TFEX S50 FuturesTFEX S50 Futures
All Trend is Down in Primary, Secondary and Minor
Strategy 1: Wait for the price to rise to the resistance level (Supply Zone, POC of Volume and Regression Trend) then open Short Position.
Strategy 2: Divide Open Short Position and cut the losses short with Minor Trend
Target at Range Volatile 1 Month and 3 Month Low around 800 -790 point as last opinion.
Futurestrader
BITCOIN 2022Hello dear traders, I hope you had a nice rest and weekend, currently in a few hours we are starting a new trading week, so let's take a look!
BItcoin has been setting the trend for us in the last few months, especially during the Asian session when there were always the highest trading volumes which of course then set the trend.
Since last weekends significant weekly trend setting came during the first Asian session of the new week we can now see what this week will be like and if the Asians can give us a clue as to how to direct our trades.
Bitcoin overall last year which has been all down has become the most traded over Asian time and the whales there have been sending bitcoin lower for a long time. How next ? I have one simple opinion
UNLESS THE FED START PRINTING MONEY AGAIN, THE BEAR MARKET WILL NOT END, WE MAY SEE A SHORT-TERM TREND BUT NOT A BULL MARKET !!!
I THINK WE REALLY NEED TO FORGET ABOUT CYCLE ADOPTION AND ALL SUCH FUNDAMENTALS AND ESPECIALLY CHART INDICATORS AND THINK ABOUT WHY EVERYTHING IS PROBABLY DOWN.
If we look not far into the past we find that BTC had already reacted to one single thing earlier in the last bearmarket and ran up when the nasty but mighty stop loss hunter Jerome Powell said enough is enough and started printing money again because interest rates were high and people were already going crazy.
This tells you very simply that high interest rates do not have an acute negative effect on stock markets, in the past years stocks only started falling when interest rates were already high as they are now and we have been going down for a year! The current problem of the US dollar, that is, the advantage problem it has for cryptocurrencies. consists of a very simple thing and that is quantitative tightening, simplistically, pulling printed money out of the market.
IF UGLY POWELL DOESN'T TURN HIS MACHINE ON, THERE WILL BE NO BOTTOM!!
ETH SHORT ASIAN RANGE MIDPOINT BREAKS Before LONDON OPENDay's Bias: Bearish
Plot:
Price leaves HTF Swing High, takes LTF Liquidity then seeks lower prices.
Price breaks Asian Range downwards early before London Open.
Too many obvious Price Arrays of Value on lower prices.
Asian Range Midpoint confluence with GAP and where a displacement stated.
TP HTF Swing Lows with GAP under.
Closing trade whatever the result before NY Session ends.
Wheat Futures September 2021 ContractThe pattern is currently doing a sideways or consolidation in 1 HR and below. It looks like the selling pressure is present unless if its breaks the red line resistance with a strong buying force. Other confluence for shorts are:
1) Pattern making a reversal at a 61.8 Fibo level
2) Seller coming in, can be seen in Volume
3) Bullish momentum getting less and less
4) Price break 100MA, but yet to respect it.
Entry guidelines:
- I will wait for the price to break the trendline and the support area before going into a position targetting 160-170 ticks below.
Good luck!
BTC Update 1H Chart (Another possibilities)It may cause us to turn our direction to the upside, if at the end of this hour price will be above $ 35362 for the latest peak of the down trend that we are in. An increase in volume is also an important signal in this regard.
$ 35362 üzerinde saatlik kapanış yönümüzü, içerisinde bulunduğumuz düşüşün en son tepesini aramak için yukarıya çevirmemize neden olabilir. Hacimli bir artış bu konuda önemli bir sinyaldir.
