XAUUSD / TODAY REMAIN DEMAND ZONE EXPECTED TO INCREASE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price has declined and hit a profit target of +455 pips, indicating a successful trade.
Prices are now trading above a demand zone between $2,627 and $2,611 , This implies strong buyer interest in this range, providing support.
If the price remains above the demand zone, it suggests a likely increase to a supply zone between $2,695 and $2,720 , This reflects a potential upward trend driven by continued buying pressure.
If the price breaks below the demand zone, further declines are expected , The next identified demand zone is between $2,595 and $2,585, where buyers may step in again.
Fvg
gbpjpy next moveAs can be seen, a bear flag has also formed. The top of this flag corresponds to the filling of the FVG. In the short term, I expect a further decline to hit the monthly liquidity. After this, I anticipate an upward movement fueled by the momentum from the liquidity grab. At one of the potential liquidity points on the 4H timeframe, there will likely be a break of structure, hopefully forming a new FVG, allowing us to take a significant short position targeting 180,000, where another liquidity grab could occur.
EURJPY | 30M | TECHNICAL CHART |I have prepared a FX:EURJPY analysis for all of you. I have marked my target and stop-loss levels on the chart. Thanks to everyone who likes and supports my work. I work hard for you here and I will never give up on you.
We will continue to win together. All I ask is that you show your support with a like.
XAUUSD / TRADING INSIDE FVG / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
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Current Price Action , Gold prices are stabilizing within the FVG area, indicating potential for a decline , The immediate target price within this range is $2,670.
If prices remain below $2,670, they are expected to decline toward $2,628, which represents a lower level within the FVG , A further break below $2,628 could lead to a decline into the demand zone, between $2,595 and $2,585.
If gold prices break above $2,680, they are expected to rise into the supply zone, ranging between $2,695 and $2,720.
Overall Sentiment , The market is currently under downward pressure, suggesting a bearish bias unless prices break key resistance levels.
BTCUSDT / TRADING UNDER SUPPLY ZONE AND ATH / 4H BTCUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
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Current Trend , Prices are under downward pressure, trading below a defined supply zone (97,923–99,531) , A supply zone indicates a range where selling interest is high, causing resistance to upward price movement.
If prices remain below the supply zone and stabilize , A decline toward a demand zone (92,402–90,794) is expected , A break below the demand zone, confirmed by a 4-hour (4H) candle closing beneath it, suggests further decline toward a lower range price of 88,698.
If the supply zone is breached, particularly with a break above the all-time high (ATH) price of 99,600 , Prices are expected to rise toward a new historical zone between 100,800 and 104,000.
GBPJPY daily/montly liqOn the chart with monthly candles, a liquidity grab can be seen at the last higher low (HL). On the daily timeframe, you can observe that there has already been a break of structure and a test of a fair value gap (FVG). Therefore, the expectation is for further decline. For this, I will conduct an analysis on a smaller timeframe.
Sell XAUUSD Sell XAUUSD when Price Goes Up Between 2645.19 to 2650.11
1.Here I have box that is my Optimal Trade Entry
2.Ignore level
when price rally up to this box and reduce with displacement I open short on XAUUSD and the first target is 2631.20 (NY Midnight) and the second Target is the low of the day.
Trading EURUSD this week | Judas Swing Strategy 25-27/11/2024The Judas Swing strategy has recently seen a surge in activity. After experiencing a week of losses, it rebounded last week with a 1% gain. This week appears promising, as a setup emerged on Monday, positioning us to take advantage of the opportunity that presented itself
After observing a sweep of liquidity at the high of the trading zone, we shifted our focus to look for potential selling opportunities. However, to capitalize on a clear setup, we require a break of structure to the sell side. This price leg must create a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and a retracement into this FVG will assist us in securing an entry point for the trade. At 10:30 EST, all the criteria on our entry checklist were met, allowing us to proceed with the trade.
