Hindalco AnalysisI have analyzed Hindalco with Trend, candle pattern & Gann techniques. And found that it is looking weak. Stop loss is 716. And Target is 677,659. It is metal stock and due to global pressure it may break.
Gann
EUR/JPY Analysis Using Elliott WaveCurrent Market Structure & Elliott Wave Count
Wave 3 Completed near 163.800 (Key Resistance)
Wave 4 Correction in Progress targeting 161.200 - 160.800
Potential Wave 5 Expansion toward 164.400+
Bullish Scenario (Wave 4 Completion & Wave 5 Start)
📌 Long Entry:
Buy at: 161.200 - 160.800
Stop Loss (SL): 160.500
Take Profit (TP1): 162.200
Take Profit (TP2): 163.800
Take Profit (TP3): 164.400
🎯 Probability: 75% (If price finds support above 161.200)
Bearish Scenario (Wave 4 Deeper Correction or Reversal)
📌 Short Entry:
Sell at: 163.800 - 164.400 (Wave 3 High Rejection)
Stop Loss (SL): 164.700
Take Profit (TP1): 162.800
Take Profit (TP2): 161.600
Take Profit (TP3): 160.800
🎯 Probability: 70% (If price rejects 163.800 resistance)
Final Thoughts & Risk Management
✅ Bias: Bullish above 161.200, Bearish below 160.800
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 for Both Scenarios
✅ Volatility Factor: Watch JPY Strength & Euro News Impact
GBP/USD Analysis Using Elliott Wave /not financial advise GBP/USD Analysis Using Elliott Wave
Current Market Structure & Elliott Wave Count
Wave 3 Completed near 1.3020 (Key Resistance)
Wave 4 Correction in Progress targeting 1.2880 - 1.2850
Potential Wave 5 Extension toward 1.3100+
Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
Bullish Scenario (Wave 4 Completion & Wave 5 Start)
📌 Long Entry:
Buy at: 1.2880 - 1.2850
Stop Loss (SL): 1.2820
Take Profit (TP1): 1.2960
Take Profit (TP2): 1.3020
Take Profit (TP3): 1.3100
🎯 Probability: 72% (If price finds support above 1.2850)
Bearish Scenario (Wave 4 Deeper Correction or Reversal)
📌 Short Entry:
Sell at: 1.3020 - 1.3040 (Wave 3 High Rejection)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.3080 (Above Wave 5 Expected Move)
Take Profit (TP1): 1.2960
Take Profit (TP2): 1.2880
Take Profit (TP3): 1.2780
🎯 Probability: 67% (If price rejects 1.3020 resistance)
Final Thoughts & Risk Management
✅ Bias: Bullish above 1.2850, Bearish below 1.2780
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 for Both Scenarios
✅ Volatility Factor: Watch USD Strength & GBP News Impact
US30 Analysis Using Elliott Wave READ INSIDE
US30 Analysis Using Elliott Wave
Current Market Structure & Elliott Wave Count
Wave 3 High Completed around 42,600-42,700
Wave 4 Pullback in Progress targeting 42,200 - 42,000
Potential Wave 5 Extension towards 42,800 - 42,900
Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
Bullish Scenario (Wave 4 Completion & Wave 5 Start)
📌 Long Entry:
Buy at: 42,200 - 42,000
Stop Loss (SL): 41,800
Take Profit (TP1): 42,500
Take Profit (TP2): 42,800
Take Profit (TP3): 42,900
🎯 Probability: 70% (If price finds support above 42,000)
Bearish Scenario (Wave 4 Deeper Correction or Reversal)
📌 Short Entry:
Sell at: 42,600 - 42,700 (Wave 3 High Rejection)
Stop Loss (SL): 42,850 (Above Wave 5 Expected Move)
Take Profit (TP1): 42,300
Take Profit (TP2): 42,000
Take Profit (TP3): 41,700
🎯 Probability: 65% (If price rejects 42,600 resistance)
Final Thoughts & Risk Management not financial advise
✅ Bias: Bullish above 42,000, Bearish below 41,900
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 for Both Scenarios
✅ Volatility Factor: Use Smaller Lot Size at Key Levels
BNB usdt - near to breakout After Breakout confirmation target is 830
If reject from here then lower levels are 618
560 510
USTEC (NASDAQ 100) Analysis – 30M Timeframe
1️⃣ Market Structure & Current Position
Current Price: 19,758
Recent Swing Low: 19,200 (March 14)
Recent Swing High: 19,900 (March 20)
Key Observations:
The market is ranging between 19,200 – 19,900.
