XAUUSD: 26/3 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057-3100, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3032, support below 3014
Gold news analysis: The market is reassessing the potential impact of the latest US tariff policy on global commodity liquidity. Yesterday, US President Trump signed an executive order announcing that a 25% "secondary tariff" would be imposed on countries that purchase oil from Venezuela, a move that could significantly increase the import cost of Indian goods. At the same time, gold ETFs saw rare inflows at the end of the first quarter, laying the groundwork for price trends in the second quarter. After experiencing a rapid rise at the beginning of this year, both gold and silver fell and pulled back in the past week. Although increased risk appetite, rising bond yields and a stronger dollar are widely used to explain recent price movements, correlation analysis suggests that there may be other factors driving prices back down. Due to the relatively light economic data release schedule and the end of the quarter approaching, the exchange market did not show a clear upward or downward trend.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3032 and the four-hour level 3038 line, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 3014. Overall, we rely on this range to maintain a high-sell-low-buy strategy and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3014near SL: 3020
Buy: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small-size transactions
Gann
Nifty 50–1H Chart Analysis Using Volume Profile & Gann High Low1. Key Observations (Volume & Gann Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights
POC (Recent Session): 23,338.85 – strong volume concentration suggesting a key decision level.
POC (Previous Structure): 22,478.95 – deep value zone indicating prior accumulation and demand interest.
Value Area High (VAH): Approx. 23,700 – marked rejection zone; price failed to sustain above.
Value Area Low (VAL): Near 22,800 – critical demand support zone based on historical value range.
b) Gann High-Low Signals
Gann Pivot High: 23,800 zone – aligns with current range high; failed breakout attempt signals potential reversal.
Gann Pivot Low: Around 22,400 – multiple tests show significant buyer defense, acting as strong base.
c) Liquidity Zones
Liquidity Trap Above 23,700–23,800: Fake breakout potential, possible stop-run for late buyers.
Liquidity Pool Below 22,800–22,400: Where institutions likely absorbed selling pressure during consolidation.
d) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows
Volume Swing High: 23,700–23,800 – top volume spike and seller reaction.
Volume Swing Low: 22,478.95 – high volume area supporting prior reversal, now key demand level.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
Support Levels (Volume-Based)
23,338.85 (Recent POC – watch for retest)
22,800 (VAL – volume support & midpoint consolidation)
22,478.95 (POC from prior zone – major demand)
Resistance Levels (Gann-Based)
23,700–23,800 (Range high + Gann pivot)
23,600 (upper channel boundary – supply zone)
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Overall Trend Direction
Bullish to Neutral – recent sharp rally has entered a distribution phase near highs, with weakening momentum.
Potential transition into range-bound behavior or pullback toward lower POC zones.
b) Notable Structural Patterns
Rising Wedge/Channel Breakdown: Price beginning to pull back from upper channel.
Fakeout Above Range High: Failure to sustain above 23,800 confirms bearish intent.
Symmetrical Channel Forming: Indicates possible corrective move ahead.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Setup
Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300 (POC retest + prior demand)
Target 1 (T1): 23,600 (upper consolidation zone)
Target 2 (T2): 23,800 (range high retest)
Stop Loss (SL): 23,050 (below channel midline)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5
Position Size: Risk 1–2% of capital
b) Bearish Setup
Entry Zone: 23,600–23,700 (supply zone + failed breakout)
Target 1 (T1): 22,800 (VAL and lower boundary)
Stop Loss (SL): 23,850 (above fakeout high)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2
Position Size: Risk 1–2% of capital
"Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 15 • OANDA"**Key Features of the Chart:**
1. **Support and Resistance Zones:**
- A **Resistance** zone is marked in the upper region (around **3,032 - 3,036**).
- A **Support** zone is marked in the lower region (around **3,004 - 3,008**).
2. **Projected Price Movement:**
- The blue zigzag line suggests a potential upward movement towards resistance.
- After touching resistance, a bearish reversal is anticipated, leading to a drop towards the support zone.
3. **Highlighted Trade Setup:**
- A **short-selling opportunity** from resistance to support.
- The red shaded box above resistance indicates a possible **stop-loss zone**.
- The green shaded area represents a potential **profit-taking zone** if the price moves downward.
**Technical Analysis Interpretation:**
- If price **rejects** the resistance, it could trigger a **downtrend** towards support.
- If price **breaks above** resistance, the bearish scenario may become invalid.
Gold short-term market analysisTechnically, the gold daily chart remains strong and hits a new record high to close. The price continues to run above MA10 and 5 days. The daily moving average keeps opening upward, and the bulls usher in a second large-scale rise.
The short-term four-hour chart Bollinger band opens upward, the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger band, the MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening upward, the hourly chart remains consistent, the price is running in the middle and upper track of the Bollinger band, and the moving average opens upward. Yesterday's 3017 low rose to the current 3075, and it was another unilateral bullish surge of 60 US dollars. Today's trading ideas continue to maintain low-multiple participation during the day, and pay attention to the historical high selling participation opportunities during the European and American trading hours.
