BTC long setup occurred after leaving 1D Fair Value Gap (FVG)BTC created a bullish FVG on daily chart and tested it on the weekend. And now it wants to go higher. There is another FVG on the 4 hour chart and my setup is like on the chart. I never enter a trade which has a potential less than 2R so my entry has been adjusted to create 2R profit. I am aware that it can go there without filling my limit order and I am totally OK with that.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Fvg_strategy
HUM Long 11/10/24Asset Class: Stocks
Income Type: Weekly
Symbol: HUM
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: Up
Long Term: Down
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 251.55
Stop: 227.76
TP1 321.05 (3:1)
Trade idea:
Daily DZ DBR at breakout, with a FVG above it at 1:1 RRR. Possible trend reversal at the daily DZ
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
**When price hits 1:1 or T1, consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback.
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.
ASPI LONG 11/10/2024Asset Class: Stocks
Income Type: Daily
Symbol: ASPI
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: Up
Long Term: Up
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 2.82
Stop: 2.67
TP1 3.26 (3:1)
Trade idea:
1h RBR at breakout, and within a FVG
Uptrend continued
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
**When price hits 1:1 or T1, consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback.
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.
Alikze »» XAUUSD| Descending channel - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel - 1H
- It is moving in a descending channel in the 1H time frame.
- It is shaded in the area of the bottom of the downward channel that there is an OB in the liquidity area.
- There is an FVG gap in the 30MIN time frame.
- Therefore, it can have a correction by filling the gap up to the liquidity area.
In the FVG area, in case of selling pressure and confirmation, it can have a return to the liquidity area and after that it will grow again up to the channel ceiling.
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OANDA:XAUUSD
Alikze »» XAUUSD| Descending channel - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Descending channel - 1H
- It is moving in a descending channel in the 1H time frame.
- It is shaded in the area of the bottom of the downward channel that there is an OB in the liquidity area.
- There is an FVG gap in the 30MIN time frame.
- Therefore, it can have a correction by filling the gap up to the liquidity area.
In the FVG area, in case of selling pressure and confirmation, it can have a return to the liquidity area and after that it will grow again up to the channel ceiling.
»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support.
Best Regards,❤️
Alikze.
»»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
OANDA:XAUUSD
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 08/10/2024Traders become enthusiastic with the start of a new week, as it presents an opportunity to capitalize on the market's offerings, and we were hopeful of entering into profitable trades this week. We arrived at our desks at 08:25 EST, energized and prepared to trade. With five minutes remaining before our trading session begins, we prepared by delineating our trading zones.
After defining our zones, we wait for price to sweep the high or low of the trading zone, as this will help us establish a bias for the trading session. After five minutes, a sweep of the trading zone's low occurred, indicating that we should look for buying opportunities during this trading session.
Shortly after the low sweep, we observed a Break of Structure (BOS) to the buy side, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This means that all that remains before we can initiate a trade is to wait for the price to retrace back into the FVG.
Once the next candle enters the Fair Value Gap (FVG), we can initiate the trade after the candle closes. We should verify that the entry price and low of the price leg that broke structure is at least 10 pips. If it's not, we'll set our stop loss at 10 pips and place our Take Profit (TP) at twice that amount.
To minimize emotional attachment to trades, we risk only 1% of our trading account and target a return of twice that amount if the trade moves in our favor. After a short while, we reviewed our position and discovered we were in a drawdown, which was acceptable to us since we had only risked what we were prepared to lose.
Subsequently, we received an alert indicating that our position had reached our stop loss. It's crucial to understand that incurring losses is a normal part of trading, particularly when you have data supporting your strategy's long-term profitability. The best course of action is to learn from these losses to improve your trading skills.
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 01/10/2024The Judas Swing strategy is straightforward and can be incorporated into any trader's toolkit. It is a well-tested approach that has shown effectiveness when its guidelines are adhered to. The strategy offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, risking 1% to potentially achieve a 2% return. In this post we intend to walk you through a recent trade we took on EURUSD using this strategy.
