HALLIBURTON Weekly Technical AnalysisHAL Weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Confluence, Clusters, Trend Lines , Parallel Chanel, Fibonacci, Gap, Triangle - Hope it Helps, Good Luck
DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
Gap
Review and plan for 7th February Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Gap closed on Bitcoin futures.With a candle that can be seen as a hammer, the price closed the gap by taking buy orders that were in the majority compared to sells, the candle is evident. In the related analysis I had written that it would be a very useful level, given that gaps often work well as supports or resistances, in this case it has become a very useful support, a perforation of the minimum of this candle would be a sign of weakness, but let's see better the context in which we find ourselves.
At this moment the price of btc is correcting in the medium term (2/3 months), therefore faced with a movement of approximately 88 days, a correction could occur (which has drawn a new high) linked to this cycle, of course if if the scenario changes, the session count would also change. So far the price is moving higher and there is no reason to think otherwise, so my bullish hypothesis or scenario continues to be useful in understanding where we are now. Possible even very violent increases could appear before long, we are at the end of this correction which has not yet given the final blow, the classic strong decline, unless it was this weekly candle which we can call hammer, the last decline of the correction. Now we need caution and above all trust in the trend.
BTC: Long at Breakout or Sell at Breaker Block?Assessing two potential scenarios for BTC, my bias leans bullish. The recent closure of the CME gap and successful liquidity sweep above the gap contribute to this optimistic outlook.
However, a critical factor to consider is the breaker block, particularly as it aligns with a corrective wave level, creating confluence for the short side. Monitoring the market's response to this level is crucial, as a retracement might occur, possibly heading towards the 36k-32k range. Staying adaptable to evolving market dynamics is key in navigating these scenarios.
Review and plan for 2nd February 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Imbalance Expert : Guide for mastering imabalance'sCryptocurrency trading is an intricate dance, where understanding and interpreting market imbalances can provide traders with a competitive edge. This comprehensive guide aims to demystify the art of trading imbalances, catering to both beginners and seasoned traders. Through a detailed exploration of strategies and considerations, we'll delve into the world of market dynamics, emphasizing the importance of a holistic approach to trading.
First example has cool reason to go higher ( EQUAL HIGHS ) and big liquidity pool below
Section 1: Understanding Imbalances
1.1 Defining Market Imbalances:
Explore the concept of imbalances in the cryptocurrency market.
Differentiate between bullish and bearish imbalances.
1.2 Reading the Signs:
Learn to identify imbalances on various timeframes.
Utilize technical indicators and chart patterns to confirm imbalances.
Section 2: The Anatomy of Imbalance Trading
2.1 Spotting Imbalances in Price Action:
Analyze real-world examples of imbalances using provided screenshots.
Understand how imbalances manifest in different market conditions.
2.2 Tools of the Trade:
Explore popular tools like volume analysis, order flow, and market profile to complement imbalance trading.
Highlight the role of moving averages and trendlines in confirming imbalances.
Section 3: Strategies for Imbalance Trading
3.1 Swing Trading with Imbalances:
Discover how to swing trade using imbalances as entry and exit signals.
Explore risk management techniques tailored for swing trading.
3.2 Scalping Opportunities:
Uncover strategies for intraday trading based on short-term imbalances.
Discuss the importance of quick decision-making and tight risk control.
Section 4: Advanced Considerations
4.1 Macro and Micro Analysis:
Emphasize the need to consider both macroeconomic trends and micro-level price action.
Discuss how macroeconomic events can create imbalances with lasting effects.
4.2 Market Sentiment and News Analysis:
Incorporate sentiment analysis and news events into the overall imbalance trading strategy.
Understand how sudden shifts in sentiment can create imbalances.
Section 5: Risk Management and Psychology
5.1 Risk Management Strategies:
Explore risk management techniques specific to trading imbalances.
Discuss the importance of position sizing and setting stop-loss orders.
