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BTCUSD Market Update & Forecast ( 21st May 2025 )# 📉 **BTCUSD Market Update & Forecast ( 21st May 2025 )** **Date:** May 21, 2025 **Analyst:** NextElliott **Instrument:** BTCUSD **Current Price:** \$106,376 **Strategy Type:** Elliott Wave, Gann Confluence, Probabilistic Reversal **Trade Horizon:** 2–7 Days **Timeframes Observed:** 4H / Daily --- ## 🔍 **Market Context & Price Behavior** BTCUSD has successfully reached my **upper resistance target zone of \$106,200–\$108,400**, topping out near \$106,400. This zone was previously identified as a **potential exhaustion area**—a Fibonacci cluster and Gann resistance confluence, marking the final stage of a **Wave (3) advance**. Price is now reacting to this resistance, and early signs of distribution or momentum loss are appearing in the 4H structure. This suggests a high-probability setup for a **corrective pullback** before any potential continuation of the larger trend. --- ## 📐 **Technical Breakdown** ### 🔻 Resistance Confluence Zone (Hit) * **\$106,200–\$108,400** * 1.618 extension from prior impulse * Gann 120°–135° resistance arcs * Measured wave projection from \$94,500 low ### 🔻 Immediate Support Zones (Pullback Targets) * **TP1:** \$97,870 – High-volume node + sub-wave 4 base * **TP2:** \$96,850 – Structure base and Gann 45° angle * **TP3:** \$95,700 – Final fib/gap support ### 🔄 Elliott Wave Interpretation * Current price action likely marks the top of **sub-wave 5 of Wave (3)**. * A corrective **Wave (4)** is anticipated next, typically retracing to the prior Wave 4 of lesser degree: * **Target range:** \$99,000 → \$97,870 → \$96,850 * Once this retracement completes, a final **Wave (5)** toward new highs may initiate—**provided** structural support holds above \$95,700. --- ## 🧭 **Gann Angle Analysis** * The recent high aligns with the 120° arc from the March low—commonly a **cycle reversal marker**. * Gann support lies near: * **\$97,870** → 45° harmonic * **\$96,850–\$95,700** → 60°–75° cluster Timewise, BTC is exiting the minor **May 10–11 Gann window**, entering a possible correction window lasting until **May 24–26**. --- ## 🎯 **Trade Scenario Outlook** ### 🔴 **Bearish Retracement Scenario (Active)** * **Trigger:** Reaction failure below \$106,200 confirms reversal * **Targets:** * TP1: **\$97,870** * TP2: **\$96,850** * TP3: **\$95,700** * **Invalidation:** 4H close above \$108,400 ### 🛠️ Risk Management * Consider short entries on breakdowns below \$104,800 (support break) * Use stop-losses above \$107,000 (recent high) * Take partial profits near each retracement target * Monitor RSI/Volume divergence for early reversal signs near \$97,870 --- ## 🧠 **Strategic Commentary** BTCUSD has met all pre-defined bullish objectives, aligning with the end of a 5-wave advance. The next **logical market move** is a correction to refresh bullish momentum and reset trader positioning. Expect volatility and potential range-based behavior before the next impulsive rally. This zone offers **ideal conditions for tactical shorts or long re-entries** upon support confirmation. --- ## 📌 **Conclusion** BTCUSD has tagged its upper resistance zone and now shows signs of topping within a mature wave structure. The anticipated pullback toward **\$97,870** is part of a healthy macro trend and should be monitored for possible long-term re-entry opportunities. Traders should shift focus to downside targets, apply disciplined risk management, and stay adaptive to emerging price signals.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by NextElliott
DOLLAR I Weekly CLS I Model 2- Target CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
TVC:DXYLong
by David_Perk
14
HUGE RETURNS PENDING! AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25HUGE RETURNS PENDING! AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅ Weekly order block ✅ Intraday 15 order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅ Weekly 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
IF THE SHOE FITS... AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅4H Order Block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Daily 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
#FXS/USDT#FXS The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 3.70. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 3.75 First target: 3.96 Second target: 4.13 Third target: 4.37
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
WHO LOVES A HPT? USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25 WHO LOVES A HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE ? THIS HAS A LOT OF CONFLUENCES GOING FOR IT FROM THE HIGHS! Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled ✅15' order block identified ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Daily 50 EMA 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
BEST PRICE TO SHORT GU - GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST W21 D21 Y25 GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25 BEST PRICE TO SHORT GBPUSD Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,380.59 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,309.37.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
#BTC/USDT#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 104090. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 104619 First target: 105128 Second target: 106128 Third target: 107091
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal