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NASDAQ - 1D - The 3 converging signals. This tutorial looks at the Daily chart main technology index in the World, NASDAQ. When evaluating its prices, NASDAQ has been down-trending in the past 8 months, in a steep decline. It started from its All-Time-High (ATH), when it held the 16700s level on the 21st of November 2021, sinking over 34% towards the 11300 level on the 16th of June 2022. However, since its recent low, the NASDAQ kept increasing in price. In the last trading week (8th - 12th of August 2022), prices formed an interesting technical pattern that could give way to a prolonged upward movement. Today, a new candlestick formed, sitting right on the 200 EMA line. I have highlighted 3 significant patterns which are converging. These patterns increase the probability of such upward movement, leading me to believe in a potential bullish movement: 1- Downtrend Breakout 2- Gap Up or Rising Window 3- 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Breakout To understand the technical patterns I am discussing, it is necessary to identify two indicators within the chart. These indicators are the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), which is the red line following the price, and the Downtrend Line, which is the purple line connected to the recent highs. I have drawn a red circle to point out where the signals converged.  1- The Downtrend was acting as resistance for over 7 months, from December 2021 until the 10th of August. From then, the Downtrend line will act as a support for the potential upcoming upward movement. 2- The Gap Up in price happened between the market close on the 9th of August to the market open on the10th of August. It brought the price up on a powerful movement, ignoring the downtrend resistance line and sitting on top of it, transforming it into a support line. 3- Major investors and hedge funds use the 200 EMA as a bullish/bearish indicator and a strong resistance/support level. The last candlestick (12th of August) closed above the 200EMA line, which did not happen for over 4 months. To conclude, the convergence of the 200 EMA plus the down-trend breakouts along with the rising window form an interesting signal that suggests the downtrend might run out of steam. Happy Investrading!
NASDAQ:NDX
by dmelchiades
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/16/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2022 *Session break gap of +0.14% that has yet to fill* - PR High: 11708.75 - PR Low: 11649.00 - NZ Spread: 133.75 Evening Stats (As of 12:00 AM) - Weekend Gap: = -0.74% - Session Open ATR: 410.97 - Volume: 37k - Open Int: 215k - Trend Grade: Bear - From ATH: -30.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 12390 - Mid: 11820 - Short: 10680 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQM2022
by mv3trader5
Position & Swing Trading: Weekly ChartsIf you're position or swing trading, it is a MUST to study weekly charts to confirm: 1. IF a bottom is developing 2. WHERE the bottom will complete ...to plan trades with strong reward/risk ratios. For example, let's take a look at EGLX, which had a gap up at open on its earnings release: 1. Note that today's gap up is from a lower low in the downtrend. This particular bottom is not confirmed just yet. When it makes a higher low is when there will be lower risk for an entry. 2. The first resistance is at 3.27, but there's stronger resistance at 4.44--once the stock's price sustains that level, then the bottom will be complete, which is the best time to consider position trade entries. Both resistance levels should be considered for swing trading potential... First ask: "Are there enough points to gain from your entry point to warrant the risk of the trade?" If no, then move on to the next opportunity; maybe put an alert at the next resistance level to revisit. If yes, then which resistance levels are likely to cause profit-taking? A step-by-step checklist that looks further than the entry is important for not giving back profits just as soon as you make them. Learn more at my website.
EEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Activision Blizzard (ATVI) Due For Snowslide?Activision Blizzard ( ATVI ) Due For Snowslide? I personally enjoy snow related activities to include snowboarding. But I can assure you a snowslide event is furthest from my mind when I go. If I had a heads up for the probability of one occurring in an area, I'd take adhere to safety precautions or be far removed from the event. I believe that Activision Blizzard is due for a “snowslide” after it gapped up January 18, 2022. Rationale-ATVI gapped up approximately 15.90 on January 14, 2022. 6.90 of the total gap was filled. The gap amount that remains is approximately 9.81. Please make a note of the fact that, ATVI closed below the 9, 21, 50 and 200 moving averages (please review the chart below). ATVI bounced off the 200 MA twice prior to finally going just below it on April 29, 2022. Though it closed under the 200 MA, the candle is closed as a spinning top. It is for that reason that I will more than likely wait for a safe entry just below 75.28. Overall sentiment- Bearish Peace and Prosperity, Al
NASDAQ:ATVIShort
by MrALtrades00
2
NIFTY SMALL CAP INDEXHello & welcome to this analysis on the small cap index CNX Small Cap Index activated a Bullish Harmonic Deep Crab on 24th Feb at 9350. From there it has now move all the way 10900 and on its way created 4 gap ups which is usually the sign of a strong trend (typical of Elliott Wave 3) What is most interesting is on 4th April it activated a Bullish Island Reversal as highlighted in the chart suggesting "if this holds" then the index is all set for a v strong up move. We have already seen a similar kind of move in Bank Nifty when it made a Bullish Island Reversal on 10th March at 34500 from where its rallied 4000 pts. Levels wise a "daily close above 10975" would open the passage for 11700 with strong support in the island region of 10600-500 for now. Happy Investing!
NSE:CNXSMALLCAPLong
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
Brief Retracement Before Surprise EarningsLeadup Before earnings, SACH's price fell about 13%. SACH reported a surprise above expected EPS. Price Action After reporting a surprise, price gapped up and began consolidation. Today that consolidation broke upwards with a substantial gap and moved towards its previous highs. Indicators Volume Broke 21 MA on the gap. DI remained bullish, and ADX seems to be finding support at the 20 level. RSI found support at the 50 level. This level has been significant in the past.
