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MNQ Continued Bearish Bias OutlookMy directional Bias for MNQ remains Bearish with the expectation on price to trade lower into the D BISI and take the SSL from the double bottom around 20640.00 I also like how price wicked the CE level of the D BISI that could indicate lower prices since price cant even make it through the inefficiencies 50% CE level. Now price may not make the move lower all the way and could just trade as low as the D Discount Wick 50% level which is also conveniently placed in CP to the D BISI CE level as well but lets see what price gives us.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Short
by ProphetTheTrader
Nasdaq NQ Short setup target 20,677 / Puts XND target 205.18Fibonacci technical analysis: Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) has already found resistance at the Fib level 78.6% (21,870) of my Down Fib. The January 8th Daily candle has closed below retracement Fib level 38.2% (21,414.50), and today’s Daily candle (Jan 8) has re-tested 38.2% resistance level further confirming sell signal. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:NQ1! to eventually go down to hit first target at Fib level -27.2% (20,677). Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! – Target 1 at -27.2% (20,677), Target 2 at -61.8% (20,287) and Target 3 at -78.6 (20,097) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (21,547.50). Option Traders : My NASDAQ:XND chart (Down Fib from 218.38 to 208.00) shows price to go down to Target 1 at -27.2% (205.18), Target 2 at -61.8% (201.59) and Target 3 at -78.6 (199.85) Stop loss slightly above the 50.0% retracement Fib level (213.19).
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by rose_excellence
EURO HAS BEGUN TO DECLINE!!!! EURO is fundamentally bearish while the DXY is fundamentally bullish. This simple confluence in these two assets are very powerful. Add on the fact that Trump is believed to be good for the dollar’s strength we want to go short going into the New York Session. Technically EURO has taken liquidity around the 1.03400 BIG FIGURE: and is turning around to raid the low of a monthly FvG. We are expecting news to drive EURO lower as well. The algorithm has taken out all baby FvG’s on the lower time frames. Therefore a sell is definitely valid and a gateway trade on this Friday Trap Day! As always trust your set up- never over-leverage, and have a great day! The sell set up is based on an equilibrium 1hr FVG. The Alamo tapped into it and began to sell off. 7-10am is always the kill zone for currencies. #SniperGang
CME:6E1!Short
by Master-Jedi-Trader
HTF Directional Bias for MNQ I have a Bearish Bias in play before the 07:00 Pre Session aiming to reach for the Fri 03 Jan 2025 at 21,144.25 and price could come as low as the 20,934.00 level which has the clean triple bottom SSL. The reason why I am Bearish is because price has made a recent rally into the D SIBI and found rejection at the 50% CE level on Mon 06 Jan 2025. Then on Tue 07 Jan 2025 price left that D SIBI to trade lower through the Volume Imbalance and into the discount wick of the candle from Thu 02 Jan 2025. Since it is a very heavy news release I do expect it to make a nice move lower since there is a bunch of SSL resting below the PDL's and price could reach as low as the discount D BISI 50% CE level at 20,871.25
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Short
by ProphetTheTrader
2
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 01/06/2025This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower. Considerations The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights. For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately. To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Giovanni_Bandini
Behind the Curtain: Economic Indicators Shaping Corn Futures1: Introduction Corn Futures (ZC), traded on the CME, play a vital role in global markets, particularly in the agriculture and food industries. As a commodity with widespread applications, Corn Futures are influenced by a multitude of factors, ranging from seasonal weather patterns to broader economic trends. Understanding these influences is critical for traders seeking to navigate the market effectively. In this article, we leverage machine learning, specifically a Random Forest Regressor, to identify key economic indicators that have historically correlated with Corn Futures' price changes. By analyzing daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes, we aim to provide a clearer picture of how these indicators potentially shape market behavior and offer actionable insights for traders. The findings are presented through visual graphs highlighting the top economic indicators across different timeframes. These insights can help traders fine-tune their strategies, whether for short-term speculation or long-term investment. 