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EUR/USD Analysis Update: Impact of Election OutcomesIn light of recent developments, particularly the election victory of Republican candidate Donald Trump, market sentiment has shifted significantly. As anticipated in my previous analysis, this outcome has fueled optimism, contributing to a further decline of the EUR/USD pair by over 130 pips. The so-called "Trump trade" continues to support the strength of the USD, as the Republican sweep of both the House and Senate clears the way for the implementation of Trump's policy agenda. From a foreign exchange perspective, this is likely to result in increased fiscal spending, tariffs, and tighter immigration rules. These factors are expected to sustain the DXY (Dollar Index), along with upward inflation pressures that could keep interest rates higher than previously projected. From a technical standpoint, the bearish trend remains firmly in place across all timeframes: Daily (D1) Chart: The price action recently broke below the lower boundary of a two-year-old neutral rectangle at approximately 1.0670. This breakout signals further downside potential, with the next key support level at 1.0500, which I expect to be tested by the end of the year. Weekly (W1) Chart: The price action failed to break below the important support level 1.0640. If this level is breached, the next support at 1.0450 comes into play, indicating the potential for further declines. Monthly (1M) Chart: Notably, an interesting pattern emerges from historical performance in the last three months of election years. In years when a Democratic candidate won (2012, 2020), the EUR/USD recorded an approximate rise of 4.8%. Conversely, during Donald Trump’s first presidency in 2016, the EUR/USD fell by 4.6% during the same period. If this pattern holds for the October-December timeframe of 2024, we could see the EUR/USD reach levels as low as 1.0425 before a potential correction at the beginning of 2025. As you've likely heard many times recently - the next few weeks will be critical - in determining whether these levels hold or if we see a more significant breakdown.
Short
by XAUBanker
SasanSeifi| Where is the Next Support?Hey there, ✌ In the 10-hour timeframe, the Dow Jones Index has been correcting from the 43,300 price range. With a structural break around the 42,700 to 42,500 zone, the price entered a corrective phase, reaching down to 41,700. Currently, it is trading around 42,000. The general outlook leans more towards a bearish scenario. One potential scenario is that after some slight upward fluctuations or sideways movement, if the 42,500 supply zone doesn’t break, we may see further correction to lower levels around 41,400 and 41,300. Following this, a range-bound movement is possible upon reaching these levels. Should there be a correction in the price trend, it’s important to watch the price reactions in these zones to better understand the continuation of the movement. Additionally, if demand picks up and the critical 42,500 level breaks and holds, we could see a further price rise toward the 42,700 and 43,000 levels. 💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
UShort
by SasanSeifi
USDCAD Sell Short (Final)I have been analyzing USDCAD for a while now and I believe this is the time for a double top to be formed and that M formation shall be taking place like the previous W pattern USDCAD has built up. As seen in the chart, USDCAD touched for a double bottom at 1.34213 which I predict that we shall be lead to that level again. USDCAD has far too long rallied and we should all be shorting this very top to make all our profits again. Rinse, repeat, and learn from these lessons in trading. I also wanted point out that in our analysis we have highlighted where previous support and resistances have broke out and lead to new higher highs and now lower lows when we come back down from this entry at 1.38973 I hope you all enjoyed our analysis! We also have included TP and SL in the chart and please follow our page for more signals like these! If you have any questions about this trade please send me a direct message and I will respond swiftly. Thanks for stopping by!
Short
by KingTraderFX
3
SasanSeifi| Will It Break Above the $2685 High?Hey there, ✌ In the daily timeframe, as seen on the chart OANDA:XAUUSD , gold's price started an upward movement from the $2300 range and reached a new all-time high (ATH) around $2685. After hitting this peak, the price entered a consolidation phase with a slight pullback that extended to the $2600 area. Currently, we see that the price has rebounded from the $2600 level due to increased demand, pushing it higher towards $2,657. The medium- and long-term outlook leans towards further upward movement, with potential targets at $2700, $2725, $2750, $2790, and $2,800. In the daily timeframe, maintaining the support range between $2600 and $2570 is crucial for sustaining the bullish trend. A likely scenario is that if the price stabilizes above $2660 and $2675, it could break the previous high and move toward the mentioned targets, as illustrated in the chart. To gain a better understanding of the future trend, it's important to monitor how the price performs in the early days of the market. Additionally, if bullish momentum weakens and confirmations appear in lower timeframes, there could be a chance of range-bound movement or a retracement towards the support levels. This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SasanSeifi
"EUR/USD Approaching Critical Support1. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance: The price has previously faced resistance near 1.10409 and 1.09127 (marked by horizontal purple lines). The recent peak suggests that 1.10409 is a strong resistance level where sellers may exert pressure. Support: The price has bounced around the 1.07532 level, which acts as a key support zone. This level aligns with the trendline support, making it a crucial area for potential bullish reversals. 2. Descending Triangle Pattern The chart shows a descending triangle pattern, formed by the downward-sloping resistance line and the trendline support. This setup typically indicates bearish momentum, where a breakdown below the support could lead to further downside movement. 3. Moving Averages Multiple moving averages (e.g., 20, 50, and 100-day) are visible, showing a recent bearish crossover. The price currently trades below these averages, hinting at continued bearish sentiment. 4. Volume Analysis Recent volume bars suggest higher selling pressure, especially as the price approaches the support region. Increased volume during a breakdown could confirm further bearish action. 5. Potential Scenarios Bearish Breakdown: A close below the 1.07532 level, accompanied by strong volume, could lead to a continuation of the downtrend, possibly targeting the next support zone around 1.06500. Bullish Reversal : If buyers step in at 1.07532 and the price rebounds, a move towards 1.09127 could be possible. Summary This EUR/USD chart hints at a bearish bias as it approaches a significant support level. Traders may look for a confirmation of direction, as a breakdown could signal further declines, while a reversal at support might lead to a short-term rally. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes and not financial advice.
by AngshumanSaikia
SasanSeifi| Key Levels to Watch in the 4-Hour TimeframeHey there, ✌ In the 4-hour timeframe, as observed on the chart OANDA:XAUUSD , gold's price has seen a minor rise after reaching the $2,600 level and is currently trading around $2,657. In the short-term outlook, one possible scenario is that after encountering the $2,668 supply zone, the price may enter a consolidation phase, with a slight pullback toward the $2,650 and $2,646 levels. If we receive the necessary confirmation signals at this stage, we could potentially see a price rebound and continuation of the upward trend. To maintain this upward momentum, holding the support levels between $2,646 and $2,640 is crucial. In case of further correction, it’s essential to monitor the price’s reaction to these support zones. If the price finds support at these levels, a new upward move towards the mentioned targets could start. However, if these supports fail, there is a possibility of prolonged consolidation or even a further price decline. On the other hand, if sufficient buying pressure emerges and the price manages to stabilize above $2,670 and $2,675, the chances of further growth towards targets like $2,700, $2,710, and $2,720 will increase. This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SasanSeifi
4