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BTCUSDT Fresh Short Setup: Targeting Key Support Zones with SMC Description: This trade setup presents a Bitcoin short opportunity on the 4H timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. After a significant reaction from the supply zone, Bitcoin's price structure aligns with bearish confluences, signaling potential downside. Additionally, external events, such as the recent announcement of China's AI application "DeepSeek," may have amplified market volatility, further supporting the setup. Trade Setup: Entry: Between 103,300 and 104,500 Take-Profit Levels (TP): 101,897 99,825 97,565 95,208 Stop Loss (SL): Above 105,975 Analysis and Confluences: Market Structure: Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H timeframe, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Supply Zone: The price is entering the 103.3k–104.5k supply zone, a key resistance area where sellers are expected to dominate. Fibonacci Confluence: This zone overlaps with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, a high-probability reversal area. Liquidity Sweeps: Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, leaving the path clear for potential downside. Bearish Targets: The targets align with previous demand zones and liquidity pools at 101,897, 99,825, 97,565, and 95,208. Trade Plan: Confirmation: Wait for bearish price action signals or smaller timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) within the supply zone before entering. Risk Management: Adjust position size to keep risk within acceptable levels. After reaching TP1, move your stop loss to breakeven and secure partial profits. Final Note: While bearish bias dominates, unexpected macroeconomic events can cause reversals, so use tight risk management.
Short
by CryptoTrustCapital
1
US DEBT Outpacing Private Credit 2 to 1Money has been around for over 10,000 years! Money is a derivative of private sector(PS) asset/labor producing. Money is not a derivative of Gov Gov borrowing money from the PS with interest to buy money without interest is a recipe for economic disaster. Gov spending currently is over 40% of GDP annually. It used to be under 10% Gov debt benefits the few while socializing those liabilities onto the backs of the many. The many will not realize this is happening until it is too late. The few will sell their bonds, take their money, and move it overseas, collapsing the currency's value, and leaving the many to pay for the debt with taxation, austerity and inflation. (even hyperinflation) The more Gov borrows to deficit spends the more it has to deficit the closer we get to the point of no return. That's what this chart is showing you. The direction we are heading.
FRED:TOTBKCRLong
by RealMacro
Traders MindsetLet’s talk about mindset! You hear everyone saying; mindset is the most important in trading. But what is having “the right mindset” ? Now here is a little secret. Mindset is not just being focused on the money. “I must be profitable”. No. Having the right mindset is having a set of attitudes. Quite literally the definition.. Mindset /ˈmʌɪn(d)sɛt/ noun (usually in singular) the established set of attitudes held by someone. How you approach the market is very important. Have a set of rules for yourself. - Do I have a trading plan? Having a trading plan is important. It helps you follow something day in and day out. - Do I have good market conditions? Having good market conditions is important as it helps you make more clear decisions. Trading in sideways markets usually ends badly. It forces the trader to become impatient and entering too soon, expecting a breakout to either side usually leads to loses. - Do I know the risk? Understanding the risk before you enter the trade is important. Majority of traders over-leverage, meaning they use high leverage thus being able to open higher lot size positions. That usually leads to blown accounts. Knowing what you are risking, eliminates a lot of the emotions. - Do I have any confirmations? Whether that’s a break, a pullback, fundamentals supporting your view that’s great! Having confirmations on your analysis or trade is important. - Is this trade forced? Am I being nervous before entering? Am I not sure? Am I gambling on this trade? Understanding your emotions is important. Ever felt like this when you opened a trade, knowing you shouldn’t and it instantly went against you? Avoid these trades. One more thing I would like to add. Ever been stuck to your screen 24/7? Lost sleep over a trade. Here is a fact. You watching the chart, won’t change its path. Sad truth. There is nothing wrong with following your trade, but if you are watching your losing trade, then I already know where it leads. You do too. Avoid this. Going back to the #1 rule. Know your risk before entering. Eliminate emotions. Having the right mindset is following your own rules and having a set of habits. Habits that help you to grow as a trader. Eliminate bad habits. Review your past trades. You all know why you lost a trade. But will you look for an excuse? “Ah the market did a liquidity sweep” or “market is manipulated”. The market is never wrong. You as a trader are. Don’t celebrate wins or mourn loses on your account. Treat it as your full time job. You have some good days, you have some bad days. You win, you move on. You lose, you move on. As long as you are following the trading plan, you will succeed. Understanding this, combined with experience