CHAINLINK SWING TRADINGSwing trading
BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Seeing that the structure has been respected, I decide to open a position now. These are my arguments:
Bullish arugments:
Monthly PCL being disrespected
Weekly PCL being disrespected
Daily swing low being disrespected
4H swing low being disrespected
So far I see no bearish arguments.
Trade management:
SL at $9.94 which that would indicate strong rejection and would power a search for liquidity at the lower end of the range. However, there does not seem to be so much weakness to look for a lower low than the September low.
TP, partials could be obtained. A partial TP would be on liquidity on the buy side at $13.90 and let profits run to ITH with SL on BE once the 1TP profit is taken.
Fvg
XRPUSDT / TRADING FVG AREA / 4HXRPUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
FVG Area (0.55 - 0.54) , The price is currently trading and stabilizing within the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 0.55 and 0.54 , The FVG area refers to a zone where there’s an imbalance between buy and sell orders, often indicating where price might consolidate before making a significant move.
Potential Decline , The prices suggests that if the price continues to decline, it could reach the demand zone between 0.52 and 0.50. The demand zone is where buying interest is expected to be stronger, possibly halting the downward movement.
Potential Upside , If the price breaks above the FVG area with a 4-hour candle close, it’s expected to increase, targeting the supply zone between 0.59 and 0.60. A supply zone represents a price area where selling pressure may increase.
Confirmation of Trend , To confirm an uptrend, the price needs to break the supply zone (0.59 - 0.60) , To confirm a downtrend, the price must break the demand zone (0.50 - 0.52).
Overall Trend , Despite the short-term potential for upward movement, the text concludes that the price is under downward pressure.
Supply Zone : 0.59 - 0.60.
Demand Zone : 0.50 - 0.52.
FVG : 0.55 - 0.54.
USDJPY /BETWEEN FVG AREA / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price is attempting to reach a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 150.961 and 152.784. This suggests the price is in a critical area that could lead to potential buying or selling opportunities.
There’s a possibility of the price retesting 148.340 before starting to rise. This indicates that the author believes the price might dip before moving upwards.
The statement notes that the overall price is under bearish pressure, meaning there is a downward trend. The reference to remaining below the FVG indicates a struggle for the price to rise past this zone.
If the price does not break above the FVG, the analysis suggests it may decline further, targeting the FVG between 148.340 and 146.430. This is interpreted as a confirmation of a downtrend.
To confirm a downtrend, the price must break below the current FVG, aiming for a secondary FVG between 145.291 and 144.379. This indicates a bearish outlook if these levels are breached.
UPWARD FVG : 150.961 and 152.784.
DOWNWARD FVG : 148.340 and 146.430 , 145.291 and 144.379.
US30 / UNDER Q3 EARNING , AFTER BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The chart mentions a breakout from a price channel followed by the publication of Q3 earnings, suggesting that these two events contributed to the rise in the US30’s price, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of 43,323.
It notes that prices are currently trading below the ATH, implying a potential pullback or correction.
The analysis identifies a demand zone between 42,877 and 43,649. The text suggests that if prices stabilize within this zone, there is potential for a bullish reversal, with prices possibly rising back to the ATH and even reaching new historical peaks between 43,620 and 44,005.
For a bearish scenario to play out, the text suggests that prices would need to break below a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 42,404 and 42,238. Breaking this level could confirm a downtrend.
Despite the potential for a pullback, the overall tone of the analysis is bullish, as prices are said to be under upward pressure after breaking out of the channel.
ATH : 43323
Demand Zone : 42,877 and 43,649.
FVG : 42,404 and 42,238.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL AND ATH AT 2,685$ / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is experiencing upward momentum after breaking out of a channel, suggesting a bullish.
The price has broken its previous ATH at $2,685 and is currently attempting to reach a new ATH at $2,700. ATH levels are significant as they represent new highs in price, and breaking them often signals bullish strength.
The price is hovering around a fair value gap between $2,685 and $2,682. As long as it stabilizes above this range, it suggests further potential for upward movement towards $2,700 and even $2,720.
If the price breaks below this FVG, it may decline toward a demand zone between $2,676 and $2,670. Breaking this demand zone would indicate a further decline.
Demand Zone : 2,676$ and 2,670$.
FVG : 2,685$ and 2,682$.
NAS100USD / TRADING INSIDE FVG AREA / 1H NAS100USD / 1H TIME FRAME
HEELO TRADERS
Price Movement and Supply Zone , After prices increased and reached a supply zone, they began to decline , A supply zone refers to a price area where selling pressure exceeds buying pressure, causing the price to drop.
