12/09 Weekly SPX InsightsLast week’s assessment aligned well with the anticipated positive SPX range. The index moved sharply up toward the 6100 area, yet as Friday’s session progressed, the call resistance around 6100 capped further upward momentum.
Looking ahead, I have doubts that the previously unbridled optimism will persist. Currently, we find ourselves in a “chop zone,” suggesting that the short-term direction is less clear.
In aggregating GEX (Gamma Exposure) levels and examining the landscape a week out, it appears that 6100 remains a strong call resistance level. Meanwhile, the HVL (High Volatility Level) has crept closer to around 6080, placing the market uncomfortably close to a higher-volatility environment. Below 6080, the market may experience increased turbulence, potentially retesting 6035 and then 6000.
On the other hand, if the index can break and hold above 6100, an upward gamma squeeze could emerge, pushing prices even higher. Currently, overall GEX sentiment is negative, but the approach toward the HVL zone suggests caution. From these conditions, I’m not expecting a strong, sustained rally in the immediate term.
In terms of intraday and short-term dynamics, 0DTE (same-day expiry) sessions and Fridays continue to hold relatively higher positive gamma exposure compared to other days.
Volatility indicators:
VIX: remains low
IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): also low
Put Pricing Skew: currently low, although it has begun to show a very slight uptick
Key Levels for This Week (for educational reference):
Above 6100: Omni-bullish environment
Between 6100–6065: Chop zone (directionally uncertain; not ideal for unhedged directional trades)
Below 6080: Bearish tilt, with targets around T1: 6035 and T2: 6000 (near the 16-delta OTM put level)
On Wednesday, inflation data is scheduled for release. Anticipation alone may drive volatility, so it’s something to keep on the radar for educational scenario planning.
Gammasqueeze
GME GameStop - Short Squeeze in the Making!If you haven`t bought GME before the previous breakout:
Now you need to know that GameStop (GME) is creating a buzz in the options market, especially as it gears up for an exciting week ahead!
After experiencing an astronomical increase of over 121X in less than four months in the past, GME has captured the attention of traders and investors alike.
This dramatic surge in price has raised speculation about the potential for another gamma squeeze, reminiscent of the impressive rallies seen in the past.
With calls at the $125 strike price set to expire on January 17, 2025, there's palpable optimism in the air!
The notable volume of these calls suggests that investors are positioning themselves for a significant move.
Traders are eager to capitalize on the momentum that GME has built, especially with historical patterns indicating that such surges often lead to increased volatility and price spikes.
The options chain for this Friday looks extremely bullish, with an uptick in activity signaling strong demand for GME calls.
The convergence of high open interest and the upcoming expiration date has the potential to ignite a new wave of buying pressure, further fueling the chances of a gamma squeeze.
As more traders enter the market, the cascading effects of rising call prices could push the underlying stock higher, benefiting those who are well-positioned in the options market!
AMC and GME Gamma Squeeze vs Short Squeeze durationYou are surely wondering how long this rally on GME and AMC could go!
Let's look at the 2021 short / gamma squeezes to find out!
GME rallied from Jan 13 to Jan 28 for 15 days and went up 24X at its peak! That was a gamma squeeze!
AMC, on the other hand, rallied from May 13 to June 2 for 20 days, during which it went up 6X at its peak. That was more of a short squeeze!
A gamma squeeze and a short squeeze are both market phenomena, but they operate in different ways and involve different types of trading strategies.
Short Squeeze:
In a short squeeze, traders who have sold a stock short (i.e., they've borrowed shares and sold them with the intention of buying them back later at a lower price) are forced to buy the stock back at higher prices to cover their positions. This buying pressure drives the stock price even higher, causing more short sellers to cover their positions, thus further increasing the price. It creates a feedback loop where rising prices force short sellers to buy, further increasing demand, and thus prices.
Short squeezes often occur when there's significant negative sentiment or speculation about a stock, and a sudden positive development causes the price to rise sharply, catching short sellers off guard.
Gamma Squeeze:
A gamma squeeze, on the other hand, involves options trading. It occurs when option sellers (who are often large institutional investors or market makers) have sold call options (contracts that give the holder the right to buy a stock at a certain price) and need to hedge their positions by buying the underlying stock. As the stock price rises, they need to buy more stock to maintain their hedge, which further fuels the price increase.
Gamma squeezes are typically triggered by a sharp rise in the underlying stock price, causing the delta (the rate of change of the option price with respect to the price of the underlying asset) of the call options to increase rapidly. This forces option sellers to buy more stock to adjust their hedges, leading to a feedback loop similar to a short squeeze but driven by options trading.
We could be entering a cycle here, let's see!
$GME: The Next Big Move You Don't Want To Miss 🚀Hi everyone,
Welcome back to another technical analysis update that has proven effective! Here's a quick recap:
RECAP:
Using our MTTSA/Metric Pro indicators, the price moved above the hourly mark indicating an upward trajectory toward the daily mark, which it successfully reached. After a brief dip to the $10.70 range, it climbed back above the hourly and broke past the daily level. The price then ascended to the weekly resistance, previously unbroken in three attempts, but this time, GME surged through it, reaching a new daily high of $17.43.
CURRENT STATUS:
I believe the options chain is primed for a Gamma Squeeze, marking the beginning of a potential major move toward the monthly resistance at $20.
What is a Gamma Squeeze?
A gamma squeeze occurs when the price of a stock rises sharply as market makers who sold call options must buy more of the stock to hedge against their increasing exposure, thus driving the price even higher.
CURRENT STATUS cont.:
If GME can surpass and sustain above this level, we might witness a squeeze surpassing the one from 2021. Using the Fibonacci sequence from the top of 2021 to the recent low, our targets are: 0.236 ($17.92), 0.382 ($25.79), 0.5 ($34.63), 0.618 ($46.49), and 1.618 ($564.22). GME needs to break past the 0.236 level to progress to the 0.382. Watch for resistance at the 0.5 and 0.618 levels. Additionally, GameStop has broken out of a three-year wedge pattern, which could be significant.
DOWNSIDE SCENARIO:
Should there be a retracement, look for GME to potentially fall back to the weekly level at $14.36.
CONCLUSION:
As always, this isn't financial advice, but prepare yourselves—this could be a monumental ride past the moon, heading straight to Pluto and beyond!
BBBY SQUEEZE CHART $2.20 IS ROCKET FUELThanks to Ryan Cohen's perfectly timed buy and sell rug-pull on bbby. It's set up to follow the exact same squeeze pattern as GME.
At 2.2 the options really start to become weird and this thing could fly to $40 by mid April, with a spring to $420 should it really want.
Somewhere around .79 is a trigger point, which hits again at 1.36 which leads to 2.2
AT 2.2 - 2.4 the resistance clears up significantly, meaning, calls can print should this stock squeeze.
Weekly mega down trend broke and confirmed support
To be totally honest, this movement is so perfectly timed, that it could be a 1 week deal.
Massive Falling wedge on GME weekly!!!!!!!!!!!!!Just wanted to point out that GME has now reached the end of this massive falling wedge on the WEEKLY. A breakout of this wedge could be absolutely massive to the upside.
Also, the last time the Ultimate RSI was this low, shortly after we seen a 155%, $19 to $50 spike in just 14 days.
With new legislation for reporting short positions and the pressure on the Hedgies to finally close out, this could be the move everyone has been anticipating. Not to mention the massive amount of DRS'd shares we have been seeing.
Grab your fav snack and bev because the extravaganza is about to begin. GLTYA, and happy trading ✌️
WE WeWork potential Short Squeeze at All Time LowWE WeWork reached $1.05 and there were a lot of calls added at that level.
They are either aiming for a Short Squeeze or a potential Buyout, in my opinion.
WE 52 week range: $1.05 - $130.80
I think we might see at least a 2X bounce from this level.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
EOSE Short Squeeze Potential !EOSE went down this month from $5.70 to $1.24, the CEO accessing a short sellers attack on the stock.
Now considering the pre-market volume, and the fact that the stock is already up 13%, I believe it has a short squeeze potential to the next resistances of $3.30, then $4.90.
Eos Energy Enterprises designs, manufactures, and markets zinc-based energy storage solutions for utility, commercial and industrial, and microgrid markets in the United States. T
he company's flagship product is the Eos Znyth DC system, a battery that can be used as an alternative to Li-ion batteries.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GME GameStop Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of GME GameStop prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-6-16,
for a premium of approximately $1.83.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
After we beat the Red line it's BBIG Party TimeWill resolve in less than a week. But this is an established down trending line in a wedge for BBIG. When we break the red line we are going up and we're going to break the red line very soon.
Also there is an insane amount of FTD's next week. Their time is up.
stocksera.pythonanywhere.com
Also shares are coming out in the form of a dividend very soon to form a new company called TYDE where people will have to buy in no later than Dec 12th to be shareholders of record for the 15th.
Full disclosure - I am long on this stock, and really believe there is a real opportunity next week for GAMMA
$EJH Shares of Float Shorted Jumps to 14%Rationale:
EJH is currently trading at $0.25 representing a significant value ratio with regard to its underlying operations. Revenue growth YoY has increased 61%, representing its efficacy in retaining net revenue. Shares sold short jumped to 14% of shares outstanding. I believe that it is
1,) Currently undervalued based on fundamental analysis
2.) In a prime position to experience a gamma squeeze due to its large percentage of shares sold short
I will provide a link to perform your own analysis below and have taken a substantial position in this company with a short to medium time horizon.
