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Kwenta Futures Trading Competition via Synthetix/$50,000+ prizesI posted about this back on the 19th, with little fanfare. So, in an attempt to give it the attention it deserves, here are direct quotes from their blog: "This competition will act as a demonstration of how perpetual futures trading on Kwenta will feel as we continue to refine the experience and prepare for the main net launch." "Futures ...are unique in that they are built entirely using decentralized technology with the Synthetix protocol. Traders will benefit from the deepest liquidity...zero downtime during points of volatility...permissionless product...and, eventually, futures for a wide variety of assets outside of the cryptocurrency ecosystem." "Be eligible to win part of a 50,000 sUSD prize pool and rare NFTs in prizes." "Prizes: 1st place: 15,000 sUSD + Rare NFT 2nd place: 7,000 sUSD + Rare NFT 3rd place: 3500 sUSD + Rare NFT 4th-20th place: 500 sUSD 21st-100th place: 200 sUSD NFT winners will be able to use their NFT to gain access to private groups and hidden features. All competition participants will also be able to acquire a POAP. The prizes listed above are guaranteed; however, there may be additional prizes…" "The competition will run for 1 week." "To trade synthetic assets and soon futures, visit Kwenta." Anyway, there is more info on their blog including how to get started. I hope you have fun and I wish you luck!--Garry
COINBASE:SNXUSDLong
by tg-l
Processing Spreads Provide Fundamental CluesSome futures markets offer contracts that are related to others and are processed products of the commodity. Understanding the price relationships, history, and paths of least resistance of the processed product versus the original input can provide valuable insight into supply and demand fundamentals. Moreover, these relationships shed light on other related assets. Market structures are the pieces of a jigsaw puzzle Processing spreads are real-time supply and demand barometers The soybean crush spread Gasoline and distillate crack spreads Monitoring corporate profits There is so much data at our fingertips, but we need to understand how to use and interpret the information. Processing spreads are invaluable tools as they are critical variables for market calculus when forecasting the path of least resistance of prices. The crude oil and soybean futures markets offer liquid futures contracts in products that can reveal significant trends, warning signs, and calls to action. Anyone who undertakes a home improvement project knows that the job will not go well without the correct tools. Trying to hammer in a nail with a screwdriver is far from optimal. Tightening a bolt with an ax is a disaster. The best tool leads to the optimal result. The processing spread is one of the most critical tools in my investment and trading toolbox. Market structure are the pieces of a jigsaw puzzle In the world of commodities, market structure are integral pieces of a puzzle. When put together, they provide clues about the path of least resistance of prices as they reflect and can be real-time indicators of supply and demand fundamentals. A commodity’s market structure includes: Term structure- Price differentials for nearby versus deferred delivery periods. Location differentials- Price differentials for delivery of a raw material in different regions. Quality differentials- Price differentials for differing grades, sizes, or composition of the same commodity. Substitution spreads- The price comparison of one commodity for another that can serve as a substitute. Processing spreads- The margin or differential for refining or transforming one commodity into its products. Together, the various pieces that comprise a market’s structure create a picture that often points to higher or lower price paths. Processing spreads are real-time supply and demand barometers The processing spread is one of the valuable tools in an analysts’ toolbox. It tells us if demand for the products is rising or falling. Consumers often require the processed product instead of the raw commodity. The differential between prices of the input, the commodity, and the output, the product, is a critical fundamental measure. Narrowing processing spreads signal falling demand while widening spreads are a sign that supplies are not keeping pace with requirements. Since futures contracts prices are constantly changing, processing spreads can be volatile. When the commodity and product trade in the futures market, the differentials provide a unique supply and demand perspective for traders and investors. There can be many reasons for price variance in processing spreads. However, comparing them to historical levels can serve as real-time indicators of fundamental forces that determine the underlying commodity’s price direction when exogenous factors are not impacting the overall refining or treatment process. Many commodities do not offer futures contracts in the products. The soybean and crude oil markets are exceptions. The soybean crush spread Soybean futures trade on the CME’s CBOT division. Soybean products, soybean meal, and soybean oil also trade in the futures markets on the CBOT with separate and independent futures contracts. Soybean meal is a critical ingredient in animal feed, while soybean oil is cooking oil. Both have other uses. Processors crush raw soybeans into the two products; the oil is the liquid from the crushing process, while the meal is the solid substance. The soybean crush spread can be highly volatile. The monthly chart shows the soybean crush spread over the past fifteen years. The spread traded to a low of a quarter of one cent to as high as $2.1950. The low was in 2013 when soybean futures were trending lower from the all-time high in 2012 at $17.9475 per bushel. The high was in October 2014 when soybean futures were consolidating at lower levels. The move to the high was because consumers bought soybean products at lower prices around the $10 per bushel level. More recently, the crush spread signaled