EURUSD – Bearish Rejection and Targeting the 4H Imbalance ZoneEURUSD has shifted into a clear bearish tone following multiple rejections from a well-established resistance level. Over the past several weeks, price has struggled to break above that zone, showing consistent signs of selling pressure each time it attempted a push higher. The most notable move came when price briefly spiked above the resistance in what now appears to be a fakeout. That move did not hold, and it’s very likely that it served as a classic liquidity grab engineered to sweep buy stops resting above the range highs before reversing direction.
This kind of behavior is typical in a distribution phase, especially when seen at a high-timeframe resistance zone. The fake breakout essentially confirms that the upside liquidity has been taken, and that smart money is shifting direction. Since that event, price has been making lower highs and lower lows, reinforcing the current bearish structure.
Consolidation Structure
Before the fakeout, EURUSD had been consolidating just under resistance, building up a tight range. This kind of structure tends to lure in breakout traders, and the eventual spike above the range likely cleaned out a lot of stop orders. What followed was an aggressive reversal back into the prior range, which is a strong sign that the breakout was not genuine.
Since then, price pushed down and attempted a retracement, but that retracement got rejected precisely within a fair value gap. This is significant. It tells us that even during a pullback, the market is respecting inefficiencies and continues to deliver bearish reactions rather than signs of strength. That rejection further confirms that bears remain in control and that the earlier break was nothing more than a trap.
Bearish Scenario
With resistance holding and the fair value gap rejection now confirmed, I expect EURUSD to continue its descent and seek out deeper levels of interest. The most obvious draw on liquidity now sits below the current price, the large four-hour imbalance zone. This imbalance was left behind during the impulsive rally that preceded the fakeout, and it has yet to be filled.
Inside that imbalance, there’s also a golden pocket level lining up almost perfectly. That confluence between the imbalance zone and the 0.618–0.65 region adds weight to the idea that this area will act as a magnet for price. Markets seek efficiency, and this entire zone represents a void that price is likely to come back and rebalance.
The move into that zone would also allow the market to engineer sell-side liquidity along the way, particularly under the recent higher lows. Once those are swept, and if price begins to react inside the golden pocket, we may then begin to look for early signs of accumulation or even a bullish displacement, but until then, the short bias remains firmly in play.
Price Target and Expectations
The first key expectation is a clean sweep through the current local lows and a drive into the heart of the 4-hour imbalance. This is where I’ll be watching most closely for a potential change in behavior. Ideally, I want to see price push deep into the imbalance and tap the golden pocket before doing anything significant on the long side.
If price shows a strong reaction there, such as a bullish engulfing or a clear market structure shift that would signal the potential for a reversal. Until then, any bounce is likely to be short-lived and corrective in nature. The structure is still bearish, and the fair value gap rejection reinforces that.
Current Stance
Right now, I remain bearish. I’m not interested in fighting this momentum by jumping into premature longs. As long as price remains under the level it got rejected from, and continues to print lower highs, I’ll maintain a sell-the-rip mindset. If price delivers a deeper pullback from here, it may offer a short-term intra-day bounce, but the core expectation is still a move lower into the imbalance zone.
The area that interests me the most is the combination of the 4-hour imbalance and golden pocket, that’s the zone where I’ll shift from reactive to proactive and start looking for possible long setups. But I won’t consider longs unless price gets there and shows clear intent to reverse.
Conclusion
The market has already swept buy-side liquidity with the fakeout above resistance, and the rejection from the fair value gap confirms that sellers are still in control. Price is now being drawn toward the inefficiency below, and all signs point toward a continued bearish move until that imbalance is filled.
Until price reaches that zone and delivers a reaction worth trading, I’m staying patient and waiting for the setup to complete. Chasing entries in the middle of the range here doesn’t offer the best risk-reward. The focus now is on watching how price interacts with the 4-hour imbalance and the golden pocket, that’s where I’ll reassess the narrative and consider shifting bias if conditions warrant it.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Fvg
Ethereum waking up?One of the most disappointing projects in the crypto space in recent years has to be ETH, losing ground on BTC since September '22. Finally ETH looks to have woken up outpacing BTC this week and broken out from the daily downtrend channel and currently at the underside of the DAILY 200 EMA.
BTC.D has printed a SFP and dropped 2% from 65.4% to 63%, could we be seeing a rollover and rotation into altcoins?
How I see it the moving average should cap off this move for now and a retrace towards the breakout area & previous lower high. That would then be the first higher high and higher low of this calendar year, a very bullish change in structure.
A more aggressive bullish scenario in the short term would be a reclaim of the 1D 200 EMA, leaving the inefficiency zone at the breakout level unfilled.
Either way the next HTF target is $2,800 for ETH which would bring price to the range midpoint and a key supply zone with many resting Stop losses.
Bitcoin – Price Hits $100K, Will It Hold or Dive Into Demand?Bitcoin has officially reached the long-anticipated $100,000 mark, sweeping the psychological round number and clearing out a major pool of liquidity sitting just above it. This move came off the back of a sharp and impulsive leg, likely fueled by both spot demand and late-stage FOMO-driven breakout longs. At the same time, short liquidations added fuel to the upside, pushing price rapidly through thin areas on the volume profile. This type of vertical movement typically doesn’t last long without some form of corrective structure, and now that the $100K level has been tagged and liquidity taken, we can reasonably expect a period of cooling off, either through time-based consolidation or a more price-based retracement.
Consolidation Structure
The move up left behind two significant fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 4H chart. The first sits just beneath current price and represents the immediate imbalance created by the impulsive breakout candle. This is the shallowest inefficiency and would be the first area to watch for a potential short-term reaction. The second FVG lies deeper and overlaps perfectly with the 0.618 to 0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, the golden pocket. This deeper zone is structurally more important, not only because it aligns with the golden pocket ratio but also due to its proximity to the high-volume node clearly visible on the Volume Profile (VRVP). Below this zone, there’s a strong base of support built from the previous consolidation area, making it a prime candidate for a bounce if tested.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
Scenario 1: In the bullish continuation case, Bitcoin retraces slightly to fill the shallow FVG just beneath $99K. A clean reaction there, especially if backed by strong volume and low timeframe bullish structure, could lead to a resumption of the trend with a fresh leg upward. This scenario assumes that the current breakout is being respected by the market and that participants are eager to front-run deeper entries. If this plays out, we’d expect a relatively quick reclaim of $100K, potentially building a new higher-low formation before continuing into uncharted territory above $102K.
Scenario 2: The second and more complex scenario involves a deeper retracement toward the lower FVG and golden pocket, between roughly $96.2K and $95.2K. This would constitute a cleaner reset of the recent move and allow the market to shake out weak longs who entered during the euphoric breakout. It also opens the door for a possible inducement setup, drawing in early sellers only to reverse at a key confluence zone. The golden pocket, combined with the high-volume node just below, makes this a high-probability demand zone. If we see bullish SFPs, displacement candles, or lower timeframe market structure shifts from there, it would be a strong long entry zone for a reattempt at the highs.
Price Target and Expectations
If Scenario 1 plays out, we can expect price to reclaim the $100K level fairly quickly, with upside potential toward $102K to $103K in the near term. The risk here is limited, given the shallowness of the retracement, but continuation would likely be more gradual and grindy due to the lack of a proper reset. If Scenario 2 plays out, the bounce from the golden pocket could produce a much healthier structure for further upside, and in that case, targets beyond $104K become more viable. The lower retracement would offer a better R/R and allow the market to rebuild momentum organically.
Current Stance
Right now, we remain bullish on the higher timeframes, but recognize the need for a local correction. We’re not interested in chasing the breakout blindly, the move has already cleared a major liquidity level and needs to rebalance before any sustainable continuation. We’re watching both FVGs closely. If the first one fills and holds, we’ll look for signs of strength and continuation. But if price breaks deeper, we’ll shift our focus to the golden pocket and bottom FVG as the more attractive long entry. Below that, the VRVP shows thick support, so our bias remains bullish unless we get a confirmed breakdown beneath that base.
