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XAGUSD Potential BuyTime Frame: - Daily: (FVG Identification) - H4 Entry Signal 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 32.50 - 32.75 area, indicating a continuation in market sentiment. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the daily chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 32.00 - 33.45. ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
CHAINLINK SWING TRADINGSwing trading BINANCE:LINKUSDT Seeing that the structure has been respected, I decide to open a position now. These are my arguments: Bullish arugments: Monthly PCL being disrespected Weekly PCL being disrespected Daily swing low being disrespected 4H swing low being disrespected So far I see no bearish arguments. Trade management: SL at $9.94 which that would indicate strong rejection and would power a search for liquidity at the lower end of the range. However, there does not seem to be so much weakness to look for a lower low than the September low. TP, partials could be obtained. A partial TP would be on liquidity on the buy side at $13.90 and let profits run to ITH with SL on BE once the 1TP profit is taken.
Long
by Jaytradermb
EURUSD Scalping-day trading HIGH RISKSetup: OTE + FVA + FVG FX:EURUSD I'm using a tight stop-loss here because if it gets hit, I'm prepared to re-enter at a lower level. This approach allows me to better capture high-probability zones while keeping risk minimal at this stage. 📈 RR: 12.15 — A great risk/reward ratio that helps me optimize each trade and manage capital efficiently. Always ready to adapt to market conditions and stick to the plan 👊. If this trade doesn't go as expected, I've already got the next step in mind.
Long
by Jaytradermb
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 15/10/2024Last week proved challenging for the Judas Swing strategy, with three consecutive losses and no wins, which heightened our anticipation for this week. Will we be able to break this losing streak? We'll soon find out. We typically arrive at our trading desks five minutes before the session starts to delineate our zones and settle into the trading rhythm. After delineating our zones, the next step is to wait for a sweep of a high or low of the trading zone, which will assist us in establishing our bias for the trading session. Forty-five minutes later, price swept the liquidity at the high, indicating that we should look for selling opportunities during this trading session. A few minutes after the high was swept, we observed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side, which was encouraging as we avoid entering trades without analysis, even with a sell bias established for the session. Upon identifying the BOS, the next step is to find a Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the price leg that broke structure. The final step in the entry checklist is to wait for price to pull back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and to execute the trade only after the candle that enters the FVG has closed. Shortly after, a candle entered the FVG, indicating that we could execute our trade following the close of the candle. It's crucial to understand that by risking only 1% of our trading account for a potential 2% return, we minimize emotional attachment to the trades since we're only risking what we can afford to lose, and we stand to gain more than we risk. After executing the trade, we experienced a significant drawdown, which is a critical point for those who risk more than they can afford to lose. After a patient wait, the trade has turned around and begun to move in our favor, which is thrilling. However, we must still keep our composure as the objective has not yet been achieved According to our data, we can anticipate being in a position for an average of 11 hours, so the duration of this trade meeting our objective is not a concern; we simply need to remain patient for it to occur. After 15 hours and 20 minutes, our patience was rewarded when our take profit (TP) target was reached, resulting in a 2% gain on a trade where we risked 1%.