Volume and price make it a prime candidate for a short squeeze. At $0.25, you can buy a substantial number of shares to drive up volume and force shorts to cover.
www.sec.gov
$CBIO potential to make a large move 🔥$CBIO looks like it has potential to make a large move soon, Also it's #4 in list of top Fintel Gamma Squeeze list📈
Exela Technologies Delta Squeeze Options chain is loaded, any move approaching $1 will cause a massive Delta Squeeze. Trade at your own risk.
fintel's top Gamma Squeeze candidateHere's a name most have probably never heard of that has potential for 285% underlying return. THCA (Tuscan Holdings Corp. II) "intends" to merger, share exchange, asset aquisition, stock purchase, recapitalization, reorganization, etc., with business entities in the cannabis industry . It is likely so heavily shorted because from what I can gather, they have really only stated intent and not demonstrated anything material in the Cannabis sector (if I'm wrong correct me, its such an obscure operation really not much on it). But they are active it seems, the 2 main news headlines I can find recently are: "Surf Air Mobility to go public through $1.42B merger w/ Tuscan Holdings Corp II, accelerating rollout of industry leading hybrid electric aircraft...," and "THCA gets non-compliance notice from Nasdaq" --- which is pretty bad@** right?
Take a look at this short data:
Short Interest Ratio: 2.26 Days to Cover
Short Interest % Float: 54.63% - source: NASDAQ (short interest), Capital IQ (float)
Off-Exchange Short Volume: 8,916 shares - source: FINRA (inc. Dark Pool volume)
Off-Exchange Short Volume Ratio: 24.26% - source: FINRA (inc. Dark Pool volume)
Short % inclease/decrease: +28%
Net Call OI % Float: 186.21%
There are 2 catalysts I see that could get this going enough to trigger a hefty squeeze:
1. THCA reports progress on the Surf Air merger, OR they simply announce some new merger(s), etc.
2. They get the kickstart (without doing anything) indirectly in this market environment - I think this is a very dangerous market environment for shorts righ now in general. Everyone who doesn't know elliot wave thinks BTC and S&P and going to crash, there is so much FUD going on its actually hilarious (when in reality wave 5 is about to start for BTC and S&P taking them to new ATH by end of 2022/early 2023... when this begins (soon), heavily shorted names like THCA will take off on a spaceX rocket to the moon. BIg players like TSLA, GME, BYND (oh you're in for a treat, the setup and catalyst are in the bag baby) are already threatening its squeeze-time kicking off as early as next week.
On my chart I listed 3 targets:
- initial target = 11.50 is near-term w/ or w/out a squeeze, just based on the chart and statistics of the price action dynamics
- intermediate target = 16.28 is mid-term even without a squeeze unfolding (just using the proportional increase in successive pops and extrapolating accordingly)
- minimum squeeze target = 20.20 - and that is conservative, based on the short data if it gets going it could pop to 32-40 (it then becomes a fast sell at those levels)
*** This is a high reward/low risk play here because its essentially traded at 10 its whole public history, on average, and I see 10 as support (so risk ~ 38 cents hah)
Not financial advice but I'm playing shares and Nov 18 2022 10.00 calls for ~ 1.00 and looking to sell at ~10.00 when it hits 20.20.
Clear Vision, cloudy eyes.
Regards,
Billy Walters Jr.
Go, Nok, GoThis and next week will be 9 months since the 'BANG' 'meme stocks' had a huge surge of 'retail' buying.
Nokia will be releasing their next Earnings Report in 9 days on 10/28/21.
The chart for Nokia is currently showing an interesting confluence coinciding with these events.
I'd keep a very close eye on the stock options for this company. The implied volatility has been beaten into the ground for the past few decades. When Nokia finally breaks back above and finds buying support on the neckline in this idea, all bets are off for 'Theta Gang'. It is fairly widely known that this company's stock has been a reliably substantial revenue stream for options writers who manipulate the price to their benefit. For YEARS. That is about to end, and end it will like 'a flash in a pan'. I'm sure the options writers who are about to get cooked have already made so much profit by screwing over the little guys that it won't really matter to them anyway. In fact, they'll very likely win yet again.
Man.
This is the one.
BBIG Bulls/Bears fighting at the 200MANASDAQ:BBIG
The chart speaks!
The bulls and bears are toughing it out at the 200MA - can you see it?
Bullish setup: a daily candle that closes above the 200MA and retests the $5-5.30 volume shelf with the proceeding candle
Bearish setup: a daily candle closes below the 200 MA and proceeds to close a candle below the Jan 14 support level of $3.80