2: Understanding the Key Economic Indicators Economic indicators provide a glimpse into various facets of the economy, influencing commodity markets such as Corn Futures. Using the Random Forest model, the following indicators emerged as significant for Corn Futures on different timeframes: Daily Timeframe: Oil Import Price Index: Reflects the cost of importing crude oil, impacting energy costs in agriculture, such as fuel for equipment and transportation. Durable Goods Orders: Tracks demand for goods expected to last three years or more, often signaling broader economic activity that can influence commodity demand. Natural Gas Prices: Critical for the production of fertilizers, which directly impacts corn farming costs. Weekly Timeframe: China GDP Growth Rate: Indicates global demand trends, as China is a major consumer of agricultural products. Housing Starts: Reflects construction activity, indirectly influencing economic stability and consumer behavior. Corporate Bond Spread (BAA - 10Y): A measure of credit risk that can signal changes in business investment and economic uncertainty. Monthly Timeframe: Retail Sales (YoY): Gauges consumer spending trends, a crucial driver of demand for corn-based products. Initial Jobless Claims: Acts as a measure of labor market health, influencing disposable income and consumption patterns. Nonfarm Productivity: Indicates economic efficiency and growth, impacting broader market trends. By understanding these indicators, traders can interpret their implications on Corn Futures more effectively. 3: How to Use This Information The timeframes for these indicators provide unique perspectives for different trading styles: Daily Traders: Indicators like the Oil Import Price Index and Natural Gas Prices, which are highly sensitive to short-term changes, are valuable for high-frequency trading strategies. Daily traders can monitor these to anticipate intraday price movements in Corn Futures. Swing Traders (Weekly): Weekly indicators, such as the China GDP Growth Rate or Housing Starts, help identify intermediate-term trends. Swing traders can align their positions with these macroeconomic signals for trades lasting several days or weeks. Long-Term Traders (Monthly): Monthly indicators, such as Retail Sales and Nonfarm Productivity, provide insights into overarching economic trends. Long-term traders can use these to assess demand-side factors impacting Corn Futures over extended periods. Additionally, traders can enhance their strategies by overlaying these indicators with seasonal patterns in Corn Futures, as weather-related supply shifts often coincide with economic factors. 4: Applications for Risk Management Understanding the relationship between economic indicators and Corn Futures also plays a critical role in risk management. Here are several ways to apply these insights: Refining Entry and Exit Points: By correlating Corn Futures with specific indicators, traders can potentially time their entries and exits more effectively. For example, a sharp rise in the Oil Import Price Index might signal increased production costs, potentially pressuring corn prices downward. Diversifying Trading Strategies: Leveraging daily, weekly, and monthly indicators allows traders to adapt their strategies across timeframes. Short-term volatility from energy prices can complement long-term stability signals from broader economic metrics like GDP Growth. Mitigating Uncertainty: Tracking indicators such as Corporate Bond Spreads can provide early warnings of economic instability, helping traders hedge their Corn Futures positions with other assets or options. Seasonal Hedging: Combining indicator-based insights with seasonal trends in Corn Futures can enhance risk-adjusted returns. For instance, aligning hedging strategies with both economic and weather-related factors could reduce downside exposure. 5: Conclusion The analysis highlights how diverse economic indicators shape Corn Futures prices across multiple timeframes. From daily volatility influenced by energy costs to long-term trends driven by consumer spending and productivity, each indicator provides unique insights into market dynamics. Traders can use this framework not only for Corn Futures but also for other commodities, enabling a more data-driven approach to trading. The combination of machine learning and economic analysis presents opportunities to refine strategies and improve outcomes in the competitive world of futures trading. Stay tuned for the next article in this series, where we delve into another futures market and its relationship with key economic indicators. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZC1!Education
by traddictiv
Palm Oil Market Watch: Technical Breakdown & Fundamental ShakeupIn the ever-changing landscape of the global vegetable oil market, palm oil takes center stage once again. From India’s sharp increase in imports to Indonesia’s biodiesel policy adjustments and Malaysia’s declining export figures, the palm oil market is witnessing a dynamic interplay of forces. On the technical front, critical price levels and trend shifts are adding layers of uncertainty and opportunity for market participants. This article delves into the latest developments and future outlook of the palm oil market through both fundamental and technical perspectives. 