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Bitcoin - Bullflag formation towards $111k?After the long and steep rally in Bitcoin that began on April 9th, the price is now entering a period of consolidation and forming a classic bullish continuation pattern known as a bull flag. This type of structure often appears after a strong impulsive move to the upside and signals that the market may be gearing up for another leg higher. Bull Flag On the daily timeframe, BTC is in the process of developing a bull flag by printing a series of lower highs and lower lows within a narrow descending channel. This pullback phase comes after a significant rally and is generally considered a healthy part of a trending market. It reflects a cooling-off period in which the market digests the prior gains while maintaining a bullish bias. This type of structure typically resolves to the upside, continuing the dominant trend. At present, BTC is approaching a key upper boundary of the flag formation, which also aligns with a prior zone of price rejection. This area could act as resistance in the short term and will likely play a crucial role in determining the next directional move. 4H Fair Value Gap Zooming in on the 4-hour chart, we can observe a clearly defined fair value gap (FVG) between the $102,700 and $103,800 levels. This imbalance was created during the sharp move up and now represents a potential area of interest for buyers. If price retraces into this zone, it could act as strong support where demand steps in, filling the imbalance and potentially triggering the next upward leg. Fair value gaps often serve as magnet zones in trending markets, and in this case, could offer a key entry point for those looking to position long within the larger bullish structure. Liquidity Levels One of the more critical areas to watch lies around the $111,000 level, where we see a double top on the lower timeframes. This region holds a significant amount of resting liquidity just above it, as evidenced by the liquidation heatmap. These clustered stop-loss orders and leveraged positions create a liquidity pool that could attract market makers and large players looking to trigger a stop run. As price approaches this level, it becomes increasingly likely that the market may spike into this liquidity before deciding on a longer-term direction. This liquidity zone acts like a magnet and is a common target for short-term wicks and fake-out moves. Expectations The current expectation is for Bitcoin to push higher toward the $111,000 level before the market makes a more definitive move. While this upside continuation seems likely in the short term, caution is warranted, especially considering the structure on higher timeframes. The weekly chart is starting to show some signs of exhaustion, with momentum slowing and potential bearish divergence forming. As such, the move to $111,000 could simply be a liquidity grab—a final push to trap breakout traders—before a deeper correction or reversal unfolds. If price does manage to break the all-time high with convincing volume and sustained follow-through, the bullish case would strengthen significantly. Until then, however, it’s important to remain cautious and recognize the risk of a fake-out at these elevated levels. Conclusion Despite the strong rally in recent weeks, Bitcoin still faces substantial resistance overhead. The $111,000 level stands out as a critical zone that could act as a magnet, drawing in price action before reversing to the downside. This area is not only technically significant but also loaded with liquidity, increasing the risk of a bull trap. Traders should remain vigilant and avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the move. Watch closely for signs of exhaustion or divergence as price approaches this level, and be prepared for potential fake-outs designed to lure in overly aggressive participants. Staying patient and waiting for confirmation remains the most prudent strategy in this environment. ------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
14
Bitcoin - Bears Take Control, Reversal Coming?After an aggressive bullish rally, Bitcoin has filled a clean 1H imbalance zone near 108K and swept short-term liquidity above recent 1H highs. The move into premium pricing saw clear signs of rejection, with a strong bearish reaction directly inside the imbalance area. This reaction confirms the area as a valid supply zone and signals that bulls may have exhausted their momentum in the short term. Liquidity Sweep and Rejection The sweep of prior highs was sharp and quick, lacking follow-through, and was immediately followed by rejection wicks and a drop in momentum. This kind of price action typically hints at engineered liquidity grabs, where smart money drives price into