A 10 years experimental outlook for DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGEHi, everyone.
Currently i'm learning Gann's method on annual forecasting. But, i'll tried it to make it 10 years further.
It's so hard to find his documentation on his techniques, so i may be wrong.
Everyone who see this post, live in a little bit more than 50% of major 60 years cycle like 1929 and 1869. So, the next cycle would be around 2049
But if this was correct, i can see that there is no crashes until January 2026. and you should thank me and Gann later for inventing this useful manual technique.
But if this was completely wrong or not correct at all, it's definitely my fault..cause i still know nothing...so please don't hate me.
I use a combination of machine learning algorithm named Learning Vector Quantization , this algo is supervised learning which i set the dataset from 2010 (after last crash), and EMA 21/34/90 to filter out the trend.
In combo with that, i also use a time series model based on financial astrology as how Gann's did in the past. In this case, i don't use Gann angle because it is very effortful, so there will be a 1 or 2 bars different each swing.
Using gann's angle provide more accuracy of how the price will go, but it took a lot of time.
So, because i'm predicting 10 years further i'm not gonna using it this time.
Yeah, so that's where all of my prediction comes from. Hope you explore more, so you'll realize how cyclical the market is.
Cheers, H. Haidar
PLEASE REMEMBER THAT I COULD BE WRONG, OKAY.
SO YOU DONT BLAME ME FOR YOUR TRADING DECISION
Gannlevels
BTC Usdt Gann angles cycle time/price
A cluster area in the middle and a difficult angle at 180. If it is crossed to the top, it will be a strong ascent to the target of the 360 round, then the correction will be stronger and faster.
#gann
#btc
HOW TO : Use Gann Fan Correctly This is just one simple way of scaling the fractal dynamic and relation to price with time that works beautifully. And by beautifully, we mean that it has made us a lot of money.
However, making money has barely anything to do with TA, and everything to do with personal discipline and psychology.
There is no reason to have a binary mind of right vs wrong when it comes to simple scales and math that actually work.
Markets are never wrong, but opinions often are.
Trading isn’t about whether you’re right or wrong.
Instead, it’s about how much you make when you’re right, and how much you lose when you’re wrong.
DETAILED M15 Price movements Calculated with Gan Box15M DETAILED Waiting for the 0.382 Fib level after possibly touching blue 0.412 levels !! Here on the daily rsi we got negative divergence and after lots of buying pressure slowly decreasing due to the start of weekend. We have came to our main resistance levels at 0.40. Hourly chart has touched the the upper band of the vwap and bounced off. There is a chance if bitcoin breaks through 16800 and closes above it on the H4. We might see XRP breaking out but its less likely as bitcoin is in similar situation right now. We need to drop the liquidity at the lower levels such as 0.37 and below. Therefore, I will be looking for short positions. Although be careful and allow risk management.
PLEASE FOLLOW AND SHOW SUPPORT if you want more TA
Trade to Profit!
$DXY End of Month Range ReviewThere appears to be forces at work that are expect (are working on making) $DXY move down to 106.5 levels by months end. Today, 108 to 108.5 is in the window I'm looking through. Simple as that! Keep an eye out though, if we break 108.5, the market's gonna be tanking pretty bad, and there's already divergence between $DXY and assets like $BTC in play this week, and today's no exception!
👻 $DXY $BTC Divergence [What's up with $EURX and $CRO?]Usually when $DXY tanks, $BTC and other investment assets rise, but today is again diverging from the norm (2 or 3 time in the past days). What explains it? Perhaps the fact that $EUR is 🔺 up? A rebalancing of the currency books, perhaps? Or we're setting up for a fake out in during US open. Where are my currency experts at?
The market seems to expect more dovish announcements during the upcoming Jacksonhole FED event; my take based on Chair Powell's speech in June is that we could indeed expect rather a 100bp hike (very hawkish) or at least 75bp, again like last time. The doves are hoping for a 50bp hike. If we get 50bp, does it feel like the market will be ready for a rally?
I stopped out of the majority of my $cro short around .13. Looking to add more back in some more if we dump through the .1285 - .13 range and retrace back to these levels.
I expect 20750 to be an important stopping point for BTC and opportunity for quick long scalp for a few points if the dumpiness continues during the EU trading session, as I would expect the US brinks to put a little long pressure on before it shows it's true intention for the day to either continue the $dxy dump and move into longing other asset prices, or to reverse and really dump the markets at market open.
Summary, SHORT.