Current Trading Range (FVG) , The price is currently trading between 20,272 and 20,200, which is considered an FVG (Fair Value Gap) , FVG represents an imbalance between buyers and sellers, where prices move quickly and leave a gap that hasn’t been filled. The price is stabilizing within this zone.
Expected Price Movement , If prices hold within this FVG range, there’s an indication that they may increase and test the supply zone between 20,416 and 20,521 ,However, if the price breaks below this FVG area, a further decline is expected towards a demand zone between 20,138 and 20,068.
Demand Zone and Potential Rebound , The demand zone, where buying pressure is stronger than selling pressure, suggests a potential price increase if the price stabilizes in this zone , But if the price breaks below this demand zone, it signals confirmation of a downtrend.
Supply Zone : 20,416 and 20,521.
Demand Zone : 20,138 and 20,068.
FVG : 20,272 and 20,200.
EURUSD Scalping-day trading HIGH RISKSetup: OTE + FVA + FVG
FX:EURUSD
I'm using a tight stop-loss here because if it gets hit, I'm prepared to re-enter at a lower level. This approach allows me to better capture high-probability zones while keeping risk minimal at this stage.
📈 RR: 12.15 — A great risk/reward ratio that helps me optimize each trade and manage capital efficiently.
Always ready to adapt to market conditions and stick to the plan 👊. If this trade doesn't go as expected, I've already got the next step in mind.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/10/2024Last week proved challenging for the Judas Swing strategy, with three consecutive losses and no wins, which heightened our anticipation for this week. Will we be able to break this losing streak? We'll soon find out. We typically arrive at our trading desks five minutes before the session starts to delineate our zones and settle into the trading rhythm.
After delineating our zones, the next step is to wait for a sweep of a high or low of the trading zone, which will assist us in establishing our bias for the trading session. Forty-five minutes later, price swept the liquidity at the high, indicating that we should look for selling opportunities during this trading session.
A few minutes after the high was swept, we observed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side, which was encouraging as we avoid entering trades without analysis, even with a sell bias established for the session. Upon identifying the BOS, the next step is to find a Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the price leg that broke structure.
The final step in the entry checklist is to wait for price to pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and to execute the trade only after the candle that enters the FVG has closed. Shortly after, a candle entered the FVG, indicating that we could execute our trade following the close of the candle.
It's crucial to understand that by risking only 1% of our trading account for a potential 2% return, we minimize emotional attachment to the trades since we're only risking what we can afford to lose, and we stand to gain more than we risk. After executing the trade, we experienced a significant drawdown, which is a critical point for those who risk more than they can afford to lose.
After a patient wait, the trade has turned around and begun to move in our favor, which is thrilling. However, we must still keep our composure as the objective has not yet been achieved
According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern; we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. After 15 hours and 20 minutes, our patience was rewarded when our take profit (TP) target was reached, resulting in a 2% gain on a trade where we risked 1%.
Ethereum, patience is the key for longsEthereum is a different story.
It's more challenging to catch, but the bullish arguments are also strong on higher timeframes. However, if you're aiming for a solid long position, patience is key. Set alerts at crucial levels like the weekly bullish FVG and the two daily bullish FVGs. The price is currently moving to provide a fair value for supply.
For now, this is the main idea I have in mind.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
USDCAD Sell SetupTime Frame:
- Daily: (FVG Identification)
1. Trend Confirmation:
Identified a Change of Character (CoC) by the break of the previous support at 1.360, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bearish trend.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the daily chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.3810 and 1.3790. The price was rejected in the area, which marked as a potential reversal zone.
3. Trade Execution
Entry Price: 1.3750
SL: 1.3810 (above Daily FVG)
TP1: 1.3435 (previous low)
TP2: 1.3120 (1.618 Fibonacci)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:10
5. Outcome:
Exit Price:
Profit/Loss: pips
-------------
Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Large Daily FVG between ~12-13.6Good chance this will get filled considering how large it is, and considering that most daily fair value gaps on Ford have been filled in recent history.
A long play into $12.5-13 seems reasonable here.
Not trading this one myself, just noticing it and saving the idea to see how it plays out, I primarily trade spot, not options.
Example of prior gaps getting filled on the daily below:
WTI USOUSD Short day tradingBearish Arguments
VANTAGE:USOUSD
Previous Month Low (PML) is holding strong.
Previous Week Low (PWL) remains unbroken.
Previous Day Low (PDL) is respected.
Daily Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) is acting as resistance.
Monthly Bearish FVG is also being respected.
4H Bearish FVG is holding.
4H Swing High is capping price action.
4H Swing Low is holding as a short-term support, but may break down soon.
Trade Management
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2
Stop-Loss (SL): Placed near the 4H FVG to protect against upward moves.
