A rally to the $ 39.50?Hello Tradingview community! We don't have any confirmation on the price yet, but we have a double bottom on the RSI, a good divergence as the price is falling, and we have an advanced breakout from the previous top on the RSI.
This could antecipate a rally to the 39.50 (there's a little gap around here that could be filled), the 50% fibo retracement in the D chart:
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Melissa.
Gap
AAPL: Could these patterns reverse the trend again?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how AAPL is doing today!
Since last month, when we were discussing the reversal patterns AAPL was doing, our view was clearly bullish. Now that it went from $ 120 to almost $ 140, what’s next for it?
Well, in the 1h chart we have again some nice reversal patterns. Apple is doing higher lows , and if it breaks the blue line at $ 130.44 it’ll trigger a bullish pivot . It has a gap to fill (yellow square), and it’ll probably seek the $ 137 again if it does that.
Let’s see the daily chart:
The problem with the daily chart is the volume . The high volume in the bearish days indicates that the bears are not kidding here. Maybe this was all thanks to earnings, but we can’t be sure.
But it is a fact that it is sitting right above the $ 128 and it is doing a good reaction now. But if AAPL loses the $ 128 again, things might get ugly for it, and it could retest the $ 120 area next.
This is a decisive moment for AAPL, and I’m eager to see how it’ll play. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates on stocks and indices, and if you liked this idea, remember to support it!
Thank you very much!
Will MSFT fill its gap? Good risk-reward ratio here!Hello Tradingview community! We have a RSI/price divergence on MSFT. If it breaks the 249.5 the gap at 261 is the next
stop. The risk-reward ratio is very good!
It is sitting right above the support area in the 1D chart too. Good luck!
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Melissa.
TSLA: Keep your eyes at this Triple-Support zone!Hello traders and investors! Let’s talk about Tesla today!
Ok, Tesla materialized the worst-case scenario we talked about in our last study ( link below this post), and now it is trying to bounce back, as expected.
We discussed that this is as far as Tesla could go in the short-term, and now Tesla is almost triggering a bullish structure, or a pivot point , if you will. The black line at $ 685.10 is the key point here , and if Tesla defeats it, it’ll reverse the trend in the short-term. In this scenario, the gap at $ 733.70 is the next target to work with.
What’s more, Tesla just dropped enough to fill one of its past gaps , as evidenced in the chart, which is also a support zone for the price. But it is not over yet! We have another interesting support, seen in the daily chart:
The trend is still bullish in the daily chart, as we have higher highs/lows , and Tesla just hit the purple trendline again. This makes the zone around the red line a Triple-Support Zone , and it won’t be easy for Tesla to lose it.
The volume is another nice thing to look at. After our Ignition Bar , on Friday (which was denied thanks to the recent drop), Tesla has been dropping with low volume. The fact that we have low volume, and the stock is dropping/moving sideways indicates that there are no true sell pressure around. If there were any pressure, the volume would be higher.
Meanwhile, let’s wait for any bullish confirmation on Tesla. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily studies, and please, support this idea if it helped you!
Thank you very much!
Tesla at a support + good divergence!Hello dear community! Tesla has a RSI divergence intraday, above a support level in the 1D chart.
This could make Tesla fill the gap at $ 733!
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Melissa.
TWTR - opportunity to Long with small riskTWTR gapped down after announcing earnings and traded down to it's long term trendline support and appears to be holding well here. Opportunity to long it (wait for a break above 55.72 to ensure enough momentum to the upside) with initial stop loss $1 below its recent pivot low of 52.60
Looking to take profit around 65 where it fills the recent gap.
Disclaimer: This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you. Feel free to give me your thoughts ! :)
SPX: Targets and Key Points to keep in mind!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today! The index is dropping a lot, but maybe it is not the end of the world ( at least not yet ).
The thing is, in the 1h chart the index did a breakaway gap , breaking the previous support level at the red line. This usually indicates a strong movement ahead, and the next target is the 4,119 area, which is the next support.
The daily chart will offer us more clues:
The trend is still clearly bullish in the daily chart, and we have no reversal sign ahead. The recent drop is just a pullback, as far as we can assume. We only have higher highs/lows, not lower highs/lows.
What’s more, the index just retested its 21 ema in the daily chart, and it is bouncing back up already. A retest of the 4,119 is still plausible, but any good reaction around this support level would be welcome for the index, and could resume the trend in the mid-term.
But we have no bullish signal yet, so, we must be careful. If you liked this analysis remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates, and please, support this idea if it helped you!
Thank you very much.
