Get started

Fxtrading

GBPJPY Hello traders, I'd like to share the first trade of the day with you. The setup is a Buy trade on the GBPJPY pair. Today is the last trading day of the week and we have major economic events on the calendar, including: 🔹 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) 🔹 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 🔹 Unemployment Rate So it's wise to remain cautious while executing trades today. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1(me) /1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 195.054 ✔️ Take Profit: 195.403 ✔️ Stop Loss: 194.985 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
USDCAD 04/06 – BoC Rate Decision Ahead USDCAD 04/06 – BoC Rate Decision Ahead | Will the Market Break Higher or Reverse From 1.3820? The USDCAD pair is trading around the 1.3700 area as markets prepare for the upcoming Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision. Price action shows potential for a breakout, but macro risks remain high. 🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK BoC Expected to Hold Rates Analysts widely expect the BoC to keep the interest rate unchanged at 2.75%, marking the third consecutive pause. Inflation has slipped below 2%, supporting the case for a dovish tone. Trade Policy in Focus With growing global uncertainties and Trump’s trade stance back in the spotlight, BoC Governor Tiff Macklem is expected to address policy risks, especially related to tariffs. Market Sentiment USD is mildly weaker after soft ISM data. CAD remains near YTD highs but sensitive to policy commentary. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H2 Chart Price is forming a potential double bottom near the 1.3693 zone – a key structure support. Resistance sits at 1.3725 – 1.3757. A confirmed breakout could lead to a test of 1.3824, the recent high. Failure to hold 1.3690 may expose deeper downside toward 1.3620–1.3600. 🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH 🟢 BUY ZONE: 1.3693 – 1.3700 SL: 1.3670 TP: 1.3725 → 1.3757 → 1.3800 → 1.3824 🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.3824 – 1.3830 SL: 1.3850 TP: 1.3780 → 1.3750 → 1.3700 → 1.3650 🎯 TRADE STRATEGY If BoC holds rates with a dovish bias, USDCAD may rally sharply toward 1.3824 and potentially higher. If BoC surprises with hawkish comments, CAD strength may push the pair lower, targeting the 1.36 handle. Traders should be cautious around 1.3690 – this is the pivot zone for the week. 📌 CONCLUSION “The BoC’s decision may already be priced in – but the true volatility could come from Governor Macklem’s press conference. Any hint regarding Trump’s trade policies could trigger sharp moves. Stick to clean key levels and protect your capital.”
Short
by MMFlowTrading
PMI Divergence & ECB Rate Decision Looms:0.84 Key Level in PlayEURGBP 04/06 – PMI Divergence & ECB Rate Decision Looms: 0.84 Key Level in Play EUR/GBP is hovering around the 0.8420 mark after mixed PMI releases from the Eurozone and Germany. Traders are cautiously awaiting the ECB’s interest rate decision this Thursday, while the Bank of England signals potential easing — but remains non-committal on timing. 🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK Eurozone & German PMI: Eurozone Composite PMI eased to 50.2, still above forecasts (49.5) but reflecting slowing momentum. German Composite dropped to 48.5; Services fell further to 47.1 — signaling contraction risk in Europe’s largest economy. ECB Dovish Expectations: Core inflation fell to 1.9% YoY in May — below the 2% ECB target for the first time in eight months. Markets are fully pricing in a 25bps rate cut this week. BoE Shifts Cautiously Dovish: Governor Andrew Bailey acknowledged that monetary easing is likely, but warned of "uncertainty ahead." The MPC is split — some fear sticky inflation; others warn that rates staying too high too long may damage growth. Market Sentiment: EUR remains pressured by ECB dovish expectations. GBP is also under pressure from weak UK macro indicators and global trade tensions. 📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart) Price is consolidating near the EMA200 (0.8409) — a crucial dynamic support. A tight sideways range has formed; 0.8408 is a key horizontal level to watch for breakout/breakdown confirmation. Break below 0.8408 could send price toward Fibo 1.618 at 0.8383 or psychological support at 0.8373. If bulls defend 0.8408, we may see a bounce toward 0.8429 → 0.8449 resistance zone. 🔑 KEY TRADE ZONES 🟢 BUY ZONE: 0.8380 – 0.8373 SL: 0.8358 TP: 0.8400 → 0.8415 → 0.8429 → 0.8435 🔴 SELL ZONE: 0.8448 – 0.8450 SL: 0.8460 TP: 0.8435 → 0.8420 → 0.8408 → 0.8388 ⚠️ TRADE STRATEGY Watch the 0.8408 area closely. If price holds → short-term BUY scalp opportunities. If it breaks strongly → consider SELL toward lower Fibo/structure levels at 0.838x. Be cautious around ECB release — avoid trading during the spike. Wait for structure confirmation post-news. 📌 CONCLUSION "EUR/GBP is entering a critical zone near 0.8400. With ECB and BoE both leaning dovish, expect increased volatility. Hold or break at this key level will likely define the next directional leg. Stay patient and let the market show its hand."
