BlackBerry Law of VibrationNYSE:BB - Monthly Timeframe
Bollinger Bands - Real Tight.
On Balance Volume - Bullish.
Price Momentum Oscillator - Bullish.
Trade The Markets Squeeze - Bullish.
Monthly Volume - Above Averages.
”Time is the most important factor in determining market movements and by studying the past records of the averages or individual stocks you will be able to prove for yourself that history does repeat and that by knowing the past you can tell the future. There is a definite relation between time and price. Now, by a study of the time periods and time cycles you will learn why tops and bottoms are found at certain times and why resistance levels are so strong at certain times and bottoms and tops hold around them. The most money is made when fast moves and extreme fluctuations occur at the end of major cycles.” - W.D. Gann
Gann
The S&P 500 Is About to Drop — The Real Rally Comes in July!S&P 500 Market Outlook: Navigating the Path to a Bullish Breakout by June 2025
At Vital Direction, we are committed to delivering precise and forward-looking market analysis rooted in deep technical expertise. Our current evaluation of the S&P 500 indicates that the recent upward movement is not the beginning of a true bull market. Rather, it reflects a counter-trend rally that is approaching exhaustion. We firmly believe that the market is preparing for a significant decline in the short term, followed by a prolonged sideways consolidation, before initiating a genuine, powerful bull market in late June 2025.
Elliott Wave Analysis: A Classic Counter-Trend Structure
Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the S&P 500’s recent rally has been corrective in nature, comprised of only three waves — a classic hallmark of a counter-trend move. This pattern lacks the five-wave impulsive structure typically associated with sustainable bull markets. From our vantage point, this confirms that we remain in a larger corrective phase.
We anticipate that a sharp retracement is imminent, one that may unfold over the coming days and weeks, ultimately transitioning into a period of sideways price action until mid-to-late June 2025. Only thereafter do we foresee the conditions forming for a new all-time high and the emergence of a powerful bull leg.
Gann Theory Timing: Imminent Market Top
Our Gann timing model aligns precisely with this forecast. We have identified this week as a critical timing window for a potential top in the S&P 500. Once this pivot is confirmed, we expect the index to enter a steep downward phase. From a Gann perspective, this is a natural part of the market’s cyclical structure — a necessary clearing phase before the next long-term advance.
US Bond Yields: A Telling Risk-Off Signal
One of the most overlooked — yet crucial — factors supporting our bearish near-term view is the behaviour of US bond yields. Charts clearly show that bond yields are breaking out to new highs, a significant development that suggests institutional and “smart money” investors are positioning defensively. This is not a characteristic of a “risk-on” environment.
When yields rise, particularly amidst equity euphoria, it typically indicates that investors are seeking safety and yield rather than embracing equity risk. This divergence is a red flag that supports our conviction: the equity rally is unsustainable, and a meaningful correction is near.
Seasonality Supports the Retracement View
Historical seasonality trends for the S&P 500 further validate our analysis. Data indicates the following typical market behaviour:
Mid-May to Late May: Downtrend
Late May to Mid-June: Temporary uptrend
Mid-June to Late June: Another corrective phase
From Late June Onward: Start of the next major bullish cycle
This seasonal rhythm perfectly mirrors what we see technically: the market is preparing to reset before beginning a strong ascent in July 2025, building into a full-fledged bull market by late June.
The Broader Picture: Beyond US-China
While some market optimism has emerged on the back of renewed US-China tariff discussions, we caution against over-reliance on this narrative. The market appears to be ignoring the broader geopolitical context, including the absence of any clear tariff agreements between the US and Japan — another major global economic player.
The complexity of global trade negotiations introduces substantial uncertainty, which may continue to weigh on investor confidence. Until such macroeconomic factors are stabilised and digested by the market, we do not anticipate a truly risk-on environment.
The Road Ahead: A Strategic Pause Before Ascent
In conclusion, Vital Direction maintains its firm stance: the current market structure does not yet support the onset of a sustained bull market. A meaningful retracement is necessary and, indeed, healthy for the long-term health of the market. We expect this corrective period to unfold over the coming weeks and months, culminating in a sideways consolidation until late June 2025 — the point at which we foresee the S&P 500 transitioning into a highly bullish environment, with the potential to reach new all-time highs.
We will continue to monitor the technicals, macroeconomic developments, and global capital flows to provide our clients with the most accurate and actionable insights. The bull is coming — just not yet.
Nifty Futures likely Intraday Trend on May 14, 2025I foresee a bullish intraday trend with support at 24412 and resistance level1 @ 25097 and resistance 2 @ 25390.
I have not considered gaps on the either direction. This is just my view and the levels in the real-time may vary due to gaps.
Traders are advised to do own technical studies and trade with proper stop-loss.
US30: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 42,240.1 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 42,166.6.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.11647 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.11894 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 32.838 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,237.87 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,220.77.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD KEY LEVELS FOR 13/05/2025// The core idea behind this indicator was sparked by a simple but powerful clue:
// 👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
// From that point onward, everything—the logic, calculation method, and application—has been developed independently through my own analysis and experience.
// I am not a seller, and no one taught me this system. This method is a result of my own effort and refinement.
///////////////////// Explanation /////////////////////
// This trading system is designed to eliminate blind trades by offering confirmation-based entry and exit points.