that soybean futures had run out of downside steam. After trading to a high of $16.7725 per bushel in May 2021, the oilseed futures fell below $12 in October. When soybeans were on the high in May, the crush fell to a low of 52.75 cents. At high soybean prices, consumers backed off buying the oilseed products, leading to a price correction that took the price below the $12 per bushel level in October. Meanwhile, falling prices caused demand for products to return. The crush spreads traded to the most recent high at $1.9050 during the week of October 18. The rising crush spread was a sign of robust demand that lifted the raw soybean futures from the recent low. The November soybean futures chart shows the rise from a low of $11.8450 to the $12.50 level. The price action in the crush spread was a signal that demand for products would lift the soybean futures price. The processing spread action signaled the price bottom over the past weeks. Gasoline and distillate crack spreads Crude oil refiners process the raw energy commodity that powers the world into products, gasoline, and distillates. The NYMEX futures market trades contracts in crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil. Heating oil is a distillate fuel that is a proxy for other distillates, including jet and diesel fuels. Refineries process crude oil into the oil products by heating them to different temperatures in a catalytic cracker. The price differential between the input, crude oil, and the output, the products, are “crack spreads.” Rising crack spreads point to increasing demand for oil products. When they fall, it is a sign of oversupply or weak demand. Crude oil futures reached lows in April 2020 during the height of the global pandemic’s impact on markets across all asset classes. The NYMEX crude oil futures weekly chart highlights the bullish trend since April 2020 as the energy commodity has made higher lows and higher highs. The weekly chart of the gasoline crack spreads highlights the bullish trend since March 2020. Gasoline is a seasonal commodity that tends to reach highs during the spring and summer months and decline during the winter as drivers tend to put more mileage on their cars during the warm months. However, at the $17.63 per barrel level at the end of last week, the gasoline crack spread was appreciable higher than the peak in October 2020, when it reached $11.62 per barrel. The gasoline crack spread has provided bullish validation for the path of least resistance of crude oil’s price. The weekly heating oil or distillate crack spread chart also displays a bullish trend. Distillates tend to be less seasonal than gasoline as jet and diesel requirements are year-round. At the $22.53 per barrel level at the end of last week, the heating oil crack was far higher than its October 2020 peak at $9.96 per barrel. The crack spreads have supported the rising crude oil price as they point to robust product demand. Monitoring corporate profits While processing spreads can provide insight into the path of least resistance of prices for commodities that are inputs, they are also real-time earnings indicators for companies that refine or process the raw commodities into the products. Refiners or processors tend to buy the input at market prices and sell products at market prices. The refiners and processors make significant capital investments in refineries or other processing equipment. They make or lose money on the processing spread. When they widen, they experience a profit bonanza; when they fall, times can get rough. When the spreads rise above the cost of the process, profits rise. Low processing spread levels can lead to losses. Valero (VLO) is a company that refines crude oil into oil products. The chart shows that the high in October 2020 was at $44.88 per share. In October 2021, VLO was over the $80 level at the end of last week. Rising crack spreads have lifted profits for the oil refiner. Archer Daniel Midland (ADM) and Bunge Ltd. (BG) are leading agricultural processors. Soybean processing is one of the many business lines for the two companies. The rising soybean crush spreads have lifted profits for the companies. In October 2020, ADM shares reached a high of $52.05 per share. At the end of last week, the stock was at the $66.22 level. BG shares reached a high of $60.50 in October 2020 and were trading at the $88.33 level at the end of last week. The rise soybean crush spreads at least partially supported rising profits and higher share prices for ADM and BG. Processing spreads are real-time indicators for the demand of the commodities that are the inputs. They are also real-time earnings barometers for companies that process commodities into products. Any tool that improves your ability to analyze markets is worth keeping in that toolbelt. --- The full article and spread charts are available using the link below. You can also sign up for the Monday Night Strategy Call below. Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading. Any investment involves substantial risks, including, but not limited to, pricing volatility, inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete loss of principal. This article does not in any way constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment, security, or commodity discussed herein, or any security in any jurisdiction in which such an offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
NYSE:VLOEducation
by Andy_Hecht
3
UPL-Short trade opportunity -Futures trade Hi Traders, As per the above chart , UPL is currently at good support zone, if the price breaks the support zone in downward direction and closes below Rs.693/- (in 1 hour chart) you can take the short trade, stop loss is based on your risk appetite and Target 1 is Rs.640 to 630 and Target 2 is Rs.600 to 590/-. 1 Lot of UPL futures is 1300 shares and margin required for this trade is around Rs.2,35,000/-. This analysis is for short term trade (i.e. Positional trading) and not for intraday. Note : This is not a financial advice and trade at your own risk. Thank you. Enjoy the trading.