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg? NZDUSD – Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg? As global markets await the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report later this week, NZDUSD is showing early signs of short-term weakness following a strong bullish rally from the 0.5905 low. While the broader structure remains bullish, a corrective move may be necessary to shake out weak hands and reload liquidity before a renewed surge. 🌐 Macro & Fundamental Outlook: New Zealand: Recent economic releases from New Zealand have been lackluster, yet the RBNZ's hawkish policy stance (high interest rates) continues to support the Kiwi. However, pressure from China – New Zealand’s top trading partner – remains a drag. United States: The U.S. Dollar remains under pressure due to rising expectations that the Fed will start cutting rates by Q3 2025, despite some hawkish tones from FOMC officials. This week’s NFP report will be a decisive factor. Market Sentiment: After a ~150-pip rally, traders are beginning to take profits. The correction could offer a golden re-entry opportunity. 📊 Technical Analysis: Trend Bias: The market structure is still in an uptrend, maintaining Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Fibonacci Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibo zone (0.5992 – 0.5978), aligning with the H1 89 & 200 EMAs. EMA Structure (13 – 34 – 89 – 200): Still bullish but currently signaling a short-term pullback. 🔑 Key Price Zones: Resistance Levels: 0.6014 – 0.6052 Support Levels: 0.5973 – 0.5951 – 0.5932 🧭 Trade Plan 📌 Buy Setup (trend continuation): BUY ZONE: 0.5951 – 0.5932 SL: 0.5900 TP: 0.5978 → 0.6014 → 0.6052 📌 Expecting a bullish bounce off the 61.8% Fibo + EMA 200 confluence ahead of NFP. 📌 Sell Setup (short-term countertrend scalp): SELL ZONE: 0.6014 – 0.6025 SL: 0.6060 TP: 0.5978 → 0.5951 📌 Anticipating a reaction at a key resistance zone – ideal for intraday scalpers. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: Stay cautious ahead of high-impact U.S. data (ADP, Jobless Claims, NFP). Favor buying the dip in line with the higher-timeframe trend. Maintain discipline with tight SLs (30–35 pips max per setup).
