Fxastindicators
XRPUSD (MY) EXPECTATIONS - NOT ASSUMPTIONS!!!Information of the (my) expected scenario is on the chart based on the highest probabilities. Fib walk all the way down from the Monthly to the 1H showing Fib clustering (areas of importance).
The market has female characteristics:
1) It does what it wants when it wants.
2) It is always right.
A trader's expectations should never turn into ASSUMPTIONS. We should be followers of the market and wait (#PaidToWait - FxAST Indicators). We don't have to be FIRST, we have to be RIGHT.
XRPUSD updateAs I mentioned in the XRPUSD short analysis, going long wasn't my first option but it was a possibility to a lesser degree of it going short. You can see from Friday night the bullish push upwards through today. Even looking at BTC Futures you can see the change. I am looking at XRPUSD hitting 1.30030 at least.
Looking to catch the bearish momentum on XRPUSDI am looking at taking this opportunity. I had the green and red boundaries set from the previous TR and I missed the move that happened at midnight PT. ***IF*** I will take the preferred. If no preferred then next. The bonus is off either entry.
This pair is very bearish, BTCUSD is very bearish as I am looking at the next 2 to 3 days. This is why I have no long positions on this chart. Not saying that isn't a possibility BUT the probabilities all are on the side of continued bearish momentum.
What I see for BTCUSD to hit $64KWe have a lot of interesting stuff here happening with BTCUSD off some key areas of associated price action. What I also find interesting is how TPO and VWAP ( *Note - I left the Asian session encapsulation on) play into that associated price action. I think that we are going to see other cryptocurrencies follow the move upwards and that this is nothing more than a corrective move against the overall trend.
*TOOLS applied on the chart* my FxASTCCTPO system ( *Note - I said tools because these are in ADDITION to associated price action that moves by volume. The tools are just there to add CONFLUENCE for our trading decisions) - Tradingview Public Library:
-FxASTLite Strategy
-FxAST Session Encapsulation + VWAP
What I see as choices for XRPUSD associated price actionJust looking at two choices based on one particular 4H candle and how the associated price action at this level is moving correctively. We have a large inside range of 9,000 points with market movement contracting, which I believe is the pause (price equilibrium, base, side-ways movement, consolidation) before it springs (higher probability) into the desired action. It is a pretty simple picture at this level with what is happening. If you change over to HA (Heiken Ashi candles) you can see what is happening based purely on the trend/momentum. *Note - Each HA candle is formed by the two previous candles data AND each new candle opens up at the 50% level of the preceding candle's associated price action.
For my EW (Elliott Wave) folks, look at the wave count from the Daily and then the Weekly level.
*Note - Bottom grey extended box is a 4H demand zone, indecision to decision (spinning top then IC candle). The top thrusting boundary area is a larger TF supply zone with market movement testing the boundary of that zone and the outer edge of that zone. This is a "zone within a zone" upper area.
XRPUSD Trade ideaA little late publishing this call from my own personal strategy but wanted to share the reasoning and thought behind it. We can see from the bottom AOI (4H) that price has steadily moved upward following key Fib levels as associated price action moves. What I found interesting is the level at the top that is also a Key AOI (4H) that is lined up with Phi (1.618).
For me, this is almost a 4:1 RR.
BTCUSD Price Forecasting Model Daily PerspectiveYou can see here at the daily level that the can clearly see associated price action respond to the individual Fibonacci Retracement Levels and Fibonacci Extension Levels. We can see that price did break out of the trading range of March's 'Trigger Boundaries'. We can see that we have 'price expectation' areas to help in our individual trading plan and investing goals. I know that the majority of the cryptocurrency space follows the leader, which is 'BTCUSD'.
I am not a financial advisor, the information that I post here is purely for educational purposes and how I see the market to meet my trading and investment portfolio.
BTCUSD Price Forecast ModelUsing only the Month of March's 'Trading Range' I am "projecting" what could be future price action levels. The month of March's 'Trading Range' Upper and Lower extremes are my 'trigger points'. If associated price action drops above or below these areas, I would want to see associated price action come back and 'test' these price levels and push on the direction they were traveling before the correction. This is on the Monthly, I will post Daily levels shortly.
ETHUSD pushed to Supply ZoneJust a quick update on ETHUSD. You can see from the previous analysis that associated price action pushed all the way to the supply zone and is at a critical decision stage. If price can push through this area (red arrow) and then breakthrough and retest we can see further price levels at previous highs. If the price can't break through the demand zone below is the area that we can expect the price to fall to and even beyond that if bearish overall momentum picks back up steam.
*Note - I suggest we wait until we see what PRICE will do and not just hit the hot button. Capital preservation is key. I am not a financial advisor and I can't tell you what to do with your money, but if it were me risking my capital, I would want to be like the Remora that swim under the SHARKS and eat when they eat in the direction that they eat in. Just my two cents.
GBPJPY ExpectionLooking to use the 5 AM candle as the "inside bar" candle to look for trade ideas. The overall expectation is Bullish, but I do expect a correction so ideally, I would like to see price wick off the 152.125 price area down to the bottom of the 5 AM candle and then shoot up to the green path. If not, prepared as well to take the red path if bullish momentum is no longer dominant. Looking for TPO before any of this happens.
ETH, XRP, BTC ---> USD based pairings.You can see that we are back to that previous 4H zone and the price is having a hard time breaching that level (200 MA) is right above. If there isn't sufficient to change the momentum, my previous bearish bias still stands. The green path is what is least expected, the red path is what is (overall) expected. The bottom Zone edge or Baseline of that zone are expected TP ranges. What we have seen is just corrections against the prevailing trend. Remember, impulse waves are narrow and thin (go somewhere, make progress) and corrective movements are wide and fat.