KSS - Gap Holding Back KohlsKSS had a gap down on earnings on May 21st. This is the third time price has gotten near or tested the gap resistance level & it has been rejected each time. Price seems to be falling from this level again as it sits in an overbought condition. It provides a short opportunity with a couple of Fibonacci Extension levels provided with the dashed green lines.
Gapdown
ZS - Scaling InZS had a gap up due to earnings back on March 1st. The stock saw a rise in price within a bullish price channel but was creating a bearish divergence with the RSI indicator. Even with the pullback, the price remained in the bullish channel until it broke down in mid-August.
Another earnings report in September led to a gap down that created an Island Reversal pattern & carried the stock price below the March gap, which was now acting as resistance.
The stock price continued falling as it tested that March gap resistance a few times but as the price fell the RSI has moved higher creating a Bullish Divergence.
With the price moving out of an oversold condition I am looking for the price to move up to re-test the September gap resistance. Depending on bullish momentum the stock may be able to continue rising to fill the September gap.
DRI - Let's Go Out For A BiteDRI had a gap up on an earnings announcement back on March 21st. The top of this gap became support while the stock price continued to rise. This rise in price created a bearish divergence with the RSI indicator.
The earnings release in September led to a gap down. The price actually consolidated just below the March gap. Friday's trading has the price testing the resistance level of the March gap zone with the stock finding strength.
DRI is finding relative strength within the Restaurant industry but still needs some more time to see if it is gaining strength on the SPX. If the price continues to rise I would expect a re-test of the bottom of the gap down zone around $122.
INTC - Earnings After CloseThere was a gap down back on April 26th following a disappointing earnings release. Since then, the price has been unable to break above the resistance line created by the gap down. The price was rejected at this level for the third time but there is also an ascending triangle pattern forming. Depending on how earnings are taken there will either be a breakout or a breakdown.
Looking for a shortWSP had a massive run up yesterday, gaining over 10%. I love seeing when a stock is overextended it just gives me more reason to short it, the mean of WSP is -0.19% so there more negative days than positive. Based on the data its a normal standard deviation of 68%, therefore im looking to trade between $2.19 and $1.78, lets see how it reacts between $2.060 and $1.92.
$HHC Buy The Dip And Play The Fibonacci Retracement$HHC dropped like a rock on announcing some restructuring changes. We think this a good dip buying opportunity on a market over-reaction. Here's the news:
The Howard Hughes Corp. (NYSE:HHC) following its announcement that it's replacing its CEO and embarking on a transformation plan.
That follows a "thorough" strategic review, the company says.
It's named Paul Layne (currently president of the company's Central Region) the new chief executive, effective immediately. David Weinreb and Grant Herlitz are stepping down from the company, and Layne will replace Weinreb on the board.
The new transformation plan has three pillars, the company says: a $45M-$50M annual reduction in overhead; selling about $2B in noncore assets; and accelerated growth in core MPC assets.
Chief Financial Officer David O'Reilly will have an enhanced role working with Layne on executing the new plan.
Remember, hedge fund manager Bill Ackman is Chairman of the Board and a major shareholder. He is well-known for being committed to his deals.
The Howard Hughes Corporation owns, manages, and develops commercial, residential, and hospitality operating properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Operating Assets, Master Planned Communities, and Strategic Developments. The Operating Assets segment owns 15 retail, 28 office, 8 multi-family, and 4 hospitality properties, as well as 10 other operating assets and investments primarily located and around The Woodlands, Texas; Columbia, Maryland; New York, New York; Las Vegas, Nevada; and Honolulu, Hawai‘i. The Master Planned Communities segment develops and sells residential and commercial land. This segment sells residential land designated for detached and attached single family homes ranging from entry-level to luxury homes; and commercial land parcels designated for retail, office, hospitality, and high density residential projects, as well as services and other for-profit activities, and parcels designated for use by government, schools, and other not-for-profit entities. As of December 31, 2018, this segment had 10,543 remaining saleable acres of land. The Strategic Development segment comprises residential condominium and commercial property projects. This segment consist of 29 development or redevelopment projects. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
As always, trade with caution and use protective stops.
Good luck to all!
NTAP Head & Shoulders Top Gaps DownNTAP on the Weekly View chart shows a traditional Head & Shoulders Topping Formation. This type of top is far less common these days. This is due to changes in Dark Pool transaction activity off the public exchanges, new routing, and new order types. The gap down is above the traditional Head & Shoulders completion level. However, there is some technical evidence that this could be the conclusion and completion level for this top at this time.
ALGN at Long-Term Support LevelALGN gapped down at the end of July on weak earnings news. It has now collapsed to a strong long-term support level. The final capitulation by Smaller Funds managers has ended. The consistency of the candlestick pattern with closely aligned lows and an early Shift of Sentiment™ pattern on the Balance of Power Indicator reveals some Dark Pool Quiet Rotation™ at this level.
My thought about current BTC market.The small gap at 9865 got filled, the next target can be the big bearish gap at 11599. The price can make a wick to top of channel. I have my own sell order at 11700 (maybe I lower it under 11600).
Then price will go down to fill in the gap at 8488 in middle of Aug.
In 2H time frame RVGI turning upward.
This is just my thought. Don’t trade based on it.
MMM Starts BottomMMM had a massive High Frequency Trader gap down in April, but has now found support at a previous low from 2016 that is a fundamental support level. Massive Smaller Funds Volume Weighted Average Price selling occurred after the gap down. The bottom has shifted the trend to the upside.
Major Divergences Hidden Here + H&SExpecting a major breakdown, possibly gap down in the coming weeks.
FACEBOOK BUY OPPORTUNITYFB GAP DOWN IS A HUGE BUY OPPORTUNITY
Facebook's earnings report a week ago upset investors and the stock fell more than 15% forming a huge gap.
Now stock is trading with P/E ratio of ~20 which I believe is very low for tech stock such as FB. Twitter has a P/E of 3X that of fb. Solely P/E is definitely not a good way to analyse any stock, however my analysis tells me that facebook still has huge potential and it is not to be traded at such low levels. FB has potential to generate cash and Zuck is definitely not a man who wouldn't want to use that opportunity.
Anyway, I think this is one of these Jamie and Charlie opportunities, Here is my strategy:
SELL SEP 13 195 PUTS
I will be shorting puts because I believe that the recovery will be steady and may take time. Selling puts is risky because if the stock drops you can lose way more than you have invested. However, Because I believe that there will be a steady comeback, selling puts is better because options are cheaper every single day due to THETA, which means that calls will be cheaper every day, therefore selling puts with high theta will be profitable even if the stock stays at the same levels.
V3:T2_S&P Gap DOWN post market_Fill The Gap Long!!!Short and Sweet. This gap is probably going to fill.
+1 long 2690
Stop 2663.00
T1 - 2617
T2 - 2730
If you ride this trade out longer than this you are betting we will get through our directional pivot and that I cannot be sure of. But this gap is most likly going to fill. The context is way off. Goodluck!
If you found this analysis useful or thoughtful Likes/Comments/Follows are much appreciated!
Disclaimer: Your data may be different. |V1-T1 = Volume 1-Trade 1| Material is educational only. Trade at your own risk!
SPX: Flashing cautionary signals (again).My cautious call of 2 weeks ago may have been premature (see link below).
However, we are now seeing additional cautionary signals on the SPX :
1. Two consecutive down days at the beginning of this week;
2. Visible break yesterday on the index (gap down);
3. Reasonable volume on the downside;
4. Traded and closed below SMA10;
5. Tech indicators turning (MACD, RSI, Stock);
6. RSI coming from very overbought levels >85;
7. Treasury yields picking up;
8. Some divergence/topping signs from tech market leaders;
9. High-volume surge in the VIX (please see chart below);
10. VIX broke/closed above two resistance levels in a day.
Current earnings should bring further steam to this market, either for a highly-expected consolidation or for a rebound.
In this context, am warming up to buying downside exposure in one -or multiple- of the following ways:
1. Reducing portfolio risk by taking selective profits/losses;
2. Buying puts on selected stocks ahead of earnings;
3. Shorting the market outright (SPY, QQQ);
4. Buying volatility outright (VXX).
The rest of this week should be interesting and followed closely.