Gann
TON Main trend 16 03 2025Logo of rhymes. Gann fan for understanding the logic of trend development and dynamic levels of support and resistance.
Time frame 1 week, for full orientation in the trend and potential targets. Key price reversal zones on which the trend development depends are shown with arrows. Conservative and adequate targets in the medium and long term. Everything above, as for me, should not worry you much, but this is purely my opinion, nothing more.
🟡 Pay attention how clearly the percentages of large triangles and time reversal zones are worked out according to the algorithm. Someone who is far from trading says that TA does not work on cryptocurrency.
TA is a banal logic, an exchange algorithm (you need to be tied to something), real supply/demand (market participants) and manipulative supply/demand, that is, large market participants (exchanges, funds, creators).
In the development of the trend, there is a fractal behavior of the price in the trend at the moment. Perhaps this logic will continue. The secondary, downward trend formed a wedge-shaped formation, as before.
1 day time frame
🟣 Currently locally an aggressive buyback is taking place (probably, as an excuse for the price movement, some positive news was released) from the dynamic support of the fan (on the 5-minute time frame, after the impulse-buyback, a bullish triangle was formed in consolidation, and now its goals are being realized). If after a rollback on the senior time frame (1 day, 1 week) this zone is preserved - a reversal of the secondary trend. At the moment, the price is moving within the wedge canvas, locally there is a complete absorption of the bearish candle on the weekly time frame.
🔴 Also, if there is a test of this reversal zone (less likely) , then the price can consolidate according to the logic of the descending wedge. Price consolidation, especially not overcoming the dynamic former fan support on a repeated retest — a decline to begin with to the median (red dotted line) of the range. On the chart you will see an "illogical" head and shoulders. This is an extremely unlikely scenario, but I will describe it just in case, so that you take this into account in your money management (not risk management).
It's Over, BTC Bulls Got Their Last ATH. Distribution Incoming.Not financial advice, knot financial advice. Long term outlook on BTC is extremely weak. Accumulation has slowed to a crawl over the past 5 years. Whales are looking to unload their whole supply. The final stage of value extraction has begun.
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Bitcoin - Comprehensive AnalysisThis is a Bitcoin TA article. In it, I will review the bullish and bearish scenarios. I will also provide price and time cutoff points, which could help us find trade opportunities.
Short-Term Bias is Bullish:
Before reviewing potential scenarios, I want to clarify one point: regardless of whether Bitcoin is long-term bearish or bullish, I expect a short-term upside in the coming days and weeks. The only question is how high it will go and how long it will last. I am optimistic about the short-term because Bitcoin is in the initial stages of the 60-day cycle that began on March 14, and the broader 200-day cycle is also in its early phase. Thus, when both the short and medium-term cycles trend upwards, Bitcoin is bullish, at least for the short-term.
Figure 1: Bitcoin Cycles
The Bearish Scenario:
Let’s begin with the bearish scenario. In this case, Bitcoin has completed primary wave five, and the correction in primary wave A is currently in progress. Primary wave A consists of an ABC structure, with the A wave likely completed. Currently, it appears to be in the initial stages of wave B. If this assumption holds, the likely target for wave B is the 0.618 retracement of A, both in terms of price and time, which sets our price target at 97K and our time target for April 7th or later.
Figure 2: The Bearish Scenario
The Bullish Scenario:
The bullish scenario posits that within primary wave five, Bitcoin completed intermediate wave four on March 14, and that intermediate wave five is about to commence. In this case, the likely target for wave five lies between 111K and 117K, although it could extend even higher. The time ratio for the fifth wave is 0.618 of the duration of wave three, which brings us to April 21.
Figure 3: The Bullish Scenario
Short-Term Minimum Target:
Even if we assume Bitcoin is bearish and that we are about to enter a prolonged correction period, I still expect Bitcoin to retrace 50% of wave A, which also marks the intersection of the upward and downward sloping channels. This retest could occur as early as Monday, March 17th, the soonest decision point.
A cross above the 50% retracement and entry into the upward sloping channel will signal a bullish bias. A rejection from the 50% line and a continuation lower will strengthen the bearish bias.
Figure 4: Minimum Short – Term
Max Target:
The maximum target suggests an extended fifth wave, and in that scenario, Bitcoin could reach as high as $123K, representing the 1.272 extension as early as April 13th. These points of price and time intersect along the 45-degree angle that marked the top of primary waves one and three. Wave five can extend even more, but at this point it is hopeium.
Figure 5: Max Target
Additional Considerations:
Yearly Cycles. In the last four years, Bitcoin reached an intermediate top between mid-March and mid-April. However, on March 14, 2020, it indicated the bottom before a bull run. I am leaning toward the bear case because March 2020 was an exceptional year due to the COVID crisis.
Fed Pivot. The next FOMC meeting is on March 19th. According to CME’s Fed Watch tool, the Fed will unlikely pivot on March 19th. Whether it does or doesn’t pivot on March 19th, the latest inflation data increases the chances of a pivot soon, which could ignite the final fifth wave and the blow-off top.
Figure 6: Yearly Cycles
Bitcoin Dream:
This is a “feel good” scenario. If everything aligns, it could become a reality.
Figure 7: Bitcoin Dream
A Bounce For Palantir?Granted that tech stocks are clearly hostage to macro at present (Trump v. Powell), a few are poised to rebound strongly should events permit. Palantir is one of them.
With support above the 50% of the move from the 8/5 low to the ATH, with good fundamentals, and a narrative that remains compelling (AI), Palantir may well continue its run if the results of next week's FOMC meeting are at all tolerable to equities markets.
Palantir has today broken the regression from the ATH to the Lower Low 3/10. Where stochastics stand, I can see a brief pullback to the low 80s Monday followed by a strong end of week. A daily close above 91--or, better yet, 98--would confirm for me Palantir's return to price discovery.
Any buys in the low 80's, I'd stop just under the 50% (at about 72).
GOLD/XAUUSD Sell - Early Sell Call - Great RR, Many Short ScalpsGOLD/XAUUSD Dropping soon for next 1 week - I am giving Early Call - Wait for my confirmation.
GOLD/XAUUSD Short after Recent Successful long signal where all TP hits, now Gold is already nearly at high, it could drop forsure but with my back testing of this strategy, it will range here, then give good RED CANDLE ON 1 HOUR, 4 HOUR CANDLE RED, then it will drop big, manage your position accordingly.
Follow for my confirmation call, I will tell exact candle to enter.
Please note: I am taking this trade with my experience and risk management, beginner traders please wait for my confirmation to enter, this trade has great risk to reward and many scalp short enteries as well.
Hey, be careful, its GOLD not some easy instrument.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
DOGE Technical Analysis
Holding above $0.14750 is key for the bullish scenario.
Failure to maintain this level could lead to further consolidation before a breakout.
⚡ Conclusion: Dogecoin is showing signs of a potential breakout from a falling wedge pattern. If the current support holds, expect a strong rally towards $0.46 - $0.65. 🚀🔥
🎯 Price Targets:
✈️ T1: $0.46386
✈️ T2: $0.55348
✈️ T3: $0.65421
PNUT Technical Outlook
A hold above $0.1406 (Fibo buy zone) increases confidence in upside continuation.
A failure to hold this support could lead to another retest before confirming reversal.
✅ Conclusion: #PNUT is forming a bullish structure near its major support. If it holds and confirms bullish momentum, expect a potential rally towards $0.3184 - $0.4490. 🚀🔥
🎯 Price Targets:
🔹 T1: $0.3184 - Initial resistance target.
🔹 T2: $0.3845 - Key breakout level.
🔹 T3: $0.4490 - Potential full bullish extension.
XAUUSD in High Tide🚀 XAUUSD: High Tide – Wave 5 Incoming! 🌊📈
Gold (XAUUSD) has completed Elliott Wave 4 and is now advancing toward Wave 5 in a strong bullish setup. Key signals confirm this move:
✅ Reverse Wedge Formation – Breakout expected as price action aligns with wave theory.
✅ Alligator Indicator – The "mouth" has opened wide, signaling momentum toward Wave 5.
✅ Bullish Pressure – High tide volume confirms buyers are in control.
🎯 Key Resistance Levels:
📉 Support to Watch:
Expecting a strong rally as gold moves in sync with Elliott Wave theory. Let’s ride the trend! 🚀
📊 Do you agree? Drop your thoughts below! 👇👇
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XAUUSD: 14/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3000-3030, support below 2950
Four-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2950
One-hour chart resistance 3000, support below 2980
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, we focus on the one-hour level 2980 and four-hour level 2950 first-line support below, and focus on the 3000 integer level break above. If the strength is strong, we will see the first-line pressure near 3030. In terms of operation, we can follow the trend to step back on the one-hour and four-hour support. The intraday price above 2950 is still in the bullish strong area and the target is to see a new high.
Buy: 2980near SL: 2975
Buy: 3000near SL: 2995
USOIL Long USOIL Long , It looks good trade to me because its strong support here, and Take profit level is very obvious and high probability.
I kept big SL to be safe side, and take profit on TP.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trades.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice, trade on your own risk.
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks - Easy MoneyNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks, it could drop a little forsure because I didn't get bullish confirmation but with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits atleast TP-1, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
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PRICE SETTTING UP FOR THE NEXT EXPANSION (PREPARE TO BUY)We had a previous post about the price levels above 4878, we also found the time and price subdivisions that connect the significant tops and bottoms in the past and what to expect forward. We also marked the 965 and 1545 levels as the variance of 1.0 and 1.618 expansion from the primary bottom.
We made a top projection at 4106 level forward from the 1545 level which is the current top where the sharp correction commenced from. With the correction in progress we expect the range between 965 and 1545 to be a strong range to park up long term buy entries.
We also see the current correction making a bottom that will be the base for the new advance pass the 4869.47 high. This expected bottom is closely tied with BITCOIN reaching 52000 price level as the 50% expected correction.
Below 1545 every decline is a chance to add more buy entries, however, margin trades should use strict stoploss rules to manage risk. Trade safe.
GOLD/XAUUSD Long - Trade Management AddedGOLD/XAUUSD Long, Gold is already nearly at high, it could drop forsure but with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits atleast TP-1, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice