GBPUSD: Potential Reversal After Strong RallyThe British Pound has shown strong gains against the US Dollar, approaching a key resistance area. After such an extended move, a correction or reversal would be a logical expectation.
Technical Setup
There is a clear series of bearish divergences on the CCI (14) indicator. Price is forming a narrowing rising wedge, which often signals trend exhaustion.
Trade Plan
Sell limit orders: 1.3690 and 1.3850
Market entry: Only after confirmation — either a trendline break or a moving average crossover
Conclusion
GBPUSD shows signs of weakening at the top. I remain focused on short setups from resistance areas, waiting for confirmation to act.
Fxanalysis
EURUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Bearish Path to Target Zone📈 Market Narrative – Understanding EURUSD's Path with MMC
The EURUSD pair is currently navigating a critical phase in its macro price structure, aligning closely with the Mind Market Concept (MMC) methodology — a trading framework rooted in institutional price behavior, psychological arcs, and structured market mapping.
This chart reveals a story of accumulation, expansion, manipulation, and rebalancing — classic smart money behavior playing out on the higher timeframe. The current move is not just price action — it's a strategic delivery of price toward imbalance, guided by volume vacuums, liquidity zones, and engineered traps.
🧩 Phase-by-Phase Technical Analysis
🔷 1. Arc Accumulation Zone – The Beginning of Institutional Positioning
In the latter half of 2024, EURUSD entered a rounded arc formation, which marks a textbook accumulation phase.
This "bowl-like" curve represents gradual absorption of sell-side liquidity by institutions.
The lows became progressively higher, indicating demand stepping in while supply weakened.
Volume during this time was suppressed — another smart money tactic to accumulate without causing price spikes.
📌 Why This Matters: Arcs often precede explosive breakouts, particularly when aligned with time-based liquidity cycles (quarterly/yearly rebalancing). This zone gave birth to the breakout that followed.
🔷 2. The Central Zone – Consolidation Before Expansion
Once the arc base was complete, price broke out impulsively, then pulled back into what is labeled the Central Zone.
This zone acts as a mid-range liquidity pocket — where orders are stacked and reaccumulation occurs.
It also became the launchpad for the final markup wave that tapped the previous target around 1.1250.
🔍 This move was the realignment phase, where smart money took price above key highs to:
Hit their internal targets.
Trap breakout traders.
Induce euphoria before distribution.
🔷 3. Major BOS – Break of Macro Structure
The breakout through 1.1150–1.1200 confirmed a Major Break of Structure (BOS).
This BOS acted as a signal for:
Trend reversal confirmation for many retail traders.
A "green light" to buy — which was anticipated and exploited by institutions.
But here’s the twist:
Price rejected the SR Interchange Zone (support turned resistance), signaling that the breakout was engineered to trap liquidity.
🔷 4. Distribution & Manipulation – The Trap Layer
The chart clearly shows two critical supply areas:
Minor Resistance (around 1.1400s)
Major Resistance (around 1.1550–1.1600s)
Price briefly approached these zones but failed to hold, forming a complex distribution range.
This is where:
Smart money distributed their long positions.
Retail buyers got trapped.
Volume increased during sell-side preparation.
📌 The rejection from these zones sent price into a clean markdown, forming lower highs and confirming the bearish structure mapping.
🔷 5. Structural Mapping – Downtrend Control
Price action is now clearly in a bearish delivery phase, as shown by:
Lower highs & lower lows
Repeated rejections from minor resistance
Large red candles with little retracement (showing momentum)
This phase is often misunderstood by retail traders. But within MMC, it’s identified as the delivery to imbalance — a controlled descent into unmitigated demand.
🔷 6. Target + Reversal Zone – Where the Real Opportunity Begins
We are approaching the most important area on the chart:
🟡 Target + Reversal Zone (around 1.0950–1.1000)
This zone is not randomly drawn:
It's the origin of the arc breakout, a high-volume node.
It's a discounted price level where institutions may re-engage.
It’s untapped demand from the earlier accumulation — meaning no major reaction has occurred here yet.
If price slows down here, forms a liquidity sweep, or gives a bullish engulfing on the lower timeframe — this could be the reversal point.