Nasdaq - Sharp drop in momentumNasdaq's unexpected drop in Momentum suggests further choppiness ahead and sharp moves in either direction should be met with skepticism. If this wave count is correct, we're in a double 4 which corroborates the aforementioned forecast for price action. Sharp movements to the upside should find strong resistance at the Fibonacci extensions whilst downside movements should find support around the GAP level indicated. For the meantime I think the short MA will offer substantial resistance whilst the intermediate MA plays catchup.
GM ShortUptrend wedge break down + revisit.
Breakaway Gap
Crossed below SMA13, SMA50
RSI Divergence
OBV<OBV SMA34
W%R crossed -50
Short 56
Stop 64
Target 43
I am not a PRO trader. I trade option to test my trading plan with small cost.
The max Risk of each plan is less than 1% of my account.
If you like this idea, please use SIM/Demo account to try it.
TSLA: What is the worst-case scenario in the short-term?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how Tesla is doing today!
First, in the 1h chart, it is behaving as we thought it would in our last study. The support level around the $ 708 worked until a certain point , but now Tesla lost it. So, what’s next for it?
It seems the $ 693 is another support level to work with, and if lost, hardly Tesla would hold itself before the $ 667 - $ 668 area. If the Nasdaq Index corrects a little bit more in the daily chart, then this scenario would be easily materialized.
However, if the $ 693 holds the price, we might see something good in the next few days. Let’s see the daily chart for a better perspective:
The trend is clearly bullish, as we have higher highs/lows , and the situation favors the bulls. Tesla is in a buy zone right now, as it is near some support levels, but we have yet to see a bullish reaction to confirm our thoughts, along with an increase in volume .
In the worst-case scenario, Tesla would hit the $ 667. Then we’ll need to see if it’ll react or not. Since we are in a bull trend, the odds are that Tesla will do a bullish reaction.
Even in the worst-case scenario, Tesla would remain bullish , and it could offer a brilliant buy opportunity. But regardless of how Tesla will behave from now on, the $ 821 is the next target to work with in the mid-term.
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AMC: Another target hit! What's next?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how AMC is doing today.
In our last study, we discussed the Triangle pattern, along with the targets and strategies to use here, and AMC did exactly what it was supposed to do. If you missed our previous study, the link is below.
First, in the 1h chart we had an upwards breakout from the Triangle and it hit the next target at the green line ($ 11.52), and it even defeated it, as we discussed in our last study.
Now, the green line is supposed to work as a support in the short-term, following the Principle of Polarity . If the green line doesn’t hold the price in the short-term, then the 21 ema might do the work. I’m not considering that AMC will crash again because we are in a short-term bull trend , and we have higher highs/lows in the 1h chart. In this scenario, pullbacks are just opportunities to buy.
What’s more, it is important to notice that AMC did a breakout from the Triangle by doing a gap, which in turn becomes a Breakaway Gap . The daily chart will offer us more clues:
The stock is breaking the green line, which is good, and it seems the volume is finally starting to increase as well. This can create a new bullish leg, and the next target is the blue line at $ 14.54.
The support levels mentioned in the 1h chart are more than enough to hold the price in the short-term, but in the worst-case scenario, AMC would drop to its 21 ema in the daily chart, which is almost the same point the Breakaway Gap in the 1h chart is.
If AMC drops, even the worst-case scenario wouldn’t be too much of a problem, as the bias would still be slightly bullish. But in order to make it fly again, AMC must hold itself above the green line.
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Looking for 3930You can see that ES has broken down from up wedge and I got a really good entry. I love a perfect entry, making you feel good from the start. Exit though is harder. Once entered it is difficult to get exit. You want to hold on as long for possible and get most out of this as you can. Generally the longer you stay in the better (timeframe dependent) but alway exit early if things don’t go your way.
There is very little support until about 3930 (at least price action wise)
MACD strong negative divergence
Gap down below to fill. This might be a good place for a second entry if it finds resistance here.
Stay tuned!
Love all you PuckBunny fans 💜
Week 17: ZSK2021 No point of return sighted (yet)Last week right after the Asian market open, the weekend gap was filled, our $1440 Decision Point level was breached and it went up to the moon.
There were no sign of weaknesses yet, bullish momentum was strong on each upward push.
Today the market was opened with a gap up again and as I am writing this, there is no sign of reversal yet; therefore we stay put and see the price action in the next few candles.
My new pivot line is at $1536.
Let me know if you have other views or comments.
AMD could do breakaway gapAMD pushing strongly toward the resistance line that was tested multiple times + we corrected for a lot of time.