Upon entering this trade, we experienced minimal drawdown, which is the ideal scenario every trader seeks. Sniper entries are highly coveted, but it's important to recognize that they won't occur with every trade. Therefore, it's essential for traders to allow their trades sufficient space to fluctuate and to place their stop-loss at a point where, if triggered, it signifies the invalidation of the trade setup
We were in this trade for just 1 hour and 15 minutes, and with only a 1% risk, it yielded a 2% return for the day
On Tuesday, we returned to scout for trading setups, but unfortunately, none emerged that matched the Judas swing strategy, so we took no action. Notice what we did? Nothing. And why? Because no trade setup fulfilled the criteria on our checklist, and we didn't force any trades. Whenever a trade doesn't meet your checklist requirements, avoid forcing a trade. The likelihood of regretting that decision is high, and even if a forced trade happens to win, it means you're developing a bad habit that could haunt you later on
We showed up on Wednesday to scout for trades again and late in the session a setup started forming. We got a sell bias early but getting a confirmation for sell trade took forever to form, but when we got that confirmation we didn't hesitate to take this trade. We entered a sell for this trade setting our Stop loss at 1.05788 and our TP at 1.05383
After executing the trade, the subsequent bullish candle, which was a bullish marubozu, went straight to our stop loss and then reversed in our intended direction. However, since our stop loss was triggered, it marked the end of our trading day. According to our rules, we do not re-enter the trade. We accept the 1% loss with dignity and prepare to trade another day. This loss means that we are now only 1% in profit on EURUSD for the trading period from November 25th to 27th.
Silver Bullet Strategy EURUSD USDCAD AUDUSD | 26/11/2024Yesterday served as a classic example of the importance of risk management in every trader's system. We initiated three trades across three different currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD) and plan to provide a detailed breakdown of each trade, including the outcomes.
We began scouting for potential setups that matched our entry criteria at 10:00 EST. By 10:30 EST, a FVG had developed on GBPUSD, indicating potential selling opportunities during this trading session. All that remained was to wait for a retracement into the created FVG to secure an entry point for the trade
The subsequent five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap (FVG) on GBPUSD, indicating that we could execute our trade upon its closure. Simultaneously, we were exploring additional trading opportunities across various currency pairs. It was then that we observed the emergence of a FVG on USDCAD, necessitating a wait for a retracement into the FVG before executing a trade. We executed the trade on GBPUSD while awaiting confirmation to enter the USDCAD position.
The USDCAD setup provided an entry confirmation, indicating that we would have two trades active during this session. Additionally, the session was still ongoing when we observed that another EURUSD setup was approaching the fulfillment of our entry criteria.
Immediately after initiating the trades on GBPUSD and USDCAD, we observed a significant drawdown on both. This was due to a large bearish marubozu candle printing on the USDCAD, while the GBPUSD experienced two successive bullish candles, casting both positions in an unfavorable light. While all this was happening the setup on EURUSD had fulfilled all the requirements on our checklist so we had to execute that trade as well.
Our USDCAD position hit the stop loss, and shortly after, our GBPUSD position also reached the stop loss, resulting in a 2% reduction of our trading account for the day. This leaves us with just one active position on EURUSD.
Being in such a position wouldn't be easy to bare if we hadn't managed risk properly. We entered these trades risking only 1% per trade and had already accepted the potential outcomes, which greatly diminished any emotional attachment to these trades. With that in mind, the EURUSD position began moving in our desired direction, which was a considerable relief after two out of three trades had reached the stop-loss point
We patiently waited, and this time our patience paid off when our EURUSD position hit the take profit (TP) for a 2% gain. Thus, for the day, we experienced two losses and a win, but with effective risk management, our win offset both losses, and we broke even for the day. Do you see the importance of ensuring your wins outweigh your losses? We experienced just one win and two losses, yet our single win was more significant that it offset all the losses we had for the day
Bullish channel in to Imbalance (GOLD)price doesn't look great today, but I see a potential setup to go long. I need to see the price break above the 1-minute lower-high (LH) swing level. Once that happens, I can look for a Fair Value Gap (FVG), imbalance, or other indicators. I will only take a trade after the price retraces to a FVG, imbalance, or order block, and I will look for a bullish momentum candle in those areas of interest.
US30 / UNDER CPI PRESSURE / 4HUS30 /4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The analysis begins by noting a profitable decline of 590 pips, indicating that the asset has experienced a significant downward movement recently, which has been profitable for traders taking short positions.
The price is approaching an FVG zone between 43,381 and 42,984. A Fair Value Gap typically represents an area where the price may experience consolidation, or a period of sideways movement, before it makes a decision to either move higher or lower.
If consolidation occurs within the FVG, the price may rise toward a supply zone (44,252 to 44,532), which suggests a resistance area where selling pressure could occur, preventing the price from moving higher.
The analysis highlights a bearish sentiment, meaning the overall expectation is for the price to continue moving downward unless there is a breakout above the supply zone , If the price fails to stabilize above the FVG, further decline is expected. The target for this decline is a support zone between 42,716 and 42,335, where buyers might enter, potentially halting the downward move.
The downward pressure is noted as the dominant force unless the price manages to break above the supply zone ,Traders will need to watch whether the asset stabilizes within the FVG, as this will determine whether the bearish trend continues or a reversal occurs.
Corn Futures: New All Time Highs Ahead 10x potential CBOT:ZC1! Straight forward MACRO LONG to new ALL TIME HIGH. Easy 2x upside to previous all time high within a year and 5-10x upside within the next couple of years. There is a huge fair value gap or unbalanced zone to the upside (yellow) to be filled. The 3 month chart has finally started to show signs of reversal as price retraced to a key high volume zone (gray) and printed a bullish hammer candle.
Weekly timeframe is lacking strength and looking like it wants to retest the low $400's. Rather wait for a further retrace or jump in upon a break of previous highs.
POLKADOT, TIME TO LEAVE THE HELLAltcoin Time: Polkadot Bullish Swing Trading
Polkadot is showing several bullish signals:
PML being disrespected
PWL being disrespected
PWH being disrespected
PDL being disrespected
PDH being disrespected
Daily Bullish FVG being respected
4H Bullish FVG being respected
4H Swing Low being disrespected
Bearish Argument:
4H Swing High is being respected
Altseason seems to be brewing, but as day or swing traders, we must remain cautious about short-term movements. Ignore the noise on social media and rely on your analysis and experience.
Risk management is everything. If you risk more than you can afford to lose, you’ll end up emotionally drained. Protect your mindset by applying proper risk management techniques.
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 5.2
NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
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Current Price Action:
The price is currently close to the ATH at 21,250,As long as it remains below this level, it is expected to decline further.
Expected Decline:
If the price does not break above the ATH, it may drop towards a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,324, which may represent a target or support zone.
Upward Scenario:
If the price breaks above the ATH, specifically by closing a 4-hour (4H) candle above 21,250, it could indicate a bullish momentum, potentially leading to a new ATH around 21,381.
Overall Sentiment:
The overall outlook is bearish if the price remains below the ATH, suggesting that trading pressure is downward until there’s a clear breakout.
XAUUSD / TRYING TO REACH NEXT DEMAND ZONE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Demand Zone and Initial Price Decline, After a recent decline, gold prices have reached a demand zone, providing an opportunity for a 600-pip profit. A demand zone is a price range where buying interest typically increases, suggesting potential support.
Current Price Movement ,Gold is now aiming for a new demand zone between $2,527 and $2,500. As long as prices stabilize above this zone, there’s potential for an upward push towards higher levels.
Potential Price Levels , Next Supply Zone: Between $2,606 and $2,618. If gold reaches this range, selling pressure could increase, potentially slowing or reversing the uptrend.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Area, Between $2,636 and $2,664. This level may act as a magnet for prices if the trend continues upwards, as traders may look to close gaps in the price , Further Supply Zone, Between $2,687 and $2,708, where resistance is expected to be strong.
Support Levels and Downside Risk, If gold breaks below the $2,527-$2,500 demand zone, it could decline further to a support level around $2,485, where additional buying interest might emerge.
Market Sentiment , The market is generally under upward pressure (bullish sentiment), though it is currently experiencing a decline.
Trading USDCAD and AUDUSD | Silver Bullet Strategy 18/11/2024The Silver Bullet strategy, introduced by the Inner Circle Trader (ICT), aims to exploit certain market conditions within specific time frames. It involves strategically placing entries at the initial fair value gap that emerges within these periods. Yesterday, we executed trades using this strategy and we plan to show you how to incorporate this strategy into your trading toolkit.
Firstly, it's crucial to understand what a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is and recognize the optimal time to look for these trades, which is between 10:00 and 11:00 EST. In order to get into the groove of trading we got to our trading desk at 09:55 and with the help of the sessions indicator we have the our trading zones mapped out for us. It should be noted that the initial candle marking the start of a trading session cannot constitute the Fair Value Gap (FVG), but it can serve as the first candle in the formation of an FVG.
