GME Bullish Breakout of WedgeAfter a long few months of trading sideways, and a couple of fake outs, it looks as though GME is holding it's bullish breakout of the wedge that formed the last 3 months.
Looking for a break of the $45-50 ish highs from earlier in the year and to settle in somewhere above that heading into the end of the year / early 2023. I suspect wall street does not want a bunch of retail investors (younger folks) using their Christmas money to lock in large buys at low prices. They won't allow those people to get in at these low levels. Look for one more major drop sometime in February / March when tons of basket swaps expire and to make the Christmas money buyers see some heavy red in their accounts (and a likely large bounce back up once those people are potentially shaken out).
Just for fun, not financial advice. I'm looking to enter 12/2 through 12/30 $25-45 calls and see what happens.
Gamestop
$GME - Nopex Nov 22 2022Publishing this as a correction to my previous post about GME possibly running next week. I checked Friday's EOD data and things don't look terribly good.
More here as i cannot post images to explain this fully on tradingview: www.reddit.com
It makes my heart weak to tell you GME is not gonna do well this opex, but someone's gotta do it.
$GME - November 2022 run, keep it shortThe 2022 November quarterly GME run is here.
I'm looking at my indicators to see whether we're gonna have an Opex or Nopex. 2/4 of my indicators tell me that it's a coinflp between an OPEX and a Nopex. Sorry, i know this is not what you wanted to hear, but...
1) Indicator 1 - Swaps (Negative)
Swaps on GME the other peripheral stocks like AMC/BBBY/XRT are minimal as usual... This means that there's no swap based volume support for this rally and that it's possibly all moving just due to dealer hedging for 0 to 1dte options for this big Opex. TLDR: Swaps say there won't be a big move up next week.
2) Indicator 2 - XRT Put OI Drop (Positive)
According to a source who has his own indicator based on XRT's Put OI where if the OI drops on certain dates, it indicates that a run is coming soon... he says that the Put OI drop has occurred and that we're up for a run. This indicator has worked for him 2/3 times so far, so his indicator is positive for this run. We had a previous Nopex where the indicator strongly showed we're due for a run but we instead dumped.
3) Indicator 3 - Market Opex Behavior (Mixed)
There's a certain behavior the market does during Opex which strongly indicates whether it's an Opex or Nopex.
-We dump for the second and third week of the month (Sorta happened)
-Near the end of the third week (this week) there's a magic market recovery on Thursday and or Friday (Happened)
-Vix starts to drop on Friday (Happened)
This indicates extreme confidence for a run next week. It's one of my strongest indicators.
However, in the previous run for August and the one in May, what has started happening is that the entire market is that some big names in the market pump on the first couple of weeks of the month, then they dump and while they're dumping, some of the other less known memes are pumping in the second week. On the third week, GME the main memes run for 2 days indicating something will happen next week, but then as the weekend passes and Monday comes, the market dies and it dies all the way into the next month for 15-20 days.
4) Indicator - 4 MSM Behavior
Basically the current market gives me no choice but to buy a few calls for next week for GME, then i need to see if the MSM will tell us all that the world is ending on Monday with Monkeypox(Where did the marketing team on Monkeypox go btw?) or an ICBM from North Korea or something about inflation suddenly being super serious during the weekend, then it means they want everyone to sell and this we're in for a GME run and price pump. If there's no reports of world ending events, be scared and dump your calls.
5) Indicator 5 - OCC Hedging Loans
The OCC shows how much collateral is being posted for short positions. Basically if there's gonna be pump on Monday, there will also be an increase in the OCC's Hedging Balance for certain stocks. So far the data shows a small trend upwards as of a few days ago, but it is unconfirmed as it's still a really small curve. The big data comes out tomorrow because the OCC data is EOD data for today, and so we'll know then if someone's doing something next week.