We arrived at our trading desk at 08:25 EST, where we began by demarcating the zones for the trading period. This involves drawing vertical lines on the 00:00 and 08:30 EST candles. Following this, we mark the highs and lows within these zones, as they will serve as the liquidity pools for our trading session.
The subsequent step on the checklist is to observe whether the high or the low of this trading zone is breached, as it will guide our bias for the trading session. Five minutes later, the low of the zone was breached, indicating that we should be on the lookout for potential buying opportunities during this session.
Even with a bias for the session, we don't execute the trade blindly. The next step on our checklist is to wait for a break of structure to the buy side. This break of structure must leave a Fair Value Gap (FVG) behind.
Once the structure is broken and the fair value gap (FVG) conditions are met, the next step is to wait for the price to retrace back into the FVG. A trade should only be entered after the candle that moves into the FVG has closed. After 10 minutes, price retraced and closed within the Fair Value Gap, fulfilling all the conditions on our entry checklist, allowing us to execute our trade.
For stop placement, we use the lowest point of the price leg that broke the structure, provided it satisfies specific conditions. The minimum stop loss applied is 10 pips because a tight stop loss is not desirable, as it doesn't allow the trade sufficient room. In this instance, using the low would have resulted in a 4 pips stop; therefore, we extended it to a 10 pips stop loss with a 20 pips take profit and executed the trade.
It's important to note that we risked only 1% of our trading account, an amount we're comfortable with losing, thereby eliminating any emotional attachment to this trade. Consequently, we are at peace with the outcome of this trade, be it a win or a loss.
The result of this trade was a loss, which we accepted because we understand that the win rate for this strategy on EURUSD is around 50%, indicating that losses are inevitable with this strategy. However, as our winning trades typically outweigh our losses over time, this strategy should yield positive returns, making it unnecessary to focus on a single loss. Moreover, this post serves as a tutorial on how to trade using the Judas swing strategy and emphasizes that incurring losses is a normal aspect of trading.
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/09/2024At 08:25 EST, we were at our trading desk, eager for opportunities the trading session might offer. We began our session by marking out our trading zones.
After an hour and a half, we observed a sweep of liquidity at the high of the zone, signaling potential selling opportunities in this trading session. Shortly after the liquidity sweep, there was a structural break to the downside, bolstering our confidence in the emerging setup. The next step was to wait for a retracement into the freshly formed Fair Value Gap (FVG).
We have finally seen price trade back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). After the closure of the candle that retraced into the FVG, we can execute our trade since all the criteria on our checklist for trade entry have been fulfilled.
This trade experienced a drawdown for just five minutes before price began to move favorably in our anticipated direction. Patience is key as we await the trade's result. Whether it results in a win or a loss, we are prepared for either outcome since we have risked only 1% of our account, targeting a 2% return.
Upon reviewing the position, we found it had returned to our entry point. At such a juncture, traders who have risked more than they can afford may panic. However, our comprehensive backtesting data on this strategy reinforces our confidence in the strategy, risk management approach and the importance of trusting the process.
We were unlucky this time as the trade hit our stop loss and we lost 1% on this trade. The Judas Swing strategy is a simple strategy any trader can add to their arsenal. A trader simply needs to be present between 08:30 and 11:00 EST to look for trading setups. While not the "holy grail", this strategy boasts a win rate of approximately 50% and a risk-reward ratio of 1:2
EurUsd BuyThe pair has followed its bullish path as in my previous anylisis i have identified its crucial point from the pair has shot up and moving in its bullish path we have also witnessed a FVG over daily bullish move which has been mitigated by the pair in last week the weekend is over and back to the market we are ready to catch up a awaiting bullish move confluence for the bullish move is first FVG and 2nd is price has completed its retracement to the 50% of Fibbo level on daily TF so there are higher probabilities for price to go higher to its historical cum physiological resistance so we are monitoring price very closely so that we can save our capital and gain profits
Good for the week guys
ARB/USDT 15m / D BB & FVG / ELLIOT / LIQUIDATIONS / FIBOAccording to higher timeframes, the market sentiment is bullish. We are moving within an ascending channel with the potential to rise to 0.7416. To increase the probability of this outcome, the price needs to establish itself above the ascending channel.