Breakout above 19,900 could trigger a strong rally due to thin liquidity above.
If rejected, price could retest 19,600 or 19,200 before resuming upside.
2️⃣ Key Technical Levels (Support & Resistance)
Support Zones (Demand Areas)
19,600 – 19,650 → High volume node, key retest level.
19,200 – 19,250 → Major liquidity zone, potential bounce area.
Resistance Zones (Supply Areas)
19,900 – 19,950 → Immediate resistance, key breakout level.
20,400 – 20,450 → Fibonacci 1.618 extension.
20,850 – 20,900 → Fibonacci 2.618 extension, potential exhaustion zone.
📌 Gann Confluence Levels:
19,800 – 19,850 → 1/8th division of the last major range.
20,250 – 20,300 → 2/8th division, possible reaction point.
3️⃣ Probable Scenarios & Probability (%)
📈 Bullish Scenario (70% Probability)
Break & Retest of 19,900 → Target 20,400 – 20,850.
Confirmation: Volume spike above 19,950 & bullish close on H4.
Wave 3 of Elliott Cycle could push price to 20,900 if momentum is strong.
📉 Bearish Scenario (30% Probability)
Rejection at 19,900 → Drop to 19,600, possibly 19,200.
Confirmation: Bearish engulfing candle below 19,750 & increase in sell-side liquidity.
If 19,200 breaks, expect deeper pullback to 18,900 – 18,800.
4️⃣ Conclusion & Trading Strategy
🎯 Bias: Bullish above 19,900, cautious if rejected.
✅ Long Entries:
Break & Retest of 19,900 → TP1: 20,400, TP2: 20,850, TP3: 21,300
Aggressive Buy: Bounce from 19,600 with strong bullish rejection.
❌ Short Entries:
Rejection from 19,900 → Target 19,600 & 19,200.
Aggressive Short: If price fails to break 19,750 with increasing sell volume.
🎯 Stop Loss Levels:
For Longs: Below 19,500.
For Shorts: Above 20,600.
🚀 Final Thoughts
If USTEC clears 19,900 with volume, we could see an explosive move to 20,400 – 20,850.
If rejected, price may revisit 19,600 – 19,200 before another breakout attempt.
Elliott Wave Count H1 XAUPrimary Impulse (Higher Degree) – 5-Wave Structure:
1️⃣ Wave 1 → $2,800 → $2,925 (Early impulse wave, Feb 2025).
2️⃣ Wave 2 → $2,925 → $2,875 (Deep pullback, strong support).
3️⃣ Wave 3 → $2,875 → $3,000+ (Extended wave, strongest rally).
4️⃣ Wave 4 → $3,000 → $2,950 (Consolidation correction).
5️⃣ Wave 5 → $2,950 → $3,035+ (Current move, nearing completion).
Wave 5 Substructure (Lower Degree – 5-Wave Internal Count)
(i) Mini Wave 1 → $2,950 → $3,000 (Impulse start).
(ii) Mini Wave 2 → $3,000 → $2,975 (Shallow retrace).
(iii) Mini Wave 3 → $2,975 → $3,025 (Strong breakout).
(iv) Mini Wave 4 → $3,025 → $3,010 (Small dip, channel retest).
(v) Mini Wave 5 → $3,010 → $3,035+ (Final push, near exhaustion
WHAT NEXT GOLD PLAN TO FOLLOW :
A-B-C Structure (Standard Zigzag or Flat Correction)
1️⃣ Wave A (Impulse Down)
Initial drop from $3,035 - $3,050 (current peak).
Targets $3,000 - $2,975 (first demand area).
Confirmation: Bearish candle closes below $3,010.
2️⃣ Wave B (Retracement Up)
Likely retraces 38.2% - 61.8% of Wave A.
Resistance zone: $3,015 - $3,025.
Key invalidation: If price reclaims $3,035+, bearish correction weakens.
3️⃣ Wave C (Final Drop – Equal or 1.618x of A)
Targets $2,960 - $2,940 (measured move).
Deeper correction if structure breaks → Next demand at $2,900 - $2,920.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Analysis – 2H TimeframeBitcoin (BTCUSD) Analysis – 2H Timeframe
1. Market Structure & Current Position
Bitcoin has been ranging after a sharp drop from 97,000 to 83,000.