6) Indicator 6 - Borrow Fee
The OCC hedging loans & the borrow fee go together. If one increases, the other will increase along with it and this indicates that we'll have a massive pump next week. The borrow fee has increased a little bit but not enough to indicate a run. Also the OCC hedging balance has not increased yet to indicate a run. Again, must wait to see how today develops. The prudent action here is to get calls first, ask later (Chukumba)
Lastly
Keep in mind that if we do run up and not down next Tuesday, the initial spike is usually the biggest e.g it's all downhill after that. If the spike isn't big enough for the day, it means that the run isn't on next weeks' Tuesday, but the week after. You have to adjust your strat accordingly. These cyclical runs behave in a certain way that i've been watching for the past 2 years now. TLDR, i'll update this post with new comments of what's up over the weekend and on Monday to tell you if we're running or not.
Conclusion
I think the market's gonna dump and that we're seeing some pumping today is because of heding requirements for 0 day to expiry options. There will obviously be the usual price pump on SPY and many stocks 15 minutes before close as brokers pre-emptively close people's expiring options which will cause a tiny pump, but i think that's all she sang.
I need to see today's EOD OCC data to be able to say that we'll have an SLD Opex next week and not a Nopex. So far i'm negative for a successful opex, but i have to grab a few calls to be in just in case. Also keep in mind FTX just fell and if it was reaaally being used for locates, then this opex could be insanely good unless they have a temporary stopgap for now.
The reason why i didn't want to mention when the cycle may occur in my last post is because people buying calls on the day of the pump MAY (unconfirmed) cause price suppression due to hedging requirements and may be why our SLD/Opex runs are so weak or inexistent. Alternatively the reason i believe more likely to be the reason for diminished Opex/SLD runs is because of the successful campaing on Reddit to make people not buy options over time. No option buying, no dealer movements, no price movement. Again, equally, it could all be because everyone DOES buy calls & hedging those on the dealer side is what screws us.
Regardless, this last of part in my conclusions is more close to theories and tinfoil than something you should listen to i think (Up to you really). I wish you luck on whatever you decide to do. I'm keeping my long puts on most of the market and some straddles i have on other names like BRK.B & RBLX. For GME i already bought a few calls a few days ago on low IV and i'm hesitant to get more at this point with this IV jackup, but i might grab a couple more... i dunno. You can bet ya that CC sellers will take advantage of this IV and will sell CC's into it... so be careful, don't go nuts on this cycle.
Until next time regards.
Fib Circles show GME at $80!Been playing around with Fib circles on GME and if you mirror it to the original run, it'll knock at previous highs then come back to retest the top of the channel.
$80 by January then back to $30 range in spring-summer 2023.
Then MOASS end of 2023-2024.
Of course, it's a new tool I'm playing around with, but I personally will be considering selling at this range and waiting to see if it consolidates.
Let me know your thoughts
15 min Double top!!!We can see the Confirmation of a 15 min Double top this morning when looking at Gamestop. Also the Relative Strength Index is weighing heavily on the overbought side With the moving average convergence divergence also looking to cross downward. Possible small 2 to 3 dollar dip in the next coming day or days before it starts to make another run back up leading into the last Quadruple witching for the year which will take place on Dec 17, I think we should see GME at new quarterly high about 2 weeks prior to witching and then will fade back off until next quarter in 2023.
$GME rare opportunity 👁🗨
*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Here @SimplyShowMeTheMoney we strive to educate our traders on the importance of being able to recognize rare occurrences in the market structure on a chart. Today GameStop $GME presented us with a rare opportunity in its structure that my team simply could not ignore. We watched $GME open at 12% and shoot up to around 20% before retracing all gains back down to the negative 1 hour before the final bell. This comes as we enter a busy earnings week with a 2-day fed meeting that begins tomorrow and numerous data reports that could ultimately dictate the direction of the feds and the market.
$GME is no stranger to making headlines. With midterm elections right around the corner we wouldn't be surprised if $GME made a ridiculous move in either direction.
My team was able to secure shares of $GME at $28 while it was red this afternoon. We have an automatic stop loss set at $27 due to the obvious risk factors associated with $GME.
Entry: $28
Stop loss: $27
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
WATCH GME AND THE MEME STOCKSHere's my GME chart. Election week has potential to explode.
If you can, a nice buy zone is forming right under $26. I'd say the max upside is $64, but momentum could carry it higher. I'd still recommending exiting at $64 if it were to get that high (unlikely scenario)
Realistically, $25 to $31 seems to be a nice trade window, with the potential to trade the extra upside if it were to keep going.
stop is around $21
I feel this movement will be quick when it happens.
