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Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 28/10/2024 Last week highlighted the importance of a risk management plan for all traders using the Judas swing strategy as a case study. The strategy produced two trades on FX:GBPUSD and one on $EURUSD. Despite facing two losses and securing only one win, proper risk management ensured that the single win offset the losses, allowing us to end the week at breakeven. With these results in hand, we were excited to see what the upcoming week would bring. We got to our trading desk at 8:25EST and started our day by demarcating our trading zones. Once we have demarcated our zones, we wait for the high or low of this zone to be swept, as this will assist us in determining our bias for the trading session. After 35 minutes, the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities during this trading session. Next on our checklist is to wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. After an hour, we observed a BOS on the sell side, which resulted in a Fair Value Gap (FVG) being formed in the process We must wait for the price to retrace back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). A trade can only be initiated once price has entered the FVG, and it is crucial to be patient and wait for the price to close before executing any trades. This waiting period acts as a filter to avoid scenarios where the candle entering the FVG proceeds to hit our stop-loss. The next five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap and closed, indicating that we can proceed with executing the trade The position experienced a drawdown shortly after the trade was executed, but this did not concern us as we had only risked 1% of our trading account, targeting a 2% gain. Additionally, we implemented a minimum 10 pip stop loss to allow the trade sufficient space to fluctuate without prematurely stopping us out and then proceeding in our anticipated direction. Upon checking the position later, we found it had shifted in our favor. However, we needed to remain composed since it had not yet reached our ultimate target. Our task was simply to be patient and wait for our targets to be achieved Upon reevaluating the position, we noticed that price had returned to the entry point. At such moments, individuals who have risked more than they can afford may start to panic. That's why we continually stress the importance of only risking what you can afford to lose, as it greatly diminishes the emotional investment in trades. We have encountered situations like this before and will likely face them again. However, what remains within our control is the decision to risk only an amount we are comfortable with losing, which in turn lessens the emotional attachment to the trades. According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. After 13 hours and 25 minutes, our patience was rewarded when our Take Profit (TP) was reached, resulting in a 2% gain on the OANDA:NZDUSD trade
Education
by CleoFinance
XAUUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE TO PUSH A NEW ATH / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Action , Gold prices are approaching an all-time high (ATH) near $2,790. The price is now testing a demand zone between $2,756 and $2,746. If prices hold above or within this demand zone, there is potential for an upward move to the ATH of $2,790, with a possible extension to a new ATH of $2,810 if bullish momentum continues. If the price breaks below this demand zone, it could drop to the lower demand zone between $2,735 and $2,728. A decisive break below this level might confirm a downtrend. Overall Market Sentiment , Currently, the market exhibits upward pressure, with a generally bullish outlook as long as prices stabilize above or within the key demand zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend and Demand Zone , After a price drop into a demand zone (between $2,733 and $2,727), the asset rebounded, yielding a 160-pip profit. The ongoing bullish pressure suggests further upward momentum. Targets and Supply Zones , The price aims to reach $2,750 following a retest of the demand zone. Afterward, it may push into a supply zone ($2,754 to $2,758), with potential to hit a new ATH at $2,775 if the momentum continues. Downside Risks , A breakdown below the current demand zone could indicate a decline towards a secondary demand zone ($2,722 to $2,717). A breach of this lower zone would confirm a shift to a downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / TRADING SUPPLY ZONE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Situation , Prices are in a supply zone, stabilizing between 20,418 and 20,522. This suggests a consolidation phase, where prices may move sideways as buyers and sellers are in balance. Potential Decline , A possible decline could reach the demand line at 20,146. This level could act as a support, as buyers may step in if prices drop here. The analysis indicates an overall bullish pressure, as long as prices remain above the demand line. A bounce here could signal buyers gaining strength, potentially pushing prices up toward the supply line at 20,820. If the demand line at 20,146 breaks, further declines are anticipated, possibly bringing prices to a lower demand zone between 19,963 and 19,735. This scenario would suggest that bearish momentum is taking over.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
AAVE midterm Long presetHi all! Here I brought to you my complete TA for AAVE Long. I have determined two Long entry zones. Why: General bullish bias and uptrend channel, already near lower border When: 1st Entry Zone one is more risky. Its located on the intersection of 1D and 12H FVG. Both mitigated but respected. Its a demand zone and lower uptrend border as well. BUT! Median ATR (2.6k p) of last bear waves is only on 50% of its potential movement, so it have enough fuel to move price lower, to the 2nd Long Entry Zone. 2nd Entry Zone located under the range volume POC and volume VAL is in the middle of it. On the lower end there is a demand zone, 1D mitigated VFG and 4H unmitigated VFG. And Median ATR points directly at it. So this 2nd Entry is much more valid and safe. There are no guarantees that the price will reach this level, but if it does, it will be an excellent entry point.