Short
by MMFlowTrading
EURUSD CRACK!I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results. I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example. After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart with the fundamentals to back it up. Again, I remind you I am a MACRO Trader. So my trades hold for a long, long time unless the facts change. I don't do 3 pips and i am out crap! Let this be a WARNING! To the dollar bulls! Click Boost, follow, subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers so I can help them navigate these crazy markets, too. ))
Long
by RealMacro
1
The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's Ultimate Market Journal🌌The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's🌠Ultimate Market Journal🎨 Hello Fellow Travelers It's been some time since I've posted a Fresh Idea, though I've remained actively trading. What better way to mark my TradView return, than to start an Ultimate Market Journal. Financial Markets have taken my deep interest again recently, especially as we seem to be at a time of accelerating change and shifting regimes. I believe many opportunities abound to those with open, flexible and creative minds. A bit more about myself. I've been involved with financial markets in one form or fashion for 18 years now. I started out like most of us, approaching the game with fundamental analysis, only to later incorporate and then fully graduate to T/A. I'm a natural Contrarian. My brand of technical analysis is as much about aesthetics, creative expression, discovering hidden truths and applying Universal Principles as it is running the numbers. I'm starting this off with Ultra Bond Futures, as UB's are the trading instrument I've come to specialise in, having had the most ongoing consistent success trading. This by no means is going to be a "I bought here and sold there" type of Journal, as that's not my style. Nor am I going to focus on a single market instrument, observation or style of analysis. I'd like this to become a repository of accumulated wisdom and unique market perceptives. I've just begun contemplating what this may evolve into in time, and I invite you to join me in taking this Leap d-MR96nBa🌌 Concept Inversion📈📉 Seek out and analyse whatever moves exactly inverse to what you intend to trade. If you're having trouble discerning trend or observing price patterns, check the inverse. This can be an excellent technique for exposing Bias. This can work particularly well for currency traders, though can be Universally applied. For US Ultra Bonds, the inverse is the US 30 Year Yield Ultra Bond Futures US 30 Year Yield Currency traders, say you're about to trade AUD/CHF Check out the CHF/AUD chart first, if they both appear Bullish or Bearish, you've got a Bias. AUD/CHF CHF/AUD GBP/JPY JPY/GBP EUR/USD USD/EUR Are there any examples of Inversion in Trading you'd like to share ? What else is on my🧠 Well just casually, I believe we're currently witnessing Peak Bitcoin in it's entire Life-cycle. Have we Bull Trapped & Breakaway Gapped on Berkshire Hathaway BRK.B It's in the Detail
CBOT:UB1!Education
by d-MR96nBa
1
$3350 would indicate short-term strengthGold Price Analysis – Technical Outlook Gold is currently approaching a critical resistance level around 3350. If the price manages to break and close above this level on the 15-minute chart, it could signal the continuation of the bullish trend. A confirmed 15-minute candle close above 3350 would indicate short-term strength and increased buying pressure. To strengthen this bullish bias, we are also watching for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 1-hour timeframe. A BOS would suggest a shift in market structure, potentially transitioning from a consolidation or retracement phase into a new impulsive leg to the upside. If both conditions – the 15M candle close above 3350 and a 1H BOS – are met, the next immediate target would be 3370. Depending on how the price action unfolds beyond that point, and supported by additional confirmations such as volume, momentum indicators, or price patterns, there could be further upside potential. As always, ensure you apply risk management and conduct your own thorough analysis before making any trading decisions. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research (DYOR).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
XAUUSDGold kicks off the week with a strong bullish move — and the same applies to BTC, which is now getting very close to its all-time high. Gold is also showing impressive strength, so despite being on a lower time frame, I’ve decided to activate a Buy position on XAUUSD. 🔍 Trade Details: ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 3308.62 ✔️ Take Profit: 3315.25 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3304.20 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own strategy, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 If you're interested in a systematic and data-driven approach to trading: 💡 Follow the page and enable notifications to stay updated on future setups, analysis, and strategic insights.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Nurlan_PT
GBP/USD Breaks Key Resistance Zone – Bullish OutlookGBP/USD has broken above a long-standing resistance zone on the weekly chart, signaling a potential shift in long-term trend. This breakout aligns with a strong rising trendline that has held firm for months, showing growing bullish momentum. If price continues to hold above the breakout level, the market could be setting up for a sustained upward move. A successful retest of the breakout zone would further confirm bullish continuation. The structure looks healthy, and the momentum is clearly on the buyer’s side. DYOR, NFA Thanks for following along — stay tuned for more updates!