Conclusion
Bitcoin has done its job in tagging $100K and clearing the obvious liquidity pool above. What comes next is all about how the market digests that move. Either we get a shallow retracement into the first imbalance and continue higher from there, or we go deeper into the golden pocket and establish a more meaningful base. Both scenarios still lean bullish, the key is patience and waiting for the right structure to develop. There’s no need to force entries here. Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation, and take the trade when the setup aligns.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Mastering Fair Value Gaps (FVG) - How to use them in trading?In this guide, I’ll explain the concept of the Fair Value Gap (FVG), how it forms, and how you can use it to identify high-probability trading opportunities. You'll learn how to spot FVGs on a chart, understand their significance in price action, and apply a simple strategy to trade them effectively.
What will be explained:
- What is a FVG?
- How can a FVG occur?
- What is a bullish FVG?
- What is a bearish FVG?
- How to trade a FVG?
-------------------------------
What is a FVG?
A FVG is a technical concept used by traders to identify inefficiencies in price movement on a chart. The idea behind a fair value gap is that during periods of strong momentum, price can move so quickly that it leaves behind a "gap" where not all buy and sell orders were able to be executed efficiently. This gap creates an imbalance in the market, which price may later revisit in an attempt to rebalance supply and demand.
A fair value gap is typically observed within a sequence of three candles (or bars). The first candle marks the beginning of a strong move. The second candle shows a significant directional push, either bullish or bearish, often with a long body indicating strong momentum. The third candle continues in the direction of the move, opening and closing beyond the range of the first candle. The fair value gap itself is defined by the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (in the case of a bullish move), or between the low of the first candle and the high of the third (in a bearish move). This range represents the area of imbalance or inefficiency.
-------------------------------
How can a FVG occur?
There are several factors that can trigger a fair value gap
- Economic news and announcements
- Earnings reports
- Market sentiment
- Supply and demand imbalances
-------------------------------
What is a bullish FVG?
A bullish FVG is a specific type of price imbalance that occurs during a strong upward move in the market. It represents a zone where the price moved so aggressively to the upside that it didn’t spend time trading through a particular range, essentially skipping over it.
This gap usually forms over the course of three candles. First, a bullish candle marks the beginning of upward momentum. The second candle is also bullish and typically has a large body, indicating strong buying pressure. The third candle opens higher and continues moving upward, confirming the strength of the move. The bullish fair value gap is the price range between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle. This area is considered an imbalance zone because the market moved too quickly for all buyers and sellers to interact at those prices.
-------------------------------
What is a bearish FVG?
A bearish FVG is a price imbalance that forms during a strong downward move in the market. It occurs when price drops so rapidly that it leaves behind a section on the chart where little to no trading activity happened.
This gap is identified using a three-candle formation. The first candle typically closes bearish or neutral, marking the start of the move. The second candle is strongly bearish, with a long body indicating aggressive selling pressure. The third candle opens lower and continues the move down. The bearish fair value gap is the price range between the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle. That range is considered the imbalance zone, where price skipped over potential trade interactions.
-------------------------------
How to trade a FVG?
To trade a FVG effectively, wait for price to retrace back into the gap after it has formed. The ideal entry point is around the 50% fill of the FVG, as this often represents a balanced level where price is likely to react.
During the retracement, it’s helpful to see if the FVG zone aligns with other key technical areas such as support or resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, or dynamic indicators like moving averages. These additional confluences can strengthen the validity of the zone and increase the probability of a successful trade.
Enter the trade at the 50% level of the FVG, and place your stop loss just below the most recent swing low (for a bullish setup) or swing high (for a bearish one). From there, manage the trade according to your risk-to-reward preferences—whether that’s 1:1, 1:2, or a higher ratio depending on your strategy and market conditions.
-------------------------------
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction.
Consolidation Structure
The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled.
Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting.
On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low.
Price Target and Expectations
If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k.
Current Stance
Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level.
Conclusion
This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
GBPUSD | 1H | BULLGood Morning Traders;
My target level for GBP/USD is 1.33966—just wait for this level and stay patient.
I put in a lot of effort to prepare these analyses for you, so don’t hold back on showing your support with a like! A huge thank you to everyone who supports me—every single like is a source of motivation for me to keep sharing my insights.
Bitcoin - Is It Possible to Test the ATH Once More?The weekly structure on Bitcoin remains firmly bullish. After consolidating below major resistance through much of 2024, price finally broke out decisively in November 2024, triggering a clean impulsive move that led to a new all-time high in January 2025. That breakout was significant, not just a short-term spike but a structural shift that confirmed long-term bullish momentum.
