S&P500 full of opportunities today - based on Options flowS&P500 still climbs up, making small correction downside during second part of yesterday session and then trades in range. The nearest opportunity for Longs would be after breaking above yesterday High and Gamma 0.5 (set as level automatically by script from Options flow) as this area is working currently as strong Resistance. Target placed at 4437 so calculated Extreme High of the Day - which is also inside Supply Zone. Once again expected price reaction there (marked on chart).
Important place to watch is also 4436.25 where we have located Options Gamma -0.5. Slightly below we also have Previous Day Low and Extreme Low of Day levels. Price should react from this area (marked on chart) which would lead to opportunity for Bulls. Target due to Price Reaction of Gamma -0.5 would be Pivot of the day, as this level accordingly to Trading Strategy with Gammas is statistically leading to such targets from this particular place.
If S&P500 would drop as low as 4333, where is located extreme Gamma -1 - this is worth to observe as well as breaking below it would mean anomaly (<10 sessions per year) and stong Bearish Sentence, in direction of retesting Virgin VPOC marked on chart at 4310.25.
Good Luck!
Gamma
Scenarios Intraday for Nasdaq (NQ) - 7th October 2021Analysis of Options flow with our tools alongside with combining modified Pivots strategy (based on Volume and Options flow), would trigger to automatic set up Intraday Levels posted on chart. When combining it with VSA Sequences Scanner and Volume Zones (blue rectangles), it leads to have present x-ray picture (or simply a map) of instrument for Intraday Trading. Please find trading ideas marked on chart - beginning of arrow is trigger point and end of arrow points Take Profit level. When combining places marked on chart with dynamic results coming as signals from VSA Scanner, you would have complete Trading Suite at your hands :)
Coming back to situation on NQ - we're after nice Bullish Run. First possibilities to Shorting NQ are after passing Gamma 0.25 level at earliest. It's hard to predict when next Bullish moves can happen, but Gamma 0.5 is very strong Resistance Level so after passing it we can try to place Long Positions with Target on Extreme High of Day. NQ opened Overnight session relatively close to yesterday High, therefore I don't expect going as low to bottom Demand Zone (green box), but we need to be prepared for different scenarios.
Good luck!
GNLN Vape Industry Going to Boom all the way to earnings 7.50+You will see that fall is one of the best seasons for the vaporizer, and cannabis industry. Greenlane holdings is going to prosper this quarter to give you guys the best EPS they've ever had out of any quarter. If you have #stock inside #GNLN stock you will want to #invest in the #vaporizer #company so you can do a good #call #strategy with #options.
Options flow as early call forecast in Intraday TradingOptions flow gives big edge on market, very often predicting moves before they happen on Futures instruments. By applying custom indicators reading Options flow data, it is possible to receive levels that can play important and leading role in Intraday Trading. When we add to this basic understanding of market mechanics, then we can have significant edge in trading. Still this is not Holy Grail, but though accurate strategy. All potential moves are explained and described on charts. Enjoy!
Options flow gives ideas for Intraday Trading - daily projectionOptions flow gives big edge on market, very often predicting moves before they happen on Futures instruments. By applying custom indicators reading Options flow data, it is possible to receive levels that can play important and leading role in Intraday Trading. When we add to this basic understanding of market mechanics, then we can have significant edge in trading. Still this is not Holy Grail, but though accurate strategy. All potential moves are explained and described on charts. Enjoy!
08/12 Watchlist Hey everyone SamC here, we are going to start posting some set ups for the following trading day of a couple names we are watching. Feel free to ask questions in the comments and give us a follow.
**Make sure to give us a follow as leading up to the Jackson Hole meeting I will be doing a quick run through on how to play the SPX based on the Vol complex. If you don't know who Vanna is I would suggest tuning in!
$AMC Priming for a Boom or Bust? AMC forming a nice bull flag on the 1D chart that I have been watching for a while. RSI on a 1D chart looking bullish IMO with an upward trend in RSI since January of this year. MACD Divergence and consolidation occurring on a 4HR chart, also giving me confidence of a significant move incoming. ADX & DI contractions are healthy signs especially considering we have respected the range of the bull flag with healthy consolidation. Assuming the bottom trendline of the pennant holds, as well as staying in bound with respective moving averages, looks like a pop or drop scenario, but I am definitely leaning towards the pop side, given the technicals. Reminds me of the GME consolidation phase after the pop to 485.
Few ways to play this depending on your risk tolerance, strangles would be nice plays if youre just looking for the volatility. Maybe vertical spreads if you want to take a conservative call option position. I am personally taking the bull side with near the money calls with the most gamma exposure which would be $60 strike calls. GLTA
$SPY Pinning within the Options Market As you can see, we are seeing what is called pinning, which is when contracts with highest open interest, with their respective strikes, tend to cause a security to gravitate towards those levels near expiration, with contracts on friday not having to be exercised or assigned until monday at 5:30 PM, I see a lot of volatility coming our way. Nikkei down nearly 4% this morning will definitely create pressure for the US Markets, which is being reflected in the futures market as we speak.
$AMC Analysis - Parabolic Movement & Retracement Patterns The chart is relatively self explanatory. AMC has been moving according to its retracement zone levels, we see resistance where there technically should be resistance, and we see support at key levels of the retracement pattern. Considering this is not your typical volatility and case scenario, the price movements are going to be nothing short of parabolic with short squeeze gamma metrics. Gamma in terms of MM's buying shares to properly hedge themselves for options contracts that are ITM, with a majority of contracts being 6/18 $40 calls. With more and more contracts becoming ITM, MM's buying shares to make sure they can "make" the market, AND closing purchases (short covers), parabolic type movement brings us to its next retracement level of 261%, or the price of approximately $92.