inefficiencies to fill orders before reversing direction. That liquidity sweep, paired with the fill of the 1H FVG, increases the probability that this high is now set in place for a short-term reversal. Key Short-Term Level to Watch The immediate level of interest lies at the most recent low before the rally, marked clearly as a potential short-term support. This low often acts as a magnet post-sweep, as price retraces to test if there’s real buyer interest left or not. If this low fails to hold, the bearish momentum could accelerate into the nearby 4H Fair Value Gap around the 102.5K–101.9K area. Fair Value Gap and Lower Target That 4H FVG has not yet been filled, and there’s also a small unmitigated imbalance sitting just above it. If price drops into this zone and still fails to show strong buyer interest, the path opens toward a more significant downside move. The final downside target sits near 98K, highlighted by a higher timeframe demand area and major structure level. This zone would only come into play if all intermediate support levels break cleanly. Bearish Roadmap Short-term, I expect a retest of the recent low, followed by a possible reaction. But if that reaction fails and momentum stays bearish, the 4H FVG fill becomes highly likely. A break below that would shift control decisively to sellers, with 98K as the next major liquidity pocket to target. This move would also clean out most of the inefficiencies left behind by the recent aggressive bullish move. Conclusion The rejection from the 1H imbalance and liquidity sweep suggest Bitcoin’s recent rally may be done for now. Until we reclaim the 1H FVG and break above recent highs with strength, the bias is bearish. If the key low breaks, I’ll be watching how price reacts inside the FVG zone. A weak reaction could open up the flush toward the 98K level for a larger liquidity draw. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
55
US100 - Liquidity sweep above the ATHIntroduction The US100 has been exhibiting a strong upward trend on the daily timeframe ever since the sharp correction in early April. This sustained bullish momentum culminated in a break above the previous all-time high (ATH) earlier today. However, this breakout may not be entirely convincing just yet, as there are signs of a potential short-term reversal. The move above the ATH could represent a liquidity sweep, where price action briefly pushes past a key level before retracing, possibly trapping late buyers. Liquidity Sweep On the daily chart, the US100 did succeed in breaching the previous ATH, but the breakout appears to have been short-lived. Price quickly reversed after the new high was printed, leaving behind only a wick above the ATH. This type of price action forms what is commonly referred to as a swing failure pattern, a scenario where the market tests liquidity above a key level before turning back down. Such a pattern often signals upcoming weakness, especially when the breakout lacks strong follow-through or volume support. 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) During the most recent leg up, the US100 left behind an unfilled fair value gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe. This imbalance zone, created when price moves too quickly in one direction without enough time for buyers and sellers to match orders evenly, often acts as a magnet for price to return to. In the context of the current market structure, this 4H FVG could provide a meaningful support level if the index does experience a pullback. Should the index find support here and show signs of renewed buying interest, the broader uptrend is likely to continue. However, if this zone fails to hold, we may see a deeper retracement toward lower support levels. Conclusion While the US100 remains in a strong and well-defined uptrend on the higher timeframes, the recent price action above the ATH introduces the possibility of a short-term pullback. The appearance of a swing failure pattern and the presence of an untested 4H FVG suggest that some corrective movement could unfold in the near term. That said, the FVG presents a key area to watch for bullish continuation. If buyers step in at this imbalance zone, the index could resume its upward trajectory, reaffirming the strength of the current trend. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Youriverse
36
GBPJPY: Let It Come Lower Before It Goes HigherGBPJPY swept the highs, broke structure, and is now giving signs of a clean retracement. There’s a visible FVG just below, and a small liquidity pocket that hasn’t been touched yet. If price drops into that zone and respects it, we could see a strong bounce that takes us right back into the highs and beyond. This setup looks like a simple buy-the-dip scenario , but only if the zone reacts cleanly. No rush. Let price come down. Watch for confirmation before thinking long. Don’t chase it. Let it unfold.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
1
EUR/USD - Liquidity grabbed! Move towards the 4H FVG next?This chart illustrates a short-term bearish outlook on the EUR/USD currency pair, using smart money concepts like liquidity grabs, fair value gaps (FVGs), and structural levels such as support and protected lows. It is based on the 1-hour timeframe and references a higher timeframe (4H) for added confluence. Liquidity Sweep At the top of the recent price movement, a "Liquidity sweep" is marked, suggesting that the market pushed above recent highs to trigger stop-losses of short positions or entice breakout traders before reversing. This kind of move is common in smart money concepts and typically precedes a directional shift, which in this case, is anticipated to be downward. This sweep likely removed buy-side liquidity and indicates that institutional traders may now seek to target sell-side liquidity below recent lows. Support Zone The green shaded area labeled "Support" represents a previous consolidation or demand zone that temporarily held price after the liquidity sweep. This zone is seen as a short-term reaction point where price may consolidate or bounce slightly before continuing lower. However, the dashed black line projection suggests that this support is not expected to hold long-term, as price is forecasted to break below it. Protected Low A previous low is labeled "Protected low," implying that it hasn’t been violated during recent downward moves. This term often refers to a structural level that, if broken, confirms a shift in market structure. In this context, the projection anticipates that price will break below this protected low, indicating a bearish intent and unlocking further downside movement. 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) The large blue zone labeled "4H FVG" marks an imbalance or inefficiency on the 4-hour chart. This zone is referred to as a "Strong bullish 4h FVG," suggesting that once the sell-side liquidity is taken and the lower targets are met, this area is expected to act as a high-probability demand zone. Institutional traders often look for price to fill these FVGs before reversing, as they represent unmitigated institutional orders. The projected path implies that this is the ultimate downside target where price may react bullishly. Conclusion Overall, this analysis outlines a bearish short-term scenario for EUR/USD. After sweeping liquidity above recent highs, price is expected to respect the bearish order flow, break through the current support level, and move below the protected low. The ultimate downside target lies within the strong 4H FVG, where a significant bullish reaction might occur. This suggests a classic smart money play, manipulate (sweep liquidity), shift (break structure), and mitigate (return to FVG)—offering a well-structured trade idea for both intraday and swing traders. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
5
US100 – Extended Rally, Eyes on Pullback to Key SupportUS100 continues to show impressive strength, with no real signs of slowing down yet. The recent push above the previous all-time high came with strong bullish candles and high volume, confirming the breakout as legitimate rather than a false pump. This surge followed a clean retest of the fair value gap below, which acted as a springboard for the next leg higher. Imbalance Retest and ATH Break Before the breakout, price perfectly respected the FVG just above the 20,800 zone. That retest was crucial, showing institutional interest in defending higher prices. From there, the index cleared the old ATH with authority, and we are now trading comfortably above it, establishing new highs in the process. Support Zone Outlook While momentum remains bullish, the market doesn’t move in a straight line forever. A short-term cool-off is possible. I’m eyeing the marked-out support zone just above 21,400, which previously acted as resistance and now flips to demand. If we do pull back, this is the most logical area for buyers to step back in. Potential Price Path The dotted projection outlines two possible paths: one, a minor pullback followed by immediate continuation, and two, a deeper retest into the green support zone before resuming the uptrend. Both scenarios remain bullish as long as price stays above that support. A retest into this level would be healthy and provide a clean long entry for continuation. Key Levels to Watch The area around 21,400 to 21,700 is critical. If we revisit this zone, I’ll be watching for bullish price action to confirm continuation. On the upside, we’re now in price discovery mode, so upside targets are more open-ended, but 23,000+ becomes a magnet if momentum stays intact. Conclusion US100 is in strong bullish territory, with institutional signs backing the move. A pullback would be welcome and likely provide a high-probability long setup. Until the structure breaks, I remain bullish on this index, watching for a healthy dip into the support zone for potential continuation higher. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TehThomas
