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XAGUSD BULLISHI strongly believe silver is set for a major rally in the coming months. To begin, I'm entering this swing trade with 12 key arguments I've identified, where 90% are bullish and only one is bearish. Bullish Arguments: Monthly PCH being disrespected Monthly PCL being disrespected Weekly swing low not respected Weekly Bullish FVG being respected Daily Bullish FVG being strongly respected Daily swing low not respected 4H Bullish FVG being respected 4H swing low disrespected 4H swing high disrespected Bearish Argument: Daily swing high being respected Trade Management: Stop Loss at yesterday’s low ($29.70) since a rejection would signal a continuation into the daily FVG, giving us a better entry. Take Profit at the swing high or near buy-side liquidity to lock in profits without being greedy. Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.69 Risk: 2%
FX:XAGUSDLong
by Jaytradermb
Getting Ready for a Strong Bull Market in ETHBTC!🚀 The pair seems to have bottomed out, and the arguments are increasingly favorable for an upward movement: 88.89% Bullish vs. 11.11% Bearish. Bullish Arguments: Monthly Bullish FVA Monthly Discount Array Weekly swing low being disrespected Daily swing low being disrespected Daily Bullish FVG respected Daily swing high being disrespected 4H swing high being disrespected 4H swing low being disrespected Bearish Argument: Monthly PCL being respected so far. 🔍 We are on the verge of a bull market. Remember to manage your risk and be masters of your emotions! Don’t hesitate to take profits and, most importantly, learn from your mistakes and successes. Let’s go for it! 💪
Long
by Jaytradermb
Bulls have the Bears by the "Neck" - AUHere I have AUD/USD on the 4Hr Chart! Price is now using the "Neckline" or Support of the failed Head & Shoulders the Bears were unable to finish, and pushing Higher breaking through the Falling Resistance created by the Highs of the "Head" and "Right Shoulder". Now I believe with an on-going Rate Cut cycle about to begin for the Federal Reserve, we will start to see the Bulls undo the previous Head & Shoulders Pattern one Swing High at a time! If Price will need to find some Support before it begins to continue further Higher, this Support can be found at either: - The High just before the Break @ .6732 or - Retesting the Break of Falling Resistance + FVG @ ( .6720 - .6715 ) Indicators: - RSI Above 50 - BBTrend printing Green Bars - Volume Delta showing Bullish presence increasing *TP1 - .67672 *TP2 - .68236
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
2
Bitcoin probabilities: 60% Bullish vs. 40% Bitcoin’s Bullish Momentum is Losing Ground—60% Bullish vs. 40% Bearish Probability The bullish case for Bitcoin has weakened slightly due to several conflicting signals across different timeframes. Here's the breakdown: Bullish Factors: 🚫 Monthly PCL disrespected ✅ Monthly Bullish FVG respected 🚫 Weekly swing low disrespected ✅ Weekly Bullish FVG respected ✅ Daily Bullish FVG respected 🚫 4H swing low disrespected 🚫 4H swing low swept Bearish Factors: ✅ Daily swing low respected ✅ Daily swing high respected ✅ Daily Bearish FVG respected 🚫 Daily Bullish FVG disrespected (so far) Given the mixed arguments, it’s crucial to wait for further confirmation before making any moves. Strong economic factors expected this week could shift the market. Don’t get liquidated—patience is key! 🧘‍♂️ Master it to stay profitable. 🏆
by Jaytradermb
USDNOK ShortBearish Probabilities for USD/NOK: 88.89% 📉 Bearish arguments: - Monthly PCH respected. - Weekly FVG respected. - Weekly swing high swept. - Daily PCL disrespected. - Daily swing low disrespected. - Daily bullish FVG disrespected. - 4H FVG respected. - 4H swing low disrespected. - 4H swing high respected. 📈 Only one bullish argument: - Monthly PCL respected which is our PD Array. Trade Management: SL is positioned at the start of the Daily FVG, as a break there would signal a clear reversal or consolidation. TP is placed at the SELL STOP level, although if reached, the price may quickly target the DOL point. I will lock in profits at the first target and look for another entry afterward. Risk: 2% R/R: 2.06
Short
by Jaytradermb
ETH long momentum High risk Possible Momentum in ETH – 6 Bullish Arguments: 1️⃣ Swing low is holding. 2️⃣ Liquidity sweep below the swing low. 3️⃣ Discount Array Weekly 4️⃣ Bearish FVG disrespected. 5️⃣ Wick from the previous day still respected today. 6️⃣ Bullish FVG 1H respected Trade Management: The key focus is on how the weekly candle closes, so my stop-loss is placed tightly below the previous candle’s low. Target profit is set at the intermediate term high (ITH). Capital Risk: 2% R/R: 5.74
Long
by Jaytradermb
