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#btcstarburst Weekly… Hope and Fear?So looking at the map, I could be scary… Some say I can’t comprehend (I say you need BITCOIN EYES, AKA LASER EYES) The Orange (the red river of death) is hard to cross and easy to fall through… There are two bottoms that exists in this channel, the new Grid and the ascending support grids. The major support is around 38k ish as mentioned often… large channel 32k ish… Breaking support hitting these channels seems to be very difficult either way, as you can see we hit 48k cam crashing back down, 64k crashing back down… so…. It looks like we might try to cross back over and give it another go…Some people leverage ( I don’t know if that is safe, accumulate as much as can as cheaply as you can for the end game). Timing is KEY, The Map seems to show KEY levels of Support and Resistance as if they existed long before… This just a study (remember you are wrong until they say you are right) Ignore the FUD/FUS… The rich buy in the bear market
FTX:BTCUSD
by Jonnycatx
Gold Momentum Could Shift to Upside if Fed Delivers Only as ExpeA trade through $1878.40 will confirm the shift in momentum. This could trigger the start of a minimum 2 day counter-trend rally. Taking out $1849.70 will negate the chart pattern and signal a resumption of the downtrend. The minor trend is also down. A trade through $1921.30 will change the minor trend to up. This will confirm the shift in momentum. The nearest resistance is a pair of retracement levels at $1897.70 and $1908.10.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Zane_Andrew
US100 BUY OPPORTUNITY!Hello, my scenario about US100 looks bullish here is why : - bullish RSI divergence at H4 - demand level (D1 and H4 timeframe) - oversold stochastics - in general index is just very cheap and its nice opportunity to buy I think it can achieve 14000-14200 in mid-term (15-20 days max.) but safest option will be take profits at 13300-13450 levels, it depends on your RISK tolerance and how much profit do you want to take from this trade. Personally I entered this trade at 13050 and 12950 and still I think it was good price to buy. We will see how it really is tomorrow. :) Good luck everybody!
ULong
by iamweakone
1
APE Restest $22?Yesterday I mentioned that APE will head to the downside from $26 -25 which I am right, mentioned below. Anyone who took the short, congratulations. This morning I was uncertain if it was going to break out of the symmetrical triangle but it did to the downside...woohoo! As you can see on the 1hr timeframe, there is a fair vlue gap at $21-22, my assumption is that it will hit 22 which is my trendline and go back down again since the daily and 4hr time frame trend exhaustion is still pretty high
by tangytang
2
BTC Is Battling in El Salvador Bitcoin is battling in El Salvador, the primary country to make the resource lawful delicate, as indicated by another report. A study led by the Public Department of Monetary Exploration presumes that, notwithstanding El Salvador's Bitcoin Regulation, very few individuals in the nation are utilizing the cryptographic money. The law, which inquires as to whether they have the mechanical means to do such, has been reprimanded by establishments like the World Bank and the IMF. Scientists Fernando E. Alvarez, David Argente, and Diana Van Patten say they addressed 1,800 families in El Salvador up close and personal about their Bitcoin propensities. Their report, named "Are Cryptographic forms of money Monetary standards? Bitcoin as Lawful Delicate in El Salvador," asserts that "utilization of Bitcoin for ordinary exchanges is low and is concentrated among the banked, instructed, youthful, and male populace. It adds that 25% of respondents in the minuscule Focal American nation were utilizing the state-supported wallet, Chivo, in the wake of downloading it. Furthermore, among the individuals who in all actuality do utilize it, as per the report, just 20% were spending less money, and 15% utilized less charge or Mastercards. The report additionally takes note that it did "not observe proof of Chivo wallet being utilized to cover for charges or to send settlements" — one of the fundamental reasons the law was passed in any case, as per the Salvadoran government. Salvadorans were urged to download Chivo last year and were given 1 Bitcoin each. The report expresses that of those overviewed, most spent the Bitcoin and quit utilizing the wallet.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by IPatrice
Apple client loses £670,000 in seconds as iCloud hack uncovered As the market for cryptographic forms of money and non-fungible tokens (NFTs) develops bigger, it turns into an undeniably alluring objective for programmers who devise new and more productive ways of getting their hands on others' resources, taking advantage of significant weaknesses in stages. In one of the latest hacking occurrences, an assailant figured out how to take an individual's whole assortment of digital forms of money and NFTs worth more than £670,000, from their MetaMask crypto wallet, as revealed by CNET on April 18.