Locally, within the range of the daily breaker block (D BB) and the daily imbalance (D FVG), three potential entry points are visible:
1. Liquidity grab (Sellside liquidity)
2. 0.5 Fibo
3. 0.618 Fibo / bottom of the ascending channel
4. The target is the local high, which is at the midline of the channel.
Locally, based on the EFIATR oscillator, volume, and liquidation levels, there is a likelihood of growth. According to Elliott Wave theory, a 5-wave pattern and an ABC correction in the 4th wave are visible, which further increases the probability of upward movement.
XRPUSDT D Bullish Setup:50% fill of the FVG,POC,liquidity poolsTechnical indicators suggest growth. There is a possibility of a growth reaction from the 50% fill of the imbalance, POC, liquidity pool with a liquidity sweep below the previous low and the completion of a truncated fifth wave of Elliott. Liquidity pools have formed above, which will act as a magnet for the price. This scenario will be invalidated if the price consolidates below the POC. Then, expectations for the price are in the order block (OB) zone.
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 12/08/2024We ended last week on a positive note, with four trades taken and three big wins on #EURUSD, #GBPUSD and #NZDUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped.
After an hour and 5 minutes, there was a sweep of liquidity at the high of the zone, indicating we will be looking for potential selling opportunities this trading session. Following the liquidity sweep, there was a break of structure (BOS). Now, we simply need to wait for price to retrace into the fair value gap (FVG) that was created before entering a sell position.
Although we had a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy.
After 30 minutes a bullish candle filled the FVG, indicating that upon its close, we could execute our trade as all the prerequisites for entry on our checklist were satisfied.
Our position was profitable for approximately 15 minutes before plunging us into a drawdown. During this drawdown period, we remained composed because we had a solid risk management strategy and only risked what we could afford to lose. We allocated just 1% of our trading account to this trade, targeting a 2% return.
After 30 minutes into the trade, our stop loss was triggered, resulting in a 1% loss of our trading account. It's important to note that incurring losses is a normal part of trading. This particular strategy has a win rate of approximately 50%. However, with a positive risk-reward ratio of 1:2, adhering to this strategy can lead to consistent profitability in the long run.
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 30/07/2024Risk management ought to be a trader's closest ally, as the previous week demonstrated the practical significance of incorporating risk management into every trader's toolkit. Last week, we executed four trades; despite having only one win and three losses, we concluded the week with a mere 1% loss on our trading account. This has heightened our excitement for the opportunities that this week may present. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next 5 minute candle swept liquidity resting at the low of the zone, which meant our focus would be on identifying potential buying opportunities for the trading session.
To increase the likelihood of success of our trades, we wait for a break of structure (BOS) towards the buy side. Once the BOS occurs, we anticipate price to retrace to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) created during the formation of the leg that broke the structure.
We patiently waited for price to retrace into the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and executed our trade upon the closing of the first candle that entered the FVG, as all the conditions on our checklist for trade execution were satisfied. Please note that our stop loss is set at the low of the price leg that broke structure, and we implement a minimum stop loss of 10 pips. The minimum stop loss value was not chosen randomly; it was determined through extensive backtesting. This allows trades sufficient space to fluctuate, avoiding premature stop-outs and trades later moving in our anticipated direction.
After 15 minutes, a large bearish marubozu candle formed, which could have exited us from the trade if we had set our stop loss solely based on the low of the price leg that broke structure, without including a minimal stop loss in our checklist. By using that price leg, our stop loss would have been around 6 pips, whereas a 10 pip stop loss provides the trade with sufficient breathing room.
We are aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50% on EURUSD, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we used only 1% of our trading account with the goal of achieving a 2% gain. Upon checking our position later, we observed that the position was a few pips away from hitting SL.
We remained calm despite the drawdown we were experiencing and were prepared for any outcome of the trade. All that was left was to wait for either our stop loss or take profit to be triggered to determine the result of our trade. A few hours later, the trade began to move in our favor.