1. News and Fundamental Analysis Anilkumar Bagani, head of research at the Mumbai-based vegetable oil brokerage Sunvin Group, stated that palm oil futures rebounded from earlier weakness because India, the world's largest edible oil importer, increased its palm oil purchases. India bought approximately 100,000 metric tons of palm oil during the first two working days of 2025. Indonesia’s Deputy Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources, Yuliot Tanjung, announced on Friday that the country would provide a 1.5-month transition period for businesses to meet the new B40 biodiesel policy requirements. Initially, Indonesia planned to mandate a 40% palm oil content in biodiesel starting January 1, but industry stakeholders are still awaiting technical regulations for implementation. Independent inspection company AmSpec Agri reported on Tuesday that Malaysia's palm oil product exports for November totaled 1,381,837 tons, a 2.5% decrease from November's 1,417,436 tons. Meanwhile, data from Intertek Testing Services (ITS) showed Malaysia’s palm oil product exports for December fell to 1,359,504 tons, down 7.8% from November's 1,473,761 tons. Palm oil prices followed the trends of other competing edible oils as they vie for market share in the global vegetable oil market. In China, the most active soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped by 2.56%, while the most active palm oil contract declined by 1.36%. The CBOT March soybean oil futures contract remained steady. 2. Technical Analysis Malaysian BMD crude palm oil (CPO) futures rose on Friday but ended the week with a decline of over 5%, reversing gains from the previous week. The benchmark March CPO contract on BMD increased by RM41, or 0.95%, to RM4,374 per ton. The weekly chart for the continuous contract FCPO1! shows that prices failed to hold the support level around RM4,500, instead falling to RM4,374. Despite losing the RM4,500 level, the overall upward trend structure remains intact on the weekly chart. The next support level is anticipated around RM4,120. If this level is also breached, it will be necessary to reassess whether the major trend has shifted from bullish to bearish. On the daily chart for FCPO1!, the overall trend leans bearish. A clear double-top formation is evident, with a neckline break, resistance retest, and distinct downward waves. While support is visible around RM4,250, it is unlikely to be strong. Both the weekly and daily charts for the March contract indicate that RM4,250 does not represent a solid support level. 3. Summary By referencing the March and continuous contracts, the next significant support level is likely between RM4,120 and RM4,150. Until this support range is breached, the overall trend can be described as long-term bullish with short-term bearish corrections.
MYX:FCPO1!Short
by goldong01
TradeCityPro | MEMEUSDT Potential Breakout from the Range Box👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s dive into analyzing our coins in the current market conditions to identify potential triggers before the next move begins. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting today’s altcoin analysis, as usual, let’s first check Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Bitcoin has finally initiated a wave, breaking through the 95753 resistance. However, I’m not fond of the volume in these recent candles, and it needs to increase. You can consider opening positions upon entering the overbought zone. Additionally, today saw a short-term wave with some green candles, accompanied by a decline in Bitcoin dominance. Now, as Bitcoin prints green candles, its dominance is also rising, indicating that the next wave moving toward Bitcoin’s peak might come with increased dominance. 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, the altcoin MEME rejected the top of the range and the significant 0.01790 resistance, pushing it back toward the range’s bottom. The buy trigger hasn’t activated yet, and this rejection has made the trigger even more critical. If you’re interested in buying this altcoin, consider adding it to your mid-term portfolio after breaking 0.01790. If you’ve already bought at any level on this chart, it’s logical to exit and cut losses if the range’s bottom breaks. A break below 0.00997 would suggest forming new lows, so it’s better to liquidate and look for a fresh trigger later. 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, following a heavy rejection from the 0.1795 resistance, MEME returned to the range, resulting in continued oscillations within this area. We must consider that, price-wise, the market is at a logical level for buying. However, time-wise, it might range here for a while before starting a potential upward move. This makes it somewhat reasonable to take small spot risks during these days. Based on the above, you can make a risky buy at 0.01132, with a stop-loss at 0.00861, after breaking the level. However, personally, I’ll hold onto liquidity for lower levels. For example, if I have 30% of my funds in cash, any purchases I make here would amount to just 5% overall, assuming stop-losses are hit! For a more logical entry, I’ll monitor for a break above 0.01795. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe On the 4-hour timeframe, MEME has been ranging for days within the 0.01007–0.01139 box. A breakout from either side of this range will provide a clear trigger without bias. 📈 Long Position Trigger the rejection at the 0.01139 resistance has increased its significance. Once this level breaks, I’ll open a futures long position with a large stop-loss at 0.01. 📉 Short Position Trigger momentum can be tracked on lower timeframes, and positions can be opened with triggers on these smaller timeframes. The 0.01 support level could be used for a small stop-loss and low-risk, quick profit management. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
19