But:
If price slices through with strong momentum, it may signal macro weakness, opening room to test the 1.0800 region.
🧭 Trade Plan & Execution Guide
Setup Type Actionable Guidance
📉 Bearish Pullback Entry Short entries near 1.1300–1.1350 with stop above minor resistance
🟡 Demand Reversal Watch Wait for reaction in 1.0950–1.1000, assess volume & candle response
📊 Structure Confirmation Use lower timeframe BOS for entry alignment
🛡️ Risk Management Keep risk below 1% per trade, avoid chasing mid-zone prices
💬 Key Takeaways
EURUSD has completed its accumulation → expansion → manipulation cycle.
We are now entering the rebalancing phase, where the market returns to fair value (demand).
Smart money flow is visible — from engineered highs to controlled selloffs.
The Target + Reversal Zone will likely dictate the next macro direction.
Pre-FOMC Week - Bullish run on the EUR/USD & GBP/USD....Like last week's video analysis, I'm currently holding long positions on the EUR/USD and GBP/USD. I'm expecting strong movements in the coming week due to FOMC and Interest Rate Policy.
The ETF SOXL, has been running well although Friday dumped pretty hard but long positions remain solid. I'll remain diligent in observing the price action this week and hopefully book a good 90% profit so far for the 1st Quarter of 2025.
EUR/USD:
•1.0265
•1.0416
•Target: 1.06000
GBP/USD:
•1.2209
•Target: 1.2600 or 1.2700
ETF SOXL:
•$29.01
•Target: $36 or $40
Good Luck. Trade Safe.
USDCAD Resistance Third Attempt Hi Traders!
There may be a break soon as USDCAD looks to test the 1.35440 resistance area for a third time.
Here are the details:
The price action looks bullish; the market swings are getting higher, and the 20 EMA support re-test has held.
Our idea here is to buy market dips leading up to 1.35440 for a possible break above if the bullish momentum continues. The long-term target is around the 1.36269 area, as we expect some resistance there.
Preferred Direction: Buy
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
BluetonaFX - USDJPY Tumbling After Failed Record High BreakHi Traders!
The 151.946 apex level proved to be too strong and there is a now potential double top pattern on the USDJPY 1W chart after the market failed to break and close above 151.946.
Price Action 📊
After the initial break and close above the previous strong resistance level at 145.073, the market traded with continuous bullish momentum to target the psychological 150 handle and then the apex level, but the market seems to have run out of steam and is rapidly pulling back towards 145.073.
Fundamental Analysis 📰
We have the FOMC minutes meeting today, and depending on what is revealed in the minutes meeting, we have further downsides this week for the US dollar.
Support 📉
146.711: 20 EMA
145.073: PREVIOUS RANGE ZONE RESISTANCE
Resistance 📈
149.991: WEEKLY HIGH
Risk ⚠️
No more than 2% of your capital.
Reward 💰
At least 4% of your capital.
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
BTC SHOWING SOME BULL RETRACEMENT BTC is holding the price at the major support not closing below the major monthly support, he tested it and moved below and returned back to the support price which shown that BTC may actually be trying some retracement of some bullish if the bearish impulse fails in the next coming days. My advise for those that are willing to invest on BTC should start investing some spare i mean small of their capital, and if it drop they should also invest more before the next bull move is goint to start
EURCHF, EURAUD and EURCAD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURCAD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCNH top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD - DAY TRADE VIEWGOLD - As per the price action, trend lines , & technical indicators gold is expected to go up from the current price.
My approach will be a buy in the range 1815-1817
Potential upside target 1825-1828
Maintain stop loss around 1807
Trade as per your risk appetite, I will be glad to see your likes & comment.
Ripple Sell off Ripple Heading towards 0.80300 Bearish wait for pull back to stop and then you look too short it to 0.80300 to clear the original consolidation
CADJPY H4 - Long Trade SetupCADJPY H4
So evident we saw GBP, AUD and NZD correct negatively last week with month end flows, and subsequently CHF, USD and YEN corrected/balanced positively. ***YEN pairs are still on the backfoot as we approach retest areas, keen to see how these pairs develop.
Looking for a double bottom or second retest of that 83.700 price to try and get involved long with this pair.