📊 Liquidity Gaps CheatsheetIn volatile markets, traders can benefit from large jumps in asset prices if they can be turned into opportunities. Gaps are areas on a chart where the price of a stock (or another financial instrument) moves sharply up or down, with little or no trading in between. As a result, the asset’s chart shows a gap in the normal price pattern. The enterprising trader can interpret and exploit these gaps for profit.
📌 What is a gap?
A gap occurs when the price of a security moves quickly through a price level, either up or down, with little trading or pricing available over that time span.
📌 How they are formed
Gaps can be caused by several factors, but they are mostly seen as a result of unexpected news or a technical breach of support or resistance.
🔹 On the fundamental side , the news could be a company beating earnings estimates by a large margin, or a speech by a Federal Reserve (Fed) official impacting interest rate expectations.
🔹 On the technical side, gaps can ensue following the break of a prior high/low, or other form of technical resistance or support, such as a key trend line.
💥 Key Takeaways About GAPS
🔹 Gaps are spaces on a chart that emerge when the price of the financial instrument significantly changes, with little or no trading in between.
🔹 Gaps can occur unexpectedly as the perceived value of the investment changes, due to underlying fundamental or technical factors, such as an earnings disappointment.
🔹 Gaps are classified as breakaway, exhaustion, common, or continuation, based on when they occur in a price pattern and what they signal.
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Gap
NIFTY NEEDS TO DECIDE !Case Study: Nifty seems to be in a crucial position. It can either get stronger to give a flag pole breakout and extend higher in the near future OR BREAKDOWN to cover up the 3 remaining gaps.
We know that 99% of the time, Nifty fills its daily gaps and with these 3 pending, an up move will only mean a future down move to cover them up later.
It is better for the market if the price comes down to 16,000 filling up gaps only to rebound and create new highs.
What do you think???
DISCLAIMER: We are not registered. We are not advisors. The ideas are merely for educational case study purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before investing/Trading.
RUMBLE Update: Possible gap fill in the works!Hey folks!
I am fairly exclusive to Heikin Ashi candles for my TA, but I will also use standard to scan for gaps.
I found this one at $12.71-$12.91, and was only able to spot this subtle gap on the weekly chart.
Recovery of this gap will bring some symmetry to the chart, and the GOP debates are the catalyst to back up the move imo.
Happy Trading!
OnePath
Decoding Bitcoin's Latest CME Gap: An Insightful AnalysisOver the past weekend, Bitcoin experienced a significant sell-off, causing a price discrepancy to form, commonly referred to as a 'gap'. This gap is discernible between the present Bitcoin market price and the closing price from last Friday (as per New York time). Notably, these gaps, often identified in futures markets such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), can serve as potential signals for traders. It's currently anticipated that this gap could be filled in the near future. The phenomenon of 'filling the gap' refers to the price retracing its steps back to the level before the gap was formed, thus restoring market equilibrium. The market's response to this development will be closely watched by traders and investors alike.
S&P Futures: Mind the "Bull Market" GapIs this the proper way to start a new bull market? Asking for a friend...
-Home prices relative to income are higher than during the peak of the 2008 financial crisis.
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-62% of new homebuyers are having trouble paying their mortgages.
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-Some cities already seeing a rollover in housing prices with a rise in inventory.
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-Investors are leaving the housing market.
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-Commercial real estate is busting.
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-Hotel developers are broke.
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-Total credit card debt has crossed $1 trillion for the first time ever.
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-Credit card delinquency rates are rising.
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-7 stocks are responsible for all of the gains in the SP500 this year.
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- Student debt payments are about to resume putting more pressure on cash-strapped consumers.
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Good luck out there in this new "bull market". I suspect that the gap will be filled sooner rather than later, especially with that lower TDI indicator showing the RSI above its upper Bollinger Band.
$ISRG buy or sell?Intuitive Surgical is in the Medical-Systems/Equip Group, develops an advanced surgical system designed to improve open surgery and minimally invasive surgery.
After the earnings gap up, price has been still going up but volume has been drecreasing along with momentum.
This bearish divergnece is signaling a needed pause for $NASDAQ:ISRG.
Even if breaks above $309 before correcting I wouldn't buy it as I don't expect it would have a good follow through.
I'll keep this stock in the watchlist and wait for a proper breakout.