Since then, Bitcoin pulled back in a controlled and clean fashion, retesting the same zone that initiated the breakout. This type of price action, revisiting the origin of displacement and holding above it, is classic trending behavior and shows that the market still respects the bullish order flow.
Consolidation Structure
The zone that once acted as resistance has now flipped into support. Price dipped into the weekly candles that caused the breakout and closed above them, showing that buyers are still in control. That area also aligned with a fair value gap, giving additional confluence. The reaction out of this zone was strong, confirming it as a valid demand level.
Since that retest, we’ve seen another leg up, and now a new weekly fair value gap has formed just beneath the current price. I’m watching that imbalance as a potential short-term pullback area, and ideally, I want to see price fill it to around the 50 percent level before continuing higher.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as Bitcoin continues to hold above the previous breakout zone. I’m expecting a pullback into the newly formed fair value gap, ideally down toward $89,000, which marks the 50 percent line of the imbalance. If price taps that level and begins to bounce, that would be a potential signal for continuation toward the highs.
The bearish scenario only comes into play if price breaks back below the original breakout zone, invalidating the structure and showing weakness across the weekly levels. As long as we stay above that structure, there’s no reason to fade the trend.
Price Target and Expectations
Main expectation is a healthy pullback into the $89,000 zone to partially fill the new weekly imbalance. From there, I’ll be watching for signs of strength such as bullish engulfing candles or strong closes above the midrange of the gap. If buyers show up there, the logical next step is another attempt at the all-time high.
The ATH remains the key target for this leg, and that’s where I’ll be looking to take partial profits or reduce risk depending on how price behaves near that zone.
Current Stance
Still leaning bullish. Structure is clean, key levels are being respected, and the market has shown a clear tendency to react from weekly imbalances. I’m not chasing price into highs, but I am interested in the 89K region as a potential re-entry zone. If price gives a clean reaction there, I’ll be looking to scale in or add to existing positions.
NEWS TOMORROW
Keep in mind that FOMC is scheduled for tomorrow, which could bring a wave of volatility across all risk assets. That might trigger wicks or erratic price action even if the higher timeframe trend remains intact. Manage risk accordingly, don’t overreact to the first move, and stay focused on the weekly structure. As long as the market respects it, this still looks like a setup that wants to reach for the ATH once more.
Conclusion
Bitcoin broke out in November 2024, reached a new ATH in January 2025, and has since pulled back to retest the zone that caused the breakout. That retest held perfectly and has now led to another move higher. With a new weekly gap in play, I’m watching for a 50 percent fill around 89K before the market potentially gears up for another attempt at the highs.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
BTC - Will history repeat itself?In this description, I will compare the current price action of BTC with the market behavior seen in 2021. Both cycles share notable similarities in their structure.
-------------------------------
2021 bullmarket
During the 2021 bull market, BTC displayed classic topping price action. The chart showed slightly higher highs and higher lows, eventually forming a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern. This signaled a shift in momentum, and BTC subsequently broke down, confirming the bearish outlook.
At the lows later in 2021, Bitcoin’s price action became more corrective, with slightly lower lows and lower highs-often an early indication of a potential trend reversal. That reversal materialized as BTC launched into a strong impulse move to the upside, rallying all the way to the key Golden Pocket Fibonacci level before experiencing a modest retracement.
Following this healthy pullback, BTC gathered enough strength to break through resistance and surge to a new all-time high (ATH), which ultimately marked the peak of that bull cycle.
-------------------------------
This bullmarket
In the current bull market, BTC formed a classic double top pattern, echoing similar setups from previous cycles. After reaching highs near $110k BTC experienced a significant correction, dropping to around $74k. At this level, the price action turned corrective, with a series of slightly lower lows and lower highs-reminiscent of the consolidation seen at the 2021 market bottom.
During this consolidation, BTC established three notable lows, forming a potential base for a reversal. Following this corrective phase, BTC surged upward in a strong impulse move, reaching the critical Golden Pocket-the 61.8% to 65% Fibonacci retracement zone, which is widely regarded as a key area for potential reversals or continuation of trends.