ALong
by IPatrice
SPX: Macroeconomic 101It have been months since I have posted an update in TradingView, today I will be discussing 101 of macroeconomics which will help to understand the relationship between Monetary Policy, Cashflow and inflation without making it super complicated. 1- Cashflow: Big money flow which interest go, as simple and as complicated as it seems. Instead of looking at currencies as purchasing items, we can look at them as exchanging items, for example when you try to buy an car, you are exchanging a car for x amount of USD, and when you are selling the car again, you are exchanging the car for X amount of money. Big money usually will try to find the highest interest on the currencies they have while considering the risk of safety to get their cash back, when central bank decrease interest rates which mean keeping money in banks will get investors or cash holders less return on their money than before, that is why there will be sale of currencies and buying of commodities/stock/business/investments that is expected to provide a higher return than banks. 2- Monetary policy and Interest rates: The purpose of interest rates changes are to control inflation rates, low interest rate promote more loans to be taken and less deposits with banks, low interest rate will make the market environment to be more creative in order to create income more than what the interest on loans are, this will help companies to grow and money to cycle in markets more than bonds and deposits. Hence, the less interest rate, the more likely spending increase which as a result prices will grow. This help central banks achieve their objectives or steady growth and maximising employments. 3- Inflation: When the market get heated and purchasing power is strong, it is normal for the purpose of balancing supply and demand in the market for prices to increase, every sector will be impacted differently. When inflation increase to a level that effect normal average consumer, central banks need to encounter this inflation increase by trying to reduce market activities, this will be done by increasing interest rates, when interest rate increase, money will flow from risky investments to less risky once as they provide a higher interest, which as a result will reduce the activities across economies and will motivate less spendings, spendings will be exchanged with demand on currencies which will increase demand on USD (USD will increase), which in line will make bonds prices to drop (yields to increase). As we are also noticing that FED are trying to reduce QE in markets as to reduce risk of inflation. When we factor in the current geopolitical matters, I will expect the SPX to continue moving sideways or downside, good opportunity for buying groceries at discounted prices for long term portfolio, I will be a gradual buyer as there is an element of uncertainty related to the countries decisions in regard to economics, globalisation and geopolitics. Buying great companies at fair price is BETTER than buying cheap companies at great price. Until next time, AgentH
SP:SPX
by AgentHK
1
ETH raises $10 billion in Series A Ethereum Push Notification Service (EPNS), a decentralized correspondence layer for the crypto space, has brought $10.1 billion up in a Series A financing round to extend its Web3 informing abilities past the Ethereum blockchain. Cryptographic money framework outfit Jump Crypto drove the subsidizing round with interest from Tiger Global, ParaFi, Polygon Studios, and Wintermute. Different financial backers included Sino Global Capital, Harmony Foundation, and Zebpay, among others. As indicated by Thursday's declaration, the EPNS Series A puts the undertaking's valuation at about $131 billion. The undertaking brought $1.41 billion up in seed financing in late 2020.