Education
by CleoFinance
USDCAD Sell SetupTime Frame: - Daily: (FVG Identification) 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character (CoC) by the break of the previous support at 1.360, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bearish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the daily chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.3810 and 1.3790. The price was rejected in the area, which marked as a potential reversal zone. 3. Trade Execution Entry Price: 1.3750 SL: 1.3810 (above Daily FVG) TP1: 1.3435 (previous low) TP2: 1.3120 (1.618 Fibonacci) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:10 5. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
10
WTI USOUSD Short day tradingBearish Arguments VANTAGE:USOUSD Previous Month Low (PML) is holding strong. Previous Week Low (PWL) remains unbroken. Previous Day Low (PDL) is respected. Daily Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) is acting as resistance. Monthly Bearish FVG is also being respected. 4H Bearish FVG is holding. 4H Swing High is capping price action. 4H Swing Low is holding as a short-term support, but may break down soon. Trade Management Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2 Stop-Loss (SL): Placed near the 4H FVG to protect against upward moves. Take-Profit (TP): Targeting the swing low (SSL). Although price could extend lower, securing profits in this zone ensures gains in case of a rebound. Risk: 3%
VANTAGE:USOUSDShort
by Jaytradermb
EURUSD Sell SetupTime Frame: - Daily: (FVG Identification) - 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication) 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character (CoC) by the break of the previous support at 1.1000, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bearish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On both the daily chart and H4, I’ve noted a confluent Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.1087 and 1.1097. This gap could serve as a potential reversal zone if the price retraces to this area. 3. Entry Signal Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 4-hour chart, if the price touches the identified FVG zone. 4. Trade Execution Entry Price: Wait for confirmation SL: 1.1115 (below above Daily FVG) TP1: 1.0950 (previous low) TP2: 1.0795 (1.618 Fibonacci) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:11 Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM 5. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
OIL Buy SetupOIL Buy Time Frame: - Daily: (FVG Identification) - 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication) - 1-Hour: Waiting for Confirmation --- 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character (CoC) in OIL by the break of the previous high at 72.40, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the daily chart & H4, noted Fair Value Gap between 72.50-73.15. This gap is a potential reversal zone if the price rebounds. 3. Entry Signal Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 1-hour chart, if price touches the identified FVG zone. 4. Trade Execution Entry Price: Wait for confirmation SL: 72.10 (below H4 FVG) TP1: 77.50 (previous high) TP2: 79.00 (1.618 Fibonacci) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:5 Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM 5. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
OIL Buy SetupTrade Setup OIL Buy Time Frame: - Daily: (FVG Identification) - 4-hour: (FVG Identifiication) -1-Hour: Waiting for Confirmation --- 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Change of Character (CoC) in OIL by the break of the previous high at 72.40, indicating a reversal in market sentiment and a new bullish trend. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the daily chart & H4, noted Fair Value Gap between 72.50-73.15. This gap is a potential reversal zone if the price rebounds. 3. Entry Signal Waiting for any reversal candle pattern on the 1-hour chart, if price touches the identified FVG zone. 4. Trade Execution Entry Price: Wait for confirmation SL: 72.20 (below H4 FVG) TP1: 77.50 (previous high) TP2: 79.00 (1.618 Fibonacci) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:5.3 - 1:7.5 Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM 5. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 01/10/2024The Judas Swing strategy is straightforward and can be incorporated into any trader's toolkit. It is a well-tested approach that has shown effectiveness when its guidelines are adhered to. The strategy offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, risking 1% to potentially achieve a 2% return. In this post we intend to walk you through a recent trade we took on EURUSD using this strategy. We arrived at our trading desk at 08:25 EST, where we began by demarcating the zones for the trading period. This involves drawing vertical lines on the 00:00 and 08:30 EST candles. Following this, we mark the highs and lows within these zones, as they will serve as the liquidity pools for our trading session. The subsequent step on the checklist is to observe whether the high or the low of this trading zone is breached, as it will guide our bias for the trading session. Five minutes later, the low of the zone was breached, indicating that we should be on the lookout for potential buying opportunities during this session. Even with a bias for the session, we don't execute the trade blindly. The next step on our checklist is to wait for a break of structure to the buy side. This break of structure must leave a Fair Value Gap (FVG) behind. Once the structure is broken and the fair value gap (FVG) conditions are met, the next step is to wait for the price to retrace back into the FVG. A trade should only be entered after the candle that moves into the FVG has closed. After 10 minutes, price retraced and closed within the Fair Value Gap, fulfilling all the conditions on our entry checklist, allowing us to execute our trade. For stop placement, we use the lowest point of the price leg that broke the structure, provided it satisfies specific conditions. The minimum stop loss applied is 10 pips because a tight stop loss is not desirable, as it doesn't allow the trade sufficient room. In this instance, using the low would have resulted in a 4 pips stop; therefore, we extended it to a 10 pips stop loss with a 20 pips take profit and executed the trade. It's important to note that we risked only 1% of our trading account, an amount we're comfortable with losing, thereby eliminating any emotional attachment to this trade. Consequently, we are at peace with the outcome of this trade, be it a win or a loss. The result of this trade was a loss, which we accepted because we understand that the win rate for this strategy on EURUSD is around 50%, indicating that losses are inevitable with this strategy. However, as our winning trades typically outweigh our losses over time, this strategy should yield positive returns, making it unnecessary to focus on a single loss. Moreover, this post serves as a tutorial on how to trade using the Judas swing strategy and emphasizes that incurring losses is a normal aspect of trading.
