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Gaps

USDJPY = Win. Finally? I have shit winrate, but at least this trade is "logical", and has followed the trading plan lol. TRADING SPECS: BIAS = DOWNTREND NARRATIVE = 4HR BEARISH PD ARRAY(S/R FLIP+FVG) CONTEXT = RESPECTED PREMIUM ARRAY + A Wave ENTRY = SELL STOP ORDER @ A WAVE LOW (RUN ON LIQUIDITY). Nearly got SL'd. OPTIMAL ENTRY WOULD HAVE BEEN THE BEARISH FVG AFTER THE "4HR PREMIUM ARRAY REBALANCE" INSIDE CONTEXT AREA. THERE WAS A SHARP TURN IN THERE SOMEWHERE BUT I DIDN'T WAIT FOR THAT. RISK MANAGEMENT = N/A(?) JUST LET TRADE PLAY OUT. BUT SL WAS INSIDE THE ORDERFLOW LEG(?) Here's how it went: 1. Assessed Day Bias - price was downtrending. checked orderflow and candle science for this shit 2. Assessed Current Price "Intention" - price only does two things: seek liquidity, and rebalance fair value. When I plotted my Key Levels, price was at a point where it was just done seeking liquidity(support + poc was swept) and it was reversing. I see an S/R Flip + FVG area. If price goes here, that means price has rebalanced fair value.. so, logic dictates that it will reverse again to SEEK LIQUIDITY. When I came back to this chart again, price has already rebalanced fair value, has respected the S/R Flip + FVG, and has started reversing down. 3. Picked Out a Target - I picked out something realistic. Here is where indicators/tools come in. Instead of using my confluence mix(POC+FVG+OTE pd array) as entry points, "I just used it as a target since... price has already rebalanced fair value at the higher TF, and it's already going down, so it's probably going to seek liquidity on the other side. It's most probable target before price may or may not do something else is the FVG+POC+OTE AREA." My choice of liquidity category was the Previous Day Session nPOC. Along with the FVG and OTE, it was a strong "magnet", especially considering that price has finished seeking buy side liquidity and therefore the price's next target are the liquidities below. Wow, this makes so much sense to me now. Price always intend to bounce from opposite liquidities, from higher timeframe to lower timeframe... so... 4. Waited for PA that will Deliver Towards Target - I think my entry here was sloppy, the weakest part of this trade. But it made sense, and it still worked anyway. I just found a sting candle down(the A wave) after tapping the (S/R Flip+FVG).. I set a sell stop limit on the exact low of that candle. LOGIC was, if price pushed down below that sting, especially with a strong fvg, it would validate the RESPECT of the (SR FLIP+FVG), and it would continue going down(an invalidation of a long continuation idea)... probably to, again, seek liquidity below. Reason why I think my entry was sloppy, is because I did not validate the trade idea first. I didn't wait for that sting candle to get "run on(liquidity)" first. I think in order to validate it, I would have waited for the sting to become a run on liquidity area first, and then a second bearish fvg candle close to confirm downtrend. It would have been too late and the profit would have been too small at that point. 5. Put SL at the Orderflow Leg Swing High - If price was really not intending to continue going up, it wouldn't have gone here, which it didn't. I nearly got stopped out, like the other trades I had on sunday and monday. ------------- Here's the pattern that I keep seeing though, when price makes a valid HIGH(like in this case, the SRFLIP+FVG rebalance), price will attempt to go here atleast twice with a WICK, but will still make lower highs. Usually, those second and third wicks will form as if it's going to take the liquidities at those wicks, but it will just take out the CANDLE BODY HIGHS... So take note of these next time. When price sweeps a higher timeframe FVG/LIQUIDITY, mark out the candle body closes as TARGET LIQUIDITIES, not the wicks. If a downtrend is valid, it will only take out the body close liquidities. I will make a diagram to help make this make sense lmfao. ------------- I feel like a mad scientist at this point... endlessly trying to see the actual logic in the market. Not the probabilities of patterns playing out, but the CAUSES and EFFECTS. I think I'm close to finding the pattern within the pattern... or the message hidden in the patterns(Arcane reference, anyone?). But I think the two things I have found thanks to Arjo is... "Price only does two things: 1. Seeking Liquidity 2. Rebalancing Fair Value and Higher TF = Rebalancing Fair Value <-> Lower TF = Seeking Liquidity" and "The Higher the Timeframe, The Stronger the Timeframe" Like... the market isn't random. I think these two things are the core principles of trading. Because with these two ideas, you don't need a strategy. You need to UNDERSTAND this. And the strategy can be adapted to whatever you see on the chart. You open EURUSD, and you see that price is on a downtrend, and it has recently rebalanced the bearish fair value gap on the 4HR? You know what price will do next. It will continue going down to seek liquidity below. So, with that information, what will you look for? How will you enter? Where will you set your entry point, your stoploss, and where is your target? You open USDCAD, and you see that price is on an uptrend, it has already rebalanced fair value below, has made a bullish choch+FVG, and has respected that choch+FVG on a lower timeframe. You know it will seek buy side liquidity next. So how will you enter? Where will you place your