will grow you as a trader. And guess what the by product of this is? Money. So don’t focus on money. Focus on self-growth, mindset, experience and upgrading your skillset of trading. Money will be the byproduct of your journey. Create your mindset plan. A set of rules for yourself. Try doing it for 30 days. Come back to this post and tell us if you have improved. Nothing or no one is stopping you from being a successful trader but yourself. It’s not the market and no it’s not the broker. Majority of traders quit after blowing a few accounts. The rest stick around for years but make no progress. Only a few % of them actually find the meaning behind it and succeed. What’s the secret? Signals? Prop Firms? Account managers? EA’s? No. Sure all these things can benefit you slightly. But what truly is the secret to being successful in trading? You! You are the secret. Understanding yourself, your emotions, your reactions to certain events. Trading is a mirror of you. An amplified picture of you. Are you impatient? Scared? Nervous? Greedy? Forex will amplify those emotions. The biggest battle you have to win is the battle with yourself. Not the market. Trading is easy, you have a trading plan, you stick to it. Sometimes you may have a loosing week, happens right? But as long as you are sticking to your strategy, understanding the market, using a positive R:R and understanding the importance of consistency you should be fine. But here is the hard part. Your reactions. Your emotions. Let’s take for example NFP Data release. Weeks or even months of progress can be wiped out due to irrational decisions during news. Don’t be that trader. Suppress your emotions, don’t get greedy. Take a jab at the market, but only after the data is out. Remember, no one is stopping you from being a successful trader, but yourself. A key element added to a traders mindset is PATIENCE . patience /ˈpeɪʃns/ (noun) - the capacity to accept or tolerate delay, problems, or suffering without becoming annoyed or anxious. That’s the definition of patience. Trading is a stressful field. Not only does your analysis have to be on point, you have to be focused, have a trading plan, use proper risk to reward ratio… so many factors and then comes the patience. We already know that the market always provides unexpected problems. It plays with our emotions, ranges, does not move, goes against us etc. How many times have you entered in a position and the price started to range, while you float in loss? You start doubting, you get scared and you close the position. Or even worse, you get stopped out. Later in the day you check the chart and you see your Take Profit (TP) would have been hit, but only if you were more patient? Or how many times have you had an A+ setup, everything was going to plan but you closed it early because you wanted to secure the profit? Being a good trader is hard, but it’s not impossible. Discipline is everything as well as patience. Without patience you are bound to lose. From talking to many people, you would be surprised at how many of them want to “flip” their account. “Do you think I can make 2000$ this week” with 1000$ in their account. We will always advocate for patience. Playing the long game. Consistency + patience will get you far. Check some of the last trades you did. Were you patient? Ask yourself. Majority can find themselves in these stories. Work on your patience, and you will get far. For example, check out this long-term analysis on XAUUSD (Gold) posted on January 9th. Now we did close it earlier, but we still managed to secure +500 pips (50$ price action) in 3 days of holding. Patience. This post was made due to a high request of people liking our minds, so it has all been posted in a single educational post. FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by FxPocket
1
BONK/USDT: BIG MOVE Incoming (stay tuned)BONK/USDT: 24-Hour Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Market Overview (Current Price $0.00003269): - BONK/USDT is trading above the entry price of $0.00002295, awaiting entry as it retraces from recent highs. - The token is riding on speculative interest, fuelled by increased activity in meme and low-cap altcoins. Technical Overview: - Support Levels: $0.00002295 (Entry), $0.00001135 (Stop-Loss) - Resistance Levels: $0.00006132 (TP1), $0.00013343 (TP2) - Indicators: MACD shows decreasing bullish momentum as the price consolidates, while RSI is in a neutral zone, leaving room for further moves. Fundamental Catalysts: - Community Sentiment: BONK is gaining traction as a meme coin, with a vibrant social media presence driving speculative interest. - Liquidity: Trading volumes remain elevated, providing opportunities for significant price movement once the entry is triggered. - Market Context: Broader crypto market sentiment remains positive, favouring meme tokens and low-cap projects like BONK. Scenario Planning: - Bullish Scenario: If BONK reclaims momentum, it could trigger entry at $0.00002295 and move toward TP1 ($0.00006132) and TP2 ($0.00013343) over time. - **Risk Scenario:** A breakdown below key support levels or broader market corrections could lead to a stop-out at $0.00001135. Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $0.00002295 (Awaiting Entry) - Stop-Loss: $0.00001135 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $0.00006132 - TP2: $0.00013343 When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All! **Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.