If we will get breakaway gap, that will signal the beginning of a new leg up (at least for the short term).
If the volume increases it will be superb.
Like it to see later how it played out.
As always diversify.
Also, earnings are soon...
BPTH Case StudyI remember seeing this move live in real-time when it happened. It was amazing!
Thought of doing a study case of this pattern.
The chart is self-explanatory.
First, you wait for the first part of the pattern to happen ----> Huge gains + Huge Volume
Second, you watch it does the first pullback, and keep an eye on the HIGH.
Third, when the stock is making a new high, you enter with momentum, risking to the previous low.
The previous low is almost 50% away but it is fine, it is safer this way, being conservative protects you in the long run, putting 1 unit of risk on this trade.
Either to take profit on the way up somewhere when the profit seems substantial, or according to the gap theory, or take profit when touching the EMA, or when you see the move is drying up.
You can see that the move is drying up when there is no substantial volume on the rallies + the rallies don't follow through.
Note to self: I noticed that when there is a downtrend on drying volume, odds that the downtrend will continue ---->>> POTENTIAL SHORT SETUP
*** Could possibly look at options if they are profitable or not for this trade.
TSLA: Next targets and some scenarios to work with!Hello traders and investors! Let’s talk about Tesla today! It’s been a week since our last study, so we have a lot to update! The link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual.
First, in the 1h chart, Tesla filled an open Gap around the $ 777 and now it is dropping again. We have a short-term bear trend, as since the $ 777 Tesla has been doing lower highs/lows, and maybe we have a Descending Channel (purple lines).
But it seems the $ 708 is the most important support level for the short-term. We also have a pivot point at $ 737, and if Tesla holds itself around the $ 708, and breaks the $ 737 it would be a great sign.
Now, let’s see the daily chart for more clues:
Yes, the support at $ 708 is visible from the daily chart too, and what’s more, it is quite close to the 21 ema as well, making it a Dual-Support level.
Yesterday’s reaction was nice, and today’s drop shouldn’t be something scary, as TSLA might be just doing a pullback in the 1h chart before it triggers the pivot we mentioned. But if Tesla loses the Dual-Support zone, then the next target will be the red line at $ 667 , which is the next support level to work with.
But Tesla is still bullish, and even if it drops to the $ 667, it is not going to ruin the bullish configuration, it will only delay the next bullish leg, and offer another opportunity to buy or increase your position, at a cheaper price.
Let’s monitor Tesla closely and remember to follow me to keep updated about my daily studies, and please, support this idea if you liked it!
Thank you very much!
Gap TheoryThe gap theory is short and simple. Not everything needs to be lengthy and laborious. "Everything should be simple as possible, but not any simpler"
Break-Away Gap
Once a new cycle has begun and you see a breakaway gap in the STARTING of a move, you get confirmation of this new cycle. HOLD.
Run-Away Gap
Once the trend is continuing for some time and then you see a second gap, this is a confirmation that you are somewhere in the MIDDLE of the move, so you know a further movement in price is expected. HOLD.
There is a possibility that you can get multiple runaway gaps.
Exhaustion Gap
After a move in price had already happened, a gap that signals the END of the move happens. If this is your 3rd gap on the, you should look very closely to distinguish if it is a runaway gap or exhaustion gap. SELL.
How do you tell the difference between the exhaustion gap and the runaway gap?
Easy, if after the gap happens the price shoot straight up without closing the gap in the next few days ---> runaway gap. HOLD.
if after the gap happens the price is closing the gap in the next few days ---> exhaustion gap. SELL.
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PLTR: Targets to work with for the short/mid-term!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how PLTR is doing today!
In our last study, PLTR was looking great, but the Gift pattern didn’t work this time, and now it is just heading to the next support levels. Now, we have a short-term bear trend in the 1h chart, and no reaction sign ahead.
The only way PLTR could reverse this bearish sentiment would be if it does a bullish structure, like a bullish chart pattern, or triggers a pivot point.
The $ 22.06 is a nice support level, and if PLTR closes above it tomorrow, the market may see a false breakout form a support level, but it seems this is not going to happen, and PLTR will seek the next support at $ 21.07.
Now, let’s see if the daily chart offers more clues:
The interesting thing here is that PLTR is dropping in the past few days, but the volume has been decreasing too. This shows exhaustion form the bears, and any bullish reaction will be more than enough to reverse this trend.
The $ 24.45 is a resistance to be defeated in order for it to seek the gap at $ 31.34. In the worst-case scenario PLTR will seek the support at the red line again.
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Thank you very much!