stoploss? Where's your exit? ------- Now, if only I can translate this knowledge into actual consistency in trading, I can finally make money. But I guess doing the journal is great. I'm consistently at the 25-30% winrate. So with this understanding.. Maybe I can slowly push that winrate up over time. I think mechanically, the trade entries i had a year ago and now was the same(choch+POC+FVG+OTE), but now I have the understanding of why it may work or why it won't work, and when do I apply it so I increase the odds of winning. So that's something. Before, I didn't know why it did or did not work. But now, I know. I can use this info moving forward to increase my odds. ------- OH WAIT YEAH, IF I KNOW WHAT THE MARKET DOES AND WHY IT DOES WHAT IT DOES, THEN I WILL BE ABLE TO REFINE MY ENTRIES, BECAUSE NOW I KNOW WHY AND HOW I'M MAKING MY MISTAKES. HELL YEAH. ------- I'm just not sure about whether I can stick to one entry strategy now, or if I should, or I won't trade something that looks doable under my principles... because I've studied everything, and it makes sense now. lmfao. ------- if people are reading this(up to this point lol that was a long ash read), then thank you. Reply with your thoughts if ever. Alright thanks bye
Short
by reventioaxie
Two Daily Gaps attract market for pullbackAlthough S&P500 is within uptrend, recent days has left two clearly visible gaps behind. That means that it is highly possible that SPX will come back to cover those gaps in the near future, before it continue uptrend (if it will). Same picture at NDX chart with two 4H gaps. I take this idea to apply to all markets including crypto. While chances to resume higher timeframe uptrend are valid for Bitcoin, Stock Indices will most probably influence it's short term price action.
TVC:SPX
by WiseAnalyze
Price Gap Examples - Bitcoin FuturesSharing for educational purposes only. █ Three Types of Gaps There are three general types of gaps: Breakaway Gap Runaway (or Measuring) Gap Exhaustion Gap █ 1 — The Breakaway Gap The breakaway gap usually occurs: At the completion of an important price pattern. At the beginning of a significant market move Examples: After a market completes a major basing pattern, the breaking of resistance often involves a breakaway gap. Breaking major trendlines signaling a reversal of trend may also involve this type of gap Key Characteristics: Heavy volume often accompanies breakaway gaps. They are typically not filled (or only partially filled). In an uptrend, upside gaps act as support areas on subsequent corrections. A close below the gap is a sign of weakness. █ 2 — The Runaway or Measuring Gap The runaway gap forms: Midway through a trend (uptrend or downtrend). Indicates the market is moving effortlessly, usually on moderate volume. Key Characteristics: In an uptrend, it signals strength. In a downtrend, it signals weakness. Acts as support or resistance during subsequent corrections. Why "Measuring" Gap? It often occurs at the halfway point of a trend. By measuring the distance the trend has already traveled, the probable extent of the remaining move can be estimated by doubling the amount already achieved. █ 3 — The Exhaustion Gap The exhaustion gap appears: Near the end of a market move. Key Characteristics: Occurs after objectives have been achieved and other gap types (breakaway and runaway) have been identified. In an uptrend, prices leap forward in a final push but quickly fade. Within a couple of days or a week, prices turn lower. █ Conclusion By understanding the types of gaps and their characteristics, traders can better interpret market signals and anticipate potential trends or reversals. █ Source: Murphy, John J. Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance, 1999. Chapter 4, "Price Gaps," pp. 94-98.
CME:BTC1!Education
by kingthies
1
Do You Trade Gaps? Here's What You Need to Know!📈 Trading gaps can provide some of the most reliable opportunities in the market—if you know how to handle them. 🔍 What is a gap? A gap occurs when the price "jumps" between two levels, leaving an empty space on the chart. Gaps usually reflect strong market sentiment, news, or low liquidity during off-hours. 💡 Key points to consider: 1️⃣ Types of Gaps: Breakaway Gap: Signals a new trend. Continuation Gap: Often occurs mid-trend. Exhaustion Gap: Marks the end of a trend. 2️⃣ How to Trade Them: Identify if the gap is likely to fill or expand. Use support and resistance around the gap. Always keep an eye on volume—low volume could mean a false move. 3️⃣ Risk Management: Gaps can be volatile! Use tight stop-losses and wait for confirmation before entering. What’s your favorite strategy for trading gaps? Let’s discuss below! 👇
by Safaric
Crypto Week 47 AnalysisIt seems like that all Major 3 Crypto Coins are in Premium. All of them are above True Week Open, True Month Open and True Year Open except for BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P Which is below True Year Open. We are using a gap from previous Year Q4 that merge with a weekly gap. and we have a PSP in a weekly graph right about it. Near True Year Open BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P there is a Gap from previous Monday in 3h graph. I think I would like to see BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P getting into the 3h gap and targeting the True Year Open. Current target in BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is True year Open After touching it I'll be bearish since the price is in a major Premium.
Long
by EE_Trade_
Futures Week 47 Monday AnalysisAs I see it the close target of both ES and NQ is the True Month Open. On both of the True Month Open there is a gap from previous Monday in 6h chart. The bullish movement that we had this week is supported by SMT between CME_MINI:ES1! , CME_MINI:NQ1! and CBOT_MINI:YM1! and 6h gap from previous Tuesday (Q2). I don't see any relevant higher time frame gaps that the price can encounter until the True Month Open so my current target is that. In my opinion CME_MINI:ES1! will get to the True Month Open first and will liquidate it, at the same time CME_MINI:NQ1! will get to a 90 minutes gap at AM session (Q3) and won't liquidate the True Month Open and we'll get a bearish SMT
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by EE_Trade_
Update on teslaHi, quick update. i do want to update some bearish technical scenerios that align with liquidity concepts. (neither bullish or bearish idea is 100% to occur and its important to prepare to all scenerios) The latest test on demand was not what i was hoping to see. with prices making bad lows (confirm on TPO) and creating a liquidity pool, showing a lack of strength (market moves on the path of least resistance) from buyers(volume is low market shows uncertainty around current price). We have a gap down (green rectangle) and bad lows, the last imbalances on the chart at 199.48 (if we dont consider the aug 5 bad lows duo to the japanese sell off) These will hit stop losses and reset highly leveraged positions and most importantly will provide wallstreet a premium price on tsla shares. That price aligns with targets from both bearish and bullish sides. as of now we are holding the daily 100 ema the 200 EMA is 201 and the yearly VWAP is also confluencing with that EMA. SHOCKING! If we are at the parliamentary supply a selling climax will follow.. and the target for it would close the imbalance and the gap would provide us a good low to buy from and grab upside liquidity if not break resistance finally. in terms of RSI a sell off to that area will give us an oversold RSI on the daily and hit the orderblocks down there! I am still bullish on tesla but acknowledging these bearish scenerios will help up understand what is happening if they happening. I closed my CFD position in tiny profit but i am still keeping my value investment on and havent sold a bit. I will happily go further down and give myself a nice CFD trade on tesla from these price targets.! This is not a financial advice but simply me sharing my ideas and journaling my investments and trading. I hope you all have a great day I AM STILL BULLISH THERES A REASON WHY THEY ARE CALLED SHORTS (SHORT TERM) AND LONGS (LONG TERM)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Captainobvious5454
$AMZN: Fast Rebounds Reveal Fundamental Support LevelThe new technologies that Amazon is embracing, including robots/robotics, and a brilliant CEO keep this huge company moving forward. The HFT-driven gap down in August was massive but the rebound was fast. This isn't the first time the stock has moved right back up to its prior quarter's fundamental support range, aka Dark Pool Buy Zone. Now, NASDAQ:AMZN is slightly above that range to challenge the July high. A stock to watch ahead of its earnings report October 24th.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
Dark Pool Buy Zone Stages More Gap Up PotentialNYSE:NKE gapped again with a breakaway gap jumping over resistance. These rarely fill and if the gap fills, it will be minimal. Volume was above average. This kind of gap up sequence can happen easily when a classic Shift of Sentiment pattern forms in Accumulation/Distribution indicators as a stock bottoms. But price remains well below the previous gap down. It may gap again as the stock challenges that resistance.
NYSE:NKELong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Learning Price Action Through ObservationLearning Happens when you're open and curious and making observations from what you see. From there, you must be mentally balanced to take action on your observations. In this post, I focus on the price action that happens in the pivot portion of a swing cycle. If you make observations of this area you will see a certain kind of repeating behavior that can help you understand and design methods for trading swings. You will notice that the market likes to wash everybody out of their positions before pivoting to continue its swing. I have a look at two of the ways this shows up in the price action of a pivot. The first is an engulfing bar that expands and swallows at least 3 of the previous bars. The second is a Gap Swap where there will be a WRB Gap making an effort in one direction just to be followed by another WRB GAP that reverses that effort and direction and shows that the balance of power has shifted. This is just a small part of what makes up a swing but it factors into my overall methods and trade plan. You can make observations yourself on pivots and see what you can learn. Shane
NYSE:STNGEducation
by ShaneBlankenship
QUICK AND EASY WAY TO MAKE A CHART (GAPS) - PLTRIF your an advanced trader and good at charting, you likely won't find this information useful. In the future, I'll have more educational posts that go in depth, but this one is for the newbies. STEP 1 - Find your gaps (circled in blue) ONLY MARK GAPS THAT HAVE YET TO CLOSE STEP 2 - MARK your GAPS with a Horizontal Line (alt + h) STEP 3 - DUPLICATE your Horizontal lines (CTRL + CLICK each line while holding ctrl to multi select lines, CTRL + SHIFT + CLICK AND DRAG to duplicate) STEP 4 - These are now your long term trading zones (COLOR Lines accordingly, TIP - Try not to pick colors that blend together) red and green do not mean buy/sell, they mean top of the gap, and bottom of the gap, 4.22% or so... It doesn't need to be exact. STEP 5 - Line thickness (IF multiple lines stack up, you can create a thick line to simplify chart. KEEP IT SIMPLE, REMEMBER, this is not to be exact, this is to create zones to prepare you for future movements based on past gaps) Why is this useful? Well, if you know a price gap is statistically likely to close, then you can be pretty certain that at some point in the future, that gap will close, meaning price will return to @ or above the price gap. With this in mind, you can plan ahead and start to realize when your emotions are getting the best of you. This is also great because you can do this on any time frame with candles. Why ISNT this useful? Well, this gives you no indication of timing. Past results don't guarantee future results. AND this gives you no indication of current price action. In other words, a GAP could form and close 2 years later, and the entire time before it closes, price keeps going lower and lower. Good luck, and remember, this is just a quick and easy way for newer users to identify potential price targets, while limiting emotion in decision making.
PEducation
by nicktussing77
1
Tracking The Footprints of WRB GapsThis is the first in a series of posts on Gaps. Gaps are a sudden supply/demand imbalance that shows up in the price bars of a chart, It's the expansion that comes after a contraction. Gaps will show us a significant area of buyers/sellers that take control and when they lose that control. In the video, I discuss and define a Wide Range Bar (WRB) Gap and show how to mark it out on a chart. A WRB Gap is a bar larger than the last 3 bars with a space between the previous bar and the subsequent bar. We will be marking the base of the gap. If it's an up Gap, mark out the bottom 1/3 of the bar, if it's a down gap, mark out the upper 1/3 of the bar. We can then make observations about how price interacts with the base of this gap when or if it gets there. Then begin to notice where in the swing process the Gap is happening. Don't make conclusions, just observe and learn. There are many ways to trade Gaps but first, we must first lay out some foundations and then come up with objective ways to see them. For now, simply look for the biggest ugliest bars on your chart and mark them out and observe. These are footprints that we can follow and track. Shane
CBOE:ARKKEducation
by ShaneBlankenship
2
Gaps and How Markets Move In Contraction and ExpansionThere are several ways to trade gaps but first, there should be a solid understanding of what Gaps are and how they show up. Markets aren't that hard to read if we have some simple ways to see them that adhere to the principles of movement. All markets move in contraction and expansion. A Gap is the sudden supply/demand imbalance that comes out of the contraction and shows up as the expansion. These expansions can even be used to measure how far the next expansion will go. Start with a simple bar chart and erase everything else off the chart. Look and simply see the dense areas of contraction (Range). Then see the expansion (Gap), followed by another contraction. Look for same-size contractions and expansion and you will start to see how organized price flow can be. It's no different than swings in that minor contractions and expansions make up the major contractions and expansions. Shane
NASDAQ:KTOSEducation
by ShaneBlankenship
19
Sustainability Stocks: ESAB ExampleNYSE:ESAB has been around for many years although it only went public on the NYSE as a Swedish-American company in 2022. ESAB Corporation is focusing on sustainability and connected fabrication technology, which is an area headed for more growth. The stock is 90% held by institutions. ALL of the giant Buy-Side and ETF developers are near the top of the Institutional holdings list. The stock as been trending upward since its IPO bottom completion, which completed very quickly at $50. The company's revenues have been steady. Earnings have been up and down quarter over quarter. The recent gap up is a breakaway gap, which seldom fill.
NYSE:ESABLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
The Gap Between What Is and What Will BeThere are 5 basic ways to trade a Gap or any line. In this video, I discuss two ways to enter the market using a Gap before I make the trade plan. The Gap entry techniques by themselves are of little use, but if we make a few distinctions in market structure and the process of a swing cycle, they can become functional. Swing cycles have a process that they go through. As long as we understand that process we can view Gaps in the light of where they happen in that process. I'm going to focus these two Gap entry techniques in the lower portion of the reaction leg at the bottom pivot of a swing. The Gaps are what make up the pivot portion of the swing. If you observe markets and swings you will often see this distinct pivot portion of a swing, it looks like a U at the bottom of a reaction leg as the buyers wrestle control back from the sellers. Shane
NYSE:RBLXEducation
by ShaneBlankenship
9