by CleoFinance
EURCAD SHORT EURCAD Set-Up Bearish Arguments: Monthly PCH is being respected Monthly Bearish FVG being respected Monthly swing high has been swept Weekly swing high is being respected Daily Bearish FVG is being respected Daily swing high is being respected 4H swing high is being respected Bullish Arguments: Weekly swing low is being disrespected Daily swing low being respected so far 4H Bullish FVG being respected 4H swing high being respected As observed, the bearish probability is around 70%, while bullish odds stand at 30%. For this reason, risk management is crucial. Trade Management: Stop-loss placed at the short-term high. First TP set at SellStop. Once this level is reached, move the SL to break-even (BE) and hold until the final target is reached. Risk-to-Reward (RR): 2.45 Risk: 2%
Short
by Jaytradermb
Analysis: BBNI Sell OpportunityMarket Context: - Price is within a bearish Discounted Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). - Price broke Daily Trend Line. Entry: 5450 Stop-Loss (SL): 5850 and trailing Target Price (TP)2: 4300 (last swing low) Target Price (TP)2: 3100 (1.618 Fibonacci extension & Weekly Bullish FVG) Monitoring: Track the price daily and adjust based on new market information. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
IDX:BBNIShort
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
Analysis: LQ45 Sell OpportunityMarket Context: - Price is within a bearish Discounted Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). - Price broke Daily Trend Line. Entry: 960 Stop-Loss (SL): 990 and trailing Target Price (TP)2: 840-850 (last swing low) Target Price (TP)2: 730-750 (1.618 Fibonacci extension) Monitoring: Track the price daily and adjust based on new market information. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
IDX:LQ45Short
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
USDJPY Sell PositionTrade Journal Entry USDJPY Sell Time Frame: - Daily (FVG Identification) - 4-hour (Entry Signal) --- 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Break of Structure (BOS) on USDJPY by breaking the previous low at 143.43, indicating a continuation in market sentiment and confirming a bearish trend. Noted as well that price is just below a trendline, providing another resistance for price to break. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the daily chart, noted a Fair Value Gap between 145.00 and 144.25. This gap is a potential reversal zone where the price has revisited, providing a trading opportunity. 3. Entry Signal On the 4-hour chart, an engulfing bearish candle formed after touching the identified FVG zone. This pattern aligns with the bearish trend and indicates a potential continuation of the downtrend. 4. Trade Execution Entry Price: 143.58 Trailing SL: 144.70 (above trendline) TP1: 140.00-140.5 (previous low) TP2: 135.00 (1.618 Fibonacci) Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:3 - 1:7.5 Monitoring: Check-in daily at 8 AM & 8 PM 5. Outcome: Exit Price: Profit/Loss: pips Summary: The trade is based on a bearish trend confirmed by down trendline & the break of the previous low supported by the bearish engulfing pattern within the daily FVG. --- Linarto Wijaya
Short
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
WTI Long High riskOil Trade Setup FPMARKETS:WTI I've decided to go long just before the news release, as I noticed the liquidity sweep had already occurred. However, I'm cautious about this trade, as the bullish probabilities are mixed, and there are stronger bearish arguments. Trade Management: Stop Loss: Placed just below the liquidity sweep, as breaking this level would suggest further downside. Take Profit: Partial exits planned. First target at $72.38, with the remaining at the next level of buy-side liquidity. Risk/Reward: 4.85 Risk: 1%
FPMARKETS:WTILong
by Jaytradermb
