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Gann

AMD 1. Accumulation What Happens? Smart money (institutions) accumulates large positions quietly, ensuring they don’t move the market significantly. This occurs in a range-bound phase (consolidation) where prices trade within support and resistance levels. How to Spot? Look for low volatility and decreasing volume. Price shows little directional movement, forming tight ranges. Wyckoff patterns like "Spring" may appear, where price briefly dips below support to trap sellers. What to Do? Identify the range and mark key support and resistance levels. Avoid trading during this phase until a breakout or manipulation begins. 2. Manipulation What Happens? Smart money manipulates the market to create liquidity. They do this by triggering stop-loss orders or inducing retail traders into positions. This phase includes fake breakouts, sharp moves, and increased volatility. How to Spot? Sudden price spikes through key levels (e.g., above resistance or below support), followed by a reversal. Bull and bear traps occur to lure traders into the wrong side of the market. Increased volume during these moves indicates institutional activity. What to Do? Be cautious of chasing moves during this phase. Wait for confirmation of the manipulation ending, often signaled by a return to the accumulation or breakout levels. 3. Distribution What Happens? Smart money distributes their positions at premium prices, typically after manipulating the market to push prices higher or lower. This is the phase where trends (upward or downward) are fully established and driven by momentum. How to Spot? Strong directional moves with increasing volume. Breakout of the previous accumulation range, confirmed by a retest. Trend continuation patterns like higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (downtrend). What to Do? Enter trades in the direction of the trend, ensuring confirmation. Use tools like Fibonacci retracements and extensions to identify profit targets. Follow proper risk management to capitalize on the trend without overexposing. Practical Trading Tips for AMD Strategy Combine with ICT Concepts: If you use ICT strategies, align AMD with tools like liquidity zones, order blocks, and fair value gaps. Key Levels: Focus on institutional levels like psychological levels, daily/weekly highs and lows, and previous session levels. Timeframes: Use higher timeframes (H1, H4, or Daily) to identify AMD phases and lower timeframes (M5, M15) for precise entries. Patience: AMD requires waiting for each phase to develop; avoid impulsive trades.
by RBSBALA
Gold price faces strong headwinds ahead of Federal Reserve meet After testing resistance at $2,700 at the start of the week, gold is once again on the back foot as stubborn inflation takes its toll on expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle. The precious metal received a much-needed boost earlier this week as investors reacted to news that China’s central bank resumed buying gold. After a six-month break, data from the People’s Bank of China showed it purchased five tonnes of gold in November. According to many analysts, the data underscores China’s significant role in the gold market and highlights healthy central bank demand heading into 2025. ..
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ShumbaFx07
Gold price faces strong headwinds ahead of Federal Reserve meet After testing resistance at $2,700 at the start of the week, gold is once again on the back foot as stubborn inflation takes its toll on expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s easing cycle. The precious metal received a much-needed boost earlier this week as investors reacted to news that China’s central bank resumed buying gold. After a six-month break, data from the People’s Bank of China showed it purchased five tonnes of gold in November. According to many analysts, the data underscores China’s significant role in the gold market and highlights healthy central bank demand heading into 2025. ..
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ShumbaFx07
10 Brutal Truths About Why Retail Support & Resistance Fail !CAPITALCOM:GOLD 10 Reasons Why Retail Support and Resistance Levels Fail: Unlocking Gann’s Secrets to Market Mastery Here’s a deeply researched, professional explanation for each point, infused with Gann’s quotes, examples, and concepts, to open the eyes of traders to why retail methods often fail and how Gann's wisdom provides clarity. 1. Static Levels in a Dynamic Market - Explanation: Retail traders often draw support and resistance (S/R) lines as static horizontal levels, expecting the market to repeatedly respect them. However, Gann emphasized the dynamic nature of markets, stating: "Markets are never still; they are always moving, reflecting time and price interplay." Markets are influenced by cycles, trends, and time frames, making S/R levels fluid rather than fixed. For instance, Gann’s Square of Nine shows how support and resistance rotate based on angles and time increments, offering precise levels that adapt dynamically. Retail traders fail to adjust their levels as time progresses, missing key changes in price behavior. 