Gapfill
Bitcoin Weekly CME Gaps 2019 - 2024Here I've highlighted all the weekly CME gaps for Bitcion, showing all but One have now filled.
Technically, there's still one open just under $10,000 at / around $9750.
Unlikely this will ever fill at this point, but as of today Bitcoin filled the recent gap just under $40,000, which clears Bitcoin for runing higher.
However I still believe we'll re-test $38,000, followed by a bounce.
And potentially, if not likely, a deeper drop to re-test $32k before the bull run ensues.
Interesting chart just showing how often these do back-fill and re-test.
Imbalance Expert : Guide for mastering imabalance'sCryptocurrency trading is an intricate dance, where understanding and interpreting market imbalances can provide traders with a competitive edge. This comprehensive guide aims to demystify the art of trading imbalances, catering to both beginners and seasoned traders. Through a detailed exploration of strategies and considerations, we'll delve into the world of market dynamics, emphasizing the importance of a holistic approach to trading.
First example has cool reason to go higher ( EQUAL HIGHS ) and big liquidity pool below
Section 1: Understanding Imbalances
1.1 Defining Market Imbalances:
Explore the concept of imbalances in the cryptocurrency market.
Differentiate between bullish and bearish imbalances.
1.2 Reading the Signs:
Learn to identify imbalances on various timeframes.
Utilize technical indicators and chart patterns to confirm imbalances.
Section 2: The Anatomy of Imbalance Trading
2.1 Spotting Imbalances in Price Action:
Analyze real-world examples of imbalances using provided screenshots.
Understand how imbalances manifest in different market conditions.
2.2 Tools of the Trade:
Explore popular tools like volume analysis, order flow, and market profile to complement imbalance trading.
Highlight the role of moving averages and trendlines in confirming imbalances.
Section 3: Strategies for Imbalance Trading
3.1 Swing Trading with Imbalances:
Discover how to swing trade using imbalances as entry and exit signals.
Explore risk management techniques tailored for swing trading.
3.2 Scalping Opportunities:
Uncover strategies for intraday trading based on short-term imbalances.
Discuss the importance of quick decision-making and tight risk control.
Section 4: Advanced Considerations
4.1 Macro and Micro Analysis:
Emphasize the need to consider both macroeconomic trends and micro-level price action.
Discuss how macroeconomic events can create imbalances with lasting effects.
4.2 Market Sentiment and News Analysis:
Incorporate sentiment analysis and news events into the overall imbalance trading strategy.
Understand how sudden shifts in sentiment can create imbalances.
Section 5: Risk Management and Psychology
5.1 Risk Management Strategies:
Explore risk management techniques specific to trading imbalances.
Discuss the importance of position sizing and setting stop-loss orders.
5.2 Mastering Emotional Discipline:
Address the psychological aspects of trading and how emotions can impact decision-making.
Provide practical tips for maintaining discipline during trading.
Conclusion: The Art and Science of Imbalance Trading
In conclusion, mastering the art of trading imbalances requires a combination of technical expertise, strategic thinking, and emotional resilience. Whether you are a beginner looking to enter the world of cryptocurrency trading or a seasoned trader seeking new insights, this guide aims to equip you with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate the dynamic landscape of imbalance trading. Remember, success in trading is an ongoing journey that requires continuous learning and adaptation to evolving market conditions.
💡 Imbalances Decoded | 📊 Tools of the Trade | 🚀 Strategies for Success | 🧠 Risk Management Mastery
💬 Share your insights: What are your experiences with trading imbalances, and what additional strategies have you found effective? 🌐✨
First Wave BioPharma $40 PT Upside potentialBefore the close of the year the Bio Pharma Sector started running wild. It doesn't surprise me why i'm drawn to this company with all the catalysts coming out. Recently with a PT 40 From Roth MKM.
The more you read about the news that comes from this company between CEO investor relations, Merger Deal with Immunogen and entering their phase 3 trial there is so much Upside potential.
Although short term there's a lot of turbulence in the 5.00-5.38 range if it can break and hold strong this stock can get there pretty quick.
Currently holding a Long position.
Trade Responsible,
#TradeTheWave 🏄🏽♂️🌊
Gapped But Not Forgotten - NIFTYAs I posted earlier in my previous post yesterday, FINNIFTY went to cover the unfilled zone on the marked levels today, successfully hitting the marked zone.
