Bearish thesis for GBPNZD UK had some super inflation just in this Q1 2025 rose to 3%
Q4 24 was 2.5%
NZD eased inflation to 2.2 % in SEP2024
which technically did not fully satisfy the momentum on price.
but gave us enough for making projections which puts us on ADR numbers to 137 pips.
Given the bearish outlook and the Q1 ends with this month
i gave such tight SL in the trade idea.
Fxsignals
Bearish thesis for Gold This week.I am trading this range currently Long for the day but looking forward to SELL with eventual TP @ 2885.15
as USD has appreciated due to anticipated fiscal policies, tax cuts
and
positive US tresury yeilds can show bearish impact on non yeilding assets like XAU.
Also, the opposite momentum from the crypto correction from the last 2 weeks as the base pair for any /all crypto in the end is USD anyways directly or indirectly
dictates a 1% move will probably be filled within this week.
which drives such tight forecast.
bearish thesis for the week for NZD/JPYBased on my projections of my watchlist a range of 83 pips must be honored within this week ,
(Range projection based on last 5 yrs)
as BoJ is increasing rates by 0.5%
And
Japan accounts for 6.3% of NZD total exports
therefore widening rate gap nzd/jpy faces downward pressure
and taking TA into perspective , we can take advantage by selling for exactly 0.12% or 83 pips.
Usdjpy sell zoneThis is a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen) 1-hour timeframe technical analysis from FXCM, indicating a sell trade setup with the following details:
1. Resistance Level: Identified around 149.546, marked in yellow. This is the level where price is expected to face selling pressure.
2. Entry Point: Around 148.990, which aligns with a key resistance zone.
3. Target Level: 147.459, representing the expected price drop where traders may take profit.
4. Market Outlook: The analysis suggests a bearish setup, expecting price rejection from the resistance zone and a downward move toward the support level.
5. Price Action Strategy: The price is likely to consolidate near resistance before making a decisive move downward.
This setup signals a potential short (sell) opportunity, anticipating that USD/JPY will decline after hitting resistance, making it favorable for sellers.
EURNZD: Massive Breakout 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD violated a huge resistance cluster and closed above that.
The next key level is 1.8765.
I will look for a pullback/little correction to buy then, expecting a rise.
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GBP/USD March 2025 Technical Outlook: Bearish Pressure below 200What do you think about GBPUSD
It has broke the trend and in my observation it will be more downward
**Trend Direction (EMA 200):**
- The price (1.25756) is trading **below** the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting a **bearish bias**. The EMA likely acts as dynamic resistance near 1.26131 or higher, reinforcing the downtrend.
**Critical Levels:**
- **Resistance Levels:**
- Immediate: **1.26131** (likely the 200 EMA level).
- Stronger: **1.2689** (key swing high).
- **Support Levels:**
- Near-term: **1.25000** (psychological round number).
- Lower: **1.24215** and **1.24000** (next targets if bearish momentum continues).
AUDUSD: One More Bullish Wave Ahead 🇦🇺🇺🇸
I strongly believe that AUDUSD will resume growth soon.
2 recent strong bullish breakouts of key resistances on a daily
confirm the strength of a current uptrend.
The price is going to reach 0.642 resistance soon.
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EURAUD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD successfully violated a support line of a wide horizontal
range on a daily time frame.
We see a positive bearish reaction to that after the market opening today.
With a high probability, the market is going to drop at least to 1.64 support.
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EURGBP - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
EURAUD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
GBPJPY Sell/Short SignalWhat I have been marking up for GBPJPY it appears to have pumped a few pips prior to stopping at its main shoulder of resistance. I have been watching key levels for take profits potential here of the levels 192.020, 188.006, and 183.762 for day trades and swing trades. Rejection levels of 199.853 and 198.881 has proven that we are facing a lower high trend rejection for a continuous downtrend for the next few months it potentially has here. I suggest to use proper risk management when entering the trade and to have your stop losses set at 30-50 pips depending where you entered in. You may close when you feel is best to do so on your own. Please message me if you have any questions about this trade! Thanks!
GBPUSD Buy to SellLooking to have GBPUSD head up to the ash zone before a sell...
Simply look for a confirmation or way to join the buy based on your style and strategy, then get a confirmation for sells at that zone above price currently.
Do ensure to follow your strategy if it tells you otherwise!
GBPJPY Sell/Short SignalGBPJPY looks like a sell on the D1 and has been moving steadily down from the last entry we took. We are looking for a nice slide downward movement with key levels I marked on the chart. Last few patterns that have played out created a double top and a clear indication of an M formation to complete the full double bottom. I would like to see levels 192, 188, and 183 touch for a long term swing trade period, however, you are able to close when you wish to do so. Please be advised to use cautionary risk/reward ratios and what suits you best. If you have any questions, please feel free to message me as I love to answer questions! Thanks! Happy New Years to all! We are officially BACK!
ENTRY: 195.284 (can enter in these levels)
TP 1 (Day Trade): 192.020
TP 2 (Swing Trade): 188.006
TP 3: (extended swing trade) 183.762
SL: 50 Pips from entry
Please message me if you have any questions! Please enjoy your day and be sure to follow our page!