GLTA
Binary outcomes...just hold.When faced with binary outcomes then bet small and just hold.
Downside is easy to understand...won't be zero, and upside potentially large.
Even if the stock meanders sideways waiting for more re-structure news and earnings coming up...or the squeeze....it's a nice bet.
Ps..never short a dull market!!
GME long!Institutions driving the price down and deflecting attention to SLV. GME is still over shorted and will have to kick back from here.
This is a risky investment but the potential returns are huge, therefore I recommend anyone with a decently sized portfolio to hedge by buying in with a small amount of shares.
XRP short zoneQuick swing trade I am be playing. The amount is small and leveraged with a stop loss as it has a reasonable chance of failing and failing quickly. Top buyers from previous pump are either still trapped or sold at a loss. The coloured zones are levels of sell pressure where trapped buyers either escape (A) or where market makers exit the stressed/liquidated counter positions.
The major issue with this position is that the price range above dark red has basically no sell pressure other than profit taking so use dark red as a stop loss to escape destruction.
BOOM! GME recovers to $320 KLI called this earlier, I believe that GME stock is very valuable because games are fun and I hear that hedge funds are desperate for this stock because they think it's going to rise.
This is of course speculation but it just so happens that these trends aren't so hard to spot guys. Just buy GME and hold it for some time and the business will be able to start making acquisitions to cement its value. The sky's the limit; besides, you have an insurance policy! The hedge funds have committed to buying back your stock already :)
GME BABY! HOLD TO THE MOON* short interest: 75.54% of float by Ortex, 113.31% of float by S3 Shortsight
* short share public availability: 0
Shorts are exiting their positions, but an amount of shares equal or almost equal to float is still shorted.
robinhood and other brokerages didn't have the capital to place buy orders at times yesterday.
Robinhood is apparently going so far as to liquidate GME shares in accounts that are not using margin trading(!) If you're still on robinhood, you should find a new broker ASAP.
Retail brokers who didn't blow up completely yesterday include:
* vanguard
* td ameritrade
* fidelity
XRP very bullish on the daily time frameXRPUSD looks like its continuing it's uptrend! As you can see, a nice Bull Flag has been formed with Fib level 0.386 coming in to help out with support after recent drop to 0.5578. I expect a continuation of price action to the upside using Rule 7 Calculator levels of 0.7050, 0.7600, 0.8600 as my 3 targets. The pulse indicator is still firing to the upside with blue gamma confirmation. The general trend is up so continuation of bullish momentum is likely.
If XRP decides to break lower, I expect a retracement back to the 21 EMA & correlated Fib level of 0.236 @ 0.52 cents.
Have a great weekend everyone.
Rotation hedge with Energy ETFOk boyz, so you guys are strong believer in momentum, you've ran your backtests on US Sectors and fund out that with a roughly 55% probability the best performers of last year will be the best performers of the next year. So you are still long tech like crazy and believe the FAANG stocks will keep rising. However what does financial professionals like to do? They hedge part of their risk, they maximize their sharp ratio by minimizing volatility with diversification in uncorrelated assets.
What is your biggest risk right now? With a new vaccine on the way? => A big rotation of smart money from leaders (tech, healthcare) to laggards (Energy, Financials, Transportation, REITS). It's already happening right now.
XLE US is down 45% year to date, it is the ultimate laggard ! And you know what? Historical probability of worst laggard to move to the top five leaders of next year is 65%, odds are in our favor.
The ETF showed strong momentum last week with a nice weekly hammer candlestick with strong volume, this is a bullish reversion pattern. Let's wait for confirmation on Monday's open, if it confirms, we are catching the first wave to a nice ride up ! up to recovery and post covid world. The vaccine wont be massively available and massively distributed before mid 2021 I believe, HOWEVER the stock market is merely the second order of the real economy, not the first order! It is the acceleration of the economy, so as soon as the vaccine is being shoot the first person, the widespread reopening will increase tremendously.
Option 101 => acceleration = second order = GAMMA, we want to be long gamma right now => buy calls 3 months on XLE. To save some carry cost, i would suggest a strike at 110% of the current spot, this translate to a roughly 35% Delta. This is quite out of the money but i believe the volatility on this sector is going to up with the spot.
my pick : call 31Mar2021 strike 37. Delta = 24%,
Remember: this strategy makes sense if your portfolio is globally long tech, and please do not risk more than 5% of your portfolio value with the premium. This is not WSB :D
Playing against the large 300 level Call WallFor expiration September 20th we have a very large call wall at 300 in $SPY and 3000 SPX. We're shorting here with a stop just above. Considering FOMC next week as well we think its a good place to sell some upside premium or scalp some shorts down to 297.5/295 support. Because the market is long a long of gamma we don't see a large selloff materializing before the FOMC.
Finally a decent Range to Play in $SPY $SPXAfter weeks of very wide ranges we see “trade-able” ranges forming. 2950 form as a bit of an upside resistance level. 2900 is also building as support as we move towards September Op-Ex. From our models perspective it seems like a decent bet we stay in this 2900-2950 range for the next few days. 3000 is still a very large hurdle overhead. From our note on spotgamma.com
Well, that escalated quickly. $SPYOvernight ramp on whatever news puts us back in long gamma territory. Headline/tweet risk aside that puts the market back in lower volatility mode where >1% moves shouldn't be the norm. Looking for a short term consolidation drift here due to dealers being long gamma.