The Fair Value Gap (FVG)The term "fair value gap" is known by various names among price action traders, including imbalance, inefficiency, and liquidity void. But what do these imbalances mean? They arise when the forces of buying and selling exert considerable pressure, resulting in sharp and rapid price movements. On a chart, a Fair Value Gap appears as a three-candlestick pattern. In a bullish context, an FVG forms when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. Conversely, in a bearish scenario, the FVG is created when the bottom wick of the first candlestick fails to connect with the top wick of the third candlestick. The gap on the middle candlestick, created by the wicks of the first and third candlesticks, represents the Fair Value Gap. The concept of FVG trading is based on the idea that the market has a natural tendency to self-correct. These price discrepancies or inefficiencies are generally not sustainable over time, and the market often returns to these gaps before continuing in the same direction as the original impulsive move. What are the Types of Fair Value Gaps? 1. Bearish Fair Value Gap A bearish Fair Value Gap occurs when there is a space between the bottom wick of the first candlestick and the top wick of the third candlestick. This gap typically appears on the body of the middle candlestick, and the individual characteristics of each candlestick are not particularly important. What’s crucial in a bearish scenario is that the gap on the middle candlestick results from the wicks of the surrounding candlesticks not connecting. 2. Bullish Fair Value Gap A bullish Fair Value Gap occurs when the top wick of the first candlestick does not connect with the bottom wick of the third candlestick. In this case, the specific direction of each candlestick is not as important. What really matters is that there is a gap in the middle candlestick, where the wicks of the first and third candlesticks have not linked. 3. Inverse Fair Value Gap An Inverse Fair Value Gap is an FVG that has lost its validity in one direction but remains significant enough to influence price movement in the opposite direction. For example, a bullish FVG is deemed invalid if it fails to act as a demand zone. However, it then transforms into an inverse bearish FVG, which may serve as a supply zone capable of holding the price. 4. Implied Fair Value Gap The Implied Fair Value Gap is also a three-candlestick pattern, but it does not feature a gap on the middle candlestick, which is why it’s called an “implied FVG.” Instead, it consists of a larger middle candle flanked by two relatively long wicks from the first and third candles. The “gap” is defined by marking the midpoint of the wick of the first candlestick that touches the middle candle and the midpoint of the wick of the third candle that also touches the middle candle. These two midpoints create the gap. Here are some factors that can lead to the formation of fair value gaps: 1. Economic Data Releases Key economic data releases, such as changes in interest rates or unemployment statistics, can similarly create imbalances. If the data surprises the market, it can trigger a swift price movement in one direction, resulting in a gap. 2. Sudden News Events Unexpected news that significantly affects market sentiment can lead to a rapid increase in buying or selling activity, resulting in a gap as prices adjust to the new information. For instance, if a company unexpectedly reports strong earnings, its stock price may surge, creating a gap on the chart. 3. Market Openings or Closings Gaps may form during periods of low liquidity, such as at market openings or closings. With fewer market participants, even a small amount of buying or selling can cause a noticeable price jump that isn’t quickly countered. 4. Large Institutional Trades Significant trades by institutional investors can also lead to fair value gaps (FVGs). When a hedge fund or financial institution executes a large buy or sell order, it can overwhelm the existing order book, causing a rapid price shift and leaving a gap behind. 5. Weekend Gaps FVG's are often observed between the close on Friday and the open on Monday, reflecting news or events that occurred over the weekend. KEY POINTS TO KNOW - Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are powerful tools traders use to identify market imbalances and inefficiencies. - FVGs occur when buying or selling pressure leads to significant price movements, leaving behind gaps on price charts. - FVGs can be identified through technical analysis involving the analysis of candlestick patterns and price chart patterns. - Traders can categorize FVGs into two types: Undervalued FVGs, where prices are lower than fair value, and Overrated FVGs, where prices are higher.
Education
by TaylorDeMario
4