US500 - SWING SHORT ideaPrice made a false breakout of the previous week high with a strong bearish reaction. Also, the start of the new week will probably be manipulation with distribution lower.
A great sign of weakness is when the new week candle open, makes a false run on one side with a a sweep of liquidity (many traders are trapped), and then distributes on the true side.
Fxtrading
XAGUSD - SWING SHORT idea Price made a false breakout of the previous week high with a strong bearish reaction. Also, the start of the new week will probably be manipulation with distribution lower.
A great sign of weakness is when the new week candle open, makes a false run on one side with a a sweep of liquidity (many traders are trapped), and then distributes on the true side.
SasanSeifi|GBP/USD on the rise?Hey there, Upon reviewing the FX:GBPUSD chart from a mid-to-long term perspective, the trend still leans towards the bullish side, with medium-to-long term targets potentially lying within the 1.32 to 1.33 range. Currently, on the 4-hour timeframe, the price is trading around the 1.30300 level.
Possible Scenarios:
In the current situation, if the price continues to be supported by strong demand and breaks above 1.30600 with confirmation, short-term targets of 1.31 to 1.31400 could be in sight. This could lead to the formation of a new high above the 1.30500 level.
To better understand the continuation of this trend, it is crucial to monitor how the price reacts to these short-term targets. Should the price encounter resistance and fail to hold above 1.30600, we might see a pullback to the levels of 1.29700, 1.29500, or even 1.29.
💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions!
Happy trading!✌😎
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
Trade idea - AUDCAD Long4H
Bullish impulse: indication.
Pattern within pattern: confirmation.
Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern + Bullish Fake Out flag pattern.
Clear support & resistance zone is there.
-68 Fibonacci completion aligning with entry zone.
Corrective approach towards entry zone.
= Buy limit.
1% risk.
RBA Gov Bullock speaks at 1.30 AM. Be aware.
$AUDNZD TAKES A DUMP [SELL] INTO MARKET CLOSE.Much-needed price correction for the pair after strong deviation. Expecting the midline between 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels. I’ve gathered at least five confirmations on four different higher time frames, with smaller time frames only confirming further. ¡Buena suerte, mi gente!
Weekend Russia-Ukraine Update for Natural Gas Traders in FX MarkHey everyone,
I wanted to share some important updates with you regarding recent developments that could significantly impact our natural gas trades. In the past few days, Ukraine's attack on the Sudzha gas transfer station in Russia's Kursk region has raised some serious concerns. As you know, the Sudzha station is a critical point for gas flow from Russia to Europe, and any disruption here could directly affect our natural gas trading. It's something we all need to keep a close eye on.
To give you some context, Gazprom supplied approximately 14.9 billion cubic meters (bcm) of gas through Sudzha in 2023. This volume accounts for about 4.5% of the EU's annual consumption and nearly half of all Russian gas exports to Europe. Since the beginning of the year, the daily gas flow through this station has remained above 40 million cubic meters. These numbers highlight just how vital Sudzha is for European gas supply.
The main function of the Sudzha gas metering station is to record gas consumption and measure the quality indicators of the gas. The gas flow is measured using two primary methods: variable pressure drop and the more precise ultrasonic method, which measures the propagation speed of ultrasonic waves in the gas flow. The station is equipped with converters, pressure and temperature sensors, shut-off valves, and other equipment essential for accurate gas flow measurement.
In addition, the station features an automated control system that collects, processes, and transmits data on gas parameters. This system is responsible for overseeing the operation process and maintaining accurate records. If there’s an issue at the station, not only would the gas flow be disrupted, but tracking the quality and quantity of the gas would also become much more difficult.
Given these details, it’s crucial for us to closely monitor what's happening in the gas markets and adjust our strategies accordingly. As uncertainty increases, so do the potential risks and opportunities, so I strongly advise you to carefully set your stops in your trades.
Wishing you all a profitable week ahead!
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGAS
BOJ capitulates spectacularly Shinichi Uchida, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), says the bank won’t hike interest rates when markets are unstable, delivering a clear message on what traders need to do to prevent them doing so again: create volatility.
It’s an amazing statement, signalling the BOJ can and will be bullied by markets to avoid doing what is right for the Japanese economy. It’s an incredibly dovish admission, giving traders the green light to re-establish carry trades until the BOJ starts making noise about hiking rates again, or we see a major global economic downturn.
The Yen is tumbling understandably.
Adding to the dovish surprise, Uchida said the BOJ must maintain the degree of monetary easing for now and suggested the BOJ would not be behind the curve if it didn’t usher through rate hikes “at pace”.
It’s a capitulation of the grandest scale, undoubtedly orchestrated to restore calm to financial markets. It was only just over a week ago the BPOJ hiked more than expected and provided a hawkish outlook on the monetary policy outlook.
USD/JPY surges as carry trades established
USD/JPY has surged back above resistance at 146.50 on Uchida’s remarks, putting a potential retest of the January 2023 uptrend in play. The formation is also yet to be completed, but the three-candle pattern looks like a morning star, adding to confidence that we may have seen the cyclical bottom.
Should the price manage to remain above 146.50, consider buying with a stop below the level for protection. The intersection of the former uptrend and horizontal resistance at 148.80 is one potential trade target. Should that go, 149.70, 150.90 and 151.95 are the next upside levels of note.
The downtrend in RSI (14) has been broken, signalling downside momentum may be ebbing. It has yet to be confirmed by MACD but looks trustworthy given the speed of the rebound.
It’s not just bottoming patterns being seen in USD/JPY but also other pairs such as EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY.
-- Written by David Scutt