AMEX:SACHLong
by Ronald_Ryninger
Anatomy of a Day Trade: Entrances and ExitsO FGS! Dammit! They gapped it up overnight, what should I do?!? Well what gap is this? Three weeks ago we had Initiation Gap: These often do not fill, don't short them! It's suicide, lol! This has hallmarks of an Exhaustion Gap; it will fill intra-day or within a few sessions at most... a great short opportunity! See my related post on gaps FYI. But, when should you enter?! If you foolishly short it at the open be prepared to wait for hours and watch your position dwindle... ow!! Should you buy calls at the open?! Maybe it will run higher?! Of course it CAN, but it can also run lower and gapfill quickly, within minutes. A long position taken first thing is high risk... as are early shorts! So, when can you enter a position with reasonable expectation of profit?! In fact, ANY position taken in the first 20 minutes of the trading day is very high risk, I do not like to open new positions right away! So, you Watch and Wait! Looking for opportunity... in the first hour price ran higher and calls had been profitable, but we didn't take a position with no signal, we like good Risk/Reward positions with clear signals, not gambling on the opening price. After what seems like an eternity, price begins to consolidate and gives us several warning signals, first a pinbar appears, with a needle doji and tall wick followed by a red candle, a bearish signal; two spinning tops follow, but price clings to the opening price support line tenaciously as the bulls struggle to push higher... finally the price breaks below the support from the opening gap. This was the price support that market enjoyed from the open, as buy order imbalance filled, RSI weakens and money flow decreases until... price breaks under the opening price, signaling downtrend moving towards the gap. Notice how RSI moves from overbought, signaling weakness? This is a short entry high R/R position. You can buy daily puts here with confidence they will increase in value rapidly and immediately. You do not want to get stuck holding these dreadful instruments more than half an hour, you can see the value drain out as expiration nears! Well we see the gap filled, not completely to yesterday's closing price, but it sold down to former resistance at the high prices from last session. This often is all you get on a fill, it won't always close precisely! Sometimes price will dip below the gap and go negative for a few minutes. When the gap fills, you close position, we can't afford to gamble on whether it's gonna get lower or not... Suddenly an impulsive bright green candle appears! Gosh I hope you sold those puts! Notice how RSI has moved nearly to oversold? It's gonna bounce!! NOW is the time we make the best money. This was the candle we saw on 7 October, pullback ran to 13 October; another one appeared on Fed day at 2PM, pullback was just minutes then it bulled up and up... these are the money makers! Learn to recognize this chart pattern and you WILL make money on option trades. You can take a moderate sized position here, I like to trade lots of ten, when I see this candle I'm gonna start with 20-40 calls depending on cost, and add more as price moves in favor. I do not like to add when price moves away! USUALLY Dollar-Cost Averaging in options just leads to magnified losses!! The more you take the greater the loss you might experience, remember when you enter an option trade you assume the total risk for premium paid, a sudden price change can wipe out your position before you can even set up the closing trade. So risk what you are willing to lose, and no more. After the first impulsive move, a retracement nearly always pulls price back to ~2/3 of the impulse height. Here you draw the fib extension to get your target price projection; Fib Extension tool has three buttons, first at bottom of green candle, second at top, and third at bottom of the retracement. Chart your fibo and target the 1.618 extension, this is where your calls will take you! They might take you farther, but that involves more hand-wringing, nail-biting and screen cursing while you wait and watch the time value run down! Do not hold these any longer than necessary! So there were TWO good R/R day trades in Friday's session on 11/5. A short, and the subsequent long. You could have taken other positions, but R/R would be poor, most 'trades' without signals are just gambling. Be a trader not a gambler! Most of the time you want to stay OUT of the market! Look, today's trades involved about two half-hours out of a 6.5 hour session! The rest was just noise and risk. Notably, in 'Power Hour' at EOD, there was not enough bullish energy to lift price back to HOTD... this is Bearish, in a long bull run Fridays typically close at HOTD and short-covering rallies into close are typical, we didn't get that today and daily calls ran down to expiration worthlessly. You might consider taking a longer-term short in weekly or monthly contracts, to catch a move MOnday if the price weakness persists and a gap down follows the exhaustion gap up... if you dare. Remember Buffet's rules of trading: 1) Never Lose Money. 2) Never break Rule 1. Hopefully this post will be of some value of increasing clarity in trading. When you're in the market watching the numbers flicker it is so easy to get lost and miss the forest for the trees... Get ready for some amazing trades as this parabola rolls over and the cascade ensues... always exciting!!
TVC:SPXEducation
by DaddySawbucks
7
PH had a strong earnings gap up!* Great earnings * Very strong up trend * High relative strength in the Industrial sector * Broke out of a ~7 month consolidation period with very high volume (162.6% above average) Note: With very high volume on earnings, this very well may be a break away gap and may continue going higher from here. Trade Idea: * You can enter now and ride higher. * Or you can look for buying opportunities near the $321.65 area * A daily close below $321.65 would expose $311.70 as the next key support which should hold firmly.
NYSE:PHLong
by HaseebKhan_90
BBVA Strong Opening GapBBVA is a Spanish bank that provides retail banking, wholesale banking, asset management, and private banking services. It offers banking services in Spain, Mexico, South America, the US, Turkey, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. This morning, Oct 5, BBVA opened with a substantial opening gap clearing two areas of S/R. Since Nov of 2020, BBVA has been in a solid upward channel. This gap comes after a recent test of the bottom of the channel. A volume spike accompanied the test of the bottom. On the daily chart, RSI and ADX both show an upward trend with room to run. However, the ADX does not offer much conviction. When looking at the weekly chart, we see the same lack of confidence in the ADX. But RSI is signaling a solid bull trend. When trading gaps, I place the stop loss at the high of the previous candle. If the price whipsaws and closes the gap, I want to be out as soon as possible. I placed it at 3:1 RR for the profit target since it is slightly lower than the top of the channel.
NYSE:BBVALong
by Ronald_Ryninger