Long
by unichartz
GBPUSDHello traders! There’s currently an opportunity for a Sell trade on GBPUSD, and the position is now active. 🔍 Trade Details: ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 1.33695 ✔️ Take Profit: 1.33531 ✔️ Stop Loss: 1.33777 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’m personally taking based on my own strategy. It is intended purely for educational purposes. 📌 Interested in a more systematic and data-driven approach to trading? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated with future trade ideas and market breakdowns.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
XAUUSDHello traders! I’m sharing what may be your first trade of the week. This setup comes from the XAUUSD pair. I currently see a Buy opportunity in Gold, and the trade is already active on my side. 🔍 Trade Details: ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 3223.82 ✔️ Take Profit: 3237.39 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3214.78 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’m personally taking, based on my own methodology. It is intended purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're interested in a more systematic and data-driven approach to trading: 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated with future trade ideas and market breakdowns.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Nurlan_PT
EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING?EUR/USD – BEARISH BIAS IN PLAY, IS A FAKEOUT COMING? 🧠 Market Context: After a technical rebound earlier this week, EUR/USD is now consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle. Despite buyers attempting a breakout, low volume and price action still below the 200 EMA indicate weak bullish momentum. The DXY is recovering on expectations the Fed will hold rates higher for longer. Meanwhile, the Euro lacks fundamental support as the ECB remains cautious with policy moves. 👉 Given the current technical setup, the higher probability scenario (70%) is a bearish breakout, continuing the dominant downtrend. 📊 Trade Scenarios for Today: ✅ High Probability – SITUATION 1 (70%): Price breaks below the triangle’s base near 1.1185–1.1190 and continues lower toward the 1.1110 demand zone. ⛔ SELL ZONE: 1.1210 – 1.1220 (after minor retest of broken trendline) 🎯 TP: 1.1180 → 1.1150 → 1.1120 → 1.1100 🛑 SL: 1.1245 (above EMA200) 🚨 Lower Probability – SITUATION 2 (30%): Price breaks out and closes firmly above the triangle and 200 EMA (~1.124x) → short-term bullish reversal. 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1250 – 1.1260 (only after confirmed breakout with volume) 🎯 TP: 1.1290 → 1.1325 → 1.1350 🛑 SL: 1.1215 🔍 Key Technical Levels & EMA: Resistance (200 EMA on H1): ~1.1247 Major Support Zones: 1.1180 – 1.1150 – 1.1110 🎯 Execution Strategy: Favor short setups unless a clear bullish breakout occurs above 1.1247 with strong volume. Watch for a breakdown and retest below 1.1180 to confirm bearish continuation. Avoid premature entries — let price come to your levels. ⚠️ News to Watch: No major data today, but USD is still sensitive to Fed tone and macro headlines. Keep an eye on Fed speakers later in the NY session for potential impact on dollar direction. ✅ Final Thoughts: The triangle pattern is coiling tight, but overall momentum favors sellers. Expect liquidity sweeps and volatility traps, especially around session transitions. Stick to your plan, respect your levels, and let the market decide the breakout direction.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
GBPJPYHello Traders, Today’s first setup comes from GBPJPY. Based on current market conditions, I’ve identified a high-probability sell opportunity. The trade has already been executed on my end, with a Risk-to-Reward Ratio set between 1:1.5 and 1:2, depending on your individual risk appetite. 🔍 Trade Details: ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 / 1:2 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 193.564 ✔️ Take Profit: 193.256 ✔️ Stop Loss: 193.768 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm simply sharing a trade I’m personally taking, based on my own methodology. It is intended purely for educational purposes. 📌 If you're interested in a more systematic and data-driven approach to trading: 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay up to date with future trade ideas and market breakdowns.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