Atlantia SpA (ATL.mi) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the Italian company Atlantia SpA (ATL.mi). Atlantia SpA (formerly Autostrade) is an Italian holding company active in the infrastructure sector, including motorways, airport infrastructure and transport services. The group manages 9,400 km (5,800 mi) of toll motorways, Fiumicino and Ciampino airports in Italy and the three airstrips of Nice, Cannes-Mandelieu and Saint Tropez in France with more than 60 million passengers a year. It is listed on the Borsa Italiana and is a constituent of the FTSE MIB index. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 02/11/2022. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 7 days towards 22.810 EUR. Your stop-loss order, according to experts, should be placed at 22.520 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Atlantia's long-term investors, Singapore sovereign fund GIC and Italian banking foundation CRT, have tendered their shares in the takeover offer launched by the Benettons and U.S. investment fund Blackstone. CRT and GIC own 4.5% and 8.3%, respectively, in the infrastructure group. Benettons' holding company Edizione controls Atlantia with a 33% stake.
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GME bearish pennantWhat we can see in the chart is a bearish pennant pattern. We are expecting that the formation will break to the downside as the trend overall remains bearish.
Volume has been decreasing.
The price is getting rejected from the resistance line.
Entry price, stop loss and target are shown in the chart.
GME: T+69 is Back! Huge Upside! Hello everyone,
Welcome back to yet another technical analysis. T+69 has only failed once and that was Friday, Jan 7th, 2022 and all the other times it was successful. Although I considered it a failure, we still saw huge volatility that day with a high of $40.08 ($160.32 pre-split) and a low of $33.13 ($132.48 pre-split). This cycle, historically, has been the most accurate and it looks like we're heading into another 69 baby! Are we going to see similar events to Jan 7th or are we going to see a huge upside the week of Oct 10th - 14th?
Let's take a trip down memory lane and look at the last T+69s:
After the events that unfolded on June 8th, 2021,
Friday, Aug 19th-Aug 24th 2021: +50.55%
Friday, Oct 29th - Nov 3rd 2021: +43.65%
Friday, Jan 7th, 2022: (Depending on how you look at it) -17.35%
Thurs, Mar 17th, 2022: (The week of RC and friends buy-in) +157.04%
Weds, May 25th - May 26th, 2022: +71.23%
Tues, Aug 2nd - Aug 8th, 2022: +49.22%
Mon, Oct 10th - Oct 11th, 2022: ???
Analysis
On the daily, it looks like we're heading into a death cross. The question is will this be another successful one or are we going to test it? Tiny gap to fill at around $25.42 and if we happen to fall we should see us filling another gap at $22.44 (visible on the hourly) and another fall below results in us touching a potential double bottom at $19.50. If successful, should we break the above resistance, we should see filling the gap at $37.30 and $40.27 and the off chance finally closing the gap that was left at $73.
As always, not financial or sexual advice. I eat crayons for breakfast and can't read.
Gamestop to breakdown from a descending triangle.GameStop - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 23.28 (stop at 24.72)
Daily signals are bearish.
Price continues to trade within the triangle formation.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Support is located at 19.50 and should stem dips to this area.
Our outlook is bearish.
Our profit targets will be 19.66 and 18.66
Resistance: 27.00 / 28.00 / 30.00
Support: 24.00 / 23.50 / 22.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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GME moment of truth -- will the Algo break the trendline??GME algo is in full control, as you can see from the two upward blue channels that follow with a sharp drop.
The good news is that the upward orange trendline has held on 3 separate occasions now -- Feb '21, May '22, and Sep '22.
This signifies that while the algo remains mostly in control, the lows aren't as low as they could be because DRS diamond hands are holding the line.
The moment of truth will come within the next couple weeks, as the algo goes for the "mega drop", similar to what we saw in January when we went from $40 to $20.
If we're lucky, we will mimic the movement of April '20 before the sneeze, where the price temporarily dropped below the trendline and back into it, igniting the squeeze in just a few months.
