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AUD/JPY# AUD/JPY: Two High-Probability Bearish Setups 🎯 ## Overview AUD/JPY continues to respect its macro downtrend structure, offering two compelling bearish opportunities as price approaches critical resistance levels. Currently trading at 94.398, the pair sits at an inflection point between key support and resistance zones. --- ## 📊 Setup 1: Resistance Zone Rejection (Primary) ### Key Level: 95.289 (Major Resistance) This level has proven its significance multiple times: - ✅ Strong resistance throughout recent months - ✅ Clear seller dominance at this zone - ✅ Confluence with descending channel structure ### Entry Strategy: 1. **Wait** for price to approach 95.289 2. **Identify** bearish rejection patterns: - Pin bars / Shooting stars - Bearish engulfing candles - Multiple wick rejections 3. **Enter** short on confirmed rejection 4. **Stop Loss**: 95.50-95.60 (above resistance) 5. **Targets**: - TP1: 93.240 (1:2 RR) - TP2: 92.271 (1:3.5 RR) --- ## 📊 Setup 2: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Secondary) ### Pattern Recognition: A textbook rising wedge has formed since the May lows - a bearish reversal pattern within the larger downtrend context. ### Entry Strategy: 1. **Monitor** the lower wedge trendline 2. **Wait** for decisive breakdown with volume 3. **Enter** short on retest of broken support 4. **Stop Loss**: Above recent swing high 5. **Target**: 93.240 support zone --- ## 📈 Market Structure Analysis ### Macro Trend: BEARISH 📉 - Consistent lower highs and lower lows from 102+ levels - Currently in corrective bounce phase - Respecting descending channel boundaries ### Current Position: Price trapped between: - **Resistance**: 95.289 - **Support**: 93.240 - **Deep Support**: 92.271 --- ## ⚠️ Risk Management **Patience is key!** Current price offers poor risk/reward. Wait for: 1. **Scenario A**: Test of 95.289 resistance → Short opportunity 2. **Scenario B**: Break below wedge support → Short opportunity 3. **Scenario C**: Break above 95.289 → Invalidation, stay flat ### Position Sizing: - Risk per trade: 1-2% of account - Adjust position size based on stop distance --- ## 🎯 Trade Summary **Bias**: BEARISH 🐻 **Preferred Setup**: Resistance rejection at 95.289 **Risk/Reward**: Minimum 1:2 **Timeframe**: Daily --- *Remember: The best trades come to those who wait. Let price come to your levels, don't chase!* **What's your view? Drop a comment below! 👇** *Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.* ---
Short
by ThulaniMtetwa
XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 XAU/USD – Bullish Trend Faces Resistance at $3,350 | Watch for Breakout or Pullback! 📅 Published on: Jul 01, 2025 ✍️ By: MR_MARK0 🧠 Market Context: Gold (XAU/USD) has been riding a strong bullish wave, pushing through multiple resistance levels. Currently, price is hovering just below the $3,350 resistance, which marks a critical level for either trend continuation or a potential pullback. Momentum remains in favor of buyers, but signs of exhaustion are beginning to surface. 🔍 Key Zones: 🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,350.0 – $3,352.5 🟢 Support Zone: $3,338.0 – $3,340.0 🟢 Demand Block: $3,310.0 – $3,315.0 (bullish base before recent breakout) 📌 Strategy in Play: The chart reflects a Trend Continuation Strategy with key support/resistance zones identified. Price has shown strength, but we are now at a make-or-break level. Patience is crucial here. 🧭 Trade Idea: 🔁 Buy the Dip: Entry Zone: $3,340 – $3,342 SL: Below $3,338 TP1: $3,352 TP2: $3,360 🔁 Breakout Play (Aggressive): Entry: On breakout above $3,352 with bullish volume SL: Below breakout candle low TP: $3,360 and $3,372 ⚠️ Risk Note: Price is extended; a fake breakout above $3,350 may trigger a bull trap. If price fails and drops below $3,338, expect a corrective move toward $3,330 – $3,310. Watch volume divergence and candle rejection patterns.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Resistance_King
4
USD/CAD: Momentum Turns South Again with Fed Cut Bets BuildingDownside risks flagged in a separate trade idea earlier this week finally materialised for USD/CAD, resulting in the initial target being achieved. With the price now trading marginally below those levels and momentum indicators still bearish, another short setup has presented itself. If USD/CAD continues to hold beneath 1.3650, shorts could be initiated below the level with a stop above for protection. The obvious target would be support at 1.3550, where the price bounced strongly in May. With market pricing for Fed rate cuts continuing to build, narrowing yield differentials between the United States and Canada, downside is also favoured from a fundamental perspective. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