5.2 Mastering Emotional Discipline:
Address the psychological aspects of trading and how emotions can impact decision-making.
Provide practical tips for maintaining discipline during trading.
Conclusion: The Art and Science of Imbalance Trading
In conclusion, mastering the art of trading imbalances requires a combination of technical expertise, strategic thinking, and emotional resilience. Whether you are a beginner looking to enter the world of cryptocurrency trading or a seasoned trader seeking new insights, this guide aims to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate the dynamic landscape of imbalance trading. Remember, success in trading is an ongoing journey that requires continuous learning and adaptation to evolving market conditions.
💡 Imbalances Decoded | 📊 Tools of the Trade | 🚀 Strategies for Success | 🧠 Risk Management Mastery
💬 Share your insights: What are your experiences with trading imbalances, and what additional strategies have you found effective? 🌐✨
INTEL Daily Technical AnalysisINTC Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines, Cluster, Confluence, Pitchfork, Fibonacci Retracement, Gap - Hope it Helps, Good Luck
DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
Fair Value Gap Trading StrategyFair Value Gap Trading Strategy
To implementing a fair value gap as a trading strategy you need to understand these three basic components of this trading strategy.
Time
Liquidity Hunt
Market Structure Shift
Fair Value Gap
Let’s begin by discussing the importance of time in trading. According to ICT Trader, time is considered to be fractal, meaning that what happens on higher time frames is reflected in lower time frames if studied in the proper context.
In this context, fractal refers to the idea that patterns and behaviors observed on longer time frames, such as daily or weekly charts, can be seen in shorter time frames, like hourly or minute charts.
By studying price action and market behavior across different time frames, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and potentially identify profitable trading opportunities.
Time indeed holds significant importance in the fair value gap trading strategy, particularly when it comes to identifying favorable trading setups. Despite the forex market being open 24 hours a day, not all times present ideal conditions for executing fair value gap trades. That’s where the concept of ICT Kill Zones comes into play.
ICT Kill Zones
ICT Kill Zones refer to specific time periods during the day that have been observed to offer higher probability trading opportunities. These zones are associated with the entry of smart money, which are institutional or banks who have the ability to influence market direction.
In short, ICT Kill Zones correspond to specific time periods during the day that are particularly relevant for trading activities. These zones include the London Open, London Close, New York Open, and New York Close.
Traders using the fair value gap trading strategy often focus on these times as they tend to offer higher probability trading setups. The ICT Kill Zones are associated with the entry of smart money and can provide enhanced opportunities for traders to capitalize on market movements. By aligning their trading activities with these specific time periods, traders aim to improve their chances of success.
Liquidity in FVG Trading Strategy
Liquidity in the market often takes the form of buy stops and sell stops.market makers or smart money intentionally trap retail traders by manipulating prices to trigger their stop losses.
The idea is that they move the market in one direction to hunt for stop losses, causing retail traders to place orders in the false direction and set their stop losses at key levels. After the stop loss hunt, the market reverses in the opposite direction, benefiting the smart money.
Let’s analyze the above chart from a retail trader’s perspective. When we observe the chart, we notice that the price levels between 44240 and 44280 have proven to be strong resistance in the past.
Based on this observation, many retail traders might place their selling pending orders to anticipate of a price reversal at these levels. To manage their risk, they would likely set their stop loss orders just above this resistance area.
What is done by market makers or smart money,they could manipulate the market by initially pushing the price upward, deliberately triggering the stop loss orders placed by retail traders. This action would cause some retail traders to think that a breakout is occurring and prompt them to place buying orders while setting their stop losses at levels below the resistance area.
Once the stop loss orders have been hunted and triggered, the market makers or smart money may then reverse the price direction.
Enhancing Trading Success with the Fair Value Gap Entry Strategy
After a liquidity hunt on a higher time frame, you suggest switching to lower time frames such as 15 minutes, 5 minutes, 3 minutes, or even 1 minute to identify certain patterns that may emerge following the stop loss hunt. These patterns include:
1.Sudden or sharp price movements: Following the liquidity hunt, you may observe rapid and significant price fluctuations on the lower time frames.