The trading session began, and we were scouting for setups to trade using the silver bullet strategy. After 15 minutes, we noticed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) had formed on the USDCAD pair, which drew our attention to it.
This development indicates that we should be on the lookout for potential selling opportunities this trading session. We must wait for price to retrace back to the FVG and only execute a trade after the candle that enters the FVG has closed. This approach helps us avoid trades that enter the FVG and immediately hit our stop-loss. After 10-minutes we got a retracement into the Fair Value Gap (FVG), and given that price did not surpass the high of the first candle in the FVG formation, we can enter this trade. A 10 pip stop loss will be set to provide sufficient room for the trade to develop.
After initiating the trade, our USDCAD position experienced minimal drawdown, and by 10:35, it was progressing favorably in our desired direction. Simultaneously, we were evaluating potential setups on other currency pairs and observed the formation of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on AUDUSD.
The next candle retraced into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) created on the AUDUSD pair, indicating that upon its close, we could execute a trade on this pair.
The USDCAD position swiftly hit the take profit (TP) target. Within just 25 minutes, we completed this trade and shifted our focus to the other open position, AUDUSD. The AUDUSD position was also moving favorably in the direction we anticipated.
After a period of waiting, we checked the position and found that it had reached the Take Profit (TP) after two hours. We succeeded in both trades we entered yesterday, risking 1% on each and aiming for a total gain of 4%. As observed, both trades experienced minimal drawdown, but this does not guarantee similar entries in the future. It is advisable to backtest this strategy and collect sufficient data to reinforce your confidence should you choose to trade using this strategy.
SPX 500 day trading LONGAnalysis: Market Structure & Probabilities
OANDA:SPX500USD
PML (Previous Monthly Low) has been broken, moving higher than last month's low.
PMH (Previous Monthly High) has also been broken, pushing beyond last month’s high.
PWH/PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) similarly breached, with price moving higher than the previous month's range.
PDL (Previous Daily Low) and 4H Swing High/Low have also been surpassed.
These indicators suggest a strong bullish bias, with an 87.5% probability of further upside movement vs. a 12.5% bearish scenario (reflected in PDH, as the price dipped below yesterday’s high).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.14
Simple as that.
XAUUSD / RANGE BETWEEN SUPPLY ZONE AND DEMAND ZONE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Previous Price Movement , The price initially rose to a supply zone, achieving a profit of +240 pips, indicating a successful upward trade before the price began to decline.
Current Support Zone, The price has now fallen to a demand zone between $2,565 and $2,550. This zone is viewed as a potential area of support where buyers may enter, potentially reversing or slowing the decline.
Potential Price Increase, There’s an expectation that the price could bounce back up to an FVG between $2,636 and $2,664. This gap might act as an interim target, providing resistance where the price could stall or reverse again.
Upward Continuation , For prices to continue rising, they would need to stabilize above the demand zone between $2,565 and $2,550. If they do, the target for the next supply zone lies between $2,687 and $2,708.
Risk of Further Decline, However, if the price breaks below and stabilizes under the demand zone, it suggests a likely continuation of the downtrend, as it would indicate a weakening of buying support.
Overall Trend , Despite the downward moves, the overall trend is described as under “upward pressure,” indicating a bullish bias in the larger context.
DXY Potential Rally to 108: High-Probability Setup with FVG The DXY is currently positioned around 105, showing momentum to potentially push up to the 108 region. This area features a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily and weekly timeframes, providing a strong confluence zone. Price previously failed to sustain on the monthly OB, indicating a move towards the buyside liquidity above this PD array.
Should we see price react at the 108 FVG, it could present a reversal opportunity, especially given the alignment with overlapping daily and higher timeframe FVGs. However, if bullish momentum continues, this setup may also lead to further liquidity grabs.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
BITCOIN / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4H BITCOIN / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Bitcoin recently reached an all-time high (ATH) of approximately $90,000 before experiencing a corrective phase. Prices are expected to stabilize in the demand zone between $76,982 and $74,781. Should Bitcoin maintain stability above this level, it may reattempt its ATH, targeting a new range of $92,000 to $95,000. However, a break below this demand zone could indicate a further decline towards a lower support region between $70,379 and $66,920. Overall, Bitcoin continues to exhibit bullish momentum despite corrective phases.