Gapfill
Moon Cancelled? 4 H EMA Golden cross is not getting any love :((Whazuup my people, hope you are having a terrific trading day and had a phenomenal weekend as well.
I think we are primed to have a nice 1000 USD correction within a very short time. 8.5 target lies on FIB 0.5 which is universally beloved retracement level for BTC and IMHO we will at least test this area today or latest tomorrow. Trend reversal theory will be confirmed or disproved based on the price action that we encounter back at 8.5K level. Current price action looks bullish, yet BTC has a habit of closing all the fast gains in a relatively prolonged downturn. Key pivots for me are at 10.3( closing and maintaining daily over there will be a confirmed trend reversal), the medium term-bullish scenario will be if we retest 8.5K and swiftly reverse to the upside.
Have a profitable day my friends and don't get rekd :))
Summary Answers:
1. Moon is not cancelled, going down to 8.5k level will test the bullish resolve of the current price action. If we start consolidating at levels 8.5 or blow I'd expect a further sliding continuation of a downtrend.
2. Why 4H golden cross did not get any love? - 1. It is too far away from the price action 2. Bulls are currently exhausted and do not have much power to push the price further. In fact, they are so exhausted that we have closed down an all the gains that preceded to the golden cross.
ZS - Scaling InZS had a gap up due to earnings back on March 1st. The stock saw a rise in price within a bullish price channel but was creating a bearish divergence with the RSI indicator. Even with the pullback, the price remained in the bullish channel until it broke down in mid-August.
Another earnings report in September led to a gap down that created an Island Reversal pattern & carried the stock price below the March gap, which was now acting as resistance.
The stock price continued falling as it tested that March gap resistance a few times but as the price fell the RSI has moved higher creating a Bullish Divergence.
With the price moving out of an oversold condition I am looking for the price to move up to re-test the September gap resistance. Depending on bullish momentum the stock may be able to continue rising to fill the September gap.
DRI - Let's Go Out For A BiteDRI had a gap up on an earnings announcement back on March 21st. The top of this gap became support while the stock price continued to rise. This rise in price created a bearish divergence with the RSI indicator.
The earnings release in September led to a gap down. The price actually consolidated just below the March gap. Friday's trading has the price testing the resistance level of the March gap zone with the stock finding strength.
DRI is finding relative strength within the Restaurant industry but still needs some more time to see if it is gaining strength on the SPX. If the price continues to rise I would expect a re-test of the bottom of the gap down zone around $122.
PFE - Drugs May Be Kicking InPfizer had a gap down off their previous earnings release which has led to the formation of a somewhat symmetrical triangle pattern. We have seen the bullish breakout of this pattern earlier this month & the price has remained above while consolidating. If the stock price can remain above this line on a pullback then I would look for a fill of the gap from July around $40.
NOW - Can we get some service now please?Let's see, earnings after market close, recent analyst downgrades over last week or so, & CEO just left to take over at NKE . What does the chart say?
You may have a head & shoulders pattern but that right shoulder is a bit ugly. If you do believe it is an H&S pattern, then the price target is $198.30 which would take the price back to fill the gap from January 30th. From a Fibonacci extension perspective, the price is currently around the 100% level while hitting support from the gap up back in January. This could be an ideal area to see a bounce before any continued declines.
New CEO claiming they want to be heavy on acquisitions so take what you will from that.
$ha $ha $haRunning earnings play after-hours 10/22, playing gap fill.
Picked spot 29.99, stop 29.31.
Also copped some 12/20 36$ calls for .25 each.
Facebook using gap as support! +VolTechnicals
Facebook has filled the gap and the 50SMA, now its top is working as support. --- Bull
The yellow rectangle I drew on the bottom wick of today oct.18.19, has an above volume average. --- Bull
Details to enter position
Enter: 185
Stop: 175.4
Sell: 204
RRR: 2:1
* Check out my previous analysis right before the gap (linked)
Beyond Meat - BEAR trend into massive gapTechnical analysis
First earnings report (June 7th, 2019), which made BYND go up around 35%+ and create a big gap.
This gap is starting to get filled on a downtrend.
RSI(10) @27 - Remember oversold can continue to be oversold for a long time.
-------
Fundamental
Impossible Foods, a direct competitor of Beyond Meat. Is selling burger to Burger King.
Impossible Foods really resembles meat. Beyond meat is just a semi-decent veggie burger (in my opinion).
spx 500/ BTC . Monday potential . Hi Traders,
Look at this today's pump. Sucker rally its on IMO we are in distribution and this is how retail gets sucked in to believing that market its fine .
FED printing its on and its hard its injecting billions of dollars daily to the markets trying to save the moment.
I will be looking on opening short potentially on Monday. This gap its even bigger then before and it will have to be filled as always .
I'm not expecting pull back today to fill all this nonsense but small pull back could happen. Will see how we will close today .
Keep your eye on Spx it could be nice short play.