Currently, BTC is consolidating near this Golden Pocket. Traders are watching closely to see if the price will face rejection here, as it did in 2021, or if it can break above and sustain a new uptrend. The outcome at this level will likely determine whether the next major move is a continuation to new highs or a deeper retracement.
-------------------------------
Conclusion
When comparing the corrections following the 2021 and 2025 peaks, the similarities are striking. Both cycles feature a bottom formed through a similar pattern, followed by a strong move up to the Golden Pocket Fibonacci level. The key question now is whether BTC will experience another corrective pullback before making a renewed attempt at the all-time high, or if it will break through resistance and continue its upward momentum. Only time will tell which path the market will choose.
-------------------------------
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
what is fair value gap ? what is fair value gap ?
-This Analysis is based on educational purposes using the concepts of Smart Money and Liquidity Sweep area
- We create two fair Value gaps in which market will act on that
first one is between 3247 to 3260 area expecting move down from that point and touched 3192 to 3165 which is a strong liquidity zone
ETH - Consolidating before a major breakout!About a week ago, Ethereum (ETH) saw a strong upward move, pushing the price up with notable momentum. Since then, it has entered a period of consolidation, trading within a tight range as the market awaits the next decisive move.
-------------------------------
Which Direction Will ETH Break?
After such a strong rally, this kind of consolidation is normal. It could signal a continuation to the upside, especially if this is part of a broader relief rally. However, it's important to note that during the rapid move up, ETH left behind a 4h Fair Value Gap (FVG), which may attract price back down for a potential fill in the event of a breakdown.
-------------------------------
Stochastic RSI insight
On the daily chart, the Stochastic RSI remains in the overbought zone. Historically, when this indicator lingers in such territory, ETH has seen notable pullbacks. This could be an early sign that a downward move is more likely unless momentum changes soon.
-------------------------------
ETH vs. the 50-Day Moving Average
ETH is currently struggling with the 50-day Moving Average (MA), trading just below this key resistance level. As long as ETH remains under the 50-day MA, bearish pressure could continue. However, a reclaim and sustained hold above this level would likely indicate a shift toward bullish momentum.
-------------------------------
My Outlook
This range is tricky to trade, and a breakout in either direction is possible. Personally, I think there's a chance ETH could sweep the recent highs before a larger move down. The overbought Stochastic RSI and resistance at the 50-day MA both suggest that the rally might be losing steam in the short term.
-------------------------------
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
US100 – Bullish Continuation Setting Up Inside the ChannelUS100 remains firmly bullish, showing consistent strength after breaking out from the prior consolidation range in mid-April. Price action has been moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by strong impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Each pullback so far has been relatively controlled, and buyers have been stepping in aggressively from clearly defined zones, which aligns with the current risk-on sentiment across tech-heavy indices.
Consolidation Structure
We’ve now had two solid retests of prior fair value gaps (FVGs), both of which acted as demand zones and helped fuel continuation. The first pullback dropped into a previously formed imbalance, consolidated briefly, and then launched a strong bullish leg. The second did the same, creating a layered structure of bullish continuation through efficient retracements. Each of these reactions confirms that price is respecting areas where institutional orders may have been left behind, which adds confluence to the trend’s strength.
Currently, price is working on forming a third FVG within the upper half of the channel. This is developing just below recent highs and has not yet been retested, which makes it a key area of interest. If the market pulls back into that imbalance with proper structure, it could offer the next high-probability opportunity to join the trend.
Bullish Scenario
If price retraces into this newly forming FVG and holds, especially with a wick or lower timeframe rejection candle inside the zone, it could mark the start of the next impulse. The overall trend remains intact as long as we stay within the channel and each FVG continues to serve as valid support. Given the strength of the previous bounces and the orderly nature of this structure, any retest into this new FVG would likely lead to another push into fresh highs and a move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if price fails to respect this new FVG and breaks below with momentum, especially if the channel support fails at the same time, it would be a sign that buyers are losing control. In that case, we’d want to see how price interacts with the last confirmed FVG below before making any bearish assumptions. A deeper pullback into that area could still provide another long opportunity if structure holds, but any sharp momentum break through both imbalances would put the bullish trend on pause and shift focus to downside levels.
Price Target and Expectations
Assuming the bullish structure continues to play out, the next projected move would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel. There’s enough space left between current levels and the upper trendline to justify an entry on the next pullback, provided it lands inside the newly created FVG. The setup is fairly straightforward, let price come back into the imbalance, confirm with lower timeframe strength, and ride the continuation leg.
Current Stance
There’s no need to chase price here. The best scenario is waiting for a patient retest of the fresh FVG forming now. If it pulls back cleanly, holds the zone, and gives confirmation, that would be the entry. Momentum, structure, and market context are all aligned for continuation, but the trade needs to be built off a level that shows actual commitment from buyers.
Conclusion
US100 is holding its bullish structure well, forming clean legs within an ascending channel, and repeatedly respecting fair value gaps as demand zones. With a new imbalance forming beneath the most recent high, the setup is shaping up for another continuation play if price rotates back and holds. It’s a wait-and-see moment for now, but if the FVG gets tagged and buyers show up, this could be the next leg higher in an already strong trend.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
"XAUUSD Double Setup After Massive Manipulation! 200+ Pips"🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) Smart Money Play Unfolding!
Here's a clean breakdown of the current structure and why this could be a high probability setup:
🔥 First, notice the manipulation zone — classic Smart Money move where liquidity was grabbed aggressively before a shift in market structure. This sets the stage for a bigger play.
📉 Change of Character (ChoCh) confirmed after the sweep, showing clear intent for price to reverse. This is the first signal that buyers are losing control and sellers are stepping in.
📍 First Key Area: Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Price is now retracing into the FVG.
This is our 1st Entry Setup opportunity.
High R/R setup if rejection happens around this level.
📍 Second Key Area: Order Block (OB)
A stronger zone for deeper mitigation.
If price pushes through the FVG, this OB becomes a prime entry spot.
This is the 2nd Setup for another potential short entry.
🏹 Targets and Pip Count:
Immediate target zone offers around 211 pips from the first setup.
Deeper target from second setup offers up to 253 pips move.
🧠 Market Structure & Psychology:
After manipulation, Smart Money always seeks to rebalance inefficiencies (FVG) and mitigate institutional orders (OB).
Weak lows created will likely be swept to fuel the bigger move down.
Multiple liquidity pools above and below current price hint at another round of liquidity hunting.
⚡ Game Plan:
Monitor price action reaction around FVG for short triggers.
If broken, reposition entries at the OB zone.
🚀 Risk Management Reminder:
Always use calculated risk per trade.
Don't chase; let price come to your zone.
Protect capital first, then maximize profits.
✍️ In summary:
This setup shows classic Smart Money Concepts in action: manipulation, structure shift, FVG, OB mitigation — all aligning for a clean bearish move. If executed with patience, this could be one of the smoothest setups of the week!
➡️ Comment "GOLD READY" if you’re stalking this setup with me!
➡️ Tag your trading buddy who needs to see this!
"BTCUSD | FVG + Order Block Alignment | High Probability Play"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025
📊 Price Action Breakdown:
BTC printed a textbook liquidity sweep earlier today, tapping into the Discount Zone perfectly.
Now, the market is pushing up into a high-probability reaction zone where Fair Value Gap overlaps with an Order Block.
🔥 Confluences:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Imbalance zone needing filling.
Order Block = Institutional demand/supply where Smart Money left a footprint.
Fibonacci 79% retracement = Sweet retracement level for low-risk entries.
🧠 Why It's Exciting:
The more confluences, the more Smart Money interest.
Price is currently kissing the edge of the FVG, teasing a deeper tap into the OB. This overlap stacks probability heavily for a reaction — either a quick scalp rejection or a full-on move downward.
🎯 Potential Play:
Entry: Inside the FVG or deep into the Order Block for premium entries.
Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~94,629) to avoid wicks.
Targets:
Partial at 50% retracement for safer players 🛡️
Full send toward Weak Low zone (~92,839) for maximum RRR hunters 🏹
💬 Pro Tip:
"Always let price show its hand first. Don’t assume, confirm."
🚀 Summary:
✅ Liquidity swept
✅ FVG + OB stacked
✅ 79% Fib lining up
✅ Smart Money trap possibly setting
🧘♂️ Play it with patience. The sniper eats last... but he eats the most.
