of a decline in gold prices suggests investors are waiting for more developments.
Gold prices have risen more than 25% this year as US President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies have changed geopolitical dynamics, prompting central banks to buy gold to divest from US assets.
Bloomberg also said investors are looking ahead to Thursday’s US Treasury bond auction and weak demand could boost gold’s appeal as a safe haven.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after receiving support from the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, the important support area noted by readers in the previous editions, gold has recovered once again.
The short-term upside target remains unchanged at $3,371 of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rising from 50 is also a good signal for bullish momentum, and the large gap between the overbought area and the RSI shows that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead.
During the day, as long as gold remains above $3,292, it remains bullish in the short term with targets of $3,371 in the short term, more than the raw price point of $3,400. The positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,250
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3380
→Take Profit 1 3368
↨
→Take Profit 2 3362
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3249 - 3251⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3245
→Take Profit 1 3257
↨
→Take Profit 2 3263
BTC - Be mindful of resistance around 109,800 to 110,000Per my second last post about this red trendline - be mindful that there is a resistance located 109,800 to 110,000 zone.
Although Bitcoin can break above, that doesn’t mean the resistance is invalid. Price will weave above and below until it sticks and plays out.
Personally I watch these levels for sudden fast movement and confirmation that it’s holding as resistance.
If you see a fast drop initiate from these levels, be mindful that this could be indicative of intention to hit the lows around 20,000.
For more information see my previous posts.
Happy trading
2025-06-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Range is 21500 - 22000 for a week now. Neutral but selling new highs and buying every pullback has been profitable for quite a while now. It will end some day but likely not today. Bulls finally want the 22000 print and after so many tries they still could not print it. It’s painful to watch. Fading the extremes was good for a month now and I have no bigger opinion on where we might close this week. Anything below 21700 would be a huge bear surprise and could mean the bull wedge break to the downside and next target would be 21500.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22000
bull case: Bulls expect 22000 and buy every pullback. Their problem is, that they have tried so so many times now and could still not print it. How many more times will they try? The wedge will break eventually and I highly doubt it will be to the upside. Bulls can not hold long at the highs since pullbacks are 130-500 points big. Look for longs on decent pullbacks once bears give up. Multiple times below 21800 today. When we print 22000, what are the odds of this going higher for 22500 or new ath above 22688? No idea but looking at the wedge and the structure since April, longing momentum makes sense but that’s it.
Invalidation is below 21390.
bear case: Just imagine cpi comes in hot… Bears can only dream. They are doing fine selling new highs and scalping for 100+ points. They are too weak to print lower lows, so don’t bet on them. Once we go below 21700 again, we can look for better targets and market is likely neutral again. Until then, try not to get trapped.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Likely bearish around 21950-22000 for another pullback into 21750/21800. Still expecting 22k to get hit tomorrow. Rough guess: If we move strongly above 22080ish, we could see an acceleration upwards due to short covering from hell but don’t bet on it. Only go with the momentum if it happens.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21800 was good so many times since Friday.
GOLD drops more than 20 USD, US-China negotiationsIn the early morning trading session on Tuesday (June 10), the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly dropped sharply from around 3,328 USD/ounce to around 3,305 USD/ounce.
Bloomberg pointed out that the price of gold fell in the early morning trading session in Asia on Tuesday as both sides in the Sino-US trade talks hinted at their willingness to make concessions.
Easing tensions between Washington and Beijing could reduce the appeal of gold
Senior officials from the United States and China launched the second round of trade talks in London, the first round since the Geneva meeting in early May.
On the afternoon of June 9, local time, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism was held in London, UK. On June 10, local time, the first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism will continue.
The US delegation, led by Treasury Secretary Benjamin Bessant, was also attended by Commerce Secretary Lutnick and US Trade Representative Greer. Bessant told reporters in London that they had a “good meeting,” while Lutnick called the discussions “productive.”
Bloomberg reported that the US side had hinted that it was willing to lift export controls on some technology in exchange for China easing restrictions on rare earth exports.
The easing of tensions in the US-China trade war is the main factor currently putting downward pressure on gold, which has risen more than 26% this year.
Gold traders are also looking ahead to this week’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to gauge the health of the US economy and predict the trajectory of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After recovering in yesterday's trading session thanks to support from the confluence of EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, gold has fallen back to test this area in the early trading session today. Gold may continue to face selling pressure in the short term, once the bearish momentum breaks below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, then the short term target will be around $3,250 followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement.
However, up to now, the technical position still shows the possibility of increasing prices with the support from EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382% has not been broken, the recovery target is still at 3,350 USD in the short term, then 3,371 USD, an important resistance level which is also the price point of Fibonacci retracement 0.236%.
Based on the current position, gold still has a bullish outlook with the possible downside mentioned above, and the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3274 - 3276⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3270
→Take Profit 1 3282
↨
→Take Profit 2 3288
2025-06-09 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Wedge bull flag, I expect 24000 and 24500 to get hit this week, everything above and below those prices would be a surprise to me. We are also forming a triangle with the bull trend line and I expect bulls to get the breakout above.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23700 - 24500
bull case: Bulls making sure the correction is sideways and shallow. They likely want to buy closer to the trend line around 24000 for more value. They want another retest of 24500 and another higher high. Since the trend line is valid and we are comfortably above the daily 20ema, they remain in full control.
Invalidation is below 23700.
bear case: Bears printed a lower low for the past 4 trading days but does the 1h chart look bearish to you? The move down to 24112 has mostly overlapping bars and bulls even printed 5 consecutive 1h bull bars. Those things do not happen in strong bear trends. I expect bears to give up tomorrow. 1h close below 23800 would certainly change everything. This would open the possibility to test down to 23746 and the bigger trend line.
Invalidation is above 24550.
short term: Neutral but expecting bulls to come around strongly closer to 24000 for a re-test of 24500. Only below 23800 I would become bearish and even if we get there, I doubt we would go further down.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
trade of the day: Selling 24200 was good for many scalps today but I think the most obvious trade was the long on the EU open sell spike from 24168 up to open price 24272.