EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022 EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022
We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.14%, falling from 4.33% of the last week.(using DAX volatility, which is highly correlated with euro stoxx 50/600)
At the same time, its currently place on the 75th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 1.94%
In case of a Bearish movement : 2.35%
With the current volatility point, we have a 19.5% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 3529
BOT : 3235
At the same time, there is currently a 75% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 3450
And there is a 28% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3250
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -78% indicating a very bearish trend(and we can confirm this since november 2021)