NFLX Watching for another BreakoutNFLX gapped up on the morning of 5/18 with high momentum and a volume spike both of
which faded by mid-day shown on this 15- minute chart. Since then price has been in a narrow
consolidation range centered about the POC line of the multisession volume profile. Price is
in the fair value area between the mean anchored VWAP and the +1 STD band. The zero lag
MACD is confirmatory for a trend resting in consolidation
I will watch for green candles in a row with the second having more range than the first. I will
check to see if the relative volume is 2X the running mean. If so, I will enter and try to get
the early breakout. Stop loss will be $365 below the POC line. I will exit upon seeing upper
wicks and volume falling back down to the mean. My expectation is for a quick 3 to 5 percent
trade with a R:R of better than 10:!.
Infosys going back to 1200?INFY has been in a bearish structure on the daily chart since March 23. It had gapped down to 1190 levels in April after a bad surprise in results. It has pulled back to the 1280 area which is the base of the gap. If selling pressure continues, a short position could be considered keeping the following levels in mind:
SHORT BELOW: 1254.25
STOP LOSS: 1279
TARGET 1: 1229.50
TARGET 2: 1204.75
Please do wait for at least a 15 min candle close below the "SHORT BELOW" level before initiating the trade.
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TSLA: Another Target Hit. Be careful now.• Today TSLA hit our technical target at $177.65, successfully filling the previous gap;
• Now, it seems it is starting to lose momentum, but it is too soon to tell if we’ll trigger a top signal around this resistance (like a Shooting Star pattern, or maybe a Gravestone Doji?);
• If yes, then a pullback is likely to happen, but as long as TSLA remains above its 21 ema, the main bias will remain bullish;
• On the weekly chart, it is easy to see why it is losing momentum, as we just reached the 21 ema;
• The 21 ema on the weekly chart is always a secondary key point to me, and I always prefer to work with support/resistance lines seen on the price, but sometimes this indicator reinforces our reading;
• It would be important to see TSLA closing above $177.65 today, in order to improve the chances of a bullish continuation. Again, it all depends on today’s close.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
SPX: A Short-Term Congestion | What's Next?• The SPX is trading inside a range, between 4,148 and 4,099. Only a breakout will bring something new;
• The 4,099 is a Double Bottom, and if the index loses this key support, we might see it correcting to the next support line, at 4,029, filling the gap at 4,072 in the process;
• However, the SPX is still trading above the 21 ema on the daily chart, indicating that it has decent chances of resuming the bullish sentiment – it just has to break the 4,148 to confirm this thesis;
• In this scenario, mid-term speaking, the next technical resistance at 4,195 would become our next target;
• For now, let’s wait for more signals.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
TSLA: Last Chance to React.• TSLA is once again reacting above our key support line at $165, which we already mentioned yesterday (the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual);
• Only if TSLA loses the $165 we would see a sharper correction ahead, probably to fill the previous gap around $161 (yellow square);
• On the daily chart, we see why the $165 is so important: This key point was a previous resistance level, and now it is acting as a support (Principle of Polarity);
• By losing this key support, TSLA would reject the previous bullish pivot point (previous higher high/low), making a new low;
• In this case, the mid-term target is at $154. I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
TSLA: Dangerous Top Signal.• TSLA hit our target area last Friday, around $177, and it is now triggering a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart. I mentioned this target on our previous TSLA analysis – link below this post;
• The problem is that TSLA triggered this Bearish Engulfing under the $177 resistance, and it is back under the 21 ema as well, indicating that TSLA is very weak at the moment;
• On the daily chart, the next support area is around $154 (black line).
• On the 1h chart, there’s a short-term support line at $165, which was a previous resistance level;
• Below this support, there’s an open gap at $161, and another support line at $158. For now, it appears the $165 line is our main support level, as TSLA is trying to react this morning.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
DUOL - buy the dipsDUOL broke out of a base formation neckline @ 114 strongly on 2nd March this year and then did a classic retest of the neckline on 13 March, affirming that the neckline @ 114 has now become support. It then went on to hit a high of 147 before retracing all the way back down 116.82 (triggering a trailing stop loss @ 130).
A bullish morning star pattern than formed on 5th May and a re-entry was triggered on 6th May. However with earnings reporting on 9th May, one has to decide whether it was worthwhile to take the risk to long here. With the stock already dipping 20% from it's high of 147, the odds of an earnings surprise to the upside could be higher. Nevertheless, risking no more than just a small position (before earnings) seemed prudent.
Now that earnings is out of the way (upside surprise), there is a chance it could break it's last recent high of 147 in the near term. On the bigger picture, the stock is now on an uptrend and there is room to rise in the coming months. However market could continue to be volatile hence it could be less risky to buy any near term dips rather than to chase breakouts.