✍️ Save this chart, tag your trading buddy, and prepare to strike when the premium entry triggers!
➡️ Comment "SETUP LOADING" if you’re stalking this with me!
➡️ Share this with someone who’s tired of guessing entries.
Bitcoin - Repeating History: 100k Next Target?Bitcoin is continuing to move with clean structure, driven by demand imbalances and breakout continuation setups. After the initial breakout from the mid-April range, price moved in a highly technical fashion, consolidating, breaking out, forming a fair value gap, and then retesting it before continuation. That exact structure looks like it's playing out again. Bitcoin just broke out of another multi-day consolidation and left behind a fresh 4h imbalance, suggesting the potential for another leg higher if it respects that zone on a pullback.
Consolidation Structure
The prior breakout came from a tight range just below $86,000. BTC spent several days compressing in that area, then broke out impulsively, creating a 4h FVG and retesting it cleanly. That retest held perfectly and launched a rally of nearly $10,000.
The current setup is structurally the same. BTC spent 8 days consolidating under $95,000, repeatedly testing the resistance without breaking it. It finally closed decisively above, leaving behind another fair value gap. The sequence is familiar, sideways accumulation, breakout, FVG left behind, and now a setup for retest.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario is centered on a retest of the new 4h FVG, located between roughly $94,200 and $95,000. If price pulls back into that imbalance and buyers defend it, the setup for continuation is clean. Based on recent behavior, a successful retest here could easily carry BTC toward the $100,000 level.
If price instead breaks back below $94,000 and falls into the previous consolidation range, that invalidates the breakout structure. In that case, Bitcoin could either enter another range-bound phase or trap longs with a deviation. That would shift the focus to reassessing structure instead of chasing continuation.
Price Target and Expectations
The short-term upside target is $100,000. That level is both a psychological milestone and a likely liquidity magnet. From a structural perspective, it aligns with the last breakout leg, which moved over $9,000 after a similar retest setup. If buyers defend the FVG, there is not much in the way until $100,000.
The momentum behind the breakout supports that expectation. The move was impulsive, clear, and not showing signs of exhaustion. As long as structure holds, price is in a strong position to continue toward that key round number level.
Current Stance
This setup is not a breakout chase, it’s a retest setup. The breakout already happened, and the market left behind a fair value gap that now needs to be tested. If price pulls into the $94K to $95K zone and reacts strongly, that would confirm demand. That’s the moment to step in, with invalidation placed below the FVG and former resistance.
Until then, it's about staying patient and letting price come to the key level. The structure is clear, the plan is defined, and there’s no need to force a trade in the middle of the range.
Conclusion
Bitcoin looks like it’s repeating the exact same structure we saw earlier this month. Range, breakout, FVG, retest, that sequence played out before and led to a major leg higher. It’s playing out again now with nearly identical timing and behavior.
If the 4h imbalance holds, the next phase of this rally likely targets $100,000. The structure is clean, the behavior is technical, and there’s no reason to overcomplicate it. Let price do its thing, wait for the retest, and if the reaction is strong, follow the same playbook that’s already worked once this month.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
EURUSD - CONSOLIDATION TO MANIPULATION?OANDA:EURUSD is currently going through consolidation on daily time frame, i expect price to manipulate a little by taking out the relatively equal lows below to tap into the weekly and daily fair value gap below around 1.12000 price level as illustrated in the chart attached.
Overall, my bias on EURUSD still remain bullish until the weekly time frame shift market structure to bearish.
Monthly bullish, weekly bullish, now I will wait for daily to correct and turn bullish back for me to take a trade.
Bitcoin - Gearing Up for a Break Above Key ResistanceBitcoin has been grinding just below a key resistance zone, marked clearly around the 95,400–95,800 region. This area has seen multiple rejections in the past, making it a strong level where sellers are actively defending. Despite this, the broader trend structure remains intact to the upside, with price respecting a higher-timeframe ascending trendline and forming higher lows.
Consolidation Structure
Current price action shows a range developing just under resistance, with signs of weakening bullish momentum in the short term. We’ve had multiple wicks into the highs, but no convincing close above. On the flip side, there’s a visible support zone around 93,000–93,800, which has previously been used to absorb liquidity and fuel moves higher. This zone is confluenced by the ascending trendline from previous swing lows, offering a clear area for a liquidity sweep.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
In the short term, a pullback into the green support block looks likely. This would serve two purposes: sweep out late longs and provide fresh liquidity for a stronger bullish push. A dip into this level that still respects the trendline would maintain bullish structure despite violating the local higher low.
If price holds this zone and begins forming higher lows again, we could see an impulsive move into and possibly through the resistance. A clean break and close above 95,800 would likely open the door for much higher prices, as the level has capped upside multiple times and a breakout would likely trigger stop orders and breakout buying.
Failure to hold the green zone and the trendline, however, would break the short-term bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper retracement, possibly invalidating the breakout thesis temporarily.
Price Target and Expectations
If the resistance breaks, the path toward 105,000 remains in play. That target aligns with the macro breakout structure and continuation from the trendline, supported by higher timeframe bullish sentiment.
What do do now
Watching for a pullback into 93,000–93,800 to see if liquidity is swept and support holds. No interest in chasing price into resistance. The key is to see how price reacts at the next low and then again at 95,800. If the pullback unfolds and buyers step in with momentum, that would provide the cleanest long opportunity into new highs.
Conclusion
The market looks poised for a short-term dip to rebalance liquidity before mounting a serious attempt to break a long-standing resistance zone. As long as the trendline is respected, the bullish structure is intact, and any sweep of local lows may offer a strong risk-reward entry for continuation toward 105k.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Bitcoin - Major Daily Imbalance and Possible Move to $105k?Bitcoin already broke out of the bearish structure a while back, and honestly, that was the first major shift everyone should have been paying attention to. Ever since that breakout, we have been building bullish structure on the higher timeframes, higher highs, higher lows, and overall strong momentum to the upside. This gave the bulls a clear advantage, and so far, nothing has really changed that bigger picture.
Consolidation Structure
Now, looking at the current price action, something important stands out. During the last big push up, Bitcoin left behind a massive daily imbalance zone. It is way too big to just leave open like that. Markets hate inefficiencies, especially ones of that size, and more often than not, these kinds of imbalance zones get filled at some point.
Because of that, I am fully expecting price to come down, revisit this imbalance area, and fill it properly before making any serious move higher. It is a natural thing for the market to do, clean up inefficiencies, grab liquidity, and then continue the main trend if the structure holds.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The most important thing to watch here is how Bitcoin reacts once it gets into the imbalance zone. If we dip into it and then start seeing bullish reactions, I will be looking for confirmation that the bullish structure is still intact. Specifically, if we can avoid a daily candle close below the bottom of that imbalance, the bullish case remains valid.
However, if we get a full daily close below the imbalance, that would be a strong warning sign. That would tell me that the bulls lost control and we could be looking at deeper downside or a shift back into bearish conditions.
But as long as that does not happen, I am still looking for the market to respect the structure. A dip into the imbalance, hold, and then continuation higher, that is the ideal scenario.
Price Target and Expectations
If we get the reaction I am looking for after filling the imbalance, I think Bitcoin has a real shot at rallying towards $105,000. That level lines up perfectly with a strong resistance area on the chart, and it would make sense for price to reach for it if the momentum stays bullish.
Now, reaching $105,000 will not be easy. That is going to be a major test for the market. There will likely be heavy selling pressure around there. But if the trend stays strong and we keep putting in bullish structures even as we approach that resistance, it is definitely possible to break through eventually.
Current Stance
Right now, I am being patient. I am not chasing the current move higher. I am waiting for price to come back down into the imbalance zone. If we get a proper retest and hold, that is where I will be looking for my entries, targeting the move towards $105,000.
No daily close below the imbalance zone = bullish continuation plan still in play,
Daily close below = reassess everything and possibly step aside.
Conclusion
To sum it up, Bitcoin already shifted bullish a while ago with the structure break. Now it is just about cleaning up the inefficiencies it left behind during the move up. If the market does what it usually does, fill the imbalance and maintain bullish structure, then the setup towards $105,000 is very much alive.
Patience is key here. Let the market come to us. No need to force anything.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