ENA LONG/SHORT Strategy on 4 Hour (and long-term TP's)For some short term plays:
I always have limit orders placed at FVG's and ENA has just posted two big FVG's on the 4HR chart as it recovers from this weeks volatility.
I'd be expecting these to be filled/touched at some point, with the 0.618 FIB also playing a role I think a reasonable buy would be at the ~1.0159 mark. If the price continues to rally to ~1.23 I may go short if OBV (yellow line is 14 EMA) indicates so. I have a limit order buy at this level but will need to confirm with OBV (I also have Stoch OBV, OBV RSI for confirmations not shown here).
Why this may be not happen? A very strong project with great potential to reach new all time highs. Price could easily keep running based on its fundamentals alone.
A long term perspective:
I've got take profit targets at 1.73, 1.97, 2.67, 3.81 and 4.94 for my long term positions.
Fvg
ENA LONG/SHORT Strategy on 4 Hour (and long-term TP's)For some short term plays:
I always have limit orders placed at FVG's and ENA has just posted two big FVG's on the 4HR chart as it recovers from this weeks volatility.
I'd be expecting these to be filled/touched at some point, with the 0.618 FIB also playing a role I think a reasonable buy would be at the ~1.0159 mark. If the price continues to rally to ~1.23 I may go short if OBV (yellow line is 14 EMA) indicates so. I have a limit order buy at this level but will need to confirm with OBV (I also have Stoch OBV, OBV RSI for confirmations not shown here).
Why this may be not happen? A very strong project with great potential to reach new all time highs. Price could easily keep running based on its fundamentals alone.
A long term perspective:
I've got take profit targets at 1.73, 1.97, 2.67, 3.81 and 4.94 for my long term positions.
POLKADOT- BUY HIGH, SELL HIGHERIn the midst of chaos, I've decided to increase my position in Polkadot, as I've been holding since $5.82. The structure continues to show bullish signals, and we’re still in a bull market. Moreover, the Christmas and New Year rally hasn’t even started yet.
For traders feeling anxious right now, it's better to step away from the screen and avoid making impulsive decisions. For those focused on knowledge and strategy, there’s no better moment to consider opening a long position—fully aware of the possibility that your stop-loss might be hit.
Trade Management:
Entry: $7 or market price
Stop-loss: $6.31 (keeping the previous position intact)
Remember to control your emotions and avoid overtrading. Maintaining liquidity is crucial—don’t put all your capital at risk. Protect your psychology and trust your skills. Don’t let the market shake your confidence in what you know works.
I’m sticking to my plan, as mentioned in my previous idea. Nothing changes if you follow your plan.
May God bless you all.
Jay
Trading AUDUSD and NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 16/12/2024Last week was a slow period for trading with the Judas Swing strategy. We were presented with only two trading opportunities on GBPUSD and AUDUSD, resulting in a win and a loss respectively, yielding a 1% gain for the week. With that in mind, we are eager to explore the opportunities that may arise this week.
For the Judas Swing strategy, we focus on identifying setups on the following trading pairs: AUDUSD, NZDUSD, GBPUSD and EURUSD. At 09:30 EST, the market swept liquidity on the sell side of AUDUSD, signalling potential buying opportunities for the session. Shortly after, a similar sweep occurred on the sell side for NZDUSD signalling potential buying opportunities for this currency pair as well. Now, all we need is a break of structure to the buy side. After patiently waiting, we identified similar setups on both AUDUSD and NZDUSD, which are closely correlated pairs, often moving in tandem due to their economic ties and similar market influences.
Following the break of structure (BOS), price retraced into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). Once the candle closed, both pairs met the entry criteria outlined in our checklist, allowing us to execute our trades.