My analysis still isn't solid and clear; but i'm hoping you're following along and interested anyway. Comments, suggestions, questions welcome! GL out there!
GBPJPYHello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
The way I told you, you have to trade like this and you will have more profit always and you will not be a loss.
1. Daily Share Analysis Chart
2. Technical Knowledge
3. Fundamental Knowledge
4. Trading Signal
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BTCUSD: Preparing Positional Long EntrySince our last post, the BTCUSD market went through a corrective phase that brought the price to the mid20k level, the lowest price since the onset of the price discovery phase when the prior ATH was left behind with a bang. It is an exceptionally well-behaved market despite the turmoil that many other DeFi projects incl. stable coins have been going through. It seems reasonable to be looking for opportunities to add to long exposure in this market as the risk/reward is becoming more attractive.
Key events/levels to look for clues:
25k bottom retest;
25k bottom retest +break = 7.5k extension lower;
17.5k - 22.5k as a major bottom.
INDEX:BTCUSD is at a very pivotal moment and opportunities always come with risk, do manage the risk accordingly.
Staying tuned for further tells.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension TutorialUsing a simple 50% Gann level can work wonders for your trading game and provide that extra bit of confidence needed to not exit trades too early or trail your stop-loss too tightly for fear of price reversing too soon.
Simply pull if from most recent consecutive pivot markers high/low/high or visa versa.
Squaring Price With TimeThis is simply my method thats works best for my trading style. This method works on any time frame and yeilds 90+ % swing pivot trading accuracy.
Observe the right edge of the box as it indicates the future pivot dates.
There is no need for me to use any other method but please keep in mind there are other methods available to discover if this doesnt suit you.
Always use this as a confluence and not alone as a single trading stradegy.
BTC MAY 90 Degree AnglesPer request of @PremiumSunny .
119 - 90 = 29
112 - 90 = 22
(please see previous post on 90 degree angles for explanation)
Squared chart, and yes I expect the price of BTC to be heading down as we are in 7 bearish macro cycles until 2024 and as you can see price continues to fall below these key angles. However there will be bounces along the way.
Pivot dates:
April 24-26th
May 1-2
May 8-9th
May 17-18th(lunar eclipse)
etc...
NZDUSD Long-term idea with Gann fans These gann fans go back to 2014, we see the loss at the end of 2021 former support line, freely according to the law of attraction we would accordingly land on the nearest one. However, this may take until 2023 and represent a 5% loss against the USD.
Currently we are at a horizontal support line, which results from the crossings of the fans, this could, as of now, slow down the fall somewhat, but probably not stop it.
EASIEST WAY TO SQUARE RECENT PRICE ACTION FOR GANN TOOLSTake a recent significant high or low price.
Then find a square root calculator and receive the square root.
Then square that number again.
Finally, go to settings - scale - and select "lock to scale" to insert the final number.
For this case, it came to 8.13, and so the chart has been locked in with that scale and set to the 4-hour.
Gann Percentage Movements IntroductionW. D. Gann described many types of numbers that he calculated on a daily basis. He worked mainly with percentages based on the dollar and the number of months and weeks of the year in accordance with Astrology.
Some of his more popular numbers were:
6.25%
12.50%
18.75%
25%
33%
37.5%
50%
62.5%
....and so on.
He also wrote about the rule of 8, 9, 10 and even numbers. For this simple example we are using 6.25% and Bitcoin as the asset.
''One of the greatest discoveries I ever made was how to figure the percentage of high and low prices on the averages and individual stocks. The percentages of extreme high and low levels indicate future resistance levels.''
W.D. Gann 1949.
GANN AMAZING SECRET METHODThis is based on the 90 degree fixed mathematical law or universal rule.
Method: Use the trend angle tool and mark a low/high trend line. Next, take note of the angle. Then, subtract 90 from the angle to arrive at the second angle degree number that you will then draw to arrive at 90 degrees in the prediction of future trends.
His master class text is posted below.
Smart Money Analysis: Double Top with Major Hurdle $US30 is approaching a major hurdle with Double Top formation in place. If this hurdle is crossed and if $US30 manages to close above 35650 levels for consecutive 2 Days, then Sky would be the limit for $DowJones and $US30. Then DowJones would enter into a new orbit and will form its own new support and resistance levels above the current levels. Untill it closes above 35650 level, be careful with your Long trades, be properly hedged and look for early short signal to enter into short trades.
For Education purpose only. All disclaimers apply