Take-Profit (TP): Targeting the swing low (SSL). Although price could extend lower, securing profits in this zone ensures gains in case of a rebound.
Risk: 3%
XAUUSD / RANGE BETWEEN 2,68$ AND 2,645$ / 1H XAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The market experienced a significant price rise, with a 230 pip profit after reaching a demand zone (an area where buying interest is strong).
Prices are now trading between $2,668 and $2,645, creating a defined range.
A break below $2,645 signals a potential further decline to the next demand zone between $2,645 and $2,636.
A break above $2,668 could lead to a price rise, first to an all-time high (ATH) at $2,685.
If prices break above $2,685, the market might witness new historical peaks.
Supply Zone : 2,668$ and 2,685$ ( ATH ).
Demand Zone ; 2,645$ and 2,636$.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE TREND / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Price Movement on Friday , The price rose by 0.93%, trying to reach $2,668 before declining to
$2,645 and $2,636.
Key Level at $2,668 , If the price breaks and stabilizes above $2,668, further upward movement is expected. The target for this rise is the all-time high (ATH) at $2,685.
Stabilizing Below $2,668 , If the price stabilizes below $2,668, it suggests a continued decline toward $2,645 and $2,636.
Breaking the ATH of $2,685 , If the ATH is broken, prices are predicted to move into a new historical zone between $2,700 and $2,710.
Breaking the Demand Zone at $2,636 , If prices break below and stabilize under $2,636, it
indicates further declines.
Trading Range , The price is expected to fluctuate between $2,685 and $2,604 overall.
Key Points:
Price Target Levels: $2,668, $2,685 (ATH), $2,700-$2,710 (new zone), and $2,636 (demand zone).
NAS100USD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price is attempting to re-enter a supply zone between 20,356 and 20,209. A supply zone is a price range where selling pressure may increase, potentially driving the price down.
If the price breaks below this supply zone, it is expected to move toward a demand zone between 19,883 and 19,727. A demand zone is a range where buying pressure might increase, supporting the price and potentially causing it to rise.
If the price closes a 4-hour candle either inside the supply zone or demand zone, it suggests increased momentum in that direction
If prices close in the demand zone and then recover, there is a potential to move upward toward the next supply zone, between 20,607 and 20,796.
Supply Zone : 20,607 and 20,796.
Demand Zone : 19,883 and 19,727.
GBPUSD / BETWEEN DEMAND ZONE AND FVG / 4HGBPUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Prices are moving towards a demand zone located between 1.306 and 1.300. In technical analysis, a demand zone represents an area where buyers are likely to step in, potentially pushing prices higher.
After hitting the demand zone, the expectation is that prices will rise towards the FVG area between 1.313 and 1.324 , The FVG (Fair Value Gap) area is often a price gap left on the chart that may get filled in the future, typically considered a point of interest where the price might reverse or stall.
Once the price hits the FVG area, the text anticipates that it will fall back to the demand zone (1.306–1.300) and potentially drop below this zone to the target demand zone between 1.286 and 1.281. This suggests the overall sentiment is bearish in the longer term after a short-term rise.
• Initial Demand Zone: 1.306–1.300 (current support).
• FVG Area: 1.313–1.324 (temporary resistance).
• Target Demand Zone: 1.286–1.281 (final expected support level).
NAS100USD / UNDER FOMCE PRESSURE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRMAE
HELLO TRADERS
Range , Between 20,209 and 20,356 , This range represents a resistance or supply zone , where selling pressure is likely strong. The market is “processing” this zone, meaning it is trading within these boundaries, with no clear breakout above or below yet.
The mention of “prices under bearish pressure” indicates that the market is leaning towards a decline rather than an increase. This means sellers are dominant, and there could be downward price movement unless key levels are broken.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) speech is mentioned as a key event that could influence the market. FOMC meetings and speeches are important as they provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s economic policy, which often impacts market sentiment and price action , Impact: FOMC announcements can shift the market either positively or negatively, making it a key factor to watch for traders.
Range: Between 19,578 and 19,370 , If the market fails to break out of the supply zone (20,209–20,356), it is expected to decline towards this demand zone. A demand zone indicates a level where buying pressure could increase, potentially causing a reversal or support for prices.
If the supply zone (20,209–20,356) is broken to the upside, the text suggests that prices could rise, with targets at , 20,607: Immediate potential upside target , ATH (All-Time High) 20,796: The highest price point in recent history, which would represent a significant bullish move.
Supply Zone :20,209 and 20,356.
Demand Zone : 19,578 and 19,370.
FVG : 19,223 and 18,911.
XAUUSD / TRADING INSIDE SUPPLY ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Supply Zone ,The price is trading between $2,652 and $2,639, which is identified as a sell zone. This range suggests a likelihood of downward price movement as long as the price stays within this zone.