After 13 hours, our Take Profit was triggered, and our patience paid off as we hit our target on EURUSD, resulting in a 2% gain from a 1% risk on the trade.
Vechain/USDT-H1Hello everyone, we are back with an update for the VETUSDT currency. As we can see, the price started with three waves, very clear. And the fourth wave was complicated in the form of WX and Y. Now, a price explosion. From these places specifically? Without any pullback. And the price is forbidden? Pullback to the top of wave one. I wish you success. See you soon.
GBPJPY H4 As observed in the month, the price was strongly rising. Now, we notice the formation of weakness on this pair. It may be temporary. We may witness a free fall from these levels. We will divide the risk. The best environment areas, the 50% Fibonacci levels by 100, may be somewhat dangerous, so we will risk 0.50% in the first trade, which will have a profit of one on 3.25. However, if we sell above the 50% levels in the dollar, something? In girls, something? However, if we sell above the 50% Fibonacci levels, the probability of success will be very high. The profit ratio will be 1. /. 5. 1/2. Good luck.
Trading AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/07/2024Last week concluded positively, with three trades taken and two big wins on EURUSD. This success has heightened our anticipation for the opportunities this week may present. We began our trading day at 8:25 EST by marking the zones for the Judas Swing strategy. This is a fundamental part of the checklist and cannot be skipped.
The next step on the checklist is to wait for a sweep on either side of the zone, which will assist in establishing a bias for the trading session. After 25 minutes, the high of the zone was swept, indicating that we should look for potential selling opportunities during this trading session.
Although we have a bias for the trading session, we do not rush into every selling opportunity. Instead, we wait for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the sell side. The price leg that establishes this BOS should leave behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG), and price must retrace into this FVG before we consider executing a trade using this strategy.
The next five-minute candle entered the Fair Value Gap, indicating that we could execute our trade at the candle's close since we had met all the checklist criteria.
After executing the trade, price remained in a deep drawdown, which can be unsettling for many traders who do not manage their risk adequately. Additionally, traders who do not backtest their trading strategy thoroughly often struggle to adhere to their plan in these situations. However, this was not an issue for us, as we were aware that our strategy has approximately a 50% win rate, indicating that losses are part of the process. Therefore, we only risked 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% return.
Price eventually reversed and started moving in our intended direction. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 5 minutes.
Now all we need to do is be patient and let the trade run. We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
Vechain/Usdt h4We notice that the price has finished 3 impulse waves and the wave structure is not complete and lacks a final fifth wave. Now the price is in the fourth corrective wave that may reach the 50 Fibonacci levels of wave 3 since the second wave reached 61.8 Fibonacci. I do not think that the fourth wave may extend more than 50 percent Fibonacci. Therefore, at the 0.028000 area, we may see a strong price explosion upwards and the first target is 0.035000 and by breaking it, we may continue to 0.039960. I wish you success.
US30-Dow JonesAs shown, the price in the 40,000 areas, fell strongly. It broke the structure, and gave us a change in direction. After that, it gave us a correction in the form of a clear ascending price channel. And then today, it is still strongly from the 75% Fibonacci levels. Therefore, we expect the continuation of the downward trend around 38,000.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 02/07/2024Last week saw a lull in trading activity for the Judas Swing, concluding with no trading opportunity on the four major currency pairs we monitor ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD , FX:AUDUSD ). This pause in activity has heightened our anticipation for engaging in some promising trades this week. As is customary, at 8:25 AM EST, we commenced the day by reviewing the essential items on our Judas Swing strategy checklist, which comprises:
- Setting the timezone to New York time
- Confirming we're on the 5-minute timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Identifying the high and low of the zone
The next step on our checklist is to await the sweep of liquidity on either sides of the zone, which will give us a directional bias for the trading period. Liquidity was taken at the highs after 20 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
Although a bias has been established for the trading period, we do not proceed to sell indiscriminately. To enhance the probability of successful trades, we await a break of structure (BOS) on the sell side. Following the BOS, we expect the price to pull back to the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during the development of the leg that broke structure.