DXY CRACK! BAD JUJU!After Trump unilaterally imposed Tariffs (Taxes) on its citizens to buy imported goods from the rest of the world, promising 90 deals in 90 days, "in two weeks", the demand for the dollar payment system has collapsed by -12% reducing purchasing power for all $ holders'. Imports of goods mean exporting $s to the rest of the world. As a world reserve currency (WRC), the US gets the benefit of seeing those $s invested back into the US. That creates demand for the $ payment system, and raises $ holders' purchasing power, reducing inflation. What else happens? A bit complicated but I will try to explain. High demand for $ means the US indirectly exports inflation. Meaning, more $ for the same amount of goods and services. However, as a WRC, the US is not really exporting inflation. That is a bit inaccurate bc the US payment system as a WRC is actually includes a lot more goods and services from the entire planet. This makes sense if you think about it. However only going one way, meaning as long as the demand from the world for our payment system, more $ required by the world reflect more goods and services. As such not inflationary. Now let's reverse it so you can see why it is not entirely accurate. Should the Global Economy (which is worth today about $100 trillion,) demand ever drop off. The $ value will collapse as people sell their $ holdings in exchange for other currencies. What you are seeing right now in this chart with a CRACK in it. The US GDP is currently about $30 trillion. There is no way! A $ payment system designed for a $100T economy can suddenly absorb all those $ in a $30T economy. Inflation would skyrocket as more and more $ chase the same amount of goods and services ($30T). This is not rocket science. This is basic 3rd-grade arithmetic! This CRACK! could be very bad JUJU! CAUTION is in order. Don't let normality bias fool you. No matter how you feel about Trump. It is irrelevant to basic arithmetic.
TVC:DXYShort
by RealMacro
10
Nasdaq 100 Near Breakout – Eyes on 22,200 ResistanceThe Nasdaq 100 is approaching a critical technical level at 22,200. This resistance marks the upper boundary of recent consolidation and aligns with prior rejection zones. A clean break above this threshold could trigger a sharp upside move, possibly propelling the index into uncharted territory. Geopolitical tensions have eased, and the dollar’s renewed weakness is supporting risk appetite, particularly in the tech-heavy Nasdaq. Strong earnings from key sectors are reinforcing bullish sentiment, with investors increasingly pricing in a favorable macro backdrop. Technically, momentum is building. Price action has formed a series of higher lows, and buying pressure is intensifying near resistance. A breakout above 22,200 could ignite a strong rally, driven by stop orders and fresh bullish entries. That said, traders should remain cautious. While the breakout setup is promising, a retracement toward support zones—such as 21,500 or the 20-day moving average—remains possible, especially if upcoming inflation or macro data disappoints. For now, the 22,200 level remains the key to watch. A daily close above this level would shift the bias clearly higher, confirming breakout strength and potentially accelerating gains toward 22,800 or beyond.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fwalbaum
EURUSD Short Part IIEURUSD Analysis On EURUSD daily chart from CMC Markets quota, indicates a bullish trend with a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. The price has recently broken above a key resistance level, suggesting potential for continued upward movement. Key Price Levels Current Price: 1.16932 Stop Loss (SL): 1.16549 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.12003 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.09318 Trend Analysis EURUSD shows clear signs on an ascending trend supported by higher lows and higher highs since early 2025. Both orange trend-lines which I created form a symmetrical triangle, with the price nearing the apex, hinting at a potential breakout or reversal which I have been looking for a reversal bearish breakout. The upward momentum is strong, but the proximity to the upper trend-line and set take-profit levels indicates preparation for a possible correction. I still believe in shorts on EURUSD. Conclusion Traders and investors should monitor the price action near the triangle apex for breakout confirmation. The set stop loss and take-profit levels provide a structured approach to managing the trade, balancing potential gains with risk mitigation. Stay tuned for more updates on the trade.