Learning to manage a position in such volatile conditions is paramount. I would still place trailing stops and am prepared to get stopped out but re-enter at the next bullish trigger, but only if the chart still looks bullish on the bigger picture.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
TSLA: Turning Bullish Again.• TSLA stock looks impressive, as it is doing an important reaction today, trying to reject the Hanging Man candlestick pattern from Monday;
• In theory a Hanging Man pattern is a famous top signal, however, evidence suggests that this pattern acts as a bullish continuation roughly 59% of the time (BULKOWSKI, Thomas. Encyclopedia of Candlestick Patterns, p. 365);
• Now, TSLA is trying to resume the bullish momentum. To reject any possible top signal, it is important to see it breaking Monday’s high as soon as possible - otherwise, it might lose momentum;
• What’s more, it seems it is heading to its next technical target, the open gap at $177.
• The weekly chart suggests a bounce to higher levels, maybe to the purple trend line again;
• This thesis will be valid as long as the daily chart maintains its bullish bias, and keeps above its 21 ema;
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NIO: Trading in a Dangerous Area; Watch Out For These Key Points• NIO is trying to reverse the trend on the 1h chart, as now it is above the 21 ema, which is ascending;
• What’s more, NIO just filled one of its gaps at $8.29, but it seems this area is acting as a resistance now;
• The problem is that we don’t see a clear bullish structure, like a higher high/low yet. This gives the impression that this was just a short-term rally, not a real bullish reversal;
• To make things worse, NIO is on the verge of losing its previous support line at $8.03, and this could completely frustrate this rally;
• Therefore, NIO must close above this key point today, in order to avoid a bearish continuation;
• On the other hand, it seems that the $8.29 is our key resistance, and only by breaking it, NIO would actually turn bullish again. In this case, it could fill all the previous gaps and hit the $9.47 again.
• On the daily chart we see that the 21 ema acted as a resistance, and NIO failed in breaking it. This 21 ema is at $8.33 right now, close to the $8.29 seen in the 1h chart, making this area a dual-resistance level;
• Therefore, it is crucial for NIO to break this resistance as soon as possible, in order to trigger a meaningful bullish pattern.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
TSLA: Complete Multiple Time Frame Analysis (H, D and W charts).• After breaking its main resistance lines in the 1h chart, TSLA is in a bull trend, doing higher highs/lows, while trading above the 21 ema;
• Since the short-term momentum is bullish, it should hit its next technical target at $177.65 – in theory;
• The previous resistance at $169.60 (red line) seems to be acting as a support level today, which corroborates the Principle of Polarity in technical analysis, which states that previous support levels will work as future resistance levels and vice-versa;
• Only if TSLA loses this red line, we might see this bullish momentum frustrated, in the short-term.
• In the daily chart we see that TSLA just broke its 21 ema, indicating that it wants to reverse the mid-term bear trend;
• What’s more, the 21 ema is very close to the red line seen in the 1h chart, making the area around $170 a dual-support level in different time-frames;
• In addition, the $177.65, the next technical resistance line seen in the 1h chart is an open gap seen in the daily chart, from the previous earnings;
• As long as TSLA keeps trading above its dual-support level, no pullback or reversal will materialize, and the bull trend will persist.
• Since TSLA is bouncing after it hit a critical support line in the weekly chart at $164 (red line), in theory this bounce should persist, even considering the possibility of a short-term pullback;
• Only if it loses the $164 we would see the recent bullish signals frustrated;
• In this case, we could easily close the gap at $146, as seen in the daily chart.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
is trading view technical analysis reliable ?well hi again , although i usually don't trade any other markets than crypto , but ;
at this moment , if u go into stock screener tab and look at #AAPL , u will find it's technical analysis to be "^BUY " but i dont think so ,
as it apears to me i see a head and shoulder pattern forming here , and i now predict a ITH at 169.70 point were then i think we will go down to that huge GAP down there .
but as i said im not an expert over here , but technical analysis is technical analysis , and this my friend does not look like an uptrend .
but we shall see which one is right then , me or tradingview ?
QQQ: Must React As Soon As Possible.• QQQ corrected to the 21 ema again, after filling the previous open gap at 322.08 (open since Aug 22, 2022);
• It is ok to see QQQ losing strength after reaching this key resistance, however, in order to maintain the bullish bias, the 21 ema must act as a support;
• If don’t, QQQ could easily seek the next support level, which is around 310, and this would frustrate the mid-term bullish bias;
• The trend is still bullish because QQQ isn’t doing lower highs/lows yet, and now it is right at the 21 ema again. There’s no bearish reversal signal on QQQ yet;
• On the other hand, there’s no bottom signal as well. QQQ must perform a bottom as soon as possible as it just reached its 21 ema in the daily chart. Only then, we’ll see a confirmation signal that the bull trend will resume.
I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.