This sharp movement causing market structure shift and provide an extra confluence.
2. Fair value gap (FVG): Look for gaps between the current price and the fair value of the asset. The fair value represents the equilibrium price based on various factors. Identify instances where the market price deviates significantly from this fair value.
3. Entry position based on the Fair Value Gap strategy: Once you spot a fair value gap pattern after the liquidity hunt, you can consider taking a position in anticipation of the market filling that gap. The expectation is that the market will eventually return to the fair value price.
It’s important to carefully train your eyes to recognize these patterns after a liquidity hunt and patiently wait for the market to come back and fill the identified gap. Once you have identified a suitable entry position, you can place your stop loss order above the first candle to manage your risk.
Please note that implementing such strategies requires careful analysis, experience, and a deep understanding of the specific market you are trading. It’s crucial to conduct thorough research, backtest your strategy, and consider other factors that may influence price movements before making any trading decisions.
Review and plan for 19th January 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 15th January 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review & plan for 9th January 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
GAP is ready for a series of PRICE GROWTH!GAP is registering significant net positive volume this past few weeks -- in anticipation of the company's turnaround story in terms of bottomline which it did after the company posted a surprise profit due to business re-organization after last Month's earnings result.
The stock is sitting at a strong solid support at 8-9 area -- a 1.0 FIB level area where buyers converge. Expect price to bounce from this range.
Weekly histogram has created higher lows conveying incoming reversal to the upside.
Spotted at 8.5
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always
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FUNDAMENTAL NEWS: Reference Barrons.
Gap’s Surprise Profit Gives Stock a Boost
By Sabrina EscobarFollow
May 25, 2023 5:09 pm ET
Gap’s same-store sales fell by 3%.
Gap stock surged on Thursday after the company posted a surprise profit.
The apparel retailer posted adjusted earnings of one cent a share in the quarter, better than consensus estimates for a loss of 16 cents a share, according to FactSet. While revenue of $3.28 billion declined 6% compared with the previous quarter, it was in line with the company’s and the Street’s projections.
Same-store sales fell by 3%, more than forecasts for a 2.4% decline.
For the second quarter, Gap (ticker: GPS) is expecting net sales could decrease in the mid- to high-single digit range from the year-ago quarter’s $3.86 billion. Current estimates have Gap’s second-quarter sales down by roughly 5% year-over-year. For fiscal 2023, net sales could decrease in the low to mid-single digit range.
Despite the decrease in sales, Gap believes margins will grow in both the second quarter and the remainder of fiscal 2023. First-quarter adjusted gross margins increased 5.7 percentage points compared with the previous year.
Gap stock jumped 16% to $8.61 in after-hours trading.
The company is currently reorganizing its business to improve profitability. Earlier this year, it announced it was cutting 1,800 corporate jobs in addition to 500 jobs culled in September.
“While the macro and consumer environment remain uncertain, Q1 underscores our ability to deliver improvements to the business including share gains at Old Navy and Gap Brand, adjusted operating margin expansion, reduction in inventory, and strength in our balance sheet,” said interim CEO Bob Martin in a statement.
Revesal day! - plan for 21st December 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Bitcoin Has To Fill Some December GAPsA CME gap for bitcoin refers to a price discrepancy that occurs on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange bitcoin futures chart between the closing price of one trading day and the opening price of the next trading day.
Gaps occur because the bitcoin spot market trades 24/7 on various centralized exchanges, from which CME derives its Mark Price, while the futures market only trades Sunday through Friday, from 6:00 pm to 5:00 pm ET.
Some believe that gaps on the CME chart can act as significant support or resistance levels, as prices typically tend to fill the gap at a future date. Others argue that CME gaps are simply a technical phenomenon with no real predictive value.