Long
by SiriusTrading
2
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription: This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan: Analysis: Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Zones and Liquidity: Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance. Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity. Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower. Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend. Confluences for Short Entry: Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point. The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control. Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias. Trade Plan: Short Entry Setup: Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone). Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs). Take Profit Levels: TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level. TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity. TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward. Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling. Additional Notes: Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character). Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision. Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Short
by CryptoTrustCapital
2
DXY SINGLING DANGER!Any Time The Dollar Gets In This Range Bad Things Happen! With the exception of the 2008 GFC which confirmed we have entered Debt Deflation (Meaning the Gov will need to borrow more and more, faster and faster without any benefit to the real economy). A strong dollar is signaling something very bad is coming. Gun to head I would guess something like an Asian Currency Crisis. Russian ruble & economic collapse is now a certainty! Russia has lost the war no matter what they are trying to do on the battlefield it is irrelevant as the economy is now suffering from Dutch Disease. (So Much for the BRICS fantasy!) Most Americans believe a strong dollar is good. They are wrong. Here are a few things to know about a strong US Dollar. 1. A strong dollar weakens exports, costing American jobs as everything America made becomes more expensive to the rest of the world. 2. US Imports increase as everything internationally made becomes cheaper. 3. Acquiring USD as foreign reserves becomes much more difficult and expensive. As exporters to the US have to produce more for less $s. 4. US investment in international currency collapses, forcing inflation, rates higher making borrowing/investment in foreign economies weaker. Leading to a snowball effect. 5. Commodities are traded in USD. As such energy/food to many poor nations will become a problem as they are net importers with already limited access to NYSE:S it will be magnified. 6. Finally (I could go on but I won't you get the point) when everyone leans on one side of the boat it capsizes. Meaning when everyone is running to invest in the US & the dollar. Techanically how high can the USD go? -120 is likely. (hopefully not much more) -Longer term if things get bad enough it can break all-time highs of 165 as we have this massive bottoming inverse HEAD & SHOULDERS in place. CARNAGE! - What I hope will happen is that it hits previous recent highs of 115 and that will be it for the upside. HOWEVER! We do have a rising structure that needs to be corrected. As such when it does correct there is a good possibility it tests previous lows. For now, if you live in the US. enjoy dollar strength and think about how much worse inflation would have been if the $ was weakening. ))
TVC:DXYLong
by RealMacro
$BTC Long long term Short Short term seems like its following VHi all how are we!? hope spirit are well stay strong! This is update to my first of this idea the same idea I posted at the line it started. Its slowly moving to a LL Low low currently shaping a HL high low. When it swaps into a LH Low High that is confirmation of bullish sentiment between the LL nd HL. Basically a prime time to buy if other signals and analytics tell you to make a buy/long position. Never go of what I or anyone in Ideas say ALONE.. or reddit soil even Bloomberg or Forbes.. Anyway share your input o we can all learn more and grow as the Bitcoin Community!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk
1
USDJPY Analysis Here's a bullish channel setup on USDJPY! The pair is respecting the ascending trendline, and we’re seeing signs of potential upside movement. 🚀 🎯 Targets: Take Profit 1: 158.451 Take Profit 2: 158.825 Take Profit 3: 159.154 📉 Stop Loss: 157.582 (below the channel support). The pair is currently trading near the channel’s lower boundary, offering a great risk-to-reward ratio. Keep an eye on this one—it could deliver solid gains! 💰 Let’s see how this plays out! 💹
Long
by Charts_M7M
$BITF - Bottom In?Hello Friends, For those of you looking to capitalize on NASDAQ:BITF you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time. Posting a fresh idea here for NASDAQ:BITF now that the bottom should be in. Keeping with the Bullish narrative of CRYPTOCAP:BTC we can assume NASDAQ:BITF will once again see another projection higher back to its 2024 ATH (All Time High) of $3.91. I will post further Exit/ TP objective as we see NASDAQ:BITF move out of its current consolidation.