Stimulated by risk aversion, gold has been rising all the way, strongly pulling bulls back, and then gold adjusted, but the previous box was shaken and broken. Last night, gold fell back and still got support on the upper edge of the box. Bulls once again made efforts to attack, and prices continued to sprint to new highs. After the daily cycle was corrected for five trading days, bulls launched another fierce attack. Since gold has chosen to break upward in the shock, it is still necessary to follow the trend and go long.
The reason for the intraday gold breakout and shock upward is risk aversion and technical breakthrough. The 1-hour moving average of gold has now begun to cross upward bullish divergence. After gold fell back in the US market to confirm the support of 3033, the bulls continued to exert their strength. So gold can continue to buy on dips above 3033 today. If it falls below 3033, the short-term bullish strength of gold may be suppressed, and then gold is likely to start to fluctuate again. .
Key points:
First support: 3055, second support: 3048, third support: 3040
First resistance: 3077, second resistance: 3086, third resistance: 3097
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3048-3051, SL: 3039, TP: 3080-3090;
Sell: 3085-3088, SL: 3097, TP: 3060-3050;
IP – Short-Term Bearish OutlookIP is expected to decline to $3.6 after completing a triangle in Wave B, now moving lower to finalise Wave C as part of an ABC pullback.
⚠️ Key Level: Any touch of $6.613 would invalidate this short-term bearish structure. Stay vigilant and monitor price action closely!
XAUUSD (Gold) – 28 March 2025 READ INSIDE 📊 XAUUSD (Gold) – 28 March 2025
1. Elliott Wave & Market Structure
Wave 5 Completion Zone @ 3,060–3,070 → Final bullish expansion before reversal.
Bearish Confluence: Liquidity grab at the top.
Bullish Retest Zone @ 3,019 → MUST HOLD for continuation.
🔴 If 3,060–3,070 Rejects: Expect major correction.
🟢 If 3,019 Holds: Possible continuation to 3,100.
2. ICT Institutional Liquidity & Order Flow
📌 Liquidity Zones:
Buy-Side Liquidity Taken: 3,060–3,070 (SMC Trap)
Sell-Side Liquidity Target: 3,019 (Daily Open Support)
📌 Key Order Blocks:
Bearish OB @ 3,060–3,070 → Short Setup Zone
Bullish OB @ 2,990–3,000 → Long Reversal Zone
📌 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
Bearish FVG @ 3,060–3,070 (Reversal Setup)
Bullish FVG @ 2,990 (Liquidity Resting Below 3,000)
3. Gann Key Levels (Ultimate Precision)
🔹Final Expansion: 3,070 = Major Top.
🔹Decision Point: 3,019 = Must Hold for Bulls.
🔹Deep Discount Zone): 2,880 = Extreme Buy Level.
🚀 Gann Cycle Level @ 2,880 = Absolute Institutional Buy Zone!
4. Trading Plan & Logical Forecast (Smart Money Precision)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (75% Probability – Strongest Setup)
Short Entry: 3,060–3,070 (Final GANN Expansion)
Stop Loss: Above 3,075 (Institutional Trap Protection)
Target 1: 3,019 (Break Structure Confirmation)
Target 2: 2,990 (Discount Zone for Buyers)
Target 3: 2,880 (Gann Ultimate Buy Zone – If Collapse)
🟢 Bullish Scenario (25% Probability – Less Likely)
Long Entry: ONLY if 3,019 Holds & 3,070 Breaks.
Stop Loss: Below 3,019 (Invalidation Point)
Target: 3,100–3,110 (Final Blow-Off Before Reversal)
5. Probability %
Bearish Reversal @ 3,060–3,070 → 75%
Bullish Expansion Beyond 3,070 → 25%
6. Final Thoughts & Risk Management
🚨 Top Probability Trade = Short @ 3,060–3,070 → TP1: 3,019 → TP2: 2,990 → TP3: 2,880.
🔥 Stop Hunt Likely Above 3,070 – Ideal Reversal Zone.
✅ 100% Precise – Zero Deviation. 🚀
PM to join Math Trader
TASI Weekly Outlook – Bullish Play in Progress!📈 TASI Weekly Outlook – Bullish Play in Progress! 💥
After forming a solid base around the Monthly Type 2 Zone, TASI is showing bullish signs of accumulation. We're now watching a potential explosive move toward the Context Target at 12,895.754 🚀.
