TSLA: Crashing! Is there any hope for it?• TSLA is in a bear trend, and it lost the previous support level at $198 (daily chart);
• The volume is quite high, and today, TSLA is doing another gap (yellow square);
• Since the trend is bearish, and it lost the previous support level, in theory, TSLA is heading to the $179, our next support level as seen in the weekly chart (red line);
• The $179 is a key support from March 2021;
• There’s not a single bullish sign indicating that we found a bottom or that we’ll reverse from here – at least not right now;
• If TSLA fills the last gap today or tomorrow, it will be an Exhaustion Gap, and this might indicate a bounce to higher levels, but again, we lack bullish evidence at the moment;
• For now, let’s focus on the $179, on the last gap, and on how TSLA will close today.
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Gap
AAPL: Did it just a BOTTOM? What's next?• AAPL is doing many technical movements recently, as it behaved exactly as we expected since our last analysis (link to it below this post);
• It lost our key support level (purple trend line in the 1h chart + 21 ema in the daily chart), and this triggered the sell-off;
• Now, as we expected, it is just after its next support levels. Today, we just hit the previous bottom at $134 (with an astonishing precision, by the way), and AAPL is trying to stabilize in this area;
• There’s not a single bullish reaction yet, but if we see one, the timing couldn’t be better;
• In my view, any bounce would make AAPL fill the previous gap (yellow square) and seek its 21 ema in the daily chart;
• This wouldn’t be a bullish reversal, just a bounce, and to reverse this bearish sentiment, AAPL must do a clear bullish structure first;
• I’ll keep you guys posted on this.
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NVDA: Key Points to watch next week!• NVDA is going up sharply today, reinforcing the bullish sentiment on it;
• If you are afraid of a pullback, keep in mind the channel seen in the 1h chart – only if NVDA loses this channel downwards the bull trend will get weaker;
• This wouldn’t be a reversal sign though, as we would need to see a bearish structure for this, and so far, there’s not a single bearish sign around;
• In theory, NVDA is heading to fill the previous gap at $141.98, and in the lack of bearish signs, this is the most likely scenario;
• In addition, NDA is reversing the trend in the daily chart too, as it is trading consistently above the 21 ema. The only thing missing is a clear higher high/low to say that this is officially a bull trend.
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$GBPUSD - Sterling Needs More Attractive Price for Buyers *SMT**SMT* = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm sorry, but you won't convince me that Tesla or Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react to that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will do 2 things 1) move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines , etc.) and 2) Move toward Imbalance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids. Open Gaps) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.*
As the price of the pound has fell to record lows this year, During the london session it dropped a filled a daily fair value gap. However it has not returned tp the starting gap price to completely fill in the imbalance.
Sterling is usually a sure bet when thinking long term VS the USD, it's going to need to drop a little more for Investors to feel safe with their money in the Sterling again. With the current wave and the dollar moving up, The pound Should be heading down toward below a current liquidity level and the bulloish order Block.
I may have already missed the best entrance, and it could just be going straight down in here, but I have my traders hunch it will pull up during the US session and fall last minute. This trade may take a while to play out not just two days like my EURUSD trade did.
However to get there it will have to create an illusion that it will buy during the NY SESSION and instead will fall into next week possibly.
Or it could create equal lows giving the illusion of support and the up into the red and drop
OANDA:GBPUSD
TVC:DXY
BET:GBPUSD1!
CME_MINI:M6B1!
Entry Points in NFLX Ahead of EarningsPlatforms ahead of earnings is an important pattern to watch for. Platform-building markets develop on the dominance of institutional investors buying quietly with controlled orders via the Dark Pools.
NFLX has a classic "quiet accumulation" pattern, also known as a Dark Pool buy zone. These platforms provide strong support for the bottom formation, especially since this was a breakaway gap.
GBPUSD dip to gap fill then bounceOANDA:GBPUSD will dip back down to fill in some PA and Volume gaps.
With an anchored VWAP from September 13 NY session open with a big dump starting a long downtrend, PA is ranging between the standard deviations of the long term VWAP.
Above the current VWAP, it opened the week with a large gap up from last week's close, which it will go fill on its way back to the VWAP and on down to fill a volume gap seen in a (up/down) volume profile over the same period.