So I'd expect a quick drop below the channel to the $15-20 range and back into it shortly thereafter.
If this happens, MOASS is most definitely imminent within the next 3 months.
However, if it doesn't bounce back into the channel, MOASS would be delayed and a new trend would most likely take shape over the next 6 months or so before we can make any real judgement. At that point, we'd be totally dependent on DRS numbers sucking out liquidity before we saw anything really reminiscent of MOASS.
GME: RSI Update, Dip Before the RipGood morning,
Last time we fell below the 30 mark on the RSI we saw a 90%+ move up and the other two times it fell to this level we saw 50-100%+ move up as well. I'm factoring in a 60%+ move up as this is like a spring that has been compressed and is ready to explode. I also overlayed November 2021 cycle and it looks like we're following that perfectly.
Downside PT: 22.12 / 21.87 (support)
Upside PT: Fill the gap at 27, 37 and 40.
As always, NOT financial or sexual advice. Good luck!
GME: RSI Low Will Shoot Us Back to 40$Good afternoon,
Since the golden cross on Sept 2020, we managed to hit the lows of the RSI (30) about 5 times, each time we bounced back up sometimes upwards of up to 50+%, and now we're now heading into our 6th low on the RSI. We are looking to fill the gap at 37 and 40 but we could also have more downside potentially bottoming at 22.
As always, not financial or sexual advice. Good luck!
GME failed to inspire, but could be a technical bounce ahead...As the title suggests, GME earnings failed to inspire the response that so many wanted and hoped for, nearly all afterhours gained came ad went through he course of the day with a decent finish. However this was always going to happen, in my view, as it went into that earnings call with a very low RSI and multiple time frames looking vastly oversold. What i´m looking for here is a continuation of the technical recovery , especially on the 4hr chart as it looks to me the ichimoko cloud want to turn positive and start somewhat of a run again. The resistance levels will start at $30 psychological level then proceed up towards the channel it rudely fell out of to test whether it can settle within that area again, around the $40 area, it could be rejected and drop down to find lower support or divine intervention may join its cause and break into there, leading to an eventual retest of the $50 area.
$GME bull risk reversal ideaGME in my opinion has a good R/R to the upside at this price level with price approaching good support and demand zone.
High Beta and due for a squeeze after this $45 to $23 downleg
I like the idea of OCT bull risk reversal - selling a put to fund calls - so I sold some OCT 23 puts and went long OCT 28 calls for .3 debit.
First PT $29
Game Stop Buy to ShortWeekly- Range From 2021 to present consistent creation of lower highs between prices, 120.75-87.13, 67.20-64.50, and 41.25-49.85. Since the beginning of the year price has fail to break support at 19.40-24.50. In short price has failed to create new highs and lower lows, game stop is consolidated.
Thesis- Potential for sell break out due to flat support and lower highs on the weekly. Consecutive lower highs provide strength to break the flat support.
Daily- From May 2022 to Aug 2022 price correction provided buy opportunities to previous weekly highs between 41.25-49.85, clearing weekly liquidity, adding new life to the sell.
Current price 30.71 is an area of structure and daily buy liquidity. would like to price go bull to 40.40 before continuing to go bearish. This will create another lower high on the daily, to add strength to the overall sell breakout on the weekly.
Areas of Interest:
Short - 40.40 to 45.53, 34.30-35.90,30.71, 25.60-26.86, 21.68-23.20
Long- 30.71, 25.60-26.86, 21.68-23.20
Confirmations: solid candle closure, preferably 8and daily candle closes within zone.
A Quick Long-Term (100-200 years) on the Dow Jones Index/CryptoPossible situation #1 is for the next 2 decades, we go up and down, destroying most OTM calls/puts and options sellers win overall
option #2, we are headed to a devestating crash
if all of the small caps and even some major mid caps have declined 50-90% over the past two years or so, it could be a tell tale sign for the blue chips/largecaps/etc
I do not see stocks ripping or any kind of bull market coming for a while, too much tension, and imagine if we went to war
however, with the advancement of Web 3.0, AI, VR videogaming, etc. crypto will moon again in the next decade
Thank you,
Please let me know what you think in the comments.