Long
by CyberBOB_Crypto
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION OF THE MIDDLE EAST / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Movements ,The text notes that after an Israeli attack on Iran, gold prices surged, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of around $2,758. This is a typical reaction as investors often view gold as a safe-haven asset during political unrest, causing demand—and prices—to rise. Demand Zone , Between $2,739 and $2,734, this zone is where buyers may step in if prices drop, creating a potential “floor” for further increases. Supply Zone ,Between $2,754 and $2,758, this zone acts as resistance, meaning sellers may dominate here, capping short-term gains. Breaking above this level could push prices to a new ATH of $2,775. If the price breaks the supply zone ($2,754–$2,758), it may rise further, suggesting momentum toward $2,775 or beyond. If the price falls below the demand zone ($2,739–$2,734), it may decline toward the next support level between $2,722 and $2,717. Overall Trend: The text suggests that gold prices are under upward pressure, largely due to geopolitical instability, and are likely to continue rising unless key support levels are breached.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD /PRICES TRYING TO REACH NEW ATH / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price has already achieved a profit of +340 pips, signaling a strong upward trend. The fact that this movement continued after a news release suggests that market sentiment is likely driven by external factors, such as macroeconomic events or announcements. The demand zone between $2,720 and $2,711 is critical because it reflects a price area where buyers are likely to step in. Historically, demand zones are areas of strong buying interest, which halts a downtrend. The expectation is that, if the price stays above this zone, it may bounce back towards the ATH of $2,757. This would mark a retest of the resistance level, a crucial price ceiling. A move beyond $2,757, extending to $2,771, would imply a breakout. In technical analysis, a breakout from an all-time high (ATH) can lead to a new price discovery phase, where prices rise with minimal historical resistance. Traders might look to capitalize on this momentum. The break below the demand zone would indicate that buying pressure is insufficient to stop the fall, leading to a continuation of the downtrend. A potential price drop to $2,685 would signal a notable reversal in sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD Buy TradeTime Frame: - H4: FVG Identification - H1 Entry Signal 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 1.0807 area, indicating a reversal in market sentiment. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0806 - 1.0810. 3. Position: Entry : 1.0825 Stop Loss : 1.0811 Take Profit: 1.0849 RRR : 1:1,9x ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
NAS100USD / UNDER EARNING Q3 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Upward Momentum , The NAS100USD is moving upwards, likely driven by positive sentiment or market reaction to Q3 earnings. It indicates that buyers currently dominate the market, pushing prices higher. Supply Zone (20,418 - 20,522) , This is a potential resistance area. If prices reach this zone, they may face selling pressure. If sellers overpower buyers, it could lead to a downward movement from this level. Demand Zone (19,963 - 19,753) , If prices begin to decline from the supply zone, this demand zone serves as a support area. Here, buyers might step in, leading to a potential bounce or stabilization. This level might offer a good entry for long positions if the overall trend remains bullish. Breaking the Supply Zone , If NAS100USD breaks above 20,522, it would signal a continuation of the upward trend, targeting the next supply level around 20,820. This would indicate strong buying pressure and positive momentum, likely driven by sustained optimism or robust earnings.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD Potential Buy?Time Frame: - H4: FVG Identification - H1 Entry Signal 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 1.0807 area, indicating a reversal in market sentiment. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0806 - 1.0810. 3. Waiting for entry signal after price touches FVG. ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
4
TOBA Potential Buy1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character by the break of the previous high at 312 & 500, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the Weekly chart & Daily Chart, identified Fair Value Gap between 470 - 496. 3. Trade Execution Entry Price: TBA if price entered FVG SL: 460-474 (below Daily & Weekly FVG) TP1: 1050-1070 (Fibo 161.8%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:8 Monitoring: Check-in daily closing price 4. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
IDX:TOBALong
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Behavior , Prices are trading inside a demand zone—a price range where buying interest is expected to be strong, leading to potential price increases. Today, prices have declined by 1.80%, signaling short-term weakness. A potential decline is expected to continue toward the demand line at $2,685. This level serves as support, where buyers may step in to stop further declines. If prices stabilize inside the demand zone or if a 4-hour candle opens above/inside the zone, this suggests a potential increase. In this case, the target price levels are $2,750 and $2,757, implying a bullish rebound. If prices break below the demand zone, this indicates further weakness. In this case, prices are expected to decline further toward $2,685 and possibly $2,663, suggesting a bearish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/10/2024Last week was active for the Judas Swing strategy, with two positions on FX:GBPUSD resulting in wins (+4%), three positions on FX:EURUSD yielding one win and two losses (breaking even), three positions on FX:AUDUSD with one win and two losses (breaking even), and one position on OANDA:NZDUSD securing a win (+2%). Overall, this led to a 6% increase by the week's end. Encouraged by these results, we began the week with enthusiasm to discover what lay ahead. In keeping with our routine, we reached our trading desks at 08:25 EST and set up our trading zones. Once we have demarcated our zones, we should wait for the high or low of this zone to be swept, as this will assist us in determining our bias for the trading session. Twenty minutes later, the trading zone's low was swept, indicating that we should concentrate on looking for buying opportunities during this trading session. Although we may have a bias for the trading session, we do not enter buy trades indiscriminately. Instead, we wait for a break of structure towards the buy side. During this break of structure, the price movement should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which will assist us in getting an entry point for the trade. Shortly after, we observed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the buy side, which resulted in a Fair Value Gap (FVG) being left behind. To fulfill all the entry criteria on our checklist, we must wait for price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has formed, and we can only execute the trade once the candlestick has closed. The next five-minute candle has entered the Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating that upon its closure, we may proceed with executing the trade. It's crucial to understand that by risking only 1% of our trading account for a potential 2% return, we minimize emotional attachment to the trades since we're only risking what we can afford to lose, and we stand to gain more than we risk. After executing the trade, our position immediately showed a profit. However, it's crucial to stay composed and manage our expectations, as we do not control the markets and the situation could swiftly change. After a few hours, we revisited the position and noticed it was still fluctuating around the same price point where we had previously left it. According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern; we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. Upon reviewing the position once more, we noticed it continued to consolidate in the same area. However, according to our rules, we must wait for the position to either reach the Take Profit (TP) or Stop Loss (SL) point. Unfortunately, our patience did not yield the desired results this time, as the stop loss was triggered and we incurred a 1% loss of our trading account on this trade. However, this loss did not impact us significantly since we had already accepted the amount we were risking on the trade.
by CleoFinance
NAS100USD / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE / 1H NAS100USD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Prices Declined to Target ,As mentioned that the prices have already declined and reached a previously set target. This likely indicates that the price moved lower to a level anticipated by prior analysis. Trading Above Demand Zone , Prices are currently above a “demand zone,” which is an area where buying interest is expected to be strong enough to support the price from declining further. Being above this zone indicates some stability and that the asset is holding its ground. Stabilizing Above the Demand Zone , If prices stabilize above this zone, it could suggest an upward trend. This signals that the demand is strong enough to prevent further decline, encouraging buyers. Targeting Supply Zone , The text suggests that if prices continue to remain above the demand zone, they may increase to reach the supply zone between 20,361 and 20,405. A supply zone is an area where selling pressure might start, potentially capping price gains. This range is likely a price target where sellers might step in. Risk of Breaking the Demand Zone , If prices break below the demand zone, a decline could occur, with the next demand zone between 20,084 and 20,041 being the likely target. This suggests that the asset could continue its downtrend if buyers fail to defend the current demand zone. Confirmation of Downtrend , The downtrend would be confirmed if the price breaks through the lower demand zone, meaning the asset could continue to fall if it fails to find support at these levels.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / AFTER EARNING Q3 / 1HNAS100USD / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS After the Q3 earnings report was released, prices showed volatility (declines and increases), suggesting market uncertainty or instability. Current Price Level , Prices are currently below the supply line at 20,382, indicating downward pressure. Downside Projection , If the decline continues, the price may reach the demand zone between 20,184 and 20,138. If it falls further, the next target range is between 20,084 and 20,041. Upside Potential , If prices break above the supply line (20,382), the analysis suggests that prices could rise toward a supply zone between 20,460 and 20,523. Range and Time Frame , The price movement is taking place within the range of 20,041 to 20,523 on a 1-hour time frame, which means this analysis is for short-term trading. Supply Zone : 20,460 and 20,523. Demand Zone : 20,184 and 20,138 , 20,084 and 20,041.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend , The price of gold continues to rise and is approaching $2,750. Despite reaching the initial target, prices are still under upward pressure. the price is attempting to break through the $2,750 level, which represents the next significant resistance. If prices remain below $2,750, a decline is expected. If the price declines, it is likely to reach $2,730, with a further potential drop to the demand zone between $2,724 and $2,701. Breakout Potential , A break above $2,750 could signal further increases in price. Historical Context , The recent breakout above the previous all-time high (ATH) of $2,685 on September 26, 2024, has driven the current upward momentum, with the market now aiming for a new ATH at $2,750. Overall Conclusion , Gold prices are in an upward trend, with critical resistance at $2,750. A failure to break this level could lead to a pullback, but breaking through may trigger further gains. Demand Zone : $2,724 and $2,701. Demand Line : $2,730.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Accumulation Phase, After breaking out of a straight channel, the price of USD/JPY has entered an accumulation zone, meaning it’s trading in a range without a clear trend. The range is defined between 150.350 and 147.152 . Range Breakout ,The direction of the next major move will be determined by whether the price breaks above 150.350 or below 147.152. Breaking out of this range on either side will signal the market’s direction. Downward Pressure , The overall sentiment seems bearish, indicating the price is trading under downward pressure. However, it is still within an accumulation phase. Fair Value Gap (FVG), The analysis suggests that the price might try to move towards the FVG, located between 150.979 and 152.746, before any potential decline. If the price breaks through this FVG zone, it will confirm an upward trend Demand Zone, There’s a key demand zone between 146.786 and 145.982. If this zone is broken, it will confirm a downtrend and likely signal further bearish movement. FVG : 150.979 and 152.746. Demand Zone : 146.786 and 145.982. Accumulation Zone : 150.350 and 147.152.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / UNDER MIDDLE EAST TENSION / 4H XAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS After breaking the previous all-time high (ATH) of $2,685, gold prices have continued to rise. My next targets are set at $2,750 and $2,788. The ongoing tensions in the Middle East are a significant factor contributing to the upward momentum, making it likely that gold will reach these levels. As long as gold remains stable above the demand zone between $2,714 and $2,701, bullish pressure is expected to persist, potentially driving prices to my target levels. However, if the demand zone is breached, it could signal a decline, with prices possibly revisiting the previous ATH of $2,685. In conclusion, as long as tensions in the Middle East continue, the overall outlook for gold suggests sustained upward pressure. Demand Zone : $2,714 and $2,701. New Historical Zone : $2,750 and $2,788.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
BITCOIN / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA / 1HBITCOIN / 1H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Prices are trading near the demand zone, which is an area where buying interest is high enough to prevent the price from falling further. It suggests that if prices stabilize and remain above this zone, buyers are likely maintaining control. If prices remain above the demand zone, the analysis forecasts a potential increase toward the supply zone, which is the range between 69,058 and 69,513. A supply zone is an area where sellers are likely to step in and create downward pressure on the price. On the other hand, if prices break below the demand zone, it would confirm a downtrend. This means the selling pressure has overwhelmed buying, pushing the price downward. The analysis predicts the price could then fall to the next demand zone between 65,420 and 64,867. Supply Zone : 69,058 and 69,513. Demand Zone : 65,420 and 64,867.
by ArinaKarayi