After running through the volume gap in a downtrend continuation, shorts reacted sharply twice with price returned to that zone.
After it broke up through the gap zone quickly, it returned once and longs sharply pulled it up.
I speculate a move back down to the VWAP-1stddev support and the volume gap before Sterling finally begins recovering from his bender before the morning after.
(Note: I do smell a little hopium odor from the shorters next door.)
SE ~ Lower Lows incoming? Buying Opp incoming?SE, Sea Limited has been suffering massive losses ever since its peak in the fall of 2021. This massive bull run was led with the Tech & Growth Stock boom that's bubble has recently bursted through out the current Bear Market of 2022!
Sea Limited owns multiple varieties of Business in the South-Eastern Asia Region. Businesses Like :
Shopee - Ecommerce Giant
Garena - Gaming + Esports
& Much more smaller companies
Sea Limited has grown a massive amount of revenue, but has most definitely struggled with its debt and spending to make a profit.
Nonetheless, let's get to Technicals!
SE has suffered such huge losses, many wonder where is the bottom!?
My thesis for this Stock is a short / mid term short position, followed by long term accumilation.
Short : SE has 2 major gaps to still be filled from back before COVID, and the gigantic Rally that took place on SE. I see huge potential for this company's future growth, but I think more downside is to come to give SE fair value.
Along with fair value, and these gaps SE has been unable to reclaim any weekly moving averages, and the TTM_SQUEEZE Momentum Indicator shows more bearish momentum coming.
The monthly chart will get to the point of being oversold, probably near these gap fills. At these gap fill areas, and the way down would be a proper time imo to be covering short positions.
The market also seems to have some more pain ahead, and interest rates will only hurt this company and the markets more, driving the stock down fundamentally.
Long : I do believe in this company's long term outlook and performance. I do think that this will take a while to turn around... But if these gaps get filled, the Risk/Reward on SE will be favorable if the company has only grown. I am going to be extremely patient on SE but will be ready to hunt the discount if these gaps do become filled. I Will also keep my eye on the TTM_Squeeze on the MONTHLY chart, as the Monthly chart has been getting extreme momentum to the bearish side, and will look extremely oversold in the coming months with more downside.
Thesis : Short to Gaps ; Long @ Gap Fills
USDC - A strange gap that feels aloneIt is worth keeping an eye on this gap on USDC.D because it could be used as a potential flashpoint and space to create an earthquake in the crypto market.
The vast majority of intestors and traders are watching USDT.D which is a mistake looking at the fact that USDC is also a very important player in the market
QQQ: Doing as expected, but be careful with this resistance!• QQQ did an Above the Stomach candlestick pattern just above the previous support at $268 (black line);
• This candlestick pattern was triggered, and QQQ is trading at its first technical target at the 21 ema;
• QQQ didn’t trigger the bullish candlestick pattern we mentioned last week, and the moment it lost the $275, it just went down to seek our next target at $268, and it hit it with astonishing precision before reacting again, as we expected. The link to my previous analysis is below this post;
• Now that it is near its 21 ema, we’ll see if this is a Dead Cat Bounce or a meaningful reversal sign;
• If it loses yesterday’s low, it’ll show some weakness and a bearish thesis will gain strength. However, by breaking the 21 ema, a mid-term reversal would have a first target at $307, to fill the first gap (yellow square);
• Either way, QQQ is about to do something interesting;
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
NIFTY 50- CORRECTION WAVES!!!i was waiting when the market will open and my waves will get confirmed, today by a gap down opening, and not breaking out the trend line, i was final with my 5 wave correction. nifty will correct till 16550 level. this week will go in a correction.
HAVE A GREAT LOOK ON THE RSI TOO.
TEXTBOOK $DLTR #SHORTTextbook $DLTR short. Massive consolidation with a large gap on either side. The consolidation broke down, retested the consolidation, and was rejected. Additionally, even with the cross-market rally, $DLTR did not move as much as other stocks that bounced from the market relief. Lastly, $DLTR is almost exclusively owned by institutions, the setup is textbook, and the gap down allows for a great risk-reward ratio from near-the-money options, making this play a high conviction trade.