GAS
NATURAL GAS The top is in. But how low can it go?Exactly two months ago by making use of Natural Gas' clear long-term cycles, I called for a potential Top of the current Cycle after the formation of a Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame:
Even though the price rose a bit more, the peak was made shortly after. This time I am narrowing the horizon to 5-6 years and as you see the Cycle's peak was made exactly on the Higher Highs trend-line that started after the December 2016 High. An important technical development is that the 1W MACD made a Bearish Cross, which when formed on that Higher Highs trend-line, is a Top. Even though on a multi-year basis, the technical outlook has Natural Gas going as low as the Support Zone, on the less long-term, it may follow a consolidation phase as in 2017.
A long-term startegy for a cyclical investor would be to sell every rebound as the current one and gain from such swings on a 1-2 year horizon. In 2017/2018 it was only when the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level broke, that NG broke down towards the Support Zone. So in such strategy long-term traders may resume selling once the current 0.618 Fib breaks (3.374) towards the Support Zone.
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KT, A Potential Gem Stock, 127%+ Long TermKorea gets a bad reputation for how companies tend to benefit their owners/eecutives over the shareholder. This is going to change as it's highly unpopular in S. Korea. Irrespective of the political climate, undervalued Korean Companies are set to make massive growth.
Fundementals:
P/E: 8.18
EPS: 1.6
NATURALGAS not done yetNATGAS had an ugly week but creates a great opportunity too. Showing bullish divergence from 4h time frame and falling wedge pattern. Very likely that we will make the double bottom and later on should break the downtrend line. Need to watch.
Best way to enter after a breakout.
GOOD LUCK!
Double Bottom now rise to 97.xxWe have a clear double bottom on DXY sitting at 89.54 with a clear rise and break of resistance at 95.x now the push seems to be a pull back to the now support line at 94.5ish and then a run to the bottom of the next channel at 95.9 all the way to 97.4-5.
We would like to see the now support line at 94.5ish hold and continue up. This will put serious pressure on the energy markets anything over 95.9x and change could cause a major spike in either oil, LNG or other energy prices.
Oil Testing Lows Again, What to Expect??Oil is pressing lower of reports of increased supply and weaker demand. We are currently testing a very important psychological and technical level at 80.00. We are seeing several green triangles here at 80.00 which is suggests strong support. If we are able to break down from here, then there is a vacuum zone below to 77.56. We have several technical levels above including 80.70, 81.30 and 82.13 which will all be targets if we can get a lift from 80.00. The Kovach OBV is pretty flat, so we will need to see momentum come through either way to determine oil's next move.
Oil Clinging to LowsOil has dipped to the lower bound of its broad range in the 80 handle. We have broken through a series of levels in the low 80's, and are clinging onto 80.00 by a thread. We do have a series of green triangles on the KRI suggesting support here, but the Kovach OBV is dipping suggesting that we are still quite weak. If 80.00 does not hold, there is a vacuum zone to 77.56. If we catch support at 80.00, then 80.70, 81.30, and 82.13 are all targets to consider from above.
Natural gas - trend resumptionLast assumption re triangle proved wrong.
Correction in the wave 4 (circled) of a larger third wave seems to take the form of a double zigzag.
Note the channel for the wxy, as well as the channel for the wave y (abc structure) - on the right-side chart.
I wait for the impulse and a correction in the waves 1-2 to take a long.
Good luck!
Natural gasBuy only if candlestick cross up yellow line and stay above yellow line.
TP Goals 5815 and 5900
KMI - Kinder Morgan Swing Trade
Kinder Morgan, is one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in North America. The company specializes in owning and controlling oil and gas pipelines and terminals. Kinder Morgan owns an interest in or operates approximately 85,000 miles of pipelines and 152 terminals.
As winter approaches, supply chain issues begin to resolve, holiday season is near, expect major energy usage and KMI to go up from this more than fair price.
RSI is showing now is an ideal entry, and Squeeze Indicator is showing good upward momentum
Oil Finds Strong Support at $80Oil dipped, breaking a key support level at 80.70. We saw further support (confirmed by a green triangle on the KRI) from 80.00, however, and have rebounded back to the 81 handle. We appear to be making a run for the next level at 82.13. The Kovach OBV has dipped sharply, but has since picked up to reflect the support. If we can break past 82.13, we will return to a previous value area, and 83.21 would be the next target after that. Further momentum would bring us to the vacuum zone back to highs at 85.55.
Oil Continuing to RangeOil has retraced from just below highs at 85.55 to seek support at 82.13. This is exactly what we anticipated would happen. We are just past the 50% retracement between highs and the lower bound of the range at 80.70. Several green triangles on the KRI suggest that support will continue, and we will level off. If not, expect further support at 81.30, then 80.70. The Kovach OBV is oscillatory, which is to be expected as oil appears to be exhibiting a broad sideways corrective wave to the overall bull impulse wave which brought us to the 80's in the first place. Anticipate another run for 85.55 if the bull trend picks up again.
ng buyThe world is demanding energy for an economic recovery and a winter in Europe.
Natural gas prices have been rising in recent months, due to the great demand for various factors, including the search for and implementation of cleaner energies, in this process some countries such as China are entering a stage of de-carbonization, In China's attempt to gradually reduce the use of coal, natural gas is becoming more in demand, the key factor behind the rise in natural gas prices is its demand, the European Union is also stopping the use of coal and needs to supply This energy need with other means, until generating a dependence on natural gas, this benefits Russia a lot since they are one of the largest gas producers and as in OPEC they can manipulate the supply, in some geopolitical scenarios it would benefit them to pressure the European Union in certain gas pipeline projects.
PXD - Pioneer Natural ResourcesStarted half-sized position. Gapped up over anchored VWAP and inside pivot point. Looking for oil and gas stocks to come back alive after strong runs and holding up well. Crude oil still very strong. Stop loss below Monday's low & anchored VWAP.
Bitcoin and Oil - Your gas prices are not going to get Lower.Today a small lesson in the harsh reality of this world.
Gas prices are on the rise as you know, same with oil, coffee, lumber, and many other things.
This may seem like "Not a big deal" however, oil prices could go parabolic over the next 8 years.
When Bitcoin broke out of its falling wedge it shot all the way up to $20,000 (starting at around $250)
Oil should see a similar move as bitcoin.
OIl moves slower than Bitcoin (much slower) but this move will still catch the world by surprise!
You must counter hyper inflation with proper investing.
If you don't play their game you get left behind in the dust.
Stay profitable.
- Dalin