NASDAQ:BITFLong
by WolfAdams
[Education] Why You Can't Break Free From Get-Rich-Quick TrapYou already know the get-rich-quick mindset is killing your trading career. You read the books. You understand that consistent profits come from proper risk management and patience. Yet somehow, you still find yourself hoping for that one trade that will change everything. I understand that feeling. I spent 5 years trapped in this cycle. Let me share something embarrassing. I was previously managing a $200,000 funded account. My strategy was making a consistent 1-2% monthly. I got greedy. I saw a "perfect" setup and decided to risk 5% instead of my usual 1%. "Just this once. This setup is different.” That one decision wiped out my profits and I lost that account in a single trade. The Psychology Behind Our Self-Sabotage Here's what makes this mindset so dangerous. We can intellectually understand it's wrong while emotionally believing we're the exception. It's like knowing fast food is unhealthy but convincing yourself that this one burger won't hurt. The truth is our brain is wired for quick rewards. Whenever we see those trading “gurus” posting screenshots of their profits, or a picture of them partying, driving sports car, and flying first class, we can sense that they are fake. However, our emotional brain lights up with possibility. "What if it's real? What if we're missing out?" This creates an internal battle in our mind. We know we should focus on consistent execution and proper risk management. We have to play the long game. But our emotional side keeps whispering, "Just one big trade. Just this once." The Hidden Influence of Social Media We're surrounded by images of instant success. Traders posting five-figure profit days. Twenty-somethings with Lamborghinis claiming they made it trading crypto. Even though we know these are likely fake or cherry-picked results, they affect us more than we realize. I remember sitting at my desk when I was in my audit job, scrolling through trading contents on Instagram during lunch breaks. Every post showed massive profits. Nobody was posting their losses, their blown accounts, or their struggles. This created an unrealistic benchmark in my mind. My 2% monthly gain felt insignificant compared to these supposed overnight millionaires. This distorted perspective leads to a dangerous form of self-sabotage. We start taking larger risks, not because our strategy dictates it, but because our normal profits feel "too small" compared to what we see online. We “need” more profits. The Compound Effect of Impatience The most insidious part of the get-rich-quick mindset isn't that it makes us take bigger risks. It's that it makes us unable to appreciate the power of compound growth. Let me show you what I mean. When I first started trading properly, I was making about 3% per month on a $10,000 account. That's $300 a month. It felt painfully slow. I kept thinking, "At this rate, it'll take forever to reach my goals." But here's what I didn't understand then. Consistent 3% monthly returns, when compounded, turn $10,000 into $43,891 in five years. In ten years, that becomes $192,577. Add in regular deposits from your salary, and the numbers become even more impressive. Instead of appreciating this mathematical certainty, we chase the fantasy of turning $10,000 into $100,000 in a month. The irony? This pursuit of faster growth usually leads to account blow-ups that set us back years. The Real Cost of "Just This Once" We all know the phrase "just this once" is trading's version of "one last drink". It's never just once. Each time we break our rules and survive, or worse, profit, we reinforce the behavior. Our brain logs it as a successful strategy, making it harder to stick to proper risk management in the future. I learned this lesson the hard way with prop firm challenges. I'd be up 5%, nearly passing the challenge, and then decide to take a larger position to "speed things up." Almost every time, this decision led to failing the challenge. What's worse, even when it worked, it reinforced bad habits that would eventually cost me more money. Breaking Free From The Cycle The solution isn't just knowing better. You already know better. The solution is building systems that make it impossible to act on these impulses. When I finally became consistent, it wasn't because I found better self-control. It was because I removed my ability to make emotional decisions. I created rules that were specific and inflexible: My position sizing is calculated before the market opens. No adjustments are allowed during trading hours. Every trade must be pre-planned with exact entry, stop loss, and target levels. No deviation from my trading plan is allowed. I only opened my trading platform during specific hours that I’m allowed to trade. These rules might seem extreme, but they protect me from myself. They make it impossible to act on those "just this once" impulses that we all feel. The Professional's Perspective Want to know what real professional trading looks like? It's boring. Mind-numbingly boring. I now manage multiple six-figure funded accounts, and most of my trading days are completely uneventful. I take 2-3 trades per week. Each risk is exactly 1% of my account. My average winner makes 2R. Some months I make 5%. Some months I make 1%. Some