2. Failure to Incorporate Time - Explanation: Retail S/R methods typically ignore the role of time, which is a critical element in Gann's work. Gann wrote: "Time is the most important factor in determining market movements." Support may fail not because the level was invalid but because the "time factor" for that level has expired. For example, in Gann’s Time Cycles, support at a certain price might hold only for a specific duration. When that time passes, the level loses its relevance. Retail traders, unaware of such timing principles, are often blindsided when the market breaks their "strong" levels. 3. Lack of Confluence with Angles - Explanation: Gann’s methodologies prioritize the confluence of price and angle relationships. He believed that price moves in harmony with geometric angles, stating: "When price meets time at an angle, a change is imminent." Retail traders fail to consider these angular relationships, focusing only on flat horizontal lines. For example, a 45° angle from a significant low often acts as a true support, but retail traders, relying solely on previous price zones, miss these powerful turning points. 4. Overcrowding and Psychological Herding - Explanation: S/R levels widely used by retail traders often attract a large number of orders at the same price zone, making them predictable and vulnerable to institutional manipulation. Gann noted: "The crowd is often wrong, and the minority drives the market." Institutions exploit this herding by triggering stop-losses just below support or above resistance, creating false breakouts. For instance, Gann’s "Law of Vibration" explains how markets seek equilibrium by disrupting imbalances created by crowd psychology. 5. Ignoring Volume Analysis Explanation: Retail traders rarely integrate volume into their S/R analysis. Gann emphasized the importance of volume, stating: "Price movements must be confirmed by volume to validate strength." Support may appear to hold, but without accompanying volume, the level lacks significance. A practical Gann-based example would involve observing increased volume near a critical angle or price zone, signaling genuine strength or weakness at that level. 6. Using Recent Highs/Lows Without Context - Explanation: Many retail traders base S/R levels on recent highs and lows, assuming these are universally strong zones. Gann criticized such oversimplified approaches, writing: "The past governs the future, but only through proper analysis of cycles and patterns." Without analyzing historical patterns and cycles, these levels are often superficial. For example, Gann's Master Charts reveal that true resistance may lie at a harmonic distance from an earlier historical pivot, not necessarily at the recent high. 7. Misunderstanding False Breakouts - Explanation: Retail traders often misinterpret false breakouts as failures of support or resistance. Gann explained this phenomenon through his price and time squares, stating: "A breakout without harmony is often a trap, designed to mislead the majority." For instance, a false breakout above resistance might align with a Gann angle signaling a reversal, confusing those relying solely on retail S/R levels. 8. Ignoring Market Structure and Trend - Explanation: Retail traders often focus on S/R levels without understanding the broader market structure or trend. Gann believed: "The trend is your friend until time signals the end." Support is more likely to hold in an uptrend, while resistance is stronger in a downtrend. A classic Gann principle involves combining market structure with angular analysis to determine whether S/R levels will hold or break. 9. Failure to Account for Gann's Price Harmonies - Explanation: Gann’s studies reveal that price moves in harmonic relationships, often tied to Fibonacci ratios and geometric principles. Retail traders using arbitrary S/R levels fail to respect these harmonies. For example, Gann's observation of price doubling or halving (e.g., $50 to $100) often defines true support or resistance. 10. Reliance on One-Timeframe Analysis - Explanation: Retail traders frequently analyze S/R on a single timeframe, missing the interplay between multiple timeframes. Gann emphasized multi-timeframe alignment, writing: "The major trend governs the minor trend, and the minor trend refines the major." Support on an hourly chart may fail if it conflicts with resistance on a daily chart. Gann’s multi-timeframe methods ensure alignment, reducing the likelihood of failure. Updated Closing Thought- By understanding the reasons why retail support and resistance often fail and incorporating Gann’s time-tested principles, traders can elevate their skills to a professional level. Gann's focus on time, price, and geometry provides a roadmap to understanding the market with unparalleled precision. This content is invaluable for anyone seeking trading mastery, so don't keep it to yourself! Save this and share it with your friends so they can benefit too. Follow for more absolutely valuable and free trading insights!