Sellers Trapped! AUD/USD Flips Structure to BullishAustralian Dollar / U.S. Dollar (AUD/USD) 📆 Timeframe: 1-Day (1D) 📈 Technical Breakdown: 1. Sideways Consolidation Zone The price has been consolidating within a clear horizontal range. This range is defined by upper resistance and lower support zones, with several rejections confirming the boundaries. 2. Downtrend Resistance Line Broken A long-standing resistance trendline has been breached to the upside. This breakout suggests a potential trend reversal or continuation rally if price holds above. 3. Seller Trap Identified There was a strong liquidity sweep below the support zone, labeled “Sellers Got Trapped.” This is a classic liquidity grab, where shorts were likely triggered before price reversed sharply upward. 4. EMA 50 as Dynamic Support Price has reclaimed the 50 EMA (0.62701), indicating a shift in short-term momentum towards the bulls. If the price remains above this moving average, it could act as a dynamic support in the near term. 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 57.62 RSI is in bullish neutral territory, suggesting there’s still room for upward momentum before overbought levels (>70). No bearish divergence is currently visible. ✅ Bullish Outlook: Breakout above resistance trendline ✅ Recovery above EMA 50 ✅ Seller trap below range ✅ RSI supports further move ✅
Long
by unichartz
EUR/USD – Golden Crossover & Breakout Confirmation (Multi-T.F)EUR/USD is showing strong bullish signs across both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting a potential macro trend reversal in the making. After being trapped below a long-term descending trendline for nearly two years, price has not only broken out but also successfully retested the breakout zone — a key validation for trend continuation. On the daily chart, a Golden Crossover is now forming, which historically precedes major uptrends in forex pairs. Combined with reclaiming key structural levels and building higher lows, EUR/USD could be positioning for a powerful upside move in Q2 2025. Let’s dive into the multi-timeframe analysis to understand why this setup could be one of the cleanest trend reversals on the board. 1W Timeframe – Macro Breakout in Progress EUR/USD has officially broken out of a long-standing descending resistance trendline. This breakout occurred from a structurally important zone that had acted as a ceiling for over 2 years. 📌 Key Observations: 🔹 Price reclaimed and held above the key resistance zone, turning it into strong support. 🔹 Minor resistance zones lie ahead, but structure favors further upside. 🔹 Projection shows potential continuation toward 1.16+ if momentum sustains. 1D Timeframe – Bullish Retest + Golden Cross Forming Zooming into the daily chart, we see: ✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which held as support (bullish confirmation). ✅ Price is now forming a Golden Crossover – where the 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA. This is typically seen as a strong bullish signal in trending markets. 📌 What’s Bullish: Clean breakout ✔️ Retest with strength ✔️ Momentum crossover ✔️ EUR/USD is now in a strong bullish structure, backed by a confirmed breakout on the weekly and a golden crossover on the daily. If price holds above 1.09, we may see continued upside toward 1.13–1.16 levels in the coming weeks. Thank you for reading and supporting @unichartz. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share! 💙
Long
by unichartz
EUR/JPY Eyes Breakout — Can Bulls Push Through Resistance?EUR/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis EUR/JPY is holding strong above a rising trendline that’s acted as support since 2022. The pair recently bounced from a key support zone and is now testing a major resistance area. A breakout above this zone could trigger a bullish continuation, while rejection may lead to another pullback toward the trendline. Key Levels: Support: 153.5–155.0 Resistance: 163.5–165.0 Watch for: Weekly close above resistance for bullish confirmation. Structure remains bullish as long as the trendline holds.
Long
by unichartz
EUR/USD at a Pivotal Level – Will Bulls Push Higher?The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a trend reversal after breaking above a long-term descending trendline. This breakout, coupled with an inverse head and shoulders pattern and RSI bullish divergence, signals strengthening bullish momentum. However, the price faces key resistance around 1.0500-1.0527, aligned with the 200 EMA. A confirmed break above this level could push the pair toward 1.10+, while failure to do so may lead to a pullback before another attempt higher.
Long
by unichartz