10 Year T-Notes Futures - ZN1Hello Friends - welcome to another analysis
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today it is dedicated for an analysis of ZN1
today it is dedicated for an analysis of ZN1 , follow by a high green volume at the bottom it means that it is the start of a pulse , so it goes as a downtrend before breaking the line up
=> this is a sell signal
and as I always say " you should not trade at any time you have to trade at the right time possible "
Thank you
Futures NQ - Swing trade ideaMore info about my trading is here>>
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Nq futures- swing support
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Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume, expected volatility, advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fond (700 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob Kovarik
Corn Futures ZC supply and demand forecast analysisSupply and Demand and any trading strategy can be quite overwhelming at times. When looking at the Corn Futures ZC weekly timeframe we can see there is a super strong weekly demand imbalance created around 3600. The strength of that demand imbalance is quite strong, we already have price reacting to it, we are expecting Corn Futures ZC to rally higher, there is a lot of room for Corn Futures to keep on moving to the upside.
You can use Corn Futures options or various ETFs to trade Corn Futures as well, you are not exclusively limited to the Corn Futures ticker. We don’t need any specific tools to learn how to trade Futures or Corn. You can pay attention to Corn fundamental analysis or even Corn Seasonal analysis, but all that will be a lot of hard work just to learn that fundamentals where good to sell Corn Futures but you did not know there was a pretty strong weekly demand imbalance in control and you should have gone long on Corn Futures ZC instead of shorts.
We can day trade and do intraday on Corn Futures as well. Supply and demand can be applied to any market and asset. Futures intraday and day trading is also possible by using simple rules that will help you locate brand new imbalances to trade. You can use other trading strategies to day trade futures and Corn futures. By knowing there is a very strong weekly demand imbalance in control, you can use other trading strategies to plan your intraday trades.
My forecast on CL this weekFinally a daily close above 54.75 for the bulls. Looking for a retest of this area to hold and continue the trend up. As long as the lower trendline and 18 day sma hold, we most likely grind higher to the 57.44 target I have then ~60. Losing the 54.75 on a closing basis would put selling pressure on oil and most likely test the 53 area.
As always let price discovery be your guide :-).
My forecast for RTY this weekTrend is up still until we lost that lower trend line. We are more than 50% back from the ATH and the sell off reversal area. Love that little doji that formed on Friday. We most likely break in the direction of the high or low with strength. My upper target on RTY is 1530.7 then 1560 area.
Lower areas of support 1498-1500, lower 1478-80, and 1465 (and 18 day sma).
I am expecting a more significant pull back in the next few weeks. However always let price discovery be your guide. Trade the trend until it fails.
Cheers! :-)
Forecast for YM this weekJust like ES1! and NQ1!, the trend is bullish. However we are at some resistance on the daily. There should be a lot of support at 24,860-24,900. Below there 24,750 has to hold or we will sell quite a bit.
Testing the 200 day sma right now and the downtrend line from the ATH. We are currently more than 2/3 back from the reversal in December and the ATH. This area should be support as I mentioned above. If she continues higher, looking for a target of 25,200ish.
I expect a bigger pullback coming in the next few weeks.
As always let price discovery be your guide :-).
Forecast for NQ this weekThe trend looks very bullish clearing and holding above the 6845 level that I covered in my YouTube Video here: youtu.be . The 18 day sma is above the 50 day sma, signaling the trend is up.
I'm expecting a push towards the 7000 level (2/3 back from the ATH and reversal from the sell off) this week as long as we hold the 6775-6800 area. Might overshoot to the 200 day sma which is ~7050.
Of course always let price discovery be your guide :-).
Will ES test its daily 200 day sma this week?We are testing 2712.25, which is a strong pivot (Resistance) on the daily. Nice little doji forming on Friday. I'm looking for a continuation up to test the 200 day sma around 2745 with as high as 2760s before a bigger pullback as long as 2716 is taken out with strength.
Of course if we lose the low of Friday and ultimately 2690, we could test lower off the trendline.
As always let price discovery be your guide :-).
Trading levels for Tue 05/01/2018 What a drop on Monday, we are expecting a little more weakness on Tuesday, therefore we will be looking to sell rallies, but for those of you countertrade traders we have an AB=CD coming at around 6565 plus we have a Gartley formation just above that. we had only one trade on Monday, as always you can check our trades in our last post. Thanks for the likes and the comments please keep them coming, and as always PLAN YOUR TRADE AND TRADE YOUR PLAN.
KRS