BITFINEX:ETHUSDLong
by IPatrice
Man Behind The CurtainThe FED's monetary policy is a lot like that scene in the Wizard of Oz where they think they are communicating with a great and supremely powerful wizard, but Dorothy's dog incidentally pulls back the curtain while sniffing his leg. To the disdain of Dorothy, Tin and Straw man, it's just some goofy looking guy pulling levers and talking through a loudspeaker while pressing buttons to release fire and smoke. Dorothy proclaims "You are a very bad man!", and the wizard says "No, I'm just a very bad wizard." Look it up if you haven't seen it. Highly recommended! This is exactly what's happening to the FED. Lots of fire, smoke, ego stroking going on among the board members who think they are all powerful, supreme beings. Oh and don't forget about the insider trading and general theft of what is supposed to be the public's money supply. In GOD we trust? More like, In SMOKE we trust. Eventually, the curtain will be revealed and the irrational belief of the wizard will be no more. If you look at ONLY junk bonds (orange), which is what this idea is about, as opposed to other facets which the FED is able to "bail out" the economy, you can see that the market was beginning to signal in 2008 that investors should avoid risk. Yields were going up, bond prices were declining. An economy with such conditions where people save and preserve wealth is blasphemous behavior in the church of the FED and WILL NOT BE TOLERATED. Bonds were quickly bailed out over the next few years while rates were suppressed and the entire market was coerced into the FED's vision. If you adjust the junk bond index in real terms and simply divide by the money supply (teal line), you can see that with the 2020 bailout, the current purchasing power of bonds has been eroded to the 2008 level, right at the point where people were beginning to save money. Other things have been bailed out as well via the money supply this time around, so we're certainly looking at a skewed metric here. But in junk bond terms, It looks like we would need even more stimulus to stop a deflationary spiral beyond what was seen in 2008-2010 if bond investors are looking at real M2 adjusted terms. The money supply ALWAYS speaks the truth, historically speaking. Now, contrast this with the current outlook of the FED where they are soon going to be selling "assets" off their balance sheet at a maximum of about 90 billion per month. How are WE, the general public, supposed to believe that a deflationary spiral is avoidable if real bond valuations are already at a level where a bailout was "necessary" to these "wizards" in 2008, while at the same time, they haven't even begun offloading these "assets" which they have recently accumulated, which someone is suddenly supposed to want to buy at a record pace not seen before?? Maybe they will finally raise rates and will buy all junk bonds? I mean who else is buying junk bonds, seriously? If something has to be labelled as "high yield", we should probably be skeptical beyond the point of being able to be persuaded UNTIL the market speaks otherwise. But at the same time, they cannot raise rates very far, at least not to the point which is necessary or was necessary in 1980, for example. Just something to think about. In my opinion, there is NO WAY the M2 can ever be contracted, at least not by the amount the FED wants. You pretty much need exponential expansion forever. And at this point, why would anyone believe them? In 2018 they released a projection that their balance sheet would be down to 2T by 2022. Their credibility and foresight is awful. A randomized monte carlo simulation was more accurate than their predictions, so why should we believe in a delirious vision? As far as I'm concerned, until the FED lets their 7T bag of crap rot, we've got a communist monetary policy where the government owns a stake of everything. Just think of how many businesses are backed directly or indirectly by mortgage backed securities and junk bonds, which the FED has purchased using the wealth of the public. I couldn't think of a more pure definition of communism. Those "assets" were paid for with stolen wealth and these actions are a repellent to any free market economy or dynamics. In a free market, bankruptcy is allowed and malinvestment is left to crash and burn and is NOT ABLE to bring the rest of the economy down with it. We don't have that. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- How I got the values in the chart: Pay no attention to the actual values in the chart other than M2. The other values are purely to make a side by side comparison that looks decent on a log scale chart. 520W(10 year) MA of M2 = 4845136 520W(10 year) MA of HYG = 87.68 M2 is in millions, HYG is not, but we can ignore this because we are adjusting for relative averages. 4845136 / 87.68 = 55259 Now we simply chart HYG*55259, and now HYG in 10 YR terms is charted relative to the 10 YR MA of the M2. In order to chart HYG/WM2NS, I simply stuck a multiplier at the front, and added zeroes until it looked good on the chart. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you for reading! I really do appreciate your time and I hope my perspective was somehow useful to you. Don't forget to hedge your bets! :)
FRED:WALCL
by fringe_chartist
1