DJI Dow Jones Looking Very Bearish (Chart Patterns Confluence)DJI Dow Jones is looking very bearish now in right shoulder in head and shoulder chart pattern, gap fill and strong Fibonacci 50% and 38.2% retracement level. Drop a like and comment for more free analysis, signals and education.
The Head and Shoulder Pattern
This head and shoulder pattern is in confluence with the two recent tops in 2018 around the 26800 zone which gives it more bearish power:
The Gap Fill
What creates gaps? Often negative news if the gap is down and positive news is the gap is up. These gaps will act as support and resistance into the future and right now DJI has tested and shown bearish action at the resistance.
The Strong Fibonacci Retracement Resistance Levels 50% and 38.2%
I like to use Fibonacci because it's a simple way to find good entry levels in pullbacks. Since price action moves in waves you want to get in at the pullbacks to get a lower risk and higher reward for every swing/wave you trade.
The Trade Idea
Entry: 26421
Stop Loss: 26740
Take Profit: 25326
(Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.43)
You will most likely see a bounce on the undercut of the previous low 25340 level which also is in confluence with the Fibonacci extension level 127.2%. Close your trades here and then you could scalp the bounce (risky since you're in a bearish chart pattern) or what I recommend, wait for a new short opportunity drawing new Fibonacci retracement levels and wait for price to bounce to the 50% or 38.2 levels and look for bearish price action.
Hope this help. Happy trading!
SPY primed for move up after throwing a fit! Going higher.FYI: I am working on an awesome options video for my YouTube channel (Dumb Money Trader). I should have it posted by Friday or Saturday... make sure you check it out if you are unsure right now about options. They are my personal favorite equity to trade.
Also, I might be changing my blog (DumbMoneyTrader.com) to be more of a news letter type style. I want to do the following on a weekly basis:
* Showcase what companies or ETFs I will be watching in the upcoming week
* Highlight big news stories that might affect trading decisions
* Highlight any big events for the upcoming week (like economic reports scheduled for release, etc..)
I feel that would benefit my readers more so than what I am doing now.
I would LOVE to hear your opinion on this, so please leave a comment below and let me know your thoughts about my changes. If my readers (or future readers) don't like it, I won't do it.
Again, I appreciate ALL of my followers on Trading View, and I hope you check out my other stuff.
EROS a mid-to-long-term gap fill candidate with earnings Oct 8EROS is a Bollywood production company making big moves to try to dominate India's booming streaming market. Eros recently went on a 200% run after signing several major streaming contracts, including a deal with Microsoft to stream Eros content on the Azure platform. The stock price then cut in half as it first pulled back from overbought territory, then broke down even further on news that the company took on a $27.5 million debt due in 2020.
(This is something that often happens after announcement of a new product offering: the stock price initially shoots up, then breaks down on news of a new shares or senior notes offering to raise capital for manufacturing or marketing the new product. Shorting cash-poor companies after a big product announcement runs up the stock price wouldn't be a bad strategy.)
Anyway, for the moment Eros has found a floor around 1.80. It has support from there all the way down to about 1.14, with the strongest support nodes around 1.65 and 1.32. This is a decent time to take a small position for a mid-term swing. The stock is likely to get further news boosts as it implements its streaming deals and launches its content on the various platforms.
One short-term risk is the earnings report on October 8. Eros is reporting earnings later than usual, which often bodes ill for earnings results. (Late earnings tend to be worse than expected, whereas early earnings tend to be better than expected.) If Eros's earnings miss, the stock is likely to break down to one of its lower support levels-- perhaps even the very bottom of the support range. I would look at that as an entry opportunity. So if you do take a small position now, save enough cash to at least triple the size of the position after earnings if the price breaks down.
In the event that Eros beats earnings and/or begins to run up again on implementation news, it's got plenty of room to run. 3.00, 4.00, and 5.00 are all conceivable in the mid-term. In the longer term, this stock has the potential to break out above 5.49 and then very quickly fill the gap up to 7.23.
(For weekly news and educational videos, check out my new YouTube show, Wall Street Petting Zoo!)
Dow in C leg of ABC Correction: Bounce After or Rejection at TL?Chart says all. Looks quite Bearish but no capitulation as of yet. C waves tend to be fierce and furious. See what it does when Gap fills from 9/04.
Bulls will likely return for another crack at ATH if they can hold the line near 26200. SPX should find support near 2900, at least in this first downdraft. Second support at 2860; breakdown through these levels will likely lead to panic selling and capitulation down to August prices or lower. It is possible a Bear Market is beginning, but too soon to tell.
Have to see if an ATH can be developed by EOY. Trade day-by-day now and hold ur hand close! Rejection from the wedge TL on a bounce could lead to a fully developed 5-wave Elliott impulse downtrend. Failure in China will certainly precipitate this kind of Bearishness.
RUT is getting killed and shows greatest weakness. Expect Flight to Quality to boost US 30 more than NQ, RUT. SPY has been most Bullish of these and might suffer less.
Just an idea, not advice; trade at your own risk!