Bitcon CME Futures chart made some GAPs in December, which can get filled in upcoming days/weeks and it can be very interesting to follow. We think that wave C can now fill the GAP from December 3rd and then when correction is completed and bulls back in play, then it can fill the GAPs from December 17 and December 10.
Review and Plan for 15th December 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
TSLA: An Intense Breakout is About to Occur!TSLA shares are trading in a Trap Zone, the area between the 21 EMA, which serves as the main support, and the resistance at $246.70, which was already mentioned in my last public analysis, the link to which is below this post.
This area between the 21 EMA and resistance is called the Trap Zone because as long as there is no real breakout from support or resistance, we could see several false signals and erratic, meaningless movement within the area.
The 21 EMA is slowly rising, squeezing the price against resistance at $246, and sooner or later, we will see a breakout in some direction. There's no way of knowing in which direction the breakout will occur - remember real trading is reactive, not predictive. In some cases it is possible to look for clues in an indicator such as the RSI, and look for a divergence or an Advanced Breakout (which is not the case here).
Since our last study, the price has retested the $246 area, reinforcing our main idea that this is indeed the main resistance for TSLA shares in the medium term. Only if the price breaks through this region will we see a real sign of recovery, which would represent a continuation of the upward trend.
Meanwhile, we see that the price is trading dangerously close to the 21 EMA. If the average is lost, then TSLA could trigger a new bearish move, perhaps looking to fill the gap opened at $225.40. Such a bearish move seen today is definitely suspicious, while the indices and almost all of the "magnificent 7" are rising. I wonder how long such a divergence between TSLA and the rest of the market will persist.
TSLA shares are falling this week, just as we approach the main long-term resistance at the top of its Descending Channel. The 21 EMA is also serving as support on this timeframe, which also reinforces our thesis that this area is a key support point, which could trigger a sharper correction if lost.
For the time being, as long as there is no clear break from its Trap Zone, TSLA's shares are bound to move erratically. To avoid a bearish scenario, now would be the best time to see a reaction. How the price behaves over the next few days will be crucial to what lies ahead in the medium and long term.
I'll keep you updated on this, so remember to like this post, and follow me for more analysis like this.
Best regards,
Nathan.
SPX: An Unstoppable Rally? Analysis of the D & W charts.The SPX index is still trading within an area of resistance, which we identified together in our latest study, the link to which is available just below this post.
Although we have almost reached the next resistance at 4.607, the impression the index gives us is of a sideways correction. Since November 22, the SPX has been trading within our resistance zone (red area), without triggering any top signals, but without managing to continue the insane bullish rally either.
Despite the recent stabilization in the price, we don't see any significant top signals, or any kind of bearish reaction that could trigger a correction in the near future. But even if the index does correct, there are several support points that could hold the price, such as the 21 EMA, the gap open at 4.421, or even Fibonacci retracements as shown below.
It's worth noting how close the first retracement of 38.2% is to the gap. A correction up to one of these points would not pose any danger to the uptrend, so any pullback could become a buying opportunity. Remember, corrections are different from reversals. If there's no sign of a correction at the moment, it's even less clear that there's any chart structure indicating a reversal.
However, given the weekly chart, I understand the appeal that a correction would have:
The index has risen for five consecutive weeks, and the rally has been very intense. A pullback would be an acceptable and healthy move, and the 21 EMA would serve as a support point here too. It's worth noting that the average is at 4.402 at the moment, very close to the first Fibonacci retracement mentioned above and the last open gap.
For now, let's keep an eye on how the index reacts within its resistance zone over the next few days. Any sign of a top could trigger a medium-term correction, and in my view, if SPX closes below our resistance area again, we could finally see a correction. However, I agree that such movement is quite unlikely, at least right now. As I stated in our last analysis: "December is another good month for stocks, going up 1.50%, on average, and it ends up being a positive month 75% of the time."
I'll keep you updated, so remember to follow me for more analysis like this, and support the idea if you like it.
All the best,
Natthan.