Short
by KingTraderFX
XAGUSD - Buy for RR1XAGUSD – Positioning for a Continuation Push 🚀 Silver's recent structure shows bulls defending the 35.5 region with conviction. After a healthy consolidation, price has reclaimed short-term momentum, eyeing a return to previous highs. I'm entering long from 36.147, expecting bullish continuation toward the next key resistance level. Entry: 36.147 Take Profit (TP): 37.0 Stop Loss (SL): 35.4 RR:1 Let’s see how price action unfolds — I’ll be watching closely for momentum confirmation. #XAGUSD #SILVER #MJTRADING #FOREX #SIGNALS
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSDLong
by MJElahifx
XAUUSD - 4H Breakout and Retest Setup🟡🟡🟡 🕒 June 17, 2025 Bias: Medium-Term Bullish Structure: Breakout → Retest → Continuation Context: Trendline break + confluence with EMA + prior resistance turned support 🔍 Market Structure Insight: Major descending trendline broken with strong impulsive momentum. Pullback held at the intersection of: Broken trendline retest EMA 60 dynamic support Bullish structure of HL-HH (Higher Low / Higher High) Strong bullish candle at support ✅ Trade Plan – Buy Stop Setup Entry (Buy Stop): 3402 SL: 3373 (below the pullback structure + EMAs) TP1: 3430 (local resistance area) TP2: 3470 (measured move from previous leg height) #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup #Forex #EMA #SqueezePlay #TrianglePattern #tradingview #MJTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by MJElahifx
4
Gold | 4h Structural LookoutPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD 📅 June 18, 2025 Chart Title: “Gold's Battle at the Midpoint – Compression Before Explosion” Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish Structure: Ranging with Bullish Channel ✳️ Technical Summary: Gold continues to coil near the upper half of its multi-month structure, testing traders’ patience before a potentially explosive move. Current PA is forming a tight consolidation right beneath mid-channel resistance, suggesting a directional breakout is imminent — especially with the FOMC catalyst ahead. 📏 Key Chart Features: Clear Rising Channel: Acting as medium-term trend guide Major Consolidation: Identified around 3,330–3,380 Historical Boxes & Reaction Lows: Multiple orange circles show clear buying interest zones Possible Long-Term Range: Defined between 3,123 and ATH zone (3,500) EMA Support: Price currently holding both 15 & 60 EMAs 📈 Scenarios to Watch: 🔼 Bullish Breakout Path: Trigger: Break and close above 3,400 Confirmation: Follow-through above consolidation +full body close TP1: 3,460 TP2: ATH retest around 3,500–3,540 SL: Below 3,320 or lower trendline Invalidation: Break below channel 🔽 Bearish Breakdown Path: Trigger: Breakdown below 3,325 support First Target: 3,250 Expansion Target: 3,123 – base of the macro range Extreme Bear Target: 3,000 zone SL: Above 3,400 Consolidation Zoom in: #Xauusd #Gold #Trading #MJtrading #forex #Chart #chartanalysis #signal #freesignal
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound?USDCAD 17/06 – Oil Rises, Canadian Yields Surge: Can USD/CAD Rebound? After a significant drop to the 1.355x area, USD/CAD is showing early signs of recovery. However, the pair remains influenced by strong macro headwinds—particularly oil prices and Canadian monetary policy signals. 🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview WTI crude oil is rising due to ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran, which increase the risk of global supply disruptions. This supports the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a commodity-linked currency. Canada’s 10-year bond yields have reached their highest levels in 5 months (~3.4%), reinforcing expectations that the BoC may remain hawkish in the near term. USD weakens slightly as traders await more clarity from the Federal Reserve about the next rate cut timeline, potentially in Q3. 📊 Technical Analysis (M30 Chart) Price is printing higher lows above the key trendline. EMAs 13–34–89 are tightening → sign of sideways pressure before breakout. Short-term bullish channel still intact. Key resistance zones: 1.3581 and 1.3605. 🎯 Trade Setup Scenarios 📈 Long Scenario Entry: 1.3556 – 1.3560 (trendline bounce) Stop Loss: 1.3535 Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3605 ✅ Wait for M30/H1 confirmation like bullish engulfing or price-action breakout. 📉 Short Scenario Entry: 1.3605 (if price rejects resistance) Stop Loss: 1.3630 Take Profits: 1.3581 → 1.3556 ⚠️ Trigger only on bearish rejection with strong candle and volume at resistance. 📌 Strategic Outlook USD/CAD is caught in a tug-of-war: stronger Canadian fundamentals (oil + yields) vs. cautious USD movement post-FOMC. If oil prices and Canadian yields continue to climb, CAD may remain in favor. However, short-term technical rebounds toward 1.3600 remain valid if price structure holds.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Sell Limit Setup above 2025 High📉 AUD/USD – 2H Chart Analysis 🕒 Published: June 16, 2025 | TF: 2H 🔔 Trade Idea: 2x Sell Limit at Key Resistance Zone 🔹 Market Context: Price is trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern (marked by the white and blue trendlines). Current rally retraced aggressively toward upper wedge resistance (2025 High), an area that has repeatedly capped bullish momentum. Price approaching previous supply zone. 🔻 Sell Limit Setup 1 Entry: 0.65400 SL: 0.6584 TP: 0.6503 R:R ≈ 1 ➕ Fades rally into resistance ➕ Aligns with EMA structure and intraday exhaustion 🔻 Sell Limit Setup 2 Entry: 0.6550 SL: 0.6584 TP: 0.6499 R:R ≈ 2 ➕ Higher entry into wick zone (liquidity trap) ➕ Potential false breakout above structure ➕ SL above key swing high = cleaner invalidation ⚠️ Aggressive short: smaller SL, better RR
Short
by MJElahifx
1
Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout?USDJPY 17/06 – Squeeze in Progress: Will BOJ Trigger the Next Breakout? The USDJPY pair is currently consolidating just below the key 144.650 resistance, stuck within a tightening triangle structure. As markets await more clarity from both the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the Fed, price action is showing signs of indecision — but pressure is building. 🌐 Macro & Sentiment Overview BOJ maintains a neutral stance: Despite growing speculation of a hawkish shift, the BOJ held rates steady, providing no strong forward guidance. Markets remain cautious. US Dollar remains resilient amid stable bond yields and expectations that the Fed may delay rate cuts, adding short-term support to USDJPY. Geopolitical risk is on the rise: Ongoing Middle East tensions are fueling safe-haven demand for JPY, capping bullish momentum. 🔍 Technical Setup (M30 Chart) Price is trapped inside a symmetrical triangle, tightening between 144.652 resistance and 143.126 support. EMA 13/34/89 are aligned bullishly, but EMA 200 (red) is acting as a dynamic ceiling near 144.300. Key support zones: 144.071: Minor structural level and trendline test. 143.126: Major liquidity zone and untested demand. 🎯 Trade Scenarios 📉 Scenario 1 – Sell on Rejection at 144.652 Entry: 144.650–144.700 Stop Loss: 145.250 Take Profit: 144.071 → 143.600 → 143.126 Ideal if BOJ shifts tone or USD weakens post-Fed comments. 📈 Scenario 2 – Buy on Bullish Reaction at 143.126 Entry: 143.100–143.150 Stop Loss: 142.700 Take Profit: 143.600 → 144.071 → 144.650 → 145.200 Valid only with clear bullish confirmation on M15–M30 structure. 🧠 Final Thoughts USDJPY is coiling tightly ahead of a potential breakout. Macro uncertainty from central banks, geopolitical instability, and upcoming CPI data make this week highly volatile. Instead of chasing, let price come to your zones and react accordingly. 🔔 Focus on structure, confirm with price action, and avoid emotional trades. Patience and discipline are key in this compression phase.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
EURJPY Breaks Out From Major Zone, Eyes Higher LevelsEURJPY Update, structure remains bullish The pair has officially broken above a key resistance zone, showing solid bullish intent. This breakout is even more meaningful when you look at how price has been consistently supported by the long-term rising trendline. Every time price touched this trendline, it bounced with strength — and this time is no different. The recent move suggests that buyers are firmly in control, and with the structure now pushing above resistance, momentum could continue to build. As long as EURJPY holds above this breakout zone, the path of least resistance is to the upside. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
AUDUSD Coiling Near Key Resistance, Big Move Ahead?After a long period of sideways chop, AUD/USD is finally showing signs of strength. Price has been pressing against the key resistance zone, and we’re now seeing a tightening wedge breakout structure forming just beneath it. A key moment on the chart is where sellers got trapped during that sharp downside wick. Since then, price has been recovering in a steady, controlled manner. Now, with higher lows forming and momentum building near resistance, a parabolic move could be on the horizon if price manages to break out cleanly. This is a classic setup where patience could pay off, the structure is bullish, and breakout confirmation may unlock strong upside potential. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
GBPJPY Hello traders, I'd like to share the first trade of the day with you. The setup is a Buy trade on the GBPJPY pair. Today is the last trading day of the week and we have major economic events on the calendar, including: 🔹 Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) 🔹 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 🔹 Unemployment Rate So it's wise to remain cautious while executing trades today. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1(me) /1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 195.054 ✔️ Take Profit: 195.403 ✔️ Stop Loss: 194.985 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT