Gapfill
S&P 500: Chance of a Hyper Bull MarketQuote: Investors just pumped the most money ever into stock funds for a single week; U.S. stock-focused funds took in $38.3 billion in fresh cash over the past week, a new record, according to "Bank of America Merrill Lynch".
Source: CNBC www.cnbc.com
Quote: Widely-followed JP Morgan analyst says new market highs are coming soon. J.P. Morgan's Marko Kolanovic says the bearish narratives of inflation and trade wars will be proven wrong. "The flow aspect of the sell-off had a striking similarity with the August 2015 sell-off: realized volatility caused derisking from volatility targeting strategies and forced covering of short volatility positions," he wrote. "Unless there is a recession, all of these flows tend to reverse within 1-2 months." He is regarded as an expert in volatility and derivatives.
Source: CNBC www.cnbc.com
Long condition: The "S&P 500" closes Friday above 2751. Entry on Monday.
Entry: 2755
Stop loss: 2729
Target: 3012
Risk/Reward: 10
APRN Swing Gap play in affect, looking to buy at support. Bounced off RSI trend line and MACD corresponds with the potential move upwards.
TSLA might pull back to 327. But hopefully it bounces higher Now that it broke below the apex of the triangle, and uptrend line, which it did break last time in August too, and there is a chance that it might bounce back higher from here. But if the price continues to fall, the supports would be 336.32 yearly R2 pivot and then ultimate support would be the 327 Ref double top high from May and the small gap fill from august
History repeats.. Or something like that right?Back tested all gap fills from November 2016 that were below $5 (chart was too distorted if I used the gap fills in the $15's. Target is anywhere from $2-$5 by end of year.
Bearish Gap Fill Pending For First SolarFirst Solar has been in a clearly defined downward trend since between May and August of 2016. As of the close on May 12, this stock is at the top of the cycle which is near a strongly established resistance. The projected future movements are highlighted below.
When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 81.4842. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is well overbought and due to retreat.
The true strength index (TSI) is currently 21.9577. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock has been moving up.
The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 1.3173 and the negative is at 0.6377. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. Currently the positive indicator had been moving up, but may be in the early stages of its downward reversal. Projected future movement has been drawn in the VI window.
The stochastic oscillator K value is 93.9795 and D value is 90.7662. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is currently in overbought territory. This indicator will drop, the question is will the stock drop with it or slowly begin to swing up and down?
The stock recently gapped up after earnings. Gaps are typically filled, but the time in which this is done varies. Even though a closing of the gap may happen, simple movement to the bottom of the gap is much more likely and it is a staggering 11% drop from the May 12th closing price.
Considering the RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the downside, although definitive downward movement may take a few more days to develop. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could drop at least 10% over the next 30 trading days if not sooner.
More analysis at LimitLessLifeSkills!
Second Bearish Triangle Break or Test Resistance?The former sees Celgene at $115 en route to filling the $109.25 gap. The latter sees Celgene test $121.70. Supporting the bear case: 1) Emerging broader market bearishness 2) Triple top on XBI daily + MACD bearish divergence 3) CELG weekly and daily charts turning lower + MACD bearish divergence + chinks in the quarterly fundamental story + persistent trader/investor bullishness...
xdaystogo.com
USDJPY Potential Short: Power ReversalHey traders, this pair has broken some short term support. This is a potential scenario if the pair does in fact continue to show weakness, which means this is a sell stop order and is not active unless price reaches entry before invalidating the trade. Big R/R if successful. Cheers