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Currency Wars - DEBT CRISIS - Dollar ReboundThe USD $DXY monthly chart looks eerily similar to back in the early 1980s when the dollar rallied for months into overbought territory. It then fell for four months straight (DXY has currently fallen for four months straight), and began a multi-year run-up. We are currently in the midst of a GLOBAL CURRENCY WAR in which the US adversaries are trying to devalue the dollar at all costs. Crypto is playing a major role in the war as it's a CYBER FRAUD created solely to damage the Dollar's global reserve status. To "invest" in crypto or EM's is simply un-American and will only damage the US economy further. RISK asset bulls are blind to what's going on and merely GAMBLING in attempt to make more money (USD). If the dollar regains it's dominance (as I expect), the lower and middle class "investors" who've given away their dollars carelessly will be wiped out. However, those that have remained steadfast in their conservative, fundamental approaches to "investing", will have a once in a lifetime opportunity to buy the index lows which are coming. We are living through uncharted territory. Taking on debt to invest with is DANGEROUS. Debt levels are currently at unsustainable HISTORIC HIGHS. Do not be careless with your money! THAT IS FINANCIAL ADVICE. *Expecting VOLATILITY to surge as markets turn to the downside. RISK IS EXTREME & the fear/greed index is currently pegged at GREED (69). $VIX currently 18.50. I'm staying HEDGED with $UVIX for the DEBT BUBBLE CRISIS & resurgence of $DXY.
TVC:DXYLong
by EpicEconomics
2
TLT - US 20 Year Treasury SELLOFF Treasury yield is the effective annual interest rate that the U.S. government pays on one of its debt obligations, expressed as a percentage. Put another way, Treasury yield is the annual return investors can expect from holding a U.S. government security with a given maturity. Treasury yields don't just affect how much the government pays to borrow and how much investors earn by buying government bonds. They also influence the interest rates consumers and businesses pay on loans to buy real estate, vehicles, and equipment. Treasury yields also show how investors assess the economy's prospects. The higher the yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries, the more confidence investors have in the economic outlook. But high long-term yields can also be a signal of rising inflation expectations. Treasury yields are inversely related to Treasury prices. Treasury yields can go up, sending bond prices lower, if the Federal Reserve increases its target for the federal funds rate (in other words, if it tightens monetary policy), or even if investors merely come to expect the fed funds rate to go up. An inverted yield curve on which the yield on the 10-year Treasury note has declined below that on the 2-year Treasury note (to cite just one popular benchmark) has usually preceded recessions. A rising yield indicates falling demand for Treasury bonds, which means investors prefer higher-risk, higher-reward investments. STONKS GO UP, FORCING THE FED TO REMAIN HAWKISH! A falling yield suggests the opposite.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by EpicEconomics
$SPY Monthly 9/21 Death Cross - WARNINGThe only other time the 9EMA crossed under the 21EMA on the monthly was the 2000 Dot Com & 2008 Great Financial Crisis. (Noted with the blue + symbols & down arrows). Each time, the RSI was near 50. Each time, the ADX indicator has been lower than the preceding level (in the 20s, WEAK - NO TREND. The massive drop in monthly volume should be noted. When the next BIG DIRECTIONAL MOVE comes, it'll be accompanied by VOLUME & a rise in the ADX (to STRONG TREND). If this 3rd time ever 9/21 DEATH CROSS is like the other two, a MASSIVE WATERFALL SELLOFF could occur. If such an event occurs, FEAR WILL SPREAD causing a MASSIVE VOLATILITY SURGE. I'm HEDGED for crisis with $UVIX $UVXY. My suspicions point toward a DEBT BUBBLE IMPLOSION. Protect your #kingdollar. GL.
AMEX:SPYShort
by EpicEconomics
2