10
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 25/06/2025This week the Judas Swing strategy has delivered two clean setups on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Both trades played out beautifully, hitting their targets and ending the day with a solid +4% return (2% each), reinforcing the power of patience, structure, and sticking to the rules. Let’s break down how each trade unfolded: Trade 1: OANDA:AUDUSD Long — Textbook Setup We kicked off Wednesday’s session watching OANDA:AUDUSD closely after identifying a classic Judas Swing scenario. First, we saw liquidity swept below the previous session’s low, exactly what we’re looking for. This kind of move is crucial to the strategy, it grabs early sellers or stop orders and sets the stage for a reversal. Right after the sweep, price broke structure to the upside, confirming our bullish bias. At this point, we didn’t rush in. We waited for price to retrace into our FVG (Fair Value Gap). Patience paid off and price finally tapped into the FVG, and as soon as the entry candle closed in our direction, we executed the trade. We risk 1% on every trade, aiming for a 2:1 reward-to-risk. After being in drawdown for a bit, price accelerated sharply and hit our target after being in the trade for 5 hours. Clean setup, clean execution, and a smooth +2% return. Trade 2: OANDA:NZDUSD Long OANDA:NZDUSD presented a near-identical setup. Price had been consolidating, but by the time the NY session rolled in, the stage was set. Just like OANDA:AUDUSD , we saw a liquidity sweep at the lows, followed by a bullish break of structure, textbook Judas Swing again. This time, the retracement into the FVG came swiftly. We executed as soon as we had confirmation on the candle close. The trade barely hesitated, and price moved decisively in our direction, steadily climbing until our target was hit. Another +2% return, reinforcing the strategy’s strength when rules are respected What This Week Reminds Us: Discipline matters: We don’t chase trades. Both setups met all our checklist criteria Patience is key: Waiting for the FVG entry and confirmation avoids emotional entries Risk management is the foundation: With a 1% risk and 2:1 target, you only need to win half the time to be consistently profitable When you follow a rules-based strategy like Judas Swing, you remove the guesswork and bring structure to your trading decisions.
by CleoFinance
EURUSD - Bears Preparing a Bearish Shift in StructureEURUSD has been pushing higher over the past few sessions, reaching into a key liquidity zone. On the 4H chart, we’ve now seen a very clean sweep of previous swing highs, which completes the first step needed for a potential reversal. This sweep acted as a buy-side liquidity run, taking out resting orders before showing early signs of exhaustion. Liquidity Sweep and Structural Confirmation The sweep of the highs marked a potential turning point, but for this setup to gain validity, we need to see confirmation through structure. That confirmation would come from a decisive 4H close below the red mitigation zone. This area aligns with a small demand that previously pushed price up, so a close below would mark a clean break in bullish order flow and confirm a bearish structure shift. Downside Expectations and Key Levels If the structure shift is confirmed, I expect EURUSD to move lower toward the fair value gap around 1.14600 to 1.14400. This FVG could provide temporary support, and we may see some reaction there. However, due to the size of the imbalance and the overall context, price has the potential to continue lower through that level. Interim Reactions and Minor Scenarios There is a chance price reacts to the FVG and pulls back before continuing lower. Any bounce from this zone would likely be short-term unless it leads to a clear market structure shift back to the upside. If price fails to hold above the FVG, the deeper support zone below near 1.13800 would become the next logical target. Trigger Point for Bearish Bias The most important trigger for this trade is a 4H close below the red box. Without that, the bullish structure technically remains intact. Once that level is broken, I will consider the sweep and break combination a completed reversal signal, targeting the FVG and beyond. Conclusion This setup follows a textbook liquidity grab followed by a potential structure break. Patience is key here, as I’m waiting for confirmation before taking action. If price closes below the red zone, I’ll be actively looking for shorts targeting the 1.14600 region, with room to extend lower depending on how price reacts at the FVG. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
40
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 25, 2025👋👋 Hello traders! Gold is still moving down strongly. Today’s plan is made for traders who want clear and precise levels. Let’s look at the structure, important zones, and where to watch for trades. 1. Higher Timeframe Overview (Daily, H4, H1) Daily: Price is falling near the 200 EMA around 3323. RSI shows less buying strength. We wait for a clear move. H4: The trend is down with lower highs at 3418 and lower lows at 3311. RSI is low, showing weak buying. Price is near the 200 EMA. H1: Small bounce up to 3328–3332 resistance. RSI is weak, so price must break this zone to move higher. 2. Lower Timeframe Details (M30, M15) M30: EMA5 crossed above EMA21 but price is near resistance at 3328–3332. RSI is neutral. M15: Price broke a small wedge up but is limited by EMA21 and EMA50. RSI near 58 shows price could be overbought. 3. Key Zones and How to Trade Them 🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3352 Look for signs that price rejects this zone (wicks, bearish candles) before selling. 🟡 Flip / Decision Zone: 3360 – 3380 Do not trade here. This zone will show if trend changes. Wait for clear confirmation. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3300 – 3285 Look for price rejection and strong buying signs before buying here. 🟢 Deep Buy Zone: 3265 – 3272 Only buy here if price goes below 3280 and shows strength. 4. What to Do Current price is about 3323. If price goes above 3332, watch the sell zone 3345–3352 for a short trade. If price drops below 3332, expect a move down to the buy zone 3300–3285. Do not buy above 3360 without a clear trend change. Be patient and wait for good signals. 5. Important Levels Zone Price Range Notes Sell Zone 3345 – 3352 Best short zone Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 Wait and watch, no trades Buy Zone 3300 – 3285 Good buy zone Deep Buy Zone 3265 – 3272 Last buy chance 📣 If you like clear and simple plans, please like, comment, and follow I’m part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program and get paid to use their charts.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
Bitcoin - Bounce Incoming or Breakdown to 97.5k?Market Context Bitcoin recently swept the 100k lows, clearing out built-up liquidity beneath that level. This move formed a strong reaction candle, suggesting interest from buyers and confirming the presence of resting demand. The sweep aligns with the concept of smart money targeting obvious liquidity pools before shifting direction. It also marks a potential short-term low, at least temporarily. Short-Term Structure and FVG Setup Following the sweep, price tapped into a clean 1H fair value gap and has been respecting it so far. This is our immediate line in the sand. As long as this gap holds, we’re dealing with a scenario of temporary bullish order flow. The market structure on lower timeframes suggests the potential for a short-term rebound, possibly into the inefficiencies left above. Upside Target and Gap Fill Potential If price continues to hold the 1H FVG, we could see a push higher that targets unfilled gaps above, particularly the one where we saw a clean rejection previously. There’s a clear inducement just above recent highs, so a sweep of those could be used to fill that imbalance. This would align with the idea of running internal liquidity before reversing or stalling at supply. Bearish Breakdown Scenario On the flip side, if price breaks down from the 1H FVG without reclaiming structure, the entire bullish idea invalidates. In that case, I expect price to gravitate back toward the 97.5k zone. This would be a logical area for deeper mitigation and potential reaccumulation, especially since it sits below the current consolidation. The failure to hold the gap would signal weak demand and continuation of the broader bearish leg. Scouting Liquidity and Price Flow Right now, the main idea is tied to how price behaves around the short-term 1H FVG. That is the pivot. Hold it, and we should see some form of liquidity run into the unfilled gap above. Lose it, and the next wave of downside should unlock, pushing us closer to 97.5k. Either way, liquidity remains the core driver in both directions. Conclusion Price has swept major downside liquidity and is now reacting to a key imbalance. As long as the 1H fair value gap holds, I expect short-term upside targeting unfilled inefficiencies and internal highs. A failure to hold would shift the bias back to the downside, with the 97.5k range as the next probable draw on liquidity. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
40
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 24, 2025“Snipers wait. Structure tells the story.” Hello traders! The market is stuck between the FOMC high at 3452 and the confirmed low at 3340. Price is compressing under H1 supply and above a key liquidity pocket. Here's your full plan with all sniper zones — now including a decision zone for intraday confirmation. 📰 Macro + Fundamental Context Powell Testimony + multiple FOMC speeches today → high potential for dollar-driven volatility. Inflation concerns and hawkish tone expected → short-term gold bearish pressure unless structure reclaims 3415+. Smart money likely hunting liquidity both below 3340 and above 3400. 🔸 HTF Structure Summary (D1 → H4 → H1) D1: Consolidation between 3452 and 3340. No new BOS. H4: LL formed at 3340. LH not confirmed. Market is compressing under resistance. H1: CHoCH + BOS confirmed. Current price sits in mid-range. 🔍 Sniper Entry Zones 🟥 Sell Zone 1: 3382–3395 H1 supply zone with previous rejection. Includes order block + FVG. Valid for new short entries if price returns and rejects. 🟥 Sell Zone 2: 3406–3420 High-risk spike zone from FOMC. Only valid during fast, news-driven price movement. Not a default entry unless confirmed rejection. 🟨 Decision Zone (Flip Area): 3360–3372 This is the key intraday flip level. If price stays below, sell zones remain valid. If price closes above, short bias is invalid and market may aim higher. Use this zone to confirm bias before entering from either side. 🟩 Buy Zone 1: 3335–3345 Strong demand under equal lows. OB + small imbalance on M15. Valid for intraday long setups if confirmed with bullish price action. 🟦 Buy Zone 2: 3305–3285 H4 demand zone with major liquidity below. Deep reversal area — only valid if price breaks 3340. Smart money may be waiting here. 📌 Key Levels Summary Zone Type Price Range Explanation 🔺 Premium OB 3450–3480 Daily supply zone 🟥 Sell Zone 1 3382–3395 Active H1 supply 🟥 Sell Zone 2 3406–3420 FOMC wick inducement 🟨 Flip Zone 3360–3372 Decision area — confirm bias 🟩 Buy Zone 1 3335–3345 Demand under equal lows 🟦 Buy Zone 2 3305–3285 H4 demand + deep liquidity 📣 Final Notes 📌 The market is at a critical moment. The flip zone (3360–3372) will decide tomorrow’s control: bear continuation or deeper retracement. Watch price at the zone. Let the structure speak. Trade only where the logic is clean. 👁 Good luck in the market tomorrow, traders! — GoldFxMinds 🟨 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in educational work.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Liquidity grab below support, FVG and OB structures,1. Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zone (highlighted at the top): Around the 110,000–112,000 range. Previous Support (horizontal line at 101,499): Labelled as “Break the support” — price had broken below it but is now pushing back above. 📦 Smart Money Concepts (SMC): 2. Order Block (OB) Marked near 105,000: A key supply area where institutional activity likely occurred. Price may react here (retest or rejection). 3. FVG (Fair Value Gaps) Two zones marked as FVG: Lower FVG around 100,000–101,000: recently filled and acted as support. Upper FVG just above 105,000: potential target zone before price pushes higher. 📈 Projected Price Path: The dotted white line shows a bullish forecast: Price breaks back above the previous support. Pulls back into the FVG or OB. Then rallies toward 110,000+ resistance zone. 🧠 Interpretation: This analysis suggests a bullish reversal scenario based on: Liquidity grab below support, FVG and OB structures, Expectation of institutional buying and upward continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by King_Maker_FX
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – Monday, June 23, 2025Current Price: 3368.76 Trend: Bearish on H4 | Corrective on H1 | Weak Bullish Attempt on M15 Market Context: Gold is consolidating under EMA pressure after FOMC. Price is pinned inside a key flip zone, awaiting Monday’s fundamental triggers. 