It recently attempted a recovery but is struggling around the 84,300-84,800 zone.
Consolidation structure suggests accumulation or distribution before a significant move.
The previous high around 97,000 is still a major point of interest.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Levels:
85,800 – 86,300 (Short-term resistance)
88,900 – 89,300 (Gann level + liquidity zone)
97,000 – 97,500 (Key swing high)
Support Levels:
83,000 (Current support)
81,800 – 82,000 (Strong demand area)
77,300 (Deep retracement Gann support)
3. Probable Scenarios & Probability %
➡️ Bullish Scenario (60%)
If BTC breaks above 85,800, it could push towards 88,900 (liquidity grab level).
A breakout above 89,300 confirms a rally towards 97,000 (previous swing high).
Elliott Wave suggests this could be Wave 3 of a bullish impulse, targeting higher Fibonacci extensions.
➡️ Bearish Scenario (40%)
If BTC fails to hold above 83,000, a drop to 81,800 – 82,000 is likely.
Breaking 81,800 opens the door to 77,300 (Gann retracement level)
A failure here suggests deeper correction or accumulation for a larger move later.
4. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 Bias: Bullish above 85,800, cautious below 83,000.
📌 Entry Points:
Aggressive Buy: Above 85,800 if momentum confirms.
Safer Buy: Retest of 83,000 with strong bullish reaction.
📌 Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 81,800 for buys.
Take Profit: 88,900 → 89,300 → 97,000.
Gold Price Analysis March 24Fundamental Analysis
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on a three-day rally from multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-driven US economic slowdown could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon. This, coupled with geopolitical risks, acted as a non-yielding driver for Gold and helped limit downside momentum. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through before confirming that XAU/USD has topped out in the near term and positioning for any meaningful corrective slide.
Technical Analysis
Friday's D1 saw strong selling pressure with the sharpest drop from 3046 to 3000. Late in the day, bulls pushed the price back 50% of the D candle. This shows that bears have entered the market but the downtrend will take some time.
The h4 structure is quite nice to see the buy and sell wave structure.
Scenario 1: In the 3026 zone of the European session, selling pressure has appeared. If the price pushes up to break the 3026 zone at the end of the session, it will give a BUY signal, break 3026, target 3037. When the US session breaks 3037, keep the order until 3045. The 3045 zone gives a good SELL signal for today if the price finds it. When the price reaches 3037 and cannot break this zone when the US enters, it can SELL to 3026, further than 3018. Scenario 2: The price does not break 3026 but falls, then wait for support around 3013 and support 3003.
SUI: Scaling Blockchain with High PerformanceDescription:
This trading idea focuses on SUI, a next-generation Layer 1 blockchain designed for high scalability, low latency, and enhanced security. Developed by former Meta engineers, SUI leverages the Move programming language to optimize smart contracts and improve transaction efficiency. Its innovative architecture enables parallel execution, reducing network congestion and enhancing speed, making it a strong competitor in the blockchain space. As demand for scalable and cost-effective blockchain solutions grows, SUI is positioned to attract developers, enterprises, and DeFi projects seeking a more efficient infrastructure.
Despite its strong fundamentals, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, influenced by regulatory developments, macroeconomic factors, and overall market sentiment. Therefore, investing in SUI carries inherent risks, and traders should implement proper risk management strategies.
Disclaimer:
This trading idea is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrencies like SUI are highly speculative and subject to rapid price fluctuations, which can result in the complete loss of capital. Always conduct thorough research, assess your financial situation, and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Nifty Futures intraday trend for March 25, 2025Nifty Futures broke the key resistance at 23623 and closed higher and the further uptrend is anticipated to take resistance at 23825.
Nifty futures may begin with a gap down opening tomorrow ie March 25th and a down trend in the morning may give us an opportunity to enter long.
SHORT AT ENTRY LEVELPrice on short reached a resistance level and is expected to make a minor correction within a Phi range. Use a reasonable stoploss rane, trade safe
March 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq index announcement (FOMC interest rate announcement) at 3 AM soon.
I created today's strategy based on Nasdaq.
*When the red finger moves,
One-way long position strategy
1. 83,451.4 dollars long position entry point / green support line breakaway stop loss price
2. 85,233.8 dollars long position 1st target and after autonomous short -> Top autonomous long
-> Good to up to 94,179.7 dollars long position final target price
(You can check the price if you drag the chart.)