TWLO, rebalance to FVG, then make a bullish liquidity run So, my current analysis is built around a bullish bias on this chart. I’ve identified a few key elements that are lining up to potentially signal a strong move upward: Bullish Block Breaker: First, I've identified a bullish block breaker. This occurred when the price broke above a significant resistance level, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This breakout suggests that buyers have taken control, and it's often a sign of a potential trend reversal or continuation to the upside. Fair Value Gap (FVG): After the bullish block breaker, the price left behind a Fair Value Gap. This gap is an area of price imbalance, where the market moved too quickly and didn't allow for a balanced trading range. I'm looking for the price to potentially retrace into this FVG, as the market often seeks to 'rebalance' itself by filling this gap. This rebalancing process can provide a strategic entry point. Bullish Order Block with 50% Retracement: Within the area where the FVG resides, I've also identified a bullish order block. This is an area of previous consolidation before the strong upward move. What adds confluence here is the 50% retracement level within this order block. This 50% level is crucial because it often represents a fair value area within the order block itself. Institutions and smart money traders often look to add to their positions around this level. So, if the price can hold above this 50% mark within the order block, it significantly increases the chances of a bounce. Confluence Zone: The combination of the FVG, the bullish order block, and the 50% retracement level creates a strong confluence zone. This area serves as a potential support level where I expect buyers to step in if the bullish bias is to continue. Looking for a Liquidity Run: After potentially rebalancing in the FVG and finding support within the order block at the 50% retracement level, I’ll be looking for the price to make a move towards a liquidity run. The target here would be key liquidity zones, such as previous swing highs or resistance levels. These are areas where stop-loss orders from short sellers or breakout orders from buyers are likely concentrated, acting as a magnet for the price.
NYSE:TWLO
by carrolltatejr87
1
Do not trade if you do not have high probability XAUUSDIt’s not just about the thrill of nailing a setup and making profits. It’s also about recognizing when an asset has you emotionally trapped, even when there’s no solid argument for your position. Here’s a lesson from my own experience: After making a huge trade on gold ( ) , I became fixated on the idea that it would keep falling, completely ignoring the market structure. This blinded me to the obvious bullish signals the market was giving. Here are the 7 bullish arguments for gold that I overlooked in my post-trade euphoria: Monthly PCH disrespected Weekly FVG respected Weekly Swing Low respected Daily Swing Low respected Daily FVG respected Bearish 4H FVG disrespected 4H Swing Low respected Not a single bearish argument in sight—a full 100% probability that the price would rise, and indeed it did. 🚨 Lesson learned: Being a profitable trader isn’t just about technical analysis. It’s about mastering your emotions, understanding market structure, and managing your risk. Stay humble, stay disciplined.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jaytradermb
XAUUSD ShortGold Trade Update 💡💰 I’m still holding the same view on gold: it needs to dip before continuing its upward trajectory. This setup is intended as a swing trade, but I’ll be taking multiple quick scalping opportunities along the way. My Plan: I’ll focus on the bearish 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), entering the trade as soon as I spot a wick in the 4H chart seeking liquidity from above. Trade Management: Take partial profits as soon as we see a decline 📉 Move Stop Loss (SL) to Break Even (BE) after taking the first profit. Capital at Risk: 2% 💼 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4:09 🔥 Let’s see how this works out! 🧐
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jaytradermb
EURJPY LongMarket Idea for This Week 🔍 FX:EURJPY After analyzing last week's sharp drop, I'm seeing a strong opportunity with the market's current reaction. The Asian range at the start of this week has created a significant bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) on both the 4H and 1H timeframes. Although the 4H FVG carries more weight, I've opted to place my Stop Loss (SL) based on the 1H FVG for tighter risk management. Trade Management Plan: Target: Take profit (TP) as soon as the Order Block (OB) is reached on the 15min chart. Risk Management: Move SL to break-even (BE) once first TP is hit.
Long
by Jaytradermb
3
USOIL / TRADING BELOW SUPPLY ZONE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Prices are currently on a downward trajectory, trading below the identified supply zone at approximately 70.04 and 69.21. The market is now approaching the support level at 67.27. There is a possibility of a brief retest of the supply zone before the price continues its decline towards the next support levels, which are around 66.87 and 65.58. Conversely, if the price manages to break above the resistance level at 70.04, this would suggest a potential upward movement. In this case, the next target would be the resistance level at 71.54. For a confirmed upward trend, the price would need to break and maintain stability above 71.54. Achieving this could lead to further gains, with the next resistance target being around 74.03. KEY LEVELS : Supply Zone: 70.04 , 69.21 . Resistance Levels : 71.54 , 74.03 . Support Levels : 67.27 , 66.87, 65.58 .
TVC:USOILShort
by ArinaKarayi
WTI Crude Oil USOUSD LongIn my humble opinion, the worst seems to be over for oil. Trading Idea: After analyzing multiple sessions, I noticed how well the price has absorbed the recent drop, reclaiming the liquidity distribution from last month. There’s no strong indication of further downside. The Asian session has brought it into a solid accumulation range. I’m looking for an entry within the lower zone, aligned with a 15-minute FVG. Trade Management: Once the rally begins, I plan to take partial profits (40%) at yesterday’s NY session high, and let the remaining position run toward the swing high. I’m targeting a rally up to the $73 area, but will wait for additional high-probability confirmations as the rally unfolds. Risk: 0.50% R/R: 6.78
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by Jaytradermb
Golden Hunt with ICT Strategy: Perfect XAU/USD Analysis in the 1Hey everyone! Today, I’m excited to share a fascinating analysis of the XAU/USD pair in the 1-hour timeframe using the ICT strategy. I’ve added a free indicator to the chart that not only identifies swing points but also beautifully connects them with lines. This indicator even marks the days of the week, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and includes a 20-period EMA. It’s truly an amazing tool! What’s more, it has features for displaying Kill Zones, sessions, and Silver Bullet, but I’ve turned those off for now to keep the focus on the essentials. As you can see, Break of Structure (BOS) points are clearly marked, and I’ve highlighted the areas where the market structure has shifted. Notice how sometimes strong swing highs or lows are "hunted" by a shadow that pierces through, leading to a sharp bearish move afterward. The indicator highlights most of these hunts in red, helping us better anticipate market movements. For entering trades, I used a simple tool to highlight green zones on the chart. I employed Fibonacci retracement levels of 61.8%, 70.5%, 79%, and 50% to pinpoint key entry areas. Additionally, using a custom method based on standard deviation, I marked potential future price zones with dotted lines. In summary, this analysis combines advanced ICT techniques with practical tools to give you a clearer view of gold’s movements. I hope these insights help you achieve more successful trades! ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mohamadrezaKhorsand
1
GBPUSD SHORTI'm currently participating in a trading competition, which is why I'm opening more trades than usual—these are not on my personal account. Typically, I only open one trade per day on my personal account, but only when my setup shows a high probability of confirmation. Trade Management: I've decided to open a short position because the price has been creating Fair Value Gaps (FVG) consecutively on the 5-minute chart, and it seems likely that it will seek liquidity in the lower zones. Additionally, there's a 4-hour FVG, which increases the probability of the price continuing to drop. However, once it reaches the sell-stop, I plan to take partial profits (70%). Risk: 1% Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.84
Short
by Jaytradermb