🔸 HTF Overview (D1, H4, H1) 📰 Macro + Economic Context – Week of June 23–28: This is a high-impact week for USD with Fed speeches, inflation, and growth data. Monday opens with caution: Monday, June 23 🟠 FOMC Member Waller Speaks 🔴 Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI 🟠 Existing Home Sales Tuesday, June 24 🔴 Fed Chair Powell Testifies 🟠 CB Consumer Confidence 🟠 Richmond Manufacturing Index Wednesday, June 25 🔴 Powell Testimony (Day 2) 🟠 New Home Sales Thursday, June 26 🔴 Final GDP q/q 🔴 Unemployment Claims 🟠 Durable Goods Orders 🟠 Pending Home Sales Friday, June 27 🔴 Core PCE Price Index 🟠 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 📌 Monday is lighter in impact, but PMI data and Waller’s speech may spark the week’s directional bias. Avoid trading blindly into PMI spikes. H4 Structure & Bias: Bearish trend intact: Lower High = 3418, Lower Low = 3311 EMAs (21/50/100) aligned downward — price capped below 3380 RSI still under 60 = no bullish momentum Rejection zone remains valid at 3406–3420 (H4 OB) Strong demand expected at 3340–3352 and extreme at 3310–3288 🔸 LTF Precision (M30, M15) Price compressing around 3365–3372 RSI around 56 → indecision No bullish HH above 3380 = still within bearish control EMA flattening → prepare for trap setups around NY open 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🔻 Sell Zone – 3406–3420 H4 OB, FVG top, liquidity above 3405 Entry: 3412 SL: 3426 TP1: 3312 TP2: 3288 TP3: 3265 🧠 Wait for sweep or strong bearish reaction — no early entries. ⚠️ Flip Zone – 3360–3380 No-trade zone: EMA cluster + mid-FVG Only use for confirmations, not entries 🟢 Buy Zone – 3340–3352 OB + demand + Fib retracement Entry: 3348 SL: 3334 TP1: 3448 TP2: 3472 TP3: 3490 🟢 Buy Zone – 3310–3288 Below LL sweep (3311) Deep liquidity + OB demand Entry: 3298 SL: 3280 TP1: 3365 TP2: 3405 TP3: 3440 📍 Key Structural Levels – June 23 Level Type Role 3460 Bull Trap Limit Irrational spike area 3445 FOMC Unfilled wick – trap zone 3426 Sell Zone Risk protection above OB 3418 H4 LH Confirmed bearish structure 3410 OB Midpoint Micro-rejection inside OB 3395 Previous HH Inducement target 3384 FVG Top Minor LTF rejection 3360–3380 ⚠️ Flip Zone MA/FVG compression – avoid entries 3352 OB entry edge Buy Zone 1 upper limit 3340 OB base Buy Zone 1 key level 3311 H4 LL Confirms bear structure 3300 Round Level Psychological + liquidity 3288 OB base Final demand structure zone 3265 Final TP Bearish extension only ✅ Final Action Plan 📉 Stay bearish below 3380 unless a clean HH + OB support forms ⚠️ Avoid trading inside 3360–3380 flip zone during NY PMI data 🛒 Longs valid only from 3340 or 3310 with confirmation (RSI, PA, OB) 🧠 Focus on structure integrity and clean OB rejections only 💬 Will you fade the 3412 OB or wait for the sniper bounce at 3348? 🔔 Follow and 🚀@GoldFxMinds for premium breakdowns, macro updates, and real-time sniper execution guidance. 🔹 Disclosure: As part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program, we receive monthly compensation for using their charts. GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
Mastering Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVG) - How to use them?In this guide, I’ll explain the concept of the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), how it forms, and how you can use it to identify high-probability trading opportunities. You'll learn how to spot the IFVG on a chart, understand their significance in price action, and apply a simple strategy to trade them effectively. What will be discussed? - What is a FVG - What is an IFVG - What is a bullish IFVG - What is a bearish IFVG - How to trade the IFVG ------------------------------- What is a FVG? A FVG is a technical concept used by traders to identify inefficiencies in price movement on a chart. The idea behind a fair value gap is that during periods of strong momentum, price can move so quickly that it leaves behind a "gap" where not all buy and sell orders were able to be executed efficiently. This gap creates an imbalance in the market, which price may later revisit in an attempt to rebalance supply and demand. A fair value gap is typically observed within a sequence of three candles (or bars). The first candle marks the beginning of a strong move. The second candle shows a significant directional push, either bullish or bearish, often with a long body indicating strong momentum. The third candle continues in the direction of the move, opening and closing beyond the range of the first candle. The fair value gap itself is defined by the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in the case of a bullish move), or between the low of the first candle and the high of the third (in a bearish move). This range represents the area of imbalance or inefficiency. ------------------------------- What is an IFVG? An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when a traditional Fair Value Gap (FVG) is not respected by price, and instead of acting as a support or resistance zone, price breaks through it with strength. Normally, a Fair Value Gap represents a price imbalance left by a strong move, and when price returns to this area, it often reacts by respecting the gap, bouncing off it or reversing, because it's seen as a high-probability level where orders may rest. However, in the case of an IFVG, price does not respect this imbalance. Instead, it slices through the FVG in the opposite direction, showing that the initial momentum behind the imbalance has weakened or reversed. This breach is a strong indication that market sentiment is shifting. What was once a zone of strength now becomes invalid, and this failed reaction signals that the opposite side of the market (buyers or sellers) has taken control. The IFVG highlights a key transition in momentum. It tells traders that the prior bias, bullish or bearish, is breaking down, and the new dominant force is pushing price beyond levels that would typically hold. This makes the IFVG useful not only as a sign of failed structure but also as a potential confirmation of a trend reversal or strong continuation in the opposite direction. Essentially, where an FVG usually acts as a wall, an IFVG is what’s left after that wall gets knocked down. ------------------------------- What is a bullish IFVG? A bullish Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price breaks through a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) instead of respecting it. In a typical bearish FVG, the expectation is that when price retraces into the gap, it will react to the imbalance, usually by reversing lower, as the area represents previous selling pressure or inefficiency caused by aggressive sellers. However, when price does not react bearishly and instead breaks cleanly through the bearish FVG, it signals a shift in market sentiment and momentum. This breakout through the imbalance suggests that buyers are now in control and that the bearish pressure in that zone has been absorbed or invalidated. What was once considered a resistance area is now being overpowered, often leading to continued bullish movement. ------------------------------- What is a bearish IFVG? A bearish Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when price breaks through a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) instead of respecting it. In a normal bullish FVG, the expectation is that when price returns to the gap, it will act as support and prompt a move higher, as this area represents a previous imbalance created by strong buying pressure. However, when price fails to respect the bullish FVG and instead breaks down through it, this signals a shift in momentum to the downside. The anticipated support fails to hold, suggesting that buyers are no longer in control or that their efforts have been overwhelmed by aggressive selling. This kind of move transforms the bullish FVG into a bearish signal, as it confirms weakness in what was previously considered a demand zone. ------------------------------- How to trade the IFVG? Trading the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) requires patience, precision, and clear confirmation of a shift in momentum. The process involves waiting for key conditions to form before entering a trade. Here's how to approach it step-by-step: First, you need to wait for a liquidity sweep. This means price must take out a recent high or low, typically a short-term liquidity pool, trapping traders on the wrong side of the market. This sweep sets the stage for a potential reversal and indicates that the market is ready to shift direction. After the liquidity sweep, watch for a 1-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) to form and then get broken in the opposite direction. This break is crucial, it’s what creates the Inverse Fair Value Gap. The invalidation of this initial FVG confirms that momentum has switched and that the market is no longer respecting the previous imbalance. Once the IFVG has formed, your entry comes on the close of the candle that breaks and closes beyond the IFVG, above it in a bullish scenario, or below it in a bearish one. This close confirms that the gap has not held and that price is likely to continue in the new direction. Place your stop loss below the low (for a bullish setup) or above the high (for a bearish setup) of the structure that formed the IFVG. This gives you protection just beyond the level that would invalidate the setup. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
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NASDAQ Bullish Play into Liquidity Before Potential ReversalForecast: NOTE: At this moment, this is a forecast and trades will be taken dependent on live PA. Price has reacted strongly off the 21,410–21,430 Daily Order Block, suggesting bullish intent. If bullish structure holds, I expect a move into the 22,060–22,130 liquidity zone, where sell-side setups could form. This is a classic Buy to Sell model: Buy from OB at ~21,420 Target liquidity above recent highs (~22,100+) Look for shorts after sweep into 22,130–22,220 range Invalidation: Break and close below 21,410 suggests the OB failed — potential deeper drop toward 20,700.
IG:NASDAQLong
by SKA_CAPITAL