The AUDUSD trade hit take profit (TP) with minimal drawdown, delivering a 2% return in just 55 minutes. Meanwhile, the NZDUSD trade on the other hand came close to hitting TP but experienced a slight retracement that temporarily delayed reaching the target
We revisited the NZDUSD position, and once again, it edged closer to the TP only to retrace again, frustrating, isn’t it? That’s the nature of trading, it takes you on an emotional rollercoaster. This is why it’s crucial to only risk what you can afford to lose, ensuring you can manage these emotions effectively.
After patiently waiting, our perseverance paid off as the NZDUSD trade finally hit TP after 8 hours and 25 minutes, rewarding us with a 2% return. Combined with the AUDUSD trade, we were up 4% on Monday an incredible way to kick off the week!
Silver Bullet Strategy AUDUSD | 17/12/2024At 9:55 EST, we arrived at our trading desk to scout for trades using silver bullet strategy. We focused on these pairs EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, and USDCAD, hoping to get favorable trading conditions during the session.
After 15 minutes, our first FVG formed on GBPUSD, indicating a buying opportunity when price retraces into the FVG on this currency pair. Five minutes later, a similar setup to that which formed on GBPUSD appeared on USDCAD as well indicating that we also look for buying opportunities on this pair when we get a retrace into the FVG. Shortly, a FVG formed on AUDUSD, suggesting a selling opportunity when the price retraces into the newly formed FVG.
Immediately after identifying the FVG on AUDUSD, the next candle entered the FVG fulfilling all the requirements for our entry criteria. We executed the trade and monitored the other pairs to check if any of them met the entry criteria. However, none of them had at that time, so we entered one trade and waited to see others would give us an entry.
We had only 25 minutes to enter the two other setups we observed, otherwise, we would not be able to take those trades due to our trade deadline being at 11:00 EST. We checked USDCAD and realized we got a retrace, but it failed to go lower to give us an entry, so we did nothing. A similar situation was encountered on GBPUSD.
We failed to get an entry on the other pairs, however, the positive aspect was that our trade on AUDUSD was progressing well in our intended direction. After waiting a while, we checked on the position again to assess its performance only to realize it had retraced back to our entry point. An ideal situation? No, but this was the reality, we remained unfazed because we had only risked an amount we were comfortable losing.
The trade consolidated around our entry price for a while, but we were in no rush. We had three options:
1. Trade reaches the take profit
2. The trade hits the stop loss
3. We manually close the trades at 16:00 EST
These are the rules we have on our checklist and we intend to stick by them
This trade neither hit our TP nor SL, so we decided to manually close it at 16:00 EST for a small profit, which we’re perfectly okay with. Remember, simply following your trading rules is a win on its own. Your rules exist for a reason!
GBPJPY Analysis - SellGBPJPY Analysis Overview
1. Seasonality:
GBP: Bearish — Historical data for this time period shows GBP typically weakens.
JPY: Bullish — Seasonal trends favor JPY strength, aligning with a sell bias for GBPJPY.
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2. COT Report (Commitment of Traders):
GBP:
4-week flip indicates a Sell bias.
JPY:
4-week flip indicates a Buy bias.
Non-commercial long positions are increasing, indicating strong demand for JPY.
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3. Fundamental Analysis:
LEI (Leading Economic Indicator):
GBP: Decreasing — Suggests economic slowdown and bearish momentum for GBP.
JPY: Range — Neutral economic outlook, but overall supportive of its safe-haven appeal.
Endogenous Factors:
GBP: Decreasing — Internal economic conditions are weakening, favoring a sell bias.
JPY: Increasing — Positive domestic factors support JPY strength.
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4. Exogenous Factors:
GBPJPY:
Classified as a Strong Sell due to broader external influences such as global risk aversion and JPY's safe-haven demand.
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5. Technical Analysis:
On the 4-hour chart:
There is a visible order block and a fair value gap (FVG) in the price structure.
The price has retraced to 50% of the order block, presenting a favorable opportunity to enter a short position.
Confluence from bearish market structure and resistance zone further validates the sell setup.