Coming to the chart of NIFTY, it can be seen there are some old dues for this index to clear as well, which can be expected as early as tomorrow since the unfilled zone of 550-480 can be seen just below todays closing which shall see some activity as per previous moves.
The covering of these gaps ups (& downs) has never been more exciting as a options buyer where such sharp moves can be seen forming consecutively.
Gapped But Not ForgottenFINNIFTY after a series of up sharp down moves is headed towards the zone where an earlier gap was not met. From my recent experience, gap up and gap down are always filled back either in the short term or a while after. Here we see FINNIFTY heading back to the unfilled zone which lies between 21305 to 21285.
After a heavy downfall today, the index formed a symmetrical triangle pattern which could possibly head to clear the old dues. Also, just below the unfilled zone lies the recent touch zone of 21280 to 21270 having served as previous support & resistance in December 2023. Whether that happens tomorrow or not, it is yet to be seen.
TSLA: An Intense Breakout is About to Occur!TSLA shares are trading in a Trap Zone, the area between the 21 EMA, which serves as the main support, and the resistance at $246.70, which was already mentioned in my last public analysis, the link to which is below this post.
This area between the 21 EMA and resistance is called the Trap Zone because as long as there is no real breakout from support or resistance, we could see several false signals and erratic, meaningless movement within the area.
The 21 EMA is slowly rising, squeezing the price against resistance at $246, and sooner or later, we will see a breakout in some direction. There's no way of knowing in which direction the breakout will occur - remember real trading is reactive, not predictive. In some cases it is possible to look for clues in an indicator such as the RSI, and look for a divergence or an Advanced Breakout (which is not the case here).
Since our last study, the price has retested the $246 area, reinforcing our main idea that this is indeed the main resistance for TSLA shares in the medium term. Only if the price breaks through this region will we see a real sign of recovery, which would represent a continuation of the upward trend.
Meanwhile, we see that the price is trading dangerously close to the 21 EMA. If the average is lost, then TSLA could trigger a new bearish move, perhaps looking to fill the gap opened at $225.40. Such a bearish move seen today is definitely suspicious, while the indices and almost all of the "magnificent 7" are rising. I wonder how long such a divergence between TSLA and the rest of the market will persist.
TSLA shares are falling this week, just as we approach the main long-term resistance at the top of its Descending Channel. The 21 EMA is also serving as support on this timeframe, which also reinforces our thesis that this area is a key support point, which could trigger a sharper correction if lost.
For the time being, as long as there is no clear break from its Trap Zone, TSLA's shares are bound to move erratically. To avoid a bearish scenario, now would be the best time to see a reaction. How the price behaves over the next few days will be crucial to what lies ahead in the medium and long term.
I'll keep you updated on this, so remember to like this post, and follow me for more analysis like this.
Best regards,
Nathan.
MCOM: 3 Line Strike at PCZ of Bullish Deep CrabThe RSI is peaking above the oversold zone after confirming a Bullish engulfing and very nearly confirming a 3 Line Strike at the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Crab.
I do not normally enter stocks like this, but seeing how cheap this stock is and how the market cap is only $5 Million, yet the annual revenue is more than half of that, along with the fact that there is a bit of a technical argument for a gap fill from these levels, I decided it was worth taking a small chance on this stock to see if it can gain some major upside.
AMZN - too hot out of the gate?NASDAQ:AMZN is showing signs a reversal could be on the horizon.
Looking at the gap-down on Sept. 21, we see the bulls have recently attempted to fill this gap but thus far have failed (as of the writing of this post).
This is occurring alongside an active rug pull event at $128.81 as well as an overbought RSI beginning to cool-off.
All signs showing this could begin heading back towards $128.81 as a minimum downside target. We are keeping an eye on how the technicals play out over the next couple of trading days to confirm this thesis.
Do Li's electric vehicles are charged enough for Q4? One of my favourite ideas in electrical vehicle space - China's Li.
Mid-term price structure still looks bullish to my eyes, despite Sep's sell-off bellow 50D MA. While the price is still under it (what is a "no-go" rule for any substantial long trades for me), I do like how price managed to find foothold slightly crossing below the ideal support zone.
In the ideal world, I would argue that price is trying to form the bottom of what will later form into the lower are of a cup. That means that the price needs to hold above 33 area and start building the right side and later the handle of the reliable cup-and-handle pattern.
In the short-term, I want the price to reclaim 21ema and fill the gap-down, happened late September. If the price follows through, we will see the key moving averages ordering into the right bullish sequence: 8ema/21ema/50ma what will probably provide us with the MA's crossover and at least several days tight cheat area with low risk-entry point.
The fundamental side of Li's story makes almost the perfect case for the next up-cycle's true market leader: top-level triple digits earnings and sales growth last quarter, consistent double digits 3 quarters sales growth; super high annual earnings estimates. I would place a bet, that if price manages to move above 50D MA, institutional sponsorship will be increasing providing the fuel for the suggested bullish scenario.
DELL - Is it Long or Short ? In the bad market conditions 'Bad news is bad news and Good news is also Bad news'.
Dell announced that it joined the A.I bandwagon , SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B stock buy back and dividend increase. Too many good news but still stock dropped 2% today.
In normal circumstances, in a perfect world, this is Bullish Flag.
People would jump on long side as soon as it touches the top of the gap.
The famous trader @traderstewie calls it 'Bullish PEG'.
Is it a bull flag ?
Is this going to fill the gap here?
or hold the gap for a while just to kill both sides calls and puts?
My bets are on the gap fill but slowly and painfully for the put holders.
Short, Downside Target Price - 56
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/26/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2023
- PR High: 14952.50
- PR Low: 14941.00
- NZ Spread: 25.5
Major Calendar Events
08:30 – Building Permits
10:00 – CB Consumer Confidence
- New Home Sales
Odd, unfilled micro gap down into inventory run
- Tight NZ spread
- Holding daily inventory
- High probability to fill gap within session
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.01% (open > 14949)
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 229.32
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 232K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -11.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15247
- Short: 14675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
NFLX - Expecting Strong Support @ 380Since it began trendng more than a year ago from July 2022, NFLX has a tentancy to correct back to its rising trendline every 3 to 6 months or so.
As at its close @ about 400 yesterday, it has already corrected 50% from it's recent AB swing. Whether it will find support here remains to be seen.
Another 5% downside from here would bring it to 380, which is likely to be a strong support due to a confluene of:
1. Long term trendline support (Red)
2. Horizontal Resistance turning Support (Black)
3. 61.8% fib retracement of it's AB swing
4. Gap close (minor)
All long bets are off should it break and stay below 380.
Disclaimer:
TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is NOT a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management (ie stop loss and position sizing) is (probably the most) important!
Take care and Good Luck!
Call Me Crazy But....NVDA LOOKS EXHAUSTEDNVDA has been the golden child of '23 for sure but I believe it's time for it to take a breather. I don't think such a large gap will go untouched for too much longer. I know I'm not the only one seeing this, so I'd expect there to be some games being played before we get there, either way I'll be positioned well for this fall. The higher it goes, the better the payout for me when it's all said and done. I might sound confident, but of course I could be completely wrong. Only Time Will Tell...
Apple -> Now Getting Long!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Apple 💪
Starting on the monthly timeframe you can see that after Apple broke out of the clear triangle formation in confluence with the bullish moving averages, Apple created a strong rally of 30% towards the upside, breaking major resistance.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Apple is already approching previous resistance which could be acting as support and considering that this level is the previous all time high I certianly do expect at least a short term bullish rejection.
However on the daily timeframe everything is still looking quite bearish - therefore I am waiting for a break and retest of the $183 daily structure level before the daily timeframe is also ready for more bullish upside.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
ELF - longer-term uptrend still intactELF has been one of the strong trending stocks since it broke above its 200 day moving average in Jun 2022. Despite the recent steep corrections experienced by the market in the past few weeks, ELF had only dipped briefly below it's 50 day moving average.
Every reversion back to it's 50 day moving average as potential opportunity to long. with a trailing stop loss about 10% below the 50 day MA is prudent for the longer term investor.
A swing trader would have a tighter trailing stop and on the lookout for re-entries on the long side as long as the trend remains intact.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
SPY close analysis 8/9/2023Gaps, gaps, and more gaps! Let's talk about that "holy moly gap." Bulls keep defending it. Every wick is being bought right up. That said, the bulls have failed to close into the gap above completely for 2 days straight.
Time is running out for the upside (leave that gap above unfilled long enough and it'll become resistance) and CPI is tomorrow. Anything could happen in this support/resistance sandwich. I remain optimistic for upside and a test of 469 before a major meltdown.