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader
1
XAUUSD: 12/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2725, support below 2627 Four-hour resistance 2725, support below 2675-50 Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold was suppressed and fell unilaterally in the volatile trading. The price of Asian and European sessions rose slightly and pierced the 2726 mark, oscillating and falling. The second rebound in the European session was under pressure, and the 2720 line fell downward and showed a unilateral decline. It accelerated downward in the US session and broke through the 2700 integer mark to reach a weak closing near 2675. The overall gold price showed a suppression adjustment pattern above 2726 in the short term, but the daily level technical indicators did not completely turn empty. From the 4-hour analysis, we pay attention to the suppression of the opening drop 2725 line above, the short-term support of the 2675 line below, and the important support 2650 line below. In the short term, the gold price is expected to enter the long and short wide range of fluctuations. Sell high and sell low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. BUY:2650near BUY:2675near The strategy only provides trading directions. Please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold can hit 2750 before continuing it's bearish reversal trend?Gold prices climbed further, driven by escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions and a Wall Street selloff boosting safe-haven demand. China likely acquired over five tonnes of gold in Nov, according to the PBoC report. Upcoming central bank decisions in Canada, the EU, Switzerland, and the Fed are expected to heighten gold price volatility as investors await key economic signals. XAUUSD firmly broke above its sideways range, with higher swings and diverging bullish EMAs indicating its bullish momentum. If XAUUSD surpasses the previous high at 2720, the price could rise toward its resistance at 2750 before a potential bearish reversal. Conversely, if XAUUSD retraces, the price may dip to 2680 before continuing its uptrend. 1M liquidity found on 2720 and 1M+ liquidity found on 2750 so move is confirm
TVC:GOLDLong
by GoldPipsPredictor
We are bearish and sell below the resistance of 2710Gold fell sharply on the daily line, breaking the bullish structure that had been rising strongly from 2613 to 2726 in this round. The daily line retracement tested the MA5 daily moving average. The upper track of the Bollinger Band suppressed the 2713 line, the middle track was at the 2654 line, and the RSI indicator was running above the central axis. The short-term chart fell below 2700 in four hours, and a structure of accelerated decline appeared. The RS1 indicator returned to the central axis. The intraday trading ideas for gold are short-term bullish and long-term bearish! Gold fell from a high level in the US market and is now under pressure at 2713. Gold can be sold directly near 2710. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn at a high level. After the downward divergence, the downward space of gold will be further opened, and it will continue to be sold under the pressure of 2710! First support: 2675, second support: 2670, third support: 2660 First resistance: 2692, second resistance: 2700, third resistance: 2713 Trading strategy: BUY: 2680-2678 SELL: 2710-2712
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
1
EURUSD Next possible moveSAXO:EURUSD Title "EUR/USD Intraday Analysis: Sell Entry Targets Lower Levels | Dollar Strengthens" Market Context "EUR/USD faces renewed selling pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthens on hawkish Federal Reserve expectations. Weak Eurozone sentiment adds to the pair's downside bias." Technical Analysis *"Today’s sell entry is supported by the following: Trend Structure: Persistent lower highs and lower lows signal a prevailing downtrend. EMA Dynamics: Price remains below the 20 and 50 EMAs, highlighting continued bearish momentum. RSI: Falling below 45, indicating growing selling pressure. MACD: Negative histogram bars are widening, confirming the bearish tone. Key Levels: Support: 1.0490 (intraday), 1.0460 (next target). Resistance: 1.0525 (intraday), 1.0550 (key pivot). A break above 1.0550 could neutralize bearish sentiment."* News Context "Upcoming: U.S. ISM Services PMI and Eurozone economic reports could drive intraday volatility. Previous: Strong U.S. labor market data reinforced expectations for tighter monetary policy, keeping the dollar supported." Call to Action "Will EUR/USD break below key support levels, or can buyers reclaim control? Share your insights and strategies in the comments!"
Short
by RBSBALA
AEVO/USDT Gann AnalysisLet's dive into this chart analysis with a **detailed breakdown** using Gann techniques, including the angles, levels, and how they relate to potential trading scenarios. --- ## **1. Gann Grid Overview** The chart applies **Gann theory**, where price and time are harmonized using geometric proportions. The horizontal and diagonal lines are based on **angles** and **levels** derived from the starting price at **0° ($0.2789)**. ### **Key Components** 1. **Horizontal Levels:** - Represent harmonic increments of price movements from the base level (0°). - Each level (e.g., 60°, 120°, 180°, etc.) is a **fraction of a full 360° rotation**, marking significant support and resistance. 2. **Diagonal Lines:** - Represent **price trends at specific angles**, reflecting the strength or weakness of movements. - These angles are commonly used for forecasting future price movements, as they show the natural trajectory of the market. 