The purple finger section at the top
is the place where you should touch first to have a high chance of success in the strategy. This is a section for autonomous shorts and rising waves,
(If it comes down right away, the safe section in the short-term rising trend is number 2)
If it breaks the 3rd sky blue support line at the bottom,
the rising trend line may break,
and since the previous low is broken from the bottom,
you should open it up to $79,712.8 by the weekend.
(Major rebound section)
Please use my analysis articles for reference only,
and I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
I will see you next Monday due to personal reasons.
Thank you.
GT Price Alert: Hidden Bullish Divergence Spotted!"4-hour chart shows:
• Price makes lower lows while RSI makes higher lows
• Volume profile indicates accumulation near
Toncoin ($TON) Weekly Outlook
Toncoin is showing a strong bullish reaction from a historical demand zone that has acted as both resistance and support multiple times in the past (highlighted with red circles). This level continues to prove its significance.
Currently, #TON has bounced off the lower boundary of a falling channel, suggesting a potential reversal setup.
✅Retesting major historical support (~$2.50–$2.80)
✅Strong bullish wick rejections indicate buying pressure
✅ Currently approaching mid-channel resistance
Target 1: ~$4.80 (mid-channel)
Target 2: ~$6.50 (channel top)
Target 3: ~$8.00+ (previous swing high if breakout confirmed)
Invalidation: A close below $2.40 would break structure and negate the bullish thesis.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Technical Analysis Using Volume Profile 1. Key Observations (Volume & Gann Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
POC (Point of Control): $3022.81 – high volume concentration area currently acting as a mid-range pivot.
Value Area High (VAH): Near $3032 – price has respected this zone multiple times as short-term resistance.
Value Area Low (VAL): Near $3012 – the lower boundary of prior trading activity, marking potential support.
b) Gann High-Low Signals:
Confirmed Gann High near $3045 aligned with recent rejection zone.
Recent Gann Low around $3012 – price has shown a bounce here, confirming it as a potential demand zone.
c) Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity Grab at $3040-$3045 – prior highs swept with a quick selloff, indicating institutional stop hunting.
Potential Sell Stops resting below $3012 (Range Low), marked as a key liquidity target if bearish continuation plays out.
d) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High at $3035-$3045 (low volume node followed by reversal).
Swing Low at $3020-$3022 near the POC – acting as a high-volume support base.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Key Support:
$3022.81 (POC – key reaction zone).
$3012 (VAL and Gann swing low – confirmed support).
b) Key Resistance:
$3032 (VAH – rejected multiple times).
$3045 (Liquidity sweep and previous Gann swing high).
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend Direction:
Currently range-bound, but short-term bullish structure forming inside a rising channel off the $3012 low.
b) Pattern Observations:
Range Structure: $3012 to $3045.
Channel Formation: Price is oscillating upward in a defined channel.
Breakout Opportunity: A clean break above $3032 opens space toward $3045 again.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
Trade Direction Entry Zone Target 1 (T1) Target 2 (T2) Stop-Loss (SL)
📈 Bullish Entry $3020–$3022 $3032 $3045 $3012
📉 Bearish Entry $3032–$3035 $3020 $3012 $3046
c) Risk Management:
Minimum Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of account equity per trade.
Execute only on confirmation of rejection or break of zone (avoid blind entries).
Gann Trading Strategy: Understanding Gann Price CyclesGann Trading Strategy: Understanding Gann Price Cycles.
Gann Trading Strategy with a deep dive into Gann Price Cycles and candle range averaging to forecast upcoming highs and lows. Learn how to apply Gann's time and price principles, predict market turning points, and enhance your trading accuracy.
Gann Price Cycles: Understanding Market Movements with Precision
- Gann Price Cycles are a fundamental concept in W.D. Gann's trading methodology, used to predict market highs and lows based on historical price movements and time cycles. Gann believed that markets move in predictable cycles, influenced by both price and time relationships. By studying these cycles, traders can anticipate future turning points with greater accuracy.
Key Principles of Gann Price Cycles:
1. Repeating Market Patterns – Price movements follow specific cyclical patterns that repeat over time. Identifying these patterns helps traders forecast future price swings.
2. Time and Price Symmetry – Gann emphasized that time and price must be in balance. When a market completes a significant time cycle, it often results in a reversal or acceleration of trend.