If the price remains in this range, it is expected to decline to the demand zone, which is between $2,610 and $2,604.
This would indicate potential buying opportunities, as the demand zone typically reflects areas where buying interest might emerge and support the price.
If the price breaks and stabilizes above the $2,652-$2,639 zone, it suggests an increase in price.
In that case, the price is likely to target the next supply zone between $2,668 and $2,685, signaling further upward momentum.
The overall tone of the analysis indicates that the market is under bullish pressure, meaning that the expectation is for price increases unless the bearish scenario plays out.
Supply Zone : 2,652$ and 2,639$ , 2,668$ and 2,685$.
Demand Zone : 2,610$ and 2,604$.
EURUSD / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE / 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price has declined by 60% after breaking out of a channel .
Currently, the price is approaching a demand zone between 1.093 and 1.091. This zone is where buyers may step in, stabilizing the price.
If the price stabilizes within this demand zone, it is expected to bounce up to the FVG between 1.098 and 1.102. The FVG represents a gap in the price where there was little trading, which often acts as a price target for retracement.
If the price breaks through the FVG, it could rise further, targeting the supply zone between 1.105 and 1.108, where sellers may re-enter the market and apply downward pressure.
On the downside, if the price fails to hold in the demand zone (1.093 to 1.091), it may decline further to another liquidity or demand zone around 1.088, where buying interest could once again materialize.
Supply Zone : 1.105 and 1.108.
Demand Zone : 1.093 and 1.091.
FVG : 1.098 and 1.102.
USDJPY / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE AND FVG / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action , Prices are currently trading below the supply zone between 148.623 and 149.360 , The next target seems to be the demand zone (A) between 147.164 and 146.062.
Potential Outcomes , If prices reach the demand zone (A) and hold above it, a bullish reversal may occur, potentially pushing prices back toward the supply zone ,If prices break below demand zone (A), they may drop to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone (B) between 145.321 and 144.268.
Further Movements , If prices stabilize below zone (B), the next targets would be zone (C) around 142.817 and further down to 141.801 , Conversely, if prices stabilize above demand zone (A), it indicates potential upward momentum, aiming back toward supply zone 148.623 to 149.360.
Supply Zone : 148.623 and 149.360.
Demand Zone : 147.164 and 146.062 , 142.817 and 141.801.
FVG :145.321 and 144.268.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT CHANNEL / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
You’re observing a bearish trend, meaning prices are moving downward or are under selling pressure. This could be due to various factors such as a correction after an uptrend, external market conditions, or the asset hitting resistance zones.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price range that was quickly passed through during a previous move, creating an imbalance in market orders (usually between aggressive buyers and sellers). These gaps often act as key levels of interest where prices may retrace.
FVG Resistance Zone: You have identified an FVG between $2,621 and $2,637. As long as the price stays below this range, it indicates bearish sentiment and the likelihood of further decline ,This gap can act as a resistance zone, meaning price is struggling to rise above it due to strong selling pressure in that range.
If the price fails to break above the FVG resistance zone, you expect it to continue declining, with targets at:
Demand Zone $2,604 to $2,595: This is an area where buyers previously stepped in, causing prices to rise. It acts as support and a potential reversal point. If the price reaches these levels, you expect some buying interest to potentially stabilize or reverse the trend.
However, if the price breaks below the $2,595 support level, it could signal a deeper bearish move.
If the price manages to break above the FVG (i.e., trades above $2,637), this would suggest a potential bullish reversal or upward momentum, leading to the next key levels:
Supply Zone $2,645 to $2,652, This is where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers, and price dropped. Reaching this zone could lead to consolidation or resistance unless there is enough buying power to push through.
Uptrend Confirmation , To confirm a more sustained uptrend, the price needs to break above the $2,652 level. A successful breakout here could lead to a move toward the next target of $2,664.
BITCOIN / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE / 1HBITCOIN / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Overall Bullish Pressure , The market is expected to generally favor upward movement.
Key Resistance Level - 62,413 , If Bitcoin remains below this level, it indicates potential bearish momentum, pushing the price toward a demand zone between 61,251 and 60,717. A break below this zone could signal further declines.
KeySupportLevel62,413 , Conversely, if Bitcoin trades above 62,413, bullish momentum is expected, with the price potentially rising to an FVG (Fair Value Gap) area between 63,077 and 63,557.
Further Upside , A break above the FVG area could see the price rising into the supply zone between 63,889 and 64,165, where selling pressure may increase.
Supply Zone : 63,889 and 64,165.
Demand Zone : 61,251 and 60,717.
FVG : 63,077 and 63,557.