///////////////////// Entry/Exit Strategy /////////////////////
// - Use the BLACK line for long trades, and the RED line for short trades, in line with confirmation from your trading plan.
// - Stop Loss:
// - For long trades: below the RED line.
// - For short trades: above the BLACK line.
// - Take Profit:
// - For long trades: target the next RED line above.
// - For short trades: target the next BLACK line below.
///////////////////// Recommended Timeframe /////////////////////
// Use on a 15-minute chart for best results.
///////////////////// Disclaimer /////////////////////
// This setup is shared purely for educational purposes.
// I am not responsible for any gains or losses that may result from its use.
// Always use your own judgment and risk management.
BTCUSDT Key levels for 13/05/2025// The core idea behind this indicator was sparked by a simple but powerful clue:
// 👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
// From that point onward, everything—the logic, calculation method, and application—has been developed independently through my own analysis and experience.
// I am not a seller, and no one taught me this system. This method is a result of my own effort and refinement.
///////////////////// Explanation /////////////////////
// This trading system is designed to eliminate blind trades by offering confirmation-based entry and exit points.
///////////////////// Entry/Exit Strategy /////////////////////
// - Use the BLACK line for long trades, and the RED line for short trades, in line with confirmation from your trading plan.
// - Stop Loss:
// - For long trades: below the RED line.
// - For short trades: above the BLACK line.
// - Take Profit:
// - For long trades: target the next RED line above.
// - For short trades: target the next BLACK line below.
///////////////////// Recommended Timeframe /////////////////////
// Use on a 15-minute chart for best results.
///////////////////// Disclaimer /////////////////////
// This setup is shared purely for educational purposes.
// I am not responsible for any gains or losses that may result from its use.
// Always use your own judgment and risk management.
Buy Idea: FAUJI FERTILIZER CO LTD (PSX)🔷 Buy Idea: FAUJI FERTILIZER CO LTD (PSX)
Context:
Price tapped into a discount zone, swept liquidity below the recent lows, and formed a strong bullish engulfing candle. The setup aligns with a low resistance liquidity run toward the higher timeframe distribution zone.
✅ Entry Criteria:
Entry: Above the bullish candle close at ~366
Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low at ~323
Target: Monthly resistance / low resistance area at ~435
RR Ratio: ~1:2.5+
📊 Justification:
Liquidity Sweep: Price swept the previous low (creating inducement)
FVG Reaction: Immediate bullish reaction from the demand/FVG zone
Distribution Zone Targeted: Market is likely to grab liquidity from unfilled sell orders in the upper zone
No major resistance till 435 (clean traffic)
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Confirm daily candle closes above 366 before entry
Monitor any reaction at ~390-400 distribution zone
XRP is going to 12$🎯 Medium- to Long-Term Targets
Next Major Price Target:
$4.958 (approximately +95% from current levels). Take profit and reload lower once it hits that level
This aligns with a historical Gann fan extension and multi-year fib structure projection.
Final Major Target Zone:
Between $11.2288 and $11.9643.
This zone represents a Gann master angle target intersecting with the long-term expansion arc.
Could take multiple months or a full cycle to reach, but this is the macro target zone for XRP.
Local resistance range VAH:
Buy Idea: ADAMJEE INSURANCE CO LTD (PSX) – Daily TimeframeBuy Idea: ADAMJEE INSURANCE CO LTD (PSX) – Daily Timeframe
Price has recently formed a bullish dealing range (DR) after reacting strongly from the monthly demand zone (M T2). The current structure shows price respecting this DR, indicating potential upside movement.
🔹 Entry: Inside the DR box around 46.00
🔹 Stop Loss: Below DR low (~39.70)
🔹 Target: Monthly TP zone around 64.12
🔹 Risk-to-Reward: >2.5R
Confluence:
Price bounced from a strong monthly demand
DR formed and respected, confirming a potential reversal zone
Clean monthly target area aligned with previous highs
Bias: Bullish
Trade Type: Swing trade
Strategy Basis: Demand reaction + DR formation + HTF alignment
#WLD/USDT#WLD
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 1.18.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 1.26
First target: 1.316
Second target: 1.36
Third target: 1.408
XAUUSD: Analysis and Signals for May 13Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3200-3167
Four-hour chart resistance 3284, support below 3200
One-hour chart resistance 3270, support below 3200
Gold operation suggestions: In the Asian market on Tuesday, spot gold fell to 3216 and continued to rise, eventually breaking through 3260 US dollars. From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the first-line support of the 3200 integer mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour level resistance 3270 and the four-hour level resistance 3284 near the suppression. The short-term long and short strength watershed 3284 first-line mark, before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, continue to maintain the idea of rebound selling unchanged.
Today's CPI data, the volatility of the US market has increased, reduce the transaction size, set stop losses, and prevent unilateral market movements.
Sell: 3283near SL: 3288
Sell: 3270near SL: 3275
#SNX/USDT#SNX
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.827.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.880
First target: 0.900
Second target: 0.943
Third target: 0.977
#FLOKI/USDT#FLOKI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.00010160.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.00010950
First target: 0.00012125
Second target: 0.00012120
Third target: 0.00012900
#FLOKI/USDT#FLOKI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.00010160.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.00010950
First target: 0.00012125
Second target: 0.00012120
Third target: 0.00012900
#GAS/USDT#GAS
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading towards a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 3.55.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 3.58
First target: 3.74
Second target: 3.83
Third target: 3.96