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Bias: Strong Sell
Based on seasonality, COT data, fundamentals, exogenous influences, and technical analysis, GBPJPY is poised for a significant downside move. Look for selling opportunities at or near the current resistance levels within the order block.
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes
Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls.
During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts.
Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included:
Weekly Bearish FVG respected
Daily Bearish FVG respected
Trendline retest confirming the break
Current Bearish Arguments:
PMH & PML respected
PWH & PWL respected
Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected
4H swing highs/lows respected
4H Bearish FVG respected
Strategy:
Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market.
Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters.
Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation.
God bless you.
-Jay
ATOM- BULLISH MOMENTUMEyeing Altcoins Near Their March 2024 Highs
BINANCE:ATOMUSDT
I focus on setups where altcoins are approaching their potential March 2024 peaks. These trades are straightforward in strategy but challenging emotionally, as we can expect turbulence and liquidation cascades along the way.
Bullish Arguments
PMH being disrespected
PML being disrespected
PWH being disrespected
PWL being disrespected
PDL being disrespected
PDH being disrespected
Bearish Arguments:
4H swing high being respected
4H swing low being respected
Trade Management
I keep a tight SL to protect capital in case the market hunts liquidity. If stopped out, I’ll reassess and re-enter if price action confirms. TP is around the March 2024 zone, but partial profits may be taken earlier.
A Word of Caution
As futures trading intensifies, we’ll encounter frequent liquidation cascades and stop hunts. This is where discipline and resilience truly matter. The hardest phase starts now.
Trade wisely, stay focused, and take care.
POLKADOT - Strategic Patience for the Next MovePolkadot: Strategic Patience for the Next Move
I've been holding Polkadot since $5.82 and still have my trade open. While I haven’t taken profits yet, this time I plan to secure gains once it approaches $10 again, as I anticipate a correction around December 18th. This pullback could last until December 23rd, where I aim to significantly increase my position.
📈 Scalping Opportunities:
For now, patience is key. However, scalpers will find plenty of opportunities leading up to December 17–18. Be vigilant during those dates, as volatility may spike.
💡 Swing Trading Insight:
Any swing trades entered on December 23rd or the early hours of the 24th could offer exceptional returns.
⚠️ Key Advice:
Always stick to your plan.
Don’t let greed cloud your judgment—secure partial profits to maintain liquidity.
From January onward, the market's psychological and analytical demands will increase. Be prepared and don’t get distracted by noise.
🔑 Closing Thoughts:
This market rewards discipline and foresight. Stay sharp, stay humble, and remember: the best opportunities often come to those who are patient and prepared.
May your trades be fruitful.
God bless you.
—Jay
ETHEREUM - BULLISH AFEthereum: A Technical Masterpiece with a Psychological Challenge
Ethereum's price action showcases remarkable technical precision. However, the real test lies in managing emotions: impatience and impulsive decisions often lead traders to quick losses.
📈 Projection:
Expect a steady climb toward $4,300 until around December 17–18. At that point, a correction of -15% to -30% is likely, though the exact scale will depend on market conditions.
📅 Key Date:
By December 23, ensure your positions are set. As the market evolves, navigating increased difficulty will require discipline—this phase is not for the unprepared.
📊 Comparison:
The current price movement mirrors Ethereum’s 2020 trend, proving that while history doesn’t repeat, it often rhymes.
⚠️ Plan Ahead:
Approach the market with a clear strategy. Maintain well-defined entry and exit plans, and avoid emotional decision-making. Recklessness has no place here.
🚀 Looking Ahead:
January promises explosive growth, likely peaking around mid-month. This period demands focus and resilience—those who stay disciplined stand to benefit the most.
💡 Takeaway:
Ethereum’s journey is more than just price action; it’s a test of patience and strategy. Stick to your plan, trust the process, and let the market work for you.