Next on the checklist, we wait for the price to retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and execute the trade only after the candle that entered the FVG has closed.
After executing the trade, we were in profit for about 10 minutes before the price reversed, leading our position into a drawdown. During the drawdown, we remained calm because we had risked only 1% of our trading account on the trade, aiming for a 2% gain if the trade was successful. We were aware that our strategy does not guarantee a 100% win rate but rather hovers around 50%, indicating that some losses were inevitable. To avoid becoming emotional over the position, we let the trade run its course and accepted whatever the outcome would be.
We later reviewed the position and discovered it was once again moving in our favour, only to reverse direction and head towards our stop loss. We anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes for the trade, so we let the trade run.
We waited with patience, yet our perseverance did not bear fruit on this occasion, as our position reached the stop loss after 4 hours and 40 minutes, leading to a 1% reduction in our trading account. It's important to note that we were on a winning streak for a few weeks and it's normal to have losing trades; no strategy guarantees a 100% win rate. However, with proper risk management and a favorable risk-reward ratio, the potential for profit can outweigh the losses.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 13/05/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes:
- Making sure the timezone is set to New York time
- Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Marking the high and low of the zone
Next, we patiently awaited price action to take the liquidity positioned on either side of the trading zone, providing us with a directional bias for the trading period. In this instance, liquidity was taken at the highs after 10 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the opposite side (sell side) to indicate selling. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure.
Next, we waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. In this case, the subsequent candle that formed was a bullish one, closing within the Fair Value Gap.
Our stop loss is set above the high that formed the Break of Structure (BoS) leg, with a minimum requirement of 10 pips. In this instance, placing the stop loss above the high would result in only 7 pips, necessitating an increase to meet the 10-pip minimum. This rule was established not by chance, but through extensive backtesting of numerous trades, demonstrating how it prevents us from being stopped out before price moves in our favor.
After executing our trade, we experienced a significant drawdown that nearly reached our stop-loss level, only for the price to eventually reverse in our favor. Had we set a 7 pip stop, we would have been stopped out; however, our rule of a minimum 10 pip stop saved us from that outcome.
Although the price reversed again and entered a drawdown, we remained unfazed by this reversal due to our cautious risk management strategy. We had committed just 1% of our capital to this trade, with the prospect of a 2% return. We maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades.
The GBPUSD pair then consolidated around our entry point, prolonging our involvement in this trade. However, based on our collected data, we anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x-3x longer for the trade. Patience is crucial in trading, as it often places you in challenging situations
We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/04/2024At 8:45 AM EST EURUSD made a big move down that took out the Judas Swing Zone Low. Then it came straight back up to create a BOS(break of structure).
After the liquidity grab at the low and the subsequent break of structure (BOS), we patiently awaited a retracement towards the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) that emerged during the displacement leg.
We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price initially moved favourably in our direction. However, it later took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52.78% on EURUSD.
Despite being in a drawdown at this point, we remained steadfast in our approach. Having accepted the calculated risk of only 1% of our account for a potential 2% gain, we were unfazed by the proximity of price to our stop loss, and maintained our trust in the strategy.
Price eventually reversed and paused briefly around our entry point before resuming its favourable movement. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes.
We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
Bitcoin weekly roadmapHi guys, I hope the growth of Bitcoin has brought you rich profits.
What happened today was that we expected a temporary drop to fill the FVG area, which it did and it bounced back to 47,000.
This upward trend continues until reaching the price area of 48000, the existence of a lot of liquidity and more resistance can bring the price back from this area.
My idea is that Bitcoin will grow to the supply area of 48000.
By collecting all the liquidity in this area, the price will experience a decrease to the demand areas of 43550 and 41250.
Of course, you should keep in mind that with the news that will come for Bitcoin on Wednesday, let's have the possibility of any reaction for Bitcoin.
Adjust your trades with optimal risk and guaranteed loss limit.
If such analyzes are useful for you, I will be happy to support you and share your opinions with me in the comments section.