3. Natural Market Rhythms – Just like planetary cycles, financial markets move through predictable 360-degree price cycles, based on Gann’s Square of Nine and Gann Angles.
4. Averaging Price Ranges – By analyzing historical price ranges and averaging them, traders can estimate the next high or low in the market.
#PENDLE: Unlocking Yield Tokenization in DeFi**Description**:
This trading idea focuses on **PENDLE**, a DeFi protocol that introduces yield tokenization, allowing users to separate and trade future yield from underlying assets. By enabling a secondary market for yield-bearing tokens, **PENDLE** provides investors with new opportunities for maximizing returns and managing risk exposure in decentralized finance. With the growing demand for innovative yield strategies, **PENDLE** has positioned itself as a key player in the evolving DeFi landscape, attracting liquidity and institutional interest.
Despite its potential, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, with factors such as regulatory developments, macroeconomic conditions, and investor sentiment influencing price movements. As always, a cautious approach and proper risk management are essential when trading **PENDLE** or any digital asset.
**Disclaimer**:
This trading idea is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies like **PENDLE** carries significant risk, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. Always conduct thorough research, assess your financial situation, and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Decoding NIFTYDear Traders,
I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavours and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift.
Preliminary Analysis Overview:
The downtrend from all-time highs has reached approximately 65% of its progression.
The recent upward surge is somewhat concerning due to concerns about a new trend or a correction within a correction in a larger degree (downtrend).
Let us discuss the key points to distinguish between these two scenarios:
The second leg of the downtrend is experiencing a correction, having completed approximately 89/90 days (which reinforces the interim trend’s completion).
The current correction is progressing rapidly, exhibiting limited sub-waves, which is typically not a characteristic of a motive wave (especially at the beginning of a trend).
The accompanying chart illustrates this point.
Let us elucidate the reasons behind this assertion:
Reason I:
As a staunch believer and ardent follower of Master WDG , the significance of time cannot be disregarded.
The primary downtrend commenced on September 27, 2024, and is poised to encounter a pivotal juncture, namely 180 days from its commencement on March 25, 2025 (Tuesday). This date also coincides with a cross-over with the Fibonacci value of 21 from March 4, 2025, where the interim correction commenced (21,964.60).
The 180D is a component of both the tetragram and the hexagram, and it also represents the midway point of a complete circle (360).
There is also another weird correlation, 4th MAR’25 & 25th MAR’25 both falls on Tuesday marking initiation & termination, the same day.
Reason II:
The geometric patterns of preceding and ongoing movements further support this analysis.
Analyzed both on a daily and weekly basis. The correction responded favorably to both Fibonacci retracements and trendlines. Upcoming resistance levels include:
RI: 23,590~23,600
RII:23,653 (23.6% of the downtrend)
RIII: 23,807
The previous support level is acting as a crucial resistance.
I also observe that there will not be a positive close in 3M charts.
Reference:
Important Dates to Remember:
As suggested, March 25, 2025, marks a significant juncture in the overall trend.
This is pure technical based analysis & does not involve any economic data releases other factors.
** Final Verdict: **
The market is anticipated to conclude its final leg of the downtrend, commencing from this Tuesday. However, the duration of this leg can range from 1 to 2 months.
I have identified several crucial dates for monitoring the upcoming trend. Stay informed!
**Strategy:**
Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bearish stance appears prudent.
Any sell positions executed after 23,550 will yield positive returns.
While it may seem counterintuitive to deviate from the prevailing trend, I am merely adhering to the established rules (without expressing any personal sentiment). However, it is inherently risky. Therefore, it is imperative to implement robust risk management strategies during such high-risk trades that are significantly influencing the market.
Additionally, please exercise caution regarding option buying. The low volatility environment is concerning, but it is anticipated to normalize as the downtrend progresses.
Fellow Traders,
The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally.
Thank you for investing your time in reading this article.
Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors!
Disclaimer:
Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
USDZAR-NEUTRAL SELL Strategy 6 hourly chartThe pair is in fact ranging within a large area, but breaking it down, over all we should see lower from direction point of view. The current state suggests upside pressure but as long we are below 18.3800-18.4000 and not broken, we should see a test of 18.0000 again. Then 3-hourly chart is negative slightly.
Strategy SELL @ 18.2000-18.2400 and add below 18.3300 area, if seen. I am preferred NEUTRAL but for those willing to stick out there neck, this is my ideas currently, without having a position right now.