3. **Vertical Lines (Time Cycles):** - Represent **Gann’s time-based projections**. - Time cycles are used to predict potential trend changes or important market events. --- ## **2. Levels and Their Significance** The chart contains **several key levels**, all derived from the **starting price ($0.2789)**. Let’s explore each: ### **Base Level (0° - $0.2789):** - This is the reference price from which all other levels are calculated. - Represents a significant **support zone** where price activity begins. ### **Key Harmonic Levels** | **Degree** | **Price Level** | **Significance** | |------------|-----------------|-------------------------------------------------| | **60°** | **$0.4013** | Minor support/resistance, often tested. | | **120°** | **$0.5460** | Next key resistance zone; a breakout confirms strength. | | **180°** | **$0.7129** | Strong resistance, represents 50% of the cycle. | | **240°** | **$0.9020** | Bullish target if 180° is broken. | | **360°** | **$1.3499** | Completion of one cycle; high resistance level. | | **540°** | **$2.1809** | Expansion phase; indicates extended bullish momentum. | | **720°** | **$3.2149** | Overbought region if reached too quickly. | --- ## **3. Current Market Position** The current price is **$0.5098**, located between the **60° ($0.4013)** and **120° ($0.5460)** levels. ### **Observations:** - **Price Behavior:** - The price has **rebounded** from the 60° level ($0.4013), showing support. - It is **struggling to break above the 120° level ($0.5460)**. - **Key Levels to Watch:** - A **break above $0.5460** signals bullish continuation toward **$0.7129 (180°)**. - A **drop below $0.4013** could indicate a bearish move, targeting the **base level ($0.2789)**. - **Time Cycles:** - The green vertical line in **February 2025** represents a potential turning point. - The next significant time cycle is marked for **July 2025**. --- ## **4. Diagonal Gann Angles** Diagonal lines represent the trajectory of price based on time and magnitude: ### **Understanding the Angles:** - **1x1 Angle (45°):** Represents a balanced market where price moves one unit for each unit of time. - **2x1 Angle (26.5°):** Indicates a slower ascent, often acting as support. - **4x1 Angle (15°):** Represents strong support levels during bullish markets. - **1x2 Angle (63°):** Indicates strong resistance during bearish trends. ### **Current Situation:** - The price is **riding along a slower upward angle**, showing moderate bullish momentum. - A break above the diagonal angle at $0.5460 could accelerate the move higher. --- ## **5. Time Cycle Analysis** The **green vertical lines** represent **critical time cycles**. These are moments when the market is likely to experience **trend reversals** or **accelerated moves**. ### **Key Time Periods:** 1. **February 2025:** - A potential **bullish breakout** may coincide with this cycle if the price sustains above $0.5460. - A failure to break out may lead to consolidation or retracement. 2. **July 2025:** - A significant event in the market could occur here. - Price direction leading into this cycle will determine whether it acts as a reversal or continuation. --- ## **6. Trading Plan** Based on the analysis, here’s how you can approach this chart: ### **Bullish Setup:** - **Entry:** - Wait for a **close above $0.5460 (120°)** for confirmation of bullish momentum. - **Target Levels:** - First target: **$0.7129 (180°)**. - Second target: **$0.9020 (240°)**. - Third target: **$1.3499 (360°)**. - **Stop Loss:** - Place below the **$0.4013 (60°)** level. --- ### **Bearish Setup:** - **Entry:** - Enter short if the price **closes below $0.4013 (60°)**. - **Target Levels:** - First target: **$0.2789 (Base Level)**. - **Stop Loss:** - Place above **$0.5460 (120°)**. --- ### **Neutral Setup (Consolidation):** - If the price remains between **$0.4013 and $0.5460**, wait for a breakout in either direction. --- ## **7. Final Notes** This chart is a classic example of how Gann’s methodology combines price and time to forecast market behavior. - **For a Bullish Market:** The levels **120° ($0.5460)** and **180° ($0.7129)** are critical to sustaining momentum. - **For a Bearish Market:** Watch for failures at **$0.4013 (60°)**, as this could lead to a deeper correction. Gann Star here: Let me know if you'd like further clarification or help in comments 🚀 Wish you best of Luck!
by Magic_xD
1
#ARB: Are You Ready to Reach ALL TIME HIGHDescription: This trading idea highlights ARB, the native cryptocurrency of the Arbitrum ecosystem, a leading Layer 2 scaling solution for Ethereum. Arbitrum is designed to enhance Ethereum's scalability and efficiency by reducing transaction costs and increasing throughput, making it a cornerstone of decentralized application (dApp) development. ARB plays a vital role in the ecosystem, enabling governance, incentivizing validators, and fostering innovation within the network. As the demand for scalable and efficient blockchain solutions continues to rise, ARB is positioned to capitalize on Ethereum's growth and the broader adoption of Layer 2 technologies. It is important to remember that cryptocurrency investments are inherently volatile and subject to external factors such as market sentiment, regulatory updates, and technological changes. As a result, investing in ARB requires careful consideration and a well-structured risk management strategy. Disclaimer: This trading idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies like ARB carries significant risks, including the potential for complete loss of capital. Conduct thorough research, evaluate your financial situation, and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Long
by MoonTradingForecast