months I lose money. But over time, the consistency compounds. This is what trading success actually looks like. No excitement. No massive winning days to screenshot. Just steady, consistent execution of a proven process. Embracing The Slow Path The hardest part isn't learning to trade properly. It's learning to be satisfied with "boring" profits. It's learning to celebrate a 2R winner instead of feeling disappointed it wasn't 10R. It's learning to find pride in perfect execution rather than profit size. This shift requires a complete redefinition of trading success. Instead of measuring success by profit, measure it by how well you followed your rules. Instead of comparing your returns to Instagram traders, compare them to bank interest rates or index funds. The Path Forward You already know the get-rich-quick mindset is destructive. The question is: Are you ready to embrace the boring path to success? This means accepting that: Your first year of proper trading might only make you a few thousand dollars. You'll have to watch other traders post bigger profits than you (real or fake). Some days you'll do absolutely nothing but watch setups fail to materialize. Success will come so gradually you might not even notice it at first. The choice is yours: Continue fighting this battle alone, or get the support you need to finally break free.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
Bayer AG Analysis: Growth Potential and Positive Buying SentimenThe history of Bayer AG shares goes through many key moments and events: Foundation and early years: Bayer was founded in 1863 by Friedrich Bayer and Johann Wagner in Germany. The company initially dealt with the production of chemicals and textile dyes. Development of aspirin: In 1897, Bayer synthesized aspirin, which became one of the most recognizable drugs in the world. This is considered one of the key moments that established the profile of the company. World War I: During World War I, most of Bayer's assets were confiscated by the Allies, and the company was forced to reorganize. World War II and post-war period: Bayer, like many German companies, went through significant changes after World War II. A few years later, Bayer joined the newly formed chemical group "Fritz Haber" and focused on innovation. Diversification and Growth: In the 1970s and 1980s, the company began to diversify into areas such as pharmaceuticals, agronomy, and biotechnology. Acquisitions and New Products: Bayer AG acquired companies that strengthened its portfolio, including Monsanto in 2018, which provided significant advances in agronomy. Recent Challenges: In recent years, the company has faced legal challenges and disputes related to its products, particularly glyphosate, the active ingredient in Roundup. Key Points Oakmark International fund manager David Herro sees growth potential for Bayer. The company's agricultural cycle is showing signs of bottoming out. Bayer AG operates in three main segments: Crop Science, Pharmaceuticals, and Consumer Health. The Crop Science segment focuses on sustainable agriculture through seeds and crop protection. The Pharmaceuticals segment offers prescription products, particularly in the areas of cardiology and women's health. The Consumer Health segment includes nonsteroidal dermatology products and health supplements.
XETR:BAYNLong
by ForexCompany
$COIN - Update: Buy + TPHello Friends, For those of you looking to capitalize on NASDAQ:COIN you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time. My original post: UPDATED IDEA: NASDAQ:COIN moving nice with CRYPTOCAP:BTC in this 2024-2025 Bull Run! Remember, NASDAQ:COIN basically mimics CRYPTOCAP:BTC so we want to trade them in a similar fashion. As you can see NASDAQ:COIN is still trading below the $368.90 High & the ATH of $429.54. I am expecting those levels to be traded to as CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues higher. The chart showing "Swing Protection TP 1" based on our current swing we left ($283-$149) is giving us a projection of $419.61. That being said, if you wish to add to your NASDAQ:COIN holdings at ~$318 (or lower), you have upside available to take profits. Please note: $429.54 ATH is a good objective. Will NASDAQ:COIN go higher with this bull run? IT all depends on when CRYPTOCAP:BTC tops out - I will update you then or follow along with my CRYPTOCAP:BTC exit strategy... Check out this link for my BTC Exit Strategy :
NASDAQ:COINLong
by WolfAdams
XRP/USDT - (25-12-2024) G-Money's short version analysis based BTC/USDT 2H G-Money's short version analysis based purely on technical analysis only, no nonsense or "BS". I do totally ignore any fundamental analysis, technical analysis only BTC/USDT - please pay an attention, It has a 2 take profit levels. What do you think? Chart is itself explaining. Kept a "KISS" approach all the way ( "Keep It Simple, Stupid") & beginners friendly... ;) I do hope that nobody ignoring SL ( Stop Loss) ! Without it, It is a fastest way to loose hard earned money... ;) Trade safe & don't do "gambling". In the end it never pays, not worth it to risk loose all your $... PS: above technical analysis is done for the community & educational purpose only! It is not a financial advice. Just share my very own insight to it. Merry Christmas to ALL !
Long
by G-money2022