guessing a gap down will be for buyinga gap down in the nasdaq makes the most sense to me at this point, and i would guess that if we buy that up and defend the $23- high $22s we sould revisit TRAMA and get VWMA to change directions targeting high $23s - low $24s which is also around the .618 of the daily bounce retracement
Gapfill
Possible AMZN short setupHey guys,
I've been noticing that AMZN has been repeating the redistribution pattern it made leading up to its rally and subsequent dump in March of this year. Considering the fact that other market-moving names are doing similar things(AAPL, MSFT, NVDA), I am currently anticipating a rally up to the high 130's where I believe AMZN will top out and possibly head to the $80's. Mind you AMZN is still in a macro downtrend following a standard, year+ long Wyckoff distribution pattern and would be significantly overvalued at ~$138/share. In short, if it does rally up to fill the previous gap, there would be little to suggest that it would not reject and head for new lows.
P.S.
Do take what I am saying with a grain of salt as I believe we're at the end of a market cycle(midst of a crash) and are in the process of redistributing before another leg down.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Gap fill on NASDAQTrade Idea: NASDAQ
Reasoning: Gap fill on NASDAQ
Entry Level: 11797
Take Profit Level: 11035
Stop Loss: 11905
Risk/Reward: 6.83:1
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/24/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2022
- PR High: 11715.00
- PR Low: 11686.50
- NZ Spread: 63.50
Evening Stats (As of 1:00 AM)
- Weekend Gap: = -0.74% (last week - filled)
- Session Open ATR: 408.50
- Volume: 39k
- Open Int: 247k
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From ATH: -29.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 12390
- Mid: 11820
- Short: 10680
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Redemption I played this long into earnings in a post back then I had target over 100 (green boxes back around earnings), risk to 35 (red box where it has been trading post earnings). I noted I was hedging the ER and that worked out but I was completely wrong thinking the play was long.
Well now UPST shorts are in trouble with a close over 36 it should see explosive upside off the recently formed Navarro 200 harmonic to pt 1 55, pt2 69.. I'd expect continuation if it makes it makes it to pt2. We have seen what UPST is capable of when the ball gets rolling. The explosive upside from here will begin this week when RSI crosses above its moving average, RSI crosses have captured its performance since IPO better than any other indicator and on average UPST has a 64% upside move following RSI cross above. 64% here is approx. pt1 (this is also the 1.00 of the harmonic, pt 2 is the 1.618 and the gap fill.. so decent confluence pointing to these levels).
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SPX Gap Fill Play!SPX has 2 gaps on the daily chart. One gap occurred June 10, 2022 and the other on June 13, 2022.
On June 15, 2022 SPX closed the day with a spinning top.
My plan is to take SPX to the upside after it breaks 3838.51. However, should it break below 3722.08, I will take it to the downside. I have an alert set at 3838.51 with the expectation of a gap fill to approximately 3900.
Please reference the screenshots of the SPX daily chart below.
*This is not financial advice.
Peace,
MrALtrades00
Wizard Setup. Target 441DDS is more volatile than GME, TSLA, any name you can think of. Here is an opportunity to leverage this volatility for massive gains in a short time period:
- just broke out and has another gap to fill above at 370
- the DMI suggests major accumulation following the pullback from all time high and the indicator "ADX Breakout" calculates the target based on DMI dynamics and previous average range over a period. Target is 441, stop loss 275
- stochastic RSI is identical to right before last pop at the end of 2021 and this pattern is characteristic of a short squeeze (and there is indication shorts have already started to cover); short data posted below:
short percent float: 15.21%
short interest ratio (days to cover): 6.2
short% increase/decrease: -13%
I like the June 17 370 calls and the July 15 390 calls. Not financial advice.
Best,
Tommy (rewards member)
Ethereum ETH - CME gap close not unlikelyEthereum ETH - CME gap close not unlikely (see green boxes)
The bottom of this gap correlates with the highest volume on the day before the gap
Specifically $1.757 would be the target for this gap close
What do you think dear Crypto Nation? 😎
Drop me a nice comment
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
BTC Weekend CME Gap - Past 2 Filled on MondayCME Gaps occur when the Chicago Merchantile Exchange closes but the BTC price continues to move (Crypto Never Sleeps).
These gaps which you can see on the ticker BTC1! have a well over 90% Fill rate.
The past 2 Weekend gaps were filled on that Monday after each weekend.
It also coincides with the bottom of the current range...
Invalidation of this would be above 30.6k while BTC still needs to
regain the 31.7k level
$UPST Gap fill or sub 20Upstart - not really sure what they do ;0 - but the stock is up 15% today so someone is buying here
Bull case - Nice close above 10day MA , is a start to possible upleg for the 76.23 gap fill , currently trading around $50 implying a $26 dollar move.
Bear case - a new high is not made and upon rejection lower lows targeting $20 zone or less, implying around a -30$ move
With the giant gap above I think it's important to remember supply and demand here - most holders who didn't sell are sitting higher above (supply), seeing their ticker have +15% days is very promising! As such they are holding (bag holders), until break even at least or more, hence there will be heavy supply once ticker gets to this zone but not much until then, for those people already sold. And now we have demand/ buyers with bottom fishing who are currently up depending on entry. They will sell along the way causing dips, however many who bought in 30's and even 40's are green and holding for more.
Hence under the above, Demand should outweigh supply until gap fill zone...
Trade idea for bull case - Calls are expensive and I want time here, so JUL 60/80 debit spread, as given the supply area will most likely IMO overwhelm demand after gap fill .
Trade idea for bear case - bear call spreads for less risk or naked puts a few months out with $37 being first target.
My bias is to the upside
Cheers
$DRI Chart Breaking DownWhale opened 500 JAN 100 puts and upon checking, noticed this chart looks pretty bearish IMO.
I'm swinging JUN 100 puts tight stop as I'm looking for a quick flush now that support has been breached. Any squeeze up is a better entry to short IMO, this chart is pretty ugly.
Gap Fill below is target in the short term at 103.16
Hidden Bearish Divergence on TwitterThe setup for Facebook is still looking quite Bullish as it's double bottomed and Reacted at the PCZ of the Bullish Cypher that can be seen in the related tab it's currently targeting a Gapfill to the upside; However Twitter is starting to look quite Bearish on the 4 hour and if it starts going down from here it will have confirmed Hidden Bearish Divergence on the Weekly which could very well send Twitter down to Fill the downside Gap at the very least but at the most it could go down all the way to the 88.6% Retracement.