💼 Upcoming Trade:
I’m about to open a new trade, which I’ll share with you here—just like the one I posted at $3,100. Now’s the time to make money and stay laser-focused. Don’t hesitate to follow me and keep an eye out for updates!
Stay sharp, stay grounded, and may the odds be in your favor.
God bless you.
—Jay
Ethereum time to shine-Swing trading LONGEthereum: Your Time to Shine
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum, it’s your moment. You’re in a prime setup for traders, where psychology is playing a crucial role. As Bitcoin consolidates sideways, Ethereum is retesting a key zone, preparing for what could be its true breakout.
This is your time to shine.
Remember, this is not financial advice. Always use a responsible risk management strategy. My trade is targeting the ATH zone, where I plan to take profits and wait for a similar setup to reposition myself strategically
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 10/12/2024Yesterday, we got a trading setup on EURUSD. This came after a week of little activity with the Judas Swing strategy, where we executed just one trade. Fortunately, that trade turned out to be a winner, yielding a 2% gain to conclude the week. It felt great to finally get some activity with the strategy earlier in the week with EURUSD, and we plan to guide you through the trading day's events.
We aim to arrive at our trading desk five minutes before the trading session starts (08:30 EST), to ensure we're fully prepared for the session. The session has finally begun, and a crucial aspect of this strategy is establishing a trading bias for the session. This involves waiting for a sweep of liquidity at either the high or low of the trading zone. Typically, a sweep of liquidity occurs a few minutes into the session; however, this time it was delayed. Despite this, we didn't rush into any trades. Instead, we waited patiently and eventually got a sweep of liquidity on the sell side, indicating that in this session, we should be on the lookout for potential buying opportunities.
Once the liquidity sweep requirement is complete, the next step is a break of structure to the buy side to confirm our bias for the session. Keep in mind, all this needs to occur before 11:00 EST. Once the break of structure to the buy side occurred, it was followed by a retrace into the Fair Value Gap formed by the subsequent candle, indicating that all the criteria on our entry checklist were satisfied.
We executed our trade after meeting all our criteria. Initially, we saw profits for the first five minutes, but then a large bearish marubozu candle appeared, plunging us into a significant drawdown. This exemplifies why we avoid tight stop losses and maintain a minimum stop loss requirement of 10 pips.
Upon reviewing the position again, we noticed that the trade had begun to move in our favor. However, since the objective has not yet been met, we must wait for one of two outcomes: either our stop loss is triggered or our take profit is reached
Our patience finally paid off when our trade, where we risked just 1% of our capital, yielded a rewarding 2% return. This trade was a testament to the importance of sticking to your trading plan and waiting for the right setup, rather than chasing trades out of impatience
US30 / TRADING A RANGE BETWEEN 45,100 AND 44,468 / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The Dow Jones is trading between 45,100 (resistance) and 44,468 (support) , Prices are under upward pressure, but remain below the all-time high (ATH) of 45,100.
If prices fail to stabilize above 45,100, a decline is expected toward the lower support at 44,468,If prices break below 44,468, the decline could continue further into a demand zone between 43,960 and 43,719.
If prices break and stabilize above 45,100 (ATH), an increase is expected toward a new historical zone between 45,490 and 45,890.
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER ATH PRICES AROUND 21,520 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Breaking the supply zone is expected to lead to an increase in prices, potentially reaching a new all-time high (ATH) , The current price is trading below the ATH level at 21,512.
If the price remains and stabilizes below 21,512, it is expected to decline further , The first expected demand zone is between 21,226 and 21,107 , If the price closes a 4-hour candle below this zone, it is anticipated to decline to the next demand zone between 20,863 and 20,762.
If the ATH level (21,512) is broken, prices are expected to rise and reach a new historical zone between 21,520 and 21,890.
As long as the price remains below the ATH, the market is expected to face downward pressure.
STELLAR BULLISH MOMENTUM-XLMCRYPTO:XLMUSD
XLM Continuation Rally: An Analysis
Bullish Arguments:
PMH (Previous Monthly High) disrespected
PML (Previous Monthly Low) disrespected
Weekly Bullish FVG respected
PWL (Previous Weekly Low) disrespected
PWH (Previous Weekly High) disrespected
PDL (Previous Daily Low) disrespected
4H swing low disrespected
4H Bullish FVG respected
Bearish Arguments:
PDH (Previous Daily High) respected
4H swing high respected
Bullish 81.82%- Bearish 18.18%
Trade Management:
This setup involves high risk and requires close monitoring of price action. Use a tight stop-loss (SL) to manage risk, and aim for a take-profit (TP) near the 2021 ATH zone. Staying alert to market movements is critical for this trade
FXS- BULLISH MOMENTUMClear Path for Long Positions Until January 20th
We have a green light to focus on long setups leading up to January 20th, but emotional Discipline is critical—avoid letting euphoria or emotional demons dictate your decisions.
BINANCE:FXSUSDT is a standout candidate for a strong rally based on my criteria:
Monthly and Weekly Structure supported by FVG (Fair Value Gaps).
PMH and PML (Previous Monthly High/Low) being disrespected.
PWH and PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) being disrespected.
PDH and PDL (Previous Daily High/Low) being disrespected.
4H Swing Highs and Lows also being disrespected.
At this moment, I see no valid reasons to adopt a bearish stance. The primary risk lies in potential liquidity spikes. To mitigate this, a solid Stop Loss is essential to safeguard your position and allow for re-entry if price action justifies it.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 9.53
Stay focused and protect your trades.
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER SUPPLYZONE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Downward Pressure: Prices are currently trading under a bearish (downward) trend.
Supply Zones , Between 20,860 & 20,920 and 21,037 & 21,112: These zones are acting as resistance levels where selling pressure is high, preventing prices from rising further.
Demand Zone , Between 20,559 & 20,354: This is identified as a support level where buying interest might increase, potentially halting further price decline.
Possible Scenarios:
If prices remain below the supply zones, further decline toward the demand zone is expected , If prices break above the supply zones, it suggests an increase toward ,The all-time high (ATH) around 21,260 , A strong supply zone between 21,175 & 21,260.
Overall Outlook , The text emphasizes the bearish trend unless resistance levels are broken.
EURUSD-TIME FOR REVERSAL- SWING TRADEReversal Opportunity Amid a Bearish Bias
FX:EURUSD
The EUR/USD is showing potential for a reversal, although the overall probabilities remain bearish. This setup offers an opportunity with a possible 3RR.
Trade Management:
Today's FED meeting could cause sharp and unexpected market movements. It’s crucial to keep a tight SL to protect against liquidity hunts, especially near the November PML wick. The TP is set at the bearish FVA, but if the price reaches this area, it could signal a higher probability of continued upside.
Stay cautious and adapt to market conditions. Manage your risk and remember: capital preservation comes first.
Let's get higher this week POLKADOTPolkadot: Rising from the Ashes
BINANCE:DOTUSDT
Polkadot appears to be breaking free from its prolonged downturn. Comparing to Cardano, its about time to reach the fibonacci 1.62 and the buyside liquidity. The charts suggest strong bullish potential, but it’s crucial to stay grounded—corrections are part of the game. In my view, a significant pullback may happen when geopolitical events, such as TRUMP's potential return to the White House, create waves across the markets.
For now, the focus should be on crypto over the coming weeks. Avoid over-leveraging or taking excessive risks. Remember, the market will always present opportunities—it's often your mind that gets in the way. Discipline is key: master your fears by following your trading plan without compromise.
Success isn’t about how much you make in one trade; it’s about consistently executing a solid plan. Over time, this approach allows you to grow your capital as if you’re your own bank. Stay committed, keep learning, and protect your mental clarity by managing risk wisely.
I currently have an active trade on Polkadot and am holding steady.
Let’s see how this plays out!