NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/22/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18590.75
- PR Low: 18569.00
- NZ Spread: 48.75
Key economic calendar event
09:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Prev session closed virtually flat
- QQQ daily gap still unfilled
- Holding above prev session close
- Huge upper wick on prev session daily print
Evening Stats (As of 1:35 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 258.68
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 251K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Gapfill
$SPY 3/15/24 Continued Bearish MACD divergence continuing to play out with a breakdown of wedge trend line. We saw the 508 target get hit today and still face layers of resistance overhead (512ish-515ish-518ATH) ....AND there is a gap still to be filled below (501ish-497ish). If we're going to make another respectable run at ATH then we need to fill the gap and let this MACD divergence play out. If you push up now, you still face the bearish MACD divergence on the daily (and longer hourly charts) with an unfilled gap below 500. We know SPY loves whole numbers and we've seen how it's reacted and responded to the 500 price level in the past. I expect it to have the same magnetism now as it did before.
As always, assume nothing and remove your bias. Let the chart lead the way.
For now, this is what I'm seeing.
GBPAUD Short - Don't dismiss a trade idea too quicklyGlossary:
VA – Value Area
Liq.P – Liquidity Point
PiPo – Pivot Point
BO – Break-Out
H1 – Hourly Time-frame
M15 – 15min Time-frame
LTF – Lower Time-frame
HTF – Higher Time-frame
Magenta horizontal Ray – Area of Interest
Magenta rectangle – Gap / Area of Significance
***********
GBPAUD Don't dismiss a trade idea too quickly
After retracing to the previous swing high and experiencing a strong impulsive move to the downside, the price formed two smaller consolidations before beginning to form a larger bear flag.
The positioning and size of the consolidation, coupled with the fact that the price is trading above the previous low, make this trade higher risk. However, if the price forms a smaller consolidation below the wick and preferably trades at or below the low to the left, we could suddenly have a high-quality entry.
Don't dismiss a trade idea too quickly. I covered GBPAUD last week already, and the same idea is still valid, albeit with slightly different PA.
However, if the price aggressively BO above the Liq.P and/or begins to form a consolidation above it, the short trade idea becomes obsolete
NZDUSD Short to fill the GapGlossary:
VA – Value Area
Liq.P – Liquidity Point
PiPo – Pivot Point
BO – Break-Out
H1 – Hourly Time-frame
M15 – 15min Time-frame
LTF – Lower Time-frame
HTF – Higher Time-frame
Magenta horizontal Ray – Area of Interest
Magenta rectangle – Gap / Area of Significance
***********
2024 – 03 – 04 NZDUSD short
DXY positioning indicating continuation short, and therefore a weaker Dollar;
However NZDUSD on it's own looks likely to fill the gap to the previous VA.
Technically it did not come from a significant VA but shows exhausting PA on the top, followed by a BO of a running channel and is now starting a bigger H1 continuation structure before the last leg down to fill the gab to the VA.
I am now waiting for price to tap into the Liq.P and show some form of a LTF consolidation for an entry short.
BA: Triple Bottom at Support with RSI Bullish DivergenceThe Boeing Company is attempting to confirm a Triple Bottom with RSI Bullish Divergence at the $200 Support Zone. If it plays out I think we could go back up to the 0.236 up at $212 and if we really get traction here, I'd suspect it'd g for the gap fill up at the 0.786 retrace aligning with the $250 level.
It's also worth noting that Boeing filled a downside gap as it pushed down into the support zone, so it's possible that will be the extent of the current wave down.
META - Interesting price action repeating itselfWe could see a failure to reach new highs and all this left shoulder liquidity can be used to push us below (or at least retest) the key 453 level. From there, we have a massive gap to fill to the low $400. Prior to any short entries, however, I will for a retest of the top of our teal selling channel which will form our right shoulder - and with a lack of buying volume needed to break us out, I will look to enter a short position.
Tesla gap fill in the cards
NASDAQ:TSLA has a gap from $210 that needs to be closed.
This is a speculative trade as $180 has acted as a historic support as well as resistance. Also, stochastics say it's oversold although I think it's got more room to fall in the coming year.
There are many innovative companies taking the spotlight and NASDAQ:TSLA seems to have suffered by falling out of favor with some traders as they may prefer NASDAQ:NVDA or NASDAQ:AMD or NASDAQ:AVGO . All three are rapidly increasing their market caps.
I suspect a gap close before heading lower. There is a gap on the daily time frame but it's not shown here.
If for some reason it holds this channel then maybe we even test $240 again.
ADM: Bullish Harami on the Weekly at a Bullish Gartley HOP LevelArcher-Daniels-Midland is sitting at the HOP level of a Bullish Gartley aligning with support with a Bullish Harami Visible on the Weekly Timeframe after setting record-breaking weekly volume into the test of the Support Zone.
ADM will close and confirm the Weekly Harami in less than an hour and from there we would expect to see ADM make an effort to fill the weekly gap above, perhaps going all the way up to the 61.8% retracement.
Bitcoin Weekly CME Gaps 2019 - 2024Here I've highlighted all the weekly CME gaps for Bitcion, showing all but One have now filled.
Technically, there's still one open just under $10,000 at / around $9750.
Unlikely this will ever fill at this point, but as of today Bitcoin filled the recent gap just under $40,000, which clears Bitcoin for runing higher.
However I still believe we'll re-test $38,000, followed by a bounce.
And potentially, if not likely, a deeper drop to re-test $32k before the bull run ensues.
Interesting chart just showing how often these do back-fill and re-test.
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First Wave BioPharma $40 PT Upside potentialBefore the close of the year the Bio Pharma Sector started running wild. It doesn't surprise me why i'm drawn to this company with all the catalysts coming out. Recently with a PT 40 From Roth MKM.
The more you read about the news that comes from this company between CEO investor relations, Merger Deal with Immunogen and entering their phase 3 trial there is so much Upside potential.
Although short term there's a lot of turbulence in the 5.00-5.38 range if it can break and hold strong this stock can get there pretty quick.
Currently holding a Long position.
Trade Responsible,
#TradeTheWave 🏄🏽♂️🌊
Gapped But Not Forgotten - NIFTYAs I posted earlier in my previous post yesterday, FINNIFTY went to cover the unfilled zone on the marked levels today, successfully hitting the marked zone.
Coming to the chart of NIFTY, it can be seen there are some old dues for this index to clear as well, which can be expected as early as tomorrow since the unfilled zone of 550-480 can be seen just below todays closing which shall see some activity as per previous moves.
The covering of these gaps ups (& downs) has never been more exciting as a options buyer where such sharp moves can be seen forming consecutively.
Gapped But Not ForgottenFINNIFTY after a series of up sharp down moves is headed towards the zone where an earlier gap was not met. From my recent experience, gap up and gap down are always filled back either in the short term or a while after. Here we see FINNIFTY heading back to the unfilled zone which lies between 21305 to 21285.
After a heavy downfall today, the index formed a symmetrical triangle pattern which could possibly head to clear the old dues. Also, just below the unfilled zone lies the recent touch zone of 21280 to 21270 having served as previous support & resistance in December 2023. Whether that happens tomorrow or not, it is yet to be seen.
TSLA: An Intense Breakout is About to Occur!TSLA shares are trading in a Trap Zone, the area between the 21 EMA, which serves as the main support, and the resistance at $246.70, which was already mentioned in my last public analysis, the link to which is below this post.
This area between the 21 EMA and resistance is called the Trap Zone because as long as there is no real breakout from support or resistance, we could see several false signals and erratic, meaningless movement within the area.
The 21 EMA is slowly rising, squeezing the price against resistance at $246, and sooner or later, we will see a breakout in some direction. There's no way of knowing in which direction the breakout will occur - remember real trading is reactive, not predictive. In some cases it is possible to look for clues in an indicator such as the RSI, and look for a divergence or an Advanced Breakout (which is not the case here).
Since our last study, the price has retested the $246 area, reinforcing our main idea that this is indeed the main resistance for TSLA shares in the medium term. Only if the price breaks through this region will we see a real sign of recovery, which would represent a continuation of the upward trend.
Meanwhile, we see that the price is trading dangerously close to the 21 EMA. If the average is lost, then TSLA could trigger a new bearish move, perhaps looking to fill the gap opened at $225.40. Such a bearish move seen today is definitely suspicious, while the indices and almost all of the "magnificent 7" are rising. I wonder how long such a divergence between TSLA and the rest of the market will persist.
TSLA shares are falling this week, just as we approach the main long-term resistance at the top of its Descending Channel. The 21 EMA is also serving as support on this timeframe, which also reinforces our thesis that this area is a key support point, which could trigger a sharper correction if lost.
For the time being, as long as there is no clear break from its Trap Zone, TSLA's shares are bound to move erratically. To avoid a bearish scenario, now would be the best time to see a reaction. How the price behaves over the next few days will be crucial to what lies ahead in the medium and long term.
I'll keep you updated on this, so remember to like this post, and follow me for more analysis like this.
Best regards,
Nathan.
MCOM: 3 Line Strike at PCZ of Bullish Deep CrabThe RSI is peaking above the oversold zone after confirming a Bullish engulfing and very nearly confirming a 3 Line Strike at the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Crab.
I do not normally enter stocks like this, but seeing how cheap this stock is and how the market cap is only $5 Million, yet the annual revenue is more than half of that, along with the fact that there is a bit of a technical argument for a gap fill from these levels, I decided it was worth taking a small chance on this stock to see if it can gain some major upside.
AMZN - too hot out of the gate?NASDAQ:AMZN is showing signs a reversal could be on the horizon.
Looking at the gap-down on Sept. 21, we see the bulls have recently attempted to fill this gap but thus far have failed (as of the writing of this post).
This is occurring alongside an active rug pull event at $128.81 as well as an overbought RSI beginning to cool-off.
All signs showing this could begin heading back towards $128.81 as a minimum downside target. We are keeping an eye on how the technicals play out over the next couple of trading days to confirm this thesis.