NSE:UPLShort
by Sriramulu-Bonagiri
1
Futures Levels | All About Tech Earnings (NQ, ES, CL, GC)The force is strong with the market adage that strength begets strength. But this week, it will likely be all about the NQ earnings to see if it can catch up to the all-time high prints from the ES (S&P) & YM (Dow Jones). We get 'em all this week - FB, MSFT, GOOG, AMD, AMZN, AAPL. In other markets, can CL get to the top of our channel around $86? Will Gold finally hold $1800? And does Bitcoin consolidate this week or make another quick crack at the $67K level. Stay Green & Trade Like You Mean It!
CME_MINI:NQZ2021
by RodCasilli
This weeks ES Update: THE RIPPER CAME TO RIP As we were on point last week if you followed, you made roughtly 212 points with 2 MAE. Nice job. For this week look for a short term top to form. Simple going into todays open and tomorrows RTH open: Beak above ATH and it runs more. Most likely we will see a pullback of at least 100 points by the end of this week to set up the November rally. I'm expecting an overshoot of the highs either on Monday or Tuesday (4570 area) to then hang around until Tuesday/Mid-Wednesday then we go down down down to reset all you people who use RSI, arts and crafts lines, etc. Drop below Fridays lows is where you see a drop to the 8-Day. Once we lose the 8D we start our descent to the 4450 area where we should see an overshoot to 4437 (remember that old POC we blew threw?)
CME_MINI:ES1!
by AlphaTradersInc
$ES1! - THE BULLS ARE BACK IN TOWN!!ES Futures setting up for an explosive week! In light of the fed meetings last week among other international nuisances, we saw a whipsaw last week in the S&P 500 . Multiple things came to fruit though, and I believe the S&P500 is gearing up for an explosive move up. First of all, we had a break below and test of the 50day moving average, which failed to move lower, the 50D MA has proven to be a reliable support this year. The fact that price closed with multiple daily candles below the 50day AND the long term Trend Line AND STILL the bears still FAILED to gain momentum and push lower is a HUGE sign that we are still very much bullish . This is a great case of "when what should've happen doesn't." Not only that, but Fridays daily candle ended with a spinning doji with the tail stabbed into the 50day MA, and the body above. I mean, if I was short right now id be shitting my pants...There's also a cup n handle forming on the 30m chart. As a stock trader it's your job to remain objective when looking at a chart, but there's really no bearish signs presenting themselves at this point. We had a break below major supports that failed and then a complete re-cross back up, feds left interest rates unchanged... This is too good. I've already entered heavy positions LONG. Cheers to a good week ahead, and remember if you're short, bring extra diapers--because this could be a shitty week for you!!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by GeneticHustle
ES1! / S&P500 / LONG / The Market Has Taken it's BreadthThe market has taken it's breadth, and we move ONWARD! Multiple Bullish signals present for the upcoming trading week. -Daily Candle closed above the 50day MA -Classic inverted H&S Pattern -Profit Target 1: set at 4528.75, this level holds confluence with resistance + prior trend line. -Profit Target 2: set at 4596.50, this is the price target of the inverted H&S pattern. This trade will probably play out in 2 separate trades, I have entered at $4460, stop loss set at 4450. I will hold these contracts until PROFIT TARGET 1 is met, selling at that level and watching it closely to see if it can break resistance. IF resistance is broken, I will enter again and aim for PROFIT TARGET 2, selling there. Profit Target 2 may be adjusted based off the price action I see after resistance is broken, but for the time being that's where it's set. WHEN THE MARKET IS GIVING CLEAR SIGNS, LEAVE IT SIMPLE. THERE IS NO NEED FOR AN IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by GeneticHustle
Gold Futures - Technical Levels Gold tops out after printing a ATH back in August 2020 and then Trades within a descending channel printing Lower highs and respecting the top and bottom of the channel to contain the price action . A strong break outside of the channel in August 21 followed by a back test of the top of the channel in Sept and a healthy break to the upside after Inflation reports at 30 year highs . This leaves PA currently sitting at the POC, close above this region and we may test the next resistance or close below and we have the marked supports in chart . See my other chart on the DXY index ..linked below Know your Invalidation and Trade your Plan , I hope this gives you some insight .
COMEX:GC1!
by SJTRADESFUTURES
4
Nifty Futures Key Trading Levels for 13th Oct 2021Nifty Futures Key Trading Levels for 13th Oct 2021 Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views. Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision. Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
NSE:NIFTY1!
by sbkurandwad77
FTM USDT: WILL THE PRICE TOUCH THE $1.53?Hello everyone! Welcome to this Analysis on Fantom and the possible future movements that it can make, recently Fantom broke a bearish channel at the top of the giant bullish channel, normally, this type of structure means a bullish continuation sign, but this time I have seen many bearish confluences that can lower the price. Personally, I would say that you are going to make a bearish push to a low of $ 1.98, but remember that this market is quite unpredictable and be prepared to enter it with the trend as your friend and not your enemy. Good luck! Important Targets: Bullish: $2.45 / Trendline (≈$2.53) Bearish: $1.98 / $1.87 / $1.73 / $1.53
FShort
by rpv0410
3