The current structure suggests a short-term pullback before continuation—ideal for bulls waiting for a clean entry. Eyes on the prize as we aim for higher highs. 🔥
🧠 By: Asif Brain Wave
SAUDI ARAMCO BASE OIL - Daily Chart (TADAWUL)SAUDI ARAMCO BASE OIL - Daily Chart (TADAWUL)
"After a long bearish phase, the market finally pauses to breathe. If the next bullish leg confirms, it will unlock the roadmap to higher targets. With strong conviction, I believe the 2025 low is already in place. Eyes on 107.4 first, then 111.8. Let price reveal the story.
Nifty Futures Intraday Trend on March 27, 2025I anticipate a bearish trend for tomorrow. 23719 looks like a strong resistance and the support levels are at 23441 and 23198 (If breaks 23 441).
I foresee a good bearish trading opportunity and I avoid all Buy Signals and Focus on my PUTs.
Ready to trade? Trade with proper stop-loss.
Long,Pioneers Holding (EGX: ASPI) Pioneers Holding (EGX: ASPI) has several key financial indicators that you should consider before making any investment decisions. Here's a breakdown of the company's financial position and
performance:
fundamentals Analysis
1. Stock Performance & Valuation:
• Current Price: 0.278 EGP
• Book Value Per Share: 0.35 EGP (suggests the stock is trading below book value, which could indicate undervaluation)
• Based on Book Value Multiple → 0.60 EGP
• Based on P/E Ratio → 0.41 EGP
• The stock is currently trading at a significant discount compared to both valuation benchmarks:
o 53.7% discount to the book value multiple (0.278 vs. 0.60 EGP).
o 32.2% discount to the fair value based on the sector’s P/E ratio (0.278 vs. 0.41 EGP).
• EPS: 0.07 EGP
• 52-Week Price Change: -32.05% (significant decline, suggesting weak market sentiment or financial concerns)
2. Financial Health & Liquidity:
• Cash: 498.11M EGP
• Debt: 875.23M EGP (debt exceeds cash, leading to a net debt of -377.12M EGP)
• Net Cash Per Share: -0.19 EGP (indicating a negative net cash position, which raises concerns about liquidity and financial stability)
• Working Capital: -134.22M EGP (negative, suggesting possible short-term liquidity issues)
3. Profitability & Margins:
• Revenue: 345.92M EGP
• Net Income: 76.01M EGP (net margin of 21.97%, which is decent)
• Gross Margin: 22.94% (moderate, indicating the company retains a reasonable portion of revenue after direct costs)
• Operating Margin: 16.82% (suggesting the company has good cost control, but interest expenses may be a concern given the high debt levels)
4. Key Takeaways:
✅ Positive Factors:
• Profitable with a 21.97% net profit margin
• Trading below book value (0.278 EGP vs. 0.35 EGP), which might indicate undervaluation
• Stable earnings per share (EPS: 0.07 EGP)
⚠️ Concerns:
• High debt (875.23M EGP) relative to cash reserves
• Negative working capital (-134.22M EGP), which could pose liquidity risks
• Stock has underperformed significantly in the last year (-32.05%)
Investment Consideration:
According to Tracxn, Pioneers Holding has a Tracxn score of 34 out of 100, positioning it ahead of Beltone (29/100) but indicating room for growth compared to leading firms in the sector.
• Value Perspective: If you believe the company can improve its balance sheet and market sentiment shifts, this could be an undervalued opportunity.
• Risk Consideration: The negative cash position and high debt may pose risks, especially if interest rates rise or earnings decline.
Tech. Analysis
see the chart mark refer to GANN & Elliot wave
#SOL: Capitalizing on High-Speed DeFi & NFTs
Description:
This trading idea focuses on SOL, the native cryptocurrency of Solana, a high-performance blockchain known for its speed, low transaction costs, and scalability. SOL powers a rapidly growing ecosystem of DeFi applications, NFT marketplaces, and Web3 innovations. With its ability to process thousands of transactions per second, Solana has positioned itself as a strong competitor to Ethereum, attracting developers and institutional interest. The network’s continuous expansion in gaming, decentralized applications, and tokenized assets further strengthens SOL as a key player in the crypto space.
Despite its strong fundamentals, it’s crucial to acknowledge that SOL, like all cryptocurrencies, remains highly volatile and subject to external influences such as market sentiment, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic trends. Investors should carefully assess the risks before entering any position.
Disclaimer:
This trading idea is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies like SOL involves significant risk, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. Always conduct thorough research, assess your financial situation, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold ElevatedGold edged above $3,020 on Wednesday, near record highs, supported by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty over upcoming US reciprocal tariffs. Trump's April 2 tariff plan is expected to be more targeted than past proposals but still signals a major escalation in trade tensions.
Markets now await Fed officials’ speeches and Friday’s US PCE data for policy clues. Meanwhile, a U.S.-brokered pause in sea and energy attacks between Ukraine and Russia, along with possible sanctions relief for Moscow, slightly eased bullion's appeal.
Key resistance stands at $3082, with further levels at